Incidence and Progression of Fibrotic Lung Disease in an At-Risk Cohort.

Rationale: Relatives of patients with familial interstitial pneumonia (FIP) are at increased risk for pulmonary fibrosis and develop preclinical pulmonary fibrosis (PrePF). Objectives: We defined the incidence and progression of new-onset PrePF and its relationship to survival among first-degree relatives of families with FIP. Methods: This is a cohort study of family members with FIP who were initially screened with a health questionnaire and chest high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) scan, and approximately 4 years later, the evaluation was repeated. A total of 493 asymptomatic first-degree relatives of patients with FIP were evaluated at baseline, and 296 (60%) of the original subjects participated in the subsequent evaluation. Measurements and Main Results: The median interval between HRCTs was 3.9 years (interquartile range, 3.5-4.4 yr). A total of 252 subjects who agreed to repeat evaluation were originally determined not to have PrePF at baseline; 16 developed PrePF. A conservative estimate of the annual incidence of PrePF is 1,023 per 100,000 person-years (95% confidence interval, 511-1,831 per 100,000 person-years). Of 44 subjects with PrePF at baseline, 38.4% subjects had worsening dyspnea compared with 15.4% of those without PrePF (P = 0.002). Usual interstitial pneumonia by HRCT (P < 0.0002) and baseline quantitative fibrosis score (P < 0.001) are also associated with worsening dyspnea. PrePF at the initial screen is associated with decreased survival (P < 0.001). Conclusions: The incidence of PrePF in this at-risk population is at least 100-fold higher than that reported for sporadic idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Although PrePF and IPF represent distinct entities, our study demonstrates that PrePF, like IPF, is progressive and associated with decreased survival.

Resequencing Study Confirms That Host Defense and Cell Senescence Gene Variants Contribute to the Risk of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

Rationale: Several common and rare genetic variants have been associated with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, a progressive fibrotic condition that is localized to the lung. Objectives: To develop an integrated understanding of the rare and common variants located in multiple loci that have been reported to contribute to the risk of disease. Methods: We performed deep targeted resequencing (3.69 Mb of DNA) in cases (n = 3,624) and control subjects (n = 4,442) across genes and regions previously associated with disease. We tested for associations between disease and 1) individual common variants via logistic regression and 2) groups of rare variants via sequence kernel association tests. Measurements and Main Results: Statistically significant common variant association signals occurred in all 10 of the regions chosen based on genome-wide association studies. The strongest risk variant is the MUC5B promoter variant rs35705950, with an odds ratio of 5.45 (95% confidence interval, 4.91-6.06) for one copy of the risk allele and 18.68 (95% confidence interval, 13.34-26.17) for two copies of the risk allele (P = 9.60 × 10-295). In addition to identifying for the first time that rare variation in FAM13A is associated with disease, we confirmed the role of rare variation in the TERT and RTEL1 gene regions in the risk of IPF, and found that the FAM13A and TERT regions have independent common and rare variant signals. Conclusions: A limited number of common and rare variants contribute to the risk of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in each of the resequencing regions, and these genetic variants focus on biological mechanisms of host defense and cell senescence.

MUC5B variant is associated with visually and quantitatively detected preclinical pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Relatives of patients with familial interstitial pneumonia (FIP) are at increased risk for pulmonary fibrosis. We assessed the prevalence and risk factors for preclinical pulmonary fibrosis (PrePF) in first-degree relatives of patients with FIP and determined the utility of deep learning in detecting PrePF on CT. METHODS: First-degree relatives of patients with FIP over 40 years of age who believed themselves to be unaffected by pulmonary fibrosis underwent CT scans of the chest. Images were visually reviewed, and a deep learning algorithm was used to quantify lung fibrosis. Genotyping for common idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis risk variants in MUC5B and TERT was performed. FINDINGS: In 494 relatives of patients with FIP from 263 families of patients with FIP, the prevalence of PrePF on visual CT evaluation was 15.6% (95% CI 12.6 to 19.0). Compared with visual CT evaluation, deep learning quantitative CT analysis had 84% sensitivity (95% CI 0.72 to 0.89) and 86% sensitivity (95% CI 0.83 to 0.89) for discriminating subjects with visual PrePF diagnosis. Subjects with PrePF were older (65.9, SD 10.1 years) than subjects without fibrosis (55.8 SD 8.7 years), more likely to be male (49% vs 37%), more likely to have smoked (44% vs 27%) and more likely to have the MUC5B promoter variant rs35705950 (minor allele frequency 0.29 vs 0.21). MUC5B variant carriers had higher quantitative CT fibrosis scores (mean difference of 0.36%), a difference that remains significant when controlling for age and sex. INTERPRETATION: PrePF is common in relatives of patients with FIP. Its prevalence increases with age and the presence of a common MUC5B promoter variant. Quantitative CT analysis can detect these imaging abnormalities.

