Impact of performance and information feedback on medical interns' confidence-accuracy calibration.

Diagnostic errors are a major, largely preventable, patient safety concern. Error interventions cannot feasibly be implemented for every patient that is seen. To identify cases at high risk of error, clinicians should have a good calibration between their perceived and actual accuracy. This experiment studied the impact of feedback on medical interns' calibration and diagnostic process. In a two-phase experiment, 125 medical interns from Dutch University Medical Centers were randomized to receive no feedback (control), feedback on their accuracy (performance feedback), or feedback with additional information on why a certain diagnosis was correct (information feedback) on 20 chest X-rays they diagnosed in a feedback phase. A test phase immediately followed this phase and had all interns diagnose an additional 10 X-rays without feedback. Outcome measures were confidence-accuracy calibration, diagnostic accuracy, confidence, and time to diagnose. Both feedback types improved overall confidence-accuracy calibration (R2No Feedback = 0.05, R2Performance Feedback = 0.12, R2Information Feedback = 0.19), in line with the individual improvements in diagnostic accuracy and confidence. We also report secondary analyses to examine how case difficulty affected calibration. Time to diagnose did not differ between conditions. Feedback improved interns' calibration. However, it is unclear whether this improvement reflects better confidence estimates or an improvement in accuracy. Future research should examine more experienced participants and non-visual specialties. Our results suggest that feedback is an effective intervention that could be beneficial as a tool to improve calibration, especially in cases that are not too difficult for learners.

Developing priorities for quality improvement in acute medicine using a modified Delphi method A consensus process hosted by the Society for Acute Medicine Quality Improvement Committee (SAM-QI).

INTRODUCTION: The SAM Quality Improvement Committee (SAM-QI), set up in 2016, has worked over the last year to determine the priority Acute Medicine QI topics. They have also discussed and put forward proposals to improve QI training for Acute Medicine professionals. METHODS: A modified Delphi process was completed over four rounds to determine priority QI topics. Online meetings were also used to develop proposals for QI training. RESULTS: Same Day Emergency Care (SDEC) was chosen as the priority topic for QI work within Acute Medicine. CONCLUSION: The SAM-QI group settled on SDEC being the priority topic for Acute Medicine QI development. Throughout the Delphi process SAM-QI has also developed proposals for QI training that will help Acute Medicine professionals deliver coordinated meaningful improvements in care.

Potential therapies for sodium azide intoxication; a case report and review of the literature.

Intoxications with sodium azide are rare and in almost all cases lethal in doses above 700 mg or 10mg/kg. We report a case of a patient who ingested 2 grams of sodium azide as a suicide attempt. Sodium azide irreversible blocks cytochrome C oxidase by inhibiting oxidative phosphorylation leading to cell death. There is currently no antidote available. Our patient was treated with a range of therapies, on site, in the emergency department and in the intensive care unit, such as sodium thiosulphate, methylene blue, intralipid, extensive gastric lavage, whole bowel irrigation combined with pro-kinetics, hydroxocobalamin and exchange transfusion. During the clinical course the patient developed cardiac failure, for which veno-arterial ECMO and an intra-aortic balloon pump was placed. However, cardiac function did not recover, leading to discontinuation of treatment after 7 days. As literature on sodium azide intoxication is scarce, we conducted a review to present potential treatment options.

Does a suggested diagnosis in a general practitioners' referral question impact diagnostic reasoning: an experimental study.

