The contribution of cannabis use to the increased psychosis risk among minority ethnic groups in Europe.

BACKGROUND: We examined whether cannabis use contributes to the increased risk of psychotic disorder for non-western minorities in Europe. METHODS: We used data from the EU-GEI study (collected at sites in Spain, Italy, France, the United Kingdom, and the Netherlands) on 825 first-episode patients and 1026 controls. We estimated the odds ratio (OR) of psychotic disorder for several groups of migrants compared with the local reference population, without and with adjustment for measures of cannabis use. RESULTS: The OR of psychotic disorder for non-western minorities, adjusted for age, sex, and recruitment area, was 1.80 (95% CI 1.39-2.33). Further adjustment of this OR for frequency of cannabis use had a minimal effect: OR = 1.81 (95% CI 1.38-2.37). The same applied to adjustment for frequency of use of high-potency cannabis. Likewise, adjustments of ORs for most sub-groups of non-western countries had a minimal effect. There were two exceptions. For the Black Caribbean group in London, after adjustment for frequency of use of high-potency cannabis the OR decreased from 2.45 (95% CI 1.25-4.79) to 1.61 (95% CI 0.74-3.51). Similarly, the OR for Surinamese and Dutch Antillean individuals in Amsterdam decreased after adjustment for daily use: from 2.57 (95% CI 1.07-6.15) to 1.67 (95% CI 0.62-4.53). CONCLUSIONS: The contribution of cannabis use to the excess risk of psychotic disorder for non-western minorities was small. However, some evidence of an effect was found for people of Black Caribbean heritage in London and for those of Surinamese and Dutch Antillean heritage in Amsterdam.

Associations between disturbed sleep and attenuated psychotic experiences in people at clinical high risk for psychosis.

BACKGROUND: Pre-diagnostic stages of psychotic illnesses, including 'clinical high risk' (CHR), are marked by sleep disturbances. These sleep disturbances appear to represent a key aspect in the etiology and maintenance of psychotic disorders. We aimed to examine the relationship between self-reported sleep dysfunction and attenuated psychotic symptoms (APS) on a day-to-day basis. METHODS: Seventy-six CHR young people completed the Experience Sampling Methodology (ESM) component of the European Union Gene-Environment Interaction Study, collected through PsyMate® devices, prompting sleep and symptom questionnaires 10 times daily for 6 days. Bayesian multilevel mixed linear regression analyses were performed on time-variant ESM data using the brms package in R. We investigated the day-to-day associations between sleep and psychotic experiences bidirectionally on an item level. Sleep items included sleep onset latency, fragmentation, and quality. Psychosis items assessed a range of perceptual, cognitive, and bizarre thought content common in the CHR population. RESULTS: Two of the seven psychosis variables were unidirectionally predicted by previous night's number of awakenings: every unit increase in number of nightly awakenings predicted a 0.27 and 0.28 unit increase in feeling unreal or paranoid the next day, respectively. No other sleep variables credibly predicted next-day psychotic symptoms or vice-versa. CONCLUSION: In this study, the relationship between sleep disturbance and APS appears specific to the item in question. However, some APS, including perceptual disturbances, had low levels of endorsement amongst this sample. Nonetheless, these results provide evidence for a unidirectional relationship between sleep and some APS in this population.

fMRI connectivity as a biomarker of antipsychotic treatment response: A systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Antipsychotic drugs are the first-choice therapy for psychotic episodes, but antipsychotic treatment response (AP-R) is unpredictable and only becomes clear after weeks of therapy. A biomarker for AP-R is currently unavailable. We reviewed the evidence for the hypothesis that functional magnetic resonance imaging functional connectivity (fMRI-FC) is a predictor of AP-R or could serve as a biomarker for AP-R in psychosis. METHOD: A systematic review of longitudinal fMRI studies examining the predictive performance and relationship between FC and AP-R was performed following PRISMA guidelines. Technical and clinical aspects were critically assessed for the retrieved studies. We addressed three questions: Q1) is baseline fMRI-FC related to subsequent AP-R; Q2) is AP-R related to a change in fMRI-FC; and Q3) can baseline fMRI-FC predict subsequent AP-R? RESULTS: In total, 28 articles were included. Most studies were of good quality. fMRI-FC analysis pipelines included seed-based-, independent component- / canonical correlation analysis, network-based statistics, and graph-theoretical approaches. We found high heterogeneity in methodological approaches and results. For Q1 (N = 17) and Q2 (N = 18), the most consistent evidence was found for FC between the striatum and ventral attention network as a potential biomarker of AP-R. For Q3 (N = 9) accuracy's varied form 50 till 93%, and prediction models were based on FC between various brain regions. CONCLUSION: The current fMRI-FC literature on AP-R is hampered by heterogeneity of methodological approaches. Methodological uniformity and further improvement of the reliability and validity of fMRI connectivity analysis is needed before fMRI-FC analysis can have a place in clinical applications of antipsychotic treatment.

