Meta-analysis: Prevalence and impact of alcohol abstinence in alcohol-associated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Although alcohol abstinence may be an effective intervention for alcohol-associated cirrhosis, its association with prognosis has not been systematically assessed or quantified. AIMS: To determine the prevalence of alcohol abstinence, factors associated with alcohol abstinence and the impact of abstinence on morbidity and overall survival in people with alcohol-associated cirrhosis. METHODS: We searched Medline and Embase from inception to 15 April 2023 for prospective and retrospective cohort studies describing alcohol abstinence in people with known alcohol-associated cirrhosis. Meta-analysis of proportions for pooled estimates was performed. The method of inverse variance, employing a random-effects model, was used to pool the hazard ratio (HR) comparing outcomes of abstinent against non-abstinent individuals with alcohol-associated cirrhosis. RESULTS: We included 19 studies involving 18,833 people with alcohol-associated cirrhosis. The prevalence of alcohol abstinence was 53.8% (CI: 44.6%-62.7%). Over a mean follow-up duration of 48.6 months, individuals who continued to consume alcohol had significantly lower overall survival compared to those who were abstinent (HR: 0.611, 95% CI: 0.506-0.738). These findings remained consistent in sensitivity/subgroup analysis for the presence of decompensation, study design and studies that assessed abstinence throughout follow-up. Alcohol abstinence was associated with a significantly lower risk of hepatic decompensation (HR: 0.612, 95% CI: 0.473-0.792). CONCLUSIONS: Alcohol abstinence is associated with substantial improvement in overall survival in alcohol-associated cirrhosis. However, only half of the individuals with known alcohol-associated cirrhosis are abstinent.

Rising global burden of cancer attributable to high BMI from 2010 to 2019.

BACKGROUND: High body mass index (BMI) is a major risk factor for cancer development, but its impact on the global burden of cancer remains unclear. METHODS: We estimated global and regional temporal trends in the burden of cancer attributable to high BMI, and the contributions of various cancer types using the framework of the Global Burden of Disease Study. RESULTS: From 2010 to 2019, there was a 35 % increase in deaths and a 34 % increase in disability-adjusted life-years from cancers attributable to high BMI. The age-standardized death rates for cancer attributable to high BMI increased over the study period (annual percentage change [APC] +0.48 %, 95 % CI 0.22 to 0.74 %). The greatest number of deaths from cancer attributable to high BMI occurred in Europe, but the fastest-growing age-standardized death rates and disability-adjusted life-years occurred in Southeast Asia. Liver cancer was the fastest-growing cause of cancer mortality (APC: 1.37 %, 95 % CI 1.25 to 1.49 %) attributable to high BMI. CONCLUSION: The global burden of cancer-related deaths attributable to high BMI has increased substantially from 2010 to 2019. The greatest increase in age-standardized death rates occurred in Southeast Asia, and liver cancer is the fastest-growing cause of cancer mortality attributable to high BMI. Urgent and sustained measures are required at a global and regional level to reverse these trends and slow the growing burden of cancer attributed to high BMI.

Proton Pump Inhibitors Increases Longitudinal Risk of Mortality, Decompensation, and Infection in Cirrhosis: A Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) are frequently prescribed to cirrhotic patients, but there is limited longitudinal evidence regarding their effects. This study aimed to assess the impact of PPIs on adverse events in cirrhotic patients. METHODS: A comprehensive search was conducted using the Medline and Embase databases to identify relevant articles. Pooled hazard ratios (HRs) using DerSimonian and Laird random-effects model were calculated to evaluate the risk of adverse events such as long-term mortality, hepatic decompensation, hepatic encephalopathy (HE), spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP), and overall infection in cirrhotic patients with PPI use. RESULTS: The analysis included 28 studies with 260,854 cirrhotic patients. The prevalence of PPI use among cirrhotic patients was 55.93%. The use of PPIs was not significantly associated with short-term mortality in cirrhotic patients. However, long-term mortality (HR 1.321, 95% CI 1.103-1.581, P = 0.002), decompensation (HR 1.646, 95% CI 1.477-1.835, P < 0.001), HE (HR 1.968, 95% CI 1.372-2.822, P < 0.001), SBP (HR 1.751, 95% CI 1.649-1.859, P < 0.001), and infection (HR 1.370, 95% CI 1.148-1.634, P < 0.001) were significantly associated with PPI use. Sensitivity analysis with prospective studies yielded similar results. CONCLUSION: PPIs should be reserved for appropriate indications at lowest effective dose for cirrhotic patients due to the potential harm.

