Validation of oxygen saturations measured in the community by emergency medical services as a marker of clinical deterioration in patients with confirmed COVID-19: a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate oxygen saturation and vital signs measured in the community by emergency medical services (EMS) as clinical markers of COVID-19-positive patient deterioration. DESIGN: A retrospective data analysis. SETTING: Patients were conveyed by EMS to two hospitals in Hampshire, UK, between 1 March 2020 and 31 July 2020. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 1080 patients aged ≥18 years with a COVID-19 diagnosis were conveyed by EMS to the hospital. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary study outcome was admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) within 30 days of conveyance, with a secondary outcome representing mortality within 30 days of conveyance. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to evaluate, in a retrospective fashion, the efficacy of different variables in predicting patient outcomes. RESULTS: Vital signs measured by EMS staff at the first point of contact in the community correlated with patient 30-day ICU admission and mortality. Oxygen saturation was comparably predictive of 30-day ICU admission (area under ROC (AUROC) 0.753; 95% CI 0.668 to 0.826) to the National Early Warning Score 2 (AUROC 0.731; 95% CI 0.655 to 0.800), followed by temperature (AUROC 0.720; 95% CI 0.640 to 0.793) and respiration rate (AUROC 0.672; 95% CI 0.586 to 0.756). CONCLUSIONS: Initial oxygen saturation measurements (on air) for confirmed COVID-19 patients conveyed by EMS correlated with short-term patient outcomes, demonstrating an AUROC of 0.753 (95% CI 0.668 to 0.826) in predicting 30-day ICU admission. We found that the threshold of 93% oxygen saturation is prognostic of adverse events and of value for clinician decision-making with sensitivity (74.2% CI 0.642 to 0.840) and specificity (70.6% CI 0.678 to 0.734).

Linezolid Population Pharmacokinetic Model in Plasma and Cerebrospinal Fluid Among Patients With Tuberculosis Meningitis.

BACKGROUND: Linezolid is evaluated in novel treatment regimens for tuberculous meningitis (TBM). Linezolid pharmacokinetics have not been characterized in this population, particularly in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), as well as, following its co-administration with high-dose rifampicin. We aimed to characterize linezolid plasma and CSF pharmacokinetics in adults with TBM. METHODS: In the LASER-TBM pharmacokinetic substudy, the intervention groups received high-dose rifampicin (35 mg/kg) plus 1200 mg/day of linezolid for 28 days, which was then reduced to 600 mg/day. Plasma sampling was done on day 3 (intensive) and day 28 (sparse). A lumbar CSF sample was obtained on both visits. RESULTS: Thirty participants contributed 247 plasma and 28 CSF observations. Their median age and weight were 40 years (range, 27-56) and 58 kg (range, 30-96). Plasma pharmacokinetics was described by a 1-compartment model with first-order absorption and saturable elimination. Maximal clearance was 7.25 L/h, and the Michaelis-Menten constant was 27.2 mg/L. Rifampicin cotreatment duration did not affect linezolid pharmacokinetics. CSF-plasma partitioning correlated with CSF total protein up to 1.2 g/L, where the partition coefficient reached a maximal value of 37%. The plasma-CSF equilibration half-life was ∼3.5 hours. CONCLUSIONS: Linezolid was readily detected in CSF despite high-dose rifampicin coadministration. These findings support continued clinical evaluation of linezolid plus high-dose rifampicin for the treatment of TBM in adults. Clinical Trials Registration. ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03927313).

Heterogeneous patterns of heterozygosity loss in isolated populations of the threatened eastern barred bandicoot (Perameles gunnii).

