Associations Between Social Determinants of Health and Cardiovascular Health of U.S. Adult Cancer Survivors.

Background: Relationships between the social determinants of health (SDOH) and cardiovascular health (CVH) of cancer survivors are underexplored. Objectives: This study sought to investigate associations between the SDOH and CVH of adult cancer survivors. Methods: Data from the U.S. National Health Interview Survey (2013-2017) were used. Participants reporting a history of cancer were included, excluding those with only nonmelanotic skin cancer, or with missing data for any domain of SDOH or CVH. SDOH was quantified with a 6-domain, 38-item score, consistent with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommendations (higher score indicated worse deprivation). CVH was quantified based on the American Heart Association's Life's Essential 8, but due to unavailable detailed dietary data, a 7-item CVH score was used, with a higher score indicating worse CVH. Survey-specific multivariable Poisson regression was used to test associations between SDOH quartiles and CVH. Results: Altogether, 8,254 subjects were analyzed, representing a population of 10,887,989 persons. Worse SDOH was associated with worse CVH (highest vs lowest quartile: risk ratio 1.30; 95% CI: 1.25-1.35; P < 0.001), with a grossly linear relationship between SDOH and CVH scores. Subgroup analysis found significantly stronger associations in younger participants (P interaction = 0.026) or women (P interaction = 0.001) but without significant interactions with race (P interaction = 0.051). Higher scores in all domains of SDOH were independently associated with worse CVH (all P < 0.001). Higher SDOH scores were also independently associated with each component of the CVH score (all P < 0.05 for highest SDOH quartile). Conclusions: An unfavorable SDOH profile was independently associated with worse CVH among adult cancer survivors in the United States.

Transcatheter closure of multiple coronary artery fistulas: a coronary computed tomography angiography-based anatomic classification.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to retrospectively analyze the anatomical characteristics and classification of multiple coronary artery fistulas (MCAFs), and to compare the outcomes of transcatheter closure between MCAFs and single fistulas. METHODS: All patients who underwent attempts at transcatheter closure of coronary artery fistulas (CAFs) at Fuwai Hospital from 2010 to 2023 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were categorized into single fistula and MCAFs groups, and anatomical characteristics and transcatheter closure outcomes were compared between the 2 groups. RESULTS: This retrospective study included 146 patients who underwent attempted transcatheter closure of CAFs, with a 14.38% failure rate. Among the 146 patients with CAFs, 32.19% were identified as having MCAFs, with types I, II, and III constituting 40.43%, 42.55%, and 17.02%, respectively. Unlike single fistulas, which predominantly originated from the right coronary artery and terminated in the left ventricle, MCAFs mainly had simultaneous origins from the right coronary artery and left anterior descending artery (29.79%), and predominantly drained into the pulmonary artery (70.21%), with a notable prevalence of plexus-like morphology (38.3% vs 2.02%, P < .001). The success rate of transcatheter closure was significantly lower for multiple fistulas compared with single fistula (64.29% vs 84.34%, P = .011). Multivariate regression analysis indicated that the risk of closure failure for MCAFs was 2.64 times that of single fistulas. CONCLUSIONS: MCAFs are common among CAFs and can be classified into 3 types based on the number and location of their origins and terminations. The risk of failure of transcatheter closure is significantly higher in MCAFs than in single fistulas.

Healthcare Resource Utilization Associated with Intermittent Oral Corticosteroid Prescribing Patterns in Asthma.

