Warming waters lead to increased habitat suitability for juvenile bull sharks (Carcharhinus leucas).

Coastal ecosystems are highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change and other stressors, including urbanization and overfishing. Consequently, distributions of coastal fish have begun to change, particularly in response to increasing temperatures linked to climate change. However, few studies have evaluated how natural and anthropogenic disturbances can alter species distributions in conjunction with geophysical habitat alterations, such as changes to land use and land cover (LU/LC). Here, we examine the spatiotemporal changes in the distribution of juvenile bull sharks (Carcharhinus leucas) using a multi-decadal fishery-independent survey of coastal Alabama. Using a boosted regression tree (BRT) modeling framework, we assess the covariance of environmental conditions (sea surface temperature, depth, salinity, dissolved oxygen, riverine discharge, Chl-a) as well as historic changes to LU/LC to the distribution of bull sharks. Species distribution models resultant from BRTs for early (2003-2005) and recent (2018-2020) monitoring periods indicated a mean increase in habitat suitability (i.e., probability of capture) for juvenile bull sharks from 0.028 to 0.082, concomitant with substantial increases in mean annual temperature (0.058°C/yr), Chl-a (2.32 mg/m3), and urbanization (increased LU/LC) since 2000. These results align with observed five-fold increases in the relative abundance of juvenile bull sharks across the study period and demonstrate the impacts of changing environmental conditions on their distribution and relative abundance. As climate change persists, coastal communities will continue to change, altering the structure of ecological communities and the success of nearshore fisheries.

Sex-based differences in the phenotypic expression and prognosis of idiopathic non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy: a cardiovascular magnetic resonance study.

AIMS: We sought to characterize sex-related differences in cardiovascular magnetic resonance-based cardiovascular phenotypes and prognosis in patients with idiopathic non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy (NICM). METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with NICM enrolled in the Cardiovascular Imaging Registry of Calgary (CIROC) between 2015 and 2021 were identified. Z-score values for chamber volumes and function were calculated as standard deviation from mean values of 157 sex-matched healthy volunteers, ensuring reported differences were independent of known sex-dependencies. Patients were followed for the composite outcome of all-cause mortality, heart failure admission, or ventricular arrhythmia. A total of 747 patients were studied, 531 (71%) males. By Z-score values, females showed significantly higher left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (EF; median difference 1 SD) and right ventricular (RV) EF (difference 0.6 SD) with greater LV mass (difference 2.1 SD; P < 0.01 for all) vs. males despite similar chamber volumes. Females had a significantly lower prevalence of mid-wall striae (MWS) fibrosis (22% vs. 34%; P < 0.001). Over a median follow-up of 4.7 years, 173 patients (23%) developed the composite outcome, with equal distribution in males and females. LV EF and MWS were significant independent predictors of the outcome (respective HR [95% CI] 0.97 [0.95-0.99] and 1.6 [1.2-2.3]; P = 0.003 and 0.005). There was no association of sex with the outcome. CONCLUSION: In a large contemporary cohort, NICM was uniquely expressed in females vs. males. Despite similar chamber dilation, females demonstrated greater concentric remodelling, lower reductions in bi-ventricular function, and a lower burden of replacement fibrosis. Overall, their prognosis remained similar to male patients with NICM.

Patients with non-ischemic cardiomyopathy and mid-wall striae have similar arrhythmic outcomes as ischemic cardiomyopathy.

PURPOSE: While implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy provides clear benefit in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM), this is less clear in patients with non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (NICM). Mid-wall striae (MWS) fibrosis is an established cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) risk marker observed in patients with NICM. We evaluated whether patients with NICM and MWS have similar risk of arrhythmia-related cardiovascular events as patients with ICM. METHODS: We studied a cohort of patients undergoing CMR. The presence of MWS was adjudicated by experienced physicians. The primary outcome was a composite of implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) implant, hospitalization for ventricular tachycardia, resuscitated cardiac arrest, or sudden cardiac death. Propensity-matched analysis was performed to compare outcomes for patients NICM with MWS and ICM. RESULTS: A total of 1,732 patients were studied, 972 NICM (706 without MWS, 266 with MWS) and 760 ICM. NICM patients with MWS were more likely to experience the primary outcome versus those without MWS (unadjusted subdistribution hazard ratio (subHR) 2.26, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.51-3.41) with no difference versus ICM patients (unadjusted subHR 1.32, 95% CI 0.93-1.86). Similar results were seen in a propensity-matched population (adjusted subHR 1.11, 95% CI 0.63-1.98, p = 0.711). CONCLUSION: Patients with NICM and MWS demonstrate significantly higher arrhythmic risk compared to NICM without MWS. After adjustment, the arrhythmia risk of patients with NICM and MWS was similar to patients with ICM. Accordingly, physicians could consider the presence of MWS when making clinical decisions regarding arrhythmia risk management in patients with NICM.

