Urinary tract infections trigger synucleinopathy via the innate immune response.

Symptoms in the urogenital organs are common in multiple system atrophy (MSA), also in the years preceding the MSA diagnosis. It is unknown how MSA is triggered and these observations in prodromal MSA led us to hypothesize that synucleinopathy could be triggered by infection of the genitourinary tract causing ɑ-synuclein (ɑSyn) to aggregate in peripheral nerves innervating these organs. As a first proof that peripheral infections could act as a trigger in MSA, this study focused on lower urinary tract infections (UTIs), given the relevance and high frequency of UTIs in prodromal MSA, although other types of infection might also be important triggers of MSA. We performed an epidemiological nested-case control study in the Danish population showing that UTIs are associated with future diagnosis of MSA several years after infection and that it impacts risk in both men and women. Bacterial infection of the urinary bladder triggers synucleinopathy in mice and we propose a novel role of ɑSyn in the innate immune system response to bacteria. Urinary tract infection with uropathogenic E. coli results in the de novo aggregation of ɑSyn during neutrophil infiltration. During the infection, ɑSyn is released extracellularly from neutrophils as part of their extracellular traps. Injection of MSA aggregates into the urinary bladder leads to motor deficits and propagation of ɑSyn pathology to the central nervous system in mice overexpressing oligodendroglial ɑSyn. Repeated UTIs lead to progressive development of synucleinopathy with oligodendroglial involvement in vivo. Our results link bacterial infections with synucleinopathy and show that a host response to environmental triggers can result in ɑSyn pathology that bears semblance to MSA.

Inflammatory Bowel Diseases Increase Risk of Type 2 Diabetes in a Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The intestine regulates glucose homeostasis, but it is not clear whether chronic intestinal inflammation affects risk for type 2 diabetes. We investigated the long-term risk of type 2 diabetes in patients with inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) in a nationwide cohort study in Denmark. METHODS: In a nationwide population-based cohort of 6,028,844 persons in Denmark, we compared data from individuals with a diagnosis of IBD (Crohn's disease [CD] or ulcerative colitis UC]) with data from individuals from the general population from 1977 through 2014. Persons with type 2 diabetes were identified in the National Patient Register. Risk is presented as standardized incidence ratios (SIR) with 95% CIs. RESULTS: During 736,072 person-years of follow-up, 3436 patients with IBD developed type 2 diabetes vs 2224 expected (SIR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.49-1.60). The risk was significantly increased in patients with UC (SIR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.48-1.60), in patients with CD (SIR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.47-1.67), in women (SIR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.44-1.59), and in men (SIR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.50-1.65). The risk was highest the first year after a diagnosis of IBD (SIR, 4.48; 95% CI, 4.16-4.83), but remained increased for 20 or more years following the diagnosis (SIR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.16-1.38). The increased risk could not be accounted for by frequency of health care contacts or corticosteroid exposure. Patients who received a diagnosis of IBD from 2003 through 2014 (SIR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.67-1.91) had a significantly higher risk of type 2 diabetes than patients who received a diagnosis of IBD from 1977 through 1988 (SIR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.39-1.56) or 1989 through 2002 (SIR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.41-1.56) (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: In a population-based cohort study, we found an increased risk of type 2 diabetes in patients with UC or CD, with highest risk estimates from 2003 through 2014, compared with earlier years. Studies are needed to determine the effects of IBD treatment on risk of type 2 diabetes.

Inflammatory bowel disease increases the risk of Parkinson's disease: a Danish nationwide cohort study 1977-2014.

OBJECTIVE: Intestinal inflammation has been suggested to play a role in development of Parkinson's disease (PD) and multiple system atrophy (MSA). To test the hypothesis that IBD is associated with risk of PD and MSA, we performed a nationwide population-based cohort study. DESIGN: The cohort consisted of all individuals diagnosed with IBD in Denmark during 1977-2014 (n=76 477) and non-IBD individuals from the general population, who were comparable in terms of gender, age and vital status (n=7 548 259). All cohort members were followed from IBD diagnosis/index date to occurrence of PD and MSA (according to the Danish National Patient Register). RESULTS: Patients with IBD had a 22% increased risk of PD as compared with non-IBD individuals (HR=1.22; 95% CI 1.09 to 1.35). The increased risk was present independently of age at IBD diagnosis, gender or length of follow-up. The overall incidence of MSA was low in our study, and the regression analysis suggested a tendency towards higher risk of developing MSA in patients with IBD as compared with non-IBD individuals (HR=1.41; 95% CI 0.82 to 2.44). Estimates were similar for women and men. The increased risk of parkinsonism was significantly higher among patients with UC (HR=1.35; 95% CI 1.20 to 1.52) and not significantly different among patients with Crohn's disease (HR=1.12; 95% CI 0.89 to 1.40). CONCLUSIONS: This nationwide, unselected, cohort study shows a significant association between IBD and later occurrence of PD, which is consistent with recent basic scientific findings of a potential role of GI inflammation in development of parkinsonian disorders.