Tobacco use in first-episode psychosis, a multinational EU-GEI study.

BACKGROUND: Tobacco is a highly prevalent substance of abuse in patients with psychosis. Previous studies have reported an association between tobacco use and schizophrenia. The aim of this study was to analyze the relationship between tobacco use and first-episode psychosis (FEP), age at onset of psychosis, and specific diagnosis of psychosis. METHODS: The sample consisted of 1105 FEP patients and 1355 controls from the European Network of National Schizophrenia Networks Studying Gene-Environment Interactions (EU-GEI) study. We assessed substance use with the Tobacco and Alcohol Questionnaire and performed a series of regression analyses using case-control status, age of onset of psychosis, and diagnosis as outcomes and tobacco use and frequency of tobacco use as predictors. Analyses were adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics, alcohol, and cannabis use. RESULTS: After controlling for cannabis use, FEP patients were 2.6 times more likely to use tobacco [p ⩽ 0.001; adjusted odds ratio (AOR) 2.6; 95% confidence interval (CI) [2.1-3.2]] and 1.7 times more likely to smoke 20 or more cigarettes a day (p = 0.003; AOR 1.7; 95% CI [1.2-2.4]) than controls. Tobacco use was associated with an earlier age at psychosis onset (ß = -2.3; p ⩽ 0.001; 95% CI [-3.7 to -0.9]) and was 1.3 times more frequent in FEP patients with a diagnosis of schizophrenia than in other diagnoses of psychosis (AOR 1.3; 95% CI [1.0-1.8]); however, these results were no longer significant after controlling for cannabis use. CONCLUSIONS: Tobacco and heavy-tobacco use are associated with increased odds of FEP. These findings further support the relevance of tobacco prevention in young populations.

[Linguistic distance and psychosis in ethnic minorities]. / Taalachterstand en psychose onder mensen met een migratieachtergrond.

BACKGROUND: Ethnic minorities in the Netherlands face an excess psychosis risk, and understanding of causality remains limited. Linguistic disadvantage and other indicators of societal exclusion might play a role, and offer potential targets for public health interventions. AIM: To establish the contribution of linguistic disadvantage, indicators of social distance and perceived discrimination to the increased risk of psychoses in migrants and ethnic minorities. METHODS: We used the Dutch data from an international case-control study into psychotic disorders (the EU-GEI study). A first episode of psychosis was our outcome variable, and we used well-defined data on established confounders (e.g. age and sex) and indicators of ethnicity, social distance, linguistic disadvantage and perceived discrimination as our predictor variables. RESULTS: Ethnic minorities face an increased psychosis risk. This appears to be the case for both first- and second- generation migrants and so-called ‘Western’ and non-Western migrants. Though confounders and social distance appear to contribute, linguistic disadvantage appears to play a role in the excess psychosis risk in first-generation migrants. CONCLUSION: Reducing the social consequences of linguistic disadvantage or social distance might be a starting point for concrete public health interventions aimed at preventing the increased psychosis risk faced by first-generation migrants.

[The Personal Antipsychotic Choice Index]. / De Persoonlijke Antipsychotica Keuzewijzer.

BACKGROUND: More than half of the patients suffering from a first psychotic episode withdraw from antipsychotic medication within the first year of treatment. Shared decision making could enhance the therapeutic relationship and thus adherence. AIM: To describe an online decision aid for the selection of antipsychotic medication: the Personal Antipsychotic Choice Index (www.pakwijzer.nl). METHOD: Per effect and side effect, the 15 most commonly prescribed antipsychotics in the Netherlands have been ranked on the basis of data on the magnitude of a desired effect and the chance of a side effect, based on a systematic literature study. We assigned scores to antipsychotics for each desired and undesired effect and processed these scores in an algorithm. A personal ranking of antipsychotics is calculated based on the value that patients attach to these effects. RESULTS: These desired and undesired criteria used are rated in the PACindex: effectiveness concerning psychotic, depressive and cognitive symptoms, weight gain, sexual dysfunction, drowsiness, hypersomnia, extrapyramidal symptoms, anticholinergic adverse effects, hypersalivation, nausea, dizziness, energy loss, blunted affect/less need for companionship. High level evidence was available for ranking weight gain, sexual dysfunction, menstrual disorders, extrapyramidal symptoms and effectiveness on psychotic symptoms. We used lower level evidence ranking the remaining criteria. CONCLUSION: A ready applicable online choixe index for the use of an antipsychotic agent has been developed and put into use. The PACindex could be updated when new evidence of new antipsychotics became available..