Normative healthy reference values for global and segmental 3D principal and geometry dependent strain from cine cardiac magnetic resonance imaging.

3-Dimensional (3D) myocardial deformation analysis (3D-MDA) enables novel descriptions of geometry-independent principal strain (PS). Applied to routine 2D cine cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR), this provides unique measures of myocardial biomechanics for disease diagnosis and prognostication. However, healthy reference values remain undefined. This study describes age- and sex-stratified reference values from CMR-based 3D-MDA, including 3D PS. One hundred healthy volunteers were prospectively recruited following institutional ethics approval and underwent CMR imaging. 3D-MDA was performed using validated software. Age- and sex-stratified global and segmental strain measures were derived for conventional geometry-dependent [circumferential (CS), longitudinal (LS), and radial (RS)] and geometry-independent [minimum (minPS) and maximum principal (maxPS)] directions of deformation. Layer-specific contraction angle interactions were determined using local minPS vectors. The average age was 43 ± 15 years and 55% were women. Strain measures were higher in women versus men. 3D PS-based assessment of maximum tissue shortening (minPS) and maximum tissue thickening (maxPS) were greater than corresponding geometry-dependent markers of LS and RS, consistent with improved representation of local tissue deformations. Global maxPS amplitude best discriminated both age and sex. Segmental analyses showed greater strain amplitudes in apical segments. Transmural PS contraction angles were higher in females and showed a heterogeneous distribution across segments. In this study we provided age and sex-based reference values for 3D strain from CMR imaging, demonstrating improved capacity for 3D PS to document maximal local tissue deformations and to discriminate age and sex phenotypes. Novel markers of layer-specific strain angles from 3D PS were also described.

Machine learning prediction of atrial fibrillation in cardiovascular patients using cardiac magnetic resonance and electronic health information.

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a commonly encountered cardiac arrhythmia associated with morbidity and substantial healthcare costs. While patients with cardiovascular disease experience the greatest risk of new-onset AF, no risk model has been developed to predict AF occurrence in this population. We hypothesized that a patient-specific model could be delivered using cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) disease phenotyping, contextual patient health information, and machine learning. Methods: Nine thousand four hundred forty-eight patients referred for CMR imaging were enrolled and followed over a 5-year period. Seven thousand, six hundred thirty-nine had no prior history of AF and were eligible to train and validate machine learning algorithms. Random survival forests (RSFs) were used to predict new-onset AF and compared to Cox proportional-hazard (CPH) models. The best performing features were identified from 115 variables sourced from three data domains: (i) CMR-based disease phenotype, (ii) patient health questionnaire, and (iii) electronic health records. We evaluated discriminative performance of optimized models using C-index and time-dependent AUC (tAUC). Results: A RSF-based model of 20 variables (CIROC-AF-20) delivered an overall C-index of 0.78 for the prediction of new-onset AF with respective tAUCs of 0.80, 0.79, and 0.78 at 1-, 2- and 3-years. This outperformed a novel CPH-based model and historic AF risk scores. At 1-year of follow-up, validation cohort patients classified as high-risk of future AF by CIROC-AF-20 went on to experience a 17.3% incidence of new-onset AF, being 24.7-fold higher risk than low risk patients. Conclusions: Using phenotypic data available at time of CMR imaging we developed and validated the first described risk model for the prediction of new-onset AF in patients with cardiovascular disease. Complementary value was provided by variables from patient-reported measures of health and the electronic health record, illustrating the value of multi-domain phenotypic data for the prediction of AF.

Influence of Sex-Based Differences in Cardiac Phenotype on Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence in Patients Undergoing Pulmonary Vein Isolation.

