Genome Sequencing is Critical for Forecasting Outcomes following Congenital Cardiac Surgery.

While genome sequencing has transformed medicine by elucidating the genetic underpinnings of both rare and common complex disorders, its utility to predict clinical outcomes remains understudied. Here, we used artificial intelligence (AI) technologies to explore the predictive value of genome sequencing in forecasting clinical outcomes following surgery for congenital heart defects (CHD). We report results for a cohort of 2,253 CHD patients from the Pediatric Cardiac Genomics Consortium with a broad range of complex heart defects, pre- and post-operative clinical variables and exome sequencing. Damaging genotypes in chromatin-modifying and cilia-related genes were associated with an elevated risk of adverse post-operative outcomes, including mortality, cardiac arrest and prolonged mechanical ventilation. The impact of damaging genotypes was further amplified in the context of specific CHD phenotypes, surgical complexity and extra-cardiac anomalies. The absence of a damaging genotype in chromatin-modifying and cilia-related genes was also informative, reducing the risk for adverse postoperative outcomes. Thus, genome sequencing enriches the ability to forecast outcomes following congenital cardiac surgery.

Copy number variants and fetal structural abnormalities in stillborn fetuses: A secondary analysis of the Stillbirth Collaborative Research Network study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association of placental and fetal DNA copy number variants (CNVs) with fetal structural malformations (FSMs) in stillborn fetuses. DESIGN: A secondary analysis of stillbirth cases in the Stillbirth Collaborative Research Network (SCRN) study. SETTING: Multicenter, 59 hospitals in five geographic regions in the USA. POPULATION: 388 stillbirth cases of the SCRN study (2006-2008). METHODS: Fetal structural malformations were grouped by anatomic system and specific malformation type (e.g. central nervous system, thoracic, cardiac, gastrointestinal, skeletal, umbilical cord and craniofacial defects). Single-nucleotide polymorphism array detected CNVs of at least 500 kb. CNVs were classified into two groups: normal, defined as no CNVs >500 kb or benign CNVs, and abnormal, defined as pathogenic or variants of unknown clinical significance. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The proportions of abnormal CNVs and normal CNVs were compared between stillbirth cases with and without FSMs using the Wald Chi-square test. RESULTS: The proportion of stillbirth cases with any FSMs was higher among those with abnormal CNVs than among those with normal CNVs (47.5 versus 19.1%; P-value <0.001). The most common organ system-specific FSMs associated with abnormal CNVs were cardiac defects, followed by hydrops, craniofacial defects and skeletal defects. A pathogenic deletion of 1q21.1 involving 46 genes (e.g. CHD1L) and a duplication of 21q22.13 involving four genes (SIM2, CLDN14, CHAF1B, HLCS) were associated with a skeletal and cardiac defect, respectively. CONCLUSION: Specific CNVs involving several genes were associated with FSMs in stillborn fetuses. The findings warrant further investigation and may inform counselling and care surrounding pregnancies affected by FSMs at risk for stillbirth.

Searching and visualizing genetic associations of pregnancy traits by using GnuMoM2b.

Adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs) are major risk factors for women's health during pregnancy and even in the years after pregnancy. Due to the heterogeneity of APOs, only few genetic associations have been identified. In this report, we conducted genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of 479 traits that are possibly related to APOs using a large and racially diverse study, Nulliparous Pregnancy Outcomes Study: Monitoring Mothers-to-Be (nuMoM2b). To display extensive results, we developed a web-based tool GnuMoM2b (https://gnumom2b.cumcobgyn.org/) for searching, visualizing, and sharing results from a GWAS of 479 pregnancy traits as well as phenome-wide association studies of more than 17 million single nucleotide polymorphisms. The genetic results from 3 ancestries (Europeans, Africans, and Admixed Americans) and meta-analyses are populated in GnuMoM2b. In conclusion, GnuMoM2b is a valuable resource for extraction of pregnancy-related genetic results and shows the potential to facilitate meaningful discoveries.

Genetic Associations with Dynamic Placental Proteins Identify Causal Biomarkers for Hypertension in Pregnancy.

