Influence of Blood Pressure Reduction on Pulse Wave Velocity in Primary Hypertension: A Meta-Analysis and Comparison With an Acute Modulation of Transmural Pressure.

BACKGROUND: Increased arterial stiffness and pulse wave velocity (PWV) of the aorta and large arteries impose adverse hemodynamic effects on the heart and other organs. Antihypertensive treatment reduces PWV, but it is unknown whether this results from an unloading of stiffer elements in the arterial wall or is due to an alternate functional or structural change that might differ according to class of antihypertensive drug. METHODS: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of the effects of different antihypertensive drug classes and duration of treatment on PWV with and without adjustment for change in mean arterial blood pressure (BP; study 1) and compared this to the change in PWV after an acute change in transmural pressure, simulating an acute change in BP (study 2). RESULTS: A total of 83 studies involving 6200 subjects were identified. For all drug classes combined, the reduction of PWV was 0.65 (95% CI, 0.46-0.83) m/s per 10 mm Hg reduction in mean arterial BP, a change similar to that induced by an acute change in transmural pressure in a group of hypertensive subjects. When adjusted for change in mean arterial BP, the reduction in PWV after treatment with beta-blockers or diuretics was less than that after treatment with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor antagonists or calcium channel antagonists. CONCLUSIONS: Reduction in PWV after antihypertensive treatment is largely explained by the reduction in BP, but there are some BP-independent effects. These might increase over time and contribute to better outcomes over the long term, but this remains to be demonstrated in long-term clinical trials.

A systematic review of the incidence and outcomes of ICD-11 defined stroke.

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organisation has expanded the definition of stroke to include people with symptoms less than 24 hours if they have evidence of stroke on neuroimaging. The impact is that people previously diagnosed as having a transient ischaemic attack (TIA) would now be considered to have had a stroke. This change will impact incidence and outcomes of stroke and increase eligibility for secondary prevention. We aimed to evaluate the new ICD-11 criteria retrospectively to previous TIA studies to understand the change in incidence and outcomes of this type of stroke. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of observational studies of the incidence and outcomes of clinically defined TIA. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and Google Scholar from inception to 23rd May 2023. Study quality was assessed using a risk of bias tool for prevalence studies. FINDINGS: Our review included 25 studies. The rate of scan positivity for stroke among those with clinically defined TIA was 24%, (95% CI, 16% - 33%) but with high heterogeneity (I2=100%, p = 0). Sensitivity analyses provided evidence that heterogeneity could be explained by methodology and recruitment method. The scan positive rate when examining only studies at low risk of bias was substantially lower, at 13% (95% CI, 11 - 15%, I2=0, p = 0.77). We estimate from population-based incidence studies that ICD-11 would result in an increase stroke incidence between 4.8 and 10.5 per 100,000 persons/year. Of those with DWI-MRI evidence of stroke, 6% (95% CI, 3 - 11%) developed a recurrent stroke in the subsequent 90 days, but with substantial heterogeneity (I2=67%, p = 0.02). CONCLUSION: The impact of the ICD-11 change in stroke definition on incidence and outcomes may have been overestimated by individual studies. Community-based stroke services with access to DWI MRI are likely to accurately diagnose greater numbers of people with mild ICD-11 stroke, increasing access to effective prevention.

Adjunctive duration-doubled transcranial direct current stimulation for the treatment of depressive patients with suicidal ideation: study protocol for a double-blind, randomized, sham-controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: The problem of suicide has become increasingly common in individuals with major depressive disorder (MDD). Transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) is an effective treatment for MDD with 2 milliamperes (mA) for at least 30 min per day for 2 weeks. This study aims to investigate the efficacy of daily duration-doubled tDCS as an adjunctive intervention for rapidly reducing suicidal ideation and improving depression in MDD patients. METHODS: In this double-blind, randomized, sham-controlled study, 76 MDD patients with suicidal ideation are randomly assigned to either active (n=38) or sham (n=38) tDCS group. The anode and cathode are placed over the scalp areas corresponding to left and right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC), respectively, and each stimulation lasts for 60 min. The primary outcome is defined as change of Beck Scale for Suicide Ideation (BSI) after 5 and 10 sessions. The change of other clinical assessments, blood biomarkers related to suicidal ideation and depressive sumptoms are defined as secondary outcomes. Blood biomarkers related to suicidal ideation are collected at baseline and after 10 sessions. DISCUSSION: This study suggests the adjunctive duration-doubled tDCS might be a novel method to rapidly reduce suicidal ideation and improve depressive symptom. The variation of biomarkers could be potential predictive models of suicide risk. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The trial protocol is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov under protocol registration number NCT05555927. Registered on September 25, 2022.