BACKGROUND: Diagnostic errors are a major cause of preventable patient harm. Studies suggest that presenting inaccurate diagnostic suggestions can cause errors in physicians' diagnostic reasoning processes. It is common practice for general practitioners (GPs) to suggest a diagnosis when referring a patient to secondary care. However, it remains unclear via which underlying processes this practice can impact diagnostic performance. This study therefore examined the effect of a diagnostic suggestion in a GP's referral letter to the emergency department on the diagnostic performance of medical interns. METHODS: Medical interns diagnosed six clinical cases formatted as GP referral letters in a randomized within-subjects experiment. They diagnosed two referral letters stating a main complaint without a diagnostic suggestion (control), two stating a correct suggestion, and two stating an incorrect suggestion. The referral question and case order were randomized. We analysed the effect of the referral question on interns' diagnostic accuracy, number of differential diagnoses, confidence, and time taken to diagnose. RESULTS: Forty-four medical interns participated. Interns considered more diagnoses in their differential without a suggested diagnosis (M = 1.85, SD = 1.09) than with a suggested diagnosis, independent of whether this suggestion was correct (M = 1.52, SD = 0.96, d = 0.32) or incorrect ((M = 1.42, SD = 0.97, d = 0.41), χ2(2) =7.6, p = 0.022). The diagnostic suggestion did not influence diagnostic accuracy (χ2(2) = 1.446, p = 0.486), confidence, (χ2(2) = 0.058, p = 0.971) or time to diagnose (χ2(2) = 3.128, p = 0.209). CONCLUSIONS: A diagnostic suggestion in a GPs referral letter did not influence subsequent diagnostic accuracy, confidence, or time to diagnose for medical interns. However, a correct or incorrect suggestion reduced the number of diagnoses considered. It is important for healthcare providers and teachers to be aware of this phenomenon, as fostering a broad differential could support learning. Future research is necessary to examine whether these findings generalize to other healthcare workers, such as more experienced specialists or triage nurses, whose decisions might affect the diagnostic process later on. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study protocol was preregistered and is available online at Open Science Framework ( https://osf.io/7de5g ).

Moving Beyond the Status Quo of Integrated Inpatient Medical and Psychiatric Care Units: The Path to Real-World Evaluation.

Integrated inpatient medical and psychiatric care units (IMPUs) are hospital wards that care for inpatients with both acute general medical and psychiatric disorders. IMPU development has stalled, and wide variation in IMPU designs may reflect the fact that IMPUs are still in an early evolutionary stage. High-quality evidence concerning the costs and effectiveness of IMPUs is sparse, because IMPUs do not lend themselves well to traditional evidence-based medicine methods. As a result, most studies of IMPUs have been only observational. Therefore, it is time for a different approach, in which goals for IMPUs are explicitly formulated and IMPU research is incorporated into evidence-based practice (EBP) instead of evidence-based medicine. EBP can be viewed as integrating best available evidence into organizational practices by using four pillars of evidence: organizational, experiential, stakeholder, and scientific. Such types of evidence require an investment in describing the field more precisely. When pragmatic reasoning, where clinical expertise and organizational needs determine IMPU designs, is replaced with EBP, researchers can more effectively perform studies that may convince health care policy makers that IMPUs represent a cost-effective way to improve patients' health and that they increase the well-being of both patients and hospital staff.

The relationship between time to diagnose and diagnostic accuracy among internal medicine residents: a randomized experiment.

BACKGROUND: Diagnostic errors have been attributed to cognitive biases (reasoning shortcuts), which are thought to result from fast reasoning. Suggested solutions include slowing down the reasoning process. However, slower reasoning is not necessarily more accurate than faster reasoning. In this study, we studied the relationship between time to diagnose and diagnostic accuracy. METHODS: We conducted a multi-center within-subjects experiment where we prospectively induced availability bias (using Mamede et al.'s methodology) in 117 internal medicine residents. Subsequently, residents diagnosed cases that resembled those bias cases but had another correct diagnosis. We determined whether residents were correct, incorrect due to bias (i.e. they provided the diagnosis induced by availability bias) or due to other causes (i.e. they provided another incorrect diagnosis) and compared time to diagnose. RESULTS: We did not successfully induce bias: no significant effect of availability bias was found. Therefore, we compared correct diagnoses to all incorrect diagnoses. Residents reached correct diagnoses faster than incorrect diagnoses (115 s vs. 129 s, p < .001). Exploratory analyses of cases where bias was induced showed a trend of time to diagnose for bias diagnoses to be more similar to correct diagnoses (115 s vs 115 s, p = .971) than to other errors (115 s vs 136 s, p = .082). CONCLUSIONS: We showed that correct diagnoses were made faster than incorrect diagnoses, even within subjects. Errors due to availability bias may be different: exploratory analyses suggest a trend that biased cases were diagnosed faster than incorrect diagnoses. The hypothesis that fast reasoning leads to diagnostic errors should be revisited, but more research into the characteristics of cognitive biases is important because they may be different from other causes of diagnostic errors.