Preeclampsia (PE), a gestational hypertensive disorder, ranks as the second leading cause of maternal mortality worldwide. While PE is considered a multifactorial disease, placental insufficiency is believed to drive its progression. To noninvasively study placental physiology related to adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs) and predict these outcomes before symptom onset, we measured nine placental protein levels in first- and second-trimester serum samples from 2,352 nulliparous pregnant women in the Nulliparous Pregnancy Outcomes Study: Monitoring Mothers- to-Be (nuMoM2b) study. The proteins analyzed include VEGF, PlGF, ENG, sFlt-1, ADAM-12, PAPP-A, fßHCG, INHA, and AFP. Currently, little is known about the genetic variants contributing to the heritability of these proteins during pregnancy, and no studies have explored the causal relationships between early pregnancy proteins and gestational hypertensive disorders. Our study has three objectives. First, we conducted genome-wide association study (GWAS) of nine placental proteins in maternal serum during the first and second trimesters and the difference between time points to understand how genetics may influence placental proteins in early pregnancy. Second, we examined whether early pregnancy placental proteins are causal factors for PE and gestational hypertension (gHTN). Lastly, we investigated the causal relationship between PE/gHTN and long-term HTN. In conclusion, our study discovered significant genetic associations with placental proteins ADAM-12, VEGF, and sFlt-1, offering insights into their regulation during pregnancy. Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses demonstrated evidence of causal relationships between placental proteins, particularly ADAM-12, and gHTN, potentially informing prevention and treatment strategies. Our findings suggest that placental proteins like ADAM-12 could serve as biomarkers for postpartum HTN risk.

Searching and visualizing genetic associations of pregnancy traits by using GnuMoM2b.

Adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs) are major risk factors for women's health during pregnancy and even in the years after pregnancy. Due to the heterogeneity of APOs, only few genetic associations have been identified. In this report, we conducted genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of 479 traits that are possibly related to APOs using a large and racially diverse study, Nulliparous Pregnancy Outcomes Study: Monitoring Mothers-to-Be (nuMoM2b). To display the extensive results, we developed a web-based tool GnuMoM2b ( https://gnumom2b.cumcobgyn.org/ ) for searching, visualizing, and sharing results from GWAS of 479 pregnancy traits as well as phenome-wide association studies (PheWAS) of more than 17 million single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). The genetic results from three ancestries (Europeans, Africans, and Admixed Americans) and meta-analyses are populated in GnuMoM2b. In conclusion, GnuMoM2b is a valuable resource for extraction of pregnancy-related genetic results and shows the potential to facilitate meaningful discoveries.

Whole-genome sequencing analysis in families with recurrent pregnancy loss: A pilot study.

One to two percent of couples suffer recurrent pregnancy loss and over 50% of the cases are unexplained. Whole genome sequencing (WGS) analysis has the potential to identify previously unrecognized causes of pregnancy loss, but few studies have been performed, and none have included DNA from families including parents, losses, and live births. We conducted a pilot WGS study in three families with unexplained recurrent pregnancy loss, including parents, healthy live births, and losses, which included an embryonic loss (<10 weeks' gestation), fetal deaths (10-20 weeks' gestation) and stillbirths (≥ 20 weeks' gestation). We used the Illumina platform for WGS and state-of-the-art protocols to identify single nucleotide variants (SNVs) following various modes of inheritance. We identified 87 SNVs involving 75 genes in embryonic loss (n = 1), 370 SNVs involving 228 genes in fetal death (n = 3), and 122 SNVs involving 122 genes in stillbirth (n = 2). Of these, 22 de novo, 6 inherited autosomal dominant and an X-linked recessive SNVs were pathogenic (probability of being loss-of-function intolerant >0.9), impacting known genes (e.g., DICER1, FBN2, FLT4, HERC1, and TAOK1) involved in embryonic/fetal development and congenital abnormalities. Further, we identified inherited missense compound heterozygous SNVs impacting genes (e.g., VWA5B2) in two fetal death samples. The variants were not identified as compound heterozygous SNVs in live births and population controls, providing evidence for haplosufficient genes relevant to pregnancy loss. In this pilot study, we provide evidence for de novo and inherited SNVs relevant to pregnancy loss. Our findings provide justification for conducting WGS using larger numbers of families and warrant validation by targeted sequencing to ascertain causal variants. Elucidating genes causing pregnancy loss may facilitate the development of risk stratification strategies and novel therapeutics.

Quantitative longitudinal T2* mapping for assessing placental function and association with adverse pregnancy outcomes across gestation.

Existing methods for evaluating in vivo placental function fail to reliably detect pregnancies at-risk for adverse outcomes prior to maternal and/or fetal morbidity. Here we report the results of a prospective dual-site longitudinal clinical study of quantitative placental T2* as measured by blood oxygen-level dependent magnetic resonance imaging (BOLD-MRI). The objectives of this study were: 1) to quantify placental T2* at multiple time points across gestation, and its consistency across sites, and 2) to investigate the association between placental T2* and adverse outcomes. 797 successful imaging studies, at up to three time points between 11 and 38 weeks of gestation, were completed in 316 pregnancies. Outcomes were stratified into three groups: (UN) uncomplicated/normal pregnancy, (PA) primary adverse pregnancy, which included hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, birthweight <5th percentile, and/or stillbirth or fetal death, and (SA) secondary abnormal pregnancy, which included abnormal prenatal conditions not included in the PA group such as spontaneous preterm birth or fetal anomalies. Of the 316 pregnancies, 198 (62.6%) were UN, 70 (22.2%) PA, and 48 (15.2%) SA outcomes. We found that the evolution of placental T2* across gestation was well described by a sigmoid model, with T2* decreasing continuously from a high plateau level early in gestation, through an inflection point around 30 weeks, and finally approaching a second, lower plateau in late gestation. Model regression revealed significantly lower T2* in the PA group than in UN pregnancies starting at 15 weeks and continuing through 33 weeks. T2* percentiles were computed for individual scans relative to UN group regression, and z-scores and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves calculated for association of T2* with pregnancy outcome. Overall, differences between UN and PA groups were statistically significant across gestation, with large effect sizes in mid- and late- pregnancy. The area under the curve (AUC) for placental T2* percentile and PA pregnancy outcome was 0.71, with the strongest predictive power (AUC of 0.76) at the mid-gestation time period (20-30 weeks). Our data demonstrate that placental T2* measurements are strongly associated with pregnancy outcomes often attributed to placental insufficiency. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02749851.

