Long-term efficacy and safety of tailored immunosuppressive therapy in immune-mediated biopsy-proven myocarditis: A propensity-weighted study.

AIMS: Standardized immunosuppressive therapy (IS) had been previously investigated in biopsy-proven (BP) lymphocytic myocarditis with heart failure (HF). This study evaluated efficacy and safety of tailored IS in BP immune-mediated myocarditis, irrespective of histology and clinical presentation. METHODS AND RESULTS: Consecutive BP myocarditis patients treated with long-term tailored IS on top of optimal medical therapy (OMT), were compared with OMT non-IS controls using propensity-score weighting. The primary outcome was a composite of death or heart transplant, the secondary outcome was a composite of biventricular function, New York Heart Association (NYHA) class variation, and relapse. IS was managed by a multidisciplinary Cardioimmunology Team, involved a safety checklist and active patients' education. Ninety-one IS patients were compared with 267 non-IS patients. IS patients more frequently had systemic immune-mediated diseases (35% vs. 9.7%), lower baseline echocardiographic left ventricular ejection fraction (35% vs. 43%), lower right ventricular fractional area change (34% vs. 41%) and higher frequency of active lymphocytic, eosinophilic and giant cell myocarditis (71% vs. 58%, 12% vs. 1.1%, and 6.6% vs. 1.5%, respectively). At 5-year follow up, no difference was observed in the primary outcome (survival rate 93% in IS vs. 87% in non-IS), but IS patients had a higher relapse rate. Thus, IS patients, with a lower biventricular function and a higher risk profile at baseline, presented similar biventricular function and NYHA class to non-IS patients at follow-up. Minor adverse drug reactions occurred in 13% of patients, all resolved with therapy switch. CONCLUSIONS: Prolonged tailored IS is effective and safe in BP immune-mediated myocarditis irrespective of histology and clinical presentation.

Outcomes of Laparoscopic Surgery in Very Elderly Patients with Colorectal Cancer: A Survival Analysis and Comparative Study.

(1) Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a global health concern, particularly among the elderly population. This study aimed to assess the impact of laparoscopic surgery on CRC patients aged ≥80 years. (2) Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from consecutive CRC patients who underwent surgery at our institution between July 2018 and July 2023. The patients were categorized into three groups: those aged over 80 who underwent laparoscopic surgery (Group A), those aged over 80 who underwent open surgery (Group B), and those under 80 who underwent laparoscopic surgery (Group C). We examined various clinical and surgical parameters, including demographic data, medical history, surgical outcomes, and survival. (3) Results: Group A (N = 113) had shorter hospital stays than Group B (N = 23; p = 0.042), with no significant differences in complications or 30-day outcomes. Compared to Group C (N = 269), Group A had higher comorbidity indices (p < 0.001), more emergency admissions, anemia, low hemoglobin levels, colonic obstruction (p < 0.001), longer hospital stays (p < 0.001), and more medical complications (p = 0.003). Laparotomic conversion was associated with obstructive neoplasms (p < 0.001), and medical complications with ASA scores (p < 0.001). Both the medical and surgical complications predicted adverse 30-day outcomes (p = 0.007 and p < 0.001). Survival analysis revealed superior overall survival (OS) in Group A vs. Group B (p < 0.0001) and inferior OS vs. Group C (p < 0.0001). After a landmark analysis, the OS for patients aged 80 or older and those under 80 appeared to be similar (HR 2.55 [0.75-8.72], p = 0.136). (4) Conclusions: Laparoscopic surgery in very elderly CRC patients shows comparable oncological outcomes and surgical complications to younger populations. Survival benefits are influenced by age, comorbidities, and medical complications. Further prospective multicenter studies are needed in order to validate these findings.

Perioperative outcomes in redo VATS for pulmonary ipsilateral malignancy: A single center experience.

