Sample size re-estimation in Phase 2 dose-finding: Conditional power versus Bayesian predictive power.

Unblinded sample size re-estimation (SSR) is often planned in a clinical trial when there is large uncertainty about the true treatment effect. For Proof-of Concept (PoC) in a Phase II dose finding study, contrast test can be adopted to leverage information from all treatment groups. In this article, we propose two-stage SSR designs using frequentist conditional power (CP) and Bayesian predictive power (PP) for both single and multiple contrast tests. The Bayesian SSR can be implemented under a wide range of prior settings to incorporate different prior knowledge. Taking the adaptivity into account, all type I errors of final analysis in this paper are rigorously protected. Simulation studies are carried out to demonstrate the advantages of unblinded SSR in multi-arm trials.

Empirical profile Bayesian estimation for extrapolation of historical adult data to pediatric drug development.

For pediatric drug development, the clinical effectiveness of the study medication for the adult population has already been demonstrated. Given the fact that it is usually not feasible to enroll a large number of pediatric patients, appropriately leveraging historical adult data into pediatric evaluation may be critical to success of pediatric drug development. In this manuscript, we propose a new empirical Bayesian approach, profile Bayesian estimation, to dynamically borrow adult information to the evaluation of treatment effect in pediatric patients. The new approach demonstrates an attractive balance between type I error control and power gain under the transfer-ability assumption that the pediatric treatment effect size may differ from the adult treatment effect size. The decision making boundary mimics the real-world practice in pediatric drug development. In addition, the posterior mean of the proposed empirical profile Bayesian is an unbiased estimator of the true pediatric treatment effect. We compare our approach to robust mixture prior with prior weight for informative borrowing set to 0.5 or 0.9, regular Bayesian approach, and frequentist for both type I error and power.

Once- versus twice-daily dosing of eliglustat in adults with Gaucher disease type 1: The Phase 3, randomized, double-blind EDGE trial.

Eliglustat is a first-line oral therapy for adults with Gaucher disease type 1 (GD1) with compatible CYP2D6-metabolizer phenotypes (>90% of patients). The randomized, double-blind EDGE trial (NCT01074944, Sanofi Genzyme) evaluated once-daily eliglustat dosing compared with the approved twice-daily regimen at the same total daily dose in adults with GD1. Subjects received twice-daily dosing during a 6- to 18-month lead-in period. Only subjects who attained prespecified treatment goals for hemoglobin, platelet count, spleen and liver volumes, and bone symptoms during the lead-in period were randomized to once- or twice-daily dosing. Of 170 enrolled patients, 156 completed the lead-in period and 131 met all requirements to enter the double-blind treatment period. To achieve the composite primary endpoint in the double-blind period, patients had to maintain clinical stability relative to baseline on all five endpoints (hemoglobin, platelet count, spleen and liver volumes, and bone symptoms) and meet pharmacokinetic and other tolerability requirements as determined by the investigator after 1year of eliglustat treatment. After 1year, 80.4% (95% CI: 67.6, 89.8) of once-daily patients were stable compared with 83.1% (95% CI: 71.0, 91.6) of twice-daily patients. The 95% CI for the mean difference of -2.7% between groups was -17.7, 11.9. Because the lower bound of the CI exceeded the pre-defined non-inferiority margin of -15%, once-daily dosing could not be declared non-inferior to twice-daily dosing. Both once-daily and twice-daily patients maintained mean values for hematologic and visceral measures within established therapeutic goals during the double-blind treatment and long-term extension periods. Eliglustat was generally well-tolerated during this long-term trial (mean treatment duration: 3.3years), with just four withdrawals (2%) for related adverse events (AE), and similar AE profiles for both dosing regimens. Patients on twice-daily eliglustat showed more stability overall, and this dose regimen was better tolerated, confirming the dosing regimen for most patients specified in the drug label.

Interval-specific censoring set adjusted Kaplan-Meier estimator.