Copy number variants and placental abnormalities in stillborn fetuses: A secondary analysis of the Stillbirth Collaborative Research Network study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association of fetal/placental DNA copy number variants (CNVs) with pathologic placental lesions (PPLs) in pregnancies complicated by stillbirth. DESIGN: A secondary analysis of stillbirth cases in the Stillbirth Collaborative Research Network case-control study. SETTING: Multicenter, 59 hospitals in five geographical regions in the USA. POPULATION: 387 stillbirth cases (2006-2008). METHODS: Using standard definitions, PPLs were categorised by type including maternal vascular, fetal vascular, inflammatory and immune/idiopathic lesions. Single-nucleotide polymorphism array detected CNVs of at least 500 kb. CNVs were classified into two groups: normal, defined as no CNV >500 kb or benign CNVs, and abnormal, defined as pathogenic or variants of unknown clinical significance. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The proportions of abnormal CNVs and normal CNVs compared between stillbirth cases with and without PPLs using the Wald Chi-square test. RESULTS: Of 387 stillborn fetuses, 327 (84.5%) had maternal vascular PPLs and 60 (15.6%) had abnormal CNVs. Maternal vascular PPLs were more common in stillborn fetuses with abnormal CNVs than in those with normal CNVs (81.7% versus 64.2%; P = 0.008). The proportions of fetal vascular, maternal/fetal inflammatory and immune/idiopathic PPLs were similar among stillborn fetuses with abnormal CNVs and those with normal CNVs. Pathogenic CNVs in stillborn fetuses with maternal vascular PPLs spanned several known genes. CONCLUSIONS: Abnormal placental/fetal CNVs were associated with maternal vascular PPLs in stillbirth cases. The findings may provide insight into the mechanisms of specific genetic abnormalities associated with placental dysfunction and stillbirth.

Association of Prostaglandin Use for Cervical Ripening with Mode of Delivery in Small for Gestational Age versus Non-Small for Gestational Age Neonates.

OBJECTIVE: Prostaglandins (PGs) use for cervical ripening with small for gestational age (SGA) fetuses is controversial since it remains uncertain if use increases the chance of cesarean delivery (CD). We aimed to assess the association between PG use for cervical ripening and mode of delivery between SGA and appropriate for gestational age (AGA) neonates. STUDY DESIGN: Secondary analysis of the Nulliparous Pregnancy Outcomes Study: Monitoring Mothers-to-Be (nuMoM2b), a prospective observational cohort study of 10,038 nulliparas. We included women undergoing induction with nonanomalous fetuses in the cephalic presentation. Women with >2 cm cervical dilation or prior uterine scar were excluded. We assessed the association of PG use with CD among women with SGA and AGA neonates. SGA was defined as birth weight <10th percentile for gestational age and sex. Multivariable logistic regression was used to adjust for potential confounders and test for interaction. Secondary outcomes included adverse neonatal outcomes, indication for CD, maternal hemorrhage, and chorioamnionitis. RESULTS: Among 2,353 women eligible, PGs were used in 54.8%, SGA occurred in 15.1%, and 35.0% had CD. The association between PG use and CD differed significantly (interaction p = 0.018) for SGA versus AGA neonates; CD occurred more often in SGA neonates exposed to PGs than not (35 vs. 22%, p = 0.009). PG use was not associated with CD among AGA neonates (36 vs. 36%, p = 0.8). This effect remained significant when adjusting for body mass index, race/ethnicity, and cervical dilation. Among SGA neonates, CD for "nonreassuring fetal status" was similar between PG groups. Among SGA neonates, PG use was not associated with adverse neonatal outcomes or postpartum hemorrhage but had a higher rate of chorioamnionitis (7.0 vs. 2.1%, p = 0.048). CONCLUSION: PG use was associated with a higher rate of CD in SGA but not AGA neonates; however, further studies are needed before PG use is discouraged with SGA neonates. KEY POINTS: · PGs are commonly used for cervical ripening.. · PG use was associated with increased risk of cesarean delivery in SGA neonates.. · PG use was not associated with adverse neonatal outcomes..

