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Background and Aims: A third of patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) experience poorly understood cognitive symptoms, with a significant impact on quality of life (QOL), and no effective medical treatment. Allopregnanolone, a neurosteroid, is a positive allosteric modulator of gamma-aminobutyricacid-A (GABA-A) receptors, associated with disordered mood, cognition, and memory. This study explored associations between allopregnanolone and a disease-specific QOL scoring system (PBC-40) in PBC patients. Method: Serum allopregnanolone levels were measured in 120 phenotyped PBC patients and 40 age and gender-matched healthy controls. PBC subjects completed the PBC-40 at recruitment. Serum allopregnanolone levels were compared across PBC-40 domains for those with none/mild symptoms versus severe symptoms. Results: There were no overall differences in allopregnanolone levels between healthy controls (median = 0.03 ng/ml (IQR = 0.025)) and PBC patients (0.031 (0.42), p = 0.42). Within the PBC cohort, higher allopregnanolone levels were observed in younger patients (r (120) = -0.53, p < 0.001) but not healthy controls (r (39) = -0.21, p = 0.21). Allopregnanolone levels were elevated in the PBC-40 domains, cognition (u = 1034, p = 0.02), emotional (u = 1374, p = 0.004), and itch (u = 795, p = 0.03). Severe cognitive symptoms associated with a younger age: severe (50 (12)) vs. none (60 (13); u = 423 p = 0.001). Conclusion: Elevated serum allopregnanolone is associated with severe cognitive, emotional, and itch symptoms in PBC, in keeping with its known action on GABA-A receptors. Existing novel compounds targeting allopregnanolone could offer new therapies in severely symptomatic PBC, satisfying a significant unmet need.
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Cirrose Hepática Biliar , Neuroesteroides , Receptores de GABA-A , Humanos , Cirrose Hepática Biliar/complicações , Cirrose Hepática Biliar/tratamento farmacológico , Neuroesteroides/farmacologia , Neuroesteroides/uso terapêutico , Pregnanolona/farmacologia , Pregnanolona/uso terapêutico , Qualidade de Vida , Receptores de GABA-A/efeitos dos fármacosRESUMO
Palliative care remains suboptimal in advanced cirrhosis, in part relating to a lack of evidence-based interventions. Ascites remains the most common cirrhosis complication resulting in hospitalisation. Many patients with refractory ascites are not candidates for liver transplantation or transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt, and therefore, require recurrent palliative large volume paracentesis in hospital. We review the available evidence on use of palliative long-term abdominal drains in cirrhosis. Pending results of a national trial (REDUCe 2) and consistent with recently published national and American guidance, long-term abdominal drains cannot be regarded as standard of care in advanced cirrhosis. They should instead be considered only on a case-by-case basis, pending definitive evidence. This manuscript provides consensus to help standardise use of long-term abdominal drains in cirrhosis including patient selection and community management. Our ultimate aim remains to improve palliative care for this under researched and vulnerable cohort.
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OBJECTIVE: Refractory ascites is an established indication for liver transplantation. While transplantation is regarded as the definitive therapy for this condition, many patients are unsuitable due to comorbidity or frailty. Alternatives such as transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPSS) and large-volume paracentesis can lead to complications, including encephalopathy, circulatory and renal dysfunction, and protein-calorie deficiency that may accelerate sarcopenia. Cost and complication rates limit therapies such as alfapump. While there are data to support the use of indwelling catheters in the management of patients with malignant ascites, there is limited evidence to support their routine use in the context of end-stage liver cirrhosis. Here we describe our centres' experience using indwelling tunnelled ascitic drains over a 6-year period. METHODS: A retrospective review of data (January 2012-May 2018) was undertaken for all patients with refractory ascites who underwent a tunnelled ascitic drain. Demographics, disease aetiology, procedure data and follow-up data were obtained through interrogation of electronic records and reports. RESULTS: Twenty-five drains were placed. All procedures were technically successful with no immediate complications. Six patients were readmitted following their index admission with abdominal pain and suspected infected ascites (although only two had a positive ascitic fluid culture). There were three cases of abdominal wall cellulitis and three of leakage around the tunnel site; all managed conservatively. CONCLUSION: Indwelling drains appear an effective strategy for palliative management of select patients with liver cirrhosis complicated by refractory ascites who are not amenable to undergo TIPSS or transplantation. While complications can occur, these are most usually minor and can be managed on an outpatient basis.