Desmoplakin Variants Are Associated with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

RATIONALE: Sequence variation, methylation differences, and transcriptional changes in desmoplakin (DSP) have been observed in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). OBJECTIVES: To identify novel variants in DSP associated with IPF and to characterize the relationship of these IPF sequence variants with DSP gene expression in human lung. METHODS: A chromosome 6 locus (7,370,061-7,606,946) was sequenced in 230 subjects with IPF and 228 control subjects. Validation genotyping of disease-associated variants was conducted in 936 subjects with IPF and 936 control subjects. DSP gene expression was measured in lung tissue from 334 subjects with IPF and 201 control subjects. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We identified 23 sequence variants in the chromosome 6 locus associated with IPF. Genotyping of selected variants in our validation cohort revealed that noncoding intron 1 variant rs2744371 (odds ratio = 0.77, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.66-0.91, P = 0.002) is protective for IPF, and a previously described IPF-associated intron 5 variant (rs2076295) is associated with increased risk of IPF (odds ratio = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.19-1.56, P < 0.001) after controlling for sex and age. DSP expression is 2.3-fold increased (95% CI = 1.91-2.71) in IPF lung tissue (P < 0.0001). Only the minor allele at rs2076295 is associated with decreased DSP expression (P = 0.001). Staining of fibrotic and normal human lung tissue localized DSP to airway epithelia. CONCLUSIONS: Sequence variants in DSP are associated with IPF, and rs2076295 genotype is associated with differential expression of DSP in the lung. DSP expression is increased in IPF lung and concentrated in the airway epithelia, suggesting a potential role for DSP in the pathogenesis of IPF.

MUC5B promoter polymorphism and interstitial lung abnormalities.

BACKGROUND: A common promoter polymorphism (rs35705950) in MUC5B, the gene encoding mucin 5B, is associated with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. It is not known whether this polymorphism is associated with interstitial lung disease in the general population. METHODS: We performed a blinded assessment of interstitial lung abnormalities detected in 2633 participants in the Framingham Heart Study by means of volumetric chest computed tomography (CT). We evaluated the relationship between the abnormalities and the genotype at the rs35705950 locus. RESULTS: Of the 2633 chest CT scans that were evaluated, interstitial lung abnormalities were present in 177 (7%). Participants with such abnormalities were more likely to have shortness of breath and chronic cough and reduced measures of total lung and diffusion capacity, as compared with participants without such abnormalities. After adjustment for covariates, for each copy of the minor rs35705950 allele, the odds of interstitial lung abnormalities were 2.8 times greater (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.0 to 3.9; P<0.001), and the odds of definite CT evidence of pulmonary fibrosis were 6.3 times greater (95% CI, 3.1 to 12.7; P<0.001). Although the evidence of an association between the MUC5B genotype and interstitial lung abnormalities was greater among participants who were older than 50 years of age, a history of cigarette smoking did not appear to influence the association. CONCLUSIONS: The MUC5B promoter polymorphism was found to be associated with interstitial lung disease in the general population. Although this association was more apparent in older persons, it did not appear to be influenced by cigarette smoking. (Funded by the National Institutes of Health and others; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00005121.).