Identifying and analysing isolated populations is critical for conservation. Isolation can make populations vulnerable to local extinction due to increased genetic drift and inbreeding, both of which should leave imprints of decreased genome-wide heterozygosity. While decreases in heterozygosity among populations are frequently investigated, fewer studies have analysed how heterozygosity varies among individuals, including whether heterozygosity varies geographically along lines of discrete population structure or with continuous patterns analogous to isolation by distance. Here we explore geographical patterns of differentiation and individual heterozygosity in the threatened eastern barred bandicoot (Perameles gunnii) in Tasmania, Australia, using genomic data from 85 samples collected between 2008 and 2011. Our analyses identified two isolated demes undergoing significant genetic drift, and several areas of fine-scale differentiation across Tasmania. We observed discrete genetic structures across geographical barriers and continuous patterns of isolation by distance, with little evidence of recent or historical migration. Using a recently developed analytical pipeline for estimating autosomal heterozygosity, we found individual heterozygosities varied within demes by up to a factor of two, and demes with low-heterozygosity individuals also still contained those with high heterozygosity. Spatial interpolation of heterozygosity scores clarified these patterns and identified the isolated Tasman Peninsula as a location where low-heterozygosity individuals were more common than elsewhere. Our results provide novel insights into the relationship between isolation-driven genetic structure and local heterozygosity patterns. These may help improve translocation efforts, by identifying populations in need of assistance, and by providing an individualised metric for identifying source animals for translocation.

Organisation of care for people receiving drug-resistant tuberculosis treatment in South Africa: a mixed methods study.

OBJECTIVES: Treatment for multidrug-resistant/rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis (MDR/RR-TB) is increasingly transitioning from hospital-centred to community-based care. A national policy for decentralised programmatic MDR/RR-TB care was adopted in South Africa in 2011. We explored variations in the implementation of care models in response to this change in policy, and the implications of these variations for people affected by MDR/RR-TB. DESIGN: A mixed methods study was done of patient movements between healthcare facilities, reconstructed from laboratory records. Facility visits and staff interviews were used to determine reasons for movements. PARTICIPANTS AND SETTING: People identified with MDR/RR-TB from 13 high-burden districts within South Africa. OUTCOME MEASURES: Geospatial movement patterns were used to identify organisational models. Reasons for patient movement and implications of different organisational models for people affected by MDR/RR-TB and the health system were determined. RESULTS: Among 191 participants, six dominant geospatial movement patterns were identified, which varied in average hospital stay (0-281 days), average patient distance travelled (12-198 km) and number of health facilities involved in care (1-5 facilities). More centralised models were associated with longer delays to treatment initiation and lengthy hospitalisation. Decentralised models facilitated family-centred care and were associated with reduced time to treatment and hospitalisation duration. Responsiveness to the needs of people affected by MDR/RR-TB and health system constraints was achieved through implementation of flexible models, or the implementation of multiple models in a district. CONCLUSIONS: Understanding how models for organising care have evolved may assist policy implementers to tailor implementation to promote particular patterns of care organisation or encourage flexibility, based on patient needs and local health system resources. Our approach can contribute towards the development of a health systems typology for understanding how policy-driven models of service delivery are implemented in the context of variable resources.

Formation of the methyl cation by photochemistry in a protoplanetary disk.

Forty years ago, it was proposed that gas-phase organic chemistry in the interstellar medium can be initiated by the methyl cation CH3+ (refs. 1-3), but so far it has not been observed outside the Solar System4,5. Alternative routes involving processes on grain surfaces have been invoked6,7. Here we report James Webb Space Telescope observations of CH3+ in a protoplanetary disk in the Orion star-forming region. We find that gas-phase organic chemistry is activated by ultraviolet irradiation.

Determination of the Duplicated CYP2D6 Allele Using Real-Time PCR Signal: An Alternative Approach.

CYP2D6 duplication has important pharmacogenomic implications. Reflex testing with long-range PCR (LR-PCR) can resolve the genotype when a duplication and alleles with differing activity scores are detected. We evaluated whether visual inspection of plots from real-time-PCR-based targeted genotyping with copy number variation (CNV) detection could reliably determine the duplicated CYP2D6 allele. Six reviewers evaluated QuantStudio OpenArray CYP2D6 genotyping results and the TaqMan Genotyper plots for seventy-three well-characterized cases with three copies of CYP2D6 and two different alleles. Reviewers blinded to the final genotype visually assessed the plots to determine the duplicated allele or opt for reflex sequencing. Reviewers achieved 100% accuracy for cases with three CYP2D6 copies that they opted to report. Reviewers did not request reflex sequencing in 49-67 (67-92%) cases (and correctly identified the duplicated allele in each case); all remaining cases (6-24) were marked by at least one reviewer for reflex sequencing. In most cases with three copies of CYP2D6, the duplicated allele can be determined using a combination of targeted genotyping using real-time PCR with CNV detection without need for reflex sequencing. In ambiguous cases and those with >3 copies, LR-PCR and Sanger sequencing may still be necessary for determination of the duplicated allele.

