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J Natl Cancer Inst ; 2024 Jul 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38976632

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The current recommended starting age for gastric cancer (GC) lacks unified guideline and individualized criteria. We aimed to determine risk-stratified starting age for GC screening in China based on individuals' risk profiles, and develop an online calculator for clinical application. METHODS: In this multi-center population-based prospective study, we divided participants enrolled during 2015-2017 (n = 59,771, aged 40-69) into screened and unscreened groups and observed them for primary endpoints-GC occurrence, all-cause and GC-specific deaths. The median follow-up was 6.07 years. To determine the reference starting age, the effectiveness of GC screening was assessed by age-groups after propensity-score-matching. Further, we categorized the calculated individual risk scores (using well-established risk factors) by quantiles. Subsequently, we used age-specific 10-year cumulative risk curves to estimate the risk-stratified starting age-when the individual's risk level matches reference starting age risk threshold. RESULTS: During follow-up, 475 GC cases, 182 GC deaths and 1,860 all-cause deaths occurred. All-cause and GC-specific mortality decreased among screened individuals aged ≥45 and 50-59 years, respectively. Thus, the average population (reference) starting age was set as 50 years. The 10-year cumulative risk of GC in average population aged 50 was 1.147%. We stratified the starting age using eight risk factors, and categorized participants as low-, medium-, and high-risk individuals, whose risk-stratified starting age was 58, 50, and 46, respectively. CONCLUSION: While high-risk individuals warrant 3-5 years earlier GC screening than average population (age 50), low-risk individuals can tolerate delayed screening. Our online, personalized starting-age calculator will help risk-adapted GC screening (https://web.consultech.com.cn/gastric/#/).

3.
J Hepatocell Carcinoma ; 11: 1251-1263, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38979083

RESUMO

Purpose: This study aimed to assess the prognostic significance of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC) who underwent hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) combined with lenvatinib and camrelizumab. Methods: A retrospective review was conducted on patients with u-HCC receiving treatment with HAIC combined with lenvatinib and camrelizumab. Early AFP response was defined as a >20% decrease in AFP within 4 weeks, and AFP response as a >75% decrease in AFP within 8 weeks. The correlation between early AFP response, AFP response, therapeutic response, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) was investigated. Results: The study included 63 patients. AFP responders exhibited superior objective response rates compared to AFP non-responders, as determined by RECIST v1.1 or mRECIST criteria (45.5 vs. 18.2%, p=0.014, or 81.8 vs. 48.5%, p=0.013). Furthermore, early AFP responders demonstrated prolonged OS (not reached vs. 8.0 months, p<0.001) and PFS (13.3 vs. 3.0 months, p= 0.018) relative to early AFP non-responders. Similarly, AFP responders exhibited improved OS (not reached vs. 9.0 months, p<0.001) and PFS (19.3 vs. 5.1 months, p=0.002) compared to AFP non-responders. Multivariate analysis results indicated that both early AFP response and AFP response independently predicted OS [hazard ratio (HR) 2.963, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.333-6.585, p=0.008, and HR 6.182, 95% CI 1.780-21.466, p=0.004] and PFS (HR 2.186, 95% CI 1.107-4.318, p=0.024, and HR 3.078, 95% CI 1.407-6.730, p=0.005), serving as significant prognostic values. Conclusion: Early AFP response and AFP response serve as predictive biomarkers for the effectiveness of HAIC combined with lenvatinib and camrelizumab in patients with u-HCC.

