Development of the 2023 ACR/EULAR Antiphospholipid Syndrome Classification Criteria, Phase III-D Report: Multi Criteria Decision Analysis.

BACKGROUND: The 2023 ACR/EULAR Antiphospholipid Syndrome (APS) Classification Criteria development, aiming to identify patients with high likelihood of APS for research, employed a four-phase methodology. Phase I and II resulted in 27 proposed candidate criteria, organized into laboratory and clinical domains. Here, we summarize the last stage of Phase III efforts employing a consensus-based multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) to weigh candidate criteria and identify an APS classification threshold score. METHODS: We evaluated 192 unique, international real-world cases referred for "suspected APS" with a wide range of APS manifestations. Using proposed candidate criteria, subcommittee members rank-ordered 20 representative cases from highly unlikely to highly likely APS. During an in-person meeting, the subcommittee refined definitions and participated in an MCDA exercise to identify relative weights of candidate criteria. Using consensus decisions and pairwise criteria comparisons, 1000Minds™ software assigned criteria weights, and we rank ordered 192 cases by their additive scores. A consensus-based threshold score for APS classification was set. RESULTS: Pre-meeting evaluation of 20 representative cases demonstrated variability in APS assessment. MCDA resolved 81 pairwise decisions; relative weights identified domain item hierarchy. After assessing 192 cases by weights and additive scores, the Steering Committee reached consensus that APS classification should require separate clinical and laboratory scores, rather than a single aggregate score, to ensure high specificity. CONCLUSION: Using MCDA, candidate criteria preliminary weights were determined. Unlike other disease classification systems using a single aggregate threshold score, separate clinical and laboratory domain thresholds were incorporated into the new APS classification criteria.

Ultraprocessed Food Intake and Risk of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Among Women Observed in the Nurses' Health Study Cohorts.

OBJECTIVE: We assessed ultraprocessed food (UPF) intake and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) incidence within the prospective Nurses' Health Study (NHS) cohorts. METHODS: A total of 204,175 women were observed (NHS 1984-2016; NHSII 1991-2017). Semiquantitative food frequency questionnaires were completed every two to four years. UPF intake was determined as per the Nova classification. Nurses self-reported new doctor-diagnosed SLE, confirmed by medical records. Time-varying Cox regressions estimated hazard ratios (HRs; 95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for patients with incident SLE and SLE by anti-double-stranded DNA (dsDNA) antibody at diagnosis, according to cumulatively updated daily (a) UPF servings, (b) total intake (in grams and milliliters), and (c) percentage of total intake. Analyses adjusted for age, race, cohort, caloric and alcohol intakes, household income, smoking, body mass index (BMI), physical activity, menarchal age, and oral contraceptive use. We tested for interaction with BMI and examined UPF categories. RESULTS: Mean baseline age was ~50 years (NHS) and ~36 years (NHSII); 93% self-reported White race. A total of 212 patients with incident SLE were identified. SLE risk was higher in the third versus first UPF tertile (servings per day pooled multivariable [MV] HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.04-2.32; P = 0.03). Results were stronger for dsDNA antibody in patients with SLE (servings per day pooled MV HR 2.05, 95% CI 1.15-3.65; P = 0.01) and for absolute (servings or total) than percentage of total intake. Sugar-sweetened/artificially sweetened beverages were associated with SLE risk (third vs first tertile MV HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.01-2.09). No BMI interactions were observed. CONCLUSION: Higher cumulative average daily UPF intake was associated with >50% increased SLE risk and with doubled risk for anti-dsDNA antibody in patients with SLE. Many deleterious effects on systemic inflammation and immunity are postulated.