Acute patients discharged without an established diagnosis: risk of mortality and readmission of nonspecific diagnoses compared to disease-specific diagnoses.

BACKGROUND: Nonspecific discharge diagnoses after acute hospital courses represent patients discharged without an established cause of their complaints. These patients should have a low risk of adverse outcomes as serious conditions should have been ruled out. We aimed to investigate the mortality and readmissions following nonspecific discharge diagnoses compared to disease-specific diagnoses and assessed different nonspecific subgroups. METHODS: Register-based cohort study including hospital courses beginning in emergency departments across 3 regions of Denmark during March 2019-February 2020. We identified nonspecific diagnoses from the R- and Z03-chapter in the ICD-10 classification and excluded injuries, among others-remaining diagnoses were considered disease-specific. Outcomes were 30-day mortality and readmission, the groups were compared by Cox regression hazard ratios (HR), unadjusted and adjusted for socioeconomics, comorbidity, administrative information and laboratory results. We stratified into short (3-<12 h) or lengthier (12-168 h) hospital courses. RESULTS: We included 192,185 hospital courses where nonspecific discharge diagnoses accounted for 50.7% of short and 25.9% of lengthier discharges. The cumulative risk of mortality for nonspecific vs. disease-specific discharge diagnoses was 0.6% (0.6-0.7%) vs. 0.8% (0.7-0.9%) after short and 1.6% (1.5-1.7%) vs. 2.6% (2.5-2.7%) after lengthier courses with adjusted HRs of 0.97 (0.83-1.13) and 0.94 (0.85-1.05), respectively. The cumulative risk of readmission for nonspecific vs. disease-specific discharge diagnoses was 7.3% (7.1-7.5%) vs. 8.4% (8.2-8.6%) after short and 11.1% (10.8-11.5%) vs. 13.7% (13.4-13.9%) after lengthier courses with adjusted HRs of 0.94 (0.90-0.98) and 0.95 (0.91-0.99), respectively. We identified 50 clinical subgroups of nonspecific diagnoses, of which Abdominal pain (n = 12,462; 17.1%) and Chest pain (n = 9,599; 13.1%) were the most frequent. The subgroups described differences in characteristics with mean age 41.9 to 80.8 years and mean length of stay 7.1 to 59.5 h, and outcomes with < 0.2-8.1% risk of 30-day mortality and 3.5-22.6% risk of 30-day readmission. CONCLUSIONS: In unadjusted analyses, nonspecific diagnoses had a lower risk of mortality and readmission than disease-specific diagnoses but had a similar risk after adjustments. We identified 509 clinical subgroups of nonspecific diagnoses with vastly different characteristics and prognosis.

Associations of Young Adult Intelligence, Education, Height, and Body Mass Index with Subsequent Risk of Parkinson's Disease and Survival: A Danish Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The underlying disease mechanisms of Parkinson's disease (PD) are still unknown and knowledge about risk and prognostic factors is sparse. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between intelligence, education, body height, and body mass index (BMI) in young adulthood and risk of PD and subsequent survival. METHODS: In total, 656,751 men born 1939-1959 with information from conscription examinations around age 19 years were followed for PD and mortality from 1977-2018 in Danish registries. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to conduct the analyses. RESULTS: During follow-up, 5,264 (0.8%) men were diagnosed with PD. Higher intelligence, education, and body height conferred a higher hazard of PD, independent of age at disease onset. BMI above compared to below the mean (22.8 kg/m2) was associated with slightly higher hazard of late-onset PD (>60 years). During follow-up, 2,125 (40.5%) men with PD died, corresponding to a 2.55 (95% confidence interval:2.44-2.66) times higher mortality compared to men without PD. Intelligence was inversely associated with mortality in men with and without PD. Higher education and body height were also inversely associated with mortality in men without PD, whereas the estimates were less pronounced and imprecisely estimated for men with PD. Having an obese BMI was associated with higher mortality in men with PD. CONCLUSION: Intelligence, education, and body height in young adulthood are positively associated with risk of PD later in life among men. BMI above the mean only confer a higher risk for late-onset PD. For men diagnosed with PD, high intelligence is the only early life indicator associated with better survival, whereas obese BMI predicts poorer survival.

