Childhood Immunization and Competing Mortality Risks in Kenya: A Longitudinal Analysis for Multiparous Mothers.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the relationship between childhood immunization and mortality risks for nonvaccine-preventable diseases (competing mortality risks, or CMR) in Kenya. STUDY DESIGN: A combination of the Global Burden of Disease and Demographic Health Survey data was used to measure basic vaccination status, CMR, and control variables for each child in the Demographic Health Survey data. A longitudinal analysis was performed. This uses within-mother variation between children to compare the vaccine decisions for different children, who are exposed to different mortality risks. The analysis also distinguishes between overall and disease-specific risks. RESULTS: The study included 15 881 children born between 2009 and 2013, who were at least 12 months old at the time of interview and not part of a twin birth. Mean basic vaccination rates ranged from 27.1% to 90.2% and mean CMR from 13.00 to 738.32 deaths per 100 000 across different counties. A one-unit increase in mortality risk from diarrhea, the most prevalent disease among children in Kenya, is associated with a 1.1 percentage point decline in basic vaccination status. In contrast, mortality risks for other diseases and HIV increase the likelihood of vaccination. The effect of CMR was found to be stronger for children with higher birth orders. CONCLUSIONS: A significant negative correlation between severe CMR and vaccination status was found, which has important implications for immunization policies, particularly in Kenya. Interventions aimed at reducing the most severe CMR, such as diarrhea, and targeted toward multiparous mothers may improve childhood immunization coverage.

Surgeon supply and healthcare quality: Are revision rates for hip and knee replacements lower in hospitals that employ more surgeons?

We study the link between department-wide surgeon supply and quality of care for two major elective medical procedures. Several countries have adopted policies to concentrate medical procedures in high-volume hospitals. While higher patient volumes might translate to higher quality, we provide evidence for a positive relationship between surgeon supply and hospital revision rates for hip and knee replacement surgery. Hence, hospital performance decreases with higher surgeon supply, and this finding holds conditional on patient volumes.

The relative importance and stability of disease burden causes over time: summarizing regional trends on disease burden for 290 causes over 28 years.

BACKGROUND: Since the Global Burden of Disease study (GBD) has become more comprehensive, data for hundreds of causes of disease burden, measured using Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), have become increasingly available for almost every part of the world. However, undergoing any systematic comparative analysis of the trends can be challenging given the quantity of data that must be presented. METHODS: We use the GBD data to describe trends in cause-specific DALY rates for eight regions. We quantify the extent to which the importance of 'major' DALY causes changes relative to 'minor' DALY causes over time by decomposing changes in the Gini coefficient into 'proportionality' and 'reranking' indices. RESULTS: The fall in regional DALY rates since 1990 has been accompanied by generally positive proportionality indices and reranking indices of negligible magnitude. However, the rate at which DALY rates have been falling has slowed and, at the same time, proportionality indices have tended towards zero. These findings are clearest where the focus is exclusively upon non-communicable diseases. Notably, large and positive proportionality indices are recorded for sub-Saharan Africa over the last decade. CONCLUSION: The positive proportionality indices show that disease burden has become less concentrated around the leading causes over time, and this trend has become less prominent as the DALY rate decline has slowed. The recent decline in disease burden in sub-Saharan Africa is disproportionally driven by improvements in DALY rates for HIV/AIDS, as well as for malaria, diarrheal diseases, and lower respiratory infections.

Learning from failure in healthcare: Dynamic panel evidence of a physician shock effect.

Procedural failures of physicians or teams in interventional healthcare may positively or negatively predict subsequent patient outcomes. We identify this effect by applying (non)linear dynamic panel methods to data from the Belgian transcatheter aorta valve implantation registry containing information on the first 860 transcatheter aorta valve implantation procedures in Belgium. We find that a previous death of a patient positively and significantly predicts subsequent survival of the succeeding patient. We find that these learning from failure effects are not long-lived and that learning from failure is transmitted across adverse events.

Does my high blood pressure improve your survival? Overall and subgroup learning curves in health.

Learning curves in health are of interest for a wide range of medical disciplines, healthcare providers, and policy makers. In this paper, we distinguish between three types of learning when identifying overall learning curves: economies of scale, learning from cumulative experience, and human capital depreciation. In addition, we approach the question of how treating more patients with specific characteristics predicts provider performance. To soften collinearity problems, we explore the use of least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression as a variable selection method and Theil-Goldberger mixed estimation to augment the available information. We use data from the Belgian Transcatheter Aorta Valve Implantation (TAVI) registry, containing information on the first 860 TAVI procedures in Belgium. We find that treating an additional TAVI patient is associated with an increase in the probability of 2-year survival by about 0.16%-points. For adverse events like renal failure and stroke, we find that an extra day between procedures is associated with an increase in the probability for these events by 0.12%-points and 0.07%-points, respectively. Furthermore, we find evidence for positive learning effects from physicians' experience with defibrillation, treating patients with hypertension, and the use of certain types of replacement valves during the TAVI procedure.

Distributionally sensitive measurement and valuation of population health.

We introduce a measure of population health that is sensitive to inequality in both age-specific health and lifespan and can be calculated from a health-extended period life table. By allowing for inequality aversion, the measure generalises health-adjusted life expectancy without requiring more data. A transformation of change in the (life-years) measure gives a distributionally sensitive monetary valuation of change in population health and disease burden. Application to Sub-Saharan Africa between 1990 and 2019 reveals that the change in population health is sensitive to allowing for lifespan inequality but is less sensitive to age-specific health inequality. Allowing for distributional sensitivity changes relative burdens of diseases, reduces convergence between the burdens of communicable and non-communicable diseases, and so could influence disease prioritisation. It increases the value of health improvements relative to GDP.

Hospitalization costs ofTAVI in one Belgian university hospital.

OBJECTIVE: Considering the sizeable cost of transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) and conflicting cost-effectiveness studies, it is useful to gain more insight into the cost structure of the TAVI hospitalization. This study provides such a cost analysis and starts to evaluate options to soften the hospitalization cost burden in order to make TAVI economically more feasible. METHODS: Costs forTAVI hospitalization in the University Hospital of Antwerp were analysed uni- and bivariately. Graphical and numerical displays of the data are supplemented with the non-parametric Wilcoxon rank sum statistic and Spearman rank rho correlation. RESULTS: Overall, 47 percent of the cost could be attributed to the implanted valve and 21 percent was accounted for by the room costs. Further, costs seemed highly insensitive to pre-existing patient characteristics. Only patients with pulmonary hypertension were characterized with systematically higher costs (Wilcoxon rank sum P-value of 0.049). Complications related to TAVI had a significant upward impact on the costs and there was also evidence for a learning effect on total costs. CONCLUSIONS: In general the analyses showed that only limited options remain for cost reduction of the TAVI hospitalization cost. The most promising option is the reduction of the valve price. Avoidance of complications is hard to achieve given the current state of the art although this would significantly reduce overall costs.

Does price deregulation in a competitive hospital market damage quality?

Regulators may be hesitant to permit price competition in healthcare markets because of its potential to damage quality. We assess whether this fear is well founded by examining a reform that permitted Dutch health insurers to freely negotiate prices with hospitals. Unlike previous research on hospital competition that has relied on quality indicators for urgent treatments, we take advantage of a plausible absence of selection bias to identify the effect on the quality of elective procedures that should be more price responsive. Using data on all admissions for hip replacements to Dutch hospitals and a difference-in-differences comparison between more and less concentrated markets, we find no evidence that price deregulation in a competitive environment reduces quality measured by hip replacement readmission rates.