RESUMO
BACKGROUND: The vasoconstricting peptide endothelin-1 (ET-1) is associated with endothelial dysfunction. The aim of this paper was to investigate whether circulating ET-1 levels predicts chronic kidney disease (CKD) in a prospective population study. METHODS: In 2002-2005, 2816 participants (30-74 years) were randomly selected from two municipalities in South-Western Sweden and followed up in a representative sample of 1327 individuals after 10 years. Endothelin-1 levels were assessed at baseline. Outcome was defined as CKD stage 3 or above based on eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73m2. Those 1314 participants with successful analysis of ET-1 were further analyzed using binary logistic regression. RESULTS: At follow-up, 51 (8%) men and 47 (7,8%) women had CKD stage 3 and above. Based on levels of ET-1 the population was divided into quintiles showing that women in the highest quintile (n = 132) had a significantly increased risk of developing CKD during the follow up period (OR = 2.54, 95% CI:1.19-5.45, p = 0.02) compared with the other quintiles (1-4). The association was borderline significant after adjusted for age, current smoking, alcohol consumption, hypertension, diabetes, BMI, high- sensitive CRP and LDL-cholesterol (OR = 2.25, 95% CI:0.97-5.24, p = 0.06). No significant differences were observed between quintiles of ET-1 and development of CKD in men (NS). CONCLUSIONS: High levels of ET-1 are associated with development of CKD in women.