Prediction admission in the older population in the Emergency Department: the CLEARED tool.

BACKGROUND: Length of stay (LOS) in the Emergency Department (ED) is correlated with an extended in-hospital LOS and may even increase 30-day mortality. Older patients represent a growing population in the ED and they are especially at risk of adverse outcomes. Screening tools that adequately predict admission could help reduce waiting times in the ED and reduce time to treatment. We aimed to develop and validate a clinical prediction tool for admission, applicable to the aged patient population in the ED. METHODS: Data from 7,606 ED visits of patients aged 70 years and older between 2012 and 2014 were used to develop the CLEARED tool. Model performance was assessed with discrimination using logistic regression and calibration. The model was internally validated by bootstrap resampling in Erasmus Medical Center and externally validated at two other hospitals, Medisch Spectrum Twente (MST) and Leiden University Medical Centre (LUMC). RESULTS: CLEARED contains 10 predictors: body temperature, heart rate, diastolic blood pressure, systolic blood pressure, oxygen saturation, respiratory rate, referral status, the Manchester Triage System category, and the need for laboratory or radiology testing. The internally validated area under the curve (AUC) was 0.766 (95% CI [0.759;0.781]). External validation in MST showed an AUC of 0.797 and in LUMC, an AUC of 0.725. CONCLUSIONS: The developed CLEARED tool reliably predicts admission in elderly patients visiting the ED. It is a promising prompt, although further research is needed to implement the tool and to investigate the benefits in terms of reduction of crowding and LOS in the ED.

A diagnostic tool for self-poisoned patients: Analysis of gastric content and lavage fluids.

Approximately 500 patients per year are admitted to the emergency department (ED) of the Erasmus University Medical Center presenting with intoxications with medication. For adequate treatment, it is sometimes important to know which drugs in which quantities were ingested. This can require laboratory analysis of blood or urine samples; however, these samples do not provide information about the possible effects that can still be expected. We performed toxicological screening on the gastric content of three patients admitted to our ED in January and February 2018. These patients underwent gastric lavage or received a gastric tube as part of routine care. The gastric fluid was analysed via UPLC-MS/MS using the Waters method for toxicological screening. In all three patients, we successfully determined drugs in the gastric content. In two patients, we identified more different drugs in the gastric content than in blood plasma. In the other patient, admitted approximately six hours after a severe autointoxication with the betablocker metoprolol, we found significant amounts of metoprolol in the gastric content acquired by gastric lavage. We therefore believe that analysis of gastric content after an intoxication can have multiple applications; for example, it may provide information about symptoms of intoxication that can be expected, it may aid patient care and may provide insight in the toxicokinetics of different drugs. In conclusion, we demonstrate that toxicological screening and quantification of drug levels in gastric content is possible and has potential as an adjunct in patient care, but limitations need to be addressed before implementation in clinical practice.

An unhealthy blush - secondary erythrocytosis due to waterpipe smoking.

