RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) remains one of the world's most known aggressive malignancies with a high mortality rate. Molecular biological analysis and bioinformatics are of great importance as they have recently occupied a large area in the studies related to the identification of various biomarkers to predict survival for LUAD patients. In our study, we attempted to identify a new prognostic model by developing a new algorithm to calculate the allele frequency deviation (AFD), which in turn may assist in the early diagnosis and prediction of clinical outcomes in LUAD. METHOD: First, a new algorithm was developed to calculate AFD using the whole-exome sequencing (WES) dataset. Then, AFD was measured for 102 patients, and the predictive power of AFD was assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and area under the curve (AUC). Finally, multivariable cox regression analyses were conducted to evaluate the independence of AFD as an independent prognostic tool. RESULT: The Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that AFD effectively segregated patients with LUAD into high-AFD-value and low-AFD-value risk groups (hazard ratio HR = 1.125, 95% confidence interval CI 1.001-1.26, p = 0.04) in the training group. Moreover, the overall survival (OS) of patients who belong to the high-AFD-value group was significantly shorter than that of patients who belong to the low-AFD-value group with 42.8% higher risk and 10% lower risk of death for both groups respectively (HR for death = 1.10; 95% CI 1.01-1.2, p = 0.03) in the training group. Similar results were obtained in the validation group (HR = 4.62, 95% CI 1.22-17.4, p = 0.02) with 41.6%, and 5.5% risk of death for patients who belong to the high and low-AFD-value groups respectively. Univariate and multivariable cox regression analyses demonstrated that AFD is an independent prognostic model for patients with LUAD. The AUC for 5-year survival were 0.712 and 0.86 in the training and validation groups, respectively. CONCLUSION: AFD was identified as a new independent prognostic model that could provide a prognostic tool for physicians and contribute to treatment decisions.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is one of the most common types in the world with a high mortality rate. Despite advances in treatment strategies, the overall survival (OS) remains short. Our study aims to establish a reliable prognostic signature closely related to the survival of LUAD patients that can better predict prognosis and possibly help with individual monitoring of LUAD patients. METHODS: Raw RNA-sequencing data were obtained from Fudan University and used as a training group. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) for the training group were screened. The univariate, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), and multivariate cox regression analysis were conducted to identify the candidate prognostic genes and construct the risk score model. Kaplan-Meier analysis, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used to evaluate the prognostic power and performance of the signature. Moreover, The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA-LUAD) dataset was further used to validate the predictive ability of prognostic signature. RESULTS: A prognostic signature consisting of seven prognostic-related genes was constructed using the training group. The 7-gene prognostic signature significantly grouped patients in high and low-risk groups in terms of overall survival in the training cohort [hazard ratio, HR = 8.94, 95% confidence interval (95% CI)] [2.041-39.2]; P = 0.0004), and in the validation cohort (HR = 2.41, 95% CI [1.779-3.276]; P < 0.0001). Cox regression analysis (univariate and multivariate) demonstrated that the seven-gene signature is an independent prognostic biomarker for predicting the survival of LUAD patients. ROC curves revealed that the 7-gene prognostic signature achieved a good performance in training and validation groups (AUC = 0.91, AUC = 0.7 respectively) in predicting OS for LUAD patients. Furthermore, the stratified analysis of the signature showed another classification to predict the prognosis. CONCLUSION: Our study suggested a new and reliable prognostic signature that has a significant implication in predicting overall survival for LUAD patients and may help with early diagnosis and making effective clinical decisions regarding potential individual treatment.