The Risk of Type 2 Diabetes in Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease After Bowel Resections: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are at increased risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D), but the underlying mechanisms remain elusive. We aimed to determine the impact of small and large bowel resections on the risk of developing T2D in patients with IBD. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide, prospective study of all IBD patients undergoing small bowel resection (Crohn's disease [CD]) and large bowel resection (CD and ulcerative colitis [UC]) in Denmark (1996-2018). Each patient was matched with up to 5 patients with IBD and no history of bowel resection. We used Cox proportional hazards regression models to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) of T2D. RESULTS: We included 2469 patients with CD and small bowel resection, 1361 patients with CD and large bowel resection, and 3787 patients with UC and large bowel resection. Small bowel resection in CD patients was associated with lower risk of T2D (aHR 0.65, 95% CI, 0.44-0.92), compared with matched patients with CD and no bowel resection. Large bowel resection in patients with CD or UC was associated with aHRs of 0.95 (95% CI, 0.67-1.31) and 1.25 (95% CI, 1.03-1.51), respectively, compared with matched patients with CD or UC and no bowel resection. CONCLUSION: Patients with CD and small bowel resection have a lower risk of T2D, whereas patients with UC and large bowel resection have a higher risk of T2D, compared with patients with IBD and no bowel resection history. The underlying mechanisms remain to be explored.

GLP-1 based therapies and disease course of inflammatory bowel disease.

BACKGROUND: The disease course of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) following treatment with glucagon-like peptide (GLP)-1 based therapies is unclear. The aim of this study was to examine the disease course of IBD in patients treated with GLP-1 based therapies compared with treatment with other antidiabetics. METHODS: Using nationwide Danish registries, we identified patients with IBD and type 2 diabetes who received antidiabetic treatment between 1 January 2007 and 31 March 2019. The primary outcome was a composite of the need for oral corticosteroids, tumour necrosis factor-α inhibitors, IBD-related hospitalisation, or IBD-related surgery. In the setting of a new-user active comparator design, we used Poisson regression to estimate incidence rate ratios (IRR) comparing treatment with GLP-1 receptor agonists and dipeptidyl peptidase (DPP)-4 inhibitors with other antidiabetic therapies. The analyses were adjusted for age, sex, calendar year, IBD severity, and metformin use. FINDINGS: We identified 3751 patients with a diagnosis of IBD and type 2 diabetes and with a prescription of an antidiabetic drug (GLP-1 receptor agonists/DPP-4 inhibitors: 982 patients; other antidiabetic treatment: 2769 patients). The adjusted IRR of the composite outcome was 0·52 (95% CI: 0·42-0·65) for patients exposed to GLP-1 receptor agonists/DPP-4 inhibitors compared with patients exposed to other antidiabetics. INTERPRETATION: In patients with IBD and type 2 diabetes, we observed a lower risk of adverse clinical events amongst patients treated with GLP-1 based therapies compared with treatment with other antidiabetics. These findings suggest that treatment with GLP-1 based therapies may improve the disease course of IBD.

Bariatric Surgery and Risk of New-onset Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The aim of this study was to examine the risk of new-onset inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] following bariatric surgery. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide population-based prospective cohort study of the entire Danish population 18 to 60 years of age, alive, and residing in Denmark, from 1996 to 2018. Bariatric surgery was included as a time-dependent variable, and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios [HRs] of IBD. We used a model adjusting for age, sex, and birth cohort and a multifactor-adjusted model additionally including educational status and number of obesity-related comorbidities. RESULTS: We followed 3 917 843 individuals of whom 15 347 had a bariatric surgery, for development of new-onset IBD. During 106 420 person-years following bariatric surgery, 100 IBD events occurred [incidence rate 0.940/1000 person-years]. During 55 553 785 person-years without bariatric surgery, 35 294 events of IBD occurred [incidence rate 0.635/1000 person-years]. This corresponded to a multifactor-adjusted hazard ratio [HR] of 1.15 (95% confidence interval[CI], 0.94-1.40) for IBD. Multifactor-adjusted HRs of Crohn's disease [CD] and ulcerative colitis [UC] were 1.85 [95% CI, 1.40-2.44] and 0.81 [95% CI, 0.61-1.08], respectively. Among women, the multifactor-adjusted HR for CD was 2.18 [95% CI, 1.64-2.90]. When limiting the study population to individuals with a diagnosis of overweight/obesity, bariatric surgery remained associated with increased risk of CD, multifactor-adjusted HR 1.59 [95% CI, 1.18-2.13]. CONCLUSIONS: This nationwide cohort study shows that bariatric surgery is associated with increased risk of development of new-onset CD, but not of UC. The underlying mechanisms remain elusive.