Adjunct Therapy at Time of Examination-Indicated Cervical Cerclage in Singleton Pregnancies: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Physical examination-indicated cerclage for cervical insufficiency prolongs gestation, but evidence on the addition of adjuncts to further prolong latency is limited. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to compare gestational latency between those who did and did not receive adjunct antibiotic or tocolytic therapy at the time of examination-indicated cerclage. STUDY DESIGN: Electronic databases (1966-2020) were searched for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and cohort studies comparing adjunct antibiotic or tocolytic use versus nonuse at time of examination-indicated cerclage, defined as placement for cervical dilation ≥1 cm, in a current singleton pregnancy. Studies including individuals with intra-amniotic infection, cerclage in place, nonviable gestation, or ruptured membranes were excluded. The primary outcome was latency from cerclage placement to delivery. Secondary outcomes included preterm birth, preterm premature rupture of membranes, birth weight, and neonatal survival. Risk of bias was assessed using standardized tools. Heterogeneity was assessed using χ 2 and I 2 tests. Results were pooled and analyzed using a random-effects model. This study is registered with The International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) with registration no.: CRD42021216370. RESULTS: Of 923 unique records, 163 were reviewed in full. Three met inclusion criteria: one RCT and two retrospective cohorts. The included RCT (n = 50) and one cohort (n = 142) compared outcomes with and without adjunct use of antibiotic and tocolytic, while the second cohort (n = 150) compared outcomes with and without adjunct tocolytic, with a subpopulation also receiving antibiotics. The RCT was nested within one of the cohorts, and therefore only one of these two studies was utilized for any given outcome to eliminate counting individuals twice. Risk of bias was "critical" for one cohort study, "moderate" for the other cohort study, and "some concerns" for the RCT. Gestational latency could not be pooled and meta-analyzed. Adjunct tocolytic-antibiotic therapy was not associated with a decrease in risk of preterm delivery <28 weeks (relative risk [RR] = 0.90, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.65-1.26; χ 2 = 0.0, I 2 = 0.0%) or neonatal survival to discharge (RR = 1.11, 95% CI: 0.91-1.35; χ 2 = 0.05, I 2 = 0.0%). CONCLUSION: There is not enough evidence to robustly evaluate the use of adjunct tocolytics or antibiotics at time of examination-indicated cerclage to prolong latency. KEY POINTS: · Limited data on adjunct antibiotic tocolytics at cerclage.. · Widely variable practices at time of cerclage identified.. · Role of adjunct therapies at time of examination-indicated cerclage remains unclear..

Derivation and assessment of a sex-specific fetal growth standard.

PURPOSE: To derive a prescriptive sex-specific fetal growth standard and assess clinical management and outcomes according to sex-specific growth status. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of the Nulliparous Pregnancy Outcomes Study: Monitoring Mothers-to-Be (nuMoM2b), a prospective observational study of 10,038 nulliparas from eight U.S. centers who underwent ultrasounds at 14-20 and 22-29 weeks with outcomes ascertained after delivery. From these, we selected a nested cohort of lower risk participants (excluded those with chronic hypertension, pre-gestational diabetes, suspected aneuploidy, and preterm delivery) to derive a sex-specific equation for expected fetal growth using fetal weights by ultrasound and at birth. We compared the male-female discrepancy in the rate of weight <10th (small for gestational age [SGA]) and >90th (large for gestational age [LGA]) percentiles between the sex-specific and sex-neutral (Hadlock) standards. Using the full unselected cohort, we then assessed outcomes and clinical management according to sex-specific SGA and LGA status. RESULTS: Overall, 7280 infants in the lower risk nested cohort were used to derive a sex-specific equation with fetal sex included as an equation intercept. The sex-neutral standard diagnosed SGA more often in female newborns (21% vs. 13%, p < .001) and LGA more often in male newborns (5% vs. 3%, p < .001). The sex-specific standard resolved these disparities (SGA: 9% vs. 10%, p = .23; LGA: 13% vs. 13%, p = .58). To approximate an unselected population, 1059 participants initially excluded for risk factors for abnormal growth were then included for our secondary objective (N = 8339). In this unselected cohort, 39% (95% CI 37.0-42.0%) of the 1498 newborns classified as SGA by the sex-neutral standard were reclassified as appropriate for gestational age (AGA) by the sex-specific standard. These reclassified newborns were more likely to be delivered for growth restriction despite having lower risk of morbidity (females) or comparable risk of morbidity (males) compared to newborns considered AGA by both methods. Of the 6485 newborns considered AGA by the sex-neutral standard, 737 (11.4%, 95% CI 10.6-12.2%) were reclassified as LGA by the sex-specific standard. These reclassified newborns had higher rates of cesarean for arrest of descent, cesarean for arrest of dilation, and shoulder dystocia than newborns considered AGA by both methods. None were reclassified from LGA to AGA by the sex-specific standard. CONCLUSION: The Hadlock sex-neutral standard generates sex disparities in SGA and LGA at birth. Our sex-specific standard resolves these disparities and has the potential to improve accuracy of growth pathology risk stratification.