ChaMP-CMD: A Phenotype-Blinded, Randomized Controlled, Cross-Over Trial.

BACKGROUND: Angina with nonobstructive coronary arteries is a common condition for which no effective treatment has been established. We hypothesized that the measurement of coronary flow reserve (CFR) allows identification of patients with angina with nonobstructive coronary arteries who would benefit from anti-ischemic therapy. METHODS: Patients with angina with nonobstructive coronary arteries underwent blinded invasive CFR measurement and were randomly assigned to receive 4 weeks of amlodipine or ranolazine. After a 1-week washout, they crossed over to the other drug for 4 weeks; final assessment was after the cessation of study medication for another 4 weeks. The primary outcome was change in treadmill exercise time, and the secondary outcome was change in Seattle Angina Questionnaire summary score in response to anti-ischemic therapy. Analysis was on a per protocol basis according to the following classification: coronary microvascular disease (CMD group) if CFR<2.5 and reference group if CFR≥2.5. The study protocol was registered before the first patient was enrolled (International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial Number: ISRCTN94728379). RESULTS: Eighty-seven patients (61±8 years of age; 62% women) underwent random assignment (57 CMD group and 30 reference group). Baseline exercise time and Seattle Angina Questionnaire summary scores were similar between groups. The CMD group had a greater increment (delta) in exercise time than the reference group in response to both amlodipine (difference in delta, 82 s [95% CI, 37-126 s]; P<0.001) and ranolazine (difference in delta, 68 s [95% CI, 21-115 s]; P=0.005). The CMD group reported a greater increment (delta) in Seattle Angina Questionnaire summary score than the reference group in response to ranolazine (difference in delta, 7 points [95% CI, 0-15]; P=0.048), but not to amlodipine (difference in delta, 2 points [95% CI, -5 to 8]; P=0.549). CONCLUSIONS: Among phenotypically similar patients with angina with nonobstructive coronary arteries, only those with an impaired CFR derive benefit from anti-ischemic therapy. These findings support measurement of CFR to diagnose and guide management of this otherwise heterogeneous patient group.

Phl p 5 levels more strongly associated than grass pollen counts with allergic respiratory health.

BACKGROUND: Studies have linked daily pollen counts to respiratory allergic health outcomes, but few have considered allergen levels. OBJECTIVE: We sought to assess associations of grass pollen counts and grass allergen levels (Phl p 5) with respiratory allergic health symptoms in a panel of 93 adults with moderate-severe allergic rhinitis and daily asthma hospital admissions in London, United Kingdom. METHODS: Daily symptom and medication scores were collected from adult participants in an allergy clinical trial. Daily counts of asthma hospital admissions in the London general population were obtained from Hospital Episode Statistics data. Daily grass pollen counts were measured using a volumetric air sampler, and novel Phl p 5 levels were measured using a ChemVol High Volume Cascade Impactor and ELISA analyses (May through August). Associations between the 2 pollen variables and daily health scores (dichotomized based on within-person 75th percentiles) were assessed using generalized estimating equation logistic models and with asthma hospital admissions using Poisson regression models. RESULTS: Daily pollen counts and Phl p 5 levels were each positively associated with reporting a high combined symptom and medication health score in separate models. However, in mutually adjusted models including terms for both pollen counts and Phl p 5 levels, associations remained for Phl p 5 levels (odds ratio [95% CI]: 1.18 [1.12, 1.24]), but were heavily attenuated for pollen counts (odds ratio [95% CI]: 1.00 [0.93, 1.07]). Similar trends were not observed for asthma hospital admissions in London. CONCLUSIONS: Grass allergen (Phl p 5) levels are more consistently associated with allergic respiratory symptoms than grass pollen counts.

