The relationship between serum HDL-cholesterol, cardiovascular disease and mortality in community-based people with type 2 diabetes: the Fremantle Diabetes Study phase 2.

BACKGROUND: Older general population-based studies found an inverse association between serum HDL-cholesterol and both cardiovascular disease (CVD) events and mortality, but more recent data have suggested a U-shaped relationship. Whether this applies to type 2 diabetes is uncertain. The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic significance of serum HDL-cholesterol concentrations in representative, community-based participants from the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II (FDS2). METHODS: We followed 1,479 FDS2 participants with confirmed type 2 diabetes (713 females, mean age 65.6 years; 763 males, mean age 65.9 years) from entry (2008-2011) to death/end-2021. Major adverse cardiovascular events (non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), non-fatal stroke, cardiovascular death; 3-point MACE), and all-cause mortality were ascertained from prospectively collected data and validated administrative databases. Independent associates of 3-point MACE by sex, excluding participants with prior MI/stroke, were assessed using Cox and competing risk models with sex-specific quintiles of HDL-cholesterol added to the most parsimonious models. Predictors of all-cause mortality were identified using Cox proportional hazards modelling. RESULTS: In females, with baseline serum HDL-cholesterol quintile 2 (1.04-1.22 mmol/L) as reference, both quintiles 1 (< 1.04 mmol/L) and 5 (> 1.59 mmol/L) were significant independent predictors of 3-point MACE (P < 0.027) and all-cause death (P < 0.019) after adjustment for a full range of demographic, clinical and laboratory variables. In males, serum HDL-cholesterol quintile did not add to the most parsimonious model for 3-point MACE, but quintile 1 (< 0.90 mmol/L) was a significant predictor of death (P = 0.026 versus quintile 4 (1.15-1.31 mmol/L) as reference) after adjustment. Competing risk analyses for 3-point MACE showed similar results to the Cox models for both sexes. CONCLUSION: There was a significant U-shaped relationship between serum HDL-cholesterol and both 3-point MACE and all-cause death in females with type 2 diabetes after adjustment for confounders. There was no such relationship for 3-point MACE in males but a low HDL-cholesterol was associated with all-cause mortality. These data have sex-specific implications for assessment of serum lipid profiles in the clinical management of type 2 diabetes.

The inter-relationship between Helicobacter pylori infection, dementia and mortality in type 2 diabetes: The Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase I.

BACKGROUND: Given sparse relevant data, the aim of this study was to determine whether Helicobacter pylori infection, including cytotoxin-associated gene-A (CagA) producing strains, is associated with dementia in type 2 diabetes (T2DM). METHODS: Longitudinal data from 1115 participants in the community-based Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase I (mean age 64.0 years, 48.0 % males; 38.0 % H. pylori seronegative, 24.3 % H. pylori seropositive/CagA seronegative, and 37.7 % H. pylori/CagA seropositive at baseline) were analyzed. RESULTS: During up to 19 years of follow-up, 50.3 % and 83.5 % of participants without and with incident dementia, respectively, died. In Cox proportional hazards models, H. pylori/CagA seropositivity (hazard ratio (95 % CI) 1.68 (1.15, 2.46), P = 0.008), but not H. pylori seropositivity/CagA seronegativity (P = 0.541) was an independent predictor of incident dementia, but neither H. pylori seropositivity/CagA seronegativity nor H. pylori/CagA seropositivity were significant predictors in competing risks models (P ≥ 0.280). CONCLUSIONS: Although CagA seropositivity in T2DM may have a contributory etiologic role in the risk of dementia, this may be through its association with reduced cardiovascular/all-cause mortality.

Changes in thyroid function and evolution of subclinical thyroid disease in older men.