Challenges in Interpreting Obstetrics and Gynecology Literature.

The field of obstetrics and gynecology is constantly replenished with the newest research findings. In an era of rapidly available study publications, there are a number of challenges to interpreting the obstetrics and gynecology literature. Common pitfalls include the over reliance on the dichotomized P-value, lack of transparency, bias in study reporting, limitations of resources, absence of standardized practices and outcomes in study design, and the rare concerns for data integrity. We review these predominant challenges and their potential solutions, in interpreting the obstetrics and gynecology literature.

High early pregnancy body mass index is associated with alterations in first- and second-trimester angiogenic biomarkers.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is associated with various placenta-mediated adverse pregnancy outcomes, including preeclampsia, preterm birth, and stillbirth. Mechanisms linking obesity with placental dysfunction are not completely understood. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to examine the relationship between early pregnancy body mass index and placental angiogenic biomarkers soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1, placental growth factor, and the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio. STUDY DESIGN: We conducted secondary analyses of an existing substudy within a multisite, prospective observational cohort study of nulliparous pregnant women in the United States. First- and second-trimester maternal blood samples, first-trimester body mass index, and demographic, lifestyle, and pregnancy outcomes data were collected. Soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 and placental growth factor concentrations were measured at 6 to 13 and 16 to 22 weeks of gestation for women (cases) who experienced one of several adverse pregnancy outcomes (delivery at <37 weeks of gestation, preeclampsia or eclampsia, birthweight for gestational age <5th percentile, or stillbirth) and for those who had none of those outcomes (controls). We used multivariable mixed-effects linear regression models to estimate the association of body mass index with angiogenic biomarkers at both time points. We evaluated mean change between first- and second-trimester biomarker concentrations using multivariable linear regression models. Lastly, we used logistic regression models to estimate the risk of a high second-trimester soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio, using clinically established cutoffs for risk prediction. RESULTS: Angiogenic biomarker and early pregnancy body mass index data were available for 2363 women (1467 with adverse pregnancy outcomes and 896 controls). High early pregnancy body mass index was associated with consistently lower soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 concentrations across the first and second trimesters of pregnancy. We found lower first-trimester placental growth factor concentrations in the group with class II or III obesity (P<.001) and lower second-trimester placental growth factor concentrations among groups who were overweight, with class I obesity, and class II or III obesity (P<.001). For every unit increase in early pregnancy body mass index, there was a -4.4 pg/mL (95% confidence interval, -3.6 to -5.2) smaller mean increase in placental growth factor concentrations between the first and second trimesters of pregnancy. These differences resulted in significantly lower mean first-trimester soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratios among groups who were overweight, with class I obesity, and class II or III obesity (P<.05) and in a significantly higher second-trimester soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio among the group with class II or III obesity (P<.001), compared with the group with normal body mass index. Each unit of increase in body mass index was associated with a 0.5 (95% confidence interval, 0.3-0.7) greater mean increase in the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio between the first and second trimesters of pregnancy. In stratified analyses, associations between body mass index and angiogenic biomarkers soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 and placental growth factor were similar in nonadverse pregnancy outcome and adverse pregnancy outcome subgroups, whereas associations between body mass index and the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio were attenuated in the subgroups. Participants in the group with class II or III obesity were 3.13 (95% confidence interval, 1.15-8.49) times more likely than participants with normal weight to have a second-trimester ratio of ≥38 in univariate analysis. CONCLUSION: High early pregnancy body mass index was associated with lower soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 and placental growth factor concentrations across early pregnancy. Maternal body mass was inversely associated with first-trimester soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratios and positively associated with second-trimester soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratios, driven by a diminished rise in placental growth factor between the first and second trimesters of pregnancy. Women with class II or III obesity have an increased risk of a high second-trimester soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio associated with placental dysfunction.

Predictive performance of newborn small for gestational age by a United States intrauterine vs birthweight-derived standard for short-term neonatal morbidity and mortality.