Anti-tumour necrosis factor-α therapy and recurrent or new primary cancers in patients with inflammatory bowel disease, rheumatoid arthritis, or psoriasis and previous cancer in Denmark: a nationwide, population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Safety of anti-tumour necrosis factor-α (TNFα) therapy in people with a history of cancer and with an immune-mediated disease is unknown. We aimed to assess the risk of recurrence of initial cancer or development of a new primary cancer after treatment with anti-TNFα therapy. METHODS: In this Danish, population-based cohort study we recruited adults (≥18 years) with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), rheumatoid arthritis, or psoriasis and a primary cancer diagnosed between Jan 1, 1999 and Dec 31, 2016. Patients were recruited from the prospectively recorded Danish National Patient Registry and the Danish Cancer Registry. Participants were matched 1:10 between the treatment group who received anti-TNFα therapy and the control group (no anti-TNFα therapy) and we excluded individuals with a cancer diagnosed before their first anti-TNFα treatment (or before matching date for controls), individuals diagnosed with IBD, rheumatoid arthritis, or psoriasis after anti-TNFα initiation (or respective match date for controls), and individuals who received anti-TNFα with fewer than five matched controls. Using adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression, we estimated the primary outcome of development of recurrent or new primary cancer in patients who received anti-TNFα therapy compared with patients who did not receive this therapy, matched by sex, immune-mediated disease type, cancer type, and time from initial cancer diagnosis to first anti-TNFα registration. FINDINGS: Overall, 25 738 patients with immune-mediated disease and a history of cancer were identified. 434 patients who received anti-TNFα therapy after their initial cancer were matched to 4328 patients in the control group. During 18 752 person-years (median 5·6 years [IQR 2·8-7·9]) of follow up, 635 individuals developed recurrent or new primary cancer, 72 of whom had received anti-TNFα therapy and 563 of whom were in the control group. The median time between anti-TNFα treatment and recurrent or new primary cancer diagnosis was 2·8 years (IQR 1·7-5·4). The incidence of recurrent or new primary cancer development was 30·3 cases (95% CI 24·0-38·2) per 1000 person-years in the anti-TNFα treatment group and 34·4 cases (31·7-37·3) per 1000 person-years in the control group, yielding an adjusted hazard ratio of 0·82 (95% CI 0·61-1·11). INTERPRETATION: Use of anti-TNFα therapy was not associated with recurrent or new primary cancer development in patients with previous cancer. Timing of anti-TNFα therapy after an initial cancer diagnosis did not influence recurrent or new primary cancer development. This observation might guide clinical decision making among providers treating immune-mediated diseases with anti-TNFα medications. FUNDING: None.

Phase-out of smallpox vaccination and the female/male HIV-1 prevalence ratio: an ecological study from Guinea-Bissau.

OBJECTIVE: In Guinea-Bissau, West Africa, we observed that having a smallpox vaccination scar was associated with lower HIV-1 prevalence, more strongly for women than men. If this represents a causal effect, the female/male HIV-1 prevalence ratio would increase for birth cohorts no longer receiving smallpox vaccination due to the phase-out of this vaccine. DESIGN: An ecological design using HIV surveys and information about smallpox vaccination coverage. SETTING: Urban and rural Guinea-Bissau. PARTICIPANTS: Participants in HIV surveys were grouped into an age group with decreasing smallpox vaccination coverage (15-34 years) and an age group with steady smallpox vaccination coverage (≥35 years). INTERVENTIONS: The exposure of interest was the phase-out of the smallpox vaccine in Guinea-Bissau. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: HIV-1 prevalence. RESULTS: At both sites, the female/male HIV-1 prevalence ratio increased by calendar time for the age group with decreasing smallpox vaccination coverage; the combined female/male HIV-1 prevalence ratio among people aged 15-34 years was 1.00 (95% CI 0.17 to 5.99) in 1987-1990, 1.16 (95% CI 0.69 to 1.93) in 1996-1997, 2.32 (95% CI 1.51 to 3.56) in 2006-2007 (p value for no trend=0.04). There was no increase in the female-to-male HIV-1 prevalence ratio for the age group >35 years with steady smallpox vaccination coverage; 1.93 (95% CI 0.40 to 9.25) in 1987-1990, 1.32 (95% CI 0.83 to 2.10) in 1996-1997, 0.81 (95% CI 0.56 to 1.16) in 2006-2007 (p value for no trend=0.07). CONCLUSIONS: Thus, data was compatible with the deduction that the phase-out of smallpox vaccination may have increased the susceptibility to HIV-1 relatively more for women than men. Hence, phasing out smallpox vaccination may have contributed to the global increase in the female/male HIV-1 prevalence ratio among young individuals. Due to the potential fallacies of ecological studies, the results should be interpreted carefully, and this hypothesis needs further assessment. If the hypothesis is true, studies of smallpox vaccination could inform HIV-1 vaccine research.