OBJECTIVE: Prevalence of subclinical thyroid disease increases with age, but optimal detection and surveillance strategies remain unclear particularly for older men. We aimed to assess thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) and free thyroxine (FT4) concentrations and their longitudinal changes, to determine the prevalence and incidence of subclinical thyroid dysfunction in older men. DESIGN, PARTICIPANTS AND MEASUREMENTS: Longitudinal study of 994 community-dwelling men aged ≥70 years without known or current thyroid disease, with TSH and FT4 concentrations assessed at baseline and follow-up (after 8.7 ± 0.9 years). Factors associated with incident subclinical thyroid dysfunction were examined by logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic analyses. RESULTS: At baseline, 85 men (8.6%) had subclinical hypothyroidism and 10 (1.0%) subclinical hyperthyroidism. Among 899 men euthyroid at baseline (mean age 75.0 ± 3.0 years), 713 (79.3%) remained euthyroid, 180 (20.0%) developed subclinical/overt hypothyroidism, and 6 (0.7%) subclinical/overt hyperthyroidism. Change in TSH correlated with baseline TSH (r = .16, p < .05). Change in FT4 correlated inversely with baseline FT4 (r = -0.35, p < .05). Only higher age and baseline TSH predicted progression from euthyroid to subclinical/overt hypothyroidism (fully-adjusted odds ratio [OR] per year=1.09, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.02-1.17, p = .006; per 2.7-fold increase in TSH OR = 65.4, CI = 31.9-134, p < .001). Baseline TSH concentration ≥2.34 mIU/L had 76% sensitivity and 77% specificity for predicting development of subclinical/overt hypothyroidism. CONCLUSIONS: In older men TSH concentration increased over time, while FT4 concentration showed little change. Subclinical or overt hypothyroidism evolved in one fifth of initially euthyroid men, age and higher baseline TSH predicted this outcome. Increased surveillance for thyroid dysfunction may be justified in older men, especially those with high-normal TSH.

Serum bicarbonate concentration and the risk of death in type 2 diabetes: the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II.

AIMS: To examine whether all-cause mortality is independently associated with serum bicarbonate concentration below the laboratory reference interval in a representative, well-characterised community-based cohort of people with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: 1478 FDS2 participants with type 2 diabetes (mean age 65.8 years, 51.6% males, median diabetes duration 9.0 years) from the longitudinal, observational Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II (FDS2) were followed from study entry to death or end-2016. Independent associates of a low baseline serum bicarbonate (< 22 mmol/L) were determined using multiple logistic regression. The role of important covariates in influencing the association between bicarbonate and mortality was assessed by a stepwise Cox regression approach. RESULTS: A low serum bicarbonate was associated with increased all-cause mortality in unadjusted analysis (hazard ratio (HR) 1.90 (95% confidence limits (CL) 1.39, 2.60 per mmol/L). Mortality remained significantly associated with low serum bicarbonate (HR 1.40 (95% CL 1.01, 1.94) per mmol/L) in a Cox regression model with adjustment for factors associated with mortality but not low serum bicarbonate, but inclusion of estimated glomerular filtration rate categories rendered the association non-significant (HR 1.16 (95% CL 0.83, 1.63) per mmol/L). CONCLUSIONS: A low serum bicarbonate is not an independent prognostic marker in people with type 2 diabetes but it may be a manifestation of the pathway between the development of impaired renal function and death.

The relationship between thyroid dysfunction, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in type 2 diabetes: The Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II.

AIMS: It is uncertain whether subclinical thyroid dysfunction is associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) events and mortality in people with type 2 diabetes. The aim of this study was to determine whether undetected thyroid disease increases the risk of incident CVD and death in type 2 diabetes. METHODS: One thousand two hundred fifty participants with type 2 diabetes (mean age 65.3 years, 56.5% males, median diabetes duration 8.0 years) without known thyroid disease and not taking medications known to affect thyroid function were categorised, based on baseline serum free thyroxine (FT4) and thyrotropin (TSH) concentrations, as euthyroid, overt hypothyroid (increased TSH, low FT4), subclinical hypothyroid (increased TSH, normal FT4), overt thyrotoxic (decreased TSH, raised FT4) or subclinical thyrotoxic (decreased TSH, normal FT4). Incident myocardial infarction, incident stroke, all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were ascertained during a mean 6.2-6.7 years of follow-up. RESULTS: Most participants with newly-detected thyroid dysfunction had subclinical hypothyroidism (77.2%) while overt/subclinical thyrotoxicosis was infrequent. Compared to participants with TSH 0.34-2.9 mU/L, those with TSH > 5.1 mU/L were not at increased risk of incident myocardial infarction (adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence limits) 1.77 (0.71, 2.87)), incident stroke (1.66 (0.58, 4.78)), all-cause mortality (0.78 (0.44, 1.37)) or cardiovascular mortality (1.16 (0.38, 3.58)). Independent baseline associates of subclinical hypothyroidism included estimated glomerular filtration rate and systolic blood pressure. CONCLUSIONS: Subclinical hypothyroidism was not independently associated with CVD events or mortality in community-dwelling people with type 2 diabetes despite its associations with CVD risk factors, questioning strategies to identify and/or treat mild thyroid dysfunction outside usual care.