Purpose: Oral corticosteroid (OCS) use for asthma is associated with considerable healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and costs. However, no study has investigated this in relation to patterns of intermittent OCS prescription. Methods: This historical UK cohort study used primary care medical records, linked to Hospital Episode Statistics, from 2008 to 2019, of patients (≥4 years old) with asthma prescribed intermittent OCS. Patients were categorized by OCS prescribing pattern (one-off [single], less frequent [≥90-day gap] and frequent [<90-day gap]) and matched 1:1 (by sex, age and index date) with people never prescribed OCS with/without asthma. HCRU (reported as episodes, except for length of hospital stay [days] and any prescription [records]) and associated costs were compared between intermittent OCS and non-OCS cohorts, and among intermittent OCS prescribing patterns. Results: Of 149,191 eligible patients, 50.3% had one-off, 27.4% less frequent, and 22.3% frequent intermittent OCS prescribing patterns. Annualized non-respiratory HCRU rates were greater in the intermittent OCS versus non-OCS cohorts for GP visits (5.93 vs 4.70 episodes, p < 0.0001), hospital admissions (0.24 vs 0.16 episodes, p < 0.0001), and length of stay (1.87 vs 1.58 days, p < 0.0001). In the intermittent OCS cohort, rates were highest in the frequent prescribing group for GP visits (7.49 episodes; p < 0.0001 vs one-off), length of stay (2.15 days; p < 0.0001) and any prescription including OCS (25.22 prescriptions; p < 0.0001). Mean per-patient non-respiratory related and all-cause HCRU-related costs were higher with intermittent OCS than no OCS (£3902 vs £2722 and £8623 vs £4929, respectively), as were mean annualized costs (£565 vs £313 and £1526 vs £634, respectively). A dose-response relationship existed; HCRU-related costs were highest in the frequent prescribing cohort (p < 0.0001). Conclusion: Intermittent OCS use and more frequent intermittent OCS prescription patterns were associated with increased HCRU and associated costs. Improved asthma management is needed to reduce reliance on intermittent OCS in primary care.

Modifiable Lifestyle Risk Factors in Adult Survivors of Childhood Cancer: A Nationally Representative Study.

OBJECTIVE: Given the vulnerable health condition of adult childhood cancer survivors, it is essential that they develop positive health behaviors to minimize controllable health risks. Therefore, we evaluated if adult survivors of non-childhood cancer and childhood cancer differ in the odds of each modifiable risk factor compared with each other and compared with the general population. METHODS: This nationally representative study leveraged the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) sample from 2000 to 2018 and the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) sample from 2016 to 2021. Our study population included adults diagnosed with cancer when they were ≤14 years of age. Outcomes included physical activity, body mass index (BMI), current smoking, ever-smoking, alcohol use, and binge drinking. RESULTS: Insufficient physical activity was not statistically significant in the BRFSS, but in the NHIS, childhood cancer survivors had significantly more insufficient physical activity compared with non-childhood cancer survivors (aOR 1.29, P=0.038) and the general population (aOR 1.40, P=0.006). Childhood cancer survivors also had a higher likelihood of being significantly underweight (aOR 1.84, P=0.018) and having ever-smoked (aOR 1.42, P=0.001) compared with the general population in the NHIS. There was a significantly higher likelihood of smoking among childhood cancer survivors in the BRFSS (aOR 2.02, P=0.004). CONCLUSIONS: The likelihoods of many risky behaviors between adult childhood cancer survivors and general population controls were comparable, although rates of physical activity may be decreased, and rates of smoking may be increased among childhood cancer survivors. Targeted interventions are needed to promote healthy behaviors in this vulnerable population.

Control for multiple risk factors and incident heart failure and mortality in patients with diabetes mellitus: Insights from the Kailuan cohort study.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated the relationship between controlling multiple risk factors and diabetes-related heart failure and all-cause mortality, and the extent to which the excess risk can be reduced. METHODS: 17,676 patients with diabetes and 69,493 matched non-diabetic control subjects were included in the Kailuan study, with a median follow-up of 11.19 years. The risk factor control was defined by the attainment of target values for systolic blood pressure, body mass index, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, fasting blood glucose, high-sensitive C-reactive protein and smoking. Fine-Gray and Cox models were used to estimate associations between the degree of risk factor control and risk of heart failure and all-cause mortality respectively. RESULTS: Among diabetes patients, there was a gradual reduction in the risk of outcomes as the degree of risk factor control increased. For each additional risk factor that was controlled, there was an associated 16 % decrease in heart failure risk and a 10 % decrease in all-cause mortality risk. Among diabetes patients with ≥5 well-controlled risk factors, the adjusted hazard ratio compared to controls for heart failure and all-cause mortality was 1.25 (95 %CI: 0.99-1.56) and 1.17(95 %CI: 1.05-1.31) respectively. The protective effect of comprehensive risk factor control on the risk of heart failure was more pronounced in men and those using antihypertensive medications. CONCLUSIONS: Control for multiple risk factors is associated with reduced heart failure and all-cause mortality risks in a cumulative and sex-specific manner. However, despite optimization of risk factor control, diabetes patients still face increased risks compared to the general population.

Budesonide/Glycopyrrolate/Formoterol for the Management of COPD in a UK Primary Care Population: Real-World Use and Early Medication Success.