4.
Cancer Biol Med ; 2024 Jul 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39015006

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Liver cancer is a major health concern globally and in China. This analysis investigated deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) with respect to etiologies and risk factors for liver cancer in China and worldwide. METHODS: Global and China-specific data were collected on liver cancer deaths, DALYs, and age-standardized rates (ASRs) from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 database. Liver cancer etiologies were classified into five groups and risk factors were categorized into three levels. Each proportion of liver cancer burden was calculated in different geographic regions. The joinpoint regression model were used to assess the trends from 1990-2019. RESULTS: Liver cancer accounted for 484,577 deaths worldwide in 2019 with an ASR of 5.9 per 100,000 population. China had an elevated liver cancer death ASR in 2019 and males had an ASR 1.7 times the global rate. The global ASR for DALYs peaked at 75-79 years of age but peaked earlier in China. Hepatitis B virus was the prominent etiology globally (39.5%) and in China (62.5%), followed by hepatitis C virus and alcohol consumption. In high sociodemographic index countries, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis has gained an increasing contribution as an etiologic factor. The liver cancer burden due to various etiologies has decreased globally in both genders. However, metabolic risk factors, particularly obesity, have had a growing contribution to the liver cancer burden, especially among males. CONCLUSIONS: Despite an overall decreasing trend in the liver cancer burden in China and worldwide, there has been a rising contribution from metabolic risk factors, highlighting the importance of implementing targeted prevention and control strategies that address regional and gender disparities.

5.
Fundam Res ; 4(3): 484-494, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38933198

RESUMO

The sudden onset of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in January 2020 has affected essential global health services. Cancer-screening services that can reduce cancer mortality are strongly affected. However, the specific role of COVID-19 in cancer screening is not fully understood. This study aimed to assess the efficiency of global cancer screening programs before and during the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote potential cancer-screening strategies for the next pandemic. Electronic searches in PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science, and manual searches were performed between January 1, 2020 and March 1, 2023. Cohort studies that reported the number of participants who underwent cancer screening before and during the COVID-19 pandemic were included. The methodological quality of the included studies was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Differences in cancer-screening rates were estimated using the incidence rate ratio (IRR). Fifty-five cohort studies were included in this meta-analysis. The screening rates of colorectal cancer using invasive screening methods (Pooled IRR = 0.52, 95% CI: 0.42 to 0.65, p < 0.01), cervical cancer (Pooled IRR = 0.56, 95% CI: 0.47 to 0.67, p < 0.01), breast cancer (Pooled IRR = 0.57, 95% CI: 0.49 to 0.66, p < 0.01) and prostate cancer (Pooled IRR = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.56 to 0.90, p < 0.01) during the COVID-19 pandemic were significantly lower than those before the COVID-19 pandemic. The screening rates of lung cancer (Pooled IRR = 0.77, 95% CI: 0.58 to 1.03, p = 0.08) and colorectal cancer using noninvasive screening methods (Pooled IRR = 0.74, 95% CI: 0.50 to 1.09, p = 0.13) were reduced with no statistical differences. The subgroup analyses revealed that the reduction in cancer-screening rates varied across economies. Our results suggest that the COVID-19 pandemic has had a noteworthy impact on colorectal, cervical, breast, and prostate cancer screening. Developing innovative cancer-screening technologies is important to promote the efficiency of cancer-screening services in the post-COVID-19 era and prepare for the next pandemic.

6.
Chin Med J (Engl) ; 137(12): 1414-1420, 2024 Jun 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38766992

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is the primary cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in China. The target population for HCC screening comprises individuals who test positive for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg). However, current data on the prevalence of HBV infection among individuals who are eligible for HCC screening in China are lacking. We aimed to assess the seroepidemiology of HBV infection among Chinese individuals eligible for HCC screening to provide the latest evidence for appropriate HCC screening strategies in China. METHODS: Questionnaires including information of sex, age, ethnicity, marital status, educational level, source of drinking water, as well as smoking and alcohol consumption history and serum samples were collected from females aged 45-64 years and males aged 35-64 years in 21 counties from 4 provinces in eastern and central China between 2015 and 2023. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay methods were used to detect the serum HBV marker HBsAg. RESULTS: A total of 603,082 individuals were enrolled, and serum samples were collected for analysis from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2023. The prevalence of HBsAg positive in the study population was 5.23% (31,528/603,082). The prevalence of HBsAg positive was greater in males than in females (5.60% [17,660/315,183] vs . 4.82% [13,868/287,899], χ 2  = 187.52, P  <0.0001). The elderly participants exhibited a greater prevalence of HBV infection than younger participants (χ 2  = 41.73, P  <0.0001). Birth cohort analysis revealed an overall downward trend in HBV prevalence for both males and females. Individuals born in more recent cohorts exhibited a lower prevalence of HBV infection as compared to those born earlier. CONCLUSIONS: The current prevalence of HBV infection remains above 5% in populations eligible for HCC screening in China. Further efforts should be made to increase the accessibility of HCC screening among individuals with HBV infection.