The impact of outpatient versus inpatient management on health-related quality of life outcomes for patients with malignant pleural effusion: the OPTIMUM randomised clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: The principal aim of malignant pleural effusion (MPE) management is to improve health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and symptoms. METHODS: In this open-label randomised controlled trial, patients with symptomatic MPE were randomly assigned to either indwelling pleural catheter (IPC) insertion with the option of talc pleurodesis or chest drain and talc pleurodesis. The primary end-point was global health status, measured with the 30-item European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Core Questionnaire (EORTC QLQ-C30) at 30 days post-intervention. 142 participants were enrolled from July 2015 to December 2019. RESULTS: Of participants randomly assigned to the IPC (n=70) and chest drain (n=72) groups, primary outcome data were available in 58 and 56 patients, respectively. Global health status improved in both groups at day 30 compared with baseline: IPC (mean difference 13.11; p=0.001) and chest drain (mean difference 10.11; p=0.001). However, there was no significant between-group difference at day 30 (mean intergroup difference in baseline-adjusted global health status 2.06, 95% CI -5.86-9.99; p=0.61), day 60 or day 90. No significant differences were identified between groups in breathlessness and chest pain scores. All chest drain arm patients were admitted (median length of stay 4 days); seven patients in the IPC arm required intervention-related hospitalisation. CONCLUSIONS: While HRQoL significantly improved in both groups, there were no differences in patient-reported global health status at 30 days. The outpatient pathway using an IPC was not superior to inpatient treatment with a chest drain.

Measuring the impact of monoclonal antibody therapies.

Objective: Monoclonal antibody (Mab) treatments have significantly improved the quality and quantity of life, but they are some of the most expensive treatments, resulting in a degree of hesitancy to introduce new Mab agents. A system for estimating the effect of Mab drugs, in general, would optimally inform health strategy and fully realize how a single scientific discovery can deliver health benefits. We evaluated such a method with several well-established Mab regimens. Methods: We selected five different Mab regimens in oncology and rheumatology in England. We carried out two systematic literature reviews and meta-analyses to assess health outcomes (Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index for rheumatoid arthritis; overall mortality for melanoma) from real-world data and compared them to the outcomes from randomized control trials (RCTs). We applied economic modeling to estimate the net monetary benefits for health outcomes for the estimated patient population size for each Mab regimen. Results: Meta-analyses of 27 eligible real-world data (RWD) sets and 26 randomized controlled trial (RCT) sets found close agreement between the observed and expected health outcomes. A Markov model showed the net positive monetary benefit in three Mab regimens and the negative benefit in two regimens. However, because of limited access to NHS data, the economic model made several assumptions about the number of treated patients and the cost of treatment to the NHS, the accuracy of which may affect the estimation of the net monetary benefit. Conclusion: RCT results reliably inform the real-world experience of Mab treatments. Calculation of the net monetary benefit by the algorithm described provides a valuable overall measure of the health impact, subject to the accuracy of data inputs. This study provides a compelling case for building a comprehensive, systematized, and accessible database and related analytics, on all Mab treatments within health services.

Transient elastography and von Willebrand factor as predictors of portal hypertension and decompensation in children.