BACKGROUND: The use of birthweight standards to define small for gestational age may fail to identify neonates affected by poor fetal growth as they include births associated with suboptimal fetal growth. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to compare intrauterine vs birthweight-derived standards to define newborn small for gestational age to predict neonatal morbidity and mortality. STUDY DESIGN: This was a secondary analysis of a multicenter observational study of 118,422 births. Live-born singleton, nonanomalous newborns born at 23 to 41 weeks of gestation were included. Those with missing gestational age estimation or without a first- or second-trimester ultrasound to confirm dating, birthweight, or neonatal outcome data were excluded. Birthweight percentile was computed using an intrauterine standard (Hadlock) and a birthweight-derived standard (Olsen). We compared the test characteristics of small for gestational age (birthweight of <10th percentile) by each standard to predict a composite neonatal morbidity and mortality outcome (death before discharge, neonatal intensive care unit admission >48 hours, respiratory distress syndrome, sepsis, necrotizing enterocolitis, grade 3 or 4 intraventricular hemorrhage, or seizures). Severe composite morbidity was analyzed as a secondary outcome and was defined as death, neonatal intensive care unit admission >7 days, necrotizing enterocolitis, grade 3 or 4 intraventricular hemorrhage, or seizures. The areas under the curve using receiver-operating characteristic methodology and proportions of the primary outcome by small for gestational age status were compared by gestational age category at birth (<34, 34 0/7 to 36 6/7, ≥37 weeks). RESULTS: Of 115,502 mother-newborn dyads in the parent study, 78,203 (67.7%) were included, with most exclusions occurring because of missing or inadequate dating information, multiple gestations, or delivery outside the gestational age range. The primary composite outcome occurred in 9.5% (95% confidence interval, 9.3-9.7), and the severe composite outcome occurred in 5.3% (95% confidence interval, 5.1-5.4). Small for gestational age was diagnosed by intrauterine and birthweight-derived standards in 14.8% and 7.4%, respectively (P<.001). Neonates considered small for gestational age only by the intrauterine standard experienced the primary outcome more than twice as often as those considered non-small for gestational age by both standards (18.4% vs 7.9%; P<.001). For the prediction of the primary outcome, small for gestational age by the intrauterine standard had higher sensitivity (29% vs 15%; P<.001) but lower specificity (87% vs 93%; P<.001) than by the birthweight standard. Both standards had weak performance overall, although the intrauterine standard had a higher area under the curve (0.58 vs 0.53; P<.001). When subanalyzed by gestational age at birth, the difference in areas under the curve was only present among preterm deliveries 34 to 36 competed weeks. Neither standard demonstrated any discrimination for morbidity prediction among term births (area under the curve, 0.50 for both). When the prediction of severe morbidity was compared, the intrauterine still had better overall prediction than the birthweight standard (areas under the curve, 0.65 vs 0.57; P<.001), although this also varied by gestational age at birth. CONCLUSION: Among nonanomalous neonates, neither intrauterine nor birthweight-derived standards for small for gestational age accurately predicted neonatal morbidity and mortality, with no discriminatory ability at term. Small for gestational age intrauterine standards performed better than birthweight standards.

Pregnancy outcomes and anxiety in nulliparous women.

OBJECTIVE: To examine pregnancy outcomes in women with treated and untreated anxiety in a well-characterized cohort. STUDY DESIGN: Secondary analysis of the NuMoM2b study, a prospective multi-center cohort of nulliparous women. Anxiety was assessed at 6 weeks 0 days - 13 weeks 6 days using the State Trait Anxiety Inventory (STAI-T). Women were divided into three groups: anxiety and medical treatment, anxiety and no medical treatment, and no anxiety (controls). The primary outcome was a composite of preterm birth, small for gestational age infant, placental abruption (clinically diagnosed), and hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. Multivariable logistic regression was used to adjust for potential confounding variables. RESULTS: Among 8293 eligible women, 24% (n = 1983) had anxiety; 311 were treated medically. The composite outcome (preterm birth, small for gestational age infant, placental abruption, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy) occurred more often in women with untreated anxiety than controls (28.6% vs 25.9%, p=.02), with no difference between treated anxiety and controls (27.7% vs 25.9%, p=.49). After adjustment for confounders, including controlling for depression, there were no differences in the primary outcome among groups. Untreated anxiety remained associated with increased odds of neonatal intensive care unit admission. CONCLUSION: Anxiety occurred in almost a quarter of nulliparas. There was no association between treated or untreated anxiety and our primary outcome of adverse pregnancy outcomes after adjustment for confounders. However, neonates born to women with untreated anxiety were at increased risk for NICU admission.

Marijuana use, fetal growth, and uterine artery Dopplers.

