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Introduction: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCA) witnessed by Emergency Medical Services (EMS) are reported to have more favourable survival than bystander-witnessed arrests, even after adjusting for patient and arrest factors known to be associated with increased OHCA survival. This study aims to determine whether the survival advantage in EMS-witnessed arrests can be attributed to differences in the EMS response time to the arrest. Methods: Using registry data we conducted a retrospective, population-based cohort study of bystander- and EMS-witnessed OHCAs of medical aetiology who received an EMS resuscitation attempt in Western Australia between 2018-2021. EMS response time to arrest was assumed to be zero for EMS-witnessed arrests. Multivariable logistic regression was used to compare 30-day OHCA survival by witness and bystander CPR (B-CPR) status, adjusting for EMS response time to arrest, and patient and arrest characteristics. Results: Of 2,130 OHCA cases, 510 (23.9%) were EMS-witnessed and 1620 were bystander-witnessed: 1318/1620 (81.4%) with B-CPR, and 302/1620 (18.6%) with no B-CPR. The median EMS response time to bystander-witnessed arrests who received B-CPR was 9.9 [Q1,Q3: 7.4, 13.3] minutes. After adjusting for the EMS response time and patient and arrest factors, 30-day survival remained significantly lower in both the bystander-witnessed group with B-CPR (aOR 0.56; 95% CI 0.34 - 0.91) and bystander-witnessed group without B-CPR (aOR 0.23; 95% CI 0.11 - 0.46). Conclusion: An increased EMS response time does not fully account for the higher OHCA survival in EMS-witnessed arrests compared to bystander-witnessed arrests.
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Background: In a previous study, we identified eight types of potential barriers to bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) initiation and continuation until the arrival of emergency medical services (EMS) on scene, in the context of emergency calls for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Many cases had multiple barriers. In this study, we aimed to estimate the independent effects of these barriers after adjusting for case characteristics. Methods: We used data for the 295 non-trauma OHCAs from the St John Western Australian (SJ-WA) OHCA Database. Excluded cases were: EMS-witnessed OHCA, callers not with/close to the patient, OHCA not recognised during the emergency call, bystander CPR in progress prior to the call and calls coded as obvious death by SJ-WA. We conducted two multivariable logistic regression models including the eight barriers (callers: 1) perceived inappropriateness of CPR, 2) emotional distress, 3) reluctance to perform CPR, 4) physical limitations, 5) access to the patient, 6) leaving the scene, 7) communication failure, and 8) on-scene distractions) and case characteristics. Results: The callers perceiving CPR as inappropriate (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 0.20, 0.11-0.37) and witnessed arrest (AOR = 2.88, 95% CI 1.48-5.60) were independently associated with CPR initiation. Caller distractions such as performing other tasks or relaying information to other bystanders were negatively significantly associated with callers continuing CPR to EMS arrival (AOR = 0.27, 0.10-0.73). Conclusions: Perceptions of inappropriateness and caller distractions were independent risk factors for the delivery of bystander CPR. Further research around how call-takers navigate these barriers and encourage callers should be performed.
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Reanimação Cardiopulmonar , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar , Humanos , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/terapia , Reanimação Cardiopulmonar/métodos , Austrália Ocidental/epidemiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Estado de Consciência , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/métodosRESUMO
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0301176.].
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AIM: This study aims to explore regional variation and identify regions within Australia with high incidence of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) and low rates of bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). METHOD: Adult OHCAs of presumed medical aetiology occurring across Australia between 2017 and 2019 were mapped onto local government areas (LGA) using the location of arrest coordinates. Bayesian spatial models were applied to provide "smoothed" estimates of OHCA incidence and bystander CPR rates (for bystander-witnessed OHCAs) for each LGA. For each state and territory, high-risk LGAs were defined as those with an incidence rate greater than the state or territory's 75th percentile and a bystander CPR rate less than the state or territory's 25th percentile. RESULTS: A total of 62,579 OHCA cases attended by emergency medical services across 543 LGAs nationwide were included in the study. Nationally, the OHCA incidence rate across LGA ranged from 58.5 to 198.3 persons per 100,000, while bystander CPR rates ranged from 45% to 75%. We identified 60 high-risk LGAs, which were predominantly located in the state of New South Wales. Within each region, high-risk LGAs were typically located in regional and remote areas of the country, except for four metropolitan areas-two in Adelaide and two in Perth. CONCLUSIONS: We have identified high-risk LGAs, characterised by high incidence and low bystander CPR rates, which are predominantly in regional and remote areas of Australia. Strategies for reducing OHCA and improving bystander response may be best targeted at these regions.
