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1.
JMIR Form Res ; 8: e52726, 2024 May 31.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38820574

RESUMO

Rib fractures commonly result from traumatic injury and often require hospitalization for pain control and supportive pulmonary care. Although the use of mobile health technology to share patient-generated health data has increased, it remains limited in patients with traumatic injuries. We sought to assess the feasibility of mobile health tracking in patients with rib fractures by using a smartphone app to monitor postdischarge recovery. We encountered patient, institutional, and process-related obstacles that limited app use. The success of future work requires the acknowledgment of these limitations and the use of an implementation science framework to effectively integrate technological tools for personalized trauma care.

2.
NPJ Digit Med ; 7(1): 129, 2024 May 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38760407

RESUMO

Few published data science tools are ever translated from academia to real-world clinical settings for which they were intended. One dimension of this problem is the software engineering task of turning published academic projects into tools that are usable at the bedside. Given the complexity of the data ecosystem in large health systems, this task often represents a significant barrier to the real-world deployment of data science tools for prospective piloting and evaluation. Many information technology companies have created Machine Learning Operations (MLOps) teams to help with such tasks at scale, but the low penetration of home-grown data science tools in regular clinical practice precludes the formation of such teams in healthcare organizations. Based on experiences deploying data science tools at two large academic medical centers (Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA; Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN), we propose a strategy to facilitate this transition from academic product to operational tool, defining the responsibilities of the principal investigator, data scientist, machine learning engineer, health system IT administrator, and clinician end-user throughout the process. We first enumerate the technical resources and stakeholders needed to prepare for model deployment. We then propose an approach to planning how the final product will work from data extraction and analysis to visualization of model outputs. Finally, we describe how the team should execute on this plan. We hope to guide health systems aiming to deploy minimum viable data science tools and realize their value in clinical practice.

3.
Online J Public Health Inform ; 16: e53445, 2024 May 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38700929

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Post-COVID-19 condition (colloquially known as "long COVID-19") characterized as postacute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 has no universal clinical case definition. Recent efforts have focused on understanding long COVID-19 symptoms, and electronic health record (EHR) data provide a unique resource for understanding this condition. The introduction of the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) code U09.9 for "Post COVID-19 condition, unspecified" to identify patients with long COVID-19 has provided a method of evaluating this condition in EHRs; however, the accuracy of this code is unclear. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to characterize the utility and accuracy of the U09.9 code across 3 health care systems-the Veterans Health Administration, the Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, and the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center-against patients identified with long COVID-19 via a chart review by operationalizing the World Health Organization (WHO) and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) definitions. METHODS: Patients who were COVID-19 positive with either a U07.1 ICD-10 code or positive polymerase chain reaction test within these health care systems were identified for chart review. Among this cohort, we sampled patients based on two approaches: (1) with a U09.9 code and (2) without a U09.9 code but with a new onset long COVID-19-related ICD-10 code, which allows us to assess the sensitivity of the U09.9 code. To operationalize the long COVID-19 definition based on health agency guidelines, symptoms were grouped into a "core" cluster of 11 commonly reported symptoms among patients with long COVID-19 and an extended cluster that captured all other symptoms by disease domain. Patients having ≥2 symptoms persisting for ≥60 days that were new onset after their COVID-19 infection, with ≥1 symptom in the core cluster, were labeled as having long COVID-19 per chart review. The code's performance was compared across 3 health care systems and across different time periods of the pandemic. RESULTS: Overall, 900 patient charts were reviewed across 3 health care systems. The prevalence of long COVID-19 among the cohort with the U09.9 ICD-10 code based on the operationalized WHO definition was between 23.2% and 62.4% across these health care systems. We also evaluated a less stringent version of the WHO definition and the CDC definition and observed an increase in the prevalence of long COVID-19 at all 3 health care systems. CONCLUSIONS: This is one of the first studies to evaluate the U09.9 code against a clinical case definition for long COVID-19, as well as the first to apply this definition to EHR data using a chart review approach on a nationwide cohort across multiple health care systems. This chart review approach can be implemented at other EHR systems to further evaluate the utility and performance of the U09.9 code.

