Controls, comparator arms, and designs for critical care comparative effectiveness research: It's complicated.

BACKGROUND: Comparative effectiveness research is meant to determine which commonly employed medical interventions are most beneficial, least harmful, and/or most costly in a real-world setting. While the objectives for comparative effectiveness research are clear, the field has failed to develop either a uniform definition of comparative effectiveness research or an appropriate set of recommendations to provide standards for the design of critical care comparative effectiveness research trials, spurring controversy in recent years. The insertion of non-representative control and/or comparator arm subjects into critical care comparative effectiveness research trials can threaten trial subjects' safety. Nonetheless, the broader scientific community does not always appreciate the importance of defining and maintaining critical care practices during a trial, especially when vulnerable, critically ill populations are studied. Consequently, critical care comparative effectiveness research trials sometimes lack properly constructed control or active comparator arms altogether and/or suffer from the inclusion of "unusual critical care" that may adversely affect groups enrolled in one or more arms. This oversight has led to critical care comparative effectiveness research trial designs that impair informed consent, confound interpretation of trial results, and increase the risk of harm for trial participants. METHODS/EXAMPLES: We propose a novel approach to performing critical care comparative effectiveness research trials that mandates the documentation of critical care practices prior to trial initiation. We also classify the most common types of critical care comparative effectiveness research trials, as well as the most frequent errors in trial design. We present examples of these design flaws drawn from past and recently published trials as well as examples of trials that avoided those errors. Finally, we summarize strategies employed successfully in well-designed trials, in hopes of suggesting a comprehensive standard for the field. CONCLUSION: Flawed critical care comparative effectiveness research trial designs can lead to unsound trial conclusions, compromise informed consent, and increase risks to research subjects, undermining the major goal of comparative effectiveness research: to inform current practice. Well-constructed control and comparator arms comprise indispensable elements of critical care comparative effectiveness research trials, key to improving the trials' safety and to generating trial results likely to improve patient outcomes in clinical practice.

Reliability of Admission Procalcitonin Testing for Capturing Bacteremia Across the Sepsis Spectrum: Real-World Utilization and Performance Characteristics, 65 U.S. Hospitals, 2008-2017.

OBJECTIVES: Serum procalcitonin is often ordered at admission for patients with suspected sepsis and bloodstream infections (BSIs), although its performance characteristics in this setting remain contested. This study aimed to evaluate use patterns and performance characteristics of procalcitonin-on-admission in patients with suspected BSI, with or without sepsis. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Cerner HealthFacts Database (2008-2017). PATIENTS: Adult inpatients (≥ 18 yr) who had blood cultures and procalcitonin drawn within 24 hours of admission. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Testing frequency of procalcitonin was determined. Sensitivity of procalcitonin-on-admission for detecting BSI due to different pathogens was calculated. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to assess discrimination by procalcitonin-on-admission for BSI in patients with and without fever/hypothermia, ICU admission and sepsis defined by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Adult Sepsis Event criteria. AUCs were compared using Wald test and p values were adjusted for multiple comparisons. At 65 procalcitonin-reporting hospitals, 74,958 of 739,130 patients (10.1%) who had admission blood cultures also had admission procalcitonin testing. Most patients (83%) who had admission day procalcitonin testing did not have a repeat procalcitonin test. Median procalcitonin varied considerably by pathogen, BSI source, and acute illness severity. At a greater than or equal to 0.5 ng/mL cutoff, sensitivity for BSI detection was 68.2% overall, ranging between 58.0% for enterococcal BSI without sepsis and 96.4% for pneumococcal sepsis. Procalcitonin-on-admission displayed moderate discrimination at best for overall BSI (AUC, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.72-0.73) and showed no additional utility in key subgroups. Empiric antibiotic use proportions were not different between blood culture sampled patients with a positive procalcitonin (39.7%) and negative procalcitonin (38.4%) at admission. CONCLUSIONS: At 65 study hospitals, procalcitonin-on-admission demonstrated poor sensitivity in ruling out BSI, moderate-to-poor discrimination for both bacteremic sepsis and occult BSI and did not appear to meaningfully alter empiric antibiotic usage. Diagnostic stewardship of procalcitonin-on-admission and risk assessment of admission procalcitonin-guided clinical decisions is warranted.

Inflammation and DKK1-induced AKT activation contribute to endothelial dysfunction following NR2F2 loss.

