A genetic model for determining MSH2 and MLH1 carrier probabilities based on family history and tumor microsatellite instability.

Mutation-predicting models can be useful when deciding on the genetic testing of individuals at risk and in determining the cost effectiveness of screening strategies at the population level. The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of a newly developed genetic model that incorporates tumor microsatellite instability (MSI) information, called the AIFEG model, and in predicting the presence of mutations in MSH2 and MLH1 in probands with suspected hereditary non-polyposis colorectal cancer. The AIFEG model is based on published estimates of mutation frequencies and cancer penetrances in carriers and non-carriers and employs the program MLINK of the FASTLINK package to calculate the proband's carrier probability. Model performance is evaluated in a series of 219 families screened for mutations in both MSH2 and MLH1, in which 68 disease-causing mutations were identified. Predictions are first obtained using family history only and then converted into posterior probabilities using information on MSI. This improves predictions substantially. Using a probability threshold of 10% for mutation analysis, the AIFEG model applied to our series has 100% sensitivity and 71% specificity.

Four novel MSH2 and MLH1 frameshift mutations and occurrence of a breast cancer phenocopy in hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer.

Hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer (HNPCC) is caused by mutations of genes encoding for proteins of the mismatch repair (MMR) machinery. The majority of mutations occur in the MLH1 and MSH2 genes, and consist of splice-site, frameshift and nonsense changes, leading to loss of protein function. In this study, we screened 7 HNPCC families for MLH1/MSH2 mutations. Sequence changes were identified in 5 families. Four alterations were novel 1- or 2-bp deletions or insertions causing a frameshift and appearance of premature stop codons (MLH1: c.597-598delGA, c.1520-1521insT; MSH2: c.1444delA, c.119delG). The four small insertions/ deletions were located within stretches of simple repeated sequences. By reviewing the HNPCC mutation database, we found that the majority of 1-2 bp frameshift mutations similarly affects simple repetitive stretches, pointing to DNA polymerase slippage during replication as the most likely source of such errors. We also evaluated microsatellite instability (MSI) in a breast carcinoma (BC) from an MLH1 mutation carrier. While a colon cancer from the same individual showed MSI, the BC specimen was MSI-negative, indicating that development of the latter tumor was unrelated to MMR impairment, despite presence of a constitutional MLH1 mutation. Hum Mutat 17:521, 2001.