BACKGROUND: The role of video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery for oncological major pulmonary resections is now well established; however, the literature within pulmonary re-operations is still limited. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the safety and efficacy of redo thoracoscopic resections for ipsilateral pulmonary malignancy. METHODS: Data from patients undergoing video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery at the Unit of Thoracic Surgery of Padua were analyzed, comparing the results between the first and second ipsilateral surgery. The retrospective study included patients who underwent 2 thoracoscopic surgeries for oncological reasons between 2015 and 2022. The variables considered included patients' baseline characteristics, pre, intra, and postoperative data. RESULTS: The study enrolled 51 patients undergoing ipsilateral thoracoscopic re-operation. The statistical analysis showed that surgical time (95min vs 115min; p = 0.009), the presence of intrapleural adhesions at second surgery (30 % vs 76 %; p < 0.001), overall pleural fluid output (200 vs 560 ml; p = 0.003), time with pleural drainage (2 vs 3 days; p = 0.027), air leaks duration time (p = 0.004) and post-operative day of discharge (3 vs 4 days; p = 0.043) were significantly higher in the re-operation group. No statistical differences were observed between the 2 groups respect to R0 resection rate (90.2 % vs 89.1 %; p=>0.9) and complications (5.8 % vs 15.6 %; p = 0.11). The conversion rate to open surgery was 11.8 %. CONCLUSION: Although some differences emerged between the first and second intervention, they had minimal impact on the clinical course of the patients. Therefore, thoracoscopic surgery has been shown to be safe and effective in re-operations with satisfying perioperative outcomes. To achieve such results, these procedures should be reserved for experienced surgeons.

Dyspnea in Post-Acute COVID-19: A Multi-Parametric Cardiopulmonary Evaluation.

Post-acute COVID-19 is characterized by the persistence of dyspnea, but the pathophysiology is unclear. We evaluated the prevalence of dyspnea during follow-up and factors at admission and follow-up associated with dyspnea persistence. After five months from discharge, 225 consecutive patients hospitalized for moderate to severe COVID-19 pneumonia were assessed clinically and by laboratory tests, echocardiography, six-minute walking test (6MWT), and pulmonary function tests. Fifty-one patients reported persistent dyspnea. C-reactive protein (p = 0.025, OR 1.01 (95% CI 1.00-1.02)) at admission, longer duration of hospitalization (p = 0.005, OR 1.05 (95% CI 1.01-1.10)) and higher body mass index (p = 0.001, OR 1.15 (95% CI 1.06-1.28)) were independent predictors of dyspnea. Absolute drop in SpO2 at 6MWT (p = 0.001, OR 1.37 (95% CI 1.13-1.69)), right ventricular (RV) global longitudinal strain (p = 0.016, OR 1.12 (95% CI 1.02-1.25)) and RV global longitudinal strain/systolic pulmonary artery pressure ratio (p = 0.034, OR 0.14 (95% CI 0.02-0.86)) were independently associated with post-acute COVID-19 dyspnea. In conclusion, dyspnea is present in many patients during follow-up after hospitalization for COVID-19 pneumonia. While higher body mass index, C-reactive protein at admission, and duration of hospitalization are predictors of persistent dyspnea, desaturation at 6MWT, and echocardiographic RV dysfunction are associated with this symptom during the follow-up period.

Pediatric Injury Surveillance From Uncoded Emergency Department Admission Records in Italy: Machine Learning-Based Text-Mining Approach.

BACKGROUND: Unintentional injury is the leading cause of death in young children. Emergency department (ED) diagnoses are a useful source of information for injury epidemiological surveillance purposes. However, ED data collection systems often use free-text fields to report patient diagnoses. Machine learning techniques (MLTs) are powerful tools for automatic text classification. The MLT system is useful to improve injury surveillance by speeding up the manual free-text coding tasks of ED diagnoses. OBJECTIVE: This research aims to develop a tool for automatic free-text classification of ED diagnoses to automatically identify injury cases. The automatic classification system also serves for epidemiological purposes to identify the burden of pediatric injuries in Padua, a large province in the Veneto region in the Northeast Italy. METHODS: The study includes 283,468 pediatric admissions between 2007 and 2018 to the Padova University Hospital ED, a large referral center in Northern Italy. Each record reports a diagnosis by free text. The records are standard tools for reporting patient diagnoses. An expert pediatrician manually classified a randomly extracted sample of approximately 40,000 diagnoses. This study sample served as the gold standard to train an MLT classifier. After preprocessing, a document-term matrix was created. The machine learning classifiers, including decision tree, random forest, gradient boosting method (GBM), and support vector machine (SVM), were tuned by 4-fold cross-validation. The injury diagnoses were classified into 3 hierarchical classification tasks, as follows: injury versus noninjury (task A), intentional versus unintentional injury (task B), and type of unintentional injury (task C), according to the World Health Organization classification of injuries. RESULTS: The SVM classifier achieved the highest performance accuracy (94.14%) in classifying injury versus noninjury cases (task A). The GBM method produced the best results (92% accuracy) for the unintentional and intentional injury classification task (task B). The highest accuracy for the unintentional injury subclassification (task C) was achieved by the SVM classifier. The SVM, random forest, and GBM algorithms performed similarly against the gold standard across different tasks. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that MLTs are promising techniques for improving epidemiological surveillance, allowing for the automatic classification of pediatric ED free-text diagnoses. The MLTs revealed a suitable classification performance, especially for general injuries and intentional injury classification. This automatic classification could facilitate the epidemiological surveillance of pediatric injuries by also reducing the health professionals' efforts in manually classifying diagnoses for research purposes.