Purpose: Real-life research is needed to evaluate the effectiveness of budesonide/glycopyrrolate/formoterol (BGF) in routine COPD primary care management. We assessed the frequency of medication success among patients with COPD who initiated BGF using real-world data. Patients and Methods: Patients with a recorded diagnostic COPD code who started BGF with ≥2 prescriptions within 90-days were identified in the UK Optimum Patient Care Research Database and followed from first prescription until censoring at the end of follow-up (180-days), death, leaving database or end of data at 24/10/2022. The primary outcome was medication success at 90-days post-BGF initiation, defined as no major cardiac or respiratory event (ie no complicated COPD exacerbation, hospitalization for any respiratory event, myocardial infarction, new/hospitalized heart failure, and death) and no incidence of pneumonia. Medication success was also assessed at 180-days post-BGF initiation. Overall real-life medication success was claimed if the lower 95% confidence interval (CI) for the proportion of patients meeting the primary outcome was ≥70% (defined a priori). Results: Two hundred eighty-five patients were included. Prior to BGF initiation, these patients often had severe airflow obstruction (mean ppFEV1: 54.5%), were highly symptomatic (mMRC ≥2: 77.9% (n = 205/263); mean CAT score: 21.7 (SD 7.8)), with evidence of short-acting ß2-agonist (SABA) over-use (≥3 inhalers/year: 62.1%, n=179/285), repeat OCS prescriptions (≥2 courses/year: 33.0%, n = 95/285) and multiple primary care consultations (≥2 visits/year: 61.1%, n = 174/285). Overall, 39.6% of patients (n = 113/285) switched from previous triple therapies. Real-life medication success was achieved by 96.5% of patients (n = 275/285 [95% CI: 93.6, 98.3]) during 90-days treatment with BGF and by 91.8% (n = 169/184 [95% CI: 86.9, 95.4]) of patients at 180-days. The prescribed daily dose of SABA remained stable over the study period. Conclusion: The majority of patients initiating BGF experienced real-life medication success reflecting the absence of severe cardiopulmonary events. These benefits were apparent after 90-days of treatment and sustained over 180-days.

Effects of Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists on Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence After Catheter Ablation.

BACKGROUND: Relationship between glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1 RA) use prior to atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation and subsequent AF recurrence is not well-understood. OBJECTIVES: This study investigated the effects of GLP-1 RA use within 1 year before ablation and its association with AF recurrence and associated outcomes. METHODS: The TriNetX research database was used to identify patients aged ≥18 years undergoing AF ablation (2014-2023). Patients were categorized into 2 groups, and propensity score matching (1:1) between preablation GLP-1 RA users and nonusers was performed based on demographics, comorbidities, body mass index, laboratory tests, AF subtype, and medications. Primary outcome was composite of cardioversion, new antiarrhythmic drug therapy, or repeat AF ablation after a 3-month blanking period following the index ablation. Additional outcomes included ischemic stroke, all-cause hospitalization, and mortality during 12-month follow-up period. RESULTS: After 1:1 propensity score matching, the study cohort comprised 1,625 GLP-1 RA users and 1,625 matched GLP-1 RA nonusers. Preablation GLP-1 RA therapy was not associated with a lower risk of cardioversion, new AAD therapy, and repeat AF ablation after the index procedure (HR: 1.04 [95% CI: 0.92-1.19]; log-rank P = 0.51). Furthermore, the risk of ischemic stroke, all-cause hospitalization, and mortality during the 12-month follow-up period did not differ between the 2 groups. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that preprocedural use of GLP-1 RAs is not associated with a reduced risk of AF recurrence or associated adverse outcomes following ablation, and underscore the need for future research to determine whether these agents improve outcome in AF patients.

