External validation of an 18F-FDG-PET radiomic model predicting survival after radiotherapy for oropharyngeal cancer.

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE: The purpose of the study is to externally validate published 18F-FDG-PET radiomic models for outcome prediction in patients with oropharyngeal cancer treated with chemoradiotherapy. MATERIAL/METHODS: Outcome data and pre-radiotherapy PET images of 100 oropharyngeal cancer patients (stage IV:78) treated with concomitant chemotherapy to 66-69 Gy/30 fr were available. Tumors were segmented using a previously validated semi-automatic method; 450 radiomic features (RF) were extracted according to IBSI (Image Biomarker Standardization Initiative) guidelines. Only one model for cancer-specific survival (CSS) prediction was suitable to be independently tested, according to our criteria. This model, in addition to HPV status, SUVmean and SUVmax, included two independent meta-factors (Fi), resulting from combining selected RF clusters. In a subgroup of 66 patients with complete HPV information, the global risk score R was computed considering the original coefficients and was tested by Cox regression as predictive of CSS. Independently, only the radiomic risk score RF derived from Fi was tested on the same subgroup to learn about the radiomics contribution to the model. The metabolic tumor volume (MTV) was also tested as a single predictor and its prediction performances were compared to the global and radiomic models. Finally, the validation of MTV and the radiomic score RF were also tested on the entire dataset. RESULTS: Regarding the analysis of the subgroup with HPV information, with a median follow-up of 41.6 months, seven patients died due to cancer. R was confirmed to be associated to CSS (p value = 0.05) with a C-index equal 0.75 (95% CI=0.62-0.85). The best cut-off value (equal to 0.15) showed high ability in patient stratification (p=0.01, HR=7.4, 95% CI=1.6-11.4). The 5-year CSS for R were 97% (95% CI: 93-100%) vs 74% (56-92%) for low- and high-risk groups, respectively. RF and MTV alone were also significantly associated to CSS for the subgroup with an almost identical C-index. According to best cut-off value (RF>0.12 and MTV>15.5cc), the 5-year CSS were 96% (95% CI: 89-100%) vs 65% (36-94%) and 97% (95% CI: 88-100%) vs 77% (58-93%) for RF and MTV, respectively. Results regarding RF and MTV were confirmed in the overall group. CONCLUSION: A previously published PET radiomic model for CSS prediction was independently validated. Performances of the model were similar to the ones of using only the MTV, without improvement of prediction accuracy.

CT radiomic predictors of local relapse after SBRT for lung oligometastases from colorectal cancer: a single institute pilot study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the potential of radiomic features (RFs) extracted from simulation computed tomography (CT) images in discriminating local progression (LP) after stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) in the management of lung oligometastases (LOM) from colorectal cancer (CRC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Thirty-eight patients with 70 LOM treated with SBRT were analyzed. The largest LOM was considered as most representative for each patient and was manually delineated by two blinded radiation oncologists. In all, 141 RFs were extracted from both contours according to IBSI (International Biomarker Standardization Initiative) recommendations. Based on the agreement between the two observers, 134/141 RFs were found to be robust against delineation (intraclass correlation coefficient [ICC] > 0.80); independent RFs were then assessed by Spearman correlation coefficients. The association between RFs and LP was assessed with Mann-Whitney test and univariate logistic regression (ULR): the discriminative power of the most informative RF was quantified by receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) analysis through area under curve (AUC). RESULTS: In all, 15/38 patients presented LP. Median time to progression was 14.6 months (range 2.4-66 months); 5/141 RFs were significantly associated to LP at ULR analysis (p < 0.05); among them, 4 RFs were selected as robust and independent: Statistical_Variance (AUC = 0.75, p = 0.002), Statistical_Range (AUC = 0.72, p = 0.013), Grey Level Size Zone Matrix (GLSZM) _zoneSizeNonUniformity (AUC = 0.70, p = 0.022), Grey Level Dependence Zone Matrix (GLDZM) _zoneDistanceEntropy (AUC = 0.70, p = 0.026). Importantly, the RF with the best performance (Statisical_Variance) is simply representative of density heterogeneity within LOM. CONCLUSION: Four RFs extracted from planning CT were significantly associated with LP of LOM from CRC treated with SBRT. Results encourage further research on a larger population aiming to define a usable radiomic score combining the most predictive RFs and, possibly, additional clinical features.

Impact of molecular subtype on 1325 early-stage breast cancer patients homogeneously treated with hypofractionated radiotherapy without boost: Should the indications for radiotherapy be more personalized?

AIM: We report molecular subtype impact on 1325 early breast cancer (BCa) patients treated with whole breast hypofractionated (WBH) adjuvant forward-planned intensity modulated radiotherapy (F-IMRT) without boost. METHODS AND MATERIALS: From 02/2009-05/2017 1325 patients with pTis-pT3, pNx-N1aM0 BCa who underwent breast conservation surgery were treated with WBHF-IMRT in our institute, to a total dose of 40 Gy/15 fractions, without boost. Median age: 62 (interquartile range-IQR-:51.14-70.53) years. HISTOLOGY: 8% in situ carcinoma (ISC), 92% invasive tumors. Molecular subtypes (invasive tumors): 49.9% Luminal A, 33.1% Luminal B Her2 negative (-), 6.2% Luminal B Her2 positive (+), 3.6% Hormone Receptor (HR)- Her2+, 7.1% Triple negative (TNBC), and 0.2% HR+. Chemotherapy (CT) was prescribed in 28% of patients, hormonal therapy in 80.3%, monoclonal antibodies (MAb) in 86.8% of Luminal B Her2+ and 97.7% of HR- Her2+ patients. RESULTS: Median follow up was 72.43 (IQR: 44.63-104.13) months. The 5-year Kaplan-Meier estimates of local relapse-free survival (LRFS) was 97.8%, regional-(RRFS) 98.6%, loco-regional- (LRRFS) 96.9%, distant- (DRFS) 96.6%, disease-free survival (DFS) 94.8% and overall survival (OS) 95.5%. Considering molecular subtypes, 5-year LRFS was: 99.8% for Luminal A, 96.7% for Luminal B Her2-, 94.1% for Luminal B Her2+, 87.9% for HR- Her2+, 95.1% for TNBC and 99.1% for in situ carcinoma. CONCLUSION: While the overall estimated probability of LR within 5 years after WBHF-IMRT without boost is good (2.2%), molecular subtypes have a strong impact, despite MAb therapy in Her2+ patients, and CT for TNBC patients, and could be used as a parameter in deciding the boost prescription.

Ab initio description of the exotic unbound 7He nucleus.

The neutron-rich unbound 7He nucleus has been the subject of many experimental investigations. While the ground-state 3/2- resonance is well established, there is a controversy concerning the excited 1/2- resonance reported in some experiments as low lying and narrow (E(R)∼1 MeV, Γ≤1 MeV) while in others as very broad and located at a higher energy. This issue cannot be addressed by ab initio theoretical calculations based on traditional bound-state methods. We introduce a new unified approach to nuclear bound and continuum states based on the coupling of the no-core shell model, a bound-state technique, with the no-core shell model combined with the resonating-group method, a nuclear scattering technique. Our calculations describe the ground-state resonance in agreement with experiment and, at the same time, predict a broad 1/2- resonance above 2 MeV.