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Patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) can be stratified into low-risk and high-risk groups based on their response to treatment. Newly published guidelines from the British Society of Gastroenterology suggest low-risk patients can be managed substantially in primary care. This represents a shift from existing practice and makes assumptions about service capacity and the willingness of both patients and health care practitioners (HCPs) to make this change. The aim of this paper is to identify possible barriers to the implementation of these new care pathways through review of the PBC-specific literature and by identifying the experiences of patients and HCPs managing a different condition with comparable patients and disease characteristics. Searches of MEDLINE, CINAHL and EMBASE were undertaken. Within the existing PBC literature there is little data surrounding stakeholder perspectives on place of care. Review of the breast cancer literature highlights a number of barriers to change including primary care practitioner knowledge and work load, communication between healthcare settings, and the significance of the established doctor-patient relationship. Further research is needed to establish the extent to which these barriers may surface when changing PBC care pathways, and the actions required to overcome them.
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BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Pruritus is a common symptom in patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) for which ileal bile acid transporter (IBAT) inhibition is emerging as a potential therapy. We explored the serum metabonome and gut microbiota profile in PBC patients with pruritus and investigated the effect of GSK2330672, an IBAT inhibitor. METHODS: We studied fasting serum bile acids (BAs), autotaxin and faecal microbiota in 22 PBC patients with pruritus at baseline and after 2 weeks of GSK2330672 treatment. Control group included 31 asymptomatic PBC patients and 18 healthy volunteers. BA profiling was done by ultra performance liquid chromatography coupled to a mass spectrometry (UPLC-MS). Faecal microbiomes were analysed by 16S ribosomal RNA gene sequencing. RESULTS: In PBC patients with pruritus, serum levels of total and glyco-conjugated primary BAs and autotaxin were significantly elevated. Autotaxin activity correlated significantly with tauro- and glyco-conjugated cholic acid (CA) and chenodeoxycholic acid (CDCA), both at baseline and after GSK2330672. GSK2330672 significantly reduced autotaxin and all tauro- and glyco- conjugated BAs and increased faecal levels of CA (P = 0.048) and CDCA (P = 0.027). Gut microbiota of PBC patients with pruritus was similar to control groups. GSK2330672 increased the relative abundance of Firmicutes (P = 0.033) and Clostridia (P = 0.04) and decreased Bacteroidetes (P = 0.033) and Bacteroidia (P = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Pruritus in PBC does not show a distinct gut bacterial profile but is associated with elevated serum bile acid and autotaxin levels which decrease after IBAT inhibition. In cholestatic pruritus, a complex interplay between BAs and autotaxin is likely and may be modified by IBAT inhibition.
