Sex Differences in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Survival and Progression: A Multidimensional Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate sex-related differences in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) prognosis and their contributing factors. METHODS: Our primary cohort was the Piemonte and Aosta Register for ALS (PARALS); the Pooled Resource Open-Access ALS Clinical Trials (PRO-ACT) and the Answer ALS databases were used for validation. Survival analyses were conducted accounting for age and onset site. The roles of forced vital capacity and weight decline were explored through a causal mediation analysis. Survival and disease progression rates were also evaluated after propensity score matching. RESULTS: The PARALS cohort included 1,890 individuals (44.8% women). Men showed shorter survival when stratified by onset site (spinal onset HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.00-1.44, p = 0.0439; bulbar onset HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.09-1.70, p = 0.006917), although women had a steeper functional decline (+0.10 ALSFRS-R points/month, 95% CI 0.07-0.15, p < 0.00001) regardless of onset site. Instead, men showed worse respiratory decline (-4.2 forced vital capacity%/month, 95% CI -6.3 to -2.2, p < 0.0001) and faster weight loss (-0.15 kg/month, 95% CI -0.25 to -0.05, p = 0.0030). Causal mediation analysis showed that respiratory function and weight loss were pivotal in sex-related survival differences. Analysis of patients from PRO-ACT (n = 1,394, 40.9% women) and Answer ALS (n = 849, 37.2% women) confirmed these trends. INTERPRETATION: The shorter survival in men is linked to worse respiratory function and weight loss rather than a faster disease progression. These findings emphasize the importance of considering sex-specific factors in understanding ALS pathophysiology and designing tailored therapeutic strategies. ANN NEUROL 2024.

The role of peripheral immunity in ALS: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Systemic inflammation has been proposed as a relevant mechanism in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). Still, comprehensive data on ALS patients' innate and adaptive immune responses and their effect on the clinical phenotype are lacking. Here, we investigate systemic immunity in a population-based ALS cohort using readily available hematological indexes. METHODS: We collected clinical data and the complete blood count (CBC) at diagnosis in ALS patients from the Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta Register for ALS (PARALS) from 2007 to 2019. Leukocytes populations, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic-immune-inflammation index (SII), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) were derived from CBC. All variables were analyzed for association with clinical features in the entire cohort and then in sex- and age-based subgroups. RESULTS: Neutrophils (P = 0.001) and markers of increased innate immunity (NLR, P = 0.008 and SII, P = 0.006) were associated with a faster disease progression. Similarly, elevated innate immunity correlated with worse pulmonary function and shorter survival. The prognosis in women also correlated with low lymphocytes (P = 0.045) and a decreased LMR (P = 0.013). ALS patients with cognitive impairment exhibited lower monocytes (P = 0.0415). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The dysregulation of the systemic immune system plays a multifaceted role in ALS. More specifically, an elevated innate immune response is associated with faster progression and reduced survival. Conversely, ALS patients with cognitive impairment showed a reduction in monocyte count. Additionally, immune response varied according to sex and age, thus suggesting that involved immune pathways are patient specific. Further studies will help translate those findings into clinical practice or targeted treatments.

Serum chloride as a respiratory failure marker in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.

Respiratory failure is the most common cause of death in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and occurs with great variability among patients according to different phenotypic features. Early predictors of respiratory failure in ALS are important to start non-invasive ventilation (NIV). Venous serum chloride values correlate with carbonate (HCO3-) blood levels and reflect metabolic compensation of respiratory acidosis. Despite its wide availability and low cost, few data on serum chloride as a prognostic marker exist in ALS literature. In the present study, we evaluated serum chloride values at diagnosis as prognostic biomarkers for overall survival and NIV adaptation in a retrospective center-based cohort of ALS patients. We collected all ALS patients with serum chloride assessment at diagnosis, identified through the Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta Register for ALS, evaluating the correlations among serum chloride, clinical features, and other serum biomarkers. Thereafter, time-to-event analysis was modeled to predict overall survival and NIV start. We found a significant correlation between serum chloride and inflammatory status markers, serum sodium, forced vital capacity (FVC), ALS functional rating scale-revised (ALSFRS-R) item 10 and 11, age at diagnosis, and weight loss. Time-to-event analysis confirmed both in univariate analysis and after multiple confounders' adjustment that serum chloride value at diagnosis significantly influenced survival and time to NIV start. According to our analysis, based on a large ALS cohort, we found that serum chloride analyzed at diagnosis is a low-cost marker of impending respiratory decompensation. In our opinion, it should be added among the serum prognostic biomarkers that are able to stratify patients into different prognostic categories even when performed in the early phases of the disease.