The Effect of Smallpox and Bacillus Calmette-Guérin Vaccination on the Risk of Human Immunodeficiency Virus-1 Infection in Guinea-Bissau and Denmark.

BACKGROUND: The live smallpox and Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccinations have been associated with better adult survival in both Guinea-Bissau and Denmark. In Guinea-Bissau, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-1 became an important cause of death after smallpox vaccination was phased out globally in 1980. We hypothesised that smallpox and BCG vaccinations were associated with a lower prevalence of HIV-1 infection, and we tested this hypothesis in both Guinea-Bissau and Denmark. METHODS: We conducted 2 studies: (1) a cross-sectional study of HIV infection and vaccination scars in Guinea-Bissau including 1751 individuals and (2) a case-base study with a background population of 46239 individuals in Denmark. In Guinea-Bissau, HIV-1 transmission was almost exclusively sexually transmitted. In Denmark, we excluded intravenous drug users. Data were analyzed using logistic regression. RESULTS: Bacillus Calmette-Guérin and/or smallpox vaccination compared with neither of these vaccines was associated with an adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for HIV-1 of 0.62 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.36-1.07) in Guinea-Bissau and 0.70 (95% CI, 0.43-1.15) in Denmark. We combined the results from both settings in a meta-analysis (aOR = 0.66; 95% CI, 0.46-0.96). Data from Guinea-Bissau indicated a stronger effect of multiple smallpox vaccination scars (aOR = 0.27; 95% CI, 0.10-0.75) as follows: women, aOR = 0.18 (95% CI, 0.05-0.64); men, aOR = 0.52 (95% CI, 0.12-2.33); sex-differential effect, P = .29. CONCLUSIONS: The studies from Guinea-Bissau and Denmark, 2 very different settings, both suggest that the BCG and smallpox vaccines could be associated with a decreased risk of sexually transmitted HIV-1. It might be informative to pursue this observation and explore possible protective mechanisms as part of the search for an HIV-1 vaccine.

Vaccinations against smallpox and tuberculosis are associated with better long-term survival: a Danish case-cohort study 1971-2010.

Background: When vaccinations with vaccinia against smallpox and Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) against tuberculosis were phased out in some high-income countries around 1980, the impact on overall mortality was not examined. Recent studies from low-income countries have suggested that these vaccines are associated with mortality reductions, not explained by specific disease protection. We examined whether vaccinia and BCG administered in childhood were associated with long-term mortality reductions in a high-income population. Methods: In this case-cohort study, we followed 47 622 schoolchildren from Copenhagen, Denmark, born 1965 to 1976, from their first health examination to 2010. This cohort experienced the phase-out of vaccinia and BCG vaccination programmes. Results: A sub-cohort of 5 316 individuals (699 excluded) was followed for 164 450 person-years (0.2% were lost to follow-up), and 401 deaths due to natural causes (841 deaths in total) occurred in the full cohort. Compared with individuals who had not received vaccinia or BCG, those who had received both vaccinia and BCG had an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 0.54 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.36-0.81] for mortality due to natural causes of death; those who only received BCG had an aHR of 0.58 (95% CI: 0.39-0.85). Vaccinia and BCG were not associated with any protection against deaths by accidents, suicide or murder, the combined aHR being 0.94 (95% CI: 0.62-1.42). Conclusions: Vaccinia and BCG vaccinations were associated with better long-term survival, which was not explained by specific protection. Vaccines with beneficial non-specific effects may reduce overall mortality even after the target diseases are eradicated.