Cardiovascular adverse events associated with immune checkpoint inhibitors: A retrospective multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Over the past decade, immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have significantly transformed cancer treatment. However, ICIs inevitably may cause a spectrum of immune-related adverse events, among which cardiovascular toxicity, particularly myocarditis, while infrequent, has garnered increasing attention due to its high fatality rate. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter retrospective study to characterize ICI-associated cardiovascular adverse events. Logistic regression was performed to explore the risk factors for the development of myocarditis and severe myocarditis. Receiver operating characteristic curves were conducted to assess the diagnostic abilities of cardiac biomarkers to distinguish different cardiovascular toxicities, and the performance and calibration were evaluated using Hosmer-Lemeshow test. RESULTS: Forty-four patients were identified, including thirty-five myocarditis, five heart failure, three arrhythmias, and one myocardial infarction. Compared with other patients, myocarditis patients had higher cardiac troponin-I (cTnI) levels (p < 0.001), higher creatine kinase levels (p = 0.003), higher creatine kinase isoenzyme-MB (CK-MB) levels (p = 0.013), and shorter time to the incidence of adverse cardiovascular events (p = 0.022) after ICI treatment. Twenty-one patients (60%) were classified as severe myocarditis, and they presented higher cardiac troponin I (cTnI) levels (p = 0.013), higher N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels (p = 0.031), higher creatine kinase levels (p = 0.018), higher CK-MB levels (p = 0.026), and higher neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) levels (p = 0.016) compared to non-severe myocarditis patients after ICI treatment. Multivariate logistic regression showed that CK-MB (adjusted odds ratio [OR]: 1.775, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.055-2.984, p = 0.031) was the independent risk factor of the development of ICI-associated myocarditis, and cTnI (adjusted OR: 1.021, 95% CI: 1.002-1.039, p = 0.03) and NLR (adjusted OR: 1.890, 95% CI: 1.026-3.483, p = 0.041) were the independent risk factors of ICI-associated severe myocarditis. The receiver operating characteristic curve showed an area under curve of 0.785 (95% CI: 0.642 to 0.928, p = 0.013) for CK-MB, 0.765 (95% CI: 0.601 to 0.929, p = 0.013) for cTnI, and 0.773 for NLR (95% CI: 0.597 to 0.948, p = 0.016). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated CK-MB after ICI treatment is the independent risk factor for the incidence of ICI-associated myocarditis, and elevated cTnI and NLR after ICI treatment are the independent risk factors for the development of ICI-associated severe myocarditis. CK-MB, cTnI, and NLR demonstrated a promising predictive utility for the identification of ICI-associated myocarditis and severe myocarditis.

Cardiovascular health of patients with cancer: Challenges abound.

Patients with cancer have elevated cardiovascular risks compared to those without cancer. As cancer incidence increases and cancer-related mortality decreases, cardiovascular diseases in patients with a history of cancer will become increasingly important. This in turn is reflected by the exponentially increasing amount of cardio-oncology research in recent years. This narrative review aims to summarize the key existing literature in several main areas of cardio-oncology, including the epidemiology, natural history, prevention, management, and determinants of the cardiovascular health of patients with cancer, and identify relevant gaps in evidence for further research.

Risk factors and outcomes of pericardial effusion in cancer patients receiving PD-1 inhibitors.

BACKGROUND: Programmed cell death 1 (PD-1) inhibitors can induce various adverse reactions associated with immunity, of which cardiotoxicity is a serious complication. Limited research exists on the link between PD-1 inhibitor use and pericardial effusion (PE) occurrence and outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study at the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from 2017 to 2019, comparing cancer patients who developed PE within 2 years after PD-1 inhibitor therapy to those who did not. Our primary outcome was the all-cause mortality rate at one year. We applied the Kaplan-Meier method for survival analysis. Multivariate logistic regression was utilized to identify PE risk factors, adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: A total of 91 patients were finally included, of whom 39 patients had PE. Compared to non-PE group, one-year all-cause mortality was nearly 5 times higher in PE group (64.10% vs. 13.46%, P < 0.001). Patients who developed PE within 2 years of taking PD-1 inhibitors were significantly associated with increased all-cause mortality compared with those who did not (HR: 6.26, 95%CI: 2.70-14.53, P < 0.001). Multivariable logistic regression showed that use of sintilimab (OR: 14.568, 95%CI: 3.431-61.857, P < 0.001), history of lung cancer (OR: 15.360, 95%CI: 3.276-72.017, P = 0.001), and history of hypocalcemia (OR: 7.076, 95%CI: 1.879-26.649, P = 0.004) were independent risk factors of PE development in patients received PD-1 inhibitors therapy. CONCLUSIONS: In cancer patients receiving PD-1 inhibitors, PE was associated with higher one-year mortality. Use of sintilimab, and history of lung cancer or hypocalcemia were linked to PE occurrence.

The modified Rajan's heart failure risk score predicts all-cause mortality in patients hospitalized for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction: a retrospective cohort study.

