CD4 cell count at initiation of ART, long-term likelihood of achieving CD4 >750 cells/mm3 and mortality risk.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to evaluate associations between CD4 at ART initiation (AI), achieving CD4 >750 cells/mm(3) (CD4 >750), long-term immunological recovery and survival. METHODS: This was a prospective observational cohort study. We analysed data from ART-naive patients seen in 1996-2012 and followed ≥3 years after AI. We used Kaplan-Meier (KM) methods and log-rank tests to compare time to achieving CD4 >750 by CD4 at AI (CD4-AI); and Cox regression models and generalized estimating equations to identify factors associated with achieving CD4 >750 and mortality risk. RESULTS: Of 1327 patients, followed for a median of 7.9 years, >85% received ART for ≥75% of follow-up time; 64 died. KM estimates evaluating likelihood of CD4 >750 during 5 years of follow-up, stratified by CD4-AI <50, 50-199, 200-349, 350-499 and 500-750, were 20%, 25%, 56%, 80% and 87%, respectively (log-rank P < 0.001). In adjusted models, CD4-AI ≥200 (versus CD4-AI <200) was associated with achievement of CD4 >750 [adjusted HR (aHR) = 4.77]. Blacks were less likely than whites to achieve CD4 >750 (33% versus 49%, aHR = 0.77). Mortality rates decreased with increasing CD4-AI (P = 0.004 across CD4 strata for AIDS causes and P = 0.009 for non-AIDS death causes). Among decedents with CD4-AI ≥50, 56% of deaths were due to non-AIDS causes. CONCLUSIONS: Higher CD4-AI resulted in greater long-term CD4 gains, likelihood of achieving CD4 >750, longer survival and decreased mortality regardless of cause. Over 80% of persons with CD4-AI ≥350 achieved CD4 >750 by 4 years while 75% of persons with CD4-AI <200 did not. These data confirm the hazards of delayed AI and support early AI.

Evidence-based guideline update: intraoperative spinal monitoring with somatosensory and transcranial electrical motor evoked potentials: report of the Therapeutics and Technology Assessment Subcommittee of the American Academy of Neurology and the American Clinical Neurophysiology Society.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether spinal cord intraoperative monitoring (IOM) with somatosensory and transcranial electrical motor evoked potentials (EPs) predicts adverse surgical outcomes. METHODS: A panel of experts reviewed the results of a comprehensive literature search and identified published studies relevant to the clinical question. These studies were classified according to the evidence-based methodology of the American Academy of Neurology. Objective outcomes of postoperative onset of paraparesis, paraplegia, and quadriplegia were used because no randomized or masked studies were available. RESULTS AND RECOMMENDATIONS: Four Class I and 8 Class II studies met inclusion criteria for analysis. The 4 Class I studies and 7 of the 8 Class II studies reached significance in showing that paraparesis, paraplegia, and quadriplegia occurred in the IOM patients with EP changes compared with the IOM group without EP changes. All studies were consistent in showing all occurrences of paraparesis, paraplegia, and quadriplegia in the IOM patients with EP changes, with no occurrences of paraparesis, paraplegia, and quadriplegia in patients without EP changes. In the Class I studies, 16%-40% of the IOM patients with EP changes developed postoperative-onset paraparesis, paraplegia, or quadriplegia. IOM is established as effective to predict an increased risk of the adverse outcomes of paraparesis, paraplegia, and quadriplegia in spinal surgery (4 Class I and 7 Class II studies). Surgeons and other members of the operating team should be alerted to the increased risk of severe adverse neurologic outcomes in patients with important IOM changes (Level A).

Subcutaneous IGF-1 is not beneficial in 2-year ALS trial.

BACKGROUND: Previous human clinical trials of insulin-like growth factor type I (IGF-1) in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) have been inconsistent. This phase III, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study was undertaken to address whether IGF-1 benefited patients with ALS. METHODS: A total of 330 patients from 20 medical centers were randomized to receive 0.05 mg/kg body weight of human recombinant IGF-1 given subcutaneously twice daily or placebo for 2 years. The primary outcome measure was change in their manual muscle testing score. Secondary outcome measures included tracheostomy-free survival and rate of change in the revised ALS functional rating scale. Intention to treat analysis was used. RESULTS: There was no difference between treatment groups in the primary or secondary outcome measures after the 2-year treatment period. CONCLUSIONS: Insulin-like growth factor type I does not provide benefit for patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.

Assessment: transcranial Doppler ultrasonography: report of the Therapeutics and Technology Assessment Subcommittee of the American Academy of Neurology.