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Ácidos e Sais Biliares/sangue , Cirrose Hepática Biliar/complicações , Metilaminas/farmacologia , Diester Fosfórico Hidrolases/sangue , Prurido/sangue , Prurido/tratamento farmacológico , Tiazepinas/farmacologia , Adulto , Idoso , Biomarcadores/sangue , Proteínas de Transporte , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Ácido Quenodesoxicólico/farmacologia , Ácido Cólico/farmacologia , Cromatografia Líquida , Fezes/química , Fezes/microbiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Glicoproteínas de Membrana , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prurido/etiologia , RNA Ribossômico 16S/genética , Espectrometria de Massas em TandemRESUMO
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a chronic cholestatic liver disease characterized by progressive inflammatory and fibrotic injury to the biliary tree. We sought to further delineate the contribution of macrophage lineages in PSC pathobiology. METHODS: Human liver tissues and/or blood samples from patients with PSC, primary biliary cholangitis, other non-cholestatic/non-autoimmune diseases, including alcohol-related liver disease and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, as well as normal liver, were sourced from our liver transplantation program. Liver fibrosis was studied using Van Gieson staining, while the frequencies of infiltrating monocyte and macrophage lineages, both in the circulation and the liver, were investigated by flow cytometry, including the expression of TGR-5, a G protein-coupled receptor (GPBAR1/TGR-5). RESULTS: Significantly higher frequencies of CD68+CD206+ macrophages were detected in the livers of patients with PSC (median 19.17%; IQR 7.25-32.8%; n = 15) compared to those of patients with other liver diseases (median 12.05%; IQR 5.61-16.03%; n = 12; p = 0.0373). CD16+ monocytes, including both intermediate (CD14+CD16++) and non-classical (CD14dimCD16++) monocytes, were preferentially recruited into chronically diseased livers, with the highest recruitment ratios in PSC (median 15.83%; IQR 9.66-29.5%; n = 15), compared to other liver diseases (median 6.66%; IQR 2.88-11.64%, n = 14, p = 0.0152). The expression of TGR-5 on CD68+ intrahepatic macrophages was increased in chronic liver disease; TGR-5 expression on intrahepatic macrophages was highest in PSC (median 36.32%; IQR 17.71-63.61%; n = 6) and most TGR-5+ macrophages were CD68+CD206+ macrophages. CONCLUSIONS: Underlying a potential role for macrophages in PSC pathobiology, we demonstrate, using patient-derived tissue, increased CD16+ monocyte recruitment and a higher frequency of CD68+CD206+ macrophages in the livers of patients with PSC; the CD68+CD206+ macrophage subset was associated with significantly higher TGR-5 expression in PSC. LAY SUMMARY: Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a chronic cholestatic liver disease associated with progressive inflammation of the bile duct, leading to fibrosis and end-stage liver disease. In this study we explore the role of a type of immune cell, the macrophage, in contributing to PSC as a disease, hoping that our findings direct scientists towards new treatment targets. Our findings based on human liver and blood analyses demonstrate a greater frequency of a particular subset of immune cell, the CD68+CD206+ macrophage, with significantly higher TGR-5 expression on this subset in PSC.
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BACKGROUND: Primary Biliary Cholangitis (PBC, formerly cirrhosis), is a chronic cholestatic liver disease which until spring 2016 had a single licensed therapy, Ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA). Approximately 30% of patients do not respond to UDCA, and are high-risk for progressing to end stage liver disease, transplantation or death. A new era of stratified medicine with second-line therapies to treat high-risk disease is emerging, with the first such second-line agent obeticholic acid recently receiving FDA and EMA approval and entering practice. Recent experience in the USA of inappropriate use and associated deaths has highlighted concerns as to whether clinicians have the knowledge to implement second-line therapies appropriately and safely. METHODS: Online survey of knowledge regarding optimal PBC management in Gastroenterologists and Hepatologists in the USA; the first 100 completed responses from each group used for analysis. RESULTS: 80% of Hepatologists felt they were highly competent in their understanding of the importance of early diagnosis and early UDCA therapy in PBC compared with 65% of gastroenterologists. However, only 36% of Hepatologists and 30% of gastroenterologists felt competent at assessing response to UDCA. Competence in knowledge (mode of action, efficacy, and side effects) of second-line therapies and enrollment into trials was low among both groups. CONCLUSION: Significant knowledge gaps in clinicians managing PBC presents a problem in optimizing care. It is perhaps not surprising that knowledge of emerging second-line therapies is low, however more concerning is sub-optimal use of UDCA in real-life practice and the lack of confidence at assessing treatment response which should be a routine part of clinical practice to assess risk of disease progression and will be key in delivering stratified medicine.