Background & Aims: Von Willebrand factor antigen (vWFAg), a protein measured to test the level of vWF released from the vascular endothelium has gained much attention as a marker for portal hypertension (PHT) severity. The objectives of this study were to investigate the use of vWFAg as a biomarker along with liver and spleen stiffness measurements by transient elastography as potential predictors of clinically significant varices (CSV), variceal bleeding (VB) and decompensation in children with PHT. Methods: This observational prospective cohort study included 117 children (median age 10 [IQR 6-14] years) who underwent oesophagogastroduodenoscopy between January'2012 to November'2021 and a validation group of 33 children who underwent the same procedure between December'2021 to March'2023. Measurements of vWFAg and glycoprotein Ib binding activity of VWF (GPIbR) were available in 97 patients in the study group and in all patients in the validation group.Results: vWFAg and GPIbR were significantly higher in children with CSV (223 IU/dl and 166 IU/dl; p = 0.015 and p = 0.04, respectively) and VB (218 IU/dl and 174 IU/dl; p = 0.077 and p = 0.03, respectively) than in those without CSV or VB, respectively. Ninety-six patients had liver and spleen stiffness measurements. Spleen stiffness was significantly higher in patients with CSV compared to those without CSV (p = 0.003). In a chronic liver disease subgroup, a predictive scoring tool based on vWFAg, GPIbR, platelet count, and spleen/liver stiffness measurements could predict CSV with an AUROC of 0.76 (p = 0.04). Conclusions: This study suggests the predictive value of vWF for CSV and VB increases when combined with spleen stiffness, with AUROCs of 0.88 and 0.82, respectively. Hence, a combination of biomarkers could assist clinicians in diagnosing CSV, preventing unnecessary invasive procedures. Impacts and implications: Surveillance endoscopies in children with portal hypertension (PHT) have their own risks and non-invasive markers, such as von Willebrand factor antigen, glycoprotein Ib binding activity of VWF (GPIbR), and transient elastography could be used to predict clinically significant varices, variceal bleeding and disease compensation in children with PHT. Such non-invasive markers for PHT and varices are lacking in the paediatric population. The results show that von Willebrand factor and GPIbR along with transient elastography can be used to formulate a scoring system which can be used as a clinical tool by paediatric hepatologists to monitor the progression of PHT and risk of bleeding, and hence to stratify the performance of invasive endoscopic procedures under general anaesthesia. However, there is a need to validate the scoring system in children with portal vein thrombosis and for hepatic decompensation in a multi-centre registry in the future.

Laparoscopic adjustable gastric banding with liraglutide in adults with obesity and type 2 diabetes (GLIDE): a pilot randomised placebo controlled trial.

INTRODUCTION: Obesity drives type 2 diabetes (T2DM) development. Laparoscopic adjustable gastric banding (LAGB) has lower weight reduction than other bariatric procedures. Liraglutide, a GLP-1 receptor agonist, improves weight and glycaemic control in patients with T2DM. This study aimed to determine the efficacy and safety of liraglutide 1.8 mg in participants undergoing LAGB. METHODS: GLIDE, a pilot randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, evaluated LAGB with either liraglutide 1.8 mg or placebo in participants with T2DM and obesity. Participants were randomised (1:1) to 6-months therapy post-LAGB, with further 6 months off-treatment follow-up. The primary outcome was change in HbA1c from randomisation to the end of treatment, secondary outcomes included body weight change. A sample size of 58 (29 per group) had 80% power to detect a 0.6% difference in HbA1c between groups. RESULTS: Twenty-seven participants were randomised to liraglutide (n = 13) or placebo (n = 14). Multivariate analysis showed no difference between placebo and liraglutide arms in HbA1c at 6 months (HbA1c:0.2 mmol/mol, -11.3, 11.6, p = 0.98) however, at 12 months HbA1c was significantly higher in the liraglutide arm (HbA1c:10.9 mmol/mol, 1.1, 20.6, p = 0.032). There was no difference between arms in weight at 6 months (BW:2.0 kg, -4.2, 8.1, p = 0.50), however, at 12 months weight was significantly higher in the liraglutide arm (BW:8.2 kg, 1.6, 14.9, p = 0.02). There were no significant differences in adverse events between groups. CONCLUSIONS: Our pilot data suggest no additional improvement in glycaemic control or BW with LAGB and liraglutide therapy. However, this trial was significantly underpowered to detect a significant change in the primary or secondary outcomes. Further trials are needed to investigate whether GLP-1 agonists, and particularly with more effective weekly agents (i.e. semaglutide or tirzepatide), are of benefit following metabolic surgery. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: EudraCT number 2015-005402-11.

Intraperitoneal transplant of Hepatocytes co-Encapsulated with mesenchymal stromal cells in modified alginate microbeads for the treatment of acute Liver failure in Pediatric patients (HELP)-An open-label, single-arm Simon's two stage phase 1 study protocol.