Linezolid population pharmacokinetic model in plasma and cerebrospinal fluid among patients with tuberculosis meningitis.

Background: Linezolid is being evaluated in novel treatment regimens for tuberculous meningitis (TBM). The pharmacokinetics of linezolid have not been characterized in this population, particularly in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) where exposures may be affected by changes in protein concentration and rifampicin co-administration. Methods: This was a sub-study of a phase 2 clinical trial of intensified antibiotic therapy for adults with HIV-associated TBM. Participants in the intervention groups received high-dose rifampicin (35 mg/kg) plus linezolid 1200 mg daily for 28 days followed by 600 mg daily until day 56. Plasma was intensively sampled, and lumbar CSF was collected at a single timepoint in a randomly allocated sampling window, within 3 days after enrolment. Sparse plasma and CSF samples were also obtained on day 28. Linezolid concentrations were analyzed using non-linear mixed effects modelling. Results: 30 participants contributed 247 plasma and 28 CSF linezolid observations. Plasma PK was best described by a one-compartment model with first-order absorption and saturable elimination. The typical value of maximal clearance was 7.25 L/h. Duration of rifampicin co-treatment (compared on day 3 versus day 28) did not affect linezolid pharmacokinetics. Partitioning between plasma and CSF correlated with CSF total protein concentration up to 1.2 g/L where the partition coefficient reached a maximal value of 37%. The equilibration half-life between plasma and CSF was estimated at ∻3.5 hours. Conclusion: Linezolid was readily detected in CSF despite co-administration of the potent inducer rifampicin at high doses. These findings support continued clinical evaluation of linezolid plus high-dose rifampicin for the treatment of TBM in adults.

A machine-learning based model for automated recommendation of individualized treatment of rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis.

Background: Rifampicin resistant tuberculosis remains a global health problem with almost half a million new cases annually. In high-income countries patients empirically start a standardized treatment regimen, followed by an individualized regimen guided by drug susceptibility test (DST) results. In most settings, DST information is not available or is limited to isoniazid and fluoroquinolones. Whole genome sequencing could more accurately guide individualized treatment as the full drug resistance profile is obtained with a single test. Whole genome sequencing has not reached its full potential for patient care, in part due to the complexity of translating a resistance profile into the most effective individualized regimen. Methods: We developed a treatment recommender clinical decision support system (CDSS) and an accompanying web application for user-friendly recommendation of the optimal individualized treatment regimen to a clinician. Results: Following expert stakeholder meetings and literature review, nine drug features and 14 treatment regimen features were identified and quantified. Using machine learning, a model was developed to predict the optimal treatment regimen based on a training set of 3895 treatment regimen-expert feedback pairs. The acceptability of the treatment recommender CDSS was assessed as part of a clinical trial and in a routine care setting. Within the clinical trial setting, all patients received the CDSS recommended treatment. In 8 of 20 cases, the initial recommendation was recomputed because of stock out, clinical contra-indication or toxicity. In routine care setting, physicians rejected the treatment recommendation in 7 out of 15 cases because it deviated from the national TB treatment guidelines. A survey indicated that the treatment recommender CDSS is easy to use and useful in clinical practice but requires digital infrastructure support and training. Conclusions: Our findings suggest that global implementation of the novel treatment recommender CDSS holds the potential to improve treatment outcomes of rifampicin resistant tuberculosis.

A Phase 2A Trial of the Safety and Tolerability of Increased Dose Rifampicin and Adjunctive Linezolid, With or Without Aspirin, for Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Associated Tuberculous Meningitis: The LASER-TBM Trial.