4.
J Am Coll Surg ; 238(6): 1001-1010, 2024 Jun 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38525970

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Many institutions have developed operation-specific guidelines for opioid prescribing. These guidelines rarely incorporate in-hospital opioid consumption, which is highly correlated with consumption. We compare outcomes of several patient-centered approaches to prescribing that are derived from in-hospital consumption, including several experimental, rule-based prescribing guidelines and our current institutional guideline. STUDY DESIGN: We performed a retrospective, cohort study of all adults undergoing surgery at a single-academic medical center. Several rule-based guidelines, derived from in-hospital consumption (quantity of opioids consumed within 24 hours of discharge), were used to specify the theoretical quantity of opioid prescribed on discharge. The efficacy of the experimental guidelines was compared with 3 references: an approximation of our institution's tailored prescribing guideline; prescribing all patients the typical quantity of opioids consumed for patients undergoing the same operation; and a representative rule-based, tiered framework. For each scenario, we calculated the penalized residual sum of squares (reflecting the composite deviation from actual patient consumption, with 15% penalty for overprescribing) and the proportion of opioids consumed relative to prescribed. RESULTS: A total of 1,048 patients met inclusion criteria. Mean (SD) and median (interquartile range [IQR]) quantity of opioids consumed within 24 hours of discharge were 11.2 (26.9) morphine milligram equivalents and 0 (0 to 15) morphine milligram equivalents. Median (IQR) postdischarge consumption was 16 (0 to 150) morphine milligram equivalents. Our institutional guideline and the previously validated rule-based guideline outperform alternate approaches, with median (IQR) differences in prescribed vs consumed opioids of 0 (-60 to 27.25) and 37.5 (-37.5 to 37.5), respectively, corresponding to penalized residual sum of squares of 39,817,602 and 38,336,895, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Rather than relying on fixed quantities for defined operations, rule-based guidelines offer a simple yet effective method for tailoring opioid prescribing to in-hospital consumption.


Assuntos
Analgésicos Opioides , Dor Pós-Operatória , Alta do Paciente , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto , Padrões de Prática Médica , Humanos , Analgésicos Opioides/uso terapêutico , Dor Pós-Operatória/tratamento farmacológico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Feminino , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Padrões de Prática Médica/estatística & dados numéricos , Padrões de Prática Médica/normas , Adulto , Prescrições de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Prescrições de Medicamentos/normas , Idoso
5.
Healthc (Amst) ; 12(2): 100738, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38531228

RESUMO

The COVID-19 pandemic generated tremendous interest in using real world data (RWD). Many consortia across the public and private sectors formed in 2020 with the goal of rapidly producing high-quality evidence from RWD to guide medical decision-making, public health priorities, and more. Experiences were gathered from five large consortia on rapid multi-institutional evidence generation during the COVID-19 pandemic. Insights have been compiled across five dimensions: consortium composition, governance structure and alignment of priorities, data sharing, data analysis, and evidence dissemination. The purpose of this piece is to offer guidance on building large-scale multi-institutional RWD analysis pipelines for future public health issues. The composition of each consortium was largely influenced by existing collaborations. A central set of priorities for evidence generation guided each consortium, however different approaches to governance emerged. Challenges surrounding limited access to clinical data due to various contributors were overcome in unique ways. While all consortia used different methods to construct and analyze patient cohorts ranging from centralized to federated approaches, all proved effective for generating meaningful real-world evidence. Actionable recommendations for clinical practice and public health agencies were made from translating insights from consortium analyses. Each consortium was successful in rapidly answering questions about COVID-19 diagnosis and treatment despite all taking slightly different approaches to data sharing and analysis. Leveraging RWD, leveraged in a manner that applies scientific rigor and transparency, can complement higher-level evidence and serve as an important adjunct to clinical trials to quickly guide policy and critical care, especially for a pandemic response.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Humanos , Pandemias , Disseminação de Informação/métodos , SARS-CoV-2
6.
Surgery ; 175(4): 936-942, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38246839

