Lives Versus Livelihoods: The Epidemiological, Social, And Economic Impact Of COVID-19 In Latin America And The Caribbean.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, Latin American and Caribbean countries implemented stringent public health and social measures that disrupted economic and social activities. This study used an integrated model to evaluate the epidemiological, economic, and social trade-offs in Argentina, Brazil, Jamaica, and Mexico throughout 2021. Argentina and Mexico displayed a higher gross domestic product (GDP) loss and lower deaths per million compared with Brazil. The magnitude of the trade-offs differed across countries. Reducing GDP loss at the margin by 1 percent would have increased daily deaths by 0.5 per million in Argentina but only 0.3 per million in Brazil. We observed an increase in poverty rates related to the stringency of public health and social measures but no significant income-loss differences by sex. Our results indicate that the economic impact of COVID-19 was uneven across countries as a result of different pandemic trajectories, public health and social measures, and vaccination uptake, as well as socioeconomic differences and fiscal responses. Policy makers need to be informed about the trade-offs to make strategic decisions to save lives and livelihoods.

Cost-effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination in Latin America and the Caribbean: an analysis in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Mexico, and Peru.

OBJECTIVE: Our study analyzes the cost-effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccination campaigns in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Mexico, and Peru. METHODS: Using a previously published SVEIR model, we analyzed the impact of a vaccination campaign (2021) from a national healthcare perspective. The primary outcomes were quality adjusted life years (QALYs) lost and total costs. Other outcomes included COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, deaths, and life years. We applied a discount rate of 3% for health outcomes. We modeled a realistic vaccination campaign in each country (the realistic country-specific campaign). Additionally, we assessed a standard campaign (similar, "typical" for all countries), and an optimized campaign (similar in all countries with higher but plausible population coverage). One-way deterministic sensitivity analyses were performed. FINDINGS: Vaccination was health improving as well as cost-saving in almost all countries and scenarios. Our analysis shows that vaccination in this group of countries prevented 573,141 deaths (508,826 standard; 685,442 optimized) and gained 5.07 million QALYs (4.53 standard; 6.03 optimized). Despite the incremental costs of vaccination campaigns, they had a total net cost saving to the health system of US$16.29 billion (US$16.47 standard; US$18.58 optimized). The realistic (base case) vaccination campaign in Chile was the only scenario, which was not cost saving, but it was still highly cost-effective with an ICER of US$22 per QALY gained. Main findings were robust in the sensitivity analyses. INTERPRETATION: The COVID-19 vaccination campaign in seven Latin American and Caribbean countries -that comprise nearly 80% of the region- was beneficial for population health and was also cost-saving or highly cost-effective.

Development and application of a dynamic transmission model of health systems' preparedness and response to COVID-19 in twenty-six Latin American and Caribbean countries.

The global impact of COVID-19 has challenged health systems across the world. This situation highlighted the need to develop policies based on scientific evidence to prepare the health systems and mitigate the pandemic. In this scenario, governments were urged to predict the impact of the measures they were implementing, how they related to the population's behavior, and the capacity of health systems to respond to the pandemic. The overarching aim of this research was to develop a customizable and open-source tool to predict the impact of the expansion of COVID-19 on the level of preparedness of the health systems of different Latin American and the Caribbean countries, with two main objectives. Firstly, to estimate the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 and the preparedness and response capacity of health systems in those countries, based on different scenarios and public policies implemented to control, mitigate, or suppress the spread of the epidemic. Secondly, to facilitate policy makers' decisions by allowing the model to adjust its parameters according to the specific pandemic trajectory and policy context. How many infections and deaths are estimated per day?; When are the peaks of cases and deaths expected, according to the different scenarios?; Which occupancy rate will ICU services have along the epidemiological curve?; When is the optimal time increase restrictions in order to prevent saturation of ICU beds?, are some of the key questions that the model can respond, and is publicly accessible through the following link: http://shinyapps.iecs.org.ar/modelo-covid19/. This open-access and open code tool is based on a SEIR model (Susceptible, Exposed, Infected and Recovered). Using a deterministic epidemiological model, it allows to frame potential scenarios for long periods, providing valuable information on the dynamics of transmission and how it could impact on health systems through multiple customized configurations adapted to specific characteristics of each country.

