The usefulness of head computed tomography in patients with known cirrhosis presenting to emergency department with suspected hepatic encephalopathy.

Background: Computed tomography of the head (CT head) is frequently used for patients with cirrhosis presenting with suspected hepatic encephalopathy (HE). Aims: The primary aims of this study were to assess the frequency of CT head usage in this patient population and to determine whether these scans yielded significant findings. Our secondary aims were to identify factors associated with the decision to order CTs and whether patients who received CTs had different outcomes. Methods: A single-centre, retrospective chart review was performed. Patients presenting to the University of Alberta Hospital with cirrhosis and common liver disease aetiologies over a 27-month period were identified via discharge diagnosis codes. Charts of patients with suspected HE were manually identified. The use of a CT head was documented, as were patient demographics, cirrhosis aetiology, MELD, and outcomes. Comparisons were made between patients with and without CT head. Results: A total of 119 encounters from 100 patients met our inclusion criteria. In 57% of encounters, a CT scan was performed on presentation. None of these CT scans had significant findings. Patient factors associated with the decision to order CT included older age, more preserved liver function, and longer length of time between patient's current and previous presentations. Patients who did not receive CT head had higher in-hospital mortality, which was likely reflective of more severe underlying liver dysfunction in this group. Conclusions: The frequency of CT head usage in the studied patient population was high while the yield was low. This calls into question the usefulness of CT head in this population.

Zinc supplementation to improve prognosis in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease: a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial.

Zinc homeostasis could play a role in compensated advanced chronic liver disease, and its supplementation has been linked to improvement in liver function, a decrease of hepatic complications, and reduction in HCC incidence. Compensated advanced chronic liver disease encompasses a heterogeneous group of patients with variable risks of clinically significant portal hypertension and clinical events. The ANTICIPATE model is a validated model for stratifying these risks. Our aim is to demonstrate that zinc administration can reduce the rate and risk of presenting clinical events (first decompensation, HCC, death, and liver transplantation). This study protocol describes an ongoing phase III, national, multicenter, randomized, double-blind clinical trial that will enroll 300 patients to receive either the trial treatment (zinc acexamate) or placebo. An inclusion period of 42 months is planned, with a minimum follow-up of 2 years. Our principal hypothesis is that zinc could modify the natural history of patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease, with an overall improvement in prognosis.

Viral antibody response predicts morbidity and mortality in alcohol-associated hepatitis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) is associated with very high mortality despite abstinence from alcohol; up to 40% of patients die within 6 months of diagnosis. Patients with AH are especially prone to infections, which can lead to multiorgan dysfunction and poorer prognosis. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We performed comprehensive serological profiling of the viral and bacterial infection history of 36 healthy controls, 48 patients with alcohol use disorder, and 224 patients with AH from 2 multicenter observational studies. We used systematic viral and bacterial epitope scanning by VirScan, a phage-display immunoprecipitation and sequencing technology that detects the peptides recognized by antibodies in patient sera, to comprehensively analyze antiviral and antibacterial antibodies and identify serologic biomarkers to predict patient outcomes. We found significant differences in the serological profiles of the 3 populations. The number of serum antibody epitopes in patients with alcohol use disorder during abstinence was increased compared with during active alcohol use. A decreased number and diversity of viral and bacterial antibody targets were detected in the sera of patients with AH, particularly those with a higher Child-Pugh score. In patients with AH, a decrease in the serum antiviral, but not antibacterial, antibody repertoire was associated with decompensation and mortality. Ninety-day mortality in AH could be predicted using a serum viral epitope signature. CONCLUSIONS: Abstinence from alcohol is associated with a significant increase in serum viral and bacterial antibody response. Decreased serum antiviral antibody repertoire is predictive of decompensation of liver disease and mortality in patients with AH.

