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1.
JCO Glob Oncol ; 9: e2300159, 2023 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37944087

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the fourth most common cancer in Africa, has a dismal overall survival of only 3 months like in sub-Saharan Africa. This is affected by the low gross domestic product and human development index, absence of coherent guidelines, and other factors. METHODS: An open forum for HCC-experienced health care workers from Africa and the rest of the world was held in October 2021. Participants completed a survey to help assess the real-life access to screening, diagnoses, and treatment in the North and Southern Africa (NS), East and West Africa (EW), Central Africa (C), and the rest of the world. RESULTS: Of 461 participants from all relevant subspecialties, 372 were from Africa. Most African participants provided hepatitis B vaccination and treatment for hepatitis B and C. More than half of the participants use serum alpha-fetoprotein and ultrasound for surveillance. Only 20% reported using image-guided diagnostic liver biopsy. The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer is the most used staging system (52%). Liver transplant is available for only 28% of NS and 3% EW. C reported a significantly lower availability of resection. Availability of local therapy ranged from 94% in NS to 62% in C. Sorafenib is the most commonly used systemic therapy (66%). Only 12.9% reported access to other medications including immune checkpoint inhibitors. Besides 42% access to regorafenib in NS, second-line treatments were not provided. CONCLUSION: Similarities and differences in the care for patients with HCC in Africa are reported. This reconfirms the major gaps in access and availability especially in C and marginally less so in EW. This is a call for concerted multidisciplinary efforts to achieve and sustain a reduction in incidence and mortality from HCC in Africa.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Hepatite B , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/terapia , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias Hepáticas/terapia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/tratamento farmacológico , Sorafenibe/uso terapêutico , África/epidemiologia
2.
Ecancermedicalscience ; 16: 1437, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36200014

RESUMO

Studies evaluating risk factors for the occurrence of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) in high-risk regions might contribute to a better understanding of the oesophageal cancer aetiology and incidence variation worldwide. We aimed to quantify the association between alcohol, tobacco and dietary history, and the occurrence of ESCC in Mozambique. A case-control study was conducted at Maputo Central Hospital. Cases (n = 143) were patients with newly diagnosed oesophageal cancer recruited in the Gastroenterology Service. Controls (n = 212) were selected in the Orthopaedic Ward among subjects with pathologies related to trauma. Crude and adjusted odds ratios (ORs), and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) were computed using non-conditional logistic regression. The risk of ESCC was higher in older participants and lower in those with higher household income. Alcohol drinking (lifetime consumption ≥ 55.1 versus 0 kg ethanol: OR = 5.56; 95% CI: 2.43-12.73) and tobacco smoking (lifetime consumption ≥ 20 versus 0 pack/years: OR=7.26; 95% CI: 1.42-37.17) were associated with increased risk of ESCC. Tea (at least twice daily versus less than daily: OR = 5.09; 95% CI: 2.45-10.58) was also associated with the occurrence of ESCC. No significant differences were observed for fruit and vegetable and for smoked meat or fish consumption. Findings from this study show that in our sample, the occurrence of ESCC is strongly influenced by lifetime consumption of tobacco and alcohol, and with tea drinking. This highlights the importance of preventive measures based on the promotion of healthier lifestyles.

3.
Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 7(11): 1036-1048, 2022 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35810766

RESUMO

Hepatocellular carcinoma is a leading public health concern in sub-Saharan Africa, and it is most prevalent in young adults (median 45 years [IQR 35-57]). Overall, outcomes are poor, with a median survival of 2·5 months after presentation. Major risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma are hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus, aflatoxin B1 exposure, and alcohol consumption, with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease slowly emerging as a risk factor over the past few years. Crucially, these risk factors are preventable and manageable with effective implementation of the HBV birth-dose vaccination, treatment of chronic viral hepatitis, provision of harm reduction services, and by decreasing aflatoxin B1 exposure and harmful alcohol consumption. Primary prevention is central to the management of hepatocellular carcinoma, especially in poorly resourced environments. Effective screening and surveillance programmes with recall policies need to be implemented, because detection and curative management of hepatocellular carcinoma is possible if it is detected at an early stage, even in countries with minimal resources, with appropriate upskilling of medical personnel. The establishment of centres of excellence with advanced diagnostic and therapeutic capabilities within countries should improve hepatocellular carcinoma outcomes and assist in driving the implementation of much needed systematic data systems focused on hepatocellular carcinoma to establish the accurate burden in sub-Saharan Africa. Such data would support the public health importance of hepatocellular carcinoma and provide a strong basis for advocacy, programme development, resource allocation, and monitoring of progress in reducing mortality.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Hepatite C , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Aflatoxina B1 , África Subsaariana/epidemiologia , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/diagnóstico , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiologia , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/etiologia , Hepatite C/complicações , Hepatite C/diagnóstico , Hepatite C/epidemiologia , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/prevenção & controle
4.
Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 6(12): 1036-1046, 2021 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34508671