We propose a non-parametric approach to reduce the overestimation of the Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimator when the event and censoring times are independent. We adjust the KM estimator based on the interval-specific censoring set, a collection of intervals where censored data are observed between two adjacent event times. The proposed interval-specific censoring set adjusted KM estimator reduces to the KM estimator if there are no censored observations or the sample size tends to infinity and the proposed estimator is consistent, as is the case for the KM estimator. We prove theoretically that the proposed estimator reduces the overestimation compared to the KM estimator and provide a mathematical formula to estimate the variance of the proposed estimator based on Greenwood's approach. We also provide a modified log-rank test based on the proposed estimator. We perform four simulation studies to compare the proposed estimator with the KM estimator when the failure rate is constant, decreasing, increasing, and based on the flexible hazard method. The bias reduction in median survival time and survival rate using the proposed estimator is considerably large, especially when the censoring rate is high. The standard deviations are comparable between the two estimators. We implement the proposed and KM estimator for the Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease patients from a population study. The results show the proposed estimator substantially reduce the overestimation in the presence of high observed censoring rate.

Determination of rifabutin dosing regimen when administered in combination with ritonavir-boosted atazanavir.

OBJECTIVES: Treatment of HIV/tuberculosis (TB) co-infected patients is complex due to drug-drug interactions for these chronic diseases. This study evaluates an intermittent dosing regimen for rifabutin when it is co-administered with ritonavir-boosted atazanavir. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A randomized, multiple-dose, parallel-group study was conducted in healthy subjects and these subjects received a daily dose of rifabutin 150 mg (n = 15, reference group) or a twice weekly dose with atazanavir 300 mg/ritonavir 100 mg once daily (n = 18, test group). Serial blood samples were collected at steady-state for pharmacokinetic analysis. Modelling and simulation techniques were utilized, integrating data across several healthy subject studies. This study is known as Study AI424-360 and is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00646776. RESULTS: The pharmacokinetic parameters (C(max), AUC(24avg) and C(min)) for rifabutin (149%, 48% and 40% increase, respectively) and 25-O-desacteyl rifabutin (6.77-, 9.90- and 10.45-fold increases, respectively) were both increased when rifabutin was co-administered with atazanavir/ritonavir than rifabutin 150 mg once daily alone. The study was stopped because subjects experienced more severe declines in neutrophil counts when rifabutin was given with atazanavir/ritonavir than alone. A post-hoc simulation analysis showed that when rifabutin 150 mg was given three times weekly with atazanavir/ritonavir, the average daily exposure of rifabutin was comparable to rifabutin 300 mg once daily, a dose necessary for reducing rifamycin resistance in HIV/TB co-infected patients. CONCLUSIONS: The benefits to HIV/TB co-infected patients receiving rifabutin 150 mg three times weekly or every other day may outweigh the risks of neutropenia observed here in non-HIV-infected subjects, provided that patients on combination therapy will be closely monitored for safety and tolerability.

miR-143-3p targeting of ITGA6 suppresses tumour growth and angiogenesis by downregulating PLGF expression via the PI3K/AKT pathway in gallbladder carcinoma.

Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is the most common malignant tumour of the biliary track system. Angiogenesis plays a pivotal role in the development and progression of malignant tumours. miR-143-3p acts as a tumour suppressor in various cancers. Their role in GBC is however less well defined. Here we show that the expression levels of miR-143-3p were decreased in human GBC tissues compared with the non-tumour adjacent tissue (NAT) counterparts and were closely associated with overall survival. We discovered that miR-143-3p was a novel inhibitor of tumour growth and angiogenesis in vivo and in vitro. Our antibody array, ELISA and PLGF rescue analyses indicated that PLGF played an essential role in the antiangiogenic effect of miR-143-3p. Furthermore, we used miRNA target-prediction software and dual-luciferase assays to confirm that integrin α6 (ITGA6) acted as a direct target of miR-143-3p. Our ELISA and western blot analyses confirmed that the expression of PLGF was decreased via the ITGA6/PI3K/AKT pathway. In conclusion, miR-143-3p suppresses tumour angiogenesis and growth of GBC through the ITGA6/PI3K/AKT/PLGF pathways and may be a novel molecular therapeutic target for GBC.

MicroRNA-133a-3p exerts inhibitory effects on gallbladder carcinoma via targeting RBPJ.

Gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) is the most common biliary tract malignancy with high mortality. The median survival time is 6 months, and the 5-year survival rate less than 5% for GBC patients. Thus, it is imperative to investigate the molecular mechanisms underlying the pathogenesis of GBC. miR-133a may exert anti-tumor effects on a variety of cancers. However, the role of miR-133a in the pathogenesis of GBC remains unclear. In this study, quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) showed the miR-133a-3p expression markedly decreased in GBC as compared to adjacent normal tissues. Transient over-expression of miR-133a-3p inhibited the proliferation, migration and invasion abilities of GBC cells. Luciferase activity assay indicated that miR-133a-3p negatively regulated the expression of recombination signal-binding protein Jκ (RBPJ) directly, which is a key downstream transcription factor in the Notch signaling pathway. Moreover, PBPJ expression was up-regulated and negatively related to miR-133a-3p expression in GBC, and silencing of RBPJ achieved the effects as after miR-133a-3p over-expression. RBPJ over-expression could markedly reverse the inhibitory effects of miR-133a-3p on the proliferation, migration and invasion of GBC cells. Our findings indicate that miR-133a-3p acts as a tumor suppressor through directly targeting RBPJ in GBC.

A novel PI3K/AKT signaling axis mediates Nectin-4-induced gallbladder cancer cell proliferation, metastasis and tumor growth.

Nectin-4 is a Ca(2+)-independent immunoglobulin-like cell adhesion molecule which has diverse functions in cell-cell adhesion via homophilic and heterophilic interactions. Cell-cell adhesive processes are central to cell polarization, differentiation, proliferation, survival and movement. Here we report that Nectin-4 is substantially overexpressed in gallbladder cancer (GBC), the most common biliary tract malignancy with a high risk of local tumor spread and invasion. Further, Nectin-4 high expression in GBC patients was associated with pathologic T stage and lymph node metastasis status, and the expression level of the downstream target Rac1 and poor prognoses were also correlated with Nectin-4. Ectopic expression of Nectin-4 promoted GBC cell growth, motility and tumor growth in a mouse model. The depletion of Nectin-4 inhibited GBC cell proliferation and migration both in cell culture and in mice. Our data suggest that activation of the PI3K/AKT pathway was involved in the oncogenic function of Nectin-4 to activate Rac1 in GBC. Inhibition of PI3K/AKT with LY294002 and/or Rac1 with NSC23766 impaired Nectin-4-mediated GBC cell proliferation and motility. We hypothesize that Nectin-4 is critical for GBC progression via PI3K/AKT pathway activation of Rac1. Nectin-4 may be a novel prognostic factor and therapeutic target in GBC patients.

Effects of the H2-receptor antagonist famotidine on the pharmacokinetics of atazanavir-ritonavir with or without tenofovir in HIV-infected patients.

Significant pharmacokinetic interactions can result between acid-suppressing agents and some protease inhibitors (PIs) in the management of HIV infection. In healthy subjects, famotidine, an H(2)-receptor antagonist, reduces exposures of atazanavir by 4-28% at doses of 20-40 mg twice daily. This study evaluated the effect of famotidine 20-40 mg twice daily on the pharmacokinetics of atazanavir/ritonavir 300/100 mg once daily with and without tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) 300 mg in HIV-infected patients (n=40; 87.5% male; mean age 42, range 26-63 years; 55% white). Coadministration of famotidine 40 mg and atazanavir/ritonavir to HIV-infected patients reduced exposures of atazanavir by approximately 20%. This is comparable to reductions seen in HIV-uninfected subjects. Coadministration of famotidine 20 mg had less impact on atazanavir exposures, with no reduction of atazanavir geometric mean plasma concentration at 24 h postdose (C(min)). In the presence of TDF, administration of famotidine 20-40 mg twice daily 2 h after and 10 h before atazanavir/ritonavir reduced exposures of atazanavir by 19-25%. However, all individual atazanavir C(min) values remained at least five-fold above the population mean protein-binding adjusted 90% maximum effect (EC(90)) against wild-type HIV (14 ng/mL). No viral load rebound was observed at end of study. The results confirmed that coadministration of an H(2)-receptor antagonist with atazanavir/ritonavir in HIV-infected patients resulted in similar magnitude of reductions in atazanavir exposures as in healthy subjects. This supports the current dose recommendations for coadministration of an H(2)-receptor antagonist with atazanavir/ritonavir.