NR2F2 is expressed in endothelial cells (ECs) and Nr2f2 knockout produces lethal cardiovascular defects. In humans, reduced NR2F2 expression is associated with cardiovascular diseases including congenital heart disease and atherosclerosis. Here, NR2F2 silencing in human primary ECs led to inflammation, endothelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EndMT), proliferation, hypermigration, apoptosis-resistance, and increased production of reactive oxygen species. These changes were associated with STAT and AKT activation along with increased production of DKK1. Co-silencing DKK1 and NR2F2 prevented NR2F2-loss-induced STAT and AKT activation and reversed EndMT. Serum DKK1 concentrations were elevated in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and DKK1 was secreted by ECs in response to in vitro loss of either BMPR2 or CAV1, which are genetic defects associated with the development of PAH. In human primary ECs, NR2F2 suppressed DKK1, whereas its loss conversely induced DKK1 and disrupted endothelial homeostasis, promoting phenotypic abnormalities associated with pathologic vascular remodeling. Activating NR2F2 or blocking DKK1 may be useful therapeutic targets for treating chronic vascular diseases associated with EC dysfunction.NEW & NOTEWORTHY NR2F2 loss in the endothelial lining of blood vessels is associated with cardiovascular disease. Here, NR2F2-silenced human endothelial cells were inflammatory, proliferative, hypermigratory, and apoptosis-resistant with increased oxidant stress and endothelial-to-mesenchymal transition. DKK1 was induced in NR2F2-silenced endothelial cells, while co-silencing NR2F2 and DKK1 prevented NR2F2-loss-associated abnormalities in endothelial signaling and phenotype. Activating NR2F2 or blocking DKK1 may be useful therapeutic targets for treating vascular diseases associated with endothelial dysfunction.

In critically ill patients with COVID-19, antiplatelet therapy did not increase organ support-free days at 21 d.

SOURCE CITATION: REMAP-CAP Writing Committee for the REMAP-CAP Investigators. Effect of antiplatelet therapy on survival and organ support-free days in critically ill patients with COVID-19: a randomized clinical trial. JAMA. 2022;327:1247-59. 35315874.

Mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist treatment of established pulmonary arterial hypertension improves interventricular dependence in the SU5416-hypoxia rat model.

Treatment with mineralocorticoid receptor (MR) antagonists beginning at the outset of disease, or early thereafter, prevents pulmonary vascular remodeling in preclinical models of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). However, the efficacy of MR blockade in established disease, a more clinically relevant condition, remains unknown. Therefore, we investigated the effectiveness of two MR antagonists, eplerenone (EPL) and spironolactone (SPL), after the development of severe right ventricular (RV) dysfunction in the rat SU5416-hypoxia (SuHx) PAH model. Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in SuHx rats at the end of week 5, before study treatment, confirmed features of established disease including reduced RV ejection fraction and RV hypertrophy, pronounced septal flattening with impaired left ventricular filling and reduced cardiac index. Five weeks of treatment with either EPL or SPL improved left ventricular filling and prevented the further decline in cardiac index compared with placebo. Interventricular septal displacement was reduced by EPL whereas SPL effects were similar, but not significant. Although MR antagonists did not significantly reduce pulmonary artery pressure or vessel remodeling in SuHx rats with established disease, animals with higher drug levels had lower pulmonary pressures. Consistent with effects on cardiac function, EPL treatment tended to suppress MR and proinflammatory gene induction in the RV. In conclusion, MR antagonist treatment led to modest, but consistent beneficial effects on interventricular dependence after the onset of significant RV dysfunction in the SuHx PAH model. These results suggest that measures of RV structure and/or function may be useful endpoints in clinical trials of MR antagonists in patients with PAH.

Trimethoprim-Sulfamethoxazole Versus Levofloxacin for Stenotrophomonas maltophilia Infections: A Retrospective Comparative Effectiveness Study of Electronic Health Records from 154 US Hospitals.