Which video technology brings the higher cognitive burden and motion sickness in laparoscopic colorectal surgery: 3D, 2D-4 K or 3D-4 K? a propensity score study.

BACKGROUND: Technological development has offered laparoscopic colorectal surgeons new video systems to improve depth perception and perform difficult task in limited space. The aim of this study was to assess the cognitive burden and motion sickness for surgeons during 3D, 2D-4 K or 3D-4 K laparoscopic colorectal procedures and to report post-operative data with the different video systems employed. METHODS: Patients were assigned to either 3D, 2D-4 K or 3D-4 K video and two questionnaires (Simulator Sickness Questionnaire-SSQ- and NASA Task Load Index -TLX) were used during elective laparoscopic colorectal resections (October 2020-August 2022) from two operating surgeons. Short-term results of the operations performed with the three different video systems were also analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 113 consecutive patients were included: 41 (36%) in the 3D Group (A), 46 (41%) in the 3D-4 K Group and 26 (23%) in the 2D-4 K Group (C). Weighted and adjusted regression models showed no significant difference in cognitive load amongst the surgeons in the three groups of video systems when using the NASA-TLX. An increased risk for slight/moderate general discomfort and eyestrain in the 3D-4 K group compared with 2D-4 K group (OR = 3.5; p = 0.0057 and OR = 2.8; p = 0.0096, respectively) was observed. Further, slight/moderate difficulty focusing was lower in both 3D and 3D-4 K groups compared with 2D-4 K group (OR = 0.4; p = 0.0124 and OR = 0.5; p = 0.0341, respectively), and higher in the 3D-4 K group compared with 3D group (OR = 2.6; p = 0.0124). Patient population characteristics, operative time, post-operative staging, complication rate and length of stay were similar in the three groups of patients. CONCLUSIONS: 3D and 3D-4 K systems, when compared with 2D-4 K video technology, have a higher risk for slight/moderate general discomfort and eyestrain, but show lower difficulty focusing. Short post-operative outcomes do not differ, whichever imaging system is used.

Skeletal Muscle Mass and Surgical Morbidity After Laparoscopic Rectal Cancer Resection.

Background: Sarcopenia is a useful tool in predicting short-term results in patients undergoing surgery for gastrointestinal cancer. However, there are few studies addressing this issue in colorectal cancer, and even less specifically focused on rectal cancer. We evaluated the prognostic relevance of preoperative skeletal mass index on postoperative morbidity in patients undergoing laparoscopic curative resection for rectal cancer. Methods: Skeletal mass index data and clinicopathological characteristics of rectal cancer patients in a 15-year period (June 2005-December 2020) were evaluated; patients with metastatic disease at surgery were excluded; postoperative complications within 30 days were evaluated using the Clavien-Dindo classification. Results: A total of 166 patients were included in the study. The overall prevalence of sarcopenia was 60%. BMI, Hb, or albumin were not associated with sarcopenia. Hospital stay was not correlated with sarcopenia. Postoperative complications occurred in 51 patients (31%); by the Clavien-Dindo classification 31 (61%) grade I, 10 (14.5%) grade II, and 10 (14.5%) grade III. Overall complications were not significantly different in sarcopenic and nonsarcopenic patients (P = .10). Considering only patients with complications, sarcopenia was found to be a predictor of more severe postoperative morbidity (odds ratio 12.7, P = .021). On multivariable analysis, sarcopenia was not associated with postoperative morbidity. Conclusions: Skeletal muscle status in rectal cancer patients undergoing curative resection was not associated with overall postoperative morbidity, although there was a correlation between sarcopenia and more severe complications. Further studies in a larger cohort of patients are needed before conclusions can be drawn on the relationship between muscular depletion and surgical outcomes in rectal cancer patients.