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Reanimação Cardiopulmonar , Serviços Médicos de Emergência , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/terapia , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Incidência , Austrália/epidemiologia , Masculino , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , AdultoRESUMO
AIM: To describe the barriers to cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) initiation and continuation in emergency calls for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). METHODS: We analysed 295 consecutive emergency calls relating to OHCA over a four-month period (1 January - 30 April 2021). Calls included were paramedic-confirmed, non-traumatic, non-EMS-witnessed OHCA, where the caller was with the patient. Calls were listened to in full and coded in terms of barriers to CPR initiation and continuation, and patient and caller characteristics. RESULTS: Overall, CPR was performed in 69% of calls and, in 85% of these, callers continued performing CPR until EMS arrival. Nearly all callers (99%) experienced barriers to CPR initiation and/or continuation during the call. The barriers identified were classified into eight categories: reluctance, appropriateness, emotion, bystander physical ability, patient access, leaving the scene, communication failure, caller actions and call-taker instructions. Of these, bystander physical ability was the most prevalent barrier to both CPR initiation and continuation, occurring in 191 (65%) calls, followed by communication failure which occurred in 160 (54%) calls. Callers stopping or interrupting CPR performance due to being fatigued was lower than expected (n = 54, 26% of callers who performed CPR). Barriers to CPR initiation that related to bystander physical ability, caller actions, communication failure, emotion, leaving the scene, patient access, procedural barriers, and reluctance were mostly overcome by the caller (i.e., CPR was performed). CONCLUSION: Barriers to CPR initiation and continuation were commonly experienced by callers, however they were frequently overcome. Future research should investigate the strategies that were successful.
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Reanimação Cardiopulmonar , Serviços Médicos de Emergência , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar , Humanos , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/terapia , Estudos de Coortes , Sistemas de Comunicação entre Serviços de EmergênciaRESUMO
Aim: To compare out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) characteristics and outcomes between people aged ≥ 65 years who arrested in a residential aged care facility (RACF) versus a private residence in Perth, Australia. Methods: We undertook a retrospective cohort study of OHCA cases attended by emergency medical services (EMS) in Perth, January 2018-December 2021. OHCA patient and event characteristics and survival outcomes were compared via univariate analysis. Multivariable logistic regression was used to investigate the relationship between residency type and (i) return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) at emergency department (ED) and (ii) 30-day survival. Results: A total of 435 OHCA occurred in RACFs versus 3,395 in private residences. RACF patients were significantly older (median age: 86 [IQR 79, 91] vs 78 [71, 85] years; p < 0.001), more commonly female (50.1% vs 36.8%; p < 0.001), bystander-witnessed arrests (34.9% vs 21.5%; p < 0.001), received bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (42.1% vs 28.6%; p < 0.001), had less shockable first monitored rhythms (4.0% vs 8.1%; p = 0.002) and more frequently had a "do not resuscitate" order identified (46.0% vs 13.6%; <0.001). Among those with EMS-attempted resuscitation or with defibrillation before EMS arrival, ROSC at ED and 30-day survival were significantly lower in the RACF group (6.2% vs 18.9%; p < 0.001 and 1.9% vs 7.7%; p < 0.001). The adjusted odds of ROSC at ED (aOR: 0.22 [95%CI: 0.10, 0.46]) and 30-day survival (aOR: 0.20 [95%CI 0.05, 0.92]) were significantly lower for RACF residents. Conclusion: RACF residency was an independent predictor of lower survival from OHCA, highlighting the importance of end-of-life planning for RACF residents.