Changes in the Epidemiology of Hepatobiliary Disease Complicating Type 2 Diabetes over 25 Years: The Fremantle Diabetes Study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the incidence/outcome of hepatobiliary disease (HBD) has increased over recent decades in community-based Australians with and without type 2 diabetes (T2D). METHODS: Longitudinal data from the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase I (FDS1; recruitment 1993-1996; n = 1291 with T2D) and Phase II (FDS2; 2008-2011; n = 1509) were analyzed. Participants with T2D from both Phases were age-, sex-, and postcode-matched 1:4 to people without diabetes. Incident HBD and associated mortality were ascertained from hospitalization, cancer registration, and/or death certification codes. Incidence rates (IRs) and IR ratios (IRRs) for those with versus without diabetes in FDS1 and FDS2 were calculated. RESULTS: HBD IRs for people without diabetes did not change between Phases. The IRR (95% CI) for people with T2D in FDS2 versus FDS1 was 1.30 (1.01-1.68) with the highest IRRs in participants aged <65 years. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease/steatohepatitis (NAFLD/NASH) events were 54% greater in FDS2 than FDS1 in the presence of greater abdominal adiposity. NAFLD/NASH was coded in one in 11 HBD events in FDS2 and in 10% of HBD deaths (<4% of total mortality). CONCLUSIONS: HBD is more frequent in people with versus without T2D and this discrepancy is increasing. Hospitalizations/deaths due to NAFLD/NASH remain uncommon.

U-Shaped Association of Plasma Testosterone, and no Association of Plasma Estradiol, with Incidence of Fractures in Men.

PURPOSE: Whether androgens, distinct from estrogen, maintain bone health during male aging has implications for understanding osteoporosis. We assessed associations of different sex hormones with incidence of any bone fracture or hip fracture in older men. PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS: Analysis of 3307 community-dwelling men aged 76.8 ± 3.5 years, median follow-up period of 10.6 years. Plasma testosterone (T), dihydrotestosterone (DHT), and estradiol (E2) assayed by mass spectrometry, sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG), and luteinizing hormone (LH) using immunoassay. Incident fractures determined via data linkage. We analyzed probability of fracture and performed Cox regression adjusted for age, medical comorbidities, and frailty. RESULTS: Incident fractures occurred in 330 men, including 144 hip fractures. Probability plots suggested nonlinear relationships between hormones and risk of any fracture and hip fracture, with higher risk at lower and higher plasma T, lower E2, higher SHBG, and higher LH. In fully adjusted models, there was a U-shaped association of plasma T with incidence of any fracture (Quartile 2 [Q2] versus Q1: fully adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 0.69, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.51-0.94, P = .020; Q3: HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.42-0.83, P = .002) and hip fracture (Q2 versus Q1: HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.37-0.93, P = .043; Q3: HR 0.52, 95% CI 0.31-0.88, P = .015). DHT, E2, and LH were not associated with fracture. Higher SHBG was associated with hip fracture (Q4 versus Q1: HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.05-2.96, P = .033). CONCLUSIONS: Midrange plasma T was associated with lower incidence of any fracture and hip fracture, and higher SHBG with increased risk of hip fracture. Circulating androgen rather than estrogen represents a biomarker for hormone effects on bone driving fracture risk.

The associations of anthropometric, behavioural and sociodemographic factors with circulating concentrations of IGF-I, IGF-II, IGFBP-1, IGFBP-2 and IGFBP-3 in a pooled analysis of 16,024 men from 22 studies.

