A simple tool for comparing benefits and 'costs' of COVID-19 exit strategies.
Public Health
; 188: 4-7, 2020 Nov.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-33039678
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND:
Governments and health policymakers are now looking for strategies to lift the COVID-19 lockdown, while reducing risk to the public.METHODS:
We propose the population attributable risk (PAR) as an established epidemiological tool that could support decision-making through quickly estimating the main benefits and costs of various exit strategies.RESULTS:
We demonstrate the feasibility of use of PAR using pandemic data, that were publicly available in mid-May 2020 from Scotland and the US, to estimate the proportion of COVID-19 hospital admissions which might be avoided, and the proportion of adverse labour market effects - for various scenarios - based on maintaining the lockdown for those of certain ages with and without comorbidities.CONCLUSION:
These calculations could be refined and applied in different countries to inform important COVID-19 policy decisions, using routinely collected data.Palavras-chave
Texto completo:
1
Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Pneumonia Viral
/
Política Pública
/
Infecções por Coronavirus
/
Medição de Risco
/
Pandemias
Tipo de estudo:
Etiology_studies
/
Health_economic_evaluation
/
Risk_factors_studies
Limite:
Adult
/
Aged
/
Humans
/
Middle aged
País/Região como assunto:
America do norte
/
Europa
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Public Health
Ano de publicação:
2020
Tipo de documento:
Article