Assuntos
Antígenos de Superfície da Hepatite B , Hepatite B , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , China/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/virologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/sangue , Hepatite B/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Adulto , Antígenos de Superfície da Hepatite B/sangue , Vírus da Hepatite B , Prevalência , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiologia , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/virologia , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos
7.
Int J Cancer ; 2024 May 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38712628

RESUMO

The relationship between Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection and upper gastrointestinal (UGI) cancers is complex. This multicenter, population-based cohort study conducted in seven areas in China aimed to assess the correlation between current H. pylori infection and the severity of UGI lesions, as well as its association with the risk of gastric cancer (GC) and esophageal cancer (EC). From 2015 to 2017, 27,085 participants (aged 40-69) completed a standardized questionnaire, and underwent a 13C-urea breath test. Then a subset underwent UGI endoscopy to assess the UGI lesion detection rates. All individuals were followed up until December 2021 to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) for UGI cancers. H. pylori infection prevalence was 45.9%, and among endoscopy participants, 22.2% had gastric lesions, 19.2% had esophageal lesions. Higher detection rates of gastric lesions were noted in the H. pylori-positive population across all lesion severity levels. Over a median follow-up of 6.3 years, 104 EC and 179 GC cases were observed, including 103 non-cardia gastric cancer (NCGC) cases and 76 cardia gastric cancer (CGC) cases. H. pylori-infected individuals exhibited a 1.78-fold increased risk of GC (HR 1.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.32-2.40) but no significant increase in EC risk (HR 1.07, 95% CI 0.73-1.57). Notably, there was a higher risk for both NCGC and CGC in H. pylori-infected individuals. This population-based cohort study provides valuable evidence supporting the association between current H. pylori infection and the risk of both NCGC and CGC. These findings contribute to the empirical basis for risk stratification and recommendations for UGI cancer screening.

8.
Gac Sanit ; 38: 102397, 2024 May 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38772059

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To determine the role of social health insurance programs in reducing inequality in the incidence and intensity of catastrophic health expenditure (CHE) of cancer patients in China. METHOD: A convenient sample of 2534 cancer patients treated in nine hospitals in 2015 and 2016 were followed up through face-to-face interviews in March-December 2018. The incidence and intensity (mean positive overshoot) of CHE (≥ 40% household consumption) were calculated. RESULTS: About 72% of cancer patients experienced CHE events after insurance compensation, with the catastrophic mean positive overshoot amounting to 28.27% (SD: 15.83%) of the household consumption. Overall, social insurance contributed to a small percentage of drop in CHE events. Income-related inequality in CHE persisted before and after insurance compensation. Richer patients benefit more than poorer ones. CONCLUSIONS: Cancer treatment is associated with high incidence of CHE events in China. The alleviating effect of social health insurance on CHE events is limited.

9.
Chin Med J (Engl) ; 137(12): 1407-1413, 2024 Jun 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38616547

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Given the recent updates in cancer burden estimates by GLOBOCAN 2022, this study was undertaken to provide pertinent perspectives within the context of the Human Development Index (HDI) and major world economies. METHODS: Datasets sourced from GLOBOCAN encompassed cancer cases and deaths across all cancer types in 2022, alongside projections up to 2050. Cancer incidences and deaths of the top 10 cancers within China and four distinct HDI-classified regions were compared using descriptive analyses. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and mortality rates (ASMRs) worldwide for the most prevalent cancers in 2022 across ten largest economies and four-tier HDIs were examined. The top five cancer types concerning both incidence and mortality in China were delineated by sex and age group. RESULTS: In males, prostate cancer predominated in countries with low, high (except China), and very high HDI. Prostate and liver cancers were prominent causes of death in countries with low HDI. In females, breast and cervical cancers predominated in countries with low-to-medium HDI. Lung and colorectal cancer incidence and deaths increased with high HDI for both sexes. ASIRs and ASMRs for breast, prostate, lung, and colorectal cancers in the top 10 economies were higher than the global average. However, liver, stomach, and cervical cancers in most Western countries exhibited lower rates. In China, hematologic malignancies (43%) were prevalent among children aged 0-14 years, whereas thyroid cancer led among adolescents and young adults aged 15-39 years. Regarding incidence and mortality, lung cancer predominated for individuals over 40 years, except for females aged 40-59 years, in whom breast cancer predominated. Projected trends indicated substantial increases in new cancer cases (76.6%) and deaths (89.7%) over the next three decades. CONCLUSIONS: Infection- and poverty-related cancer burdens are offset by increased prostate, breast, colorectal, and lung cancer incidence associated with rapid societal and economic transitions. Cancer incidence and mortality patterns in China feature characteristics of developed and developing countries, necessitating tailored, evidence-based, and comprehensive strategies for effective cancer prevention and control.


Assuntos
Neoplasias , Humanos , Masculino , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Feminino , Incidência , China/epidemiologia , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade
10.
Small ; : e2311933, 2024 Mar 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38546198

RESUMO

Zn-MnO2 batteries offer cost-effective, eco-friendly, and efficient solutions for large-scale energy storage applications. However, challenges, like irreversible cathode reactions, prolonged cyclability, and electrolyte stability during high-voltage operations limit their broader application. This study provides insight into the charge-discharge process through in situ deposition of active ß-MnO2 nanoflakes on a carbon-based current collector. The study elucidates the effect of pH and electrolyte concentration on chemical conversion reactions with Zn, in particular focus on their impact on the two-electron MnO2/Mn2+ reaction crucial for high voltage operation. The electrolyte, characterized by being relatively lean in Mn2+ and with a targeted low pH, enables extended cycling. This research achieves greater cycling durability by integrating a carbon-based cathode current collector with high density of structural defects in combination with cell architectures suitable for large-scale energy storage. A flooded stack-type Zn-MnO2 battery prototype employing the optimized electrolyte demonstrates a high discharge voltage (≈2 V) at a substantial discharge current rate of 10 mA cm-2. The battery exhibits an impressive areal capacity of ≈2 mAh cm-2, maintaining ≈100% capacity retention over 400 cycles. This research establishes a promising practical, and cost-effective cathode-free design for Zn-MnO2 batteries, that minimizes additional processing and assembly costs.

11.
Int J Cancer ; 155(3): 558-568, 2024 Aug 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38554129

RESUMO

In populations in China, colorectal cancer (CRC) screening can be mainly accessed through organized screening, opportunistic screening, and physical examination. This screening intervention is found to be effective but the exact coverage rate is difficult to measure. Based on data from published articles, official websites, and available program reports, the screening coverage rate and related indicators were quantified. A rapid review was then conducted to estimate the overall and the breakdown coverage rates of the sub-type screening services, by leveraging the numbers of articles and the by-type median sample sizes. Up to 2020, two central government-funded and four provincial/municipal-level organized CRC screening programs have been initiated and included in this analysis. For populations aged 40-74, the estimated coverage rate of organized programs in China was 2.7% in 2020, and the 2-year cumulative coverage rate in 2019-2020 was 5.3% and the 3-year cumulative coverage rate in 2018-2020 was 7.7%. The corresponding coverage rates of 50-74-year-olds were estimated to be 3.4%, 7.1%, and 10.3%, respectively. Based on the rapid review approach, the overall screening coverage rate for 40-74 years, considering organized screening programs, opportunistic screening, and physical examinations, was then estimated to be 3.0% in China in 2020. However, comparing the findings of this study with the number of health check-ups reported in the local national health statistics yearbooks suggests that the number of CRC physical examinations may be underestimated in this study. The findings suggest that further efforts are needed to improve population access to CRC screening in China. Furthermore, evidence for access to opportunistic CRC screening and physical examination is limited, and more quantitative investigation is needed.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais , Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde , Humanos , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/estatística & dados numéricos , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , China/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Adulto , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Masculino , Programas de Rastreamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos
12.
PLoS One ; 19(3): e0299385, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38478538

RESUMO

The Taihe Black-Bone silky fowl chicken (BB-sfc) is a renowned dietary and medicinal chicken globally recognized for its high nutritional and medicinal value. Compared to the local Black-Bone black-feathered chicken (BB-bfc), the Taihe silky fowl chicken has higher levels of amino acids, trace elements, and unsaturated fatty acids in their muscles, which offer anti-aging, anti-cancer, and immune enhancing benefits. Despite this, the unique nutritional components, genes, and proteins in Taihe silky fowl chicken muscles are largely unknown. Therefore, we performed a comprehensive transcriptome and proteome analysis of muscle development between BB-sfc and BB-bfc chickens using RNA-Seq and TMT-based quantitative proteomics methods. RNA-Seq analysis identified 286 up-regulated genes and 190 down-regulated genes in BB-sfc chickens, with oxidoreductase activity and electron transfer activity enriched in up-regulated genes, and phospholipid homeostasis and cholesterol transporter activity enriched in down-regulated genes. Proteome analysis revealed 186 significantly increased and 287 significantly decreased proteins in Taihe BB-sfc chicken muscles, primarily affecting mitochondrial function and oxidative phosphorylation, crucial for enhancing muscle antioxidant capacity. Integrated transcriptome and proteome analysis identified 6 overlapped up-regulated genes and 8 overlapped down-regulated genes in Taihe silky fowl chicken, related to improved muscle antioxidant status. Taken together, this research provides a comprehensive database of gene expression and protein information in Taihe Black-Bone silky fowl chicken muscles, aiding in fully exploring their unique economic value in the future.


Assuntos
Galinhas , Proteoma , Animais , Galinhas/genética , Proteoma/genética , Transcriptoma , Seda/genética , Antioxidantes , Músculos , China
13.
PLoS Med ; 21(2): e1004340, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38386617

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Screening reduces colorectal cancer (CRC) burden by allowing early resection of precancerous and cancerous lesions. An adequate selection of high-risk individuals and a high uptake rate for colonoscopy screening are critical to identifying people more likely to benefit from screening and allocating healthcare resources properly. We evaluated whether combining a questionnaire-based interview for risk factors with fecal immunochemical test (FIT) outcomes for high-risk assessment is more efficient and economical than a questionnaire-based interview-only strategy. METHODS AND FINDINGS: In this multicenter, population-based, prospective cohort study, we enrolled community residents aged 40 to 74 years in 29 provinces across China. From 2016 to 2020, a total of 1,526,824 eligible participants were consecutively enrolled in the Cancer Screening Program in Urban China (CanSPUC) cohort, and 940,605 were enrolled in the Whole Life Cycle of Cancer Screening Program (WHOLE) cohort, with follow-up to December 31, 2022. The mean ages were 56.89 and 58.61 years in CanSPUC and WHOLE, respectively. In the WHOLE cohort, high-risk individuals were identified by combining questionnaire-based interviews to collect data on risk factors (demographics, diet history, family history of CRC, etc.) with FIT outcomes (RF-FIT strategy), whereas in the CanSPUC cohort, high-risk individuals were identified using only interview-based data on risk factors (RF strategy). The primary outcomes were participation rate and yield (detection rate of advanced neoplasm, early-stage detection rate of CRCs [stage I/II], screening yield per 10,000 invitees), which were reported for the entire population and for different gender and age groups. The secondary outcome was the cost per case detected. In total, 71,967 (7.65%) and 281,985 (18.47%) individuals were identified as high-risk and were invited to undergo colonoscopy in the RF-FIT group and RF group, respectively. The colonoscopy participation rate in the RF-FIT group was 26.50% (19,071 of 71,967) and in the RF group was 19.54% (55,106 of 281,985; chi-squared test, p < 0.001). A total of 102 (0.53%) CRCs and 2,074 (10.88%) advanced adenomas were detected by the RF-FIT, versus 90 (0.16%) and 3,593 (6.52%) by the RF strategy (chi-squared test, both p < 0.001). The early-stage detection rate using the RF-FIT strategy was significantly higher than that by the RF strategy (67.05% versus 47.95%, Fisher's exact test, p = 0.016). The cost per CRC detected was $24,849 by the RF-FIT strategy versus $55,846 by the RF strategy. A limitation of the study was lack of balance between groups with regard to family history of CRC (3.5% versus 0.7%). CONCLUSIONS: Colonoscopy participation and screening yield were better with the RF-FIT strategy. The association with CRC incidence and mortality reduction should be evaluated after long-term follow-up.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais , Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos de Coortes , Colonoscopia , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Colorretais/patologia , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Seleção de Pacientes , Estudos Prospectivos , Medição de Risco , Inquéritos e Questionários , Adulto , Idoso
14.
Lancet Reg Health West Pac ; 44: 101012, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38304718

RESUMO

Background: While polygenic risk scores (PRS) could enable the streamlining of organised cancer screening programmes, its current discriminative ability is limited. We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis to trade-off the benefits and harms of PRS-stratified cancer screening in China. Methods: The validated National Cancer Center (NCC) modelling framework for six cancers (lung, liver, breast, gastric, colorectum, and oesophagus) was used to simulate cancer incidence, progression, stage-specific cancer detection, and risk of death. We estimated the number of cancer deaths averted, quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) gained, number needed to screen (NNS), overdiagnosis, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of one-time PRS-stratified screening strategy (screening 25% of PRS-defined high-risk population) for a birth cohort at age 60 in 2025, compared with unstratified screening strategy (screening 25% of general population) and no screening strategy. We applied lifetime horizon, societal perspective, and 3% discount rate. An ICER less than $18,364 per QALY gained is considered cost-effective. Findings: One-time cancer screening for population aged 60 was the most cost-effective strategy compared to screening at other ages. Compared with an unstratified screening strategy, the PRS-stratified screening strategy averted more cancer deaths (61,237 vs. 40,329), had a lower NNS to prevent one death (307 vs. 451), had a slightly higher overdiagnosis (14.1% vs. 13.8%), and associated with an additional 130,045 QALYs at an additional cost of $1942 million, over a lifetime horizon. The ICER for all six cancers combined was $14,930 per QALY gained, with the ICER varying from $7928 in colorectal cancer to $39,068 in liver cancer. ICER estimates were sensitive to changes in risk threshold and cost of PRS tools. Interpretation: PRS-stratified screening strategy modestly improves clinical benefit and cost-effectiveness of organised cancer screening programmes. Reducing the costs of polygenic risk stratification is needed before PRS implementation. Funding: The Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, the Jing-jin-ji Special Projects for Basic Research Cooperation, and the Sanming Project of the Medicine in Shenzhen.

15.
Chest ; 165(6): 1538-1554, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38253312

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The current one-size-fits-all screening strategy for lung cancer is not suitable for personalized screening. RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the risk-adapted starting age of lung cancer screening with comprehensive consideration of risk factors? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: The National Lung Cancer Screening program, a multicenter, population-based, prospective cohort study, was analyzed. Information on risk factor exposure was collected during the baseline risk assessment. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the association between risk factors and lung cancer incidence. Age-specific 10-year cumulative risk was calculated to determine the age at which individuals with various risk factors reached the equivalent risk level as individuals aged ≥ 50 years with active tobacco use and a ≥ 20 pack-year smoking history. RESULTS: Of the 1,031,911 participants enrolled in this study, 3,908 demonstrated lung cancer after a median follow-up of 3.8 years. We identified seven risk factors for lung cancer, including pack-years of smoking, secondhand smoke exposure, family history of lung cancer in first-degree relatives, history of respiratory diseases, occupational hazardous exposure, BMI, and diabetes. The 10-year cumulative risk of lung cancer for people aged ≥ 50 years with active tobacco use and a ≥ 20 pack-year smoking history was 1.37%, which was treated as the risk threshold for screening. Individuals who never smoked and those with active tobacco use and a < 30-pack-year history of smoking reached the equivalent risk level 1 to 14 years later compared with the starting age of 50 years. Men with active tobacco use, a ≥ 30-pack-year history of smoking, and concurrent respiratory diseases or diabetes should be screened 1 year earlier at the age of 49 years. INTERPRETATION: The personalized risk-adapted starting ages for lung cancer screening, based on the principle of equal management of equal risk, can served as an optimized screening strategy to identify high-risk individuals.


Assuntos
Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/diagnóstico , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , China/epidemiologia , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Feminino , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Idoso , Medição de Risco/métodos , Fatores Etários , Incidência , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Fumar/epidemiologia , Fumar/efeitos adversos
16.
Sci China Life Sci ; 67(1): 122-131, 2024 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37755589

RESUMO

China faces a disproportionate cancer burden to the population size and is undergoing a transition in the cancer spectrum. We extracted data in five aspects of cancer incidence, mortality, survival, staging distributions, and attribution to risk factors in China, the USA and worldwide from open-source databases. We conducted a comprehensive secondary analysis of cancer profiles in China in the above aspects, and compared cancer statistics between China and the USA. A total of 4,546,400 new cancer cases and 2,992,600 deaths occurred in China in 2020, accounting for 25.1% and 30.2% of global cases, respectively. Lifestyle-related cancers including lung cancer, colorectal cancer, and breast cancer showed an upward trend and have been the leading cancer types in China. 41.6% of new cancer cases and 49.3% of cancer deaths occurred in digestive-system cancers in China, and the cancers of esophagus, nasopharynx, liver, and stomach in China accounted for over 40% of global cases. Infection-related cancers showed the highest population-attributable fractions among Chinese adults, and most cancers could be attributed to behavioral and metabolic factors. The proportions of stage I for most cancer types were much higher in the USA than in China, except for esophageal cancer (78.2% vs. 41.1%). The 5-year relative survival rates in China have improved substantially during 2000-2014, whereas survival for most cancer types in the USA was significantly higher than in China, except for upper gastrointestinal cancers. Our findings suggest that although substantial progress has been made in cancer control, especially in digestive system cancers in China, there was still a considerable disparity in cancer burden between China and the USA. More robust policies on risk factors and standardized screening practices are urgently warranted to curb the cancer growth and improve the prognosis for cancer patients.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Esofágicas , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Neoplasias , Adulto , Humanos , Incidência , Neoplasias/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Esofágicas/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , China/epidemiologia
17.
Sci China Life Sci ; 67(4): 711-719, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38155276

RESUMO

An increasing cancer incidence among adults younger than 50 years has been reported for several types of cancer in multiple countries. We aimed to report cancer profiles and trends among young adults in China. Data from the China Cancer Registry Annual Report were used to estimate incidence and mortality among young adults (ages 20-49 years) in China in 2017, and an age-period-cohort model was employed to estimate the average annual percent change (AAPC) in incidence and mortality from 2000 to 2017. All 25 cancer types were grouped into obesity- or overweight-associated cancers (12 cancer types) and additional cancers (13 cancer types). In 2017, there were 681,178 new cases and 214,591 cancer deaths among young adults in China. Among young adults, the most common cancers were thyroid, breast, cervical, liver, lung, and colorectal cancer, and the leading causes of cancer deaths were liver, lung, cervical, stomach, breast, and colorectal cancer. From 2000 to 2017, the cancer incidence increased for all cancers combined among young adults, with the highest AAPC (1.46%) for adults aged 20-24 years, while cancer mortality decreased, with the highest AAPC (-1.63%) for those aged 35-39 years. In conclusion, the cancer incidence in China has increased among young adults, while cancer mortality has decreased for nearly all ages. Cancer control measures, such as obesity control and appropriate screening, may contribute to reducing the increasing cancer burden among young adults.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais , Neoplasias , Humanos , Adulto Jovem , Neoplasias/prevenção & controle , Pesquisa , Sistema de Registros , Obesidade/complicações , Obesidade/epidemiologia , China/epidemiologia , Incidência
18.
Cancer Med ; 2023 Dec 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38112048

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common cancers worldwide. Comprehensive data on the economic burden of CRC at a population-level is critical in informing policymaking, but such data are currently limited in China. METHODS: From a societal perspective, the economic burden of CRC in 2019 was estimated, including direct medical and nonmedical expenditure, disability, and premature-death-related indirect expenditure. Data on disease burden was taken from the GBD 2019 and analyzed using a prevalence-based approach. The per-person direct expenditure and work loss days were from a multicenter study; the premature-death-related expenditure was estimated using a human capital approach. Projections were conducted in different simulated scenarios. All expenditure data were in Chinese Yuan (CNY) and discounted to 2019. RESULTS: In 2019, the estimated overall economic burden of CRC in China was CNY170.5 billion (0.189% of the local GDP). The direct expenditure was CNY106.4 billion (62.4% of the total economic burden), 91.4% of which was a direct medical expenditure. The indirect expenditure was CNY64.1 billion, of which 63.7% was related to premature death. The predicted burden would reach CNY560.0 billion in 2030 given constant trends for disease burden; however, it would be alternatively reduced to

19.
EClinicalMedicine ; 64: 102243, 2023 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37936654

RESUMO

Background: The proportion of young breast cancer patients in China is significantly higher than in Western countries, and the clinicopathological characteristics and clinical problems faced by patients in China are different from those in Western countries too, so there is an urgent need to conduct some studies for young breast cancer patients in Asia. Methods: This study consisted of two breast cancer cohorts in China. The population-based cohort involved breast cancer cases diagnosed in 2000-2017 via cancer registration system, and we describe the epidemiological characteristics of the young breast cancer in China. The hospital-based cohort, patients eligible for enrollment were breast cancer in young women (≤35 years old) from eight centres in different regions of China, diagnosed and treated for the first time in six time periods (i.e., 2000, 2003, 2006, 2009, 2012, and 2015). Patient demographic characteristics and clinical features were compared among the six time periods using a trend test. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to generate survival curves, and the log-rank test was performed to compare OS and DFS. Univariate and multivariate analyses were carried out using Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Findings: In the population-based cohort, age-specific incidence and age-standardised percentages of breast cancer cases younger than 35 years were increased. The proportion of breast cancer under the age of 35 is increasing more rapidly in rural areas than in urban areas. In the hospital-based cohort, a total of 1308 young breast cancer patients (≤35 years old) were collected. Proportion of patients treated with adjuvant taxane or anthracycline combined with taxane is gradually increasing over the six time periods, and the proportion of patients undergoing breast-conserving surgery is gradually increasing too. Meanwhile, the patients treated with combined ovarian function suppression (OFS) endocrine therapy gradually increased, and the duration of endocrine therapy gradually longer. There is an increasing trend in 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) rate for the total population in the six time periods between 2000 and 2015, but no significant difference in overall survival (OS) rate was observed. Early staging and longer duration of endocrine therapy were factors associated with a favorable prognosis. Interpretation: The incidence of younger breast cancers under 35 years of age has gradually increased and the pattern of patient care has changed significantly over time, which may contribute to the improved prognosis of younger breast cancer patients. Funding: Beijing Medical Award Foundation (YXJL-2020-0941-0763), Beijing Hope Run Special Fund of Cancer Foundation of China (LC2021L04), Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Clinical Translational and Medical Research Fund (2022-I2M-C&T-A-014).

20.
Lancet Public Health ; 8(12): e996-e1005, 2023 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38000379

RESUMO

Cancer screening has the potential to decrease mortality from several common cancer types. The first cancer screening programme in China was initiated in 1958 and the Cancer High Incidence Fields established in the 1970s have provided an extensive source of information for national cancer screening programmes. From 2012 onwards, four ongoing national cancer screening programmes have targeted eight cancer types: cervical, breast, colorectal, lung, oesophageal, stomach, liver, and nasopharyngeal cancers. By synthesising evidence from pilot screening programmes and population-based studies for various screening tests, China has developed a series of cancer screening guidelines. Nevertheless, challenges remain for the implementation of a fully successful population-based programme. The aim of this Review is to highlight the key milestones and the current status of cancer screening in China, describe what has been achieved to date, and identify the barriers in transitioning from evidence to implementation. We also make a set of implementation recommendations on the basis of the Chinese experience, which might be useful in the establishment of cancer screening programmes in other countries.


Assuntos
Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Neoplasias , Humanos , Neoplasias/diagnóstico , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Neoplasias/prevenção & controle , Programas de Rastreamento , China/epidemiologia , Incidência
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