OBJECTIVE: To review the use of transcranial Doppler ultrasonography (TCD) and transcranial color-coded sonography (TCCS) for diagnosis. METHODS: The authors searched the literature for evidence of 1) if TCD provides useful information in specific clinical settings; 2) if using this information improves clinical decision making, as reflected by improved patient outcomes; and 3) if TCD is preferable to other diagnostic tests in these clinical situations. RESULTS: TCD is of established value in the screening of children aged 2 to 16 years with sickle cell disease for stroke risk (Type A, Class I) and the detection and monitoring of angiographic vasospasm after spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (Type A, Class I to II). TCD and TCCS provide important information and may have value for detection of intracranial steno-occlusive disease (Type B, Class II to III), vasomotor reactivity testing (Type B, Class II to III), detection of cerebral circulatory arrest/brain death (Type A, Class II), monitoring carotid endarterectomy (Type B, Class II to III), monitoring cerebral thrombolysis (Type B, Class II to III), and monitoring coronary artery bypass graft operations (Type B to C, Class II to III). Contrast-enhanced TCD/TCCS can also provide useful information in right-to-left cardiac/extracardiac shunts (Type A, Class II), intracranial occlusive disease (Type B, Class II to IV), and hemorrhagic cerebrovascular disease (Type B, Class II to IV), although other techniques may be preferable in these settings.

Can we eliminate placebo in ALS clinical trials?

BACKGROUND: Previous studies concluded that the decline in strength in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a linear function. If so, a patient's natural history might serve as the control, instead of placebo, in a clinical trial. METHODS: A placebo-controlled ALS clinical trial included a natural history phase, followed by a 6-month treatment phase. Each patient's forced vital capacity (FVC) score and maximal voluntary isometric contraction (MVIC) raw scores were measured monthly, standardized, and averaged into megascores. For 138 patients, the arm, leg, FVC, arm+leg combination, and arm+leg+FVC combination megascore slopes during the natural history phase and during the placebo phase were compared. RESULTS: The mean slope of megascores during the natural history phase and the mean slope during the placebo phase were not different for the arm, leg, and arm+leg megascores, but were different for the FVC and arm+leg+FVC combination megascores. CONCLUSIONS: Natural history controls may be useful in ALS exploratory trials that use arm megascore slope as the primary outcome measure. However, there are distinct limitations to the use of natural history controls, so that Phase 3 ALS clinical trials require placebo controls.

Environmental risk factors for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.

In order to evaluate reported associations of environmental risk factors with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), consideration is given first to robust clinical and epidemiologic observations. These are observations which have persisted in time, have been replicated consistently and likely reflect the reality of the disease. Sporadic, familial and Western Pacific ALS are considered. In contrast, other associations appear to have emerged due to chance, sometimes compounded by faulty study design, and have dissipated once greater attention was given to methodological rigor. Current data suggest that there are no robust environmental risk factors for sporadic ALS.

Alzheimer's disease underlies some cases of complex partial status epilepticus.

Alzheimer's disease is a known risk factor for seizures, and age older than 60 years is a recognized risk factor for poor outcome from convulsive and nonconvulsive status epilepticus. The authors suspect that there may be a causal relationship between dementia pathology and the development and maintenance of refractory seizures. They report two selected patients with complex partial status epilepticus whose presentation and clinical course provide partial support for this hypothesis. Their methods include case reports with clinical, EEG, imaging, and pathologic correlations. The patients were 70 and 85 years of age. Both had central and peripheral brain atrophy on imaging studies (with some regions that were affected more than others), left temporal seizure foci corresponding to areas of greatest cortical atrophy, and early presentation with inhibitory epileptic symptoms (aphasia), with evolution to complex partial status epilepticus. Pathologic confirmation of Alzheimer's disease was obtained in one patient who had not been diagnosed previously. It involved maximally the cortex underlying the seizure focus. A diagnosis of probable Alzheimer's disease was established in the other patient. Alzheimer's disease may be causal in some cases of complex partial status epilepticus. Additional observations in support of this hypothesis are needed.

Linear estimates of disease progression predict survival in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.

We have shown that linear estimates of rates of disease progression (LEP), derived from isometric myometry [grip or foot dorsiflexion (FD) strength] and forced vital capacity (FVC%), are clinically and statistically significant predictors of survival of patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) from date of disease onset and, except those based on grip strength, of survival from the date of measurement. We tested these results in 2 additional groups of patients: 1) those who participated in a previously reported Protropin (GH) study; and 2) those enrolled in two other clinical trials (group 2). The LEP were derived and tested as predictors of survival. In a Cox proportional hazards model, LEP based on all measures predicted survival from disease onset in both groups of patients. Using cutoff points determined within the original group to stratify patients in the validation groups into faster and slower progressing subgroups resulted in statistically significant separation of survival curves from disease onset in group 2 for all LEP and in group 1 (the GH group) for LEP derived from FD strength; and, for survival from date of measurement in group 2, when stratified by LEP based on FD strength or FVC%. LEP based on data generated by myometry or pulmonary function studies have now been shown to predict survival in 3 unrelated groups of patients with ALS entering clinical trials. Their precise use in clinical trial design needs to be explored further.

