RESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the discriminative ability and calibration of the RIETE, Kuijer, and HAS-BLED models for predicting 3-month bleeding risk in patients anticoagulated for venous thromboembolism (VTE). METHODS: External validation study of a prediction model based on a retrospective cohort of patients with VTE seen at the Hospital Universitario San Ignacio, Bogotá (Colombia) between July 2021 and June 2023. The calibration of the scales was evaluated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and the ratio of observed to expected events (ROE) within each risk category. Discriminatory ability was assessed using the area under the curve (AUC) of a ROC curve. RESULTS: We analyzed 470 patients (median age 65 years, female sex 59.3%) with a diagnosis of deep vein thrombosis in most cases (57.4%), 5.7% bleeding events were observed. Regarding calibration, adequate calibration cannot be ruled out given the limited number of events. The discriminatory ability was limited with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.48 (CI 0.37-0.59) for Kuijer Score, 0.58 (CI 0.47-0.70) for HAS-BLED and 0.64 (CI 0.51-0.76) for RIETE. CONCLUSION: The Kuijer, HAS-BLED, and RIETE models in patients with VTE generally do not adequately estimate the risk of bleeding at three months, with a low ability to discriminate high-risk patients. Cautious interpretation is recommended until further evidence is available.
Assuntos
Anticoagulantes , Hemorragia , Tromboembolia Venosa , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Idoso , Tromboembolia Venosa/tratamento farmacológico , Hemorragia/induzido quimicamente , Anticoagulantes/efeitos adversos , Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Medição de Risco/métodos , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) may be the first sign of an undiagnosed cancer. The RIETE and SOME scores aim to identify patients with acute VTE at high risk of occult cancer. In the present study, we evaluated the performance of both scores. METHODS: The scores were evaluated in a retrospective cohort from two centers. The area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC) evaluated the discriminatory performance. RESULTS: The RIETE score was applied to 815 patients with provoked and unprovoked VTE, of whom 56 (6.9%) were diagnosed with cancer. Of the 203 patients classified as high-risk, 18 were diagnosed with cancer, representing 32.1% (18/56) of the total cancer diagnoses. In the group of 612 low-risk patients, 67.9% of the cancer cases were diagnosed (38/56). Sensitivity, specificity, negative and positive predictive values, and AUC were 32%, 76%, 94%, 9%, and 0.430 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.38â0.47), respectively. The SOME score could be calculated in 418 patients with unprovoked VTE, of whom 33 (7.9%) were diagnosed with cancer. Of the 45 patients classified as high-risk, three were diagnosed with cancer, representing 9.1% (3/33) of the total cancer diagnoses. In the group of 373 low-risk patients, 90.9% of the cancer cases were diagnosed (30/33). Sensitivity, specificity, negative and positive predictive values, and AUC were 33%, 88%, 94%, 20%, and 0.351 (95% CI, 0.27â0.43), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The performance of both scores was poor. Our results highlight the need to develop new models to identify high-risk patients who may benefit from an extensive cancer screening strategy.
Assuntos
Neoplasias , Tromboembolia Venosa , Humanos , Tromboembolia Venosa/etiologia , Tromboembolia Venosa/diagnóstico , Tromboembolia Venosa/epidemiologia , Feminino , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Neoplasias/complicações , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Curva ROC , Medição de Risco/métodos , Área Sob a Curva , Adulto , Neoplasias Primárias Desconhecidas/complicações , Neoplasias Primárias Desconhecidas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Primárias Desconhecidas/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The RIETE score could be specifically useful for identification of low-risk pulmonary embolism (PE) patients for home treatment. However, the external validation of the RIETE score has been limited. METHODS: The COMMAND VTE Registry is a multicenter registry enrolling consecutive patients with acute symptomatic venous thromboembolism (VTE). The current study population consisted of 1479 patients with acute PE, who were divided into 2 groups; RIETE scores of 0 (N = 260) and ≥ 1 (N = 1219). RESULTS: The cumulative 10-day and 30-day incidences of a composite endpoint of all-cause death, recurrent PE, or major bleeding were lower in patients with the RIETE score of 0 than in those with the RIETE score of ≥1 (10-day: 0.4 % vs. 6.7 %, P < 0.001, and 30-day: 0.4 % vs. 10.0 %, P < 0.001). The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) in the RIETE score for the 10-day composite endpoint showed numerically better predictive ability than that in the sPESI score (0.77 vs. 0.73, P = 0.07), and the AUC in the RIETE score for the 30-day composite endpoint showed significantly better predictive ability than that in the sPESI score (0.77 vs. 0.71, P = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: The RIETE score was well validated in the current large real-world registry. The RIETE score of 0 could identify patients with reasonably low risks of the 10-day and 30-day composite endpoint of all-cause death, recurrent PE, or major bleeding.