Background: The dimensionless Rajan's heart failure (R-hf) risk score was proposed to predict all-cause mortality in patients hospitalized with chronic heart failure (HF) and reduced ejection fraction (EF) (HFrEF). Purpose: To examine the association between the modified R-hf risk score and all-cause mortality in patients with HFrEF. Methods: Retrospective cohort study included adults hospitalized with HFrEF, as defined by clinical symptoms of HF with biplane EF less than 40% on transthoracic echocardiography, at a tertiary centre in Dalian, China, between 1 November 2015, and 31 October 2019. All patients were followed up until 31 October 2020. A modified R-hf risk score was calculated by substituting brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) for N-terminal prohormone of BNP (NT-proBNP) using EF× estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)× haemoglobin (Hb))/BNP. The patients were stratified into tertiles according to the R-hf risk score. The measured outcome was all-cause mortality. The score performance was assessed using C-statistics. Results: A total of 840 patients were analyzed (70.2% males; mean age, 64±14 years; median (interquartile range) follow-up 37.0 (27.8) months). A lower modified R-hf risk score predicted a higher risk of all-cause mortality, independent of sex and age [1st tertile vs. 3rd tertile: adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 3.46; 95% CI: 2.11-5.67; P<0.001]. Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that a lower modified R-hf risk score was associated with increased cumulative all-cause mortality [univariate: (1st tertile vs. 3rd tertile: aHR, 3.45; 95% CI: 2.11-5.65; P<0.001) and multivariate: (1st tertile vs. 3rd tertile: aHR 2.21, 95% CI: 1.29-3.79; P=0.004)]. The performance of the model, as reported by C-statistic was 0.67 (95% CI: 0.62-0.72). Conclusion: The modified R-hf risk score predicted all-cause mortality in patients hospitalized with HFrEF. Further validation of the modified R-hf risk score in other cohorts of patients with HFrEF is needed before clinical application.

Longitudinal patterns of intermittent oral corticosteroid therapy for asthma in the United Kingdom.

Background: Increasing frequency of intermittent oral corticosteroid (OCS) prescription and cumulative OCS exposure increase the risk of OCS-related adverse outcomes. Objective: We sought to describe the evolution and trajectory of intermittent OCS prescription patterns in patients with asthma and investigate risk factors independently associated with transitioning to a frequent prescription pattern. Methods: This historical cohort study included patients with active asthma managed in UK primary care and included in the Optimum Patient Care Research Database (OPCRD; opcrd.co.uk). Intermittent OCS prescription patterns were categorized as sporadic, infrequent, moderately frequent, or frequent. Prescription pattern sequences were described for those who had a frequent sequence in their final year of prescribing. We examined associations between OCS prescription pattern and the hazard of transitioning into a frequent intermittent OCS prescription pattern using multivariable Cox regression with a 10-year look-back period. Results: Of 105,229 patients with intermittent OCS prescriptions, 57.1% (n = 60,083) had a frequent OCS prescription pattern at some point. Irrespective of baseline pattern, most patients transitioned to frequent prescription during the look back. The strongest risk factors were a more frequent prescription pattern at the start of look-back period, a lower percentage peak expiratory flow rate, and higher Global Initiative for Asthma treatment step. Older age, female sex, obesity, and active smoking were also associated with a higher risk of transitioning. Conclusion: Our findings help identify those most at risk of transitioning to frequent intermittent OCS receipt and encourage earlier intervention with OCS-sparing treatments.

Hemodynamics, anatomy, and outcomes of quadricuspid aortic valves: Multimodality imaging assessment.