BACKGROUND: Drug regimens that include intensified antibiotics alongside effective anti-inflammatory therapies may improve outcomes in tuberculous meningitis (TBM). Safety data on their use in combination and in the context of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) are needed to inform clinical trial design. METHODS: We conducted a phase 2, open-label, parallel-design, randomized, controlled trial to assess the safety of high-dose rifampicin, linezolid, and high-dose aspirin in HIV-associated TBM. Participants were randomized (1.4:1:1) to 3 treatment arms (1, standard of care [SOC]; 2, SOC + additional rifampicin [up to 35 mg/kg/d] + linezolid 1200 mg/d reducing after 28 days to 600 mg/d; 3, as per arm 2 + aspirin 1000 mg/d) for 56 days, when the primary outcome of adverse events of special interest (AESI) or death was assessed. RESULTS: A total of 52 participants with HIV-associated TBM were randomized; 59% had mild disease (British Medical Research Council (MRC) grade 1) vs 39% (grade 2) vs 2% (grade 3). AESI or death occurred in 10 of 16 (63%; arm 3) vs 4 of 14 (29%; arm 2) vs 6 of 20 (30%; arm 1; P = .083). The cumulative proportion of AESI or death (Kaplan-Meier) demonstrated worse outcomes in arm 3 vs arm 1 (P = .04); however, only 1 event in arm 3 was attributable to aspirin and was mild. There was no difference in efficacy (modified Rankin scale) between arms. CONCLUSIONS: High-dose rifampicin and adjunctive linezolid can safely be added to the standard of care in HIV-associated TBM. Larger studies are required to determine whether potential toxicity associated with these interventions, particularly high-dose aspirin, is outweighed by mortality or morbidity benefit. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT03927313.

A comprehensive overview of pneumococcal vaccination recommendations for adults in South Africa, 2022.

Pneumococcal infections remain a common global cause of significant morbidity and mortality. The first recommendations for adult pneumococcal vaccination, published in South Africa in 1999, contained information only on the 23-valent polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23). With the introduction of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) for use in adults and the perceived uncertainty that most clinicians had regarding use of these vaccines in adults, these vaccine recommendations were updated in 2022. A Working Group, which consisted of individuals in various fields of medical practice in South Africa, who were from different areas of the country, and included clinicians from both the public and private sectors, was assembled to revise the recommendations. The expertise of the participants varied widely, dependent on their training and specialty, and encompassed different organ systems, disease conditions, and/or practice types. Each participant was allocated a different section, based on their expertise, for which they were required to do an extensive review of the current literature and write their section. The entire working group then reviewed the complete document several times, following additional comments and recommendations. This update contains recommendations for the use of both PPV23 and PCV13, either alone, or in sequence, both in vaccine naïve and in previously vaccinated individuals. It includes both age and risk categories, and encompasses the elderly (≥65 years), as well as younger adults (<65 years) with comorbid conditions or with high-risk conditions and/or immunocompromise. It is hoped that this review and its associated vaccine recommendations will clarify for clinicians, from all spheres of practice in South Africa, how, where, and when pneumococcal vaccines should be used in adults, with the ultimate goal of significantly increasing the appropriate use of these vaccines, in order to decrease the substantial morbidity and mortality associated with pneumococcal infections in adults in South Africa. Furthermore, it is hoped that this review of local epidemiological data and the manner in which this information was interpreted in the development of these local vaccine recommendations, could be used as an example for other regions of the world, to tailor their recommendations to locally available epidemiological data.

Tomographic imaging of carbon dioxide in the exhaust plume of large commercial aero-engines.