Impact of Pretransplant Diabetes on Outcomes After Liver Transplantation: An Updated Meta-analysis With Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND: Preliver transplant diabetes mellitus (pre-LT DM) is a common comorbidity in LT recipients associated with poorer post-transplant survival. However, its relationship with other important outcomes, including cardiovascular and renal outcomes, remains unclear. This meta-analysis aims to provide an updated analysis of the impact of pre-LT DM on key post-LT outcomes. METHODS: A search was conducted in Medline and Embase databases for articles comparing the post-transplant outcomes between patients with and without pre-LT DM. Pairwise analysis using random effects with hazard ratios (HRs) was used to assess the longitudinal post-LT impacts of pre-LT DM. In the absence of HR, pooled odds ratios analysis was conducted for secondary outcomes. RESULTS: Forty-two studies involving 77,615 LT recipients were included in this analysis. The pooled prevalence of pre-LT DM amongst LT recipients was 24.79%. Pre-LT DM was associated with significantly lower overall survival (HR, 0.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.52-0.81; P<0.01) and significantly increased cardiovascular disease-related mortality (HR, 1.78; 95% confidence interval, 1.11-2.85; P=0.03). Meta-regression of other patient characteristics identified Asian ethnicity and hypertension to be significant predictors of worse overall survival, whereas African-American ethnicity was associated with significantly improved overall survival in patients with pre-LT DM. Further analysis of secondary outcomes revealed pre-LT DM to be a significant predictor of post-LT cardiovascular events and end-stage renal disease. CONCLUSIONS: The present study illustrates the impact of pre-LT DM on post-LT survival, and cardiovascular and renal outcomes and provides a sound basis for revision of preoperative management of pre-LT DM.

Global prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in type 2 diabetes mellitus: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the leading cause of chronic liver disease, with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) as a major predictor. Insulin resistance and chronic inflammation are key pathways in the pathogenesis of T2DM leading to NAFLD and vice versa, with the synergistic effect of NAFLD and T2DM increasing morbidity and mortality risks. This meta-analysis aims to quantify the prevalence of NAFLD and the prevalence of clinically significant and advanced fibrosis in people with T2DM. METHODS: MEDLINE and Embase databases were searched from inception until 13 February 2023. The primary outcomes were the prevalence of NAFLD, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and fibrosis in people with T2DM. A generalised linear mixed model with Clopper-Pearson intervals was used for the analysis of proportions with sensitivity analysis conducted to explore heterogeneity between studies. RESULTS: 156 studies met the inclusion criteria, and a pooled analysis of 1 832 125 patients determined that the prevalence rates of NAFLD and NASH in T2DM were 65.04% (95% CI 61.79% to 68.15%, I2=99.90%) and 31.55% (95% CI 17.12% to 50.70%, I2=97.70%), respectively. 35.54% (95% CI 19.56% to 55.56%, I2=100.00%) of individuals with T2DM with NAFLD had clinically significant fibrosis (F2-F4), while 14.95% (95% CI 11.03% to 19.95%, I2=99.00%) had advanced fibrosis (F3-F4). CONCLUSION: This study determined a high prevalence of NAFLD, NASH and fibrosis in people with T2DM. Increased efforts are required to prevent T2DM to combat the rising burden of NAFLD. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42022360251.

Ethnic disparities in waitlist outcomes of patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis listed for liver transplantation in the US.

NASH is the fastest-growing cause of liver cirrhosis and is the leading indication for liver transplantation (LT). However, significant racial and ethnic disparities in waitlist outcomes and LT allocation may unfairly disadvantage minorities. Our aim was to characterize racial and ethnic disparities in waitlist mortality and transplantation probability among patients with NASH. This is a retrospective analysis of the United Network for Organ Sharing registry data of LT candidates from January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2021. Outcomes analysis was performed using competing risk analysis with the Fine and Gray model. The multivariable adjustment was conducted, and mixed-effect regression was used to compare the model for end-stage liver disease scores at listing and removal. Of 18,562 patients with NASH cirrhosis, there were 14,834 non-Hispanic Whites, 349 African Americans, 2798 Hispanics, 312 Asians, and 269 of other races/ethnicities; African American (effect size: 2.307, 95% CI: 1.561-3.053, and p < 0.001) and Hispanic (effect size: 0.332, 95% CI: 0.028-0.637, p = 0.032) patients were found to have a significantly higher model for end-stage liver disease scores at the time of listing than non-Hispanic Whites. African Americans had a higher probability of receiving LT relative to non-Hispanic Whites (subdistribution HR: 1.211, 95% CI: 1.051-1.396, and p = 0.008). However, Hispanic race/ethnicity was associated with a lower transplantation probability (subdistribution HR: 0.793, 95% CI: 0.747-0.842, and p < 0.001) and increased waitlist mortality (subdistribution HR: 1.173, CI: 1.052-1.308, and p = 0.004) compared with non-Hispanic Whites. There are significant racial and ethnic disparities in waitlist outcomes of patients with NASH in the US. Hispanic patients are less likely to receive LT and more likely to die while on the waitlist compared with non-Hispanic Whites despite being listed with a lower model for end-stage liver disease scores.