INTRODUCTION: We present a case of a patient with a chronic carbon monoxide (CO) intoxication with facial plethora due to secondary erythrocytosis. CASE DETAILS: A 22-year-old male was referred by the dermatologist to our outpatient clinic for evaluation of polycythaemia. Laboratory results showed secondary erythrocytosis. After an extensive diagnostic evaluation, we diagnosed a chronic CO intoxication (carboxyhaemoglobin (COHb) level of 21%) without apparent complaints and facial plethora as the only clinical sign. The patient denied smoking tobacco or use of illicit drugs. On inspection of his house by the fire department, a waterpipe was found in his bedroom, which he used daily, according to his father. CO measurements in the house were normal. We treated the patient with high flow oxygen and advised him to quit smoking the waterpipe. Within a few weeks, the erythrocytosis normalised. DISCUSSION: We propose to test for the presence of an elevated COHb in all patients with a normal or high erythropoietin level. The test is not expensive and can easily be included as part of an examination, since CO intoxication has potentially disastrous consequences, and, as is illustrated with this case, chronic CO poisoning can be virtually asymptomatic. Not all individuals consider smoking a waterpipe the same as smoking or drugs, and therefore physicians need to specifically ask for its use.

A cross-sectional investigation of communication in Do-Not-Resuscitate orders in Dutch hospitals.

BACKGROUND: The decision to attempt or refrain from resuscitation is preferably based on prognostic factors for outcome and subsequently communicated with patients. Both patients and physicians consider good communication important, however little is known about patient involvement in and understanding of cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) directives. AIM: To determine the prevalence of Do Not Resuscitate (DNR)-orders, to describe recollection of CPR-directive conversations and factors associated with patient recollection and understanding. METHODS: This was a two-week nationwide multicentre cross-sectional observational study using a study-specific survey. The study population consisted of patients admitted to non-monitored wards in 13 hospitals. Data were collected from the electronic medical record (EMR) concerning CPR-directive, comorbidity and at-home medication. Patients reported their perception and expectations about CPR-counselling through a questionnaire. RESULTS: A total of 1136 patients completed the questionnaire. Patients' CPR-directives were documented in the EMR as follows: 63.7% full code, 27.5% DNR and in 8.8% no directive was documented. DNR was most often documented for patients >80 years (66.4%) and in patients using >10 medications (45.3%). Overall, 55.8% of patients recalled having had a conversation about their CPR-directive and 48.1% patients reported the same CPR-directive as the EMR. Most patients had a good experience with the CPR-directive conversation in general (66.1%), as well as its timing (84%) and location (94%) specifically. CONCLUSIONS: The average DNR-prevalence is 27.5%. Correct understanding of their CPR-directive is lowest in patients aged ≥80 years and multimorbid patients. CPR-directive counselling should focus more on patient involvement and their correct understanding.

The APOP screener and clinical outcomes in older hospitalised internal medicine patients.

BACKGROUND: Acutely hospitalised older patients with indications related to internal medicine have high risks of adverse outcomes. We investigated whether risk stratification using the Acutely Presenting Older Patient (APOP) screening tool associates with clinical outcomes in this patient group. METHODS: Patients aged ≥ 70 years who visited the Emergency Department (ED) and were acutely hospitalised for internal medicine were followed prospectively. The APOP screener assesses demographics, physical and cognitive function at ED presentation, and predicts 3-month mortality and functional decline in the older ED population. Patients with a predicted risk ≥ 45% were considered 'high risk'. Clinical outcome was hospital length of stay (LOS), and adverse outcomes were mortality and functional decline, 3 and 12 months after hospitalisation. RESULTS: We included 319 patients, with a median age of 80 (IQR 74-85) years, of whom 94 (29.5%) were categorised as 'high risk' by the APOP screener. These patients had a longer hospital LOS compared to 'low risk' patients 5 (IQR 3-10) vs. 3 (IQR 1-7) days, respectively; p = 0.006). At 3 months, adverse outcomes were more frequent in 'high risk' patients compared to 'low risk' patients (59.6% vs. 34.7%, respectively; p < 0.001). At 12 months, adverse outcomes (67.0% vs. 46.2%, respectively; p = 0.001) and mortality (48.9% vs. 28.0%, respectively; p < 0.001) were greater in 'high risk' compared to 'low risk' patients. CONCLUSION: The APOP screener identifies acutely hospitalised internal medicine patients at high risk for poor short and long-term outcomes. Early risk stratification at admission could aid in individualised treatment decisions to optimise outcomes for older patients.