Genome-wide imputation study identifies novel HLA locus for pulmonary fibrosis and potential role for auto-immunity in fibrotic idiopathic interstitial pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: Fibrotic idiopathic interstitial pneumonias (fIIP) are a group of fatal lung diseases with largely unknown etiology and without definitive treatment other than lung transplant to prolong life. There is strong evidence for the importance of both rare and common genetic risk alleles in familial and sporadic disease. We have previously used genome-wide single nucleotide polymorphism data to identify 10 risk loci for fIIP. Here we extend that work to imputed genome-wide genotypes and conduct new RNA sequencing studies of lung tissue to identify and characterize new fIIP risk loci. RESULTS: We performed genome-wide genotype imputation association analyses in 1616 non-Hispanic white (NHW) cases and 4683 NHW controls followed by validation and replication (878 cases, 2017 controls) genotyping and targeted gene expression in lung tissue. Following meta-analysis of the discovery and replication populations, we identified a novel fIIP locus in the HLA region of chromosome 6 (rs7887 P meta = 3.7 × 10(-09)). Imputation of classic HLA alleles identified two in high linkage disequilibrium that are associated with fIIP (DRB1*15:01 P = 1.3 × 10(-7) and DQB1*06:02 P = 6.1 × 10(-8)). Targeted RNA-sequencing of the HLA locus identified 21 genes differentially expressed between fibrotic and control lung tissue (Q < 0.001), many of which are involved in immune and inflammatory response regulation. In addition, the putative risk alleles, DRB1*15:01 and DQB1*06:02, are associated with expression of the DQB1 gene among fIIP cases (Q < 1 × 10(-16)). CONCLUSIONS: We have identified a genome-wide significant association between the HLA region and fIIP. Two HLA alleles are associated with fIIP and affect expression of HLA genes in lung tissue, indicating that the potential genetic risk due to HLA alleles may involve gene regulation in addition to altered protein structure. These studies reveal the importance of the HLA region for risk of fIIP and a basis for the potential etiologic role of auto-immunity in fIIP.

Extensive phenotyping of individuals at risk for familial interstitial pneumonia reveals clues to the pathogenesis of interstitial lung disease.

RATIONALE: Asymptomatic relatives of patients with familial interstitial pneumonia (FIP), the inherited form of idiopathic interstitial pneumonia, carry increased risk for developing interstitial lung disease. OBJECTIVES: Studying these at-risk individuals provides a unique opportunity to investigate early stages of FIP pathogenesis and develop predictive models of disease onset. METHODS: Seventy-five asymptomatic first-degree relatives of FIP patients (mean age, 50.8 yr) underwent blood sampling and high-resolution chest computed tomography (HRCT) scanning in an ongoing cohort study; 72 consented to bronchoscopy with bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) and transbronchial biopsies. Twenty-seven healthy individuals were used as control subjects. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Eleven of 75 at-risk subjects (14%) had evidence of interstitial changes by HRCT, whereas 35.2% had abnormalities on transbronchial biopsies. No differences were noted in inflammatory cells in BAL between at-risk individuals and control subjects. At-risk subjects had increased herpesvirus DNA in cell-free BAL and evidence of herpesvirus antigen expression in alveolar epithelial cells (AECs), which correlated with expression of endoplasmic reticulum stress markers in AECs. Peripheral blood mononuclear cell and AEC telomere length were shorter in at-risk individuals than healthy control subjects. The minor allele frequency of the Muc5B rs35705950 promoter polymorphism was increased in at-risk subjects. Levels of several plasma biomarkers differed between at-risk subjects and control subjects, and correlated with abnormal HRCT scans. CONCLUSIONS: Evidence of lung parenchymal remodeling and epithelial dysfunction was identified in asymptomatic individuals at risk for FIP. Together, these findings offer new insights into the early pathogenesis of idiopathic interstitial pneumonia and provide an ongoing opportunity to characterize presymptomatic abnormalities that predict progression to clinical disease.

Rare variants in RTEL1 are associated with familial interstitial pneumonia.