Porto-sinusoidal vascular liver disorder with portal hypertension: Natural history and long-term outcome.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Current knowledge of the natural history of patients with porto-sinusoidal vascular disorder (PSVD) is derived from small studies. The aim of the present study was to determine the natural history of PSVD and prognostic factors in a large multicenter cohort of patients. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study on patients with PSVD and signs of portal hypertension (PH) prospectively registered in 27 centers. RESULTS: A total of 587 patients were included, median age of 47 years and 38% were women. Four-hundred and one patients had an associated condition, which was graded as severe in 157. Median follow-up was 68 months. At diagnosis, 64% of patients were asymptomatic while 36% had a PH-related complication: PH-related bleeding in 112 patients, ascites in 117, and hepatic encephalopathy in 11. In those not presenting with bleeding, the incidence of first bleeding was 15% at 5 years, with a 5-year rebleeding rate of 18%. The 5-year cumulative incidence of new or worsening ascites was 18% and of developing PVT was 16%. Fifty (8.5%) patients received a liver transplantation and 109 (19%) died, including 55 non-liver-related deaths. Transplant-free survival was 97% and 83% at 1 and 5 years, respectively. Variables independently associated with transplant-free survival were age, ascites, serum bilirubin, albumin and creatinine levels at diagnosis and severe associated conditions. This allowed for the creation of a nomogram that accurately predicted prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: The prognosis of PSVD is strongly determined by the severity of the associated underlying conditions and parameters of liver and renal function. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Porto-sinusoidal vascular liver disorder (PSVD) is a rare entity that usually affects young people, frequently causes severe complications of portal hypertension, and may reduce life expectancy. To date, there is scarce information regarding its clinical manifestations, natural history and prognostic factors. The present study, including the largest number of patients with PSVD reported so far, shows that overall, when managed at centers of expertise, the prognosis of patients with PSVD is good, with LT-free survival rates of 83% and 72% at 5 and 10 years, respectively. Presence and severity of an underlying associated condition, presence of ascites, age and bilirubin, albumin and creatinine levels were associated with poor prognosis. These results are important to know for hepatologists. A final model combining these parameters enabled development of a nomogram that predicts prognosis with good discrimination and calibration capacity and can be easily applied in clinical practice.

Prophylactic antibiotics in patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis receiving steroids: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The benefits of prophylactic antibiotics in patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) receiving steroids remain unclear. We aimed to assess the clinical impact of prophylactic antibiotics in AH patients receiving steroids. METHODS: We systematically reviewed four electronic databases from inception to 30 November 2023. Pooled estimates were analysed using random-effects models. The primary outcome was 90-day survival. Secondary outcomes included infection at days 30 and 90 days, hepatorenal syndrome (HRS), acute kidney injury (AKI), hepatic encephalopathy (HE) and drug-related adverse events (AE). Trial sequential analyses were performed for the primary outcome of 90-day mortality. RESULTS: We screened 419 articles and included six eligible studies (four RCTs and two matched cohort studies) with a total of 510 patients. Compared to standard medical treatment (SMT), prophylactic antibiotics were associated with a lower risk of infection at 30 days (OR: 0.35, 95%CI: 0.20-0.59, I 2 = 0%), infection at 90 days (OR: 0.26, 95%CI: 0.10-0.67, I 2 = 0%) and a lower rate of HE (OR: 0.32, 95%CI: 0.12-0.87, I 2 = 0%). However, prophylactic antibiotics did not improve 90-day survival, sepsis-related mortality, HRS, or AKI. The risks of drug-related AE and fungal infections were similar in patients with AH who received prophylactic antibiotics or SMT. Using trial sequential analysis, the minimum sample size required to detect a 15% relative risk reduction in 90 days mortality with prophylactic antibiotics was 1171. CONCLUSIONS: In hospitalized AH patients receiving steroid therapy, prophylactic antibiotics reduced the risk of infection and HE, but did not improve survival or prevent AKI compared to SMT.