Insulin-like growth factors (IGFs) and insulin-like growth factor binding proteins (IGFBPs) have been implicated in the aetiology of several cancers. To better understand whether anthropometric, behavioural and sociodemographic factors may play a role in cancer risk via IGF signalling, we examined the cross-sectional associations of these exposures with circulating concentrations of IGFs (IGF-I and IGF-II) and IGFBPs (IGFBP-1, IGFBP-2 and IGFBP-3). The Endogenous Hormones, Nutritional Biomarkers and Prostate Cancer Collaborative Group dataset includes individual participant data from 16,024 male controls (i.e. without prostate cancer) aged 22-89 years from 22 prospective studies. Geometric means of protein concentrations were estimated using analysis of variance, adjusted for relevant covariates. Older age was associated with higher concentrations of IGFBP-1 and IGFBP-2 and lower concentrations of IGF-I, IGF-II and IGFBP-3. Higher body mass index was associated with lower concentrations of IGFBP-1 and IGFBP-2. Taller height was associated with higher concentrations of IGF-I and IGFBP-3 and lower concentrations of IGFBP-1. Smokers had higher concentrations of IGFBP-1 and IGFBP-2 and lower concentrations of IGFBP-3 than nonsmokers. Higher alcohol consumption was associated with higher concentrations of IGF-II and lower concentrations of IGF-I and IGFBP-2. African Americans had lower concentrations of IGF-II, IGFBP-1, IGFBP-2 and IGFBP-3 and Hispanics had lower IGF-I, IGF-II and IGFBP-3 than non-Hispanic whites. These findings indicate that a range of anthropometric, behavioural and sociodemographic factors are associated with circulating concentrations of IGFs and IGFBPs in men, which will lead to a greater understanding of the mechanisms through which these factors influence cancer risk.

Sex hormones and incident dementia in older men: The health in men study.

BACKGROUND: Low circulating testosterone has been associated with dementia in older men but existing evidence from prospective studies is inconsistent. METHODS: We conducted a prospective longitudinal study of 4069 community-dwelling older men free of dementia aged 71-88 years at baseline. The main objective of the study was to determine if men with low circulating sex hormones were more likely to develop dementia over time. The main biochemical exposures of interest were collected at baseline between 2001 and 2004 and men were assessed for incident dementia via an electronic health records database to the 31 st of December 2013. RESULTS: Dementia developed in 499 men over a median of 10.5 years (range 9.4-12.2 years). The risk of developing dementia increased with decreasing total (hazard ratio [HR] 1.14, 95% confidence interval [95%CI] 1.03-1.26 per standard deviation decrease) and calculated free testosterone (HR 1.18, 95%CI 1.06-1.31 per standard deviation decrease) after adjustment for age, baseline cognitive function, depression, body mass, hypertension, cardiovascular disease and total plasma homocysteine. Men in the lowest quartiles of total (adjusted HR 1.39, 95%CI 1.04-1.85) and calculated free testosterone (adjusted HR 1.43, 95%CI 1.08-1.90) had increased risk of developing dementia compared to those in the highest quartiles. CONCLUSIONS: Lower plasma total and calculated free testosterone were associated with increased risk of developing dementia independent of relevant measured clinical and biochemical factors and was not explained due to differential mortality in those with lower testosterone levels. The association between low testosterone and dementia is biologically plausible but data on the role of testosterone treatment in preventing dementia is lacking and adequately powered trials in men at risk would be welcome.

A 10-Year Prospective Study of Bone Mineral Density and Bone Turnover in Males and Females With Type 1 Diabetes.

Context: In a previous community-based, cross-sectional study, males with type 1 diabetes (T1D) had lower bone mineral density (BMD) than did matched people without diabetes but females with T1D had normal BMD. Objective: To determine whether BMD in the males continued to decline, the neutral effect of T1D on BMD in females persisted, and whether temporal BMD changes reflected changes in bone turnover markers. Design: Longitudinal observational study. Setting: Urban community. Patients: Forty-eight of the original 102 original cross-sectional study participants (20 males, 28 females) of mean age 42.0 years and median diabetes duration 14.6 years at baseline who were restudied a mean of 10.3 years later. Main Outcome Measures: BMD at total hip, femoral neck, lumbar spine (L1 to L4), and distal forearm. Biochemical bone turnover markers. Results: After adjustment for age, body mass index (BMI), and renal function, there was no temporal change in BMD at the hip or forearm in the males (P ≥ 0.12), but lumbar spine BMD increased (P = 0.009). Females exhibited no statistically significant change in BMD in similar multivariable models that also included postmenopausal status, except a mild increase at the forearm (P = 0.046). Age- and sex-related changes in bone turnover markers paralleled those in general population studies. Conclusions: There is a reduction in BMD in males with T1D that occurs early in the course of the disease but then stabilizes. BMD in females with T1D remains similar to that expected for age, BMI, and postmenopausal status.

Subclinical thyroid dysfunction and circulating thyroid hormones are not associated with bone turnover markers or incident hip fracture in older men.