BACKGROUND: Pediatric acute liver failure (PALF) carries a high mortality without liver transplantation (LT) in children. Liver transplantation, though lifesaving, is limited by timely donor organ availability, the risks of major surgery and complications of life-long immunosuppression. Hepatocyte transplantation (HT) improves synthetic and detoxification functions in small animal models. The encapsulation of hepatocytes in alginate protects it from the recipient immune system while the intraperitoneal route of administration allows large volumes to be infused. The safety and possibly short-term efficacy of encapsulated hepatocytes has been observed in a named patient use. A novel type of microbeads (HMB002) has been developed, using a modified alginate and mesenchymal stromal cells (MSCs). Its safety and medium-term efficacy need to be studied in the context of clinical study while optimizing the hepatocyte function and viability using modifications of the alginate and MSCs co-encapsulation. METHODS: A single centre, non-randomised, open-label, single-arm Simon's two stage study will be conducted to evaluate the safety, biological activity and tolerability of transplantation of a single intraperitoneal dose of microbeads made from an optimum combination of a modified alginate, MSCs and hepatocytes in 17 patients less than 16 years of age with acute liver failure (Stage 1: 9 patients and Stage 2: 8 patient). Safety will be assessed by documenting moderate to severe (including life threatening and death) adverse events due to HMB002 in the first 52 weeks post-procedure. Tolerability will be assessed by observing the proportion of initiated infusions where >80% of infusion is received by the patient. Biological activity will be reflected in patient survival with native liver at 24 weeks post treatment. DISCUSSION: HMB002, if safe and efficacious in acute liver failure, could be a bridge until the liver regenerates or a suitable organ becomes available. There are multiple advantages to using HT. HT, when delivered by the intraperitoneal route, is less invasive than LT. Hepatocytes from a single donor liver can be used to treat multiple patients. Cryopreserved cells provide an off-the-shelf emergency treatment in PALF. When encapsulated, alginate encapsulation of hepatocytes precludes the need for immunosuppression unlike in LT.

Estimating the attributable fraction of mortality from acute respiratory distress syndrome to inform enrichment in future randomised clinical trials.

BACKGROUND: Efficiency of randomised clinical trials of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) depends on the fraction of deaths attributable to ARDS (AFARDS) to which interventions are targeted. Estimates of AFARDS in subpopulations of ARDS could improve design of ARDS trials. METHODS: We performed a matched case-control study using the Large observational study to UNderstand the Global impact of Severe Acute respiratory FailurE cohort. Primary outcome was intensive care unit mortality. We used nearest neighbour propensity score matching without replacement to match ARDS to non-ARDS populations. We derived two separate AFARDS estimates by matching patients with ARDS to patients with non-acute hypoxaemic respiratory failure (non-AHRF) and to patients with AHRF with unilateral infiltrates only (AHRF-UL). We also estimated AFARDS in subgroups based on severity of hypoxaemia, number of lung quadrants involved and hyperinflammatory versus hypoinflammatory phenotypes. Additionally, we derived AFAHRF estimates by matching patients with AHRF to non-AHRF controls, and AFAHRF-UL estimates by matching patients with AHRF-UL to non-AHRF controls. RESULTS: Estimated AFARDS was 20.9% (95% CI 10.5% to 31.4%) when compared with AHRF-UL controls and 38.0% (95% CI 34.4% to 41.6%) compared with non-AHRF controls. Within subgroups, estimates for AFARDS compared with AHRF-UL controls were highest in patients with severe hypoxaemia (41.1% (95% CI 25.2% to 57.1%)), in those with four quadrant involvement on chest radiography (28.9% (95% CI 13.4% to 44.3%)) and in the hyperinflammatory subphenotype (26.8% (95% CI 6.9% to 46.7%)). Estimated AFAHRF was 33.8% (95% CI 30.5% to 37.1%) compared with non-AHRF controls. Estimated AFAHRF-UL was 21.3% (95% CI 312.8% to 29.7%) compared with non-AHRF controls. CONCLUSIONS: Overall AFARDS mean values were between 20.9% and 38.0%, with higher AFARDS seen with severe hypoxaemia, four quadrant involvement on chest radiography and hyperinflammatory ARDS.

The Role of Clinical Decision Support Systems in Preventing Stroke in Primary Care: A Systematic Review.