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AIM: Awareness of heart attack symptoms may enhance health-seeking behaviour and prevent premature deaths from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). We sought to investigate the impact of a national awareness campaign on emergency medical service (EMS) attendances for chest pain and OHCA. METHODS: Between January 2005 and December 2017, we included registry data for 97,860 EMS-attended OHCA cases from 3 Australian regions and dispatch data for 1,631,217 EMS attendances for chest pain across 5 Australian regions. Regions were exposed to between 11 and 28 months of television, radio, and print media activity. Multivariable negative binomial models were used to explore the effect of campaign activity on the monthly incidence of EMS attendances for chest pain and OHCA. RESULTS: Months with campaign activity were associated with an 8.8% (IRR 1.09, 95% CI: 1.07, 1.11) increase in the incidence of EMS attendances for chest pain and a 5.6% (IRR 0.94, 95% CI: 0.92, 0.97) reduction in OHCA attendances. Larger intervention effects were associated with increasing months of campaign activity, increasing monthly media spending and media exposure in 2013. In stratified analyses of OHCA cases, the largest reduction in incidence during campaign months was observed for unwitnessed arrests (IRR 0.93, 95% CI: 0.90, 0.96), initial non-shockable arrests (IRR 0.93, 95% CI: 0.90, 0.97) and arrests occurring in private residences (IRR 0.95, 95% CI: 0.91, 0.98). CONCLUSION: A national awareness campaign targeting knowledge of heart attack symptoms was associated with an increase in EMS use for chest pain and a reduction in OHCA incidence and may serve as an effective primary prevention strategy for OHCA.
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Reanimação Cardiopulmonar , Serviços Médicos de Emergência , Infarto do Miocárdio , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar , Humanos , Ambulâncias , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/terapia , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/diagnóstico , Austrália , Dor no Peito/epidemiologia , Dor no Peito/etiologia , Dor no Peito/prevenção & controle , Sistema de RegistrosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To describe the use of sublingual ketamine wafers administered by volunteer emergency medical technicians (EMTs) for pain management to patients in rural Western Australia (WA). METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included patients older than 12 years who were attended by volunteer EMTs in Esperance, Lancelin and Kalbarri, WA and received analgesic medications from 2018 to 2021. Patients who received ketamine wafers with/without other analgesics were compared to (i) patients who received only oral paracetamol and (ii) patients who received inhalational methoxyflurane without ketamine wafers with/without paracetamol. RESULTS: The present study included 826 patients, among whom 149 patients received ketamine wafer with/without other analgesics, 82 paracetamol only and 595 methoxyflurane with/without paracetamol. Patients who received ketamine wafers were younger (median age 49 years vs 54 years for the paracetamol group vs 58 years for the methoxyflurane group), required a longer median transport interval (56 min vs 20 min vs 8 min), trauma-related (73% vs 35% vs 54%), and presented higher median initial pain score (9 vs 3 vs 8 out of 10) than those who received paracetamol and those who received methoxyflurane, respectively. Eight in the ketamine wafers group (5.4%) had a record of nausea/vomiting after the administration of ketamine wafers. CONCLUSIONS: Sublingual ketamine wafer was administered by volunteer EMTs without any evidence of major adverse events in rural WA and deemed useful as an additional pain management option when long transport to hospital was needed. No other symptoms that may be associated with the use of ketamine were recorded.
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Auxiliares de Emergência , Ketamina , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Ketamina/efeitos adversos , Manejo da Dor , Acetaminofen/uso terapêutico , Metoxiflurano/uso terapêutico , Austrália Ocidental , Estudos Retrospectivos , Resultado do Tratamento , Analgésicos/efeitos adversosRESUMO
PURPOSE: Physical activity and exercise are critical for older adults' physical and mental health. The purpose of this qualitative study was to richly capture the motivators of and barriers to engaging in physical activity in previously inactive older adults who participated in a three-arm randomized controlled trial (RCT) of eight-week group exercise interventions. METHODS: We conducted a qualitative content analysis of individual interviews with fifteen participants-five from each study arm: strength training, walking, and inactive control. Participants included nine females and six males ranging from 60 to 86 years of age. RESULTS: Key motivators of physical activity included perceived improvements in physical and mental health, positive social influences, observed health deterioration in others, and the desire to spend time with and take care of family members. Barriers to physical activity included existing health conditions, fear of getting hurt, negative social influences, perceived lack of time and motivation, inconvenient times and locations, and monetary cost. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings add to the body of literature identifying factors that motivate and stand in the way of older adults' engagement in physical activity. These factors influence older adults' self-efficacy and should be incorporated into the design of new and existing programs to encourage initiation and maintenance of physical activity.