OBJECTIVE: Overt thyroid dysfunction is a risk factor for osteoporosis and fractures. Subclinical hyperthyroidism has also been associated with fracture. It remains unclear whether variation in thyroid hormones within the euthyroid range modulates bone health, particularly among older men. We assessed whether thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) and free thyroxine (FT4) are associated with bone turnover markers (BTMs) and predict hip fracture risk in community-dwelling older men without known thyroid disease. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. PATIENTS: Four thousand two hundred forty-eight men aged 70-89 years. MEASUREMENTS: Baseline blood samples were assayed for TSH, FT4, total osteocalcin (TOC), undercarboxylated osteocalcin (ucOC), N-terminal propeptide of type I collagen (P1NP) and collagen type I C-terminal cross-linked telopeptide (CTX). Incidence of hip fracture events was ascertained to 2012. Associations of TSH and FT4 with BTMs were analysed at baseline using Pearson correlation coefficients, and with incident hip fracture using Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: After excluding men with pre-existing thyroid or bone disease, there were 3, 338 men for analysis. Of these, 3, 117 were euthyroid, 135 had subclinical hypothyroidism, and 86 had subclinical hyperthyroidism. Men with subclinical thyroid disease were older, and those with subclinical hyperthyroidism had lower creatinine than the other groups. After multivariate analysis, there were no associations found between FT4, TSH or subclinical thyroid dysfunction and BTMs at baseline. Neither subclinical thyroid dysfunction, TSH nor FT4 were predictive of incident hip fracture in our study population. CONCLUSIONS: In euthyroid older men, TSH and FT4 were not associated with BTMs or incident hip fracture. Our findings differ from those previously described in postmenopausal women.

Clinical utility of bone turnover markers in the management of common metabolic bone diseases in adults.

Bone turnover marker (BTMs) concentrations in blood and urine reflect bone-remodelling activity, and may be useful adjuncts in the diagnosis and management of metabolic bone diseases. Newer biomarkers, mainly bone regulatory proteins, are currently being investigated to elucidate their role in bone metabolism and disease and may in future be useful in clinical diagnosis and management of metabolic bone disease. BTM concentrations increase around menopause in women, and at a population level the degree of increase in BTMs reflect bone loss. However, lack of adequate data precludes their use in individual patients for fracture risk assessment in clinical practice. The rapid and large changes in BTMs following anti-resorptive and anabolic therapies for osteoporosis treatment indicate they may be useful for monitoring therapy in clinical practice. The offset of drug effect on BTMs could be helpful for adjudicating the duration of bisphosphonate drug holidays. BTMs may offer useful additional data in skeletal diseases that are typically characterised by increased bone remodelling: chronic kidney disease (CKD), primary hyperparathyroidism (PHPT) and Paget's disease. In CKD, bone specific alkaline phosphatase (bAP) is currently endorsed for use for the assessment of mineral bone disease. The role of BTMsin predicting the bone mineral density response to successful parathyroidectomy in PHPT shows some utility but the data are not consistent and studies are limited in size and/or duration. In Paget's disease of bone, BTMs are used to confirm diagnosis, evaluate extent of disease or degree of activity and for monitoring the response to bisphosphonate treatment. Whilst BTMs are currently used in specific clinical practice instances when investigating or managing metabolic bone disease, further data are needed to consolidate their clinical use where evidence of utility is limited.

Progressive impairment of testicular endocrine function in ageing men: Testosterone and dihydrotestosterone decrease, and luteinizing hormone increases, in men transitioning from the 8th to 9th decades of life.

CONTEXT: Sex hormone trajectories in ageing men and their health implications remain unclear. We examined longitudinal trajectories and associations of testosterone (T), dihydrotestosterone (DHT), oestradiol (E2), luteinizing hormone (LH) and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) in oldest old men. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: We studied 1025 community-dwelling men median age 75.1 years at baseline with 8.6 years of follow-up. MEASUREMENTS: Baseline and follow-up T, DHT and E2 were assayed using mass spectrometry. Physical performance was assessed at follow-up. Correlations and covariate-adjusted P-values were determined. RESULTS: Longitudinal change in T was -2.0%/year, DHT -7.2%/year, LH +7.5%/year, SHBG +5.6%/year while E2 remained stable. Annualized increases in LH correlated with decreases in T and DHT (r = -.20, P < .0001 and r = -.12, P = .0035, respectively). Higher baseline T correlated with better physical performance at follow-up (eg, Step test r = .07, P = .03), as did higher baseline DHT (eg, time to sit-stand [TSS] r = -.07, P = .01). Larger annualized increases in LH predicted poorer physical performance at follow-up (eg, TSS r = .14, P = .001). Higher T at follow-up was associated with better physical performance (eg, TSS r = -.07, P = .04), as were higher DHT and lower LH. At baseline, 24 men (2.4%) had abnormally high LH (>16 IU/L); at follow-up, 175 (17.4%) had high LH of whom 70 had low T (<6.4 nmol/L). CONCLUSIONS: Annualized increases in LH are associated with declines in T and DHT, and predict poorer subsequent physical performance in oldest old men. Men transitioning from 8th to 9th decades exhibit biochemical evidence of progressively impaired testicular endocrine function, warranting further evaluation.

