Synthetic Health Data Can Augment Community Research Efforts to Better Inform the Public During Emerging Pandemics.

The COVID-19 pandemic had disproportionate effects on the Veteran population due to the increased prevalence of medical and environmental risk factors. Synthetic electronic health record (EHR) data can help meet the acute need for Veteran population-specific predictive modeling efforts by avoiding the strict barriers to access, currently present within Veteran Health Administration (VHA) datasets. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and the VHA launched the precisionFDA COVID-19 Risk Factor Modeling Challenge to develop COVID-19 diagnostic and prognostic models; identify Veteran population-specific risk factors; and test the usefulness of synthetic data as a substitute for real data. The use of synthetic data boosted challenge participation by providing a dataset that was accessible to all competitors. Models trained on synthetic data showed similar but systematically inflated model performance metrics to those trained on real data. The important risk factors identified in the synthetic data largely overlapped with those identified from the real data, and both sets of risk factors were validated in the literature. Tradeoffs exist between synthetic data generation approaches based on whether a real EHR dataset is required as input. Synthetic data generated directly from real EHR input will more closely align with the characteristics of the relevant cohort. This work shows that synthetic EHR data will have practical value to the Veterans' health research community for the foreseeable future.

Dual views of the generalized degree of purity.

Several approaches and descriptors have been proposed to characterize the purity of coherency or density matrices describing physical states, including the polarimetric purity of 2D and 3D partially polarized waves. This work introduces two interpretations of the degree of purity: one derived from statistics and another from algebra. In the first one, the degree purity is expressed in terms of the mean and standard deviation of the eigenvalue spectrum of the density or coherency matrix of the corresponding state. The second one expresses the purity in terms of two specific measures obtained by decomposing the coherency matrix as a sum of traceless symmetric, antisymmetric, and scalar matrices. We believe these two approaches offer better insights into the purity measure. Furthermore, interesting relations with existing quantities in polarization optics also are described.

CD4+ T-Cell Epitope Prediction by Combined Analysis of Antigen Conformational Flexibility and Peptide-MHCII Binding Affinity.

Antigen processing in the class II MHC pathway depends on conventional proteolytic enzymes, potentially acting on antigens in native-like conformational states. CD4+ epitope dominance arises from a competition among antigen folding, proteolysis, and MHCII binding. Protease-sensitive sites, linear antibody epitopes, and CD4+ T-cell epitopes were mapped in plague vaccine candidate F1-V to evaluate the various contributions to CD4+ epitope dominance. Using X-ray crystal structures, antigen processing likelihood (APL) predicts CD4+ epitopes with significant accuracy for F1-V without considering peptide-MHCII binding affinity. We also show that APL achieves excellent performance over two benchmark antigen sets. The profiles of conformational flexibility derived from the X-ray crystal structures of the F1-V proteins, Caf1 and LcrV, were similar to the biochemical profiles of linear antibody epitope reactivity and protease sensitivity, suggesting that the role of structure in proteolysis was captured by the analysis of the crystal structures. The patterns of CD4+ T-cell epitope dominance in C57BL/6, CBA, and BALB/c mice were compared to epitope predictions based on APL, MHCII binding, or both. For a sample of 13 diverse antigens, the accuracy of epitope prediction by the combination of APL and I-Ab-MHCII-peptide affinity reached 36%. When MHCII allele specificity was also diverse, such as in human immunity, prediction of dominant epitopes by APL alone reached 42% when using a stringent scoring threshold. Because dominant CD4+ epitopes tend to occur in conformationally stable antigen domains, crystal structures typically are available for analysis by APL, and thus, the requirement for a crystal structure is not a severe limitation.