OBJECTIVE: Marijuana (MJ) use is associated with adverse effects on fetal growth. We aimed to investigate the timing of suboptimal fetal growth onset in MJ-exposed pregnancies. In addition, we aimed to explore the relationship between MJ-exposure and both abnormal uterine artery (UtA) Doppler parameters and small for gestational age (SGA). STUDY DESIGN: This was a secondary analysis of a prospective multicenter cohort that enrolled nulliparous individuals delivering non-anomalous fetuses beyond 20 weeks' gestation. Marijuana exposure was ascertained by self-report or clinical urine toxicology testing. Ultrasound estimated fetal weights (EFWs) were assessed in participants at both 16w0d-21w6d and 22w0d-29w6d. EFWs and birth weight (BW) were converted to weight percentiles (wPCT). EFW and BW wPCTs were calculated using population-based standards. Additionally, a customized standard designed to be applicable to both EFWs and BWs within the same model was also used to allow for EFW to BW percentile trajectories. The primary outcome, longitudinal wPCT, was compared between individuals with and without MJ use in a linear mixed-effects regression model adjusting for tobacco. For modeling, wPCT was smoothed across gestational age; MJ was estimated as an intercept and linear difference in the slope of gestational age. UtA Doppler notching, resistance index (RI), and pulsatility index (PI) at 16w0d-21w6d were compared using t-test and χ2. SGA at delivery was also compared. RESULTS: Nine thousand one hundred and sixty-three individuals met inclusion criteria; 136 (1.5%) used MJ during pregnancy. Individuals who used MJ were more likely to be younger, identify as non-Hispanic Black, and have had less education. Fetuses exposed to MJ had lower wPCT beginning at 28 weeks using population-based and customized standards, when compared to those without exposure. UtA notching, PI, and RI were similar between groups. SGA was more frequent in neonates exposed to MJ using both population-based (22 vs. 9%, p<.001) and customized (25 vs. 14%, p<.001) curves. CONCLUSIONS: MJ-exposed fetuses were estimated to be smaller than unexposed fetuses starting at 28 weeks' gestation across both growth standards without a difference in UtA Doppler parameters.

Developing a predictive model for perinatal morbidity among small for gestational age infants.

BACKGROUND: While neonates with birth weight <10th percentile are at increased risk of morbidity and mortality, most of these are constitutionally small and not at increased risk. There are no current strategies that reliably distinguish constitutionally small neonates from small neonates at the highest risk of morbidity, so additional tools for risk stratification are needed. OBJECTIVE: Our objectives were to identify factors that are independently associated with perinatal morbidity among neonates with birth weight <10th percentile (small for gestational age, SGA) and to create predictive models of perinatal morbidity among SGA neonates based on the timing of information availability. STUDY DESIGN: This secondary analysis of the Nulliparous Pregnancy Outcomes Study: Monitoring Mothers-to-Be, was a nested case-control study. Participants were prospectively enrolled at eight U.S. centers, with data collection occurring at three standard time points during pregnancy and again after delivery. Our analysis included neonates with birth weights <10th percentile and excluded those with major congenital malformations or suspected or confirmed aneuploidy. The primary outcome was a composite of perinatal morbidity, defined as NICU admission >48 h, NEC, sepsis, RDS, mechanical ventilation, retinopathy of prematurity, seizures, grade 3 or 4 IVH, stillbirth, or death before discharge. Cases were SGA neonates that experienced the primary outcome, and controls were SGA neonates that did not. Maternal factors for potential inclusion in predictive modeling were drawn from a broad list of variables collected as part of the NuMoM2B study, including demographic, anthropometric, clinical, ultrasound, social/behavioral, dietary, and psychological variables. Characteristics that were different in bivariate analysis between cases and controls then underwent further evaluation and refinement. Continuous and multi-category variables were assessed using multiple approaches, including as continuous variables, using standard categories (such as for BMI) as well as empirically-derived cut-points identified by receiver-operating characteristics methodology. The approach for each variable that resulted in the best performance was selected for use in modeling. After variable optimization, multivariable analysis was used to derive prediction models using factors known at mid-pregnancy (Model 1) and delivery (Model 2). RESULTS: Of the original cohort, 865 were eligible and analyzed, with 134 (15.5%) experiencing the primary outcome. After bivariable and multivariable analysis, these variables were included in Model 1: BMI, stress level, diastolic blood pressure, narcotic use (all in 1st trimester), and uterine artery pulsatility index at 16-21 weeks. Model 2 added the following variables to Model 1: preterm delivery, preeclampsia, and suspected fetal growth restriction. When models 1 and 2 were empirically tested and compared to predicted performance to demonstrate calibration, observed morbidity rates approximately followed expected rates within deciles. Models 1 and 2 had respective areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of 0.72 (95% CI 0.67-0.76) and 0.84 (0.80-0.88), to predict the composite morbidity. CONCLUSION: Using a deeply phenotyped cohort of nulliparous women, we created two models with the moderate-good prediction of perinatal morbidity among SGA neonates. TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov ID: NCT01322529.

Rigor, reproducibility, and transparency of randomized controlled trials in obstetrics and gynecology.