Prediction models for mortality in adult patients visiting the Emergency Department: a systematic review.

We provide a systematic overview of literature on prediction models for mortality in the Emergency Department (ED). We searched various databases for observational studies in the ED or similar setting describing prediction models for short-term mortality (up to 30 days or in-hospital mortality) in a non-trauma population. We used the CHARMS-checklist for quality assessment. We found a total of 14.768 articles and included 17 articles, describing 22 models. Model performance ranged from AUC 0.63-0.93. Most articles had a moderate risk of bias in one or more domains. The full model and PARIS model performed best, but are not yet ready for implementation. There is a need for validation studies to compare multiple prediction models and to evaluate their accuracy.

Urinary tract infections in a university hospital: pathogens and antibiotic susceptibility.

BACKGROUND: A substantial group of patients visit the emergency department (ED) with complaints of urinary tract infections (UTI). Treatment advice is based on national and local public health surveillance data. It is unclear whether this advice is adequate for hospitals with selected patient populations, such as university hospitals. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study on patients visiting the ED of the Erasmus University Medical Center (Erasmus MC) in the Netherlands from January 1st, 2013 until December 31st, 2014 with a suspected complicated UTI (cUTI) and positive urinary cultures. Patient data, data concerning the ED visit and microbiological data were analysed. RESULTS: 439 patients visited the ED, of whom 429 had a cUTI. Our results were compared with NethMap data. Distribution of uropathogens was comparable with the overall distribution in the Netherlands. Antibiotic susceptibility was comparable for intravenous antibiotics, but was lower for oral antibiotics. Susceptibility for empiric antibiotic therapy (i.e., cefuroxime and gentamyicin) was 96.2%. Pathogens differed from the index culture in 56.2% 104/185) of the urinary cultures available from the previous year. Using logistic regression, we found that a shorter time between last admission to the initiated antibiotic regimen was associated with lower susceptibility of cultured uropathogens. CONCLUSION: The distribution and antibiotic susceptibility of uropathogens for intravenous antibiotics in a Dutch university hospital is comparable with overall distribution in the Netherlands. Empiric antibiotic therapy in our local guideline appears to be an adequate antibiotic regimen for cUTI and we therefore recommend treating patients accordingly. Extension of the chosen regimen based on earlier cultured pathogens is advised, and narrowing of the antibiotic regimen strongly discouraged.

Postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (POTS): a common but unfamiliar syndrome.

Postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (POTS) is a condition in which a change from a supine to an upright position causes an abnormally large increase in heart rate which may be accompanied by a variety of physical complaints. We report two cases illustrating the heterogeneity of this syndrome. We give an update on the etiology of POTS, which is still poorly understood, and its overlap with other syndromes such as chronic fatigue syndrome. Clinicians should be aware of POTS, a fairly common clinical entity, that can result in significant impairments to a patient's quality of life. Lifestyle measures (under which adequate fluid and salt intake, exercise) are a first line of treatment; if insufficient, pharmacotherapy can be considered to improve quality of life.

Optimization of the APOP screener to predict functional decline or mortality in older emergency department patients: Cross-validation in four prospective cohorts.