The Past, Present, and Future of Noninvasive Test in Chronic Liver Diseases.

Chronic liver disease is a major global health threat and is the 11th leading cause of death globally. A liver biopsy is frequently required in assessing the degree of steatosis and fibrosis, information that is important in diagnosis, management, and prognostication. However, liver biopsies have limitations and carry a considerable risk, leading to the development of various modalities of noninvasive testing tools. These tools have been developed in recent years and have improved markedly in diagnostic accuracy. Moving forward, they may change the practice of hepatology.

Safety and tolerability of obeticholic acid in chronic liver disease: a pooled analysis of 1878 individuals.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Obeticholic acid (OCA) is a farnesoid X receptor agonist used in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) treatment. Recent studies have expanded OCA use for NASH treatment and results from phase 3 clinical trial have shown beneficial reduction of ≥1 stage of fibrosis with no NASH worsening. However, safety concerns still preside, thus we systematically examine the safety profile of OCA in chronic liver disease. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A search was conducted in Medline and Embase databases for OCA randomized controlled trials in chronic liver disease. Binary events were pooled with Paule-Mandel random effects model and proportional events were examined in a generalized linear mixed model with Clopper-Pearson intervals. RESULTS: A total of 8 studies and 1878 patients were analyzed. There was a 75% [risk ratio (RR): 1.75, 95% CI: 1.43-2.15, p < 0.01] increased pruritis risk. OCA increased constipation incidence (RR: 1.88, 95% CI: 1.45-2.43, p < 0.01), decreased diarrhea (RR: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.50-0.77, p < 0.01), and increased development of hyperlipidemia (RR: 2.69, 95% CI: 1.85-3.92, p < 0.01) relative to placebo. Sensitivity analysis in NASH-only studies found a dose-dependent effect with pruritis which increases to RR: 3.07 (95% CI: 1.74-5.41) at 25 mg. However, up to 9.98% (95% CI: 5.01%-18.89%) of NAFLD patients with placebo similarly experience pruritis events. Overall, 16.55% (95% CI: 6.47%-36.24%) of patients with NAFLD on OCA experienced pruritis. There was no significant increase in cardiovascular events. CONCLUSIONS: OCA may represent the first pharmacological treatment approved for NASH. However, pruritis, constipation, diarrhea, and hyperlipidemia were major events with evident dose-dependent effect that affect tolerability in NASH. Future long-term studies for longitudinal safety events are required.

Meta-analysis: Chemoprevention of hepatocellular carcinoma with statins, aspirin and metformin.

BACKGROUND: Emerging data suggest that statins, aspirin and metformin may protect against hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development. However, prior meta-analyses were limited by heterogeneity and inclusion of studies without adequate adjustment for baseline risks. AIM: To examine by an updated meta-analysis the association between these medications and HCC risk. METHODS: Medline and Embase databases were searched from inception to March 2022 for studies that balanced baseline risks between study groups via propensity score matching or inverse probability of treatment weighting, that reported the impact of statins, aspirin or metformin on HCC risk. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for HCC were pooled using a random effects model. RESULTS: Statin use was associated with reduced HCC risk overall (HR: 0.52; 95% CI: 0.37-0.72) (10 studies, 1,774,476), and in subgroup analyses for cirrhosis, hepatitis B/C, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, studies accounting for concurrent aspirin and metformin consumption and lipophilic statins. Aspirin use was associated with reduced HCC risk overall (HR: 0.48; 95% CI: 0.27-0.87) (11 studies, 2,190,285 patients) but not in studies accounting for concurrent statin and metformin use. Metformin use was not associated with reduced HCC risk overall (HR: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.31-1.06) (3 studies, 125,458 patients). Most analyses had moderate/substantial heterogeneity, except in follow-up <60 months for aspirin (I2  = 0%). CONCLUSION: Although statin and aspirin use were associated with reduced HCC risk, only statin use was significant in subgroup analyses accounting for concurrent medications. Metformin use was not associated with reduced HCC risk. These data have implications for future clinical trial design.