RATIONALE: Up to 20% of cases of idiopathic interstitial pneumonia cluster in families, comprising the syndrome of familial interstitial pneumonia (FIP); however, the genetic basis of FIP remains uncertain in most families. OBJECTIVES: To determine if new disease-causing rare genetic variants could be identified using whole-exome sequencing of affected members from FIP families, providing additional insights into disease pathogenesis. METHODS: Affected subjects from 25 kindreds were selected from an ongoing FIP registry for whole-exome sequencing from genomic DNA. Candidate rare variants were confirmed by Sanger sequencing, and cosegregation analysis was performed in families, followed by additional sequencing of affected individuals from another 163 kindreds. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We identified a potentially damaging rare variant in the gene encoding for regulator of telomere elongation helicase 1 (RTEL1) that segregated with disease and was associated with very short telomeres in peripheral blood mononuclear cells in 1 of 25 families in our original whole-exome sequencing cohort. Evaluation of affected individuals in 163 additional kindreds revealed another eight families (4.7%) with heterozygous rare variants in RTEL1 that segregated with clinical FIP. Probands and unaffected carriers of these rare variants had short telomeres (<10% for age) in peripheral blood mononuclear cells and increased T-circle formation, suggesting impaired RTEL1 function. CONCLUSIONS: Rare loss-of-function variants in RTEL1 represent a newly defined genetic predisposition for FIP, supporting the importance of telomere-related pathways in pulmonary fibrosis.

Relationship between gene expression and lung function in Idiopathic Interstitial Pneumonias.

BACKGROUND: Idiopathic interstitial pneumonias (IIPs) are a group of heterogeneous, somewhat unpredictable diseases characterized by progressive scarring of the interstitium. Since lung function is a key determinant of survival, we reasoned that the transcriptional profile in IIP lung tissue would be associated with measures of lung function, and could enhance prognostic approaches to IIPs. RESULTS: Using gene expression profiling of 167 lung tissue specimens with IIP diagnosis and 50 control lungs, we identified genes whose expression is associated with changes in lung function (% predicted FVC and % predicted DLCO) modeled as categorical (severe vs mild disease) or continuous variables while adjusting for smoking status and IIP subtype; false discovery rate (FDR) approach was used to correct for multiple comparisons. This analysis identified 58 transcripts that are associated with mild vs severe disease (categorical analysis), including those with established role in fibrosis (ADAMTS4, ADAMTS9, AGER, HIF-1α, SERPINA3, SERPINE2, and SELE) as well as novel IIP candidate genes such as rhotekin 2 (RTKN2) and peptidase inhibitor 15 (PI15). Protein-protein interactome analysis of 553 genes whose expression is significantly associated with lung function when modeled as continuous variables demonstrates that more severe presentation of IIPs is characterized by an increase in cell cycle progression and apoptosis, increased hypoxia, and dampened innate immune response. Our findings were validated in an independent cohort of 131 IIPs and 40 controls at the mRNA level and for one gene (RTKN2) at the protein level by immunohistochemistry in a subset of samples. CONCLUSIONS: We identified commonalities and differences in gene expression among different subtypes of IIPs. Disease progression, as characterized by lower measures of FVC and DLCO, results in marked changes in expression of novel and established genes and pathways involved in IIPs. These genes and pathways represent strong candidates for biomarker studies and potential therapeutic targets for IIP severity.

Molecular mechanisms in progressive idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

There is clear evidence that environmental exposures and genetic predisposition contribute to the pathogenesis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Cigarette smoking increases the risk of developing IPF several-fold, as do other exposures such as metal-fume and wood-dust exposure. Occupations that increase the risk of IPF are agricultural work, hairdressing, and stone polishing, supporting the role of environmental exposure in disease pathogenesis. Genetic predisposition to IPF is evident from its familial aggregation and the fact that pulmonary fibrosis develops in several rare genetic disorders. Mutations in surfactant proteins lead to pulmonary fibrosis and are associated with endoplasmic reticulum stress in alveolar type II epithelial cells. Mutations in telomerase have been found in several families with IPF, and shortened telomeres are found in sporadic cases of IPF. A common variant in mucin 5B predisposes to both familial and sporadic IPF and is present in the majority of cases, indicating sporadic IPF occurs in those with genetic predisposition.

Familial and sporadic idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: making the diagnosis from peripheral blood.