Genetic and psychosocial stressors have independent effects on the level of subclinical psychosis: findings from the multinational EU-GEI study.

AIMS: Gene x environment (G×E) interactions, i.e. genetic modulation of the sensitivity to environmental factors and/or environmental control of the gene expression, have not been reliably established regarding aetiology of psychotic disorders. Moreover, recent studies have shown associations between the polygenic risk scores for schizophrenia (PRS-SZ) and some risk factors of psychotic disorders, challenging the traditional gene v. environment dichotomy. In the present article, we studied the role of GxE interaction between psychosocial stressors (childhood trauma, stressful life-events, self-reported discrimination experiences and low social capital) and the PRS-SZ on subclinical psychosis in a population-based sample. METHODS: Data were drawn from the EUropean network of national schizophrenia networks studying Gene-Environment Interactions (EU-GEI) study, in which subjects without psychotic disorders were included in six countries. The sample was restricted to European descendant subjects (n = 706). Subclinical dimensions of psychosis (positive, negative, and depressive) were measured by the Community Assessment of Psychic Experiences (CAPE) scale. Associations between the PRS-SZ and the psychosocial stressors were tested. For each dimension, the interactions between genes and environment were assessed using linear models and comparing explained variances of 'Genetic' models (solely fitted with PRS-SZ), 'Environmental' models (solely fitted with each environmental stressor), 'Independent' models (with PRS-SZ and each environmental factor), and 'Interaction' models (Independent models plus an interaction term between the PRS-SZ and each environmental factor). Likelihood ration tests (LRT) compared the fit of the different models. RESULTS: There were no genes-environment associations. PRS-SZ was associated with positive dimensions (ß = 0.092, R2 = 7.50%), and most psychosocial stressors were associated with all three subclinical psychotic dimensions (except social capital and positive dimension). Concerning the positive dimension, Independent models fitted better than Environmental and Genetic models. No significant GxE interaction was observed for any dimension. CONCLUSIONS: This study in subjects without psychotic disorders suggests that (i) the aetiological continuum hypothesis could concern particularly the positive dimension of subclinical psychosis, (ii) genetic and environmental factors have independent effects on the level of this positive dimension, (iii) and that interactions between genetic and individual environmental factors could not be identified in this sample.

[The neglected 'self' in schizophrenia]. / Het veronachtzaamde 'zelf' bij schizofrenie.

BACKGROUND: Although self-disorders are common in schizophrenia, little attention is paid to them in clinical practice. AIM: To provide an overview of the knowledge regarding self-disorders in schizophrenia in the context of diagnosis and treatment. METHOD: A description of the literature on the history, background, diagnosis and treatment of self-disorders in schizophrenia. RESULTS: From a phenomenological perspective, disturbances in the minimal self frequently occur in schizophrenia. Two self-disorders are described: decreased self-affection (reduced sense of ownership of experiences, reduced sense of authorship of actions) and hyperreflexivity (normally self-evident experiences receive disproportionate attention). Self-disorders are common in schizophrenia, but also in other psychiatric classifications. Partly due to the emphasis on reliability of DSM-5 classifications, there is limited interest in the self-disorders. Treatment focused on physical and social activity can probably enhance the basic sense of self. In addition, hyperreflexivity may be reduced by interventions aimed at acceptance, while targeting so-called erroneous cognitions may possibly worsen hyperreflexivity. CONCLUSION: Self-disorders in schizophrenia are common and insufficient attention is paid to self-disorders in research and clinical practice. More knowledge about self-disorders might lead to new insights into therapeutic options in schizophrenia.