Association of COVID-19 Vaccinations With Flares of Systemic Rheumatic Disease: A Case-Crossover Study.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to determine the association of COVID-19 vaccination with flares of systemic rheumatic disease (SRD). METHODS: Adults with systemic rheumatic disease (SRD) in a single-center COVID-19 Rheumatology Registry were invited to enroll in a study of flares. COVID-19 vaccine information from March 5, 2021, to September 6, 2022, was obtained from chart review and self-report. Participants self-reported periods of SRD flare and periods without SRD flare. "Hazard periods" were defined as the time before a self-report of flare and "control periods" as the time before a self-report of no flare. The association between flare and COVID-19 vaccination was evaluated during hazard and control periods through univariate conditional logistic regression stratified by participant, using lookback windows of 2, 7, and 14 days. RESULTS: A total of 434 participants (mean ± SD age 59 ± 13 years, 84.1% female, 81.8% White, 64.5% with inflammatory arthritis, and 27.0% with connective tissue diseases) contributed to both the hazard and control periods and were included in analysis. A total of 1,316 COVID-19 vaccinations were identified (58.5% Pfizer-BioNTech, 39.5% Moderna, and 1.4% Johnson & Johnson); 96.1% of participants received at least one dose and 93.1% at least two doses. There was no association between COVID-19 vaccination and flares in the subsequent 2, 7, or 14 days (odds ratio [OR] 1.46, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.86-2.46; OR 1.09, 95% CI 0.76-1.55; and OR 0.85, 95% CI 0.64-1.13, respectively). Analyses stratified on sex, age, SRD subtype, and vaccine manufacturer similarly showed no association between vaccination and flare. CONCLUSION: COVID-19 vaccination was not associated with flares in this cohort of participants with SRD. These data are reassuring and can inform shared decision-making on COVID-19 immunization.

Factors Associated With COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy in Rheumatology Outpatients in New York City.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to measure COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy among rheumatology outpatients from an early COVID-19 "hotspot" during the initial period of vaccine availability. METHODS: In March 2021, a Web-based survey was sent to 7505 adults seen at a Rheumatology Division in New York City. We evaluated characteristics associated with 3 categories of COVID-19 vaccination status: declined, undecided, and willing/already received. We used multinomial logistic regression models to calculate relative risk ratios assessing predictors of vaccination status. RESULTS: Among 2384 (32%) respondents (80% female, 87% White, 59% with systemic rheumatic disease), 2240 (94.0%) were willing/already received COVID-19 vaccination, 88 (3.7%) were undecided, and 56 (2.3%) declined. Compared with those willing/already vaccinated, those declining or undecided were younger, more likely identified as Black or Hispanic/Latinx, and had lower household income and educational attainment. Immunosuppressive medication use did not differ among groups. After multivariable adjustment, every 1-year increase in age was associated with a 0.96 lower relative risk of declining or being undecided versus willing/already vaccinated. Respondents identifying as Black versus White had a higher relative risk ratio of being undecided (4.29 [95% confidence interval, 1.96-9.36]), as did those identifying as Hispanic/Latinx versus non-Hispanic/non-Latinx (2.81 [95% confidence interval, 1.29-6.09]). Those declining vaccination were least likely to believe in general vaccine importance or the safety and efficacy of the COVID-19 vaccine. CONCLUSIONS: Among rheumatology patients in New York City with and without systemic rheumatic disease, COVID-19 vaccine uptake was high after its initial availability. Sociodemographic but not medication-related factors were associated with vaccine hesitancy; these findings can inform future rheumatology vaccination programs.

Efforts to Better Characterize "Antiphospholipid Antibody Nephropathy" for the 2023 ACR/EULAR Antiphospholipid Syndrome Classification Criteria: Renal Pathology Subcommittee Report.

OBJECTIVE: Antiphospholipid antibody (aPL) nephropathy (-N) can be challenging to recognize due to a lack of established classification or diagnostic criteria. As part of efforts to develop new antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) classification criteria (CC), the APS CC Renal Pathology Subcommittee aimed to better characterize the entity of aPL-N. METHODS: We used a 4-pronged approach that included (1) administering Delphi surveys to worldwide APS physicians to generate aPL-N terminology; (2) conducting a literature review to demonstrate the association of nephropathy with aPL and identify published aPL-N histopathological terminology and descriptions; (3) evaluating aPL-N terminology used in renal biopsy reports from an international patient registry; and (4) evaluating proposed kidney pathologic features for aPL-N by assessment of international Renal Pathology Society (RPS) members. RESULTS: After completing our metaanalysis demonstrating an association between nephropathy and aPL, we used Delphi surveys, a literature review, and international renal biopsy reports to develop a preliminary definition of aPL-N. The preliminary definition included include specific terms associated with acute (ie, thrombotic microangiopathy in glomeruli or arterioles/arteries) and chronic (ie, organized arterial or arteriolar microthrombi with or without recanalization, organized glomerular thrombi, fibrous and fibrocellular [arterial or arteriolar] occlusions, focal cortical atrophy with or without thyroidization, and fibrous intimal hyperplasia) lesions. Most RPS survey respondents agreed with this terminology and the importance of knowing aPL results for histopathological diagnosis. CONCLUSION: Our results support the inclusion of aPL-N in the 2023 American College of Rheumatology/European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology APS CC, and provide the most widely accepted terminology to date for both acute and chronic pathologic lesions of aPL-N.