BACKGROUND: Peripheral blood biomarkers might improve diagnostic accuracy for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). RESULTS: Gene expression profiles were obtained from 89 patients with IPF and 26 normal controls. Samples were stratified according to severity of disease based on pulmonary function. The stratified dataset was split into subsets; two-thirds of the samples were selected to comprise the training set, while one-third was reserved for the validation set. Bayesian probit regression was used on the training set to develop a gene expression model for IPF versus normal. The gene expression model was tested by using it on the validation set to perform class prediction. Unsupervised clustering failed to discriminate between samples of different severity. Therefore, samples of all severities were included in the training and validation sets, in equal proportions. A gene signature model was developed from the training set. The model was built in an iterative fashion with the number of gene features selected to minimize the misclassification error in cross validation. The final model was based on the top 108 discriminating genes in the training set. The signature was successfully applied to the validation set, ROC area under the curve = 0.893, p < 0.0001. Using the optimal threshold (0.74) accurate class predictions were made for 77% of the test cases with sensitivity = 0.70, specificity = 1.00. CONCLUSIONS: By using Bayesian probit regression to develop a model, we show that it is entirely possible to make a diagnosis of IPF from the peripheral blood with gene signatures.

A common MUC5B promoter polymorphism and pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: The mutations that have been implicated in pulmonary fibrosis account for only a small proportion of the population risk. METHODS: Using a genomewide linkage scan, we detected linkage between idiopathic interstitial pneumonia and a 3.4-Mb region of chromosome 11p15 in 82 families. We then evaluated genetic variation in this region in gel-forming mucin genes expressed in the lung among 83 subjects with familial interstitial pneumonia, 492 subjects with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, and 322 controls. MUC5B expression was assessed in lung tissue. RESULTS: Linkage and fine mapping were used to identify a region of interest on the p-terminus of chromosome 11 that included gel-forming mucin genes. The minor-allele of the single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) rs35705950, located 3 kb upstream of the MUC5B transcription start site, was present at a frequency of 34% among subjects with familial interstitial pneumonia, 38% among subjects with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, and 9% among controls (allelic association with familial interstitial pneumonia, P=1.2×10(-15); allelic association with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, P=2.5×10(-37)). The odds ratios for disease among subjects who were heterozygous and those who were homozygous for the minor allele of this SNP were 6.8 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.9 to 12.0) and 20.8 (95% CI, 3.8 to 113.7), respectively, for familial interstitial pneumonia and 9.0 (95% CI, 6.2 to 13.1) and 21.8 (95% CI, 5.1 to 93.5), respectively, for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. MUC5B expression in the lung was 14.1 times as high in subjects who had idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis as in those who did not (P<0.001). The variant allele of rs35705950 was associated with up-regulation in MUC5B expression in the lung in unaffected subjects (expression was 37.4 times as high as in unaffected subjects homozygous for the wild-type allele, P<0.001). MUC5B protein was expressed in lesions of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS: A common polymorphism in the promoter of MUC5B is associated with familial interstitial pneumonia and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Our findings suggest that dysregulated MUC5B expression in the lung may be involved in the pathogenesis of pulmonary fibrosis. (Funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute and others.).

Association between the MUC5B promoter polymorphism and survival in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

