W-WaveNet: A multi-site water quality prediction model incorporating adaptive graph convolution and CNN-LSTM.

Water quality prediction is of great significance in pollution control, prevention, and management. Deep learning models have been applied to water quality prediction in many recent studies. However, most existing deep learning models for water quality prediction are used for single-site data, only considering the time dependency of water quality data and ignoring the spatial correlation among multi-sites. This research defines and analyzes the non-aligned spatial correlations that exist in multi-site water quality data. Then deploy spatial-temporal graph convolution to process water quality data, which takes into account both the temporal and spatial correlation of multi-site water quality data. A multi-site water pollution prediction method called W-WaveNet is proposed that integrates adaptive graph convolution and Convolutional Neural Network, Long Short-Term Memory (CNN-LSTM). It integrates temporal and spatial models by interleaved stacking. Theoretical analysis shows that the method can deal with non-aligned spatial correlations in different time spans, which is suitable for water quality data processing. The model validates water quality data generated on two real river sections that have multiple sites. The experimental results were compared with the results of Support Vector Regression, CNN-LSTM, and Spatial-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks (STGCN). It shows that when W-WaveNet predicts water quality over two river sections, the average Mean Absolute Error is 0.264, which is 45.2% lower than the commonly used CNN-LSTM model and 23.8% lower than the STGCN. The comparison experiments also demonstrate that W-WaveNet has a more stable performance in predicting longer sequences.

Coronary heart disease prediction method fusing domain-adaptive transfer learning with graph convolutional networks (GCN).

Graph convolutional networks (GCNs) have achieved impressive results in many medical scenarios involving graph node classification tasks. However, there are difficulties in transfer learning for graph representation learning and graph network models. Most GNNs work only in a single domain and cannot transfer the learned knowledge to other domains. Coronary Heart Disease (CHD) is a high-mortality disease, and there are non-public and significant differences in CHD datasets for current research, which makes it difficult to perform unified transfer learning. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a novel adversarial domain-adaptive multichannel graph convolutional network (DAMGCN) that can perform graph transfer learning on cross-domain tasks to achieve cross-domain medical knowledge transfer on different CHD datasets. First, we use a two-channel GCN model for feature aggregation using local consistency and global consistency. Then, a uniform node representation is generated for different graphs using an attention mechanism. Finally, we provide a domain adversarial module to decrease the discrepancies between the source and target domain classifiers and optimize the three loss functions in order to accomplish source and target domain knowledge transfer. The experimental findings demonstrate that our model performs best on three CHD datasets, and its performance is greatly enhanced by graph transfer learning.

Study of the influence of meteorological factors on HFMD and prediction based on the LSTM algorithm in Fuzhou, China.

BACKGROUND: This study adopted complete meteorological indicators, including eight items, to explore their impact on hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in Fuzhou, and predict the incidence of HFMD through the long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network algorithm of artificial intelligence. METHOD: A distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to analyse the influence of meteorological factors on HFMD in Fuzhou from 2010 to 2021. Then, the numbers of HFMD cases in 2019, 2020 and 2021 were predicted using the LSTM model through multifactor single-step and multistep rolling methods. The root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) were used to evaluate the accuracy of the model predictions. RESULTS: Overall, the effect of daily precipitation on HFMD was not significant. Low (4 hPa) and high (≥ 21 hPa) daily air pressure difference (PRSD) and low (< 7 °C) and high (> 12 °C) daily air temperature difference (TEMD) were risk factors for HFMD. The RMSE, MAE, MAPE and SMAPE of using the weekly multifactor data to predict the cases of HFMD on the following day, from 2019 to 2021, were lower than those of using the daily multifactor data to predict the cases of HFMD on the following day. In particular, the RMSE, MAE, MAPE and SMAPE of using weekly multifactor data to predict the following week's daily average cases of HFMD were much lower, and similar results were also found in urban and rural areas, which indicating that this approach was more accurate. CONCLUSION: This study's LSTM models combined with meteorological factors (excluding PRE) can be used to accurately predict HFMD in Fuzhou, especially the method of predicting the daily average cases of HFMD in the following week using weekly multifactor data.