RESUMO

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the leading cause of chronic liver disease globally and is estimated to affect approximately 25% of the world's population. Data about the prevalence and incidence of NAFLD in Africa are scarce, but the prevalence is estimated to be 13·5% for the general population. This is likely to be an underestimate considering the increasing burden of non-communicable diseases, particularly the rising prevalence of obesity and type 2 diabetes, driven by the overlapping challenges of food insecurity, nutritional transition, and associated increased consumption of calorie-dense foods. Establishing the true prevalence of NAFLD, raising public awareness around the risk factors behind the increase in NAFLD, and proactively addressing all components of metabolic syndrome will be important to combat this silent epidemic, which will have long-term health-care costs and economic consequences for the region.


Assuntos
Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/epidemiologia , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/terapia , Doenças não Transmissíveis/economia , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde/tendências , Adulto , África Subsaariana/epidemiologia , Conscientização , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Gerenciamento Clínico , Dislipidemias/complicações , Dislipidemias/epidemiologia , Feminino , Microbioma Gastrointestinal , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Hipertensão/complicações , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Incidência , Masculino , Síndrome Metabólica/complicações , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doenças não Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Obesidade/complicações , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Síndrome do Ovário Policístico/complicações , Síndrome do Ovário Policístico/epidemiologia , Prevalência , Prognóstico , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/complicações , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco
6.
Cancer Treat Res Commun ; 19: 100129, 2019.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30903933

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Mozambique had been ranked among the countries with the highest global incidence of HCC with chronic hepatitis B infection and high exposure to aflatoxin-B1 (AFB1) being major risk factors. Indeed, HCC remains one of the most frequent cancer in Maputo. On the other hand, Mozambique has a high prevalence of infection with Human Immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Our study aims to describe the epidemiology, clinicopathological and serological features of patients with HCC in Maputo Central Hospital and its relationship with HIV. METHODS: A series of 206 patients, diagnosed with HCC via fine needle aspiration, were consecutively included in the study. Patient data was collected using a questionnaire and all patients were tested for HBV, HCV, HIV. RESULTS: Median age was 49 years old and the M: F sex ratio was 2.4. A total of 114 (56.2%) of the patients were HBsAg positive. Hepatitis C antibodies were present in 8.9% of cases, and co-infection with HBV and HCV (HBsAg/anti-HCV) was observed in 4 (2.0%) cases. The remainder, 36.3%, were neither hepatitis B- nor C-related. HIV was detected in 34 cases (18.0%) cases. HIV-HBV or HIV-HCV co-infections were observed in 22 (68.8%) and 2 (6.2%) cases. Overall, positivity for HIV was associated with younger age, and especially in patients with HBsAg+/anti-HCV+. CONCLUSIONS: Our data emphasize the need for a reinforcement of secondary prevention measures in Mozambique. Serological screening for HBV in people born before universal anti-hepatitis B immunization (2001), effective screening, and specific management in HIV(+) patients are urgently needed.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiologia , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patologia , Coinfecção/complicações , Infecções por HIV/complicações , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patologia , Adulto , Idoso , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/virologia , Coinfecção/virologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , HIV/isolamento & purificação , Infecções por HIV/virologia , Hepacivirus/isolamento & purificação , Hepatite B/complicações , Hepatite B/virologia , Vírus da Hepatite B/isolamento & purificação , Hepatite C/complicações , Hepatite C/virologia , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/virologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Moçambique/epidemiologia , Prognóstico , Fatores de Risco
7.
J Glob Oncol ; 4: 1-9, 2018 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30398947