IMPORTANCE: Current prediction models of mortality in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), which are based on clinical and physiological parameters, have modest value in predicting which patients will progress. In addition to the potential for improving prognostic models, identifying genetic and molecular features that are associated with IPF mortality may provide insight into the underlying mechanisms of disease and inform clinical trials. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the MUC5B promoter polymorphism (rs35705950), previously reported to be associated with the development of pulmonary fibrosis, is associated with survival in IPF. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Retrospective study of survival in 2 independent cohorts of patients with IPF: the INSPIRE cohort, consisting of patients enrolled in the interferon-γ1b trial (n = 438; December 15, 2003-May 2, 2009; 81 centers in 7 European countries, the United States, and Canada), and the Chicago cohort, consisting of IPF participants recruited from the Interstitial Lung Disease Clinic at the University of Chicago (n = 148; 2007-2010). The INSPIRE cohort was used to model the association of the MUC5B genotype with survival, accounting for the effect of matrix metalloproteinase 7 (MMP-7) blood concentration and other demographic and clinical covariates. The Chicago cohort was used for replication of findings. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary end point was all-cause mortality. RESULTS: The numbers of patients in the GG, GT, and TT genotype groups were 148 (34%), 259 (59%), and 31 (7%), respectively, in the INSPIRE cohort and 41 (28%), 98 (66%), and 9 (6%), respectively, in the Chicago cohort. The median follow-up period was 1.6 years for INSPIRE and 2.1 years for Chicago. During follow-up, there were 73 deaths (36 GG, 35 GT, and 2 TT) among INSPIRE patients and 64 deaths (26 GG, 36 GT, and 2 TT) among Chicago patients. The unadjusted 2-year cumulative incidence of death was lower among patients carrying 1 or more copies of the IPF risk allele (T) in both the INSPIRE cohort (0.25 [95% CI, 0.17-0.32] for GG, 0.17 [95% CI, 0.11-0.23] for GT, and 0.03 [95% CI, 0.00-0.09] for TT) and the Chicago cohort (0.50 [95% CI, 0.31-0.63] for GG, 0.22 [95% CI, 0.13-0.31] for GT, and 0.11 [95% CI, 0.00-0.28] for TT). In the INSPIRE cohort, the TT and GT genotypes (risk for IPF) were associated with improved survival compared with GG (hazard ratios, 0.23 [95% CI, 0.10-0.52] and 0.48 [95% CI, 0.31-0.72], respectively; P < .001). This finding was replicated in the Chicago cohort (hazard ratios, 0.15 [95% CI, 0.05-0.49] and 0.39 [95% CI, 0.21-0.70], respectively; P < .002). The observed association of MUC5B with survival was independent of age, sex, forced vital capacity, diffusing capacity of carbon monoxide, MMP-7, and treatment status. The addition of the MUC5B genotype to the survival models significantly improved the predictive accuracy of the model in both the INSPIRE cohort (C = 0.71 [95% CI, 0.64-0.75] vs C = 0.68 [95% CI, 0.61-0.73]; P < .001) and the Chicago cohort (C = 0.73 [95% CI, 0.62-0.78] vs C = 0.69 [95% CI, 0.59-0.75]; P = .01). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Among patients with IPF, a common risk polymorphism in MUC5B was significantly associated with improved survival. Further research is necessary to refine the risk estimates and to determine the clinical implications of these findings.

Use of a molecular classifier to identify usual interstitial pneumonia in conventional transbronchial lung biopsy samples: a prospective validation study.

BACKGROUND: In the appropriate clinical setting, the diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) requires a pattern of usual interstitial pneumonia to be present on high-resolution chest CT (HRCT) or surgical lung biopsy. A molecular usual interstitial pneumonia signature can be identified by a machine learning algorithm in less-invasive transbronchial lung biopsy samples. We report prospective findings for the clinical validity and utility of this molecular test. METHODS: We prospectively recruited 237 patients for this study from those enrolled in the Bronchial Sample Collection for a Novel Genomic Test (BRAVE) study in 29 US and European sites. Patients were undergoing evaluation for interstitial lung disease and had had samples obtained by clinically indicated surgical or transbronchial biopsy or cryobiopsy for pathology. Histopathological diagnoses were made by experienced pathologists. Available HRCT scans were reviewed centrally. Three to five transbronchial lung biopsy samples were collected from all patients specifically for this study, pooled by patient, and extracted for transcriptomic sequencing. After exclusions, diagnostic histopathology and RNA sequence data from 90 patients were used to train a machine learning algorithm (Envisia Genomic Classifier, Veracyte, San Francisco, CA, USA) to identify a usual interstitial pneumonia pattern. The primary study endpoint was validation of the classifier in 49 patients by comparison with diagnostic histopathology. To assess clinical utility, we compared the agreement and confidence level of diagnosis made by central multidisciplinary teams based on anonymised clinical information and radiology results plus either molecular classifier or histopathology results. FINDINGS: The classifier identified usual interstitial pneumonia in transbronchial lung biopsy samples from 49 patients with 88% specificity (95% CI 70-98) and 70% sensitivity (47-87). Among 42 of these patients who had possible or inconsistent usual interstitial pneumonia on HRCT, the classifier showed 81% positive predictive value (95% CI 54-96) for underlying biopsy-proven usual interstitial pneumonia. In the clinical utility analysis, we found 86% agreement (95% CI 78-92) between clinical diagnoses using classifier results and those using histopathology data. Diagnostic confidence was improved by the molecular classifier results compared with histopathology results in 18 with IPF diagnoses (proportion of diagnoses that were confident or provisional with high confidence 89% vs 56%, p=0·0339) and in all 48 patients with non-diagnostic pathology or non-classifiable fibrosis histopathology (63% vs 42%, p=0·0412). INTERPRETATION: The molecular test provided an objective method to aid clinicians and multidisciplinary teams in ascertaining a diagnosis of IPF, particularly for patients without a clear radiological diagnosis, in samples that can be obtained by a less invasive method. Further prospective clinical validation and utility studies are planned. FUNDING: Veracyte.