We report here the first implementation of chemically specific imaging in the exhaust plume of a gas turbine typical of those used for propulsion in commercial aircraft. The method used is chemical species tomography (CST) and the target species is CO2, absorbing in the near-infrared at 1999.4 nm. A total of 126 beams propagate transverse to the plume axis, along 7 m paths in a coplanar geometry, to probe a central region of diameter ≈1.5m. The CO2 absorption spectrum is measured using tunable diode laser spectroscopy with wavelength modulation, using the second harmonic to first harmonic (2f/1f) ratio method. The engine is operated over the full range of thrust, while data are recorded in a quasi-simultaneous mode at frame rates of 1.25 and 0.3125 Hz. Various data inversion methodologies are considered and presented for image reconstruction. At all thrust levels a persistent ring structure of high CO2 concentration is observed in the central region of the measurement plane, with a raised region in the middle of the plume assumed to be due to the engine's boat tail. With its potential to target various exhaust species, the CST method outlined here offers a new approach to turbine combustion research, turbine engine development, and aviation fuel research and development.

Outcomes of flucytosine-containing combination treatment for cryptococcal meningitis in a South African national access programme: a cross-sectional observational study.

BACKGROUND: Although flucytosine is a key component of WHO-recommended induction treatment for HIV-associated cryptococcal meningitis, this antifungal agent is not widely available in low-income and middle-income countries due to limited production and cost. In 2018, a national flucytosine access programme was initiated in South Africa. We aimed to determine the effectiveness of flucytosine-containing induction regimens in routine care to motivate for the urgent registration of flucytosine and its inclusion in treatment guidelines. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, we compared outcomes of adults aged 18 years and older with incident laboratory-confirmed cryptococcal meningitis treated with or without flucytosine-containing regimens at 19 sentinel hospitals in South Africa. A case of cryptococcosis was defined as illness in an adult with: (1) positive cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) India ink microscopy; (2) a positive CSF cryptococcal antigen test; or (3) culture of Cryptococcus neoformans or Cryptococcus gattii from CSF or any other specimen. We excluded patients without a case report form, those with an unknown or negative HIV serology result, those with a recurrent episode, and those who did not receive antifungal treatment in hospital. We assessed cumulative in-hospital mortality at 14 days and 30 days and calculated the overall crude in-hospital case-fatality ratio. We used random-effects logistic regression to examine the association between treatment group and in-hospital mortality. FINDINGS: From July 1, 2018, to March 31, 2020, 10 668 individuals were diagnosed with laboratory-confirmed cryptococcal meningitis, 7787 cases diagnosed at non-enhanced surveillance sites and 567 cases from eight enhanced surveillance sites with no access to flucytosine were excluded. Of 2314 adults with a first episode of cryptococcosis diagnosed at 19 facilities with access to flucytosine, 1996 had a case report form and of these, 1539 received induction antifungal treatment and were confirmed HIV-seropositive first-episode cases. Of 1539 patients who received antifungal therapy, 596 (38·7%) individuals received a flucytosine-containing regimen and 943 (61·3%) received another regimen. The median age was 36 years (IQR 32-43) and 906 (58·9%) participants were male and 633 (41·1%) were female. The crude in-hospital case-fatality ratio was 23·9% (95% CI 20·0-27·0; 143 of 596) in those treated with flucytosine-containing regimens and 37·2% (95% CI 34·0-40·0; 351 of 943) in those treated with other regimens. Patients admitted to non-academic hospitals (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1·95 [95% CI 1·53-2·48]; p<0·0001) and those who were antiretroviral treatment-experienced (aOR 1·30 [1·02-1·67]; p=0·033) were more likely to receive flucytosine. After adjusting for relevant confounders, flucytosine treatment was associated with a 53% reduction in mortality (aOR 0·47 [95% CI 0·35-0·64]; p<0·0001). Among survivors, the median length of hospital admission in the flucytosine group was 11 days (IQR 8-15) versus 17 days (13-21) in the comparison group (p=0·0010). INTERPRETATION: In-hospital mortality among patients treated with a flucytosine-containing regimen was comparable to reduced mortality reported in patients receiving a flucytosine-containing regimen in a recent multicentre African clinical trial. Flucytosine-based treatment can be delivered in routine care in a middle-income country with a substantial survival benefit. FUNDING: National Institute for Communicable Diseases, a Division of the National Health Laboratory Service. TRANSLATION: For the Zulu translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Alanine-specific appetite in slow growing chickens is associated with impaired glucose transport and TCA cycle.