Ammonia and urea metabolism in acute liver failure: A multicentre cohort study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Ammonia is metabolized into urea in the liver. In acute liver failure (ALF), ammonia has been associated with survival. However, urea variation has been poorly studied. METHODS: Observational cohort including ALF patients from Curry Cabral Hospital (Lisbon, Portugal) and Clinic Hospital (Barcelona, Spain) between 10/2010 and 01/2023. The United States ALF Study Group cohort was used for external validation. Primary exposures were serum ammonia and urea on ICU admission. Primary endpoint was 30-day transplant-free survival (TFS). Secondary endpoint was explanted liver weight. RESULTS: Among 191 ALF patients, median (IQR) age was 46 (32; 57) years and 85 (44.5%) were males. Overall, 86 (45.0%) patients were transplanted and 75 (39.3%) died. Among all ALF patients, following adjustment for age, sex, body weight, and aetiology, higher ammonia or lower urea was independently associated with higher INR on ICU admission (p < .009). Among all ALF patients, following adjustment for sex, aetiology, and lactate, higher ammonia was independently associated with lower TFS (adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval [CI]) = 0.991 (0.985; 0.997); p = .004). This model predicted TFS with good discrimination (area under receiver operating curve [95% CI] = 0.78 [0.75; 0.82]) and reasonable calibration (R2 of 0.43 and Brier score of 0.20) after external validation. Among transplanted patients, following adjustment for age, sex, actual body weight, and aetiology, higher ammonia (p = .024) or lower (p < .001) urea was independently associated with lower explanted liver weight. CONCLUSIONS: Among ALF patients, serum ammonia and urea were associated with ALF severity. A score incorporating serum ammonia predicted TFS reasonably well.

Relationship between updated MELD and prognosis in alcohol-associated hepatitis: Opportunities for more efficient trial design.

BACKGROUND: Alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) is associated with significant mortality. Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score is used to predict short-term mortality and aid in treatment decisions. MELD is frequently updated in the course of AH. However, once the most updated MELD is known, it is uncertain if previous ones still have prognostic value, which might be relevant for transplant allocation and trial design. We aimed to investigate the predictive performance of updated MELDs in a prospectively collected cohort of patients with AH by the InTeam consortium. METHODS: Three hundred seven patients (with 859 MELD values within 60 d of admission) fulfilled the inclusion criteria. The main endpoint was time to death or transplant up to 90 days. We used a joint model approach to assess the predictive value of updated MELDs. RESULTS: Updated MELD measurements had a strong prognostic value for death/transplant (HR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.14-1.27) (p < 0.0001). Previous MELD values did not add predictive value to the most current MELD. We also showed that MELD at day 28 (MELD28) had a significant predictive value for subsequent mortality/transplant in a landmark analysis (HR: 1.18, 95% CI: 1.12-1.23). We show that the use of an ordinal scale including death, transplant, and MELD28 as a trial outcome could substantially reduce the sample size required to demonstrate short-term benefit of an intervention. CONCLUSION: We show that updated MELDs during the trajectory of AH predict subsequent mortality or the need for transplant. MELD28 inclusion in an ordinal outcome (together with death or transplant) could increase the efficiency of randomized controlled trials.