Clinical and Metabolic Signature of UNC13A rs12608932 Variant in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis.

Background and Objectives: To characterize the clinical and cognitive behavioral phenotype and brain 18F-2-fluoro-2-deoxy-d-glucose-PET (18F-FDG-PET) metabolism of patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) carrying the rs12608932 variant of the UNC13A gene. Methods: The study population included 1,409 patients with ALS without C9orf72, SOD1, TARDBP, and FUS mutations identified through a prospective epidemiologic ALS register. Control participants included 1,012 geographically matched, age-matched, and sex-matched participants. Clinical and cognitive differences between patients carrying the C/C rs12608932 genotype and those carrying the A/A + A/C genotype were assessed. A subset of patients underwent 18F-FDG-PET. Results: The C/C genotype was associated with an increased risk of ALS (odds ratio: 1.54, 95% confidence interval 1.18-2.01, p = 0.001). Patients with the C/C genotype were older, had more frequent bulbar onset, and manifested a higher rate of weight loss. In addition, they showed significantly reduced performance in the letter fluency test, fluency domain of Edinburgh Cognitive and Behavioural ALS Screen (ECAS) and story-based empathy task (reflecting social cognition). Patients with the C/C genotype had a shorter survival (median survival time, C/C 2.25 years, interquartile range [IQR] 1.33-3.92; A/A + C/C: 2.90 years, IQR 1.74-5.41; p = 0.0001). In Cox multivariable analysis, C/C genotype resulted to be an independent prognostic factor. Finally, patients with a C/C genotype had a specific pattern of hypometabolism on brain 18F-FDG-PET extending to frontal and precentral areas of the right hemisphere. Discussion: C/C rs12608932 genotype of UNC13A is associated with a specific motor and cognitive/behavioral phenotype, which reflects on 18F-FDG-PET findings. Our observations highlight the importance of adding the rs12608932 variant in UNC13A to the ALS genetic panel to refine the individual prognostic prediction and reduce heterogeneity in clinical trials.

Phenotype Analysis of Fused in Sarcoma Mutations in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis.

Background and Objectives: Pathogenic variations in fused in sarcoma (FUS) are among the most common genetic causes of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) worldwide. They are supposedly characterized by a homogeneous pure motor phenotype with early-onset and short disease duration. However, a few FUS-mutated cases with a very late disease onset and slow progression have been reported. To analyze genotype-phenotype correlations and identify the prognostic factors in FUS-ALS cases. Methods: We identified and cross-sectionally analyzed 22 FUS-ALS patient histories from a single-center cohort of 2,615 genetically tested patients and reviewed 289 previously published FUS-ALS cases. Survival analysis was performed by Kaplan-Meier survival curves, followed by the log-rank test and multivariate Cox analysis. Results: Survival of FUS-ALS is age-dependent: In our cohort, early-onset cases had a rapid disease progression and short survival (p = 0.000003) while the outcome of FUS-mutated patients with mid-to-late onset did not differ from non-FUS-ALS patients (p = 0.437). Meta-analysis of literature data confirmed this trend (p = 0.00003). This survival pattern is not observed in other ALS-related genes in our series. We clustered FUS-ALS patients in 3 phenotypes: (1) axial ALS, with upper cervical and dropped-head onset in mid-to-late adulthood; (2) benign ALS, usually with a late-onset and slow disease progression; and (3) juvenile ALS, often with bulbar onset and preceded by learning disability or mild mental retardation. Those phenotypes arise from different mutations. Discussion: We observed specific genotype-phenotype correlations of FUS-ALS and identified age at onset as the most critical prognostic factor. Our results demonstrated that FUS mutations underlie a specific subtype of ALS and enable a careful stratification of newly diagnosed FUS-ALS cases for clinical course and potential therapeutic windows. This will be crucial in the light of incoming gene-specific therapy.

Tailoring patients' enrollment in ALS clinical trials: the effect of disease duration and vital capacity cutoffs.

Objective: To evaluate how Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS) patients' mortality rates change, based on different levels of forced vital capacity (FVC) and disease duration, providing a scheme of mortality rates of a real population of ALS patients to improve the design of future RCTs. Methods: One random spirometry for each ALS patient was selected during four time intervals from disease onset: (1) ≤12 months; (2) ≤18 months; (3) ≤24 months; (4) ≤36 months. Date of spirometry corresponded to date of trial entry, while time interval onset-spirometry to disease duration at enrollment. Mortality rates from inclusion were computed at different time intervals. Based on progression rates, patients were stratified in slow, intermediate and fast progressors. Survival from recruitment was calculated depending on FVC, disease duration and progression rate. Results: We included 659 patients in group 1, 888 in group 2, 1019 in group 3 and 1102 in group 4. Mortality rates were higher in each group at reducing the FVC cutoff used for recruitment (p < 0.001). Median survival decreased when lowering FVC and disease duration cutoffs (p < 0.001); a higher median disease progression rate of included patients led to lower median survival from recruitment. The proportion of recruited fast progressors raised when shortening disease duration and lowering FVC cutoff. Conclusions: This is a simple model for setting eligibility criteria, based on mortality rates of patients depending on FVC and disease duration, to select the best population for RCTs, tailored to trials' primary endpoints and duration.