BACKGROUND: The rate of protein accretion and growth affect amino acid requirements in young animals. Differences in amino acid metabolism contribute to individual variations in growth rate. This study aimed at determining how amino acid needs may change with growth rates in broiler chickens. Experiment 1 consisted of testing amino acid choices in two chicken groups with extreme growth rates (the slowest -SG- or fastest -FG- growing birds in a flock). Essential (EAA) (methionine, lysine and threonine) or non-essential (NEAA) (alanine, aspartic acid and asparagine) amino acids were added to a standard control feed (13.2 MJ/kg; 21.6% crude protein). The chickens were offered simultaneous access to the control feed and a feed supplemented with one of the two amino acid mixes added at 73% above standard dietary levels. Experiment 2 consisted of the selection of the bottom 5 SG and top 5 FG chickens from a flock of 580 to study differences in amino acid metabolism using the proventriculus representing gut sensing mechanism. In this experiment, transcriptomic, proteomic, and genomic analyses were used to compare the two groups of chickens. RESULTS: SG preferred NEAA, while they rejected EAA supplemented feeds (P < 0.05). However, FG rejected NEAA (P < 0.05), and they were indifferent to EAA supplemented feed (P > 0.05). Transcriptomic and proteomic analyses identified 909 differentially expressed genes and 146 differentially abundant proteins associated with differences in growth rate (P < 0.05). The integration of gene expression and protein abundance patterns showed the downregulation of sensing and transport of alanine and glucose associated with increased alanine catabolism to pyruvate in SG chickens. CONCLUSION: Dietary preferences for NEAA in the SG group are associated with a potential cytosolic depletion of alanine following an upregulation of the catabolism into TCA cycle intermediates.

SARS-CoV-2 infection in public hospital medical doctors in an Eastern Cape metro.

Background: Evidence-based Infection Prevention and Control (IPC) measures are critical in protecting medical doctors from severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. Concerns surrounding access to personal protective equipment (PPE), compliance with IPC measures and the quality of available PPE have been raised as possible causes for high rates of SARS-CoV-2 infection in medical doctors in high transmission settings. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection and the risk factors for occupational infection in doctors in the hospitals in Nelson Mandela Bay (NMB). Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study wherein we electronically surveyed medical doctors in public-sector NMB hospitals from 01 March 2020 to 31 December 2020. We collected demographic, health, occupational and SARS-CoV-2 infection and exposure data. Categorical data were described as proportions and a multiple variable logistic regression model was used to identify risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Results: The survey was distributed amongst 498 doctors, 141 (28%) of whom replied. Forty-three (31%) participants reported that they had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 during the study period. Eighty-nine participants (64%) reported inadequate access to PPE whilst only 68 (49%) participants adhered to PPE recommendations when interacting with patients with confirmed or suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection. We were unable to identify any significant predictors of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Conclusion: This study demonstrates a high prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in public hospital doctors in NMB. Most participants reported inadequate access to PPE and poor compliance with IPC protocols. These findings suggest an urgent need for the improved implementation of IPC measures to protect doctors from SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Implementation of preemptive DNA sequence-based pharmacogenomics testing across a large academic medical center: The Mayo-Baylor RIGHT 10K Study.

PURPOSE: The Mayo-Baylor RIGHT 10K Study enabled preemptive, sequence-based pharmacogenomics (PGx)-driven drug prescribing practices in routine clinical care within a large cohort. We also generated the tools and resources necessary for clinical PGx implementation and identified challenges that need to be overcome. Furthermore, we measured the frequency of both common genetic variation for which clinical guidelines already exist and rare variation that could be detected by DNA sequencing, rather than genotyping. METHODS: Targeted oligonucleotide-capture sequencing of 77 pharmacogenes was performed using DNA from 10,077 consented Mayo Clinic Biobank volunteers. The resulting predicted drug response-related phenotypes for 13 genes, including CYP2D6 and HLA, affecting 21 drug-gene pairs, were deposited preemptively in the Mayo electronic health record. RESULTS: For the 13 pharmacogenes of interest, the genomes of 79% of participants carried clinically actionable variants in 3 or more genes, and DNA sequencing identified an average of 3.3 additional conservatively predicted deleterious variants that would not have been evident using genotyping. CONCLUSION: Implementation of preemptive rather than reactive and sequence-based rather than genotype-based PGx prescribing revealed nearly universal patient applicability and required integrated institution-wide resources to fully realize individualized drug therapy and to show more efficient use of health care resources.