INTRODUCTION: Many screening instruments to predict adverse health outcomes in older patients visiting the emergency department (ED) have been developed, but successful implementation has been hampered because they are insufficiently validated or not tailored for the intended use of everyday clinical practice. The present study aims to refine and validate an existing screening instrument (the APOP screener) to predict 90-day functional decline or mortality in older ED patients. METHODS: Consecutive older patients (≥70 years) visiting the EDs of four hospitals were included and prospectively followed. First, an expert panel used predefined criteria to decide which independent predictors (including demographics, illness severity and geriatric parameters) were suitable for refinement of the model predicting functional decline or mortality after 90 days. Second, the model was cross-validated in all four hospitals and predictive performance was assessed. Additionally, a pilot study among triage nurses experiences and clinical usability of the APOP screener was conducted. RESULTS: In total 2629 older patients were included, with a median age of 79 years (IQR 74-84). After 90 days 805 patients (30.6%) experienced functional decline or mortality. The refined prediction model included age, gender, way of arrival, need of regular help, need help in bathing/showering, hospitalization the prior six months and impaired cognition. Calibration was good and cross-validation was successful with a pooled area under the curve of 0.71 (0.69-0.73). In the top 20% patients predicted to be at highest risk in total 58% (95%CI 54%-62%) experienced functional decline or mortality. Triage nurses found the screener well suited for clinical use, with room for improvement. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, optimization of the APOP screener resulted in a short and more simplified screener, which adequately identifies older ED patients at highest risk for functional decline or mortality. The findings of the pilot study were promising for clinical use.

[Hypertension en orthostatic hypotension during use of monoamine oxidase (MAO) inhibitors]. / Hypertensie en orthostatische hypotensie bij gebruik van monoamine-oxidase(MAO)-remmers1.

Monoamine oxidase (mao) inhibitors are antidepressants with potentially severe side-effects. For this reason, the registration of this drug was suspended for some time when safer alternatives became available. However, mao inhibitors can be very effective in cases where depression has proved to be treatment resistant. Consequently, last year tranylcypromine was re-registered for use in the Netherlands. Since mao inhibitors have been used only sporadically in the Netherlands over the last few years, health professionals have only limited knowledge about the side-effects. On the basis of a recent case, we discuss the two most important side-effects of using mao inhibitors, namely hypertension and orthostatic hypotension. We discuss the possible causes and suggest ways on which these two side-effects can be prevented, or treated, should they arise.

[Guillain-Barré syndrome following infection with the Zika virus]. / Guillain-Barré-syndroom na zikavirus-infectie.

BACKGROUND: Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) has been identified as a possible complication of infections with the Zika virus (ZIKV) in the current epidemic in Central and South America. Here we describe the first case of GBS in the Netherlands following a ZIKV infection. CASE DESCRIPTION: A 60-year-old woman presented with diarrhoea, fever and an unsteady gait after returning from Surinam. As creatine kinase levels were raised the initial diagnosis was rhabdomyolysis associated with myositis or medication use. However, creatine kinase levels normalized rapidly and the patient developed muscle weakness, sensory disturbances, hyporeflexia in her limbs and facial diplegia. The diagnosis GBS was considered, which was supported by spinal fluid investigation and electromyography. ZIKV was detected in serum and urine. The patient was treated with intravenous immunoglobulins, and recovered. CONCLUSION: This patient developed GBS following a recent ZIKV infection acquired in Suriname. A causal relation between ZIKV infection and GBS, however, has not yet been demonstrated.

A 45-year-old woman with an anticholinergic toxidrome.

Intentional or accidental intoxications are common in the emergency department, but are not always sufficiently recognised. When intoxication is suspected, the causative agent or combination of agents often remain unclear, making these patients a diagnostic challenge. We present here a 45-year-old woman who was admitted due to altered consciousness. The clinical presentation fitted the anticholinergic toxidrome and an intoxication with venlafaxine (her known prescribed medication) was suspected. Plasma venlafaxine concentrations, however, were very low. After 24 hours the patient recovered completely. Further testing after discharge revealed high concentrations of promethazine, confirming the suspected diagnosis. This case illustrates the importance of knowledge of toxidromes and good collaboration with the hospital pharmacist. Because of the thorough testing the patient could receive proper treatment.