DRD4 gene polymorphism and impulse control disorder induced by dopamine agonists in Parkinson's disease.

Impulse control disorders and their consequences display variability among individuals, indicating potential involvement of environmental and genetic factors. In this retrospective study, we analyzed a cohort of Parkinson's disease patients treated with dopamine agonists and investigated the influence of the dopamine D4 receptor gene polymorphism, DRD4 7R+, which is linked to psychiatric disorders, impulsive traits, and addictive behaviors. We found that DRD4 7R+ is a significant genetic risk factor associated with the severity of ICD.

Technical considerations for evaluating clinical prediction indices: a case study for predicting code blue events with MEWS.

Objective.There have been many efforts to develop tools predictive of health deterioration in hospitalized patients, but comprehensive evaluation of their predictive ability is often lacking to guide implementation in clinical practice. In this work, we propose new techniques and metrics for evaluating the performance of predictive alert algorithms and illustrate the advantage of capturing the timeliness and the clinical burden of alerts through the example of the modified early warning score (MEWS) applied to the prediction of in-hospital code blue events.Approach. Different implementations of MEWS were calculated from available physiological parameter measurements collected from the electronic health records of ICU adult patients. The performance of MEWS was evaluated using conventional and a set of non-conventional metrics and approaches that take into account the timeliness and practicality of alarms as well as the false alarm burden.Main results. MEWS calculated using the worst-case measurement (i.e. values scoring 3 points in the MEWS definition) over 2 h intervals significantly reduced the false alarm rate by over 50% (from 0.19/h to 0.08/h) while maintaining similar sensitivity levels as MEWS calculated from raw measurements (∼80%). By considering a prediction horizon of 12 h preceding a code blue event, a significant improvement in the specificity (∼60%), the precision (∼155%), and the work-up to detection ratio (∼50%) could be achieved, at the cost of a relatively marginal decrease in sensitivity (∼10%).Significance. Performance aspects pertaining to the timeliness and burden of alarms can aid in understanding the potential utility of a predictive alarm algorithm in clinical settings.

Machine learning for the prediction of antimicrobial stewardship intervention in hospitalized patients receiving broad-spectrum agents.

OBJECTIVE: A significant proportion of inpatient antimicrobial prescriptions are inappropriate. Post-prescription review with feedback has been shown to be an effective means of reducing inappropriate antimicrobial use. However, implementation is resource intensive. Our aim was to evaluate the performance of traditional statistical models and machine-learning models designed to predict which patients receiving broad-spectrum antibiotics require a stewardship intervention. METHODS: We performed a single-center retrospective cohort study of inpatients who received an antimicrobial tracked by the antimicrobial stewardship program. Data were extracted from the electronic medical record and were used to develop logistic regression and boosted-tree models to predict whether antibiotic therapy required stewardship intervention on any given day as compared to the criterion standard of note left by the antimicrobial stewardship team in the patient's chart. We measured the performance of these models using area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC), and we evaluated it using a hold-out validation cohort. RESULTS: Both the logistic regression and boosted-tree models demonstrated fair discriminatory power with AUROCs of 0.73 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.69-0.77) and 0.75 (95% CI, 0.72-0.79), respectively (P = .07). Both models demonstrated good calibration. The number of patients that would need to be reviewed to identify 1 patient who required stewardship intervention was high for both models (41.7-45.5 for models tuned to a sensitivity of 85%). CONCLUSIONS: Complex models can be developed to predict which patients require a stewardship intervention. However, further work is required to develop models with adequate discriminatory power to be applicable to real-world antimicrobial stewardship practice.