A treatment recommender clinical decision support system for personalized medicine: method development and proof-of-concept for drug resistant tuberculosis.

BACKGROUND: Personalized medicine tailors care based on the patient's or pathogen's genotypic and phenotypic characteristics. An automated Clinical Decision Support System (CDSS) could help translate the genotypic and phenotypic characteristics into optimal treatment and thus facilitate implementation of individualized treatment by less experienced physicians. METHODS: We developed a hybrid knowledge- and data-driven treatment recommender CDSS. Stakeholders and experts first define the knowledge base by identifying and quantifying drug and regimen features for the prototype model input. In an iterative manner, feedback from experts is harvested to generate model training datasets, machine learning methods are applied to identify complex relations and patterns in the data, and model performance is assessed by estimating the precision at one, mean reciprocal rank and mean average precision. Once the model performance no longer iteratively increases, a validation dataset is used to assess model overfitting. RESULTS: We applied the novel methodology to develop a treatment recommender CDSS for individualized treatment of drug resistant tuberculosis as a proof of concept. Using input from stakeholders and three rounds of expert feedback on a dataset of 355 patients with 129 unique drug resistance profiles, the model had a 95% precision at 1 indicating that the highest ranked treatment regimen was considered appropriate by the experts in 95% of cases. Use of a validation data set however suggested substantial model overfitting, with a reduction in precision at 1 to 78%. CONCLUSION: Our novel and flexible hybrid knowledge- and data-driven treatment recommender CDSS is a first step towards the automation of individualized treatment for personalized medicine. Further research should assess its value in fields other than drug resistant tuberculosis, develop solid statistical approaches to assess model performance, and evaluate their accuracy in real-life clinical settings.

Convalescent plasma in the treatment of moderate to severe COVID-19 pneumonia: a randomized controlled trial (PROTECT-Patient Trial).

There is a need for effective therapy for COVID-19 pneumonia. Convalescent plasma has antiviral activity and early observational studies suggested benefit in reducing COVID-19 severity. We investigated the safety and efficacy of convalescent plasma in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in a population with a high HIV prevalence and where few therapeutic options were available. We performed a double-blinded, multicenter, randomized controlled trial in one private and three public sector hospitals in South Africa. Adult participants with COVID-19 pneumonia requiring non-invasive oxygen were randomized 1:1 to receive a single transfusion of 200 mL of either convalescent plasma or 0.9% saline solution. The primary outcome measure was hospital discharge and/or improvement of ≥ 2 points on the World Health Organisation Blueprint Ordinal Scale for Clinical Improvement by day 28 of enrolment. The trial was stopped early for futility by the Data and Safety Monitoring Board. 103 participants, including 21 HIV positive individuals, were randomized at the time of premature trial termination: 52 in the convalescent plasma and 51 in the placebo group. The primary outcome occurred in 31 participants in the convalescent plasma group and and 32 participants in the placebo group (relative risk 1.03 (95% CI 0.77 to 1.38). Two grade 1 transfusion-related adverse events occurred. Participants who improved clinically received convalescent plasma with a higher median anti-SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibody titre compared with those who did not (298 versus 205 AU/mL). Our study contributes additional evidence for recommendations against the use of convalescent plasma for COVID-19 pneumonia. Safety and feasibility in this population supports future investigation for other indications.

An All-Oral 6-Month Regimen for Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis: A Multicenter, Randomized Controlled Clinical Trial (the NExT Study).