Argentinian Digital Health Strategy.

Digital Health is one of the three pillars for the effective implementation of Universal Health Coverage in Argentina. The Ministry of Health published the National Digital Health Strategy 2018-2024 in order to establish the conceptual guidelines for the design and development of interoperable health information systems as a state policy. The World Health Organization "National eHealth Strategy Toolkit", "Global Strategy on Digital Health" and other international and local evidence and expert recommendations were taken into account. The path to better healthcare involves adopting systems at the point of care, allowing for the primary recording of information and enabling information exchange through real interoperability. In that way, people, technology and processes will synergize to enhance integrated health service networks. In this paper, we describe the plan and the first two years of implementation of the strategy.

Mi Argentina/Mi Salud: The Argentinian Citizen Digital Health Portal.

The Ministry of Health (MoH) stated the National Digital Health Strategy 2018-2024 in order to establish the conceptual guidelines for the design and development of interoperable health information systems. It included the creation of a National Digital Health Network, and a Citizen Health Portal to inform and empower patients about their rights. For instance, the Digital Vaccination Card is already available and has equal legal validity as its paper version. The platform also works as a personal privacy manager, to configure the consent for Health Information Exchange through the network, or to check the access logs. This paper outlines the implementation experience of this powerful tool at a national level.

PHC Progression Model: a novel mixed-methods tool for measuring primary health care system capacity.

High-performing primary health care (PHC) is essential for achieving universal health coverage. However, in many countries, PHC is weak and unable to deliver on its potential. Improvement is often limited by a lack of actionable data to inform policies and set priorities. To address this gap, the Primary Health Care Performance Initiative (PHCPI) was formed to strengthen measurement of PHC in low-income and middle-income countries in order to accelerate improvement. PHCPI's Vital Signs Profile was designed to provide a comprehensive snapshot of the performance of a country's PHC system, yet quantitative information about PHC systems' capacity to deliver high-quality, effective care was limited by the scarcity of existing data sources and metrics. To systematically measure the capacity of PHC systems, PHCPI developed the PHC Progression Model, a rubric-based mixed-methods assessment tool. The PHC Progression Model is completed through a participatory process by in-country teams and subsequently reviewed by PHCPI to validate results and ensure consistency across countries. In 2018, PHCPI partnered with five countries to pilot the tool and found that it was feasible to implement with fidelity, produced valid results, and was highly acceptable and useful to stakeholders. Pilot results showed that both the participatory assessment process and resulting findings yielded novel and actionable insights into PHC strengths and weaknesses. Based on these positive early results, PHCPI will support expansion of the PHC Progression Model to additional countries to systematically and comprehensively measure PHC system capacity in order to identify and prioritise targeted improvement efforts.

Making Universal Health Care Effective in Argentina: A Blueprint for Reform.

The reform of a health care system requires attention to specific components but also to the creation of an environment that supports change. Argentina has achieved nominal universal health coverage (UHC) but it still needs to work on achieving effective universal health coverage, especially with regard to quality and equity. Nominal coverage means that everyone has been enrolled and has the right to access, and effective coverage means that people have actually received prioritized health care services. In this article, we present our proposals to advance UHC in Argentina. The article includes an overview of Argentina's health system, then introduces the driving forces for reform, and finally analyzes four key issues where we provide our action plan to implement health reform for moving Argentina forward. Overall, our ultimate goal is to provide actual UHC and not aspirational UHC in Argentina by strengthening provincial health systems through enforcing public insurance schemes; utilizing an explicit priority-setting approach to make decisions on health coverage; reducing health disparities in coverage and outcomes, at least on prioritized health problems; and building a primary care-oriented health care system.