Faecal proteomics links neutrophil degranulation with mortality in patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) have a high mortality. Alcohol exacerbates liver damage by inducing gut dysbiosis, bacterial translocation and inflammation, which is characterised by increased numbers of circulating and hepatic neutrophils. DESIGN: In this study, we performed tandem mass tag (TMT) proteomics to analyse proteins in the faeces of controls (n=19), patients with alcohol-use disorder (AUD; n=20) and AH (n=80) from a multicentre cohort (InTeam). To identify protein groups that are disproportionately represented, we conducted over-representation analysis using Reactome pathway analysis and Gene Ontology to determine the proteins with the most significant impact. A faecal biomarker and its prognostic effect were validated by ELISA in faecal samples from patients with AH (n=70), who were recruited in a second and independent multicentre cohort (AlcHepNet). RESULT: Faecal proteomic profiles were overall significantly different between controls, patients with AUD and AH (principal component analysis p=0.001, dissimilarity index calculated by the method of Bray-Curtis). Proteins that showed notable differences across all three groups and displayed a progressive increase in accordance with the severity of alcohol-associated liver disease were predominantly those located in neutrophil granules. Over-representation and Reactome analyses confirmed that differentially regulated proteins are part of granules in neutrophils and the neutrophil degranulation pathway. Myeloperoxidase (MPO), the marker protein of neutrophil granules, correlates with disease severity and predicts 60-day mortality. Using an independent validation cohort, we confirmed that faecal MPO levels can predict short-term survival at 60 days. CONCLUSIONS: We found an increased abundance of faecal proteins linked to neutrophil degranulation in patients with AH, which is predictive of short-term survival and could serve as a prognostic non-invasive marker.

A roadmap for clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis.

Although metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is rapidly becoming a leading cause of cirrhosis worldwide, therapeutic options are limited and the number of clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis is low as compared to those conducted in earlier disease stages. Moreover, designing clinical trials in MASH cirrhosis presents a series of challenges regarding the understanding and conceptualization of the natural history, regulatory considerations, inclusion criteria, recruitment, end points and trial duration, among others. The first international workshop on the state of the art and future direction of clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis was held in April 2023 at Vall d'Hebron University Hospital in Barcelona (Spain) and was attended by a group of international experts on clinical trials from academia, regulatory agencies and industry, encompassing expertise in MASH, cirrhosis, portal hypertension, and regulatory affairs. The presented Roadmap summarizes important content of the workshop on current status, regulatory requirements and end points in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis clinical trials, exploring alternative study designs and highlighting the challenges that should be considered for upcoming studies on MASH cirrhosis.

Pharmacologic Treatment of Portal Hypertension.

Portal hypertension is the key mechanism driving the transition from compensated to decompensated cirrhosis. In this review, the authors described the pathophysiology of portal hypertension in cirrhosis and the rationale of pharmacologic treatment of portal hypertension. We discussed both etiologic and nonetiologic treatment of portal hypertension and the specific clinical scenarios how nonselective beta-blocker can be used in patients with cirrhosis. Finally, the authors summarized the evidence for emerging alternatives for portal hypertension in patients with cirrhosis.

Validating new coding algorithms to improve identification of alcohol-associated and nonalcohol-associated cirrhosis hospitalizations in administrative databases.

BACKGROUND: Alcohol (AC) and nonalcohol-associated cirrhosis (NAC) epidemiology studies are limited by available case definitions. We compared the diagnostic accuracy of previous and newly developed case definitions to identify AC and NAC hospitalizations. METHODS: We randomly selected 700 hospitalizations from the 2008 to 2022 Canadian Discharge Abstract Database with alcohol-associated and cirrhosis-related International Classification of Diseases 10th revision codes. We compared standard approaches for AC (ie, AC code alone and alcohol use disorder and nonspecific cirrhosis codes together) and NAC (ie, NAC codes alone) case identification to newly developed approaches that combine standard approaches with new code combinations. Using electronic medical record review as the reference standard, we calculated case definition positive and negative predictive values, sensitivity, specificity, and AUROC. RESULTS: Electronic medical records were available for 671 admissions; 252 had confirmed AC and 195 NAC. Compared to previous AC definitions, the newly developed algorithm selecting for the AC code, alcohol-associated hepatic failure code, or alcohol use disorder code with a decompensated cirrhosis-related condition or NAC code provided the best overall positive predictive value (91%, 95% CI: 87-95), negative predictive value (89%, CI: 86-92), sensitivity (81%, CI: 76-86), specificity (96%, CI: 93-97), and AUROC (0.88, CI: 0.85-0.91). Comparing all evaluated NAC definitions, high sensitivity (92%, CI: 87-95), specificity (82%, CI: 79-86), negative predictive value (96%, CI: 94-98), AUROC (0.87, CI: 0.84-0.90), but relatively low positive predictive value (68%, CI: 62-74) were obtained by excluding alcohol use disorder codes and using either a NAC code in any diagnostic position or a primary diagnostic code for HCC, unspecified/chronic hepatic failure, esophageal varices without bleeding, or hepatorenal syndrome. CONCLUSIONS: New case definitions show enhanced accuracy for identifying hospitalizations for AC and NAC compared to previously used approaches.