Risk of inflammatory bowel disease following Bacille Calmette-Guérin and smallpox vaccination: a population-based Danish case-cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Childhood immunology has been suggested to play a role in development of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) based on the studies of childhood vaccinations, infections, and treatment with antibiotics. Bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG) and smallpox vaccinations were gradually phased-out in Denmark for children born between 1965 and 1976, hence allowing the study of subsequent risk of Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis in a unique prospective design. METHODS: The Copenhagen School Health Records Register contains detailed documentation of vaccination. Among the background cohort of individuals born between 1965 and 1976 (N = 47,622), cases with Crohn's disease (n = 218) and ulcerative colitis (n = 256) were identified through linkage to the Danish National Patient Registry. The vaccination status of the cases was compared with that of a subcohort (n = 5741) of the background cohort and analyzed in a case-cohort design. RESULTS: No difference in risk of IBD was observed between individuals vaccinated and unvaccinated with BCG (hazard ratio = 0.95; 95% confidence interval, 0.75-1.19) or smallpox vaccine (hazard ratio = 1.01; 95% confidence interval, 0.77-1.32). This was also the case for Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis separately. However, BCG given before 4 months of age may decrease the risk of IBD (hazard ratio = 0.43; 95% confidence interval, 0.20-0.93). CONCLUSIONS: This prospective long-term case-cohort study shows that BCG and smallpox vaccination do not cause IBD later in life. These findings are important for the etiological understanding of IBD and of clinical importance because BCG is still one of the most commonly used childhood vaccinations, smallpox vaccine has been reintroduced in the U.S. military, and both vaccines may be used as vectors in new vaccines.

Smallpox vaccination and all-cause infectious disease hospitalization: a Danish register-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: There is growing evidence from observational studies and randomized trials in low-income countries that vaccinations have non-specific effects. Administration of live vaccines reduces overall child morbidity and mortality, presumably due to protection against non-targeted infections. In Denmark, the live vaccine against smallpox was phased out in the 1970s due to the eradication of smallpox. We used the phasing-out period to investigate the effect of smallpox vaccination on the risk of hospitalization for infections. METHODS: From the Copenhagen School Health Records Register, a cohort of 4048 individuals was sampled, of whom 3559 had information about receiving or not receiving smallpox vaccination. Infectious disease hospitalizations were identified in the Danish National Patient Register. RESULTS: During 87,228 person-years of follow-up, 1440 infectious disease hospitalizations occurred. Smallpox-vaccinated individuals had a reduced risk of all-cause infectious disease hospitalization compared with smallpox-unvaccinated individuals [hazard ratio (HR) 0.84; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.72-0.98]. The reduced risk of hospitalizations was seen for most subgroups of infectious diseases. The effect may have been most pronounced after early smallpox vaccination (vaccination age <3.5 years: HR 0.81; 95% CI 0.69-0.95; vaccination age ≥ 3.5 years: HR 0.91 95% CI 0.76-1.10). Among the smallpox-vaccinated, the risk of infectious disease hospitalization increased 6% with each 1-year increase in vaccination age (HR 1.06; 95% CI 1.02-1.10). CONCLUSION: Smallpox vaccination is associated with a reduced risk of infectious disease hospitalization in a high-income setting.

Risk of lymphoma and leukaemia after bacille Calmette-Guérin and smallpox vaccination: a Danish case-cohort study.

Vaccines may have non-specific effects as suggested mainly in mortality studies from low-income countries. The objective was to examine the effects of BCG and smallpox vaccinations on subsequent risk of lymphoma and leukaemia in a Danish population experiencing rapid out-phasing of these vaccines. In a background cohort (N=47,622) from the Copenhagen School Health Records Register, cases of leukaemia (N=20) and lymphoma (N=51) were identified through the Danish Cancer Registry. The vaccination status of the cases was compared with the vaccination status of a 5% random sample (N=2073) of the background cohort and analysed in a case-cohort design. BCG vaccination reduced the risk of lymphomas (HR=0.49 (95% CI: 0.26-0.93)), whereas smallpox vaccination did not (HR=1.32 (0.56-3.08)). With the small number of leukaemia cases, the analysis of leukaemia had limited power (BCG vaccination HR=0.81 (0.31-2.16); smallpox vaccination HR=1.32 (0.49-3.53)). The present study with very reliable vaccine history information indicates a beneficial effect of BCG vaccination on the risk of lymphomas.