Computerized clinical decision support systems (CDSS) are increasingly being used to facilitate the role of clinicians in complex decision-making processes. This systematic review evaluates evidence of the available CDSS developed and tested to support the decision-making process in primary healthcare for stroke prevention and barriers to practical implementations in primary care settings. A systematic search of Web of Science, Medline Ovid, Embase Ovid, and Cinahl was done. A total of five studies, experimental and observational, were synthesised in this review. This review found that CDSS facilitate decision-making processes in primary health care settings in stroke prevention options. However, barriers were identified in designing, implementing, and using the CDSS.

Cohort profile: The South London Stroke Register - a population-based register measuring the incidence and outcomes of stroke.

PURPOSE: The South London Stroke Register (SLSR) is a population-based cohort study, which was established in 1995 to study the causes, incidence, and outcomes of stroke. The SLSR aims to estimate incidence, and acute and long term needs in a multi-ethnic inner-city population, with follow-up durations for some participants exceeding 20 years. PARTICIPANTS: The SLSR aims to recruit residents of a defined area within Lambeth and Southwark who experience a first stroke. More than 7700 people have been registered since inception, and >2750 people continue to be followed up. At the 2011 census, the source population was 357,308. FINDINGS TO DATE: The SLSR was instrumental in highlighting the inequalities in risk and outcomes in the UK, and demonstrating the dramatic improvements in care quality and outcomes in recent decades. Data from the SLSR informed the UK National Audit Office in its 2005 report criticising the poor state of stroke care in England. For people living in the SLSR area the likelihood of being treated in a stroke unit increased from 19% in 1995-7 to 75% in 2007-9. The SLSR has investigated health inequalities in stroke incidence and outcome. SLSR analyses have demonstrated that lower socioeconomic status was associated with poorer outcome, and that Black people and younger people have not experienced the same improvements in stroke incidence as other groups. FUTURE PLANS: As part of an NIHR Programme Grant for Applied Research, from April 2022 the SLSR has expanded to recruit ICD-11 defined stroke (including those with <24 h symptoms where there are neuroimaging findings), and have expanded the follow up interviews to collect more detailed information on quality of life, cognition, and care needs. Additional data items will be added over the Programme based on feedback from patients and other stakeholders.

Revisiting ethnic discrepancies in COVID-19 hospitalized cohorts: a correction for collider bias.

OBJECTIVES: Studies from the first waves of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic suggest that individuals from minority ethnicities are at an increased risk of worse outcomes. Concerns exist that this relationship is potentially driven by bias from analyzing hospitalized patients only. We investigate this relationship and the possible presence of bias. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Using data from South London hospitals across two COVID-19 waves (February 2020 - May 2021), the relationship between ethnicity and COVID-19 outcomes was examined using regression models. Three iterations of each model were completed: 1) an unadjusted analysis, 2) adjusting for covariates (medical history and deprivation), and 3) adjusting for covariates and bias induced by conditioning on hospitalization. RESULTS: Among 3,133 patients, those who were Asian had a two-fold increased risk of death during the hospital stay that was consistent across the two COVID-19 waves and was not affected by correcting for conditioning on hospitalization. However, wave-specific effects demonstrate significant differences between ethnic groups until bias from using a hospitalized cohort was corrected for. CONCLUSION: Worsened COVID-19 outcomes in minority ethnicities may be minimized by correcting for bias induced by conditioning on hospitalization. Consideration of this bias should be a key component of study design.

Evaluation of the reported data linkage process and associated quality issues for linked routinely collected healthcare data in multimorbidity research: a systematic methodology review.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this systematic review was to examine how the record linkage process is reported in multimorbidity research. METHODS: A systematic search was conducted in Medline, Web of Science and Embase using predefined search terms, and inclusion and exclusion criteria. Published studies from 2010 to 2020 using linked routinely collected data for multimorbidity research were included. Information was extracted on how the linkage process was reported, which conditions were studied together, which data sources were used, as well as challenges encountered during the linkage process or with the linked dataset. RESULTS: Twenty studies were included. Fourteen studies received the linked dataset from a trusted third party. Eight studies reported variables used for the data linkage, while only two studies reported conducting prelinkage checks. The quality of the linkage was only reported by three studies, where two reported linkage rate and one raw linkage figures. Only one study checked for bias by comparing patient characteristics of linked and non-linked records. CONCLUSIONS: The linkage process was poorly reported in multimorbidity research, even though this might introduce bias and potentially lead to inaccurate inferences drawn from the results. There is therefore a need for increased awareness of linkage bias and transparency of the linkage processes, which could be achieved through better adherence to reporting guidelines. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42021243188.