Inhibitory simple partial (non-convulsive) status epilepticus after intracranial surgery.

OBJECTIVES: To report on five patients who developed, 2 to 4 days after an intracranial neurosurgical procedure, new, persistent, focal neurological deficits which were due to inhibitory simple partial (non-convulsive) status epilepticus, and resolved with anticonvulsant treatment. METHODS: The age range of the five patients was 15-74 years. The operations were: aneurysm clipping (three patients) and resections of an oligodendroglioma and a cavernous haemangioma (one patient each). The new focal deficits were: right hemiparesis and aphasia (two patients), aphasia alone (two patients), and left hemiparesis (one patient). The deficits were not explained by CT (obtained in all patients) or cerebral angiography (performed in two). RESULTS: Electroencephalography showed, in all patients, continuous or intermittent focal seizures arising from cortex regionally relevant to the clinical dysfunction. Subtle positive epileptic phenomena (jerking) occurred intermittently in three patients as a late concommitant. Administration of anticonvulsant drugs resulted in significant improvement within 24 hours in four patients, with parallel resolution of ictal EEG activity. The fifth patient improved more slowly. Two patients relapsed when anticonvulsant concentrations fell, and improved again when they were raised. CONCLUSIONS: It is suggested that inhibitory simple partial (non-convulsive) status epilepticus be considered in the differential diagnosis when a new unexplained neurological deficit develops after an intracranial neurosurgical procedure. An EEG may help to diagnose this condition, leading to definitive treatment.

Motor unit number estimate-based rates of progression of ALS predict patient survival.

We have examined, as predictors of survival in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), linear estimates of rates of disease progression (LEP), based on motor unit number estimates (MUNE). Motor unit number estimates of thenar, hypothenar, and extensor digitorum brevis muscles (according to the manual method of McComas), isometric grip and foot dorsiflexion (FD) strength, and forced vital capacity (FVC) were available in 34 patients. Linear estimates of rates of disease progression were derived. Probability of survival was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Motor unit number estimates, LEP based on MUNE, and demographic characteristics were tested as risk factors within the Cox Proportional Hazards Model, using regression techniques. Individually, all MUNE-based LEP were highly significant (P < 0.00005); bulbar onset attained modest significance (P = 0.044). Secondary analysis showed MUNE-based LEP were more significant than regionally concordant function-based LEP. Linear estimates of rates of disease progression based on MUNE may thus predict survival of patients with ALS better than LEP based on function.

How can physicians and their patients with ALS decide to use the newly-available treatments to slow disease progression?

The 1990s decade has seen the testing of treatments to slow disease progression in patients with ALS. Two such treatments (riluzole and myotrophin) have shown minimal or modest efficacy. Of these, riluzole has been approved for marketing in the United States, in Europe and in other countries. Patients and physicians who are trying to decide whether to use these treatments require background information: (a) to place these treatments in the context of other treatments; (b) to understand the outcome measures used; and (c) to understand the significance of the efficacy these treatments have shown. For example, in some cases treatment efficacy has been shown by some measures, but not others. This paper attempts to assist in this process. In addition, we attempt to show how to integrate objective data with relative or subjective factors, such as patient values, economic considerations, and the role of hope.

Seizure onset from periventricular nodular heterotopias: depth-electrode study.

The association between gray matter heterotopias and seizures is well established; whether seizures originate from these lesions is not known. We evaluated three patients with intractable complex partial seizures and periventricular nodular heterotopias (PNHs) with video-EEG monitoring with multiple depth electrodes, including placement in the PNH, to determine whether seizures originate from the PNH. In two of the three patients, all seizures arose from the PNH as low-voltage beta activity. In the third patient, 80% arose from the hippocampi and 20% from the heterotopia. PNHs may serve as an epileptogenic focus in patients with intractable epilepsy.

Linear estimates of rates of disease progression as predictors of survival in patients with ALS entering clinical trials.