The 2023 ACR/EULAR Antiphospholipid Syndrome Classification Criteria.

OBJECTIVE: To develop new antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) classification criteria with high specificity for use in observational studies and trials, jointly supported by the American College of Rheumatology (ACR) and EULAR. METHODS: This international multidisciplinary initiative included 4 phases: 1) Phase I, criteria generation by surveys and literature review; 2) Phase II, criteria reduction by modified Delphi and nominal group technique exercises; 3) Phase III, criteria definition, further reduction with the guidance of real-world patient scenarios, and weighting via consensus-based multicriteria decision analysis, and threshold identification; and 4) Phase IV, validation using independent adjudicators' consensus as the gold standard. RESULTS: The 2023 ACR/EULAR APS classification criteria include an entry criterion of at least one positive antiphospholipid antibody (aPL) test within 3 years of identification of an aPL-associated clinical criterion, followed by additive weighted criteria (score range 1-7 points each) clustered into 6 clinical domains (macrovascular venous thromboembolism, macrovascular arterial thrombosis, microvascular, obstetric, cardiac valve, and hematologic) and 2 laboratory domains (lupus anticoagulant functional coagulation assays, and solid-phase enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays for IgG/IgM anticardiolipin and/or IgG/IgM anti-ß2 -glycoprotein I antibodies). Patients accumulating at least 3 points each from the clinical and laboratory domains are classified as having APS. In the validation cohort, the new APS criteria versus the 2006 revised Sapporo classification criteria had a specificity of 99% versus 86%, and a sensitivity of 84% versus 99%. CONCLUSION: These new ACR/EULAR APS classification criteria were developed using rigorous methodology with multidisciplinary international input. Hierarchically clustered, weighted, and risk-stratified criteria reflect the current thinking about APS, providing high specificity and a strong foundation for future APS research.

2023 ACR/EULAR antiphospholipid syndrome classification criteria.

OBJECTIVE: To develop new antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) classification criteria with high specificity for use in observational studies and trials, jointly supported by the American College of Rheumatology (ACR) and EULAR. METHODS: This international multidisciplinary initiative included four phases: (1) Phase I, criteria generation by surveys and literature review; (2) Phase II, criteria reduction by modified Delphi and nominal group technique exercises; (3) Phase III, criteria definition, further reduction with the guidance of real-world patient scenarios, and weighting via consensus-based multicriteria decision analysis, and threshold identification; and (4) Phase IV, validation using independent adjudicators' consensus as the gold standard. RESULTS: The 2023 ACR/EULAR APS classification criteria include an entry criterion of at least one positive antiphospholipid antibody (aPL) test within 3 years of identification of an aPL-associated clinical criterion, followed by additive weighted criteria (score range 1-7 points each) clustered into six clinical domains (macrovascular venous thromboembolism, macrovascular arterial thrombosis, microvascular, obstetric, cardiac valve, and hematologic) and two laboratory domains (lupus anticoagulant functional coagulation assays, and solid-phase enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays for IgG/IgM anticardiolipin and/or IgG/IgM anti-ß2-glycoprotein I antibodies). Patients accumulating at least three points each from the clinical and laboratory domains are classified as having APS. In the validation cohort, the new APS criteria vs the 2006 revised Sapporo classification criteria had a specificity of 99% vs 86%, and a sensitivity of 84% vs 99%. CONCLUSION: These new ACR/EULAR APS classification criteria were developed using rigorous methodology with multidisciplinary international input. Hierarchically clustered, weighted, and risk-stratified criteria reflect the current thinking about APS, providing high specificity and a strong foundation for future APS research.