BACKGROUND: Randomized controlled trials are considered the highest level of evidence but fewer than half are reproducible. A rigorous methodology improves trial quality, but reproducibility may be limited by a lack of transparency in reporting. The Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials guidelines define reporting standards, and pretrial registration requires a predefined methodology and predefined outcomes. OBJECTIVE: We evaluated obstetrics and gynecology trials published in 6 journals in terms of their adherence to the Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials guidelines. Second, we evaluated pretrial registration compliance and concordance between the registry and publication. Furthermore, we evaluated the differences in trial characteristics among randomized controlled trials with the highest level of compliance and those with lower levels of compliance and adherence to guidelines by journal type. STUDY DESIGN: This was a cross-sectional study of obstetrics and gynecology trials published between 2017 and 2019 in 6 journals (American Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology, BJOG: An International Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Obstetrics & Gynecology, The Journal of the American Medical Association, The Lancet, and The New England Journal of Medicine). Randomized controlled trials were identified via PubMed and manual journal archive searches. The primary outcome was adequate compliance with the Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials guidelines defined as ≥80% of the checklist items present. Secondary outcomes included completion of pretrial registration and concordance between the pretrial registration and publication in terms of the outcomes and sample size. We compared the characteristics between trials with adequate compliance and those with inadequate compliance. Secondary analyses included comparisons of characteristics of the trials in the top quartile for compliance with the Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials guidelines with those of the trials in lower quartiles and compliance with guidelines in obstetrics-gynecology vs non-obstetrics-gynecology journals. In an exploratory analysis, trends in compliance with the Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials guidelines across the study period were assessed. A post hoc sensitivity analysis evaluated the outcomes after the exclusion of 2 retracted trials. RESULTS: Of the 170 trials included, 80% (95% confidence interval, 74%-86%) were adequately compliant with the Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials manuscript guidelines and 66% (95% confidence interval, 59%-73%) were compliant with the abstract guidelines. Nearly all trials (98%) reported pretrial registration. Concordance between pretrial registration and publication in terms of the primary outcomes was identified for 77% of the trials, concordance in terms of the secondary outcomes was observed in 32% of the trials, and concordance in terms of sample size was observed in 60% of the trials. Trials with adequate compliance were more likely to be preregistered, include an a priori power calculation, and use an intent to treat analysis. Trials in the top quartile for compliance with the Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials guidelines were more likely to be multicenter, international, and government funded. More trials from non-obstetrics-gynecology journals were in the top quartile for compliance with the Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials guidelines than trials from obstetrics-gynecology journals (64.9% vs 25.7%; P<.001). No significant trends in adequate compliance were identified across the study period. Results did not differ significantly in the sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSION: Of all the trials included, 20% of obstetrics-gynecology trials published in 6 high-impact journals were not compliant with the Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials guidelines, and there were major discrepancies between pretrial registration and publication. Transparency, reproducibility, and scientific rigor in obstetrics and gynecology trial reporting needs to be improved.

Impact of the p-Value Threshold on Interpretation of Trial Outcomes in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

OBJECTIVE: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are considered the highest level of evidence to inform clinical practice. However, the reproducibility crisis has raised concerns about the scientific rigor of published RCT findings. Some advocate for a lower p-value threshold. We aimed to review published OB/Gyn topical RCTs in three representative OB/Gyn journals and three high impact non-OB/Gyn journals to determine if their interpretations would change with adoption of a p-value threshold for significance of 0.005. Secondarily, we evaluated if there were differences in methodologic characteristics between those that did and did not lose significance. STUDY DESIGN: A manual search was performed to identify all OB/Gyn RCTs published in the selected journals between July 2017 and June 2019. Data were collected on primary outcome(s), methodology, and p-values. We determined the proportion of primary outcomes that would remain statistically significant with adoption of a p-value significance threshold of 0.005 versus be reinterpreted as "suggestive" (defined as p-value between 0.005 and 0.05). Chi-square or Fisher's exact test were used to compare study characteristics. RESULTS: Overall, 202 RCTs met inclusion criteria; 52% in obstetrics and 48% in gynecology. Of 90 studies considered significant with p <0.05 at the time of publication, 54.4% (n = 49) would maintain significant (p < 0.005), while 45.6% (n = 41) would become suggestive using the lower threshold. Most RCTs utilized a single (90.1%) versus composite (8.9%) primary outcome type, used an intent-to-treat analysis (73.3%), and studied a drug intervention (46.5%). Methodologically, 23.7% did not prespecify analysis type, 28.2% did not meet the pre-determined sample size, and 9.4% did not report an a priori sample size calculation. Studies maintaining significance were more likely to be international and report a funding source. CONCLUSION: Adopting a p-value significance threshold of 0.005 would require reinterpretation of almost half of RCT results in the OB/Gyn literature. Highly variable methodological quality was identified. KEY POINTS: · New p-value threshold results in reinterpretation of nearly half of RCT results in OB/Gyn literature.. · Highly variable methodological quality was identified.. · Reduced use of binary interpretations of significance is necessary..