Prediction of anxious depression using multimodal neuroimaging and machine learning.

Anxious depression is a common subtype of major depressive disorder (MDD) associated with adverse outcomes and severely impaired social function. It is important to clarify the underlying neurobiology of anxious depression to refine the diagnosis and stratify patients for therapy. Here we explored associations between anxiety and brain structure/function in MDD patients. A total of 260 MDD patients and 127 healthy controls underwent three-dimensional T1-weighted structural scanning and resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging. Demographic data were collected from all participants. Differences in gray matter volume (GMV), (fractional) amplitude of low-frequency fluctuation ((f)ALFF), regional homogeneity (ReHo), and seed point-based functional connectivity were compared between anxious MDD patients, non-anxious MDD patients, and healthy controls. A random forest model was used to predict anxiety in MDD patients using neuroimaging features. Anxious MDD patients showed significant differences in GMV in the left middle temporal gyrus and ReHo in the right superior parietal gyrus and the left precuneus than HCs. Compared with non-anxious MDD patients, patients with anxious MDD showed significantly different GMV in the left inferior temporal gyrus, left superior temporal gyrus, left superior frontal gyrus (orbital part), and left dorsolateral superior frontal gyrus; fALFF in the left middle temporal gyrus; ReHo in the inferior temporal gyrus and the superior frontal gyrus (orbital part); and functional connectivity between the left superior temporal gyrus(temporal pole) and left medial superior frontal gyrus. A diagnostic predictive random forest model built using imaging features and validated by 10-fold cross-validation distinguished anxious from non-anxious MDD with an AUC of 0.802. Patients with anxious depression exhibit dysregulation of brain regions associated with emotion regulation, cognition, and decision-making, and our diagnostic model paves the way for more accurate, objective clinical diagnosis of anxious depression.

A Machine Learning Analysis of Big Metabolomics Data for Classifying Depression: Model Development and Validation.

BACKGROUND: Many metabolomics studies of depression have been performed, but these have been limited by their scale. A comprehensive in silico analysis of global metabolite levels in large populations could provide robust insights into the pathological mechanisms underlying depression and candidate clinical biomarkers. METHODS: Depression-associated metabolomics was studied in 2 datasets from the UK Biobank database: participants with lifetime depression (N = 123,459) and participants with current depression (N = 94,921). The Whitehall II cohort (N = 4744) was used for external validation. CatBoost machine learning was used for modeling, and Shapley additive explanations were used to interpret the model. Fivefold cross-validation was used to validate model performance, training the model on 3 of the 5 sets with the remaining 2 sets for validation and testing, respectively. Diagnostic performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS: In the lifetime depression and current depression datasets and sex-specific analyses, 24 significantly associated metabolic biomarkers were identified, 12 of which overlapped in the 2 datasets. The addition of metabolic features slightly improved the performance of a diagnostic model using traditional (nonmetabolomics) risk factors alone (lifetime depression: area under the curve 0.655 vs. 0.658 with metabolomics; current depression: area under the curve 0.711 vs. 0.716 with metabolomics). CONCLUSIONS: The machine learning model identified 24 metabolic biomarkers associated with depression. If validated, metabolic biomarkers may have future clinical applications as supplementary information to guide early and population-based depression detection.