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Artificial intelligence has the potential to dramatically alter health care by enhancing how we diagnose and treat disease. One promising artificial intelligence model is ChatGPT, a general-purpose large language model trained by OpenAI. ChatGPT has shown human-level performance on several professional and academic benchmarks. We sought to evaluate its performance on surgical knowledge questions and assess the stability of this performance on repeat queries. METHODS: We evaluated the performance of ChatGPT-4 on questions from the Surgical Council on Resident Education question bank and a second commonly used surgical knowledge assessment, referred to as Data-B. Questions were entered in 2 formats: open-ended and multiple-choice. ChatGPT outputs were assessed for accuracy and insights by surgeon evaluators. We categorized reasons for model errors and the stability of performance on repeat queries. RESULTS: A total of 167 Surgical Council on Resident Education and 112 Data-B questions were presented to the ChatGPT interface. ChatGPT correctly answered 71.3% and 67.9% of multiple choice and 47.9% and 66.1% of open-ended questions for Surgical Council on Resident Education and Data-B, respectively. For both open-ended and multiple-choice questions, approximately two-thirds of ChatGPT responses contained nonobvious insights. Common reasons for incorrect responses included inaccurate information in a complex question (n = 16, 36.4%), inaccurate information in a fact-based question (n = 11, 25.0%), and accurate information with circumstantial discrepancy (n = 6, 13.6%). Upon repeat query, the answer selected by ChatGPT varied for 36.4% of questions answered incorrectly on the first query; the response accuracy changed for 6/16 (37.5%) questions. CONCLUSION: Consistent with findings in other academic and professional domains, we demonstrate near or above human-level performance of ChatGPT on surgical knowledge questions from 2 widely used question banks. ChatGPT performed better on multiple-choice than open-ended questions, prompting questions regarding its potential for clinical application. Unique to this study, we demonstrate inconsistency in ChatGPT responses on repeat queries. This finding warrants future consideration including efforts at training large language models to provide the safe and consistent responses required for clinical application. Despite near or above human-level performance on question banks and given these observations, it is unclear whether large language models such as ChatGPT are able to safely assist clinicians in providing care.


Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Cirurgiões , Humanos , Escolaridade , Benchmarking , Idioma
8.
JAMA Surg ; 159(2): 185-192, 2024 Feb 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38055227

RESUMO

Objective: To overcome limitations of open surgery artificial intelligence (AI) models by curating the largest collection of annotated videos and to leverage this AI-ready data set to develop a generalizable multitask AI model capable of real-time understanding of clinically significant surgical behaviors in prospectively collected real-world surgical videos. Design, Setting, and Participants: The study team programmatically queried open surgery procedures on YouTube and manually annotated selected videos to create the AI-ready data set used to train a multitask AI model for 2 proof-of-concept studies, one generating surgical signatures that define the patterns of a given procedure and the other identifying kinematics of hand motion that correlate with surgeon skill level and experience. The Annotated Videos of Open Surgery (AVOS) data set includes 1997 videos from 23 open-surgical procedure types uploaded to YouTube from 50 countries over the last 15 years. Prospectively recorded surgical videos were collected from a single tertiary care academic medical center. Deidentified videos were recorded of surgeons performing open surgical procedures and analyzed for correlation with surgical training. Exposures: The multitask AI model was trained on the AI-ready video data set and then retrospectively applied to the prospectively collected video data set. Main Outcomes and Measures: Analysis of open surgical videos in near real-time, performance on AI-ready and prospectively collected videos, and quantification of surgeon skill. Results: Using the AI-ready data set, the study team developed a multitask AI model capable of real-time understanding of surgical behaviors-the building blocks of procedural flow and surgeon skill-across space and time. Through principal component analysis, a single compound skill feature was identified, composed of a linear combination of kinematic hand attributes. This feature was a significant discriminator between experienced surgeons and surgical trainees across 101 prospectively collected surgical videos of 14 operators. For each unit increase in the compound feature value, the odds of the operator being an experienced surgeon were 3.6 times higher (95% CI, 1.67-7.62; P = .001). Conclusions and Relevance: In this observational study, the AVOS-trained model was applied to analyze prospectively collected open surgical videos and identify kinematic descriptors of surgical skill related to efficiency of hand motion. The ability to provide AI-deduced insights into surgical structure and skill is valuable in optimizing surgical skill acquisition and ultimately improving surgical care.


Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Aprendizado de Máquina , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Gravação em Vídeo/métodos , Centros Médicos Acadêmicos
9.
J Surg Res ; 295: 1-8, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37951062

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Prescription opioids, including those prescribed after surgery, have greatly contributed to the US opioid epidemic. Educating opioid prescribers is a crucial component of ensuring the safe use of opioids among surgical patients. METHODS: An annual opioid prescribing education curriculum was implemented among new surgical prescribers at our institution between 2017 and 2022. The curriculum includes a single 75-min session which is comprised of several components: pain medications (dosing, indications, and contraindications); patients at high risk for uncontrolled pain and/or opioid misuse or abuse; patient monitoring and care plans; and state and federal regulations. Participants were asked to complete an opioid knowledge assessment before and after the didactic session. RESULTS: Presession and postsession assessments were completed by 197 (89.6%) prescribers. Across the five studied years, the median presession score was 54.5%. This increased to 63.6% after completion of the curriculum, representing a median relative knowledge increase of 18.2%. The median relative improvement was greatest for preinterns and interns (18.2% for both groups); smaller improvements were observed for postgraduate year 2-5 residents (9.1%) and advanced practice providers (9.1%). On a scale of 1 to 10 (with 5 being comfortable), median (interquartile range) self-reported comfort in prescribing opioids increased from 3 (2-5) before education to 5 (4-6) after education (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Each year, the curriculum substantially improved provider knowledge of and comfort in opioid prescribing. Despite increased national awareness of the opioid epidemic and increasing institutional initiatives to improve opioid prescribing practices, there was a sustained knowledge and comfort gap among new surgical prescribers. The observed effects of our opioid education curriculum highlight the value of a simple and efficient educational initiative.


Assuntos
Analgésicos Opioides , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides , Humanos , Analgésicos Opioides/uso terapêutico , Padrões de Prática Médica , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides/prevenção & controle , Currículo , Dor
10.
J Am Coll Surg ; 237(6): 835-843, 2023 12 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37702392

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Opioid prescribing patterns, including those after surgery, have been implicated as a significant contributor to the US opioid crisis. A plethora of interventions-from nudges to reminders-have been deployed to improve prescribing behavior, but reasons for persistent outlier behavior are often unknown. STUDY DESIGN: Our institution employs multiple prescribing resources and a near real-time, feedback-based intervention to promote appropriate opioid prescribing. Since 2019, an automated system has emailed providers when a prescription exceeds the 75th percentile of typical opioid consumption for a given procedure-as defined by institutional data collection. Emails include population consumption metrics and an optional survey on rationale for prescribing. Responses were analyzed to understand why providers choose to prescribe atypically large discharge opioid prescriptions. We then compared provider prescriptions against patient consumption. RESULTS: During the study period, 10,672 eligible postsurgical patients were discharged; 2,013 prescriptions (29.4% of opioid prescriptions) exceeded our institutional guideline. Surveys were completed by outlier prescribers for 414 (20.6%) encounters. Among patients where both consumption data and prescribing rationale surveys were available, 35.2% did not consume any opioids after discharge and 21.5% consumed <50% of their prescription. Only 93 (39.9%) patients receiving outlier prescriptions were outlier consumers. Most common reasons for prescribing outlier amounts were attending preference (34%) and prescriber analysis of patient characteristics (34%). CONCLUSIONS: The top quartile of opioid prescriptions did not align with, and often far exceeded, patient postdischarge opioid consumption. Providers cite assessment of patient characteristics as a common driver of decision-making, but this did not align with patient usage for approximately 50% of patients.