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Ácido Quenodesoxicólico/análogos & derivados , Competência Clínica/estatística & dados numéricos , Gastroenterologistas/estatística & dados numéricos , Cirrose Hepática Biliar/tratamento farmacológico , Ácido Quenodesoxicólico/efeitos adversos , Colagogos e Coleréticos/uso terapêutico , Progressão da Doença , Diagnóstico Precoce , Gastroenterologistas/educação , Humanos , Cirrose Hepática Biliar/diagnóstico , Fatores de Risco , Ácido Ursodesoxicólico/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a progressive inflammatory liver disease characterised by relentless liver fibrosis and a high unmet need for new therapies. Preventing fibrosis represents an important area of interest in the development of vital new drugs. Vascular adhesion protein-1 (VAP-1) drives inflammation in liver disease, and provision of an antibody against VAP-1 blunts fibrosis in murine models of liver injury. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: BUTEO is a single-arm, two-stage, open-label, multi-centre, phase II clinical trial. Up to 59 patients will receive treatment with anti-VAP monoclonal antibody, BTT1023, over a 78-day treatment period. Adults with PSC and a serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP) of at least 1.5 times the upper limit of normal will be included. Our primary outcome measure is a reduction in ALP by >25% from baseline to Day 99. Secondary outcome measures include safety and tolerability, changes pre therapy/post therapy in circulating serum VAP-1 as well as imaging findings. The first patient participant was recruited on 08 September 2015. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This protocol has been approved by the Research Ethics Committee (REC, reference 14/EM/1272). The first REC approval date was 06 January 2015 with three subsequent approved amendments. This article refers to protocol V3.0, dated 16 March 2016. Results will be disseminated via peer-reviewed publication and presentation at international conferences. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The trial is registered with the European Medicines agency (EudraCT: 2014-002393-37), the National Institute for Health Research (Portfolio ID: 18051) and ISRCTN: 11233255. The clinicaltrials.gov identifier is NCT02239211. Pre-results.
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Fosfatase Alcalina/sangue , Anticorpos Monoclonais/uso terapêutico , Colangite Esclerosante/tratamento farmacológico , Fígado/fisiopatologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Amina Oxidase (contendo Cobre)/imunologia , Moléculas de Adesão Celular/imunologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Projetos de Pesquisa , Resultado do Tratamento , Reino Unido , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Up to 70% of patients with primary biliary cholangitis develop pruritus (itch) during the course of their disease. Treatment of pruritus in primary biliary cholangitis is challenging and novel therapies are needed. Ursodeoxycholic acid, the standard first-line treatment for primary biliary cholangitis, is largely ineffective for pruritus. We investigated the efficacy and safety of GSK2330672, a selective inhibitor of human ileal bile acid transporter (IBAT), in patients with primary biliary cholangitis with pruritus. METHODS: We conducted this phase 2a, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled, crossover trial in two UK medical centres. Following 2 weeks of open placebo run-in, patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio with a block size of 4 to receive GSK2330672 or placebo twice daily during two consecutive 14-day treatment periods in a crossover sequence. The treatment periods were followed by a 14-day single-blinded placebo follow-up period. The primary endpoints were safety of GSK2330672, assessed using clinical and laboratory parameters, and tolerability as rated by the Gastrointestinal Symptom Rating Scale. The secondary endpoints were changes in pruritus scores measured using the 0 to 10 numerical rating scale (NRS), primary biliary cholangitis-40 (PBC-40) itch domain score and 5-D itch scale, changes in serum total bile acids and 7 alpha hydroxy-4-cholesten-3-one (C4), and changes in the pharmacokinetic parameters of ursodeoxycholic acid and its conjugates. The trial was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01899703. FINDINGS: Between March 10, 2014, and Oct 7, 2015, we enrolled 22 patients. 11 patients were assigned to receive intervention followed by placebo (sequence 1), and 11 patients were assigned to receive placebo followed by intervention (sequence 2). One patient assigned to sequence 2 withdrew consent prior to receiving randomised therapy. One patient did not attend the placebo follow-up period, but was included in the final analysis. GSK2330672 treatment for 14 days was safe with no serious adverse events reported. Diarrhoea was the most frequent adverse event during treatment with GSK2330672 (seven with GSK2330672 vs one with placebo) and headache was the most frequent adverse event during treatment with placebo (seven with placebo vs six with GSK2330672). After GSK2330672 treatment, the percentage changes from baseline itch scores were -57% (95% CI -73 to -42, p<0·0001) in the NRS, -31% (-42 to -20, p<0·0001) in the PBC-40 itch domain and -35% (-45 to -25, p<0·0001) in the 5-D itch scale. GSK2330672 produced significantly greater reduction from baseline than the double-blind placebo in the NRS (-23%, 95% CI -45 to -1; p=0·037), PBC-40 itch domain, (-14%, -26 to -1; p=0·034), and 5-D itch scale (-20%, -34 to -7; p=0·0045). After GSK2330672 treatment, serum total bile acid concentrations declined by 50% (95% CI -37 to -61, p<0·0001) from 30 to 15 µM, with a significant 3·1-times increase (95% CI 2·4 to 4·0, p<0·0001) in serum C4 concentrations from 7·9 to 24·7ng/mL. INTERPRETATION: In patients with primary biliary cholangitis with pruritus, 14 days of ileal bile acid transporter inhibition by GSK2330672 was generally well tolerated without serious adverse events, and demonstrated efficacy in reducing pruritus severity. GSK2330672 has the potential to be a significant and novel advance for the treatment of pruritus in primary biliary cholangitis. Diarrhoea, the most common adverse event associated with GSK2330672 treatment, might limit the long-term use of this drug. FUNDING: GlaxoSmithKline and National Institute for Health Research.