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Eastern Africa was recently described as a high-incidence geographic area for esophageal cancer. Mozambique is included in this region. This study aimed to characterize this malignant disease at Maputo Central Hospital (MCH) to develop a global program for esophageal cancer management in Mozambique. METHODS: MCH records from between 2012 and 2016 were used to assess the clinical, pathologic, and outcome profiles of esophageal tumors. A descriptive analysis of data collected was performed. Overall survival was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier curves. RESULTS: In the study, 522 consecutive patient cases of esophageal cancer were recorded. The median patient age was 56.1 years (range, 27 to 97 years); 291 (55.7%) patients were women, and 230 (44.1%) were men. Regarding tumor site, 113 patients (21.6%) had a tumor in the lower third, 154 (29.5%) in the middle, and 50 (9.6%) in the upper third of the esophagus; in the remaining 196 (37.5%), tumor site was unknown. Squamous cell carcinoma comprised 94.4% of cases with documented histopathology (74.9% of the sample). Surgical treatment was possible in 32 patients (6.1%). Disease stage was documented only in these 32 surgical patients; 28.1%, 53.1%, and 18.8% had stage I, II, and III disease, respectively. The remaining patient cases seemed to involve clinically advanced tumors. The median follow-up time was of 1.6 months. The median survival time was of 3.5 months for all patients; for patients treated with curative intent, it was of 8.7 months. CONCLUSION: Esophageal carcinoma is a common malignant tumor at MCH and is diagnosed in the advanced stages resulting in poor prognosis. Therefore, implementation of an Esophageal Cancer Program in Mozambique is essential.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Esofágicas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Esofágicas/patologia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Neoplasias Esofágicas/mortalidade , Feminino , Hospitais , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Moçambique , Taxa de Sobrevida
8.
Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 2(12): 910-919, 2017 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29132760

RESUMO

In 2016, WHO adopted a strategy for the elimination of viral hepatitis by 2030. Africa, and more specifically, sub-Saharan Africa, carries a substantial portion of the global burden of viral hepatitis, especially chronic hepatitis B and hepatitis C virus infections. The task that lies ahead for sub-Saharan Africa to achieve elimination is substantial, but not insurmountable. Major developments in the management of hepatitis C have put elimination within reach, but several difficulties will need to be navigated on the path to elimination. Many of the challenges faced are unique to sub-Saharan Africa and the development of strategies is complicated by a scarcity of good data from countries and regions within sub-Saharan Africa. However, this hindrance should not act as a barrier to delay interventions in screening, detection, and linkage to care. Moreover, by sharing experiences from across sub-Saharan Africa, countries can create supranational synergies to develop their programmes and work together in a more cohesive manner to tackle the burden of hepatitis C in sub-Saharan Africa. In this Series paper, several issues related to hepatitis C in sub-Saharan Africa are addressed, including prevalence, risk factors, and fibrosis assessment, and recommendations are given by experts from across the region. Simplified diagnostic algorithms and treatment regimens for both HIV co-infected and hepatitis C mono-infected patients are suggested. The recommendations are consensus based and provided to guide the development of programmes in sub-Saharan Africa. Political will and appropriate funding will be required to provide impetus to implement these recommendations.


Assuntos
Hepatite C/prevenção & controle , África Subsaariana/epidemiologia , Antivirais/economia , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Coinfecção , Fibrose , Genótipo , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Hepatite C/tratamento farmacológico , Hepatite C/epidemiologia , Hepatite C/genética , Humanos , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco
9.
Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 2(12): 900-909, 2017 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29132759

RESUMO

The WHO global health sector strategy on viral hepatitis, created in May, 2016, aims to achieve a 90% reduction in new cases of chronic hepatitis B and C and a 65% reduction in mortality due to hepatitis B and C by 2030. Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is endemic in sub-Saharan Africa, and despite the introduction of universal hepatitis B vaccination and effective antiviral therapy, the estimated overall seroprevalence of hepatitis B surface antigen remains high at 6·1% (95% uncertainty interval 4·6-8·5). In this Series paper, we have reviewed the literature to examine the epidemiology, burden of liver disease, and elimination strategies of hepatitis B in sub-Saharan Africa. This paper reflects a supranational perspective of sub-Saharan Africa, and recommends several priority elimination strategies that address the need both to prevent new infections and to diagnose and treat chronic infections. The key to achieving these elimination goals in sub-Saharan Africa is the effective prevention of new infections via universal implementation of the HBV birth-dose vaccine, full vaccine coverage, access to affordable diagnostics to identify HBV-infected individuals, and to enable linkage to care and antiviral therapy.