Outcomes of COVID-19 and Factors Associated With Its Severity Among Hospitalized Patients With and Without Systemic Rheumatic Disease During the First Wave of the Pandemic in New York City.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: Conflicting data exist regarding whether patients with systemic rheumatic disease (SRD) experience more severe outcomes related to COVID-19. Using data from adult patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in New York City during the first wave of the pandemic, we evaluated whether patients with SRD were at an increased risk for severe outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a medical records review study including patients aged ≥18 years with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalized at 3 NewYork-Presbyterian sites, March 3-May 15, 2020. Inverse probability of treatment weighting was applied to a multivariable logistic regression model to assess the association between SRD status and the composite of mechanical ventilation, intensive care unit admission, or death. RESULTS: Of 3710 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 (mean [SD] age, 63.7 [17.0] years; 41% female, 29% White, and 34% Hispanic/Latinx), 92 (2.5%) had SRD. Patients with SRD had similar age and body mass index but were more likely to be female, ever smokers, and White or Black, compared with those without SRD. A higher proportion of patients with versus without SRD had hypertension and pulmonary disease, and used hydroxychloroquine, corticosteroids, and immunomodulatory/immunosuppressive medications before admission. In the weighted multivariable analysis, patients with SRD had an odds ratio of 1.24 (95% confidence interval, 1.10-1.41; p < 0.01) for the composite of mechanical ventilation, intensive care unit admission, or death, compared with patients without SRD. CONCLUSIONS: During the initial peak of the pandemic in New York City, patients with versus without SRD hospitalized with COVID-19 had a 24% increased likelihood of having severe COVID-19 after multivariable adjustment.

Association of Ultraviolet B Radiation and Risk of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Among Women in the Nurses' Health Studies.

OBJECTIVE: Ultraviolet (UV) radiation exposure is associated with photosensitivity, rashes, and flares in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). However, it is not known whether UV exposure increases risk of developing SLE. We examined UV exposure and SLE risk in a large prospective cohort. METHODS: The Nurses' Health Study (NHS) enrolled 121,700 US female nurses in 1976; in 1989, 116,429 nurses were enrolled in NHS II. Biennial questionnaires collected lifestyle and medical data. Self-reported incident SLE by American College of Rheumatology classification criteria was confirmed by medical record review. Ambient UV exposure was estimated by linking geocoded residential addresses with a spatiotemporal UV exposure model. Cox models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) across tertiles of time-varying cumulative average UV. We examined SLE risk overall and stratified by anti-Ro/La antibodies and by cutaneous manifestations from 1976 through 2014 (NHS)/2015 (NHS II), adjusting for confounders. RESULTS: With 6,054,665 person-years of exposure, we identified 297 incident SLE cases; the mean ± SD age at diagnosis was 49.8 ± 10.6 years. At diagnosis, 16.8% of women had +anti-Ro/La, and 80% had either +anti-Ro/La or ≥1 cutaneous manifestation. Compared with the lowest UV exposure tertile, risk of overall SLE was increased, but not significantly (HR 1.28 [95%CI 0.96-1.70]). Women in the highest tertile had increased risk of malar rash (HR 1.62 [95% CI 1.04-2.52]). CONCLUSION: Cumulative UV exposure was not associated with SLE risk. Higher UV exposure, however, was associated with increased risk of malar rash at presentation. UV exposure may trigger SLE onset with malar rash among susceptible women.