Subclinical Myocardial Injury in Patients Recovered from COVID-19 Pneumonia: Predictors and Longitudinal Assessment.

(1) Background: Emerging data regarding patients recovered from COVID-19 are reported in the literature, but cardiac sequelae have not yet been clarified. To quickly detect any cardiac involvement at follow-up, the aims of the research were to identify: elements at admission predisposing subclinical myocardial injury at follow up; the relationship between subclinical myocardial injury and multiparametric evaluation at follow-up; and subclinical myocardial injury longitudinal evolution. (2) Methods and Results: A total of 229 consecutive patients hospitalised for moderate to severe COVID-19 pneumonia were initially enrolled, of which 225 were available for follow-up. All patients underwent a first follow-up visit, which included a clinical evaluation, a laboratory test, echocardiography, a six-minute walking test (6MWT), and a pulmonary functional test. Of the 225 patients, 43 (19%) underwent a second follow-up visit. The median time to the first follow-up after discharge was 5 months, and the median time to the second follow-up after discharge was 12 months. Left ventricular global longitudinal strain (LVGLS) and right ventricular free wall strain (RVFWS) were reduced in 36% (n = 81) and 7.2% (n = 16) of the patients, respectively, at first the follow-up visit. LVGLS impairment showed correlations with patients of male gender (p 0.008, OR 2.32 (95% CI 1.24-4.42)), the presence of at least one cardiovascular risk factor (p < 0.001, OR 6.44 (95% CI 3.07-14.9)), and final oxygen saturation (p 0.002, OR 0.99 (95% CI 0.98-1)) for the 6MWTs. Subclinical myocardial dysfunction had not significantly improved at the 12-month follow-ups. (3) Conclusions: in patients recovered from COVID-19 pneumonia, left ventricular subclinical myocardial injury was related to cardiovascular risk factors and appeared stable during follow-up.

Voice Parameters in Children With Cochlear Implants: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: An intact auditory system is essential for the development and maintenance of voice quality and speech prosody. On the contrary hearing loss affects the adjustments and appropriate use of organs involved in speech and voice production. Spectro-acoustic voice parameters have been evaluated in Cochlear Implant (CI) users, and the authors of previous systematic reviews on the topic concluded that fundamental frequency (F0) seemed preliminarily the most reliable parameter to evaluate voice alterations in adult CI users. The main aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to clarify the vocal parameters and prosodic alterations of speech in pediatric CI users. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The protocol of the systematic review was registered on the PROSPERO database, International prospective register of systematic reviews. We conducted a search of the English literature published in the period between January 1, 2005 and April 1, 2022 on the Pubmed and Scopus databases. A meta-analysis was conducted to compare the values of voice acoustic parameters in CI users and non-hearing-impaired controls. The analysis was conducted using the standardized mean difference as the outcome measure. A random-effects model was fitted to the data. RESULTS: A total of 1334 articles were initially evaluated using title and abstract screening. After applying inclusion/exclusion criteria, 20 articles were considered suitable for this review. The age of the cases ranged between 25 and 132 months at examination. The most studied parameters were F0, Jitter, Shimmer and Harmonics-to-Noise Ratio (HNR); other parameters were seldom reported. A total of 11 studies were included in the meta-analysis of F0, with the majority of estimates being positive (75%); the estimated average standardized mean difference based on the random-effects model was 0.3033 (95% CI: 0.0605 to 0.5462; P = 0.0144). For Jitter (0.2229; 95% CI: -0.1862 to 0.7986; P = 0.2229) and shimmer (0.2540; 95% CI: -0.1404 to 0.6485; P = 0.2068) there was a trend toward positive values without reaching statistical significance. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis confirmed that higher F0 values have been observed in the pediatric population of CI users compared to age-matched normal hearing volunteers, whereas the parameters of voice noise were not significantly different between cases and controls. Prosodic aspects of language need further investigations. In longitudinal contexts, prolonged auditory experience with CI has brought voice parameters closer to the norm. Following the available evidence, we stress the utility of inclusion of vocal acoustic analysis in the clinical evaluation and follow-up of CI patients to optimize the rehabilitation process of pediatric patients with hearing loss.