Assuntos
Hepatite B/epidemiologia , Hepatite B/prevenção & controle , África Subsaariana/epidemiologia , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Coinfecção , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde , Hepatite B/diagnóstico , Hepatite B/transmissão , Antígenos de Superfície da Hepatite B/sangue , Humanos , Transmissão Vertical de Doenças Infecciosas , Programas de Rastreamento , Vacinação em Massa , Prevalência
10.
Eur J Cancer Prev ; 21(6): 532-40, 2012 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22407102

RESUMO

As CDX2 expression precedes the occurrence of gastric preneoplastic lesions in the intestinal differentiation pathway, study of these steps of gastric carcinogenesis may contribute toward understanding the early effects of gastric cancer determinants. Our aim was to quantify the association between Helicobacter pylori infection and other environmental factors and the gastric expression of CDX2. Dyspeptic patients undergoing an upper digestive endoscopy (Gastroenterology Department, Maputo Central Hospital) were consecutively invited to participate in this study and classified as having normal stomach/chronic nonatrophic gastritis (NS/CNAG), chronic atrophic gastritis (CAG), or intestinal metaplasia (IM). For all patients with CAG or IM and a subsample of NS/CNAG patients (sex-matched and age-matched, 1 : 2), H. pylori infection and CDX2 gene expression were assessed by histology and PCR and by immunohistochemistry, respectively. Age-adjusted, sex-adjusted, education-adjusted, and H. pylori infection-adjusted odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were computed. CDX2 expression was observed in 56 NS/CNAG (49.1%), 39 CAG (86.7%), and all IM patients (n=12). It was more frequent among the H. pylori-infected patients (OR=2.26, 95% CI: 1.00-5.15). Infection with high-virulence strains was associated with CDX2 expression in patients with CAG (cagA, OR=3.20, 95% CI: 1.35-7.52) and IM (vacA m1, OR=5.86, 95% CI: 1.08-31.62). Patients with a lower frequency of vegetable consumption had a higher risk of marked CDX2 expression (OR=3.64, 95% CI: 1.02-12.95). The virulence of the infecting strains and vegetable consumption were associated with CDX2 expression and may play a role in the progression to more advanced lesions.


Assuntos
Mucosa Gástrica/metabolismo , Gastrite Atrófica/metabolismo , Infecções por Helicobacter/metabolismo , Proteínas de Homeodomínio/metabolismo , Metaplasia/metabolismo , Lesões Pré-Cancerosas/metabolismo , Neoplasias Gástricas/metabolismo , Adulto , Fator de Transcrição CDX2 , Progressão da Doença , Endoscopia Gastrointestinal , Feminino , Mucosa Gástrica/patologia , Gastrite Atrófica/etiologia , Gastrite Atrófica/patologia , Infecções por Helicobacter/complicações , Infecções por Helicobacter/virologia , Helicobacter pylori/patogenicidade , Humanos , Técnicas Imunoenzimáticas , Mucosa Intestinal/metabolismo , Intestinos/patologia , Masculino , Metaplasia/etiologia , Metaplasia/patologia , Razão de Chances , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase , Lesões Pré-Cancerosas/etiologia , Lesões Pré-Cancerosas/patologia , Prognóstico , Fatores de Risco , Neoplasias Gástricas/etiologia , Neoplasias Gástricas/patologia
11.
Virchows Arch ; 454(2): 153-60, 2009 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19101725

RESUMO

We estimated the prevalence of Helicobacter pylori infection, chronic gastritis, atrophy, and intestinal metaplasia in dyspeptic patients from Maputo Central Hospital, Mozambique and evaluated the relationship between infection and histopathological features of chronic gastritis. Biopsies from 109 consecutive patients observed in 2005-2006 were collected from antrum, incisura angularis, and corpus for histopathological study according to the Modified Sydney system. H. pylori infection was assessed by histology and polymerase chain reaction. H. pylori prevalence was 94.5%. Chronic gastritis was the most frequent diagnosis (90.8%). Degenerative surface epithelial damage was associated with higher H. pylori density. Glandular atrophy (8.3%) and intestinal metaplasia (8.3%) were infrequent. Our results confirm previous observations in African countries with high prevalence of H. pylori infection and low rates of gastric cancer: high frequency of chronic H. pylori-associated gastritis with very low frequency of gastric atrophy and intestinal metaplasia.