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Exercício Físico , Modalidades de Fisioterapia , Feminino , Masculino , Humanos , Idoso , Comportamento Sedentário , Caminhada , Terapia por ExercícioRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to develop a risk adjustment strategy, including effect modifiers, for benchmarking emergency medical service (EMS) performance for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in Australia and New Zealand. METHOD: Using 2017-2019 data from the Australasian Resuscitation Outcomes Consortium (Aus-ROC) OHCA Epistry, we included adults who received an EMS attempted resuscitation for a presumed medical OHCA. Logistic regression was applied to develop risk adjustment models for event survival (return of spontaneous circulation at hospital handover) and survival to hospital discharge/30 days. We examined potential effect modifiers, and assessed model discrimination and validity. RESULTS: Both OHCA survival outcome models included EMS agency and the Utstein variables (age, sex, location of arrest, witnessed arrest, initial rhythm, bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation, defibrillation prior to EMS arrival, and EMS response time). The model for event survival had good discrimination according to the concordance statistic (0.77) and explained 28% of the variation in survival. The corresponding figures for survival to hospital discharge/30 days were 0.87 and 49%. The addition of effect modifiers did little to improve the performance of either model. CONCLUSION: The development of risk adjustment models with good discrimination is an important step in benchmarking EMS performance for OHCA. The Utstein variables are important in risk-adjustment, but only explain a small proportion of the variation in survival. Further research is required to understand what factors contribute to the variation in survival between EMS.
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Reanimação Cardiopulmonar , Serviços Médicos de Emergência , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar , Adulto , Humanos , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/terapia , Benchmarking , Estudos de Coortes , Risco Ajustado , Nova Zelândia/epidemiologia , Sistema de Registros , Austrália/epidemiologiaRESUMO
When a person has an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), calling the ambulance for help is the first link in the chain of survival. Ambulance call-takers guide the caller to perform life-saving interventions on the patient before the paramedics arrive at the scene, therefore, their actions, decisions and communication are integral to saving the patient's life. In 2021, we conducted open-ended interviews with 10 ambulance call-takers with the aim of understanding their experiences of managing these phone calls; and to explore their views on using a standardised call protocol and triage system for OHCA calls. We took a realist/essentialist methodological approach and applied an inductive, semantic and reflexive thematic analysis to the interview data to yield four main themes expressed by the call-takers: 1) time-critical nature of OHCA calls; 2) the call-taking process; 3) caller management; 4) protecting the self. The study found that call-takers demonstrated deep reflection on their roles in, not only helping the patient, but also the callers and bystanders to manage a potentially distressing event. Call-takers expressed their confidence in using a structured call-taking process and noted the importance of skills and traits such as active listening, probing, empathy and intuition, based on experience, in order to supplement the use of a standardised system in managing the emergency. This study highlights the often under-acknowledged yet critical role of the ambulance call-taker in being the first member of an emergency medical service that is contacted in the event of an OHCA.
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Reanimação Cardiopulmonar , Serviços Médicos de Emergência , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar , Humanos , Ambulâncias , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/terapia , Sistemas de Comunicação entre Serviços de Emergência , Triagem , Reanimação Cardiopulmonar/métodosRESUMO
AIM: Bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) significantly increases the survival rate after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. Using population-based registries, we investigated the impact of lockdown due to Covid-19 on the provision of bystander CPR, taking background changes over time into consideration. METHODS: Using a registry network, we invited all registries capable of delivering data from 1. January 2017 to 31. December 2020 to participate in this study. We used negative binominal regression for the analysis of the overall results. We also calculated the rates for bystander CPR. For every participating registry, we analysed the incidence per 100000 inhabitants of bystander CPR and EMS-treated patients using Poisson regression, including time trends. RESULTS: Twenty-six established OHCA registries reported 742 923 cardiac arrest patients over a four-year period covering 1.3 billion person-years. We found large variations in the reported incidence between and within continents. There was an increase in the incidence of bystander CPR of almost 5% per year. The lockdown in March/April 2020 did not impact this trend. The increase in the rate of bystander CPR was also seen when analysing data on a continental level. We found large variations in incidence of bystander CPR before and after lockdown when analysing data on a registry level. CONCLUSION: There was a steady increase in bystander CPR from 2017 to 2020, not associated with an increase in the number of ambulance-treated cardiac arrest patients. We did not find an association between lockdown and bystanders' willingness to start CPR before ambulance arrival, but we found inconsistent patterns of changes between registries.