Laparoscopic right hemicolectomy with 2D or 3D video system technology: systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Standard laparoscopic colorectal surgery relies on 2D image systems in most centers. However, 3D vision has gained popularity and is used nowadays in a constantly rising number of units. Right hemicolectomy with intracorporeal anastomosis and lymph node dissection represents a surgical procedure that may benefit the most from 3D vision. The aim of the study was to summarize the available literature on the use of 2D vs. 3D video imaging in patients undergoing laparoscopic right hemicolectomy. METHODS: A comprehensive literature review was conducted including Medline/PubMed, Embase, and Scopus (PROSPERO registration number CRD 42022344764) through October 2022. The systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. The risk of bias was evaluated using the ROBINS-I tool. Certainty of evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) guidelines and GRADEpro to develop a summary of evidence tables. Random-effects meta-analyses were conducted. RESULTS: Five observational retrospective studies (496 patients, 275 2D and 216 3D) were included. One study was rated as having a critical risk of bias; the remaining had low to moderate risk. 2D laparoscopic right hemicolectomy patients showed longer anastomotic time in 3/3 studies (MD = 3.32; 95%CI, 1.58-5.05; p = 0.002) and an upward trend in operative time in 4/5 studies (MD = 9.98; 95%CI, -1.42, 21.37; p = 0.086) compared to 3D. The two image video systems had similar short-term outcomes, including the number of lymph nodes harvested (MD = -0.67; 95%CI, -2.47, 1.13; p = 0.47), morbidity (OR post-operative complications = 1.12; 95%CI, 0.71-1.77; p = 0.62), and length of stay (MD = 0.27; 95%CI, -0.59, 1.13; p = 0.9). CONCLUSIONS: 2D and 2D laparoscopic right hemicolectomy had similar complications rate, with a shorter anastomotic time along with a downward trend in overall operative time for 3D. Larger prospective randomized trials are awaited before definitive conclusions can be drawn.

Prognostic role of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte, and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio in operated rectal cancer patients: systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Inflammation plays an important role in tumor growth. Novel serum blood biomarkers, including neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), have been proposed as useful prognostic indexes in cancer patients. However, their role in rectal cancer is controversial. METHODS: A comprehensive literature review was conducted including MEDLINE/Pubmed, EMBASE, SCOPUS, and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews through May 2022. The systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. Quality was appraised with the Methodological Index for Non-Randomized Studies (MINORS) tool. Aim of the study was to summarize available literature on PLR, NLR, and LMR in patients with rectal cancer undergoing resection. RESULTS: Forty-seven observational studies (14,205 patients) were included; there were 42 retrospective and 5 prospective cohort studies with an average MINORS score of 14.6 (range: 12-18). Worse overall survival was associated with high NLR (HR 1.81; 95%CI 1.52-2.15; p < 0.001), high PLR (HR 1.24; 95%CI 1.06-1.46; p = 0.009), and low LMR (HR 0.67; 95%CI 0.49-0.91; p = 0.01). High NLR and low LMR were also associated with disease-free-survival (HR 1.68; 95%CI 1.35-2.08; p < 0.001 and HR 0.71; 95%CI 0.58-0.87; p < 0.001, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: NLR, PLR, and LMR are independent clinical predictors for overall survival in patients with rectal cancer treated with curative surgery. NLR and LMR are also good predictors for disease free survival. These biomarkers, which are readily available, appear optimal prognostic indexes and may help clinicians predict the prognosis of rectal cancer and develop individualized treatment strategies.

Prognostic effect of sarcopenia in patients undergoing laparoscopic rectal cancer resection.