Rationale: Improving treatment outcomes while reducing drug toxicity and shortening the treatment duration to ∼6 months remains an aspirational goal for the treatment of multidrug-resistant/rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis (MDR/RR-TB). Objectives: To conduct a multicenter randomized controlled trial in adults with MDR/RR-TB (i.e., without resistance to fluoroquinolones or aminoglycosides). Methods: Participants were randomly assigned (1:1 ratio) to a ∼6-month all-oral regimen that included levofloxacin, bedaquiline, and linezolid, or the standard-of-care (SOC) ⩾9-month World Health Organization (WHO)-approved injectable-based regimen. The primary endpoint was a favorable WHO-defined treatment outcome (which mandates that prespecified drug substitution is counted as an unfavorable outcome) 24 months after treatment initiation. The trial was stopped prematurely when bedaquiline-based therapy became the standard of care in South Africa. Measurements and Main Results: In total, 93 of 111 randomized participants (44 in the comparator arm and 49 in the interventional arm) were included in the modified intention-to-treat analysis; 51 (55%) were HIV coinfected (median CD4 count, 158 cells/ml). Participants in the intervention arm were 2.2 times more likely to experience a favorable 24-month outcome than participants in the SOC arm (51% [25 of 49] vs. 22.7% [10 of 44]; risk ratio, 2.2 [1.2-4.1]; P = 0.006). Toxicity-related drug substitution occurred more frequently in the SOC arm (65.9% [29 of 44] vs. 34.7% [17 of 49]; P = 0.001)], 82.8% (24 of 29) owing to kanamycin (mainly hearing loss; replaced by bedaquiline) in the SOC arm, and 64.7% (11 of 17) owing to linezolid (mainly anemia) in the interventional arm. Adverse event-related treatment discontinuation in the safety population was more common in the SOC arm (56.4% [31 of 55] vs. 32.1% [17 of 56]; P = 0.007). However, grade 3 adverse events were more common in the interventional arm (55.4% [31 of 56] vs. 32.7 [18 of 55]; P = 0.022). Culture conversion was significantly better in the intervention arm (hazard ratio, 2.6 [1.4-4.9]; P = 0.003) after censoring those with bedaquiline replacement in the SOC arm (and this pattern remained consistent after censoring for drug replacement in both arms; P = 0.01). Conclusions: Compared with traditional injectable-containing regimens, an all-oral 6-month levofloxacin, bedaquiline, and linezolid-containing MDR/RR-TB regimen was associated with a significantly improved 24-month WHO-defined treatment outcome (predominantly owing to toxicity-related drug substitution). However, drug toxicity occurred frequently in both arms. These findings inform strategies to develop future regimens for MDR/RR-TB.Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02454205).

Targeted Genotyping in Clinical Pharmacogenomics: What Is Missing?

Clinical pharmacogenomic testing typically uses targeted genotyping, which only detects variants included in the test design and may vary among laboratories. To evaluate the potential patient impact of genotyping compared with sequencing, which can detect common and rare variants, an in silico targeted genotyping panel was developed based on the variants most commonly included in clinical tests and applied to a cohort of 10,030 participants who underwent sequencing for CYP1A2, CYP2C19, CYP2C9, CYP2D6, CYP3A4, CYP3A5, DPYD, SLCO1B1, TPMT, UGT1A1, and VKORC1. The results of in silico targeted genotyping were compared with the clinically reported sequencing results. Of the 10,030 participants, 2780 (28%) had at least one potentially clinically relevant variant/allele identified by sequencing that would not have been detected in a standard targeted genotyping panel. The genes with the largest number of participants with variants only detected by sequencing were SLCO1B1, DPYD, and CYP2D6, which affected 13%, 6.3%, and 3.5% of participants, respectively. DPYD (112 variants) and CYP2D6 (103 variants) had the largest number of unique variants detected only by sequencing. Although targeted genotyping detects most clinically significant pharmacogenomic variants, sequencing-based approaches are necessary to detect rare variants that collectively affect many patients. However, efforts to establish pharmacogenomic variant classification systems and nomenclature to accommodate rare variants will be required to adopt sequencing-based pharmacogenomics.