Cost-Effectiveness of the Baveno VI Criteria Compared With Endoscopy for High-Risk Varices in Patients With Child-Pugh A Cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Although upper gastrointestinal endoscopy (EGD) remains the gold standard for detecting varices in cirrhosis, the Baveno VI criteria proposed a combination of transient elastography and platelet count that could rule out high-risk varices, therefore sparing the need for an endoscopy, with significant potential cost savings. We performed a cost-effectiveness analysis of the Baveno VI criteria compared with EGD in the diagnosis of high-risk varices in cirrhosis. METHODS: We built an analytical decision model to estimate the cost and benefits of using the Baveno VI criteria compared with EGD in patients with Child-Pugh A cirrhosis. The analysis was performed from the UK National Health Service perspective, over 1, 5, and 20 years. A Markov model was populated with data from published evidence. Outcomes were measured in terms of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and avoided deaths. The analyses were repeated for Canada and Spain, using relevant cost inputs. RESULTS: The Baveno VI criteria were cost effective compared with endoscopy in all analyses. For 1000 patients, they produced 0.16 additional QALYs at an incremental cost of £326 ($443.41) over 5 years, resulting in an incremental cost of £2081 ($2830) per additional QALY gained. The incremental net monetary benefit of Baveno VI compared with EGD was £2808 ($3819) over 5 years per patient. Baveno VI criteria also were cost effective in Canada and Spain. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis supported these findings. CONCLUSIONS: The findings demonstrate that the Baveno VI criteria are cost effective, suggesting that they should be considered for widespread implementation on the basis of safety, appropriateness, and economic grounds.

Comparing serial and current liver stiffness measurements to predict decompensation in compensated advanced chronic liver disease patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The utility of serial liver stiffness measurements (LSM) to predict decompensation in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) remains unclear. We aimed to validate whether comparing serial LSM is superior to using the current LSM to predict liver-related events (LRE) in patients with cACLD. APPROACH AND RESULTS: In this retrospective analysis of an international registry, patients with cACLD and serial LSM were followed up until index LRE. We compared the performance of both the dynamic LSM changes and the current LSM in predicting LRE using Cox regression analysis, considering time zero of follow-up as the date of latest liver stiffness measurement. In all, 480 patients with cACLD with serial LSM were included from 5 countries. The commonest etiology of cACLD was viral (53%) and MASLD (34%). Over a median follow-up of 68 (IQR: 45 -92) months, 32% experienced a LSM decrease to levels below 10kPa (resolved cACLD) and 5.8% experienced LRE. Resolved cACLD were more likely to be nondiabetic and had better liver function. While a higher value of the current LSM was associated with higher LREs, LSM changes over time (LSM slope) were not associated with LRE. In multivariable Cox regression, neither the prior LSM nor the LSM slope added predictive value to latest liver stiffness measurement. CONCLUSIONS: Once the current LSM is known, previous LSM values do not add to the prediction of LREs in patients with cACLD.