BACKGROUND: The importance of body composition, in particular skeletal muscle mass, as risk factor affecting survival of cancer patients has recently gained increasing attention. The relationship between sarcopenia and oncological outcomes has become a topic of research in particular in patients with gastrointestinal cancer. However, there are few studies addressing this issue in colorectal cancer, and even less specifically focused on rectal cancer, in particular in Western countries. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic relevance of preoperative skeletal mass index (SMI) on long-term outcomes in patients undergoing laparoscopic curative resection for rectal cancer. METHODS: SMI data and clinicopathological characteristics of rectal cancer patients in a 15-year period (June 2005-December 2020) were evaluated; patients with metastatic disease at surgery were excluded; overall and disease-free survival as well as recurrence were evaluated. RESULTS: Hundred and sixty-five patients were included in the study. Sarcopenia was identified in 30 (18%) patients. Multivariate analysis identified sarcopenia (HR = 3.28, CI = 1.33-8.11, P = 0.015), along with age (HR = 1.06, CI = 1.02-1.10, P = 0.002) and stage III (HR = 2.63, CI = 1.13-6.08, P < 0.03) as independent risk factors for overall survival. CONCLUSION: Long-term results of rectal cancer patients undergoing curative resection are affected by their preoperative skeletal muscle status. Larger studies including comprehensive data on muscle strength along with SMI are awaited to confirm these results on both Eastern and Western rectal cancer patient populations before strategies to reverse muscle depletion can be extensively applied.

Does 3D laparoscopic video technology affect long-term survival in right hemicolectomy for cancer compared to standard 2D? A propensity score study.

BACKGROUND: There are few studies focused on the short-term results of laparoscopic right hemicolectomy performed with 2D (two-dimension) or 3D (three-dimension) video technology and none on the oncologic effects. The aim of the study was to assess the long-term results of laparoscopic right hemicolectomy (LRH) with intracorporeal anastomosis using 3D or 2D video in patients with right colon cancer with at least three years of oncologic follow-up. METHODS: Data from patients undergoing laparoscopic right hemicolectomy (LRH) with intracorporeal anastomosis for cancer in an 11-year period (June 2008-June 2019) and ≥ 3 years of follow-up were prospectively collected. Surgical procedures were performed by two expert laparoscopic surgeons. RESULTS: 111 patients were included in the study: 56 (50.5%) in the 3D group and 55 (49.5%) in the 2D group. Tumor stage and number of lymph nodes harvested were similar. Overall and disease-free survival were not different in the two groups. Local recurrence occurred in none of the patients, and distant metachronous metastases were similar in the two groups. A propensity score weighting approach was used to account for potential confounding related to patients' nonrandom allocation to the 2 groups. The effects of the intervention on postoperative outcomes were assessed with a weighted regression approach. CONCLUSIONS: Laparoscopic 3D technology allows similar oncological results as 2D vision in LRH with intracorporeal anastomosis. Larger prospective randomized studies might confirm these results in the long-term follow-up.

Physical activity assessment with wearable devices in rheumatic diseases: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: In the management of rheumatic musculoskeletal disorders (RMDs), regular physical activity (PA) is an important recognized non-pharmacological intervention. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to evaluate how the use of wearable devices (WDs) impacts physical activity in patients with noninflammatory and inflammatory rheumatic diseases. METHODS: A comprehensive search of articles was performed in PubMed, Embase, CINAHL and Scopus. A random-effect meta-analysis was carried out on the number of steps and moderate-vigorous physical activity (MVPA). Univariable meta-regression models were computed to assess the possibility that the study characteristics may act as modifiers on the final meta-analysis estimate. RESULTS: In the analysis, 51 articles were included, with a total of 7488 participants. Twenty-two studies considered MVPA outcome alone, 16 studies considered the number of steps alone, and 13 studies reported information on both outcomes. The recommended PA threshold was reached for MVPA (36.35, 95% CI 29.39, 43.31) but not for daily steps (-1092.60, -1640.42 to -544.77). Studies on patients with fibromyalgia report a higher number (6290, 5198.65-7381.62) of daily steps compared with other RMDs. Patients affected by chronic inflammatory arthropathies seemed to fare better in terms of daily steps than the other categories. Patients of younger age reported a higher overall level of PA than elderly individuals for both the number of steps and MVPA. CONCLUSION: Physical activity can be lower than the recommended threshold in patients with RMDs when objectively measured using WD. WDs could be a useful and affordable instrument for daily monitoring physical activity in RMDs and may support an increase in activity levels. PROSPERO TRIAL REGISTRATION: CRD42021227681, https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=227681.