Assuntos
Assistência ao Convalescente , Analgésicos Opioides , Humanos , Analgésicos Opioides/uso terapêutico , Padrões de Prática Médica , Alta do Paciente , Benchmarking
11.
Am J Surg ; 226(5): 660-667, 2023 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37468387

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The discussion of risks, benefits, and alternatives to surgery with patients is a defining component of informed consent. As shared-decision making has become central to surgeon-patient communication, risk calculators have emerged as a tool to aid communication and decision-making. To optimize informed consent, it is necessary to understand how surgeons assess and communicate risk, and the role of risk calculators in this process. METHODS: We conducted interviews with 13 surgeons from two institutions to understand how surgeons assess risk, the role of risk calculators in decision-making, and how surgeons approach risk communication during informed consent. We performed a qualitative analysis of interviews based on SRQR guidelines. RESULTS: Our analysis yielded insights regarding (a) the landscape and approach to obtaining surgical consent; (b) detailed perceptions regarding the value and design of assessing and communicating risk; and (c) practical considerations regarding the future of personalized risk communication in decision-making. Above all, we found that non-clinical factors such as health and risk literacy are changing how surgeons assess and communicate risk, which diverges from traditional risk calculators. CONCLUSION: Principally, we found that surgeons incorporate a range of clinical and non-clinical factors to risk stratify patients and determine how to optimally frame and discuss risk with individual patients. We observed that surgeons' perception of risk communication, and the importance of eliciting patient preferences to direct shared-decision making, did not consistently align with patient priorities. This study underscored criticisms of risk calculators and novel decision-aids - which must be addressed prior to greater adoption.


Assuntos
Tomada de Decisão Compartilhada , Cirurgiões , Humanos , Consentimento Livre e Esclarecido , Tomada de Decisões
12.
medRxiv ; 2023 Jul 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37502981

RESUMO

Background: Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to dramatically alter healthcare by enhancing how we diagnosis and treat disease. One promising AI model is ChatGPT, a large general-purpose language model trained by OpenAI. The chat interface has shown robust, human-level performance on several professional and academic benchmarks. We sought to probe its performance and stability over time on surgical case questions. Methods: We evaluated the performance of ChatGPT-4 on two surgical knowledge assessments: the Surgical Council on Resident Education (SCORE) and a second commonly used knowledge assessment, referred to as Data-B. Questions were entered in two formats: open-ended and multiple choice. ChatGPT output were assessed for accuracy and insights by surgeon evaluators. We categorized reasons for model errors and the stability of performance on repeat encounters. Results: A total of 167 SCORE and 112 Data-B questions were presented to the ChatGPT interface. ChatGPT correctly answered 71% and 68% of multiple-choice SCORE and Data-B questions, respectively. For both open-ended and multiple-choice questions, approximately two-thirds of ChatGPT responses contained non-obvious insights. Common reasons for inaccurate responses included: inaccurate information in a complex question (n=16, 36.4%); inaccurate information in fact-based question (n=11, 25.0%); and accurate information with circumstantial discrepancy (n=6, 13.6%). Upon repeat query, the answer selected by ChatGPT varied for 36.4% of inaccurate questions; the response accuracy changed for 6/16 questions. Conclusion: Consistent with prior findings, we demonstrate robust near or above human-level performance of ChatGPT within the surgical domain. Unique to this study, we demonstrate a substantial inconsistency in ChatGPT responses with repeat query. This finding warrants future consideration and presents an opportunity to further train these models to provide safe and consistent responses. Without mental and/or conceptual models, it is unclear whether language models such as ChatGPT would be able to safely assist clinicians in providing care.