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COVID-19 , Reanimação Cardiopulmonar , Serviços Médicos de Emergência , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar , Humanos , Reanimação Cardiopulmonar/métodos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis , Sistema de Registros , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/terapiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND/AIMS: Rurality poses a unique challenge to the management of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) when compared to metropolitan (metro) locations. We conducted a systematic review of published literature to understand how OHCA incidence, management and survival outcomes vary between metro and rural areas. METHODS: We included studies comparing the incidence or survival of ambulance attended OHCA in metropolitan and rural areas, from a search of five databases from inception until 9th March 2022. The primary outcomes of interest were cumulative incidence and survival (return of spontaneous circulation, survival to hospital discharge (or survival to 30 days)). Meta-analyses of OHCA survival were undertaken. RESULTS: We identified 28 studies (30 papers- total of 823,253 patients) across 13 countries of origin. The definition of rurality varied markedly. There was no clear difference in OHCA incidence between metro and rural locations. Whilst there was considerable statistical heterogeneity between studies, the likelihood of return of spontaneous circulation on arrival at hospital was lower in rural than metro locations (OR = 0.53, 95% CI 0.40, 0.70; I2 = 89%; 5 studies; 90,934 participants), as was survival to hospital discharge/survival to 30 days (OR = 0.52, 95% CI 0.38, 0.71; I2 = 95%; 15 studies; 18,837 participants). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, while incidence did not vary, the odds of OHCA survival to hospital discharge were approximately 50% lower in rural areas compared to metro areas. This suggests an opportunity for improvement in the prehospital management of OHCA within rural locations. This review also highlighted major challenges in standardising the definition of rurality in the context of cardiac arrest research.
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Reanimação Cardiopulmonar , Serviços Médicos de Emergência , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar , Humanos , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/terapia , Incidência , HospitaisRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Conscious state assessment is important for the triage of emergency patients. In this study, we measured the association between ambulance patients' conscious state and high versus lower acuity, with a view to informing telephone triage assessment of conscious state. METHODS: Data were analysed from one year of emergency ambulance incidents in Perth, Western Australia. Patient conscious state at the time of paramedic arrival was compared to acuity (based on paramedic assessment and management). We determined the proportion of high-acuity patients across six levels of consciousness (Alert, Confused, Drowsy, Voice Response, Pain Response, Unresponsive) overall, and within individual protocols of the Medical Priority Dispatch System (MPDS). RESULTS: The proportion of high acuity patients increased with each step across the consciousness scale. Applying conscious state as a binary predictor of acuity, the largest increases occurred moving the threshold from Alert to Confused (22.0-48.6% high acuity) and Drowsy to Voice Response (61.9-89.5% high acuity). The Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the Receiver Operating Characteristic was 0.65. Within individual protocols, the highest AUC was in Cardiac Arrest (0.89), Overdose/Poisoning (0.81), Unknown Problem (0.76), Diabetic Problem, (0.74) and Convulsions/Fitting (0.73); and lowest in Heart problems (0.55), Abdominal Pain (0.55), Breathing Problems (0.55), Back Pain (0.53), and Chest Pain (0.52). CONCLUSION: Based on these proportions of high acuity patients, it is reasonable to consider patients with any altered conscious state a high priority. The value of conscious state assessment for predicting acuity varies markedly between MPDS protocols. These findings could help inform secondary triage of ambulance patients during the emergency call.