Thrombotic Events after COVID-19 Vaccination in the Over-50s: Results from a Population-Based Study in Italy.

Several European countries suspended or changed recommendations for the use of Vaxzevria (AstraZeneca) for suspected adverse effects due to atypical blood-clotting. This research aims to identify a reference point towards the number of thrombotic events expected in the Italian population over 50 years of age who received Vaxzevria from 22 January to 12 April 2021. The venous thromboembolism (VT) and immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) event rates were estimated from a population-based cohort. The overall VT rate was 1.15 (95% CI 0.93-1.42) per 1000 person-years, and the ITP rate was 2.7 (95% CI 0.7-11) per 100,000 person-years. These figures translate into 83 and two expected events of VT and ITP, respectively, in the 15 days following the first administration of Vaxzevria. The number of thrombotic events reported from the Italian Medicines Agency does not appear to have increased beyond that expected in individuals over 50 years of age.

The Surplus Transplant Lung Allocation System in Italy: An Evaluation of the Allocation Process via Stochastic Modeling.

BACKGROUND: Lung transplantation is a specialized procedure used to treat chronic end-stage respiratory diseases. Due to the scarcity of lung donors, constructing fair and equitable lung transplant allocation methods is an issue that has been addressed with different strategies worldwide. This work aims to describe how Italy's "national protocol for the management of surplus organs in all transplant programs" functions through an online app to allocate lung transplants. We have developed two probability models to describe the allocation process among the various transplant centers. An online app was then created. The first model considers conditional probabilities based on a protocol flowchart to compute the probability for each area and transplant center to receive each n-th organ in the period considered. The second probability model is based on the generalization of the binomial distribution to correlated binary variables, which is based on Bahadur's representation, to compute the cumulative probability for each transplant center to receive at least nth organs. Our results show that the impact of the allocation of a surplus organ depends mostly on the region where the organ was donated. The discrepancies shown by our model may be explained by a discrepancy between the northern and southern regions in relation to the number of organs donated.

COVID-19 ICU mortality prediction: a machine learning approach using SuperLearner algorithm.

BACKGROUND: Since the beginning of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), the development of predictive models has sparked relevant interest due to the initial lack of knowledge about diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis. The present study aimed at developing a model, through a machine learning approach, to predict intensive care unit (ICU) mortality in COVID-19 patients based on predefined clinical parameters. RESULTS: Observational multicenter cohort study. All COVID-19 adult patients admitted to 25 ICUs belonging to the VENETO ICU network (February 28th 2020-april 4th 2021) were enrolled. Patients admitted to the ICUs before 4th March 2021 were used for model training ("training set"), while patients admitted after the 5th of March 2021 were used for external validation ("test set 1"). A further group of patients ("test set 2"), admitted to the ICU of IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico of Milan, was used for external validation. A SuperLearner machine learning algorithm was applied for model development, and both internal and external validation was performed. Clinical variables available for the model were (i) age, gender, sequential organ failure assessment score, Charlson Comorbidity Index score (not adjusted for age), Palliative Performance Score; (ii) need of invasive mechanical ventilation, non-invasive mechanical ventilation, O2 therapy, vasoactive agents, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, continuous venous-venous hemofiltration, tracheostomy, re-intubation, prone position during ICU stay; and (iii) re-admission in ICU. One thousand two hundred ninety-three (80%) patients were included in the "training set", while 124 (8%) and 199 (12%) patients were included in the "test set 1" and "test set 2," respectively. Three different predictive models were developed. Each model included different sets of clinical variables. The three models showed similar predictive performances, with a training balanced accuracy that ranged between 0.72 and 0.90, while the cross-validation performance ranged from 0.75 to 0.85. Age was the leading predictor for all the considered models. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides a useful and reliable tool, through a machine learning approach, for predicting ICU mortality in COVID-19 patients. In all the estimated models, age was the variable showing the most important impact on mortality.