The HAVEN study-hydroxychloroquine in ANCA vasculitis evaluation-a multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial: study protocol and statistical analysis plan.

BACKGROUND: Patients with non-severe ANCA-associated vasculitis (AAV) are often prescribed immunosuppressive medications that are associated with severe side effects and a reduced quality of life. There is an unmet need for safer effective treatments for these patients. Hydroxychloroquine is being explored due to its effect in similar autoimmune conditions such as systemic lupus erythematosus. METHODS: Double-blind, placebo-controlled multicentre trial recruiting 76 patients across 20 sites. Participants will be randomised 1:1 to hydroxychloroquine or placebo in addition to standard of care immunosuppressive therapies over the course of 52 weeks. A phase II selection design will be used to determine hdroxychloroquine's efficacy, using prednisolone dosage and Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score as a measure of disease activity. Secondary outcomes will explore other elements of AAV progression, including disease flares and time to remission. DISCUSSION: This trial aims to explore Hydroxychloroquine as a treatment for patients with AAV. If effective, the need for immunosuppressive treatments such as prednisolone could be reduced. Hydroxychloroquine is safer, cheaper and has fewer adverse effects than conventional immunosuppressive treatments. This could improve patient outcomes while saving money for the NHS. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN: ISRCTN79334891. Registered 07 June 2021. EudraCT: 2018-001268-40. Registered 13 September 2019. CLINICALTRIALS: gov: NCT04316494. Registered 20 March 2020.

The effect of ethnicity on anatomic success following macular hole surgery: a multicentre cohort study.

PURPOSE: The purpose is to assess the effect of ethnicity on surgical macular hole closure. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was undertaken in five UK National Health Service Hospitals. We included all patients with known ethnicity undergoing vitrectomy, internal limiting membrane peel, and gas/oil tamponade for all stages of primary full-thickness macular hole (FTMH). The primary outcome was anatomic success, defined as FTMH closure with one operation. The secondary outcome was mean change in best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) comparing baseline with final review. RESULTS: Of 334 operations, the ethnicity profile comprised 78.7% White patients, 11.7% Black patients, 8.1% Asian patients, and 1.5% in mixed/other ethnicities. Mean age was 69.7 years with 68.5% females. Overall, 280 (83.8%) had anatomic success. Anatomic failure occurred in 38.5% of Black patients versus 12.6% of White patients (relative risk: 1.788; 95% CI: 1.012 to 3.159; P = 0.045). Overall, baseline logarithm of the minimum angle of resolution BCVA improved by 0.34, from 0.95 (95% CI: 0.894 to 1.008) to 0.62 (95% CI: 0.556 to 0.676). Mean BCVA improved by 0.35 in White patients, 0.37 in Black patients, 0.23 in Asian patients, and 0.38 in mixed/other ethnicity (P = 0.689). Greater FTMH minimum linear diameter was associated with an increased risk of anatomic failure (relative risk: 1.004; 95% CI: 1.002 to 1.005; P < 0.0001), whereas better pre-operative BCVA (F [1,19] = 162.90; P < 0.0001) and anatomic success (F [1,19] = 97.69; P < 0.0001) were associated with greater BCVA improvement. Socio-economic status did not significantly influence anatomic success or BCVA change. CONCLUSIONS: Black ethnicity is associated with an approximately twofold greater risk of failed FTMH surgery. The reasons for this difference warrant further study.

Predicting progression to Alzheimer's disease with human hippocampal progenitors exposed to serum.