Pulmonary fibrosis: thinking outside of the lung.

Pulmonary fibrosis is a devastating condition that leads to progressive lung destruction and scarring. Previous mechanistic research has focused on the local fibroproliferative process in the lung. However, emerging evidence suggests that circulating cells of hematopoietic origin play a crucial role in the pathogenesis of this disease.

Genetic predisposition to respiratory diseases: infiltrative lung diseases.

The availability of high-throughput genotyping and large collaborative clinical networks creating well-characterized patient populations with DNA repositories has facilitated genome-wide scans and candidate gene studies to identify susceptibility alleles for the development of interstitial lung disease. The association of pulmonary fibrosis with rare inherited disorders, and the variable susceptibility of inbred mouse strains to this disease indicate that pulmonary fibrosis is determined by genetic factors. Sarcoidosis represents a complex disease with racial and ethnic differences in disease prevalence, and evidence of familial clustering. Familial aggregation of sarcoidosis from 'A Case-Control Etiologic Study of Sarcoidosis' (ACCESS) reveals a familial odds ratio (OR) of sarcoidosis of 5.8 (95% CI 2.1-15.9) for sibs and 3.8 (95% CI 1.2-11.3) for parents. Several HLA class II alleles have been associated with either increased or decreased risk of sarcoidosis, and results vary depending on study populations of different ethnicity. Genome-wide screening has conclusively identified linkage to chromosome 5q11and the development of sarcoidosis, and HLA genes and BTNL2 are susceptibility genes located in this region. Familial aggregation of idiopathic interstitial pneumonia (IIP) has been established by several groups, and a large US-based study suggests autosomal dominant inheritance with reduced penetrance; furthermore, cigarette smoking was associated with affection status among siblings (OR = 3.6, 95% CI 1.3-9.8, p = 0.01). Families demonstrate more than one type of IIP, suggesting various subtypes of IIP may share a common pathogenesis. Genome-wide linkage scans in familial interstitial pneumonia demonstrate linkage to chromosomes 4, 5 and 11. Candidate gene studies indicate that surfactant protein C and telomerase are susceptibility genes for the development of pulmonary fibrosis. Future challenges include determining how multiple susceptibility alleles interact with each other and environmental factors resulting in disease risk and multiple phenotypes, and determining the mechanism of action and cellular pathways involving susceptibility alleles. Further insight into these areas may lead to new therapeutic interventions.

Usual Interstitial Pneumonia Can Be Detected in Transbronchial Biopsies Using Machine Learning.

RATIONALE: Usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) is the histopathologic hallmark of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Although UIP can be detected by high-resolution computed tomography of the chest, the results are frequently inconclusive, and pathology from transbronchial biopsy (TBB) has poor sensitivity. Surgical lung biopsy may be necessary for a definitive diagnosis. OBJECTIVES: To develop a genomic classifier in tissue obtained by TBB that distinguishes UIP from non-UIP, trained against central pathology as the reference standard. METHODS: Exome enriched RNA sequencing was performed on 283 TBBs from 84 subjects. Machine learning was used to train an algorithm with high rule-in (specificity) performance using specimens from 53 subjects. Performance was evaluated by cross-validation and on an independent test set of specimens from 31 subjects. We explored the feasibility of a single molecular test per subject by combining multiple TBBs from upper and lower lobes. To address whether classifier accuracy depends upon adequate alveolar sampling, we tested for correlation between classifier accuracy and expression of alveolar-specific genes. RESULTS: The top-performing algorithm distinguishes UIP from non-UIP conditions in single TBB samples with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.86, with specificity of 86% (confidence interval = 71-95%) and sensitivity of 63% (confidence interval = 51-74%) (31 test subjects). Performance improves to an AUC of 0.92 when three to five TBB samples per subject are combined at the RNA level for testing. Although we observed a wide range of type I and II alveolar-specific gene expression in TBBs, expression of these transcripts did not correlate with classifier accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate proof of principle that genomic analysis and machine learning improves the utility of TBB for the diagnosis of UIP, with greater sensitivity and specificity than pathology in TBB alone. Combining multiple individual subject samples results in increased test accuracy over single sample testing. This approach requires validation in an independent cohort of subjects before application in the clinic.