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Colangite/complicações , Cirrose Hepática Biliar/complicações , Metilaminas/uso terapêutico , Prurido/tratamento farmacológico , Tiazepinas/uso terapêutico , Adulto , Proteínas de Transporte/antagonistas & inibidores , Estudos Cross-Over , Método Duplo-Cego , Feminino , Humanos , Íleo , Masculino , Glicoproteínas de Membrana/antagonistas & inibidores , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prurido/etiologia , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Pruritus (itch) is a symptom commonly experienced by patients with cholestatic liver diseases such as primary biliary cholangitis (PBC, previously referred to as primary biliary cirrhosis). Bile acids (BAs) have been proposed as potential pruritogens in PBC. The ileal bile acid transporter (IBAT) protein expressed in the distal ileum plays a key role in the enterohepatic circulation of BAs. Pharmacological inhibition of IBAT with GSK2330672 may reduce BA levels in the systemic circulation and improve pruritus. METHODS: This clinical study (BAT117213 study) is sponsored by GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) with associated exploratory studies supported by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR). It is a phase 2a, multi-centre, randomised, double bind, placebo controlled, cross-over trial for PBC patients with pruritus. The primary objective is to investigate the safety and tolerability of repeat doses of GSK2330672, and explore whether GSK2330672 administration for 14 days improves pruritus compared with placebo. The key outcomes include improvement in pruritus scores evaluated on a numerical rating scale and other PBC symptoms in an electronic diary completed twice daily by the patients. The secondary outcomes include the evaluation of the effect of GSK2330672 on total serum bile acid (BA) concentrations, serum markers of BA synthesis and steady-state pharmacokinetics of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA). DISCUSSION: BAT117213 study is the first randomised controlled crossover trial of ileal bile acid transporter inhibitor, a novel class of drug to treat pruritus in PBC. The main strengths of the trial are utility of a novel, study specific, electronic symptom diary as patient reported outcome to measure the treatment response objectively and the crossover design that allows estimating the treatment effect in a smaller number of patients. The outcome of this trial will inform the trial design of future development phase of the IBAT inhibitor drug. The trial will also provide opportunity to conduct metabonomic and gut microbiome studies as explorative and mechanistic research in patients with cholestatic pruritus. TRIAL REGISTRATION: EudraCT number: 2012-005531-84, ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01899703 , registered on 3(rd) July 2013.