BACKGROUND: Quadricuspid aortic valve (QAV) is a rare congenital heart disease with a limited body of literature. This retrospective cohort study investigates QAV morphology, function, and clinical outcomes. METHODS: Echocardiography was used to assess valvular function. Morphological characteristics such as phenotypes, raphe, regurgitant orifice area (ROA), and aortic dilation (diameter >40 â€‹mm) were assessed by cardiac CT. Patients were followed up for the combined event of all-cause death and aortic valve replacement (AVR). RESULTS: Ninety QAV patients (screened from 322385 CT scans) were included (mean age 55.2 â€‹± â€‹13.6 years, 61.1 â€‹% male). Isolated significant aortic regurgitation (AR) was present in 75.6 â€‹% of patients. The cohort was dominated by type I (four equal leaflets, 37.8 â€‹%) and type II (3 larger and 1 smaller leaflets, 42.2 â€‹%) QAV. Fused raphe was present in 26.7 â€‹% of patients. ROACT was correlated with AR severity and aortic dilation (41.1 â€‹%, n â€‹= â€‹37). Among patients without AVR at baseline (n â€‹= â€‹60), one died and 17 underwent AVR during a median follow-up of 35.0 months (IQR:17.3-62.8). ROACT was associated with an increasing risk of combined event (as a categorical variable with a cut-off of 21.4 â€‹mm2, HR â€‹= â€‹4.25, 95%CI 1.49-12.17, p â€‹= â€‹0.007; as a continuous variable (per mm2 increment), HR â€‹= â€‹1.04, 95%CI 1.01-1.07, p â€‹= â€‹0.003). Additionally, ROACT had incremental prognostic value when added to the AR severity model (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve increased from 86.8 to 88.4, p â€‹= â€‹0.004). CONCLUSION: QAV is characterized by variable anatomy, progressive AR, concomitant cusp fusion and aortic enlargement. ROACT may be a potential ancillary prognostic marker in patients with QAV.

Exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation for left ventricular function in patients with heart failure: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIMS: To evaluate the effect of exercise rehabilitation on the left ventricular (LV) function in patients with heart failure (HF). METHODS: PubMed, Cochrane Library and Embase were searched until May 2023. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) providing data on changes in LV function, comparing exercise to no-exercise controls with HF of any type, were included. RESULTS: A total of 16 studies including 1443 participants were included. LV end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD) was significantly improved in the exercise group [mean differences (MD), -2.67; 95 % confidence interval (CI) (-4.88, -0.46); P=0.02], but left atrial volume index (LAVI), left ventricular end-systolic diameter (LVESD), E/e' E/A, end-diastolic volume (EDV), end-systolic volume (ESV), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and LV mass were unaltered compared to the non-exercise group. High intensity interval training (HIIT) or with moderate exercise (MT) led to improvement in LVEDD [MD, 3.62; 95 %CI (2.55, 4.69); P<0.00001], but not LAVI, E/e' and E/A. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses showed that the location, the type of HF and study duration may be the source of heterogeneity in LVEF. Age appears to be a source of heterogeneity in EDV and ESV. The Egger test indicated no significant publication bias. CONCLUSIONS: Exercise can partially improve LV function in patients with HF, with improvements appearing to be dependent on study quality, the type of HF, and race. However, there are some indicators that do not seem to improve or are even worse than the control group. Among all exercise modalities, HIIT shows the greatest benefit for HF patients.

Initiation of warfarin is associated with decreased mortality in patients with infective endocarditis: A population-based cohort study.

IMPORTANCE: The use of warfarin to prevent thromboembolism in patients with infective endocarditis (IE) remains controversial due to potentially increased bleeding risks. DESIGN: Population-based retrospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Patients aged 18 or older and diagnosed with IE in Hong Kong between January 1st, 1997 and August 31st, 2020 were included. Patients with use of any anticoagulant 30 days before IE diagnosis were excluded. Patients initiated on warfarin within 14 days of IE diagnosis and patients without warfarin use were matched for baseline characteristics using 1:1 propensity score matching. EXPOSURE: Warfarin use within 14 days of IE diagnosis. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Patients were followed up to 90 days for the outcomes of ischemic stroke, all-cause mortality, intracranial hemorrhage, and gastrointestinal bleeding. Cox regression was used to determine hazard ratios (HRs) [95 % confidence intervals (CIs)] between treatment groups. Fine-Gray competing risk regression with all-cause mortality as the competing event was performed as a sensitivity analysis. In addition to 90-day analyses, landmark analyses were performed at 30 days of follow-up. RESULTS: The matched cohort consisted of 675 warfarin users (57.0 % male, age 59 ± 16 years) and 675 warfarin non-users (53.5 % male, age 61 ± 19 years). Warfarin users had a 50 % decreased 90-day risk in all-cause mortality (HR:0.50 [0.39-0.65]), without significantly different 90-day risks of ischemic stroke (HR:1.04 [0.70-1.53]), intracranial hemorrhage (HR:1.25 [0.77-2.04]), and gastrointestinal bleeding (HR:1.04 [0.60-1.78]). Thirty-day landmark analysis showed similar results. Competing risk regression showed significantly higher 30-day cumulative incidence of intracranial hemorrhage in warfarin users (sub-HR:3.34 [1.34-8.31]), but not at 90-day (sub-HR:1.63 [0.95-2.81]). Results from Fine-Gray regression were otherwise congruent with those from Cox regression. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Warfarin initiated within 14 days of IE diagnosis was associated with significantly decreased risks of mortality but higher risks of intracranial hemorrhage, with similar risks of ischemic stroke and gastrointestinal bleeding, compared with non-use of warfarin with 14 days of IE diagnosis. KEY POINTS: Question: Is warfarin, initiated within 14 days of a diagnosis of infective endocarditis (IE), efficacious and safe? FINDINGS: In this propensity score-matched, population-based, prospective cohort study from Hong Kong, warfarin use within 14 days of IE diagnosis was associated with a 50 % decrease in the risk of all-cause mortality, albeit with higher risk of intracranial hemorrhage, and without significant differences in the risk of ischaemic stroke and gastrointestinal bleeding. Meaning: In patients with IE, warfarin use within 14 days of diagnosis may have mortality benefits, despite increased risks of intracranial hemorrhage.