Assuntos
Embolia Pulmonar , Tromboembolia Venosa , Trombose Venosa , Humanos , Tromboembolia Venosa/diagnóstico , Embolia Pulmonar/epidemiologia , Risco , Sistema de Registros , Hemorragia/diagnóstico , Hemorragia/etiologia , Hemorragia/epidemiologia , Recidiva , Anticoagulantes , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The diagnostic strategy for pulmonary embolism (PE) includes a D-dimer test when PE probability is low or intermediate, but false-positive D-dimer results are frequent and can result in an unnecessary computed tomography pulmonary angiogram. The PE rule-out criteria (PERC) rule excludes PE without D-dimer testing when pretest probability is <15%. The aim of this study was to assess the safety of the PERC rule strategy in patients included in the Registro Informatizado de la Enfermedad TromboEmbolica venosa (RIETE) registry. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used data from the RIETE registry, an ongoing, international prospective registry of patients with objectively confirmed venous thromboembolism. The primary outcome was the failure rate of the PERC strategy, represented by the proportion of PERC-negative (PERC-N) patients with a PE included in the registry. Secondary outcomes were a comparison of the clinical characteristics, treatment strategy, and outcome of PERC-N versus PERC-positive (PERC-P) patients at 3 months. RESULTS: From 2001 to 2021, a total of 49,793 patients with acute PE were enrolled in the RIETE registry. We included 48,903 in the final analysis after exclusion of 890 patients with an undetermined PERC status. Only 346 patients were PERC-N with a failure rate of 0.7% (95% confidence interval 0.6%-0.8%). PERC-N patients presented more frequently with chest pain but less often with dyspnea, syncope, or hypotension. They also had subsegmental or segmental PE more frequently, were more often treated with direct oral anticoagulants, and received mechanical or pharmacological thrombolysis less often. In addition, PERC-N patients had a lower incidence of recurrent deep vein thrombosis, major bleeding, and death attributed to PE during the 3-month follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: A low failure rate of the PERC rule was observed in the RIETE registry, thus supporting its use to safely identify patients with an unlikely probability of PE.
Assuntos
Embolia Pulmonar , Tromboembolia Venosa , Trombose Venosa , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Trombose Venosa/diagnóstico , Embolia Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Embolia Pulmonar/terapia , Tromboembolia Venosa/diagnóstico , Tromboembolia Venosa/epidemiologia , Sistema de RegistrosRESUMO
Background: The use of rivaroxaban in clinical practice often deviates from manufacturer prescribing information. No studies have demonstrated an association between this practice and improved outcomes. Methods: We used the RIETE registry to assess the clinical characteristics of patients with pulmonary embolism (PE) who received off-label rivaroxaban, and to compare their 3-month outcomes with those receiving the labeled therapy. The patients were classified into four subgroups: (1) labeled therapy; (2) delayed start; (3) low doses and (4) both conditions. Results: From May 2013 to May 2022, 2490 patients with PE received rivaroxaban: labeled therapy1485 (58.6%); delayed start808 (32.5%); low doses143 (5.7%); both conditions54 (2.2%). Patients with a delayed start were more likely to present with syncope, hypotension, raised troponin levels and more severe abnormalities on the echocardiogram than those on labeled therapy. Patients receiving low doses were most likely to have cancer, recent bleeding, anemia, thrombocytopenia or renal insufficiency. During the first 3 months, 3 patients developed PE recurrence, 4 had deep-vein thrombosis, 11 had major bleeding and 16 died. The rates of major bleeding (11 vs. 0; p < 0.001) or death (15 vs. 1; OR: 22.5; 95% CI: 2.97−170.5) were higher in patients receiving off-label rivaroxaban than in those on labeled therapy, with no differences in VTE recurrence (OR: 1.11; 95% CI: 0.25−6.57). Conclusions: In patients with severe PE, the start of rivaroxaban administration was often delayed. In those at increased risk for bleeding, it was often prescribed at low doses. Both subgroups had a worse outcome than those on labeled rivaroxaban.