Adult hippocampal neurogenesis is important for learning and memory and is altered early in Alzheimer's disease. As hippocampal neurogenesis is modulated by the circulatory systemic environment, evaluating a proxy of how hippocampal neurogenesis is affected by the systemic milieu could serve as an early biomarker for Alzheimer's disease progression. Here, we used an in vitro assay to model the impact of systemic environment on hippocampal neurogenesis. A human hippocampal progenitor cell line was treated with longitudinal serum samples from individuals with mild cognitive impairment, who either progressed to Alzheimer's disease or remained cognitively stable. Mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease progression was characterized most prominently with decreased proliferation, increased cell death and increased neurogenesis. A subset of 'baseline' cellular readouts together with education level were able to predict Alzheimer's disease progression. The assay could provide a powerful platform for early prognosis, monitoring disease progression and further mechanistic studies.

Intensive compared with less intensive blood pressure control to prevent adverse cardiac remodelling in children with chronic kidney disease (HOT-KID): a parallel-group, open-label, multicentre, randomised, controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Optimal target blood pressure to reduce adverse cardiac remodelling in children with chronic kidney disease is uncertain. We hypothesised that lower blood pressure would reduce adverse cardiac remodelling. METHODS: HOT-KID, a parallel-group, open-label, multicentre, randomised, controlled trial, was done in 14 clinical centres across England and Scotland. We included children aged 2-15 years with stage 1-4 chronic kidney disease-ie, an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) higher than 15 mL/min per 1·73 m2-and who could be followed up for 2 years. Children on antihypertensive medication were eligible as long as it could be changed to angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) if they were not already receiving these therapies. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to standard treatment (auscultatory office systolic blood pressure target between the 50th and 75th percentiles) or intensive treatment (systolic target <40th percentile) by the chief investigator using a rapid, secure, web-based randomisation system. ACE inhibitors or ARBs were used as first-line agents, with the dose titrated every 2-4 weeks to achieve the target blood pressure levels. The primary outcome was mean annual difference in left ventricular mass index (LVMI) by echocardiography measured by a masked observer and was assessed in the intention-to-treat population, defined as all the children who underwent randomisation irrespective of the blood pressure reached. Secondary and safety outcomes were the differences between groups in mean left ventricular relative wall thickness, renal function, and adverse effects and were also assessed in the intention-to-treat population. This trial is registered with ISRCTN, ISRCTN25006406. FINDINGS: Between Oct 30, 2012, and Jan 5, 2017, 64 participants were randomly assigned to the intensive treatment group and 60 to the standard treatment group (median age of participants was 10·0 years [IQR 6·8-12·6], 69 [56%] were male and 107 [86%] were of white ethnicity). Median follow-up was 38·7 months (IQR 28·1-52·2). Blood pressure was lower in the intensive treatment group compared with standard treatment group (mean systolic pressure lower by 4 mm Hg, p=0·0012) but in both groups was close to the 50th percentile. The mean annual reduction in LVMI was similar for intensive and standard treatments (-1·9 g/m2·7 [95% CI -2·4 to -1·3] vs -1·2 g/m2·7 [-1·5 to 0·8], with a treatment effect of -0·7 g/m2·7 [95% CI -1·9 to 2·6] per year; p=0·76) and mean value in both groups at the end of follow-up within the normal range. At baseline, elevated relative wall thickness was more marked than increased LVMI and a reduction in relative wall thickness was greater for the intensive treatment group than for the standard treatment group (-0·010 [95% CI 0·015 to -0·006] vs -0·004 [-0·008 to 0·001], treatment effect -0·020 [95% CI -0·039 to -0·009] per year, p=0·0019). Six (5%) participants reached end-stage kidney disease (ie, an eGFR of <15 mL/min per 1·73 m2; three in each group) during the course of the study. The risk difference between treatment groups was 0·02 (95% CI -0·15 to 0·19, p=0·82) for overall adverse events and 0·07 (-0·05 to 0·19, p=0·25) for serious adverse events. Intensive treatment was not associated with worse renal outcomes or greater adverse effects than standard treatment. INTERPRETATION: These results suggest that cardiac remodelling in children with chronic kidney disease is related to blood pressure control and that a target office systolic blood pressure at the 50th percentile is close to the optimal target for preventing increased left ventricular mass. FUNDING: British Heart Foundation.