Background: Pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is a commonly engaged therapy for symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF). Prior studies have documented elevated AF recurrence rates among females vs. males. Sex-specific mechanisms underlying this phenomenon are poorly understood. This prospective cohort study aimed to evaluate the sex-based differences in cardiac phenotype and their influence on (AF) recurrence following first-time PVI. Methods: A total of 204 consecutive patients referred for first-time PVI and 101 healthy subjects were prospectively studied by cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging. Multi-chamber volumetric and functional measures were assessed by sex-corrected Z-score analyses vs. healthy subjects. Patients were followed for a median of 2.6 years for the primary outcome of clinical AF recurrence. Multivariable analyses adjusting for age and comorbidities were performed to identify independent predictors of AF recurrence. Results: AF recurrence following first PVI occurred in 41% of males and 59% of females (p = 0.03). Females were older with higher prevalence of hypertension and thyroid disorders. Z-score-based analyses revealed significantly reduced ventricular volumes, greater left atrial (LA) volumes, and reduced LA contractility in females vs. males. Multivariable analysis revealed each of LA minimum and pre-systolic volumes and booster EF Z-scores to be independently associated with AF recurrence, providing respective hazard ratios of 1.10, 1.19, and 0.89 (p = 0.001, 0.03, and 0.01). Conclusion: Among patients referred for first time PVI, females were older and demonstrated significantly poorer LA contractile health vs. males, the latter independently associated with AF recurrence. Assessment of LA contractile health may therefore be of value to identify female patients at elevated risk of AF recurrence. Factors influencing female patient referral for PVI at more advanced stages of atrial disease warrant focused investigation.

Natural History of Myocardial Injury After COVID-19 Vaccine-Associated Myocarditis.

BACKGROUND: Acute myocarditis is a rare complication of mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccination. Little is known about the natural history of this complication. METHODS: Baseline and convalescent (≥ 90 days) cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging assessments were performed in 20 consecutive patients meeting Updated Lake Louise Criteria for acute myocarditis within 10 days of mRNA-based vaccination. CMR-based changes in left ventricular volumes, mass, ejection fraction (LVEF), markers of tissue inflammation (native T1 and T2 mapping), and fibrosis (late gadolinium enhancement [LGE] and extracellular volume [ECV]) were assessed between baseline and convalescence. Cardiac symptoms and clinical outcomes were captured. RESULTS: Median age was 23.1 years (range 18-39 years), and 17 (85%) were male. Convalescent evaluations were performed at a median (IQR) 3.7 (3.3-6.2) months. The LVEF showed a mean 3% absolute improvement, accompanied by a 7% reduction in LV end-diastolic volume and 5% reduction in LV mass (all P < 0.015). Global LGE burden was reduced by 66% (P < 0.001). Absolute reductions in global T2, native T1, and ECV of 2.1 ms, 58 ms, and 2.9%, repectively, were documented (all P ≤ 0.001). Of 5 patients demonstrating LVEF ≤ 50% at baseline, all recovered to above this threshold in convalescence. A total of 18 (90%) patients showed persistence of abnormal LGE although mean fibrosis burden was < 5% of LV mass in 85% of cases. No patient experienced major clinical outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 mRNA vaccine-associated myocarditis showed rapid improvements in CMR-based markers of edema, contractile function, and global LGE burden beyond 3 months of recovery in this young patient cohort. However, regional fibrosis following edema resolution was commonly observed, justifying need for ongoing surveillance.

The Role of River Discharge and Geometric Structure on Diurnal Tidal Dynamics, Alabama, USA.

As tides propagate inland, they become distorted by channel geometry and river discharge. Tidal dynamics in fluvial-marine transitions are commonly observed in high-energy tidal environments with relatively steady river conditions, leaving the effects of variable river discharge on tides and longitudinal changes poorly understood. To study the effects of variable river discharge on tide-river interactions, we studied a low-energy tidal environment where river discharge ranges several orders of magnitude, the diurnal microtidal Tombigbee River-Mobile Bay fluvial-marine transition, using water level and velocity observations from 21 stations. Results showed that diurnal tidal attenuation was reduced by the width convergence in seaward reaches and height convergence of the landward backwater reaches, with the channel convergence change location ∼40-50 km inland of the bayhead and seaward of the largest bifurcation. River events amplified tides in seaward regions and attenuated tides in landward regions. This created a region of river-induced peak amplitude seaward of the flood limit (i.e., bidirectional-unidirectional current transition), allowing more tidal energy to propagate inland. Tidal currents were attenuated and delayed more by river discharge than water levels, making the phase lag dynamic. The river impacts on the tides were delineated longitudinally and shifted seaward as river discharge increased, ranging up to ∼180 km. Results indicated the longitudinal shifts of river impacts on tides in alluvial systems can be estimated analytically using the ratio of river discharge to tidal discharge and the geometric convergence of the system. Our simple analytical theory provides a pathway for understanding the tide-river-geomorphic equilibrium along increasingly dynamic coasts.