Association of cognitive performance with clinical staging in schizophrenia spectrum disorders: a prospective 6-year follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: Clinical staging has been developed to capture the large heterogeneity in schizophrenia spectrum disorders. Including cognitive performance in the staging model may improve its clinical validity. Moreover, cognitive functioning could predict transition across stages. However, current evidence of the association between cognition and clinical staging is inconsistent. Therefore, we aim to assess whether cognitive parameters are associated with clinical stages in a large sample of patients with schizophrenia spectrum disorders and to identify cognitive markers at baseline that are associated with stage-transition at three and six-year follow-up. METHODS: We applied the staging model of Fusar-Poli et al. (2017) in 927 patients with non-affective psychotic disorders, assessed at baseline, and after three and six-year follow-up. Cognitive performance was assessed with a standard test battery. Generalized linear mixed models were used to analyze associations of cognitive performance with staging and stage-transition at follow-up. RESULTS: Findings showed that higher stages of illness were significantly associated with lower processing speed (F = 3.688, p = 0.025) and deficits in working memory (F = 6.365, p = 0.002) across assessments. No associations between cognitive parameters at baseline and stage-transition at three- and six-year follow-up were found. CONCLUSION: We conclude that processing speed and working memory were modestly associated with higher stages of illness in schizophrenia spectrum disorders, thereby slightly improving its clinical validity. However, associations were small and we found no evidence for predictive validity.

[Oxidative stress in psychosis: a new target for intervention?] / Oxidatieve stress bij psychotische stoornissen: een nieuw target voor interventie?

BACKGROUND: Oxidative stress is a state of imbalance between reactive oxidants and anti-oxidants. Oxidative stress and a disrupted redox regulation in the brain might contribute to the pathophysiology of psychotic disorders and could serve as interesting new targets for clinical intervention. Advanced glycation end products (AGEs) in the skin can be measured non-invasively and indicate cumulative oxidative stress. AIM: To investigate cross-sectional and longitudinal differences in AGE-levels in patients with recent onset psychosis (patients) and healthy controls (controls). To investigate association of AGE-levels and brain volume in psychosis. METHOD: An autofluorescence measurement of AGEs in the skin was performed in patients and controls. AGEs were compared in patients and controls. Furthermore, the association between AGEs and volumes of the amygdala, hippocampus and total cortical gray matter was investigated in patients. RESULTS: AGEs in the skin were elevated by 15% (or 0.66 standard deviations) in patients (n = 86) compared to controls (n = 135) (p < 0.001). An indication of a higher AGE-accumulation rate (p = 0.07) was found in patients (n = 66) compared to controls (n = 160). We found a negative association between AGEs in the skin and hippocampus volume (standardized beta= 0.27; p = 0.03) in patients (n = 46). CONCLUSION: Findings of a high level of AGEs in the skin indicate excessive oxidative stress in patients with recent onset psychosis.

[The underrepresentation of complex patient groups in scientific research: ethical considerations]. / De ondervertegenwoordiging van complexe patiëntengroepen in wetenschappelijk onderzoek: ethische overwegingen.

BACKGROUND: Subgroups of patients with severe mental illness are underrepresented in scientific research. One of the possible causes is the fact that in these patient groups barriers may exist to the giving of competent informed consent. AIM: Describing the ethical dilemmas that may occur when conducting research with these patient groups. METHOD: We present an overview of the Dutch legislation and regulation concerning participation in scientific research, and discuss the ethical dilemmas that arise in the mentioned patient groups. We present four directions for solutions. RESULTS: In research with these patient groups more attention is needed for the explicit assessment and enhancement of competence. For the subgroup that is persistently incompetent, the possibilities of doing research with existing patient data without informed consent, need further exploration. CONCLUSION: Further legislative development is needed for research with patients with severe mental illness who are persistently incompetent. Herein, it is crucial to involve ethicists and organizations representing patients' and relatives' perspectives.

[The importance of inter-rater reliability in psychopharmacological trials]. / Het belang van interbeoordelaars­betrouwbaarheid in psychofarmacologisch onderzoek.

BACKGROUND: There are concerns about the declining efficacy of antidepressants and antipsychotics in clinical trials. A potential cause may be found in poor training practices to achieve sufficient inter-rater reliability (IRR). However, it is unknown whether IRR and training procedures are currently reported. AIM: To determine the proportion of publications concerning double-blind randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating antipsychotics or antidepressants that report IRR and training procedures. METHOD: We extracted all double-blind RCTs from five large meta-analyses concerning antidepressants and antipsychotics. Further, we conducted a Medline-search for double-blind RCTs investigating antidepressants from January 2016 - January 2020, and antipsychotics from January 2000 - January 2019. RESULTS: In 179 double-blind RCTs with antidepressants, only 4.5% reported an IRR coefficient whereas 27.9% reported on training procedures. Further, in 207 double-blind RCTs with antipsychotics, 11.2% reported an IRR coefficient and 34.8% reported training procedures. CONCLUSION: There is a substantial lack of reporting IRR and training procedures in RCTs with antidepressants and antipsychotics. Considering the implications of insufficient IRR, it is necessary to conduct and report training procedures and IRR. Reporting IRR and training procedures should be made mandatory by editorial boards of scientific journals.