What is amyotrophic lateral sclerosis prevalence?

Objective: To assess amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) prevalence and to analyze how this estimate vary according to the historical depth of data collection. Methods: Data from the PARALS register have been used. Crude prevalence ratio was estimated on 31 December 2015 for the period 2015-2013 and then repeated extending the time interval by 3 years each time. For each time interval, prevalence ratio was calculated globally and stratified by sex, age at diagnosis, and phenotype. Prevalence was also calculated considering patients who underwent tracheostomy during the same study period. Results: Prevalence ratios increased proportionally to the length of the time period considered, ranging from 6 (95% CI 5.3-6.7) for a 3-year period to 12.1 (95% CI 11.1-13.1) per 100,000 population for a 21-year period. Prevalence ratio increase was inversely proportional to age at diagnosis, being null in the >85 years class and maximal in the 25-35 age class (+1700%). Among phenotypes, predominant UMN showed the highest increase (from 0.5, 95% CI 0.3-0.8, to 2.1, 95% CI 1.7 - 2.6, +320%). Discussion: Because of the variability of ALS survival, prevalence ratio strongly depends on the length of the follow-up period. A 12-year period should be sufficient to get a reliable estimate of ALS prevalence including long-survival patients.

Secular Trends of Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis: The Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta Register.

Importance: This study reports the long-term epidemiologic trends of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) based on a prospective register. Objective: To examine the 20-year epidemiologic trends of ALS in the Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta regions of Italy. Design, Setting, and Participants: The Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta Register for ALS (PARALS) is an epidemiologic prospective register that covers 2 Italian regions (population of 4 476 931 inhabitants according to the 2011 census) from January 1, 1995, through December 31, 2014. Case ascertainment is based on multiple sources (neurologic departments, hospital discharge archives, and mortality records). Incidence rates are age and sex standardized for the Italian population of the 2011 census. Age-period-cohort (APC) analysis was performed using a Poisson regression model. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary study outcomes were long-term incidence and prevalence rates of ALS using a prospective design and their determinants. Results: During the study period, a total of 2702 patients (mean [SD] age at onset, 65.7 [11.1] years; 1246 [46.1%] female and 1456 [53.9%] male) received a diagnosis of ALS between 1995 and 2014, corresponding to a crude annual incidence rate of 3.03 per 100 000 population (95% CI, 2.85-3.23) and an adjusted incidence rate of 2.78 per 100 000 population (95% CI, 2.57-2.96). The age-adjusted incidence rate increased in the 2 decades of the study (1995-2004: 2.66; 95% CI, 2.50-2.83; 2005-2014: 2.89; 95% CI, 2.71-3.07; P = .04), mostly in women. The adjusted rate ratio of men to women decreased from 1.27:1 (1995-2004) to 1.17:1 (2005-2014). The analysis of deviance for the APC regression models indicated that the drift variable is relevant in explaining the variation of ALS incidence rates over time in the overall population (change in deviance, 4.6553; P = .03) and in women (change in deviance, 3.8821; P = .05) but not in men (change in deviance, 0.77215; P = .38). A total of 479 patients with ALS were alive and had not undergone tracheostomy at the prevalence day (December 31, 2014), corresponding to a crude prevalence rate of 10.54 per 100 000 population (95% CI, 9.64-11.52). Conclusions and Relevance: During the 1995 to 2014 period, the crude and adjusted incidences of ALS increased in Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta, mostly in women. The APC model revealed that the increase of ALS incidence is attributable to a birth cohort effect in women, with a peak in the 1930 cohort. The different increase of ALS incidence in men and women points to an effect of exogenous factors with a differential effect on the 2 sexes, acting on a genetic background.