The impact of colonization by multidrug resistant bacteria on graft survival, risk of infection, and mortality in recipients of solid organ transplant: systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The Global increase in colonization by multidrug-resistant (MDR) bacteria poses a significant concern. The precise impact of MDR colonization in solid organ transplant recipients (SOTR) remains not well established. OBJECTIVES: To assess the impact of MDR colonization on SOTR's mortality, infection, or graft loss. METHODS AND DATA SOURCES: Data from PROSPERO, OVID Medline, OVID EMBASE, Wiley Cochrane Library, ProQuest Dissertations, Theses Global, and SCOPUS were systematically reviewed, spanning from inception until 20 March 2023. The study protocol was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42022290011) and followed the PRISMA guidelines. STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA, PARTICIPANTS, INTERVENTIONS, AND ASSESSMENT OF RISK OF BIAS: Cohorts and case-control studies that reported on adult SOTR colonized by Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), vancomycin-resistant enterococci (VRE), extended-spectrum ß-lactamase (ESBL) or carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae. (CRE), or MDR-pseudomonas, and compared to noncolonized, were included. Two reviewers assessed eligibility, conducted a risk of bias evaluation using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, and rated certainty of evidence using the GRADE approach. METHODS OF DATA SYNTHESIS: We employed RevMan for a meta-analysis, using random-effects models to compute pooled odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Statistical heterogeneity was determined using the I2 statistic. RESULTS: 15,202 SOTR (33 cohort, six case-control studies) were included, where liver transplant and VRE colonization (25 and 14 studies) were predominant. MDR colonization significantly increased posttransplant 1-year mortality (OR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.63-3.38) and mixed infections (OR, 10.74; 95% CI, 7.56-12.26) across transplant types (p < 0.001 and I2 = 58%), but no detected impact on graft loss (p 0.41, I2 = 0). Subgroup analysis indicated a higher association between CRE or ESBL colonization with outcomes (CRE: death OR, 3.94; mixed infections OR, 24.8; ESBL: mixed infections OR, 10.3; no mortality data) compared to MRSA (Death: OR, 2.25; mixed infection: OR, 7.75) or VRE colonization (Death: p 0.20, mixed infections: OR, 5.71). CONCLUSIONS: MDR colonization in SOTR, particularly CRE, is associated with increased mortality. Despite the low certainty of the evidence, actions to prevent MDR colonization in transplant candidates are warranted.

Full adherence to cirrhosis quality indicators is associated with lower mortality in acute variceal bleeding: Nationwide audit.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Acute variceal bleeding (AVB) is a major complication in patients with cirrhosis. Using a nationwide AVB audit, we performed a nested cohort study to determine whether full adherence to the AVB quality indicator (QI) improves clinical outcomes in patients with cirrhosis and AVB. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We assessed real-world adherence to AVB QI among patients with cirrhosis admitted for AVB in all public hospitals in Singapore between January 2015 and December 2020. Full adherence was considered when all 5 QIs were fulfilled: prophylactic antibiotics, vasoactive agents, timely endoscopy, endoscopic hemostasis during index endoscopy, and nonselective beta-blockers after AVB. We compare 6-week mortality between the full adherence and suboptimal adherence groups using a propensity-matched cohort.A total of 989 patients with AVB were included. Full adherence to all AVB QI was suboptimal (56.5%). Analysis of the propensity-matched cohort with comparable baseline characteristics showed that full adherence was associated with a lower risk of early infection (20.0% vs. 26.9%), early rebleeding (5.2% vs. 10.2%), and mortality at 6 weeks (8.2% vs. 19.7%) and 1 year (21.3% vs. 35.4%) ( p <0.05 for all). While full adherence was associated with a lower 6-week mortality regardless of the MELD score, nonadherence was associated with a higher 6-week mortality despite a lower predicted risk of 6-week mortality. Despite high adherence to the recommended process measures, patients with CTP-C remain at a higher risk of rebleeding, 6-week and 1-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Full adherence to the AVB QI should be the target for quality improvement in patients with cirrhosis.