Higher Dihydrotestosterone Is Associated with the Incidence of Lung Cancer in Older Men.

Advancing age is associated with increased cancer incidence, but the role of sex hormones as risk predictors for common cancers in older men remains uncertain. This study was performed to assess associations of testosterone (T), dihydrotestosterone (DHT) and estradiol (E2), with incident prostate, lung and colorectal cancer in community-dwelling older men. Plasma T, DHT and E2 were assayed using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry between 2001 and 2004 in 3690 men. Cancer outcomes until 20 June 2013 were ascertained using data linkage. Analyses were performed using proportional hazards competing-risks models, and adjustments were made for potential confounding factors including smoking status. Results are expressed as subhazard ratios (SHR). There were 348, 107 and 137 cases of prostate, lung and colorectal cancers respectively during a median of 9.1-year follow-up. Mean T was comparable in current and non-smokers, whilst mean DHT was lower in ex- and current smokers compared to non-smokers. After adjusting for confounders including smoking, higher T or DHT was associated with an increased incidence of lung cancer (SHR = 1.30, 95% CI 1.06-1.60; p = 0.012 per 1 SD increase in T and SHR = 1.29, 95% CI 1.08-1.54; p = 0.004 for DHT). Sex hormones were not associated with prostate or colorectal cancer. In older men, higher T or DHT predict increased incidence of lung cancer over the next decade. Sex hormones are not associated with incident prostate or colorectal cancer. Further studies are warranted to determine if similar associations of sex hormones with lung cancer are present in other populations and to investigate potential underlying mechanisms.

Reference Ranges for Thyroid-Stimulating Hormone and Free Thyroxine in Older Men: Results From the Health In Men Study.

Background: In older adults, thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) concentrations are raised and higher free thyroxine (FT4) is associated with poorer health outcomes. As use of nonage-appropriate reference ranges could lead to suboptimal management, we aimed to define reference intervals for TSH and FT4 in older men. Methods: We conducted the study on community-dwelling men aged 70-89 years. Baseline TSH and FT4 levels were assayed (Elecsys 2010, Roche Diagnostics). Conventional reference intervals for TSH and FT4 were 0.4-4.0 mIU/L and 10-23 pmol/L, respectively. Incident deaths were ascertained using data linkage. Results: Of the 3,885 men included in the analysis, the 2.5th and 97.5th centiles for TSH and FT4 were 0.64-5.9 mIU/L and 12.1-20.6 pmol/L (0.94-1.60ng/dL), respectively. Of the 411 very healthy men defined by excellent or very good self-rated health and absence of major medical comorbidities, 2.5th to 97.5th centiles for TSH and FT4 were 0.67-4.98 mIU/L and 12.1-20.5 pmol/L (0.94-1.59ng/dL), respectively. TSH was not associated with mortality, whereas higher FT4 was associated with increased mortality. Applying intervals based on very healthy older men to the cohort as a whole led to the reclassification of 310 men (8.0%). More men were classified as being hyperthyroid or hypothyroid, or having subclinical hyperthyroidism, and fewer as having subclinical hypothyroidism. Conclusions: In older men, the reference interval for TSH in older men is shifted upward, whereas the reference interval for FT4 is compressed compared with the conventional reference ranges. Applying reference intervals based on healthy older men identifies a substantial number of older men as having overt thyroid disease or subclinical hyperthyroidism and reduces the number classified as having subclinical hypothyroidism.