Influence of arterial hypertension, type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular risk factors on ALS outcome: a population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the prognostic influence of pre-morbid type 2 diabetes mellitus, arterial hypertension and cardiovascular (CV) risk profile on ALS phenotype and outcome in a population-based cohort of Italian patients. METHODS: A total of 650 ALS patients from the Piemonte/Valle d'Aosta Register for ALS, incident in the 2007-2011 period, were recruited. Information about premorbid presence of type 2 diabetes mellitus, arterial hypertension was collected at the time of diagnosis. Patients' CV risk profile was calculated according to the Joint British Societies' guidelines on prevention of cardiovascular disease in clinical practice (JBS2). RESULTS: At the univariate analysis, the presence of pre-morbid arterial hypertension was associated with a higher age at onset of ALS and a shorter survival, and patients with a high CV risk profile had a worse prognosis than those with a low CV risk profile. The Cox multivariable analysis did not confirm such findings. Type 2 diabetes mellitus did not modify either the phenotype or the prognosis of ALS patients. CONCLUSIONS: This study performed on a large population-based cohort of ALS patients has demonstrated that arterial hypertension, type 2 diabetes and CV risk factors, calculated using the Framingham equation, do not influence ALS phenotype and prognosis.

Influence of cigarette smoking on ALS outcome: a population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the prognostic influence of premorbid smoking habits and vascular risk profile on amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) phenotype and outcome in a population-based cohort of Italian patients. METHODS: A total of 650 patients with ALS from the Piemonte/Valle d'Aosta Register for ALS, incident in the 2007-2011 period, were recruited. Information about premorbid cigarette smoking habits and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) were collected at the time of diagnosis. RESULTS: Current smokers had a significantly shorter median survival (1.9 years, IQR 1.2-3.4) compared with former (2.3 years, IQR 1.5-4.2) and never smokers (2.7 years, IQR 1.8-4.6) (p=0.001). Also COPD adversely influenced patients' prognosis. Both smoking habits and CODP were retained in Cox multivariable model. CONCLUSIONS: This study has demonstrated in a large population-based cohort of patients with ALS that cigarette smoking is an independent negative prognostic factor for survival, with a dose-response gradient. Its effect is not related to the presence of COPD or to respiratory status at time of diagnosis. The understanding of the mechanisms, either genetic or epigenetic, through which exogenous factors influence disease phenotype is of major importance towards a more focused approach to cure ALS.

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis outcome measures and the role of albumin and creatinine: a population-based study.

IMPORTANCE: There is an urgent need to identify reliable biomarkers of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) progression for clinical practice and pharmacological trials. OBJECTIVES: To correlate several hematological markers evaluated at diagnosis with ALS outcome in a population-based series of patients (discovery cohort) and replicate the findings in an independent validation cohort from an ALS tertiary center. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: The discovery cohort included 712 patients with ALS from the Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta Register for Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis from January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2011. The validation cohort comprised 122 patients with ALS at different stages of disease consecutively seen at an ALS tertiary center between January 1, 2007, and January 1, 2009. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The following hematological factors were investigated and correlated with survival: total leukocytes, neutrophils, lymphocytes, monocytes, glucose, creatinine, uric acid, albumin, bilirubin, total cholesterol, triglycerides, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, creatine kinase, thyroid-stimulating hormones, and erythrocyte sedimentation rate; all analyses were performed separately by sex. The patient of the validation cohort also underwent bioelectrical impedance analysis for the calculation of fat-free mass. RESULT: Of the 712 patients in the examined period in Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta, 638 (89.6%) were included in the study. Only serum albumin (men: ≤ 4.3 vs >4.3 mg/dL, P < .001; women: ≤ 4.3 vs >4.3 mg/dL, P < .001) and creatinine levels (men: ≤ 0.82 vs >0.82 mg/dL, P = .004; women: ≤ 0.65 vs >0.05 mg/dL, P = .004) and lymphocyte count (men: ≤ 1700 vs >1700/µL, P = .04; women: ≤ 1700 vs >1700/µL, P = .02) were significantly associated with ALS outcome in both sexes with a dose-response effect (better survival with increasing levels). These findings were confirmed in the validation cohort. Multivariable analysis showed that serum albumin (men: hazard ratio [HR], 1.39; 95% CI, 1.05-1.90; P = .02; women: HR, 1.73; 95 % CI, 1.35-2.39; P = .001) and creatinine (men: HR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.11-1.95; P = .007; women: HR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.07-2.05; P = .02) were independent predictors of survival in both sexes; no other hematological factor was retained in the model. In patients with ALS, serum albumin was correlated with markers of inflammatory state while serum creatinine was correlated with fat-free mass, which is a marker of muscle mass. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In ALS, serum albumin and creatinine are independent markers of outcome in both sexes. Creatinine reflects the muscle waste whereas albumin is connected with inflammatory state. Both creatinine and albumin are reliable markers of the severity of clinical status in patients with ALS and can be used in defining prognosis at the time of diagnosis.