The Spectrum and Impact of Metabolic Dysfunction in MAFLD: A Longitudinal Cohort Analysis of 32,683 Overweight and Obese Individuals.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) was recently proposed as an alternative name change for better encapsulation of disease. However, there exists a spectrum of MAFLD where both metabolically healthy (MH) and metabolically unhealthy (MU) individuals are included. In view of limited evidence, we sought to examine the prevalence, clinical characteristics, and differences in outcomes of MH-MAFLD at the population level. METHODS: Data were used from the United States National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999 to 2018. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to obtain odds ratios for the estimation of events. Survival analysis was conducted with Cox regression and the Fine-Gray subdistribution model. RESULTS: There were 32,683 overweight and obese individuals included in the analysis. In MAFLD patients, the prevalence of MH-MAFLD was 6.92% (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.58%-7.27%), and 93.08% (95% CI, 92.73%-93.42%) were considered as MU-MAFLD. Multivariate analysis found a significantly higher risk of MACE (odds ratio, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.28-1.49; P < .01), all-cause (hazard ratio, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.17-1.32; P < .01), cardiovascular disease (SHR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.02-1.42; P = .03), and cancer mortality (SHR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.07-1.44; P < .01) in MU-MAFLD relative to non-MAFLD. However, MH-MAFLD individuals were not associated with a statistically significant increased risk of these adverse outcomes compared with non-MAFLD. MU-MAFLD diabetics were also at a higher risk of adverse events compared with non-diabetics. CONCLUSIONS: This study reports on the heterogeneity and spectrum of metabolic dysfunction that exists in overweight and obese MAFLD. Although MAFLD may potentially be advantageous in improving awareness and patient outcomes, there remains substantial heterogeneity within patients included in MAFLD on the basis of the underlying metabolic burden.

DEXA Scan Body Fat Mass Distribution in Obese and Non-Obese Individuals and Risk of NAFLD-Analysis of 10,865 Individuals.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease worldwide yet predicting non-obese NAFLD is challenging. Thus, this study investigates the potential of regional fat percentages obtained by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) in accurately assessing NAFLD risk. Using the United States National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2011−2018, multivariate logistic regression and marginal analysis were conducted according to quartiles of regional fat percentages, stratified by gender. A total of 23,752 individuals were analysed. Males generally showed a larger increase in marginal probabilities of NAFLD development than females, except in head fat, which had the highest predictive probabilities of non-obese NAFLD in females (13.81%, 95%CI: 10.82−16.79) but the lowest in males (21.89%, 95%CI: 20.12−23.60). Increased percent of trunk fat was the strongest predictor of both non-obese (OR: 46.61, 95%CI: 33.55−64.76, p < 0.001) and obese NAFLD (OR: 2.93, 95%CI: 2.07−4.15, p < 0.001), whereas raised percent gynoid and leg fat were the weakest predictors. Ectopic fat deposits are increased in patients with non-obese NAFLD, with greater increases in truncal fat over gynoid fat. As increased fat deposits in all body regions can increase odds of NAFLD, therapeutic intervention to decrease ectopic fat, particularly truncal fat, may decrease NAFLD risk.

Historical Changes in Weight Classes and the Influence of NAFLD Prevalence: A Population Analysis of 34,486 Individuals.

Background: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease globally in tandem with the growing obesity epidemic. However, there is a lack of data on the relationship between historical weight changes 10 years ago and at present on NAFLD prevalence at the population level. Therefore, we sought to evaluate the relationship between weight classes and the prevalence of NAFLD. Methods: Data were used from the United States National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999 to 2018. Univariate and multivariate general linear model analyses were used to obtain risk ratio (RR) estimations of NAFLD events. Results: In total, 34,486 individuals were analysed, with those who were lean at both time points as the control group. Overweight (RR: 14.73, 95%CI: 11.94 to 18.18, p < 0.01) or obese (RR: 31.51, 95%CI: 25.30 to 39.25, p < 0.01) individuals at both timepoints were more likely to develop NAFLD. Residual risk exists where previously obese individuals became overweight (RR: 14.72, 95%CI: 12.36 to 17.52, p < 0.01) or lean (RR: 2.46, 95%CI: 1.40 to 4.31, p = 0.02), and previously overweight individuals who became lean (RR 2.24, 95%CI 1.42 to 3.54, p = 0.01) had persistent elevated risk of developing NAFLD despite weight regression. Sensitivity analysis identified that a higher proportion of individuals with regression in weight class were diabetics and Mexican Americans, while fewer African Americans saw weight-class regression. Conclusions: Residual risk exists in patients who lost weight despite the smaller magnitude of effect, and targeted weight reductions should still be used to mitigate the risk of NAFLD at the population level.