BACKGROUND: Trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (TMP-SMX) is considered first-line therapy for Stenotrophomonas maltophilia infections based on observational data from small studies. Levofloxacin has emerged as a popular alternative due to tolerability concerns related to TMP-SMX. Data comparing levofloxacin to TMP-SMX as targeted therapy are lacking. METHODS: Adult inpatient encounters January 2005 through December 2017 with growth of S maltophilia in blood and/or lower respiratory cultures were identified in the Cerner Healthfacts database. Patients included received targeted therapy with either levofloxacin or TMP-SMX. Overlap weighting was used followed by downstream weighted regression. The primary outcome was adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for in-hospital mortality or discharge to hospice. The secondary outcome was number of days from index S maltophilia culture to hospital discharge. RESULTS: Among 1581 patients with S maltophilia infections, levofloxacin (n = 823) displayed statistically similar mortality risk (aOR, 0.76 [95% confidence interval {CI}, .58-1.01]; P = .06) compared to TMP-SMX (n = 758). Levofloxacin (vs TMP-SMX) use was associated with a lower aOR of death in patients with lower respiratory tract infection (n = 1452) (aOR, 0.73 [95% CI, .54-.98]; P = .03) and if initiated empirically (n = 89) (aOR, 0.16 [95% CI, .03-.95]; P = .04). The levofloxacin cohort had fewer hospital days between index culture collection and discharge (weighted median [interquartile range], 7 [4-13] vs 9 [6-16] days; P < .0001). CONCLUSIONS: Based on observational evidence, levofloxacin is a reasonable alternative to TMP-SMX for the treatment of bloodstream and lower respiratory tract infections caused by S maltophilia.

Modeling current practices in critical care comparative effectiveness research.

Objective: To determine whether contemporaneous practices are adequately represented in recent critical care comparative effectiveness research studies. Design: All critical care comparative effectiveness research trials published in the New England Journal of Medicine from April 2019 to March 2020 were identified. To examine studies published in other high impact medical journals during the same period, such trials were subsequently also identified in the Journal of the American Medical Association and The Lancet. All cited sources were reviewed, and the medical literature was searched to find studies describing contemporary practices. Then, the designated control group or the comparable therapies studied were examined to determine if they represented contemporaneous critical care practices as described in the medical literature. Results: Twenty-five of 332 randomised clinical trials published in these three journals during this 1-year period described critical care comparative effectiveness research that met our inclusion criteria. Seventeen characterised current practices before enrolment (using surveys, observational studies and guidelines) and then incorporated current practices into one or more study arm. In the other eight, usual care arms appeared insufficient. Four of these trials randomly assigned patients to one of two fixed approaches at either end of a range of usually titrated care. However, due to randomisation, different subgroups within each arm received care that was inappropriate for their specific clinical conditions. In the other four of these trials, common practices influencing treatment choice were not reflected in the trial design, despite a prior effort to characterise usual care. Conclusion: One-third of critical care comparative effectiveness research trials published in widely read medical journals during a recent year did not include a designated control arm or comparable therapies representative of contemporary practices. Failure to incorporate contemporary practices into critical care comparative effectiveness trials appears to be a widespread design weakness.

Suspected Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-COV-2) Reinfections: Incidence, Predictors, and Healthcare Use Among Patients at 238 US Healthcare Facilities, 1 June 2020 to 28 February 2021.

In a retrospective cohort study, among 131 773 patients with previous coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), reinfection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-COV-2) was suspected in 253 patients (0.2%) at 238 US healthcare facilities between 1 June 2020 and 28 February 2021. Women displayed a higher cumulative reinfection risk. Healthcare burden and illness severity were similar between index and reinfection encounters.

Association Between Caseload Surge and COVID-19 Survival in 558 U.S. Hospitals, March to August 2020.