Enhancing Interfacial Strength and Wettability for Wide-Temperature Sodium Metal Batteries.

Development of high-performance sodium metal batteries (SMBs) with a wide operating temperature range (from -40 to 55 °C) is highly challenging. Herein, an artificial hybrid interlayer composed of sodium phosphide (Na3 P) and metal vanadium (V) is constructed for wide-temperature-range SMBs via vanadium phosphide pretreatment. As evidenced by simulation, the VP-Na interlayer can regulate redistribution of Na+ flux, which is beneficial for homogeneous Na deposition. Moreover, the experimental results confirm that the artificial hybrid interlayer possesses a high Young's modulus and a compact structure, which can effectively suppress Na dendrite growth and alleviate the parasitic reaction even at 55 °C. In addition, the VP-Na interlayer exhibits the capability to knock down the kinetic barriers for fast Na+ transportation, realizing a 30-fold decrease in impedance at -40 °C. Symmetrical VP-Na cells present a prolonged lifespan reaching 1200, 500, and 500 h at room temperature, 55 °C and -40 °C, respectively. In Na3 V2 (PO4 )3 ||VP-Na full cells, a high reversible capacity of 88, 89.8, and 50.3 mAh g-1 can be sustained after 1600, 1000, and 600 cycles at room temperature, 55 °C and -40 °C, respectively. The pretreatment formed artificial hybrid interlayer proves to be an effective strategy to achieve wide-temperature-range SMBs.

Study on the influence of meteorological factors on influenza in different regions and predictions based on an LSTM algorithm.

BACKGROUND: Influenza epidemics pose a threat to human health. It has been reported that meteorological factors (MFs) are associated with influenza. This study aimed to explore the similarities and differences between the influences of more comprehensive MFs on influenza in cities with different economic, geographical and climatic characteristics in Fujian Province. Then, the information was used to predict the daily number of cases of influenza in various cities based on MFs to provide bases for early warning systems and outbreak prevention. METHOD: Distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNMs) were used to analyse the influence of MFs on influenza in different regions of Fujian Province from 2010 to 2021. Long short-term memory (LSTM) was used to train and model daily cases of influenza in 2010-2018, 2010-2019, and 2010-2020 based on meteorological daily values. Daily cases of influenza in 2019, 2020 and 2021 were predicted. The root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) were used to quantify the accuracy of model predictions. RESULTS: The cumulative effect of low and high values of air pressure (PRS), air temperature (TEM), air temperature difference (TEMD) and sunshine duration (SSD) on the risk of influenza was obvious. Low (< 979 hPa), medium (983 to 987 hPa) and high (> 112 hPa) PRS were associated with a higher risk of influenza in women, children aged 0 to 12 years, and rural populations. Low (< 9 °C) and high (> 23 °C) TEM were risk factors for influenza in four cities. Wind speed (WIN) had a more significant effect on the risk of influenza in the ≥ 60-year-old group. Low (< 40%) and high (> 80%) relative humidity (RHU) in Fuzhou and Xiamen had a significant effect on influenza. When PRS was between 1005-1015 hPa, RHU > 60%, PRE was low, TEM was between 10-20 °C, and WIN was low, the interaction between different MFs and influenza was most obvious. The RMSE, MAE, MAPE, and SMAPE evaluation indices of the predictions in 2019, 2020 and 2021 were low, and the prediction accuracy was high. CONCLUSION: All eight MFs studied had an impact on influenza in four cities, but there were similarities and differences. The LSTM model, combined with these eight MFs, was highly accurate in predicting the daily cases of influenza. These MFs and prediction models could be incorporated into the influenza early warning and prediction system of each city and used as a reference to formulate prevention strategies for relevant departments.