Maximal voluntary isometric grip and foot dorsiflexion (FD) strength and forced vital capacity (FVC) were obtained in 62 patients with ALS at or close to enrollment into two clinical trials. The agents tested did not slow disease progression. Isometric strength data were standardized, and the worse side was taken. FVC was expressed as a percentage of the predicted value (FVC%). We derived linear estimates of rates of disease progression based on the isometric myometry and FVC measures and on disease duration. Forty one patients were known to have died or to have undergone tracheostomy for ventilatory support. Probability of tracheostomy-free survival was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The measured values, the linear estimates for rates of decline of these values, gender, age at onset, bulbar vs. spinal onset, height and weight were tested as risk factors within the Cox proportional hazards model, using regression techniques. When tested individually, estimates of rates of decline based on all three measures (FD, grip and FVC%) were the only statistically significant risk factors (P<0.005). Multivariate analysis resulted in a 3-variable model (chi-square=75.3, P<0.00001) in which estimated rates of decline of FD strength and of FVC%, and bulbar onset were independently significant (P<0.0001, P<0.0007 and P<0.05, respectively). We conclude that linear estimates of the rate of disease progression till enrollment into a clinical trial may be better predictors of patient survival than demographic data or discrete biologic measures.

Toward earlier diagnosis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: revised criteria. rhCNTF ALS Study Group.

We modified the World Federation of Neurology (WFN) diagnostic criteria for ALS to facilitate early diagnosis and used these criteria for enrollment of ALS patients in a clinical trial. The criteria developed required lower motor neuron (LMN) involvement in at least two limbs and upper motor neuron involvement in at least one region (bulbar, cervical, or lumbosacral). The EMG finding of fibrillation potentials was required for evidence of LMN involvement. Electrodiagnostic studies, neuroimaging, and laboratory studies were also used to exclude disorders that might mimic ALS. Using these criteria, the diagnosis of ALS was made at a mean time of 9.7 months from onset of symptoms, which compares favorably with the 12-month period cited in the literature. Using clinical assessment at completion of the trial, the diagnosis of ALS was believed to be accurate in those patients entered in the trial. However, pathologic confirmation of the diagnosis of ALS was not obtained. Based on our preliminary experience, we propose that these ALS diagnostic criteria will facilitate early diagnosis of ALS. Future studies should prospectively compare these criteria with the WFN criteria currently in use.

Reliability of maximal voluntary isometric contraction testing in a multicenter study of patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. Syntex/Synergen Neuroscience Joint Venture rhCNTF ALS Study Group.

Maximal voluntary isometric contraction (MVIC) is becoming widely used for monitoring disease progression in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). We evaluated the variability of MVIC in a large multicenter (29 sites) drug trial in ALS. Intra- and interrater variability were assessed twice during the 19-month study. Intrarater reliability increased from the first to the second test, approaching the reliability reported for a single experienced clinical evaluator, but interrater reliability did not. Multiple clinical evaluators in a single site increased the variability of MVIC measurements. Rigorous quality assurance standards and monitoring of clinical evaluators should be incorporated into the design of multicenter studies using MVIC, since low variability is necessary to detect a modest treatment effect.

A brief quality-of-life measure for ALS clinical trials based on a subset of items from the sickness impact profile. The Syntex-Synergen ALS/CNTF Study Group.

We previously demonstrated a significant relationship (P<0.0001) between maximum voluntary isometric contraction (MVC) plus pulmonary function scores (the Tufts Quantitative Neuromuscular Exam Combination Megascore (TQNE CM)), and the Sickness Impact Profile (SIP) in a cohort of 524 ALS patients. Because the 136-item SIP questionnaire can be difficult to administer in this population, we examined SIP subscales and clinically derived item sets in relation to the TQNE CM in an effort to define a briefer measure of quality of life for use in clinical trials. Two 'Mini-SIP' indices performed as well as the overall SIP in reflecting the impact of muscle weakness on ALS patients' quality of life: a combination of two SIP subscales ('SIP-33'), and a 19-item set of questions independently chosen by a panel of ALS specialists ('SIP/ALS-19'). Either index potentially could be useful in ALS clinical trials. The SIP/ALS-19 is currently being used in a National ALS data base, providing an opportunity to evaluate its utility prospectively against other QOL measures in ALS patients.

Placebo-controlled trial of gabapentin in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. WALS Study Group. Western Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Study Group.

We designed a phase II trial to evaluate the efficacy of gabapentin in slowing the rate of decline in muscle strength of patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and to assess safety and tolerability. Gabapentin (800 mg) or placebo was administered t.i.d. in a randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled, trial for 6 months. We enrolled 152 patients at eight sites in the United States. The primary outcome measure was the slope of the arm megascore, the average maximum voluntary isometric strength from eight arm muscles standardized against a reference ALS population. A secondary outcome measure was forced vital capacity. Slopes of arm megascores for patients on gabapentin were compared with slopes of those taking placebo using a two-way ANOVA. We observed a nonstatistically significant trend (p = 0.057-0.08) toward slower decline of arm strength in patients taking gabapentin compared with those taking placebo (mean difference 24%, median 37%). We observed no treatment effect on forced vital capacity. Gabapentin was well tolerated by patients with ALS. These results suggest that further studies of gabapentin in ALS are warranted.