RESUMO
To halt further destruction of the biosphere, most people and societies around the globe need to transform their relationships with nature. The internationally agreed vision under the Convention of Biological Diversity-Living in harmony with nature-is that "By 2050, biodiversity is valued, conserved, restored and wisely used, maintaining ecosystem services, sustaining a healthy planet and delivering benefits essential for all people". In this context, there are a variety of debates between alternative perspectives on how to achieve this vision. Yet, scenarios and models that are able to explore these debates in the context of "living in harmony with nature" have not been widely developed. To address this gap, the Nature Futures Framework has been developed to catalyse the development of new scenarios and models that embrace a plurality of perspectives on desirable futures for nature and people. In this paper, members of the IPBES task force on scenarios and models provide an example of how the Nature Futures Framework can be implemented for the development of illustrative narratives representing a diversity of desirable nature futures: information that can be used to assess and develop scenarios and models whilst acknowledging the underpinning value perspectives on nature. Here, the term illustrative reflects the multiple ways in which desired nature futures can be captured by these narratives. In addition, to explore the interdependence between narratives, and therefore their potential to be translated into scenarios and models, the six narratives developed here were assessed around three areas of the transformative change debate, specifically, (1) land sparing vs. land sharing, (2) Half Earth vs. Whole Earth conservation, and (3) green growth vs. post-growth economic development. The paper concludes with an assessment of how the Nature Futures Framework could be used to assist in developing and articulating transformative pathways towards desirable nature futures. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11625-023-01316-1.
RESUMO
Soil seed banks (SSB) can be important components in the process of rehabilitating degraded lands. Thus, this study was aimed to evaluate the role of SSB to the restoration of degraded lands in six, fifteen and twenty-five year's ex-closures and adjacent degraded open grazing land (DOGL). Totally, 160 samples of SSB from four soil layers (litter, 0-3 cm, 3-6 cm & 6-9 cm), four sites and ten in a composite of 5 (15 × 15 cm) were collected and tested for seed viability through seed extraction and seedling emergence methods. Species richness and diversity showed a significant difference between the SSB of the ex-closures and DOGL (P = 0.0148 and P = 0.0218 respectively). Seed densities also showed significant differences between the vertical layers of the soils in the ex-closures and DOGL (P = 0.0112) and the interaction effect of the land use type and the vertical soil layers (P = 0.0174). Ex-closures and DOGL scored highest seed densities in their litter and bottom layers of the soils respectively. Most of the woody species in the SSB of older ex-closures were represented in the aboveground flora. Thus, this study has verified that SSB has played a vital role in the restoration of woody species in degraded land through ex-closure practices.