Increased risk of acute and chronic microvascular renal lesions associated with antiphospholipid antibodies in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Microvascular renal lesions have been described in patients with antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL), however their association with aPL is inconsistent among studies. Therefore, our objective was to investigate associations between microvascular renal lesions and aPL among systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients. METHODS: Studies were selected if they included SLE patients with and without aPL positivity with a description of kidney biopsy identifying acute and/or chronic microvascular renal lesions as well as lupus nephritis. Data sources were Pubmed, Embase, Cochrane Library, hand search, congress abstracts, and reference lists of studies, without language restrictions. Risk estimates were independently extracted by 2 investigators. Pooled effect estimates were obtained by using the Mantel-Haenszel method (random effects). RESULTS: Of 1860 identified records obtained between 1991 and 2021, 35 published studies (10 cohorts, 7 case-control, 18 cross-sectional) met inclusion criteria, including 3035 SLE patients according to American College of Rheumatology criteria and 454 cases of microvascular renal lesions. Frequency of microvascular renal lesions in aPL-positive vs. aPL-negative SLE patients was 31.3% vs. 10.4%, respectively. The overall pooled odds ratios (OR) for microvascular renal lesions in aPL-positive vs. aPL-negative SLE patients was 3.03 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.25-4.09). The risk of microvascular renal lesions was the highest for lupus anticoagulant (OR = 4.84 [95% CI, 2.93 to 8.02]) and IgG anticardiolipin antibodies (OR = 3.12 [95% CI,1.08-9.02]) while the association with anti-ß2-glycoprotein I antibodies (OR = 1.88 [95% CI, 0.25-14.14]) did not reach statistical significance. Furthermore, aPL were not associated with any classes of lupus nephritis. CONCLUSION: In SLE patients, aPL-positivity is associated with a significant 3- to 5-fold increased risk for specific microvascular renal lesions. This risk is mainly driven by lupus anticoagulant and IgG anticardiolipin antibodies. Our results support the inclusion of microvascular renal lesions as new criteria for definite antiphospholipid syndrome.

When a Diagnosis Has No Name: Uncertainty and Opportunity.

Diagnostic uncertainty, commonly encountered in rheumatology and other fields of medicine, is an opportunity: Stakeholders who understand uncertainty's causes and quantitate its effects can reduce uncertainty and can use uncertainty to improve medical practice, science, and administration. To articulate, bring attention to, and offer recommendations for diagnostic uncertainty, the Barbara Volcker Center at the Hospital for Special Surgery sponsored, in April 2021, a virtual international workshop, "When a Diagnosis Has No Name." This paper summarizes the opinions of 72 stakeholders from the fields of medical research, industry, federal regulatory agencies, insurers, hospital management, medical philosophy, public media, health care law, clinical rheumatology, other specialty areas of medicine, and patients. Speakers addressed the effects of diagnostic uncertainty in their fields. The workshop addressed the following six questions: What is a diagnosis? What are the purposes of diagnoses? How do doctors assign diagnoses? What is uncertainty? What are its causes? How does understanding uncertainty offer opportunities to improve all fields of medicine? The workshop's conveners systematically reviewed video recordings of formal presentations, video recordings of open discussion periods, manuscripts, and slide files submitted by the speakers to develop consensus take-home messages, which were as follows: Diagnostic uncertainty causes harm when patients lack access to laboratory test and treatments, do not participate in research studies, are not counted in administrative and public health documents, and suffer humiliation in their interactions with others. Uncertainty offers opportunities, such as quantifying uncertainty, using statistical technologies and automated intelligence to stratify patient groups by level of uncertainty, using a common vocabulary, and considering the effects of time.

Infertility in systemic lupus erythematosus: what rheumatologists need to know in a new age of assisted reproductive technology.

Fertility is often a concern for women with SLE. In addition to known indirect factors that influence the ability of a woman with SLE to become pregnant, such as cytotoxic agents, other medications, advanced age and psychosocial effects of the disease, direct disease-related factors are believed to influence fertility. These include diminished ovarian reserve, menstrual irregularities (a function of disease activity) and the presence of antiphospholipid antibodies. The question of whether SLE intrinsically affects fertility, however, remains unanswered. In this review, we address known factors affecting fertility, assess current data regarding a direct impact of SLE on fertility and evaluate potential disease-related risk factors. We focus primarily on studies measuring anti-Müllerian hormone and antral follicle count, the most widely measured markers of ovarian reserve. Our goal is to provide information to rheumatologists faced with counselling patients with SLE regarding their fertility, family planning and options for assisted reproductive technologies, which now include fertility preservation through oocyte cryopreservation.