15.
Ann Surg ; 278(1): 51-58, 2023 07 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36942574

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To summarize state-of-the-art artificial intelligence-enabled decision support in surgery and to quantify deficiencies in scientific rigor and reporting. BACKGROUND: To positively affect surgical care, decision-support models must exceed current reporting guideline requirements by performing external and real-time validation, enrolling adequate sample sizes, reporting model precision, assessing performance across vulnerable populations, and achieving clinical implementation; the degree to which published models meet these criteria is unknown. METHODS: Embase, PubMed, and MEDLINE databases were searched from their inception to September 21, 2022 for articles describing artificial intelligence-enabled decision support in surgery that uses preoperative or intraoperative data elements to predict complications within 90 days of surgery. Scientific rigor and reporting criteria were assessed and reported according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews guidelines. RESULTS: Sample size ranged from 163-2,882,526, with 8/36 articles (22.2%) featuring sample sizes of less than 2000; 7 of these 8 articles (87.5%) had below-average (<0.83) area under the receiver operating characteristic or accuracy. Overall, 29 articles (80.6%) performed internal validation only, 5 (13.8%) performed external validation, and 2 (5.6%) performed real-time validation. Twenty-three articles (63.9%) reported precision. No articles reported performance across sociodemographic categories. Thirteen articles (36.1%) presented a framework that could be used for clinical implementation; none assessed clinical implementation efficacy. CONCLUSIONS: Artificial intelligence-enabled decision support in surgery is limited by reliance on internal validation, small sample sizes that risk overfitting and sacrifice predictive performance, and failure to report confidence intervals, precision, equity analyses, and clinical implementation. Researchers should strive to improve scientific quality.


Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Humanos , Curva ROC
16.
Am Surg ; 89(12): 5619-5625, 2023 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36918193

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In many academic centers, opioid prescribing is managed primarily by residents with little or no formal opioid education. The present study evaluates intern knowledge and comfort with appropriate opioid prescribing 7 months after an organized opioid education effort. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A repeat knowledge and attitude survey was sent to surgical interns who had completed an initial opioid education training session 7 months before the study. Results were compared to post-education assessment results in the same cohort. SETTING: 16 general surgery and podiatric surgery interns at a single academic medical center. RESULTS: The mean percentage of correct answers on follow-up was 67.6% identical to the average post-session score of 67.6%. Interns reported comfort with opioid prescribing increased to a mean score of 5.9 (out of 10) on follow-up compared to post-session score of 5.19. CONCLUSIONS: Surgical interns have significant gaps in knowledge for optimal prescribing and management of opioid prescriptions. Targeted education demonstrates significant and lasting improvement in opioid assessment scores, but there remains room for improvement.


Assuntos
Analgésicos Opioides , Internato e Residência , Humanos , Analgésicos Opioides/uso terapêutico , Padrões de Prática Médica , Educação de Pós-Graduação em Medicina , Centros Médicos Acadêmicos
17.
J Biomed Inform ; 139: 104306, 2023 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36738870

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In electronic health records, patterns of missing laboratory test results could capture patients' course of disease as well as ​​reflect clinician's concerns or worries for possible conditions. These patterns are often understudied and overlooked. This study aims to identify informative patterns of missingness among laboratory data collected across 15 healthcare system sites in three countries for COVID-19 inpatients. METHODS: We collected and analyzed demographic, diagnosis, and laboratory data for 69,939 patients with positive COVID-19 PCR tests across three countries from 1 January 2020 through 30 September 2021. We analyzed missing laboratory measurements across sites, missingness stratification by demographic variables, temporal trends of missingness, correlations between labs based on missingness indicators over time, and clustering of groups of labs based on their missingness/ordering pattern. RESULTS: With these analyses, we identified mapping issues faced in seven out of 15 sites. We also identified nuances in data collection and variable definition for the various sites. Temporal trend analyses may support the use of laboratory test result missingness patterns in identifying severe COVID-19 patients. Lastly, using missingness patterns, we determined relationships between various labs that reflect clinical behaviors. CONCLUSION: In this work, we use computational approaches to relate missingness patterns to hospital treatment capacity and highlight the heterogeneity of looking at COVID-19 over time and at multiple sites, where there might be different phases, policies, etc. Changes in missingness could suggest a change in a patient's condition, and patterns of missingness among laboratory measurements could potentially identify clinical outcomes. This allows sites to consider missing data as informative to analyses and help researchers identify which sites are better poised to study particular questions.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Humanos , Coleta de Dados , Registros , Análise por Conglomerados
18.
J Am Coll Surg ; 236(6): 1093-1103, 2023 06 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36815715