Assuntos
Dispepsia/microbiologia , Mucosa Gástrica/patologia , Gastrite/epidemiologia , Infecções por Helicobacter/epidemiologia , Helicobacter pylori , Adulto , Atrofia , Dispepsia/patologia , Feminino , Infecções por Helicobacter/patologia , Helicobacter pylori/isolamento & purificação , Humanos , Masculino , Metaplasia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase , Prevalência
12.
J Med Virol ; 79(12): 1832-40, 2007 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17935167

RESUMO

The seroprevalence rates of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), human T-cell leukemia/lymphoma virus (HTLV), hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis D virus (HDV), and hepatitis C virus (HCV) in Mozambique are poorly documented. The epidemiology of these infections was studied in the Maputo region. All donors attending the blood bank during the study period were interviewed and underwent serological and molecular tests for markers of virus exposure. Thus, 1,578 consecutive replacement blood donors were investigated, as they undergo no selection (other than their relation with a patient needing a transfusion), and may thus provide reliable estimates of the prevalence rates in the general population. The age-standardized prevalence rates among 15- to 49-year-old men and women were, respectively, 12.3 and 15.4% for HIV and 0.9 and 1.2% for HTLV. Low educational status (P = 0.014) and tattooing/scarification (P = 0.023) were predictive of HIV infection in multivariate analysis. The age-adjusted prevalence rates of markers of hepatotropic virus among men and women were, respectively, 10.6 and 4.5% for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), 1.2 and 1.0% for anti-HCV, and 0 and 0% for anti-HDV. Two percent of donors had viral co-infections, involving most frequently the combination of HIV and HBsAg +. A significant association was found between anti-HIV and anti-HBc (P = 0.012). HBsAg was associated with the place of birth (P = 0.011) and a history of transfusion (P = 0.069). Smokers had higher seroprevalence rates than nonsmokers for HIV (P < 0.0001) and HBsAg (P = 0.045). Genotype A was the most frequent HBV genotype (86.3%) followed by E and D. HCV genotypes were 1a, 1b, 3a, and 5a. These results show that HBV vaccination and HIV-preventive measures need to be reinforced in Mozambique.


Assuntos
Doadores de Sangue , Infecções por Deltaretrovirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/sangue , Hepatite B/epidemiologia , Hepatite C/epidemiologia , Hepatite D/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Anticorpos Antivirais/sangue , Antígenos Virais/sangue , Estudos Transversais , Infecções por Deltaretrovirus/sangue , Feminino , Hepacivirus/genética , Hepatite B/sangue , Vírus da Hepatite B/genética , Hepatite C/sangue , Hepatite D/sangue , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Moçambique/epidemiologia , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos
13.
Gastroenterol Clin Biol ; 28(1): 36-9, 2004 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15041808

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this prospective study was to evaluate the acceptance and the effects of nutritional supplementation in malnourished ambulatory patients with liver cirrhosis. METHODS: From June 1999 through June 2000, alcoholic cirrhotic patients with moderate to severe malnutrition as assessed with the Detsky index were included in the study. Patients were instructed to consume, in addition to their regular diet, a commercial solution that provided 500 kcal/day. Physical examination, dietary recalls and laboratory tests were performed at 1, 2 and 3 Month. RESULTS: Twenty-nine patients with a mean age of 52 Years were included. The Child-Pugh grade was A in 6 patients, B in 14 and C in 8. Eighteen patients (62%) completed the 3 Month study protocol. Mean non-alcohol calorie intake increased significantly by 31% at 1 Month and by 48% at 3 Months. At the same time alcohol calorie intake decreased significantly by 68% and 77%, respectively. Subjective improvement in nutritional status was associated with significant improvement of mean Child-Pugh score (P=0.0007) and triceps skinfold thickness (P=0.005). The increase of mid-arm circumference was not significant. CONCLUSION: This study showed that oral supplementation in ambulatory patients with liver cirrhosis is feasible and associated with a significant improvement of nutritional status and biological parameters including the Child-Pugh score. This benefit was associated with a concomitant reduction of alcohol intake.


Assuntos
Suplementos Nutricionais , Cirrose Hepática Alcoólica/complicações , Desnutrição/dietoterapia , Adulto , Idoso , Ingestão de Energia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Desnutrição/etiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Projetos Piloto , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Tempo
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