BACKGROUND: Several U.S. hospitals had surges in COVID-19 caseload, but their effect on COVID-19 survival rates remains unclear, especially independent of temporal changes in survival. OBJECTIVE: To determine the association between hospitals' severity-weighted COVID-19 caseload and COVID-19 mortality risk and identify effect modifiers of this relationship. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04688372). SETTING: 558 U.S. hospitals in the Premier Healthcare Database. PARTICIPANTS: Adult COVID-19-coded inpatients admitted from March to August 2020 with discharge dispositions by October 2020. MEASUREMENTS: Each hospital-month was stratified by percentile rank on a surge index (a severity-weighted measure of COVID-19 caseload relative to pre-COVID-19 bed capacity). The effect of surge index on risk-adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of in-hospital mortality or discharge to hospice was calculated using hierarchical modeling; interaction by surge attributes was assessed. RESULTS: Of 144 116 inpatients with COVID-19 at 558 U.S. hospitals, 78 144 (54.2%) were admitted to hospitals in the top surge index decile. Overall, 25 344 (17.6%) died; crude COVID-19 mortality decreased over time across all surge index strata. However, compared with nonsurging (<50th surge index percentile) hospital-months, aORs in the 50th to 75th, 75th to 90th, 90th to 95th, 95th to 99th, and greater than 99th percentiles were 1.11 (95% CI, 1.01 to 1.23), 1.24 (CI, 1.12 to 1.38), 1.42 (CI, 1.27 to 1.60), 1.59 (CI, 1.41 to 1.80), and 2.00 (CI, 1.69 to 2.38), respectively. The surge index was associated with mortality across ward, intensive care unit, and intubated patients. The surge-mortality relationship was stronger in June to August than in March to May (slope difference, 0.10 [CI, 0.033 to 0.16]) despite greater corticosteroid use and more judicious intubation during later and higher-surging months. Nearly 1 in 4 COVID-19 deaths (5868 [CI, 3584 to 8171]; 23.2%) was potentially attributable to hospitals strained by surging caseload. LIMITATION: Residual confounding. CONCLUSION: Despite improvements in COVID-19 survival between March and August 2020, surges in hospital COVID-19 caseload remained detrimental to survival and potentially eroded benefits gained from emerging treatments. Bolstering preventive measures and supporting surging hospitals will save many lives. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Intramural Research Program of the National Institutes of Health Clinical Center, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, and the National Cancer Institute.

Mechanistic insights into cell-free hemoglobin-induced injury during septic shock.

Cell-free hemoglobin (CFH) levels are elevated in septic shock and are higher in nonsurvivors. Whether CFH is only a marker of sepsis severity or is involved in pathogenesis is unknown. This study aimed to investigate whether CFH worsens sepsis-associated injuries and to determine potential mechanisms of harm. Fifty-one, 10-12 kg purpose-bred beagles were randomized to receive Staphylococcus aureus intrapulmonary challenges or saline followed by CFH infusions (oxyhemoglobin >80%) or placebo. Animals received antibiotics and intensive care support for 96 h. CFH significantly increased mean pulmonary arterial pressures and right ventricular afterload in both septic and nonseptic animals, effects that were significantly greater in nonsurvivors. These findings are consistent with CFH-associated nitric oxide (NO) scavenging and were associated with significantly depressed cardiac function, and worsened shock, lactate levels, metabolic acidosis, and multiorgan failure. In septic animals only, CFH administration significantly increased mean alveolar-arterial oxygenation gradients, also to a significantly greater degree in nonsurvivors. CFH-associated iron levels were significantly suppressed in infected animals, suggesting that bacterial iron uptake worsened pneumonia. Notably, cytokine levels were similar in survivors and nonsurvivors and were not predictive of outcome. In the absence and presence of infection, CFH infusions resulted in pulmonary hypertension, cardiogenic shock, and multiorgan failure, likely through NO scavenging. In the presence of infection alone, CFH infusions worsened oxygen exchange and lung injury, presumably by supplying iron that promoted bacterial growth. CFH elevation, a known consequence of clinical septic shock, adversely impacts sepsis outcomes through more than one mechanism, and is a biologically plausible, nonantibiotic, noncytokine target for therapeutic intervention.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Cell-free hemoglobin (CFH) elevations are a known consequence of clinical sepsis. Using a two-by-two factorial design and extensive physiological and biochemical evidence, we found a direct mechanism of injury related to nitric oxide scavenging leading to pulmonary hypertension increasing right heart afterload, depressed cardiac function, worsening circulatory failure, and death, as well as an indirect mechanism related to iron toxicity. These discoveries alter conventional thinking about septic shock pathogenesis and provide novel therapeutic approaches.

Type I interferon activation and endothelial dysfunction in caveolin-1 insufficiency-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension.