Healthcare Big Data in Hong Kong: Development and Implementation of Artificial Intelligence-Enhanced Predictive Models for Risk Stratification.

Routinely collected electronic health records (EHRs) data contain a vast amount of valuable information for conducting epidemiological studies. With the right tools, we can gain insights into disease processes and development, identify the best treatment and develop accurate models for predicting outcomes. Our recent systematic review has found that the number of big data studies from Hong Kong has rapidly increased since 2015, with an increasingly common application of artificial intelligence (AI). The advantages of big data are that i) the models developed are highly generalisable to the population, ii) multiple outcomes can be determined simultaneously, iii) ease of cross-validation by for model training, development and calibration, iv) huge numbers of useful variables can be analyzed, v) static and dynamic variables can be analyzed, vi) non-linear and latent interactions between variables can be captured, vii) artificial intelligence approaches can enhance the performance of prediction models. In this paper, we will provide several examples (cardiovascular disease, diabetes mellitus, Brugada syndrome, long QT syndrome) to illustrate efforts from a multi-disciplinary team to identify data from different modalities to develop models using territory-wide datasets, with the possibility of real-time risk updates by using new data captured from patients. The benefit is that only routinely collected data are required for developing highly accurate and high-performance models. AI-driven models outperform traditional models in terms of sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, area under the receiver operating characteristic and precision-recall curve, and F1 score. Web and/or mobile versions of the risk models allow clinicians to risk stratify patients quickly in clinical settings, thereby enabling clinical decision-making. Efforts are required to identify the best ways of implementing AI algorithms on the web and mobile apps.

Major adverse cardiovascular events of enzalutamide versus abiraterone in prostate cancer: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: While the cardiovascular risks of androgen receptor pathway inhibitors have been studied, they were seldom compared directly. This study compares the risks of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) between enzalutamide and abiraterone among prostate cancer (PCa) patients. METHODS: Adult PCa patients receiving either enzalutamide or abiraterone in addition to androgen deprivation therapy in Hong Kong between 1 December 1999 and 31 March 2021 were identified in this retrospective cohort study. Patients who switched between enzalutamide and abiraterone, initiated abiraterone used without steroids, or experienced prior cardiac events were excluded. Patients were followed-up until 30 September 2021. The primary outcomes were MACE, a composite of stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), Heart failure (HF), or all-cause mortality and a composite of adverse cardiovascular events (CACE) not including all-cause mortality. The secondary outcomes were individual components of MACE. Inverse probability treatment weighting was used to balance covariates between treatment groups. RESULTS: In total, 1015 patients were analyzed (456 enzalutamide users and 559 abiraterone users; mean age 70.6 ± 8.8 years old) over a median follow-up duration of 11.3 (IQR: 5.3-21.3) months. Enzalutamide users had significantly lower risks of 4P-MACE (weighted hazard ratio (wHR) 0.71 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.59-0.86], p < 0.001) and CACE (wHR 0.63 [95% CI: 0.42-0.96], p = 0.031), which remained consistent in multivariable analysis. Such an association may be stronger in patients aged ≥65 years or without diabetes mellitus and was independent of bilateral orchidectomy. Enzalutamide users also had significantly lower risks of MI (wHR 0.57 [95% CI: 0.33-0.97], p = 0.040) and all-cause mortality (wHR 0.71 [95% CI: 0.59-0.85], p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Enzalutamide was associated with lower cardiovascular risks than abiraterone in PCa patients.