Machine Learning Patient-Specific Prediction of Heart Failure Hospitalization Using Cardiac MRI-Based Phenotype and Electronic Health Information.

Background: Heart failure (HF) hospitalization is a dominant contributor of morbidity and healthcare expenditures in patients with systolic HF. Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging is increasingly employed for the evaluation of HF given capacity to provide highly reproducible phenotypic markers of disease. The combined value of CMR phenotypic markers and patient health information to deliver predictions of future HF events has not been explored. We sought to develop and validate a novel risk model for the patient-specific prediction of time to HF hospitalization using routinely reported CMR variables, patient-reported health status, and electronic health information. Methods: Standardized data capture was performed for 1,775 consecutive patients with chronic systolic HF referred for CMR imaging. Patient demographics, symptoms, Health-related Quality of Life, pharmacy, and routinely reported CMR features were provided to both machine learning (ML) and competing risk Fine-Gray-based models (FGM) for the prediction of time to HF hospitalization. Results: The mean age was 59 years with a mean LVEF of 36 ± 11%. The population was evenly distributed between ischemic (52%) and idiopathic non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (48%). Over a median follow-up of 2.79 years (IQR: 1.59-4.04) 333 patients (19%) experienced HF related hospitalization. Both ML and competing risk FGM based models achieved robust performance for the prediction of time to HF hospitalization. Respective 90-day, 1 and 2-year AUC values were 0.87, 0.83, and 0.80 for the ML model, and 0.89, 0.84, and 0.80 for the competing risk FGM-based model in a holdout validation cohort. Patients classified as high-risk by the ML model experienced a 34-fold higher occurrence of HF hospitalization at 90 days vs. the low-risk group. Conclusion: In this study we demonstrated capacity for routinely reported CMR phenotypic markers and patient health information to be combined for the delivery of patient-specific predictions of time to HF hospitalization. This work supports an evolving migration toward multi-domain data collection for the delivery of personalized risk prediction at time of diagnostic imaging.

Mid-wall striae fibrosis predicts heart failure admission, composite heart failure events, and life-threatening arrhythmias in dilated cardiomyopathy.

Heart failure (HF) admission is a dominant contributor to morbidity and healthcare costs in dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). Mid-wall striae (MWS) fibrosis by late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) imaging has been associated with elevated arrhythmia risk. However, its capacity to predict HF-specific outcomes is poorly defined. We investigated its role to predict HF admission and relevant secondary outcomes in a large cohort of DCM patients. 719 patients referred for LGE MRI assessment of DCM were enrolled and followed for clinical events. Standardized image analyses and interpretations were conducted inclusive of coding the presence and patterns of fibrosis observed by LGE imaging. The primary clinical outcome was hospital admission for decompensated HF. Secondary heart failure and arrhythmic composite endpoints were also studied. Median age was 57 (IQR 47-65) years and median LVEF 40% (IQR 29-47%). Any fibrosis was observed in 228 patients (32%) with MWS fibrosis pattern present in 178 (25%). At a median follow up of 1044 days, 104 (15%) patients experienced the primary outcome, and 127 (18%) the secondary outcome. MWS was associated with a 2.14-fold risk of the primary outcome, 2.15-fold risk of the secondary HF outcome, and 2.23-fold risk of the secondary arrhythmic outcome. Multivariable analysis adjusting for all relevant covariates, inclusive of LVEF, showed patients with MWS fibrosis to experience a 1.65-fold increased risk (95% CI 1.11-2.47) of HF admission and 1-year event rate of 12% versus 7% without this phenotypic marker. Similar findings were observed for the secondary outcomes. Patients with LVEF > 35% plus MWS fibrosis experienced similar event rates to those with LVEF ≤ 35%. MWS fibrosis is a powerful and independent predictor of clinical outcomes in patients with DCM, identifying patients with LVEