Population Trends of New Prescriptions for Antihyperglycemics and Antihypertensives Between 2014 and 2022.

BACKGROUND: In the wake of pandemic-related health decline and health care disruptions, there are concerns that previous gains for cardiovascular risk factors may have stalled or reversed. Population-level excess burden of drug-treated diabetes and hypertension during the pandemic compared with baseline is not well characterized. We evaluated the change in incident prescription claims for antihyperglycemics and antihypertensives before versus during the pandemic. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this retrospective, serial, cross-sectional, population-based study, we used interrupted time series analyses to examine changes in the age- and sex-standardized monthly rate of incident prescriptions for antihyperglycemics and antihypertensives in patients aged ≥66 years in Ontario, Canada, before the pandemic (April 2014 to March 2020) compared with during the pandemic (July 2020 to November 2022). Incident claim was defined as the first prescription filled for any medication in these classes. The characteristics of patients with incident prescriptions of antihyperglycemics (n=151 888) or antihypertensives (n=368 123) before the pandemic were comparable with their pandemic counterparts (antihyperglycemics, n=97 015; antihypertensives, n=146 524). Before the pandemic, monthly rates of incident prescriptions were decreasing (-0.03 per 10 000 individuals [95% CI, -0.04 to -0.01] for antihyperglycemics; -0.14 [95% CI, -0.18 to -0.10] for antihypertensives). After July 2020, monthly rates increased (postinterruption trend 0.31 per 10 000 individuals [95% CI, 0.28-0.34] for antihyperglycemics; 0.19 [95% CI, 0.14-0.23] for antihypertensives). CONCLUSIONS: Population-level increases in new antihyperglycemic and antihypertensive prescriptions during the pandemic reversed prepandemic declines and were sustained for >2 years. Our findings are concerning for current and future cardiovascular health.

Comparing Costs of Noninvasive Cardiac Diagnostic Tests-a Population-Based Study.

INTRODUCTION: Noninvasive cardiac diagnostic tests (NITs) for the diagnosis of coronary artery disease have been estimated to cost >$3 billion annually in the United States alone and have recently undergone scrutiny over concerns of overuse. Consequently, comparing costs of different NIT testing strategies is of urgent importance to health care planning. METHODS: We utilized population-based administrative and clinical data from Ontario, Canada, to compare downstream costs between 4 available NIT testing strategies (graded exercise stress testing [GXT], stress echocardiography, cardiac computed tomography angiography [CCTA], and myocardial perfusion imaging [MPI] as well as no testing), among patients evaluated for chest pain. To compare costs among the tested (overall and by testing strategy) and nontested groups, we used a log-gamma generalized linear model to account for the skewed distribution of health care cost data, adjusting for relevant clinical covariates. RESULTS: A total of 2,340,699 patients were included in our cohort, of whom 481,170 (21%) patients received 1 of the 4 NITs. Among patients who received a NIT, 254,492 (53%) received a GXT as their initial test, 154,137 (32%) received MPI, 69,160 (14%) received a stress echo, and 3,381 (<1%) received a CCTA. After adjustment for differences in baseline patient characteristics, receipt of any NIT was associated with an approximate 12% reduction in downstream 1-year mean costs (cost ratio = 0.88; 95% CI, 0.87, 0.89) compared with those without any testing. Comparing the different testing strategies with no testing, both GXT (cost ratio = 0.80; 95% CI, 0.79-0.81) and stress echocardiography (cost ratio = 0.82; 95% CI, 0.81-0.83) were associated with the lower downstream costs, while both MPI (cost ratio = 1.26; 95% CI, 1.25, 1.27) and CCTA (cost ratio = 1.29; 95% CI, 1.23, 1.35) were associated with higher downstream costs. CONCLUSIONS: In a large population-based cohort consisting of >2 million people evaluated for chest pain, we report that receipt of noninvasive testing was associated with a 12% reduction in downstream costs when compared with no testing. Graded exercise stress testing and stress echocardiography were associated with the least downstream costs, whereas CCTA and MPI were associated with higher costs when compared with no testing. These findings may help inform testing decisions in chest pain patients.

Association of prior outpatient diabetes screening with cardiovascular events and mortality among people with incident diabetes: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Outcomes of diabetes screening in contemporary, multi-ethnic populations are unknown. We examined the association of prior outpatient diabetes screening with the risks of cardiovascular events and mortality in Ontario, Canada. METHODS: We conducted a population-based cohort study using administrative databases among adults aged ≥ 20 years with incident diabetes diagnosed during 2014-2016. The exposure was outpatient diabetes screening performed within 3 years prior to diabetes diagnosis. The co-primary outcomes were (1) a composite of all-cause mortality and hospitalization for myocardial infarction, stroke, coronary revascularization, and (2) all-cause mortality (followed up until 2018). We calculated standardized rates of each outcome and conducted cause-specific hazard modelling to determine the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of the outcomes, adjusting for prespecified confounders and accounting for the competing risk of death. RESULTS: We included 178,753 Ontarians with incident diabetes (70.2% previously screened). Individuals receiving prior screening were older (58.3 versus 53.4 years) and more likely to be women (49.6% versus 40.0%) than previously unscreened individuals. Individuals receiving prior screening had relatively lower standardized event rates than those without prior screening across all outcomes (composite: 12.8 versus 18.1, mortality: 8.2 versus 11.1 per 1000 patient-years). After multivariable adjustment, prior screening was associated with 34% and 32% lower risks of the composite (HR 0.66, 0.63-0.69) and mortality (0.68, 0.64-0.72) outcomes. Among those receiving prior screening, a result in the prediabetes range was associated with lower risks of the composite (0.82, 0.77-0.88) and mortality (0.71, 0.66-0.78) outcomes than a result in the normoglycemic range. CONCLUSIONS: Previously screened individuals with diabetes had lower risks of cardiovascular events and mortality versus previously unscreened individuals. Better risk assessment tools are needed to support wider and more appropriate uptake of diabetes screening, especially among young adults.

Daily consumption of Lactobacillus gasseri CP2305 improves quality of sleep in adults - A systematic literature review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIM: The gut-brain axis is one of the proposed interactions between the brain and peripheral intestinal functions; of particular interest is the influence of food components on the gut-brain axis mediated via the gut microbiome. Probiotics and paraprobiotics have been proposed to interact with the intestinal environment and provide health benefits such as improving sleep quality. The aim of this research was to undertake a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to evaluate the current evidence regarding the effects of Lactobacillus gasseri CP2305 on sleep quality for the general population. METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted of peer-reviewed articles published up to 04 November 2022. Randomised controlled trials were identified that investigated the effects of Lactobacillus gasseri CP2305 on sleep parameters in adults. Meta-analysis of the change in the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI) global score was conducted. Quality assessments of individual studies were conducted using the Cochrane Risk of Bias and Health Canada tools. RESULTS: Seven studies were included in the systematic literature review; six studies included data for meta-analysis to quantify the effect of L. gasseri CP2305 on sleep quality. The ingestion of L. gasseri CP2305 resulted in significant improvement in the PSQI global score compared to control (-0.77, 95% CI: -1.37 to -0.16, P = 0.01). In the two studies that included electroencephalogram (EEG) data, output was significantly improved for at least half of the measured EEG outcomes after consumption of L. gasseri CP2305. No serious concerns were found in the potential biases of included studies, indirectness of the included evidence, and other methodological issues. CONCLUSION: The present systematic review and meta-analysis indicates significant improvement in sleep quality of adults with mild to moderate stress as an effect of daily consumption of L. gasseri CP2305. Based on existing evidence, the relationship between L. gasseri CP2305 and enhanced sleep quality is plausible, however further investigations are required to confirm the mechanisms of actions for this effect.

Outcomes Among Patients Hospitalized With Non-COVID-19 Conditions Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Alberta and Ontario, Canada.

Importance: The association of inpatient COVID-19 caseloads with outcomes in patients hospitalized with non-COVID-19 conditions is unclear. Objective: To determine whether 30-day mortality and length of stay (LOS) for patients hospitalized with non-COVID-19 medical conditions differed (1) before and during the pandemic and (2) across COVID-19 caseloads. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study compared patient hospitalizations between April 1, 2018, and September 30, 2019 (prepandemic), vs between April 1, 2020, and September 30, 2021 (during the pandemic), in 235 acute care hospitals in Alberta and Ontario, Canada. All adults hospitalized for heart failure (HF), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) or asthma, urinary tract infection or urosepsis, acute coronary syndrome, or stroke were included. Exposure: The monthly surge index for each hospital from April 2020 through September 2021 was used as a measure of COVID-19 caseload relative to baseline bed capacity. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary study outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality after hospital admission for the 5 selected conditions or COVID-19 as measured by hierarchical multivariable regression models. Length of stay was the secondary outcome. Results: Between April 2018 and September 2019, 132 240 patients (mean [SD] age, 71.8 [14.8] years; 61 493 female [46.5%] and 70 747 male [53.5%]) were hospitalized for the selected medical conditions as their most responsible diagnosis compared with 115 225 (mean [SD] age, 71.9 [14.7] years, 52 058 female [45.2%] and 63 167 male [54.8%]) between April 2020 and September 2021 (114 414 [99.3%] of whom had negative SARS-CoV-2 test results). Patients admitted during the pandemic with any of the selected conditions and concomitant SARS-CoV-2 infection exhibited a much longer LOS (mean [SD], 8.6 [7.1] days or a median of 6 days longer [range, 1-22 days]) and greater mortality (varying across diagnoses, but with a mean [SD] absolute increase at 30 days of 4.7% [3.1%]) than those without coinfection. Patients hospitalized with any of the selected conditions without concomitant SARS-CoV-2 infection had similar LOSs during the pandemic as before the pandemic, and only patients with HF (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 1.16; 95% CI, 1.09-1.24) and COPD or asthma (AOR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.30-1.53) had a higher risk-adjusted 30-day mortality during the pandemic. As hospitals experienced COVID-19 surges, LOS and risk-adjusted mortality remained stable for patients with the selected conditions but were higher in patients with COVID-19. Once capacity reached above the 99th percentile, patients' 30-day mortality AOR was 1.80 (95% CI, 1.24-2.61) vs when the surge index was below the 75th percentile. Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study found that during surges in COVID-19 caseloads, mortality rates were significantly higher only for hospitalized patients with COVID-19. However, most patients hospitalized with non-COVID-19 conditions and negative SARS-CoV-2 test results (except those with HF or with COPD or asthma) exhibited similar risk-adjusted outcomes during the pandemic as before the pandemic, even during COVID-19 caseload surges, suggesting resiliency in the event of regional or hospital-specific occupancy strains.

Quantifying COPD as a risk factor for cardiac disease in a primary prevention cohort.

BACKGROUND: Despite COPD being a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and knowing that risk stratification for CVD primary prevention is important, little is known about the real-world risk of CVD among people with COPD with no history of CVD. This knowledge would inform CVD management for people with COPD. The current study aimed to examine the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) (including acute myocardial infarction, stroke or cardiovascular death) in a large, complete real-world population with COPD without previous CVD. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective population cohort study using health administrative, medication, laboratory, electronic medical record and other data from Ontario, Canada. People without a history of CVD with and without physician-diagnosed COPD were followed between 2008 and 2016, and cardiac risk factors and comorbidities compared. Sequential cause-specific hazard models adjusting for these factors determined the risk of MACE in people with COPD. RESULTS: Among ∼5.8 million individuals in Ontario aged ≥40 years without CVD, 152 125 had COPD. After adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, comorbidities and other variables, the rate of MACE was 25% higher in persons with COPD compared with those without COPD (hazard ratio 1.25, 95% CI 1.23-1.27). CONCLUSIONS: In a large real-world population without CVD, people with physician-diagnosed COPD were 25% more likely to have a major CVD event, after adjustment for CVD risk and other factors. This rate is comparable to the rate in people with diabetes and calls for more aggressive CVD primary prevention in the COPD population.

Sex-Based Differences in Severe Outcomes, Including Cardiovascular Hospitalization, in Adults With COVID-19 in Ontario, Canada.

Background: While men have experienced higher risks of SARS-CoV-2 infection compared to women, an analysis of sex differences by age in severe outcomes during the acute phase of infection is lacking. Objectives: The purpose of this study was to assess heterogeneity in severe outcome risks by age and sex by conducting a retrospective cohort study of community-dwelling adults in Ontario who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection during the first 3 waves. Methods: Adjusted odds ratios were estimated using multilevel multivariable logistic regression models including an interaction term for age and sex. The primary outcome was a composite of severe outcomes (hospitalization for a cardiovascular (CV) event, intensive care unit admission, mechanical ventilation, or death) within 30 days. Results: Among 30,736, 199,132, and 186,131 adults who tested positive during the first 3 waves, 1,908 (6.2%), 5,437 (2.7%), and 5,653 (3.0%) experienced a severe outcome within 30 days. For all outcomes, the sex-specific risk depended on age (all P for interaction <0.05). Men with SARS-CoV-2 infection experienced a higher risk of outcomes than infected women of the same age, except for the risk of all-cause hospitalization being higher for young women than men (ages 18-45 years) during waves 2 and 3. The sex disparity in CV hospitalization across all ages either persisted or increased with each subsequent wave. Conclusions: To mitigate risks in subsequent waves, it is helpful to further understand the factors that contribute to the generally higher risks faced by men across all ages, and the persistent or increasing sex disparity in the risk of CV hospitalization.

Comorbidity-stratified estimates of 30-day mortality risk by age for unvaccinated men and women with COVID-19: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The mortality risk following COVID-19 diagnosis in men and women with common comorbidities at different ages has been difficult to communicate to the general public. The purpose of this study was to determine the age at which unvaccinated men and women with common comorbidities have a mortality risk which exceeds that of 75- and 65-year-old individuals in the general population (Phases 1b/1c thresholds of the Centre for Disease Control Vaccine Rollout Recommendations) following COVID-19 infection during the first wave. METHODS: We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study using linked administrative datasets in Ontario, Canada. We identified all community-dwelling adults diagnosed with COVID-19 between January 1 and October 31st, 2020. Exposures of interest were age (modelled using restricted cubic splines) and the following conditions: major cardiovascular disease (recent myocardial infarction or lifetime history of heart failure); 2) diabetes; 3) hypertension; 4) recent cancer; 5) chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; 6) Stages 4/5 chronic kidney disease (CKD); 7) frailty. Logistic regression in the full cohort was used to estimate the risk of 30-day mortality for 75- and 65-year-old individuals. Analyses were repeated after stratifying by sex and medical condition to determine the age at which 30-day morality risk in strata exceed that of the general population at ages 65 and 75 years. RESULTS: We studied 52,429 individuals (median age 42 years; 52.5% women) of whom 417 (0.8%) died within 30 days. The 30-day mortality risk increased with age, male sex, and comorbidities. The 65- and 75-year-old mortality risks in the general population were exceeded at the youngest age by people with CKD, cancer, and frailty. Conversely, women aged < 65 years who had diabetes or hypertension did not have higher mortality than 65-year-olds in the general population. Most people with medical conditions (except for Stage 4-5 CKD) aged < 45 years had lower predicted mortality than the general population at age 65 years. CONCLUSION: The mortality risk in COVID-19 increases with age and comorbidity but the prognostic implications varied by sex and condition. These observations can support communication efforts and inform vaccine rollout in jurisdictions with limited vaccine supplies.

Maternal Health Outcomes After Pregnancy-Associated Stroke: A Population-Based Study With 19 Years of Follow-Up.

BACKGROUND: Pregnancy-associated stroke carries high short-term morbidity and mortality, but data on subsequent maternal outcomes are limited. We evaluated long-term maternal health outcomes after pregnancy-associated stroke. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we used administrative data to identify pregnant adults aged ≤49 years with stroke between 2002-2020 in Ontario, Canada and 2 comparison groups: (1) non-pregnant female patients with stroke and (2) pregnant patients without stroke. Patients who survived the index admission were followed until 2021. After propensity score matching, we used Cox regression with a robust variance estimator to compare pregnant patients with stroke and the 2 comparison groups for the composite outcome of death and all-cause non-pregnancy readmission. Where proportional hazard assumption was not met, we reported time-varying hazard ratios (HR) with 95% CIs by modeling the log-hazard ratio as a function of time using restricted cubic splines. RESULTS: We identified 217 pregnant patients with stroke, 7604 non-pregnant patients with stroke, and 1 496 256 pregnant patients without stroke. Of the 202 pregnant patients with stroke who survived the index stroke admission, 41.6% (6.8 per 100 person-years) subsequently died or were readmitted during follow-up. Median follow-up times were 5 years (pregnancy-associated stroke), 3 years (non-pregnant stroke), and 8 years (pregnant without stroke). Pregnant patients with stroke had a lower hazard of death and all-cause readmission compared with non-pregnant patients with stroke at 1-year follow-up (HR, 0.64 [95% CI, 0.44-0.94]), but this association did not persist during longer-term follow-up. Conversely, pregnant patients with stroke had higher hazard of death and readmission compared with pregnant patients without stroke at 1-year follow-up (HR, 5.70 [95% CI, 3.04-10.66]), and this association persisted for a decade. CONCLUSIONS: Stroke during pregnancy is associated with long-term health consequences. It is essential to transition care postpartum to primary or specialty care to optimize vascular health.

Primary Care Clinical Volumes, Cholesterol Testing, and Cardiovascular Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: It is unknown whether the annual number of primary care physician (PCP) unique outpatient assessments, which we refer to as clinical volume, translates into better cardiovascular preventive care. We examined the relationship between PCP outpatient clinical volumes and cholesterol testing and major adverse cardiovascular event rates among guideline-recommended eligible patients. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study conducted as part of the Cardiovascular Health in Ambulatory Care Research Team (CANHEART) cohort, a population-based cohort of almost all adult residents of Ontario, Canada, followed from 2008 to 2012. For each clinical volume quintile, we compared cholesterol testing and major adverse cardiovascular events, defined as time to first event of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke. RESULTS: The 10,037 PCPs evaluated had an annualized median volume of 2303 clinical encounters (IQR 1292-3680). Among 4,740,380 patients, 84% underwent guideline-concordant cholesterol testing at least once over 5 years, ranging from 73% with the lowest clinical volume quintile physicians to 86% with the highest. After multivariable adjustment, there was a 10.5% relative increase in the probability of cholesterol testing for every doubling of clinical volumes (95% CI 9.7-11.4; P < 0.001). Patients treated by the lowest volume quintile physicians had the highest rate of major adverse cardiovascular outcomes (compared with the highest volume quintile physicians: adjusted HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.10-1.21; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Patients of physicians with the lowest clinical volumes received less frequent cholesterol testing and had the highest rate of incident cardiovascular events. Further research investigating the drivers of this relationship is warranted.

Severity of obstructive coronary artery stenosis after pre-eclampsia.

INTRODUCTION: Women with a history of pre-eclampsia are at higher risk of premature coronary artery disease. Assessment of obstructive coronary artery stenosis by invasive coronary angiography has not been evaluated after pre-eclampsia. METHODS: A population-based cohort study was completed in Ontario, Canada, where there is universal healthcare and collection of angiographic data. Included were women with a live birth or stillbirth from 2002 to 2020, and without known heart disease. One birth was randomly selected per woman. The main exposure compared women with versus without pre-eclampsia. The primary outcome was angiographically established obstructive coronary artery stenosis, assessed starting 42 days after the index birth. Cause-specific hazard models accounting for competing risks generated HRs, adjusted for age, parity, income, rurality, diabetes, chronic hypertension, renal disease, substance use and dyslipidaemia. RESULTS: Among 42 252 women ever with pre-eclampsia and 1359 122 never with pre-eclampsia, mean age was 31.1 years and 30.6 years, respectively. After 9 years of follow-up, obstructive coronary artery stenosis occurred in 186 women with pre-eclampsia (4.53 per 10 000 person-years) versus 1237 women without pre-eclampsia (0.97 per 10 000 person-years)-an unadjusted HR 4.41 (95% CI 3.78 to 5.14) and adjusted HR 2.07 (95% CI 1.77 to 2.43). Relative to those with neither, the adjusted HR for coronary stenosis was highest in women with pre-eclampsia and preterm birth (3.11, 95% CI 2.51 to 3.87), or pre-eclampsia and stillbirth (2.80, 95% CI 1.05 to 7.47). CONCLUSIONS: Pre-eclampsia is associated with a greater risk of premature-onset obstructive coronary artery stenosis, especially when it is complicated by a preterm birth or a stillbirth.

Impact of outcome definitions on cardiovascular risk prediction in a contemporary primary prevention population.

BACKGROUND: Estimation of an individual's cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk may enhance risk discussion and treatment decisions. Yet, common cardiovascular outcomes such as heart failure (HF) or coronary revascularization are not included in the estimation of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. Our objective was to determine the incidence of ASCVD in a contemporary primary prevention population with >10 years of follow-up and how incidence estimates change when incorporating additional cardiovascular endpoints. METHODS: We used the population-level Cardiovascular Health in Ambulatory Care Research Team database of all Ontario residents alive 1 January 2008, aged 30-99 years, and with no prior history of CVD. Individuals were followed to 31 December 2018 for incident first and recurrent cardiovascular events. ASCVD outcomes were defined by hospitalizations for myocardial infarction, stroke, and circulatory death, while global CVD outcomes also included hospitalizations for unstable angina, transient ischemic attacks, peripheral arterial disease, out-of-hospital cardiac arrests, HF, and coronary revascularization. RESULTS: Among 7496 165 individuals free of CVD, their mean age was 50 years (SD: 13.9 years) and 52.3% were women. After 11 years of follow-up, the rate of an incident ASCVD event was 3.95 per 1000 person-years, while the rate of a global CVD event was almost doubled at 6.67 per 1000 person-years. The most common additional first manifestations of CVD were HF, which accounted for 12.0% of additional events and coronary revascularization, which accounted for 12.7%. When considering first and recurrent events, the rate of ASCVD was 5.20 per 1000 person-years, while the rate of all global CVD events was more than double at 10.90 per 1000 person-years. This was mainly due to a higher proportion of recurrent HF (13.8%) and coronary revascularization (23.2%) events. CONCLUSIONS: ASCVD accounts for just over half of all preventable first cardiovascular events and even fewer first and recurrent cardiovascular events in contemporary practice. Estimating broader CVD endpoints may enhance risk-discussions with patients and improve informed decision-making.

Derivation and validation of predictive indices for cardiac readmission after coronary and valvular surgery - A multicenter study.

Objective: To derive and validate models to predict the risk of a cardiac readmission within one year after specific cardiac surgeries using information that is commonly available from hospital electronic medical records. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, we derived and externally validated clinical models to predict the likelihood of cardiac readmissions within one-year of isolated CABG, AVR, and combined CABG+AVR in Ontario, Canada, using multiple clinical registries and routinely collected administrative databases. For all adult patients who underwent these procedures, multiple Fine and Gray subdistribution hazard models were derived within a competing-risk framework using the cohort from April 2015 to March 2018 and validated in an independent cohort (April 2018 to March 2020). Results: For the model that predicted post-CABG cardiac readmission, the c-statistic was 0.73 in the derivation cohort and 0.70 in the validation cohort at one-year. For the model that predicted post-AVR cardiac readmission, the c-statistic was 0.74 in the derivation and 0.73 in the validation cohort at one-year. For the model that predicted cardiac readmission following CABG+AVR, the c-statistic was 0.70 in the derivation and 0.66 in the validation cohort at one-year. Conclusions: Prediction of one-year cardiac readmission for isolated CABG, AVR, and combined CABG+AVR can be achieved parsimoniously using multidimensional data sources. Model discrimination was better than existing models derived from single and multicenter registries.

Eligibility and Implementation of Rivaroxaban for Secondary Prevention of Atherothrombosis in Clinical Practice-Insights From the CANHEART Study.

Background The COMPASS (Cardiovascular Outcomes for People Using Anticoagulation Strategies) trial decreased major adverse cardiovascular events with very low-dose rivaroxaban and aspirin in patients with coronary artery disease and peripheral artery disease. We examined the eligibility and potential real-world impact of this strategy on the COMPASS-eligible population. Methods and Results COMPASS eligibility criteria were applied to the CANHEART (Cardiovascular Health in Ambulatory Care Research Team) registry, a population-based cohort of Ontario adults. We compared 5-year major adverse cardiovascular events and major bleeding rates stratified by COMPASS eligibility and by clinical risk factors. We applied COMPASS trial rivaroxaban/aspirin arm hazard ratios to estimate the potential impact on the COMPASS-eligible cohort. Among 362 797 patients with coronary artery disease or peripheral artery disease, 38% were deemed eligible, 47% ineligible, and 15% indeterminate. Among eligible patients, a greater number of risk factors was associated with higher rates of cardiovascular outcomes, whereas bleeding rates increased minimally. Over 5 years, applying COMPASS treatment effects to eligible patients resulted in a 2.4% absolute risk reduction of major adverse cardiovascular events and a number needed to treat of 42, and a 1.3% absolute risk increase of major bleeding and number needed to harm (NNH) of 77. Those with at least 2 risk factors had a 3.0% absolute risk reduction of major adverse cardiovascular events (number needed to treat =34) and a 1.6% absolute risk increase of major bleeding (number needed to harm =61). Conclusions Implementation of very-low-dose rivaroxaban therapy would potentially impact ≈$$ \approx $$2 in 5 patients with atherosclerotic disease in Ontario. Eligible individuals with ≥$$ \ge $$2 comorbidities represent a high-risk subgroup that may derive the greatest benefit-to-risk ratio. Selection of patients with high-risk predisposing factors appears appropriate in routine practice.

Patient clustering in primary care settings: Outcomes and quality of care.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether neighbours who share the same family physicians have better cardiovascular and health care outcomes. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using administrative health databases. SETTING: Ontario. PARTICIPANTS: The study population included 2,690,482 adult patients cared for by 1710 family physicians. INTERVENTIONS: Adult residents of Ontario were linked to their family physicians and the geographic distance between patients in the same panel or list was calculated. Using distance between patients within a panel to stratify physicians into quintiles of panel proximity, physicians and patients from close-proximity practices were compared with those from more-distant-proximity practices. Age- and sex-standardized incidence rates and hazard ratios from cause-specific hazards regression models were determined. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The occurrence of a major cardiovascular event during a 5-year follow-up period (2008 to 2012). RESULTS: Patients of panels in the closest-proximity quintile lived an average of 3.9 km from the 10 closest patients in their panel compared with 12.4 km for the 10 closest patients of panels in the distant-proximity quintile. After adjusting for various patient and physician characteristics, patients in the most-distant-proximity practices had a 24% higher rate of cardiovascular events (adjusted hazard ratio=1.24 [95% CI 1.20 to 1.28], P<.001) than patients in the closest-proximity practices. Age- and sex-standardized all-cause mortality and total per patient health care costs were also lowest in the closest-proximity quintile. In sensitivity analyses restricted to large urban communities and to White long-term residents, results were similar. CONCLUSION: The better cardiovascular outcomes observed in close-proximity panels may be related to a previously unrecognized mechanism of social connectedness that extends the effectiveness of primary care practitioners.

Prevalence and Treatment of Familial Hypercholesterolemia and Severe Hypercholesterolemia in Older Adults in Ontario, Canada.

Background: A simplified Canadian definition was recently developed to enable identification of individuals with familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) and severe hypercholesterolemia in the general population. Our objective was to use a modified version of this new definition to assess contemporary disease prevalence, treatment patterns, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) control in Ontario, Canada. Methods: We identified individuals aged 66 to 105 years who were alive as of January 1, 2011, using the Cardiovascular Health in Ambulatory Care Research Team (CANHEART) database, which was created by linking 19 population-based health databases in Ontario. Hypercholesterolemia was identified using LDL-C values. Cholesterol reduction and lipid-lowering treatment were assessed at time of diagnosis and after at least 2 and 5 years' follow-up. Results: Among 922,464 individuals, 2440 (0.26%) met criteria for definite or probable FH, and 72,893 (7.90%) for severe hypercholesterolemia. At diagnosis, mean LDL-C concentration was 9.52 mmol/L for those with definite FH, 5.83 mmol/L for those with probable FH, 5.73 mmol/L for those with severe hypercholesterolemia, and 3.33 mmol/L for all other individuals. After > 5 years, LDL-C concentration remained elevated at 3.58 mmol/L for those with definite FH, 2.72 mmol/L for those with probable FH, and 2.93 mmol/L for those with severe hypercholesteremia. Use of statin therapy was initially high (83% of those with definite FH, 78% of those with probable FH, 62% of those with severe hypercholesterolemia); however, fewer patients remained on statins at follow-up at > 5 years (62% of those with definite FH, 67% of those with probable FH, 58% of those with severe hypercholesterolemia). Conclusions: Among older Ontarians, we estimated that 1 in 378 individuals had FH, and 1 in 13 had severe hypercholesterolemia. Despite being at substantially increased cardiovascular risk, these patients acheived suboptimal LDL-C level control and fewer were on medical therapy at follow-up.

Introduction: Une définition canadienne simplifiée a récemment été élaborée pour permettre la détection des personnes atteintes d'hypercholestérolémie familiale (HF) et d'hypercholestérolémie grave au sein de la population générale. Notre objectif était d'utiliser la version modifiée de cette nouvelle définition pour évaluer la prévalence contemporaine de la maladie, les schémas de traitement et la maîtrise du cholestérol à lipoprotéines de faible densité (cholestérol LDL) en Ontario, au Canada. Méthodes: Nous avons recensé les individus âgés de 66 à 105 ans qui étaient en vie au 1er janvier 2011 à partir de la base de données Cardiovascular Health in Ambulatory Care Research Team (CANHEART), qui a été créée par la liaison de 19 bases de données populationnelles de l'Ontario. L'hypercholestérolémie a été définie par les valeurs du cholestérol LDL. Nous avons évalué la diminution du cholestérol et le traitement hypolipémiant au moment du diagnostic et après au moins les suivis après 2 ans et après 5 ans. Résultats: Parmi les 922 464 personnes, 2 440 (0,26 %) répondaient aux critères de diagnostic définitif ou de diagnostic probable d'HF, et 72 893 (7,90 %), aux critères d'hypocholestérolémie grave. Au diagnostic, les concentrations moyennes de cholestérol LDL étaient de 9,52 mmol/l chez ceux qui avaient un diagnostic définitif d'HF, de 5,83 mmol/l chez ceux qui avaient un diagnostic probable d'HF, de 5,73 mmol/l chez ceux qui avaient un diagnostic d'hypercholestérolémie grave et de 3,33 mmol/l chez toutes les autres personnes. Après > 5 ans, les concentrations de cholestérol LDL étaient demeurées élevées : 3,58 mmol/l chez ceux qui avaient un diagnostic définitif d'HF, 2,72 mmol/l chez ceux qui avaient un diagnostic probable d'HF et 2,93 mmol/l chez ceux qui avaient un diagnostic d'hypercholestérolémie grave. L'utilisation du traitement par statines était initialement élevée (83 % de ceux qui avaient un diagnostic définitif d'HF, 78 % de ceux qui avaient un diagnostic probable d'HF, 62 % de ceux qui avaient un diagnostic d'hypercholestérolémie grave). Toutefois, moins de patients avaient conservé les statines au suivi > 5 ans (62 % de ceux qui avaient un diagnostic définitif d'HF, 67 % de ceux qui avaient un diagnostic probable d'HF, 58 % de ceux qui avaient un diagnostic d'hypercholestérolémie grave). Conclusions: Parmi les Ontariens âgés, nous avons estimé que 1 sur 378 personnes avaient une HF, et que 1 sur 13 avaient une hypercholestérolémie grave. Malgré le fait qu'ils sont exposés à un risque cardiovasculaire substantiellement élevé, ces patients ont atteint une maîtrise sous-optimale du taux de cholestérol LDL et moins d'entre eux étaient sous traitement médical au suivi.

Population-Based Recalibration of the Framingham Risk Score and Pooled Cohort Equations.

BACKGROUND: The Framingham Risk Score (FRS) and Pooled Cohort Equations (PCEs) overestimate risk in many contemporary cohorts. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to determine if recalibration of these scores using contemporary population-level data improves risk stratification for statin therapy. METHODS: Five-year FRS and PCEs were recalibrated using a cohort of Ontario residents alive January 1, 2011, who were 30 to 79 years of age without cardiovascular disease. Scores were externally validated in a primary care cohort of routinely collected electronic medical record data from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2014. The relative difference in mean predicted and observed risk, number of statins avoided, and number needed to treat with statins to reduce a cardiovascular event at 5 years were reported. RESULTS: The FRS was recalibrated in 6,938,971 Ontario residents (51.6% women, mean age 48 years) and validated in 71,450 individuals (56.1% women, mean age 52 years). Recalibration reduced overestimation from 109% to 49% for women and 131% to 32% for men. The recalibrated FRS was estimated to reduce statin prescriptions in up to 26 per 1,000 low-risk women and 80 per 1,000 low-risk men, as well as reduce the number needed to treat from 61 to 47 in women and from 53 to 41 in men. In contrast, after recalibration of the PCEs, risk remained overestimated by 217% in women and 128% in men. CONCLUSIONS: Recalibration is a feasible solution to improve risk prediction but is dependent on the model being used. Recalibration of the FRS but not the PCEs reduced overestimation and may improve utilization of statins.

Using Big Data for Cardiovascular Health Surveillance: Insights From 10.3 Million Individuals in the CANHEART Cohort.

BACKGROUND: The increasing availability of large electronic population-based databases offers unique opportunities to conduct cardiovascular health surveillance traditionally done using surveys. We aimed to examine cardiovascular risk-factor burden, preventive care, and disease incidence among adults in Ontario, Canada-using routinely collected data-and compare estimates with health survey data. METHODS: In the Cardiovascular Health in Ambulatory Care Research Team (CANHEART) initiative, multiple health administrative databases were linked to create a population-based cohort of 10.3 million adults without histories of cardiovascular disease. We examined cardiovascular risk-factor burden and screening and outcomes between 2016 and 2020. Risk- factor burden was also compared with cycles 3 to 5 (2012 to 2017) of the Canadian Health Measures Survey (CMHS), which included 9473 participants across Canada. RESULTS: Mean age of our study cohort was 47.9 ± 17.0 years, and 52.0% were women. Lipid and diabetes assessment rates among individuals 40 to 79 years were 76.6% and 78.2%, respectively, and lowest among men 40 to 49 years of age. Total cholesterol levels and diabetes and hypertension rates among men and women 20 to 79 years were similar to Canadian Health Measures Survey (CHMS) findings (total cholesterol: 4.80/4.98 vs 4.94/5.25 mmol/L; diabetes: 8.2%/7.1% vs 8.1%/6.0%; hypertension: 21.4%/21.6% vs 23.9%/23.1%, respectively); however, patients in the CANHEART study had slightly higher mean glucose (men: 5.79 vs 5.44; women: 5.39 vs 5.09 mmol/L) and systolic blood pressures (men: 126.2 vs 118.3; women: 120.6 vs 115.7 mm Hg). CONCLUSIONS: Cardiovascular health surveillance is possible through linkage of routinely collected electronic population-based datasets. However, further investigation is needed to understand differences between health administrative and survey measures cross-sectionally and over time.

Trends in glucose testing among individuals without diabetes in Ontario between 2010 and 2017: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Early identification of people with diabetes or prediabetes enables greater opportunities for glycemic control and management strategies to prevent related complications. To identify gaps in screening for these conditions, we examined population trends in receipt of timely glucose testing overall and in specific clinical subgroups. METHODS: Using linked administrative databases, we conducted a retrospective cohort study of people aged 40 years and older without diabetes at baseline. Our primary outcome was up-to-date glucose testing, defined as having received testing at least once in the 3 years before each index year from 2010 to 2017, using linked administrative databases of people residing in Ontario, Canada. We calculated rates of up-to-date testing by age group, sex, ethnicity (South Asian, Chinese, general population) and comorbidities (hypertension, hyperlipidemia, cardiovascular disease). RESULTS: Over the 8-year study period, up-to-date glucose testing rates were stable at 67% for men and 77% for women (both relative risk 1.00 per year; 95% confidence interval 1.00-1.00). Testing rates were significantly lower in men than in women (all age groups p < 0.001) and lower in younger than older age groups (except those aged ≥ 80 yr). South Asian people had the highest testing rates, although among people aged 70 years or older, testing was highest in the general population (p < 0.001). Among people with hypertension, hyperlipidemia and cardiovascular disease, annual testing rates were also stable, but only 58% overall among people with hypertension. INTERPRETATION: We found lower glucose testing rates in younger men and people with hypertension. Our findings reinforce the need for initiatives to increase awareness of glycemic testing.