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Cirrose Hepática Biliar/complicações , Metilaminas/uso terapêutico , Transportadores de Ânions Orgânicos Dependentes de Sódio/antagonistas & inibidores , Prurido/tratamento farmacológico , Simportadores/antagonistas & inibidores , Tiazepinas/uso terapêutico , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Ácidos e Sais Biliares/sangue , Biomarcadores/sangue , Colagogos e Coleréticos/farmacocinética , Colagogos e Coleréticos/uso terapêutico , Estudos Cross-Over , Quimioterapia Combinada , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Metilaminas/administração & dosagem , Metilaminas/efeitos adversos , Metilaminas/farmacocinética , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Transportadores de Ânions Orgânicos Dependentes de Sódio/uso terapêutico , Prurido/etiologia , Simportadores/uso terapêutico , Tiazepinas/administração & dosagem , Tiazepinas/efeitos adversos , Tiazepinas/farmacocinética , Ácido Ursodesoxicólico/farmacocinética , Ácido Ursodesoxicólico/uso terapêutico , Adulto JovemRESUMO
The three classic autoimmune liver diseases are recognised based on identifying varying clinical, laboratory, histological and radiological features that collectively classify patients. In the absence of defined aetiological factors, it is recognised that disease spectrum is broad, and, in this context, it is not infrequent for disease boundaries to be blurred, leading to overlapping features that may be present at the time of diagnosis or may appear later in the course of disease. Given the absence of accepted diagnostic criteria for overlap/cross-over syndromes, alongside weak data for intervention, it is recommended that a multidisciplinary, patient-specific approach be used to establish individual treatment pathways.
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Primary biliary cirrhosis is a classical autoimmune liver disease and is present in around 1 in 1,000 women over the age of 40. It has a number of diagnostic characteristics consistent with autoimmune liver injury, in particular, the high specificity of circulating anti-mitochondrial antibodies. Histologically, the disease is reflected as a granulomatous lymphocytic cholangitis that consequently leads to small bile duct loss and cholestasis. Progressive disease is characterised by the development of a biliary cirrhosis, with end-stage features of liver disease ultimately impacting patient outcomes. Studies support a combination of environmental and genetic risk factors that coalesce to lead to loss of immunological tolerance and persistent biliary inflammation. Significant advances have occurred recently in understanding the genetic risk factors for disease, as well as utilising human and murine studies to characterise the nature of the biliary injury and cholestatic response.
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Cirrose Hepática Biliar/etiologia , Cirrose Hepática Biliar/fisiopatologia , Humanos , Cirrose Hepática Biliar/patologia , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Autoimmune hepatitis is a chronic immune-mediated liver injury, frequently associated with progression to end-stage liver disease if untreated. Patients commonly present with hepatitis, positive immune serology, elevated immunoglobulins and compatible liver histology, in the absence of an alternative aetiology. SOURCES OF DATA: Data for this review were obtained using PubMed. AREAS OF AGREEMENT: Disease usually responds to steroids and azathioprine, and appears to be a manifestation of autoimmune predisposition triggered in genetically susceptible individuals exposed to likely environmental challenges. We provide an up-to-date approach to disease understanding and management along with the clinical approach to diagnosis and current treatment suggestions. AREAS OF CONTROVERSY: Controversies such as second line therapies and novel markers of disease activity are introduced. GROWING POINTS: Increased understanding of the immunoregulatory mechanisms behind autoimmune hepatitis has led to opportunities for new therapies. These are developed including a discussion of timely research studies relevant to future therapies for patients.
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Hepatite Autoimune/tratamento farmacológico , Azatioprina/uso terapêutico , Glucocorticoides/uso terapêutico , Hepatite Autoimune/diagnóstico , Hepatite Autoimune/imunologia , Humanos , Imunossupressores/uso terapêutico , Transplante de Fígado , Seleção de Pacientes , Recidiva , Indução de RemissãoRESUMO
Thirty-five years of empirical research on assaultive psychiatric patients has documented the presence of consistent patient assailant characteristics. However, these characteristics studies have yielded little in the way of predictor variables. This study examined three commonly present, patient clinical variables (past violence toward others, personal victimization, and substance use disorder) singly and in combinations as potential predictor variables. An additional subset analysis of patient precipitants was added to ascertain whether precipitant data would add further predictive power The combinations of past violence toward others and personal victimization with and without substances use disorder during an eleven-year period were associated with 61% of the subsequent assaults. A trend for denial of services to female patients during a three-year period was also associated with subsequent assaults. The predictive implications of these findings and their relevance for emergency services personnel are examined.