Stress reactivity as a putative mechanism linking childhood trauma with clinical outcomes in individuals at ultra-high-risk for psychosis: Findings from the EU-GEI High Risk Study.

AIMS: Childhood trauma is associated with an elevated risk for psychosis, but the psychological mechanisms involved remain largely unclear. This study aimed to investigate emotional and psychotic stress reactivity in daily life as a putative mechanism linking childhood trauma and clinical outcomes in individuals at ultra-high-risk (UHR) for psychosis. METHODS: Experience sampling methodology was used to measure momentary stress, affect and psychotic experiences in the daily life of N = 79 UHR individuals in the EU-GEI High Risk Study. The Childhood Trauma Questionnaire was used to assess self-reported childhood trauma. Clinical outcomes were assessed at baseline, 1- and 2-year follow-up. RESULTS: The association of stress with positive (ß = -0.14, p = 0.010) and negative affect (ß = 0.11, p = 0.020) was modified by transition status such that stress reactivity was greater in individuals who transitioned to psychosis. Moreover, the association of stress with negative affect (ß = 0.06, p = 0.019) and psychotic experiences (ß = 0.05, p = 0.037) was greater in individuals exposed to high v. low levels of childhood trauma. We also found evidence that decreased positive affect in response to stress was associated with reduced functioning at 1-year follow-up (B = 6.29, p = 0.034). In addition, there was evidence that the association of childhood trauma with poor functional outcomes was mediated by stress reactivity (e.g. indirect effect: B = -2.13, p = 0.026), but no evidence that stress reactivity mediated the association between childhood trauma and transition (e.g. indirect effect: B = 0.14, p = 0.506). CONCLUSIONS: Emotional and psychotic stress reactivity may be potential mechanisms linking childhood trauma with clinical outcomes in UHR individuals.

[Implementation of a stop-smoking support program for patients and employees in a psychiatric hospital: First results]. / Implementatie van een stoppen-met-rokenprogramma in een psychiatrisch ziekenhuis: eerste resultaten.

BACKGROUND: In contrast to several other countries, smoking is not an integral part of treatment during admission to a psychiatric hospital in The Netherlands.
AIM: Implementation of a smoking cessation program for patients and employees of a psychiatric ward of an academic medical center in The Netherlands.
METHOD: Prospective, mixed-method study of implementation of a smoking cessation program for patients and employees of a psychiatric academic hospital in Amsterdam. The program consisted of 7 weekly group meetings by certified smoking cessation coaches. Nicotine replacement therapy was provided for free, if necessary.
RESULTS: During 14 months, 65 individuals were seeking help to stop smoking: 39 patients and 26 employees. Of these, 29 patients and 16 employees participated in group meetings with an average of 2.6 times per person. There were 20 individuals who visited the group meetings or received individual coaching at least 3 times (6 patients and 14 employees). Fifty-five percent of these individuals reported to be smoke-free at 3 months after joining the first meeting. Employees were much more likely to quit than patients. From interviews with 20 participants, it was noticed that combining patients and employees in one group was perceived as a barrier due to a gap in processing speed.
CONCLUSION: On the psychiatric ward of an academic hospital in The Netherlands, there was a positive experience with providing smoking cessation treatment. A small number of employees and patients participated in a smoking cessation program and quitting smoking was reached by only a few patients. Supporting smoking cessation in a psychiatric hospital asks for intensive screening, diagnosing, treatment and smoke-free policies.

Basic symptoms in young people at ultra-high risk of psychosis: Association with clinical characteristics and outcomes.