Interferonopathies, interferon (IFN)-α/ß therapy, and caveolin-1 (CAV1) loss-of-function have all been associated with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). Here, CAV1-silenced primary human pulmonary artery endothelial cells (PAECs) were proliferative and hypermigratory, with reduced cytoskeletal stress fibers. Signal transducers and activators of transcription (STAT) and phosphoinositide 3-kinase (PI3K)/protein kinase B (AKT) were both constitutively activated in these cells, resulting in a type I IFN-biased inflammatory signature. Cav1-/- mice that spontaneously develop pulmonary hypertension were found to have STAT1 and AKT activation in lung homogenates and increased circulating levels of CXCL10, a hallmark of IFN-mediated inflammation. PAH patients with CAV1 mutations also had elevated serum CXCL10 levels and their fibroblasts mirrored phenotypic and molecular features of CAV1-deficient PAECs. Moreover, immunofluorescence staining revealed endothelial CAV1 loss and STAT1 activation in the pulmonary arterioles of patients with idiopathic PAH, suggesting that this paradigm might not be limited to rare CAV1 frameshift mutations. While blocking JAK/STAT or AKT rescued aspects of CAV1 loss, only AKT inhibitors suppressed activation of both signaling pathways simultaneously. Silencing endothelial nitric oxide synthase (NOS3) prevented STAT1 and AKT activation induced by CAV1 loss, implicating CAV1/NOS3 uncoupling and NOS3 dysregulation in the inflammatory phenotype. Exogenous IFN reduced CAV1 expression, activated STAT1 and AKT, and altered the cytoskeleton of PAECs, implicating these mechanisms in PAH associated with autoimmune and autoinflammatory diseases, as well as IFN therapy. CAV1 insufficiency elicits an IFN inflammatory response that results in a dysfunctional endothelial cell phenotype and targeting this pathway may reduce pathologic vascular remodeling in PAH.

Pharmacoepidemiology of Ceftazidime-Avibactam Use: A Retrospective Cohort Analysis of 210 US Hospitals.

BACKGROUND: Ceftazidime-avibactam has in vitro activity against some carbapenem-resistant gram-negative infections (GNIs), and therefore may be a useful alternative to more toxic antibiotics such as colistin. Understanding ceftazidime-avibactam uptake and usage patterns would inform hospital formularies, stewardship, and antibiotic development. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study assessed inpatient encounters in the Vizient database. Ceftazidime-avibactam and colistin administrations were categorized into presumed empiric (3 consecutive days of therapy or less with qualifying exclusions) versus targeted therapy (≥4 consecutive days of therapy) for presumed carbapenem-resistant GNIs. Quarterly percentage change (QPC) using modified Poisson regression and relative change in frequency of targeted ceftazidime-avibactam to colistin encounters was calculated. Factors associated with preferentially receiving targeted ceftazidime-avibactam versus colistin were identified using generalized estimating equations. RESULTS: Between 2015 quarter (q) 1 and 2017q4, ceftazidime-avibactam was administered 21 215 times across 1901 encounters. Inpatient prescriptions for ceftazidime-avibactam increased from 0.44/10 000 hospitalizations in 2015q1 to 7.7/10 000 in 2017q4 (QPC, +11%; 95% CI, 10-13%; P < .01), while conversely colistin prescriptions decreased quarterly by 5% (95% CI, 4-6%; P < .01). Ceftazidime-avibactam therapy was categorized as empiric 25% of the time, targeted 65% of the time, and indeterminate 10% of the time. Patients with chronic kidney disease were twice as likely to receive targeted ceftazidime-avibactam versus colistin (RR, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.82-2.25), whereas those on dialysis were less likely to receive ceftazidime-avibactam than colistin (RR, 0.71; 95% CI, .61-.83). CONCLUSIONS: Since approval in 2015, ceftazidime-avibactam use has grown for presumed carbapenem-resistant GNIs, while colistin has correspondingly declined. Renal function drove the choice between ceftazidime-avibactam and colistin as targeted therapy.