Serum aryl hydrocarbon receptor activity is associated with survival in patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) have an altered fecal metabolome, including reduced microbiota-derived tryptophan metabolites, which function as ligands for aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AhR). The aim of this study was to assess serum AhR ligand activity in patients with AH. APPROACH AND RESULTS: The study included 74 controls without AUD, 97 patients with AUD, and 330 patients with AH from 2 different multicenter cohorts (InTeam: 134, AlcHepNet: 196). Serum AhR activity was evaluated using an AhR reporter assay with HepG2-Lucia cells incubated with serum for 24 hours. Serum AhR activity was significantly higher in patients with AH compared with both controls (1.59 vs. 0.96-fold change, p < 0.001) and patients with AUD (1.59 vs. 0.93, p < 0.001). In both AH cohorts, patients with AhR activity ≥ 2.09 had significantly lower cumulative survival rates at 30, 60, 90, and 180 days compared to those with AhR activity < 2.09. When serum AhR activity was used to further stratify patients with severe AH, the cumulative 30, 60, 90, and 180-day survival rates for patients with severe AH and the AhR activity ≥ 2.09 group were all significantly lower than those with an AhR activity < 2.09 group. CONCLUSIONS: Serum AhR activity was significantly higher in patients with AH compared with controls and individuals with AUD, and this increased activity was associated with higher mortality. Consequently, serum AhR activity holds potential as a prognostic marker.

Enhancing ACLF prediction by integrating sarcopenia assessment and frailty in liver transplant candidates on the waiting list.

Background & Aims: Malnutrition, sarcopenia, and frailty are prevalent in cirrhosis. We aimed to assess the correlation between assessment tools for malnutrition, sarcopenia, and frailty in patients on the liver transplant (LT) waiting list (WL), and to identify a predictive model for acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) development. Methods: This prospective single-center study enrolled consecutive patients with cirrhosis on the WL for LT (May 2019-November 2021). Assessments included subjective global assessment, CT body composition, skeletal muscle index (SMI), ultrasound thigh muscle thickness, sarcopenia HIBA score, liver frailty index (LFI), hand grip strength, and 6-minute walk test at enrollment. Correlations were analyzed using Pearson's correlation. Competing risk regression analysis was used to assess the predictive ability of the liver- and functional physiological reserve-related variables for ACLF. Results: A total of 132 patients, predominantly with decompensated cirrhosis (87%), were included. Our study revealed a high prevalence of malnutrition (61%), sarcopenia (61%), visceral obesity (20%), sarcopenic visceral obesity (17%), and frailty (10%) among participants. Correlations between the assessment tools for sarcopenia and frailty were poor. Sarcopenia by SMI remained prevalent when frailty assessments were not usable. After a median follow-up of 10 months, 39% of the patients developed ACLF on WL, while 28% experienced dropouts without ACLF. Multivariate analysis identified MELD-Na, SMI, and LFI as independent predictors of ACLF on the WL. The predictive model MELD-Na-sarcopenia-LFI had a C-statistic of 0.85. Conclusions: The poor correlation between sarcopenia assessment tools and frailty underscores the importance of a comprehensive evaluation. The SMI, LFI, and MELD-Na independently predicted ACLF development in WL. These findings enhance our understanding of the relationship between sarcopenia, frailty, and ACLF in patients awaiting LT, emphasizing the need for early detection and intervention to improve WL outcomes. Impact and implications: The relationship between sarcopenia and frailty assessment tools, as well as their ability to predict acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in patients on the liver transplant (LT) waiting list (WL), remains poorly understood. Existing objective frailty screening tests have limitations when applied to critically ill patients. The correlation between sarcopenia and frailty assessment tools was weak, suggesting that they may capture different phenotypes. Sarcopenia assessed by skeletal muscle index, frailty evaluated using the liver frailty index, and the model for end-stage liver disease-Na score independently predicted the development of ACLF in patients on the WL. Our findings support the integration of liver frailty index and skeletal muscle index assessments at the time of inclusion on the WL for LT. This combined approach allows for the identification of a specific patient subgroup with an increased susceptibility to ACLF, underscoring the importance of early implementation of targeted treatment strategies to improve outcomes for patients awaiting LT.