The relationship between estimated glomerular filtration rate trajectory and all-cause mortality in type 2 diabetes: the Fremantle Diabetes Study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between estimated GFR (eGFR) and all-cause mortality, including the contribution of temporal eGFR changes, in well-characterised community-based patients with type 2 diabetes. DESIGN: Longitudinal observational study. METHODS: Participants from the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase 1 were assessed between 1993 and 1996 and followed until end-December 2012. Cox proportional hazards modelling was used to assess the relationship between baseline eGFR category (Stage 1-5) and all-cause death, and between eGFR trajectories assigned by semiparametric group-based modelling (GBM) and all-cause death in patients with five post-baseline annual eGFR measurements. RESULTS: In the full cohort (1296 patients; mean±s.d. age 64.1±11.3years, 48.6% males), 738 (56.9%) died during 12.9±6.1years of follow-up. There was a U-shaped relationship between all-cause death and eGFR category. With Stage 3 (45-59mL/min/1.73m(2)) as reference, the strongest association was for eGFR ≥90mL/min/1.73m(2) (hazard ratio (95% CI) 2.01 (1.52-2.66); P<0.001). GBM identified four linear trajectories ('low', 'medium', 'high', 'high/declining') in 532 patients with serial eGFR measurements. With medium trajectory as reference, eGFR trajectory displaced baseline eGFR category as an independent predictor of death, with low and high/declining trajectories associated with more than double the risk (2.03 (1.30-3.18) and 2.24 (1.31-3.83) respectively, P≤0.003) and associated median reductions in survival of 6.5 and 8.7years respectively. CONCLUSION: There is a nonlinear relationship between eGFR and death in type 2 diabetes, which is at least partially explained by a sub-group of patients with an initially high but then rapidly declining eGFR.

The use of biochemical markers of bone turnover in the clinical management of primary and secondary osteoporosis.

The purpose of the present study was to examine of the current role of bone turnover markers (BTMs) in the management of osteoporosis. Perusal of the literature examines the available evidence for the utility of BTMs for decision to treat and for the monitoring of treatment for osteoporosis. There is no evidence for the use of BTMs for fracture risk calculation, decision to treat or for treatment selection. A very abnormal BTM value may be a clue to the presence of bone pathology other than uncomplicated osteoporosis. Whilst changes to BTMs following various osteoporosis treatments are well defined, their utility in monitoring individual patients has been less well established. Some fracture outcome-based data exist for the use of u-NTX target of <21 nmol BCE/mmol for antiresorptive therapy; the equivalent s-CTX level is ~250 ng/L. Suboptimal BTM response to treatment may indicate non-compliance or the presence of secondary causes of osteoporosis which may need addressing. Studies are needed to establish treatment targets based on fracture outcomes for commonly used BTMs for each established osteoporosis therapy.

Comparison of clinical cut-points and treatment targets for urine NTX and plasma ßCTX-I in osteoporosis.

OBJECTIVE: We undertook to identify levels for plasma ß isomerised carboxy-terminal telopeptides of type I collagen (p-ßCTX-I) that are comparable to currently used urine amino-terminal telopeptides of type I collagen (u-NTX) cut-points and treatment targets in osteoporosis. DESIGN AND METHODS: Fasting morning samples were collected from patients attending tertiary hospitals and clinics for investigation of metabolic bone disease. Patients with Paget's disease or <20years of age were excluded. Second void spot urine for NTX and plasma (EDTA) samples were utilised. Urine was analysed routinely and plasma stored at -20C until analysis by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) (Immunodiagnostic Systems plc), E170 (Roche Diagnostics) and IDS-iSYS (Immunodiagnostic Systems plc) methods. The relationship of u-NTX with each p-ßCTX-I method's results was assessed by Passing and Bablok regression, and p-ßCTX-I levels equivalent to u-NTX cut-points and targets were interpolated. RESULTS: One hundred and forty six patients were included. Spearman correlation coefficients ranged from 0.71 to 0.75 for the three ßCTX-I assays. The equivalent ßCTX-I concentrations for NTX/Cr values of 21 (fracture risk reduction target following risedronate therapy), 27 (healthy pre-menopausal women's mean value), and 38 (threshold for reduction of BMD on calcium alone) nmol BCE/mmol were 230, 312 and 462ng/L for the automated Roche assay and 271, 395 and 624ng/L for the automated IDS i-SYS assay respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The p-ßCTX-I equivalent to the only available fracture outcome based absolute treatment threshold of 21nmol BCE/mmol established for u-NTX, is close to 250ng/L but will vary between p-ßCTX-I assays.