Effectiveness of adjunctive clindamycin in ß-lactam antibiotic-treated patients with invasive ß-haemolytic streptococcal infections in US hospitals: a retrospective multicentre cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Clindamycin is strongly recommended as an adjunctive treatment to ß-lactam antibiotics in patients with severe invasive group A ß-haemolytic streptococcal (iGAS) infections. However, there is little evidence of a benefit in the use of clindamycin in humans, and its role, if any, in treating patients with invasive non-group A/B ß-haemolytic streptococcal (iNABS) infections is unclear. METHODS: For this retrospective multicentre cohort study, we used a dataset from patients in the Cerner Health Facts database, which contains electronic health-based data from 233 US hospitals. We queried the Cerner Health Facts database for inpatients (no age restriction) admitted to hospital in 2000-15, with any clinical cultures positive for ß-haemolytic streptococcal taxa of interest, and who had received ß-lactam antibiotics within 3 days either side of culture sampling. This group of patients was then queried for those who had also received intravenous or oral clindamycin within 3 days either side of culture sampling. Patients were excluded if they had polymicrobial growth or clindamycin non-susceptible isolates, received linezolid, or had missing variable data needed for analysis. Patients were categorised by Lancefield group (iGAS or iNABS); ß-lactam antibiotic-treated patients who had received clindamycin were propensity-matched (1:2) to those who did not receive clindamycin separately for iGAS and iNABS cohorts, and logistic regression was then used to account for residual confounding factors. The primary outcome was the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of in-hospital mortality in propensity-matched patients treated with adjunctive clindamycin versus those not treated with clindamycin in the iGAS and iNABS infection cohorts. FINDINGS: We identified 1956 inpatients with invasive ß-haemolytic streptococcal infection who had been treated with ß-lactam antibiotics across 118 hospitals (1079 with iGAS infections and 877 with iNABS infections). 459 (23·4%) of these patients had received adjunctive clindamycin treatment (343 [31·7%] patients with iGAS infections and 116 [13·2%] patients with iNABS infections). The effect of adjunctive clindamycin therapy on in-hospital mortality differed significantly and showed the opposite trend in iGAS and iNABS infection cohorts (p=0·013 for an interaction). In the iGAS cohort, in-hospital mortality in propensity-matched patients who received adjunctive clindamycin (18 [6·5%] of 277 patients) was significantly lower than in those who did not (55 [11·0%] of 500 patients; aOR 0·44 [95% CI 0·23-0·81]). This survival benefit was maintained even in patients without shock or necrotising fasciitis (six [2·6%] of 239 patients treated with adjunctive clindamycin vs 27 [6·1%] of 422 patients not treated with adjunctive clindamycin; aOR 0·40 [0·15-0·91]). By contrast, in the iNABS infection cohort, in-hospital mortality in propensity-matched patients who received adjunctive clindamycin (ten [9·8%] of 102) was higher than in those who did not (nine [4·6%] of 193), but this difference was not significant (aOR 2·60 [0·94-7·52]). Several subset analyses found qualitatively similar results. INTERPRETATION: Real-world data suggest that increased use of adjunctive clindamycin for invasive iGAS infections, but not iNABS infections, could improve outcomes, even in patients without shock or necrotising fasciitis. FUNDING: Intramural Research Program of the National Institutes of Health Clinical Center and the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease.

Inappropriate empirical antibiotic therapy for bloodstream infections based on discordant in-vitro susceptibilities: a retrospective cohort analysis of prevalence, predictors, and mortality risk in US hospitals.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence and effects of inappropriate empirical antibiotic therapy for bloodstream infections are unclear. We aimed to establish the population-level burden, predictors, and mortality risk of in-vitro susceptibility-discordant empirical antibiotic therapy among patients with bloodstream infections. METHODS: Our retrospective cohort analysis of electronic health record data from 131 hospitals in the USA included patients with suspected-and subsequently confirmed-bloodstream infections who were treated empirically with systemic antibiotics between Jan 1, 2005, and Dec 31, 2014. We included all patients with monomicrobial bacteraemia caused by common bloodstream pathogens who received at least one systemic antibiotic either on the day blood cultures were drawn or the day after, and for whom susceptibility data were available. We calculated the prevalence of discordant empirical antibiotic therapy-which was defined as receiving antibiotics on the day blood culture samples were drawn to which the cultured isolate was not susceptible in vitro-overall and by hospital type by using regression tree analysis. We used generalised estimating equations to identify predictors of receiving discordant empirical antibiotic therapy, and used logistic regression to calculate adjusted odds ratios for the relationship between in-hospital mortality and discordant empirical antibiotic therapy. FINDINGS: 21 608 patients with bloodstream infections received empirical antibiotic therapy on the day of first blood culture collection. Of these patients, 4165 (19%) received discordant empirical antibiotic therapy. Discordant empirical antibiotic therapy was independently associated with increased risk of mortality (adjusted odds ratio 1·46 [95% CI, 1·28-1·66]; p<0·0001), a relationship that was unaffected by the presence or absence of resistance or sepsis or septic shock. Infection with antibiotic-resistant species strongly predicted receiving discordant empirical therapy (adjusted odds ratio 9·09 [95% CI 7·68-10·76]; p<0·0001). Most incidences of discordant empirical antibiotic therapy and associated deaths occurred among patients with bloodstream infections caused by Staphylococcus aureus or Enterobacterales. INTERPRETATION: Approximately one in five patients with bloodstream infections in US hospitals received discordant empirical antibiotic therapy, receipt of which was closely associated with infection with antibiotic-resistant pathogens. Receiving discordant empirical antibiotic therapy was associated with increased odds of mortality overall, even in patients without sepsis. Early identification of bloodstream pathogens and resistance will probably improve population-level outcomes. FUNDING: US National Institutes of Health, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and US Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality.