Successful bilateral lung transplant outcomes in recipients 61 years of age and older.

BACKGROUND: Controversy exists regarding the optimal use of bilateral lung transplant (BLT) in older recipients in diseases where either single or bilateral transplant is appropriate. International Society for Heart and Lung Transplant (ISHLT) guidelines suggest an upper age limit of 60 for BLT, despite limited data regarding outcomes with BLT in patients over 60. We hypothesize that BLT offers comparable, if not superior, clinical outcomes to SLT in all patients independent of recipient age. METHODS: In order to test our hypothesis, we conducted a case-control study to compare the effect of transplant operation on survival and the onset of bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome (BOS) in consecutive lung transplant recipients 61 years of age or older using Kaplan- Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: We identified 107 consecutive lung transplant recipients 61 or older at the time of transplant. Patients received SLT (n=46) or BLT (n=61) based on donor organ availability. Comparable survival was achieved with BLT in older patients vs. SLT P=0.19). One-, two-, and five-year survival estimates in BLT were 82%, 75% and 68%, respectively, vs. in SLT 78%, 70% and 44%, respectively. A comparable onset of BOS was also observed in the patients who received BLT vs. SLT (P=0.23). CONCLUSION: Successful short- and medium-term outcomes are achieved with BLT in older recipients and are comparable to those achieved with SLT. Our results suggest that age over 60 should not exclude patients from consideration of BLT.

Pathologic correlates of bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome in pulmonary retransplant recipients.

RATIONALE: The main hindrance to long-term success of lung transplantation is bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome (BOS), generally thought to be a manifestation of chronic allograft rejection. BOS is associated histologically with epithelial injury, bronchocentric mononuclear inflammation, and fibrosis of small airways known as bronchiolitis obliterans (BO). Few studies have directly compared clinical, radiographic, and histologic findings of BOS and BO, particularly in the era of improved immunosuppression and infection prophylaxis. Patients undergoing pulmonary retransplantation for BOS provide a unique opportunity to investigate these relationships. METHODS: All patients who underwent pulmonary retransplantation for BOS from 1992 to 2004 at Duke University Medical Center were reviewed. Pathology findings in explanted lung allografts were compared with clinical, radiographic, and transbronchial biopsy data. RESULTS: Over the 12-year study period, 12 patients underwent pulmonary retransplantation for BOS. The median time to BOS was 517 days (intraquartile range, 396 to 819.8 days). BOS scores prior to retransplantation were 2 in 2 patients and 3 in 10 patients. We developed a semiquantitative scoring system for epithelial, inflammatory, and fibrotic changes in affected airways to permit better comparison between BO and BOS. Somewhat surprisingly, only 50% (6 of 12 patients) had severe fibrotic changes, although all had some degree of epithelial injury, fibrosis, or inflammation centered around the bronchi and bronchioles. Furthermore, pathology findings other than BO were present in most explanted allografts and included cholesterol clefts (n = 4), focal invasive aspergillosis (n = 1), interstitial fibrosis (n = 2), and chronic vascular rejection (n = 1). CONCLUSIONS: In this series of patients with advanced BOS undergoing retransplantation, at least some degree of BO was present in all explanted allografts. However, the degree of epithelial changes, fibrosis, and inflammation present among affected bronchi varied considerably. Furthermore, a wide range of pathologic processes of potential clinical significance were evident in half of the patients. We conclude that significant histologic heterogeneity exists among patients undergoing retransplantation for BOS, potentially contributing to the variability of patient responses to treatment.