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Ambulâncias , Triagem , Humanos , Triagem/métodos , Estado de Consciência , Estudos Retrospectivos , Gravidade do PacienteRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To describe and compare characteristics of ambulance attendances for older adults with and without dementia. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using electronic patient care records from the main ambulance service in Western Australia. All attendances for people aged 65 years or older in the years 2019-21 were included. Dementia status was adjudicated from the clinical history and medication lists. Patient and case characteristics of those with and without dementia were compared and stratified by type of residence. RESULTS: There were 277,996 emergency ambulance attendances made by 124,711 older adults, of whom 23.5% had dementia. The mean number of attendances per person was 3.3 in the dementia cohort vs 2.0 in those without dementia. Falls were the leading reason for ambulance attendance. People with dementia were significantly frailer, required longer at-scene intervals, were less likely to be transported as the highest priority, and had lower 30-day survival. CONCLUSIONS: Dementia is common amongst older adults attended by paramedics and is associated with higher ambulance utilization per person. People with dementia attended by paramedics have stronger signals of vulnerability, such as increased frailty. As the number of people living with dementia increases in the future, there are implications for workforce training and service planning. There are opportunities for developing alternatives to emergency department transportation for some people with dementia.
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Demência , Serviços Médicos de Emergência , Humanos , Idoso , Ambulâncias , Austrália Ocidental/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Demência/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Exercise interventions targeting older adults often focus on acute changes, but lasting improvements require the adoption of long-term, independent exercise habits. This study aimed to assess the influence of eight-weeks of resistance training (SSSH) on clinically relevant fall-risk indicators in older adults and to evaluate if SSSH participation altered independent exercise engagement 12 months later. Sixty adults aged 50 yrs+ were randomised into SSSH, Walk, or Control groups and completed questionnaires and muscle strength and flexibility tests pre/post 8 weeks. SSSH and Walk met 2x/wk for 60 min. Twelve months later 24 participants also completed a follow-up survey amid COVID-19 restrictions. Eight-week group changes were analysed using one-way ANOVA with Bonferroni post hoc analyses, and survey responses were compared using paired t-tests with a Bonferroni correction. SSSH demonstrated greater absolute changes over 8 weeks in sleep quality, activity engagement, 30-second-sit-to-stand and upper-body flexibility than Walk or Controls (p < 0.05). Twelve months later, SSSH participants reported significantly increasing independent resistance (+68), aerobic (+125) and flexibility (+26) training minutes per week (all p < 0.01). In conclusion, SSSH reduced fall risk in 8 weeks and sparked older adults to begin and sustain positive exercise habits 12 months later, despite COVID-19 restrictions.
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COVID-19 , Treinamento Resistido , Humanos , Idoso , Exercício Físico/fisiologia , Força Muscular/fisiologia , HábitosRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Demand for emergency ambulances is increasing, therefore it is important that ambulance dispatch is prioritised appropriately. This means accurately identifying which incidents require a lights and sirens (L&S) response and those that do not. For traffic crashes, it can be difficult to identify the needs of patients based on bystander reports during the emergency phone call; as traffic crashes are complex events, often with multiple patients at the same crash with varying medical needs. This study aims to determine how well the text sent to paramedics en-route to the traffic crash scene by the emergency medical dispatcher (EMD), in combination with dispatch codes, can predict the need for a L&S ambulance response to traffic crashes. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using data from 2014 to 2016 traffic crashes attended by emergency ambulances in Perth, Western Australia. Machine learning algorithms were used to predict the need for a L&S response or not. The features were the Medical Priority Dispatch System (MPDS) determinant codes and EMD text. EMD text was converted for computation using natural language processing (Bag of Words approach). Machine learning algorithms were used to predict the need for a L&S response, defined as where one or more patients (a) died before hospital admission, (b) received L&S transport to hospital, or (c) had one or more high-acuity indicators (based on an a priori list of medications, interventions or observations. RESULTS: There were 11,971 traffic crashes attended by ambulances during the study period, of which 22.3 % were retrospectively determined to have required a L&S response. The model with the highest accuracy was using an Ensemble machine learning algorithm with a score of 0.980 (95 % CI 0.976-0.984). This model predicted the need for an L&S response using both MPDS determinant codes and EMD text. DISCUSSION: We found that a combination of EMD text and MPDS determinate codes can predict which traffic crashes do and do not require a lights and sirens ambulance response to the scene with a high degree of accuracy. Emergency medical services could deploy machine learning algorithms to improve the accuracy of dispatch to traffic crashes, which has the potential to result in improved system efficiency.