Acute coronary syndrome risk prediction based on gradient boosted tree feature selection and recursive feature elimination: A dataset-specific modeling study.

Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is a serious cardiovascular disease that can lead to cardiac arrest if not diagnosed promptly. However, in the actual diagnosis and treatment of ACS, there will be a large number of redundant related features that interfere with the judgment of professionals. Further, existing methods have difficulty identifying high-quality ACS features from these data, and the interpretability work is insufficient. In response to this problem, this paper uses a hybrid feature selection method based on gradient boosting trees and recursive feature elimination with cross-validation (RFECV) to reduce ACS feature redundancy and uses interpretable feature learning for feature selection to retain the most discriminative features. While reducing the feature set search space, this method can balance model simplicity and learning performance to select the best feature subset. We leverage the interpretability of gradient boosting trees to aid in understanding key features of ACS, linking the eigenvalue meaning of instances to model risk predictions to provide interpretability for the classifier. The data set used in this paper is patient records after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in a tertiary hospital in Fujian Province, China from 2016 to 2021. In this paper, we experimentally explored the impact of our method on ACS risk prediction. We extracted 25 key variables from 430 complex ACS medical features, with a feature reduction rate of 94.19%, and identified 5 key ACS factors. Compared with different baseline methods (Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Multilayer Perceptron, and 1D Convolutional Networks), the results show that our method achieves the highest Accuracy of 98.8%.

All-Cause Death Prediction Method for CHD Based on Graph Convolutional Networks.

Coronary heart disease (CHD) has become one of the most serious public health issues due to its high morbidity and mortality rates. Most of the existing coronary heart disease risk prediction models manually extract features based on shallow machine learning methods. It only focuses on the differences between local patient features and ignores the interaction modeling between global patients. Its accuracy is still insufficient for individualized patient management strategies. In this paper, we propose CHD prediction as a graph node classification task for the first time, where nodes can represent individuals in potentially diseased populations and graphs intuitively represent associations between populations. We used an adaptive multi-channel graph convolutional neural network (AM-GCN) model to extract graph embeddings from topology, node features, and their combinations through graph convolution. Then, the adaptive importance weights of the extracted embeddings are learned by using an attention mechanism. For different situations, we model the relationship of the CHD population with the population graph and the K-nearest neighbor graph method. Our experimental evaluation explored the impact of the independent components of the model on the CHD disease prediction performance and compared it to different baselines. The experimental results show that our new model exhibits the best experimental results on the CHD dataset, with a 1.3% improvement in accuracy, a 5.1% improvement in AUC, and a 4.6% improvement in F1-score compared to the nongraph model.

Synthesis and biological evaluation of novel phosphoramidate derivatives of coumarin as chitin synthase inhibitors and antifungal agents.

A series of novel phosphoramidate derivatives of coumarin have been designed and synthesized as chitin synthase (CHS) inhibitors. All the synthesized compounds have been screened for their chitin synthase inhibition activity and antimicrobial activity in vitro. The bioactive assay manifested that most of the target compounds exhibited good efficacy against CHS and a variety of clinically important fungal pathogens. In particular, compound 7t with IC50 of 0.08 mM against CHS displayed stronger efficiency than the reference Polyoxin B with IC50 of 0.16 mM. In addition, the apparent Ki values of compound 7t was 0.096 mM while the Km of Chitin synthase prepared from Candida tropicalis was 3.86 mM for UDP-N-acetylglucosamine, and the result of the Ki showed that the compounds was a non-competitive inhibitor of the CHS. As far as the antifungal activity is concerned, compounds 7o, 7r and 7t were highly active against Aspergillus flavus with MIC values in the range of 1 µg/mL to 2 µg/Ml while the results of antibacterial screening showed that these compounds have negligible actions to the tested bacteria. These results indicated that the design of these compounds as antifungal agents was rational.