There has been limited research into the predictive value of basic symptoms and their relationship with other psychopathology in patients identified using the 'ultra high risk' (UHR) for psychosis approach. The current study investigated whether basic symptoms, specifically cognitive disturbances (COGDIS), were associated with a greater risk of transition to psychotic disorder and persistent attenuated psychotic symptoms (APS) at medium term follow-up (mean = 3.4 years) in UHR patients, as well as with general psychopathology at baseline. The sample included 304 UHR participants (mean age = 19.12 years) involved in an international multicenter trial of omega-3 fatty acids. UHR individuals who also met the COGDIS criteria (basic symptoms risk criteria) did not have a greater risk of transition than those who met the UHR criteria alone. However, meeting COGDIS risk criteria was associated with a greater likelihood of meeting the UHR attenuated psychotic symptoms risk group (i.e., having persistent attenuated psychotic symptoms) at 12-month follow-up (odds ratio = 1.85; 95% CI = 1.03, 3.32). Greater severity of cognitive basic symptoms was also independently associated with more severe general psychopathology at study entry. The findings do not support the notion that combined risk identification approaches (UHR and basic symptoms) aid in the identification of individuals at greatest risk of psychosis, although this interpretation is limited by the modest transition to psychosis rate (13%) and the time of follow up. However, the findings indicate that basic symptoms may be a clinically useful marker of more severe general psychopathology in UHR groups and risk for persistent attenuated psychotic symptoms.

Psychometric properties of the DSM-5 Clinician-Rated Dimensions of Psychosis Symptom Severity.

OBJECTIVE: The Clinician-Rated Dimensions of Psychosis Symptom Severity (CRDPSS) was presented in the DSM-5 as a new scale to assess the dimensional aspects of psychosis in daily clinical practice. However, agreement in CRDPSS-ratings among raters in clinical practice remains unknown. We examined the inter-rater reliability (IRR) and convergent validity of the CRDPSS. METHOD: Consecutively recruited outpatients with recent onset schizophrenia spectrum disorders were included between January 2015 and July 2018. We collected multiple CRDPSS measurements of 335 participants, of whom 179 PANSS measurements were available. IRR was determined by comparing the CRDPSS-ratings of psychiatrists with a vis-à-vis contact and CRDPSS observations based on a detailed clinical presentation. IRR was expressed in Krippendorff's alpha and we estimated convergent validity by studying associations with PANSS factors by Spearman's rank correlation coefficient. RESULTS: Inter-rater reliability scores measured in Krippendorff's alpha were low (0.35-0.64) for all items of the CRDPSS, except the item delusions (0.74). A three-factor model was found: 'deficit/motor symptoms', 'positive symptoms' and 'mood symptoms'. Positive associations between CRDPSS factors with PANSS factors were found. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated that the IRR of the CRDPSS between raters in clinical practice was insufficient. We did find some supporting evidence for convergent validity of the CRDPSS, but these results should be interpreted carefully due to low IRR. Consequently, general implementation in clinical practice should be done with caution and we recommend assessors to be trained.

Effect of preoperative biliary drainage on cholestasis-associated inflammatory and fibrotic gene signatures in perihilar cholangiocarcinoma.

Preoperative biliary drainage (PBD) is used routinely in the evaluation of patients with potentially resectable perihilar cholangiocarcinoma to relieve cholestasis and improve the liver's resilience to surgery. Little preclinical or translatational data are, however, currently available to guide the use of PBD in this patient group. The effect of PBD on hepatic gene expression profiles was therefore studied by microarray analysis. Drainage affects inflammatory and fibrotic gene signatures.

Dynamic prediction of transition to psychosis using joint modelling.

Considerable research has been conducted seeking risk factors and constructing prediction models for transition to psychosis in individuals at ultra-high risk (UHR). Nearly all such research has only employed baseline predictors, i.e. data collected at the baseline time point, even though longitudinal data on relevant measures such as psychopathology have often been collected at various time points. Dynamic prediction, which is the updating of prediction at a post-baseline assessment using baseline and longitudinal data accumulated up to that assessment, has not been utilized in the UHR context. This study explored the use of dynamic prediction and determined if it could enhance the prediction of frank psychosis onset in UHR individuals. An emerging statistical methodology called joint modelling was used to implement the dynamic prediction. Data from the NEURAPRO study (n = 304 UHR individuals), an intervention study with transition to psychosis study as the primary outcome, were used to investigate dynamic predictors. Compared with the conventional approach of using only baseline predictors, dynamic prediction using joint modelling showed significantly better sensitivity, specificity and likelihood ratios. As dynamic prediction can provide an up-to-date prediction for each individual at each new assessment post entry, it can be a useful tool to help clinicians adjust their prognostic judgements based on the unfolding clinical symptomatology of the patients. This study has shown that a dynamic approach to psychosis prediction using joint modelling has the potential to aid clinicians in making decisions about the provision of timely and personalized treatment to patients concerned.