RESUMO
Background: Current guidelines recommend the use of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE). However little is known about the use of DOACs in daily practice. Methods: We used the RIETE registry to identify predictors of use of DOACs for initial and/or long-term therapy of VTE based on patient-related factors, institution-related factors or over time. Results: Among 41,678 patients from March 2013 to September 2021, 12,286 (29%) used DOACs: for initial therapy 6,456; for long-term therapy 12,046. On multivariable analysis, independent predictors were: age < 65 years (odds ratio [OR]: 1.30; 95% CI: 1.23-1.38), body weight <50 kg (OR: 0.54; 95% CI: 0.45-0.65) or >120 kg (OR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.53-0.77), initial VTE presentation as pulmonary embolism (OR: 1.18; 95% CI: 1.13-1.25), recent bleeding (OR: 0.53; 95% CI: 0.45-0.63), renal insufficiency (OR: 0.44; 95% CI: 0.38-0.51), liver cirrhosis (OR: 0.32; 95% CI: 0.20-0.52), thrombocytopenia (OR: 0.40; 95% CI: 0.34-0.49), atrial fibrillation (OR: 1.58; 95% CI: 1.42-1.75) and prior VTE (OR: 1.14; 95% CI: 1.06-1.22). The DOACs were more likely used in other European countries (OR: 8.97; 95% CI: 8.49-9.49), America (OR: 6.35; 95% CI: 5.67-7.11) or in other countries of the world (OR: 2.99; 95% CI: 2.70-3.31) than in Spain, and progressively increased from 2013-2015 to 2016-2018 (OR: 2.78; 95% CI: 2.62-2.95) and 2019-2021 (OR: 6.36; 95% CI: 5.95-6.80). Conclusion: In this large multinational VTE registry, variations were observed in the use of DOACs according to patient or country factors, and over time. The safety, costs, and influence of the DOACs on VTE-related outcomes in daily practice warrant further investigation.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Recent data have raised concerns about the risk/benefit ratio of thrombolysis in non-high risk pulmonary embolism patients due to increased serious bleeding events. Whether cardiac biomarkers could be of help for bleeding risk stratification in this setting remains elusive. OBJECTIVES: To determine the prognostic accuracy of hs-cTnT, NT-proBNP, RIETE and PESI score for the occurrence of clinically relevant bleeding (CRB) in elderly patients under conventional anticoagulation therapy for non-massive pulmonary embolism (NMPE). METHODS: We evaluated 230 elderly patients with available blood sample taken within one day from diagnosis. The primary study endpoint was CRB at 1, 3 and 24â¯months. Prognostic accuracies and associations were determined using C-statistics and subhazard ratios (SHR), respectively. RESULTS: hs-cTnT displayed the highest discriminatory power at 1â¯month (C-statistics: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.68-0.88) which remained stable over time. Although C-statistics comparison indicated that hs-cTnT was not statistically superior to RIETE score (0.77 vs 0.67, pâ¯=â¯0.11), adding hs-cTnT to RIETE score significantly improved the C-statistics from 0.67 to 0.78 (pâ¯=â¯0.02). SHRs indicated that for each hs-cTnT log-unit increase, there was a 58% increase in the risk of CRB independently of the RIETE score (adjusted SHR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.31-1.92). At the pre-specified cut-off of 14â¯ng/l, the negative predictive value of hs-cTnT was 96.9% (95% CI: 91.4-99.0) and 94.9 (95%CI: 88.6-97.8) at 1 and 3â¯months, respectively. CONCLUSION: In elderly, hs-cTnT provides incremental prognostic information over the RIETE score and could represent a valuable tool to identify NMPE patients at low risk of bleeding.
Assuntos
Embolia Pulmonar , Troponina T , Idoso , Biomarcadores , Humanos , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico , Fragmentos de Peptídeos , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prognóstico , Embolia Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Embolia Pulmonar/tratamento farmacológicoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The only available score to assess the risk for fatal bleeding in patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE) has not been validated yet. METHODS: We used the RIETE database to validate the risk-score for fatal bleeding within the first 3 months of anticoagulation in a new cohort of patients recruited after the end of the former study. Accuracy was measured using the ROC curve analysis. RESULTS: As of December 2011, 39,284 patients were recruited in RIETE. Of these, 15,206 had not been included in the former study, and were considered to validate the score. Within the first 3 months of anticoagulation, 52 patients (0.34%; 95% CI: 0.27-0.45) died of bleeding. Patients with a risk score of <1.5 points (64.1% of the cohort) had a 0.10% rate of fatal bleeding, those with a score of 1.5-4.0 (33.6%) a rate of 0.72%, and those with a score of >4 points had a rate of 1.44%. The c-statistic for fatal bleeding was 0.775 (95% CI 0.720-0.830). The score performed better for predicting gastrointestinal (c-statistic, 0.869; 95% CI: 0.810-0.928) than intracranial (c-statistic, 0.687; 95% CI: 0.568-0.806) fatal bleeding. The score value with highest combined sensitivity and specificity was 1.75. The risk for fatal bleeding was significantly increased (odds ratio: 7.6; 95% CI 3.7-16.2) above this cut-off value. CONCLUSIONS: The accuracy of the score in this validation cohort was similar to the accuracy found in the index study. Interestingly, it performed better for predicting gastrointestinal than intracranial fatal bleeding.