Antibody tests have higher sensitivity at ≥15 days after symptom onset and 99% specificity for detecting SARS-CoV-2.

SOURCE CITATION: Deeks JJ, Dinnes J, Takwoingi Y, et al. Antibody tests for identification of current and past infection with SARS-CoV-2. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2020;6:CD013652. 32584464.

Needs assessment for novel Gram-negative antibiotics in US hospitals: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Evidence-based needs assessments for novel antibiotics against highly-resistant Gram-negative infections (GNIs) are scarce. We aimed to use real-world data from an electronic health record repository to identify treatment opportunities in US hospitals for GNIs resistant to all first-line drugs. METHODS: For this retrospective cohort study, population estimates with an unmet need for novel Gram-negative antibiotics were quantified using the Cerner Health Facts database (2009-15), aggregating episodes of infection in US hospitals with pathogens displaying difficult-to-treat resistance (DTR; resistance to carbapenems, other ß-lactams, and fluoroquinolones) and episodes involving empirical coverage with reserve drugs (colistin or polymyxin B and aminoglycosides). Episodes displaying extended-spectrum cephalosporin resistance (ECR) were also estimated. Episodes were multiplied by site-specific and fixed 14-day treatment durations for conservative and liberal days-of-therapy (DOT) estimates and stratified by site and taxon. Hospital type-specific DOT rates were reliability adjusted to account for random variation; cluster analyses quantified contribution from outbreaks. FINDINGS: Across 2 996 271 inpatient encounters and 134 hospitals, there were 1352 DTR-GNI episodes, 1765 episodes involving empirical therapy with colistin or polymyxin B, and 16 632 episodes involving aminoglycosides. Collectively, these yielded 39·0 (conservative estimate) to 138·2 (liberal estimate) DOT per 10 000 encounters for a novel DTR-GNI-targeted drug, whereas greater treatment opportunities were identified for ECR (six times greater) and ß-lactam susceptible GNIs (70 times greater). The most common DTR-GNI site and pathogen was lower respiratory (14·3 [43·3%] of 33 DOT per 10 000 encounters) and Pseudomonas aeruginosa (522 [38·1%] of 1371 episodes), whereas Enterobacteriaceae urinary-tract infections dominated the ECR or carbapenem-sparing niche (59·0% [5589 of 9535 episodes]) equating to 210·7 DOT per 10 000 encounters. DTR Stenotrophomonas maltophilia, Burkholderia spp, and Achromobacter spp represented less than 1 DOT per 10 000 encounters each. The estimated need for DTR-GNI-targeted antibiotics saw minor contributions by outbreaks and varied from 0·5 to 73·1 DOT per 10 000 encounters by hospital type. INTERPRETATION: Suspected or documented GNIs with no or suboptimal treatment options are relatively infrequent. Non-revenue-based strategies and innovative trial designs are probably essential to the development of antibiotics with improved effectiveness for these GNIs. FUNDING: Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, US Food and Drug Administration; Intramural Research Program, National Institutes of Health Clinical Center and the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and the National Cancer Institute.

Comparative effectiveness research in critically ill patients: risks associated with mischaracterising usual care.

Comparative effectiveness research can help guide the use of common, routine medical practices. However, to be safe and informative, such trials must include at least one treatment arm that accurately portrays current practices. While comparative effectiveness research is widely perceived as safe and to involve no or only minimal risks, these assumptions may not hold true if unrecognised deviations from usual care exist in one or more study arms. For critically ill subjects in particular, such practice deviations may increase the risk of death or injury and undermine safety monitoring. Furthermore, unrecognised unusual care seems likely to corrupt informed consent documents, with underappreciated risks shrouded under the reassuring "comparative effectiveness" research label. At present, oversight measures are inadequate to ensure that research subjects enrolled in comparative effectiveness trials are actually receiving usual and not unusual care. Oversight by governmental and non-governmental entities with appropriate expertise, empowered to ensure that current clinical practice has been properly represented, could help prevent occurrences in clinical trials of unusual care masquerading as usual care.