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Surgical risk prediction models traditionally use patient attributes and measures of physiology to generate predictions about postoperative outcomes. However, the surgeon's assessment of the patient may be a valuable predictor, given the surgeon's ability to detect and incorporate factors that existing models cannot capture. We compare the predictive utility of surgeon intuition and a risk calculator derived from the American College of Surgeons (ACS) NSQIP. STUDY DESIGN: From January 10, 2021 to January 9, 2022, surgeons were surveyed immediately before performing surgery to assess their perception of a patient's risk of developing any postoperative complication. Clinical data were abstracted from ACS NSQIP. Both sources of data were independently used to build models to predict the likelihood of a patient experiencing any 30-day postoperative complication as defined by ACS NSQIP. RESULTS: Preoperative surgeon assessment was obtained for 216 patients. NSQIP data were available for 9,182 patients who underwent general surgery (January 1, 2017 to January 9, 2022). A binomial regression model trained on clinical data alone had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.83 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.85) in predicting any complication. A model trained on only preoperative surgeon intuition had an AUC of 0.70 (95% CI 0.63 to 0.78). A model trained on surgeon intuition and a subset of clinical predictors had an AUC of 0.83 (95% CI 0.77 to 0.89). CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative surgeon intuition alone is an independent predictor of patient outcomes; however, a risk calculator derived from ACS NSQIP is a more robust predictor of postoperative complication. Combining intuition and clinical data did not strengthen prediction.


Assuntos
Intuição , Cirurgiões , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Prognóstico , Medição de Risco , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/diagnóstico , Fatores de Risco , Estudos Retrospectivos , Melhoria de Qualidade
19.
PLoS One ; 18(1): e0266985, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36598895

RESUMO

PURPOSE: In young adults (18 to 49 years old), investigation of the acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) after severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection has been limited. We evaluated the risk factors and outcomes of ARDS following infection with SARS-CoV-2 in a young adult population. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted between January 1st, 2020 and February 28th, 2021 using patient-level electronic health records (EHR), across 241 United States hospitals and 43 European hospitals participating in the Consortium for Clinical Characterization of COVID-19 by EHR (4CE). To identify the risk factors associated with ARDS, we compared young patients with and without ARDS through a federated analysis. We further compared the outcomes between young and old patients with ARDS. RESULTS: Among the 75,377 hospitalized patients with positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR, 1001 young adults presented with ARDS (7.8% of young hospitalized adults). Their mortality rate at 90 days was 16.2% and they presented with a similar complication rate for infection than older adults with ARDS. Peptic ulcer disease, paralysis, obesity, congestive heart failure, valvular disease, diabetes, chronic pulmonary disease and liver disease were associated with a higher risk of ARDS. We described a high prevalence of obesity (53%), hypertension (38%- although not significantly associated with ARDS), and diabetes (32%). CONCLUSION: Trough an innovative method, a large international cohort study of young adults developing ARDS after SARS-CoV-2 infection has been gather. It demonstrated the poor outcomes of this population and associated risk factor.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório , Humanos , Adulto Jovem , Idoso , Adolescente , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , COVID-19/complicações , COVID-19/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudos de Coortes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/etiologia , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/complicações , Obesidade/complicações
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