Evaluar para seguir adelante: resultados del programa redes

Las acciones del Programa Redes, en el marco de la estrategia del Ministerio de Salud dela Nación para el fortalecimiento de la Atención Primaria de la Salud, están orientadas aconsolidar un sistema de salud que brinde servicios de calidad, de manera oportuna, considerando toda la población. Para ello se requiere un Primer Nivel de Atención fortalecido,que incorpore lógicas de funcionamiento inclusivas y participativas y que realcen el rol delos equipos de salud y la comunidad en la organización para el cuidado de la salud. Estasacciones se orientan teniendo como ejes esenciales la promoción, difusión, prevención yatención, que permiten un acceso adecuado al segundo y tercer nivel de atención, haciendouso racional de las tecnologías y recursos, que posibilitan el ejercicio efectivo del derecho ala salud por parte de las personas.El monitoreo y la evaluación de los planes, programas o proyectos son instrumentos depolítica e insumos claves para orientar la acción. Permiten generar aprendizaje y revisar losaspectos sustantivos de las iniciativas, para optimizar sus procesos, resultados e impactoesperados. Si tomamos como punto de partida que la evaluación implica contrastar unahipótesis de trabajo, la evaluación entonces revisa y demuestra la relación causal o cadenacausal propuesta en el diseño del programa. Esta secuencia lógica se encuentra definida enla relación establecida por el Programa entre insumos, actividades, productos y resultadosesperados...

Sistemas de salud locales: Análisis de la relación entre aseguramiento y mecanismos de contratación y pago en Córdoba, Salta y Tucumán / Local health systems: analysis of the relationship between insurance and contract and payment mechanisms in Cordoba, Salta and Tucuman

INTRODUCCIÓN: Los mecanismos de contratación y pago en salud generan un impacto diverso en la cantidad y calidad de los servicios médicos, en la transferencia de riesgo entre actores y en la eficiencia de la utilización de los recursos. OBJETIVO: Analizar la estructura del mercado de servicios de salud en las provincias de Córdoba, Salta y Tucumán durante los últimos cinco años. MÉTODO: Se consideraron las condiciones socio-económico-sanitarias locales, el marco institucional, la historia de los actores más relevantes del sector y las conductas adquiridas como respuesta a la estructura. La metodología incluyó un mapeo de los actores claves del sector salud cada provincia así como la administración de un cuestionario a una muestra de establecimientos públicos y privados de cada jurisdicción. RESULTADOS: Los ministerios de salud provinciales son los principales financiadores del sistema público de salud y el Instituto Nacional de Servicios Sociales para Jubilados y Pensionados (PAMI) y las obras sociales provinciales lo son del sistema privado. CONCLUSIONES: PAMI tiene una política nacional que lo torna menos flexible para contemplar las particularidades locales, mientras que las obras sociales provinciales se presentan como los actores idiosincrásicos, siendo más permeables a las demandas locales. En la medida en que el PAMI coordine con los ministerios y la obra social provincial, se podría converger a modelos más homogéneos de atención y mecanismos de pago, generando incentivos para una mayor eficiencia en la asignación de recursos y una mayor equidad en salud

INTRODUCTION: The contracting and payment mechanisms in health generate different impact on the quantity and quality of medical services, the transfer of risk among actors and the efficient use of resources. OBJECTIVES: To analyze the market structure of health services in the provinces of Cordoba, Salta and Tucuman during the past five years. We considered the local socioeconomic and health conditions, institutional framework, the history of the most relevant actors, and their behaviour in response to the structure. The methodology included a mapping of key actors in the health sector in each province and the administration of a questionnaire to a sample of local public and private health institutions. RESULTS: The results show that the provincial ministries of health are the primary funders of the public services and the national insurance for retired people (PAMI) and the provincial social insurances are the primary funders of the private system. CONCLUSION: PAMI has a national policy which makes it self less flexible to consider the local particularities,while the provincial social insurances present themselves as idiosyncratic actors, being more receptive to local demands. If PAMI were coordinated with the structure of the local social insurance and the ministries of health, it could beachieved homogeneous models of health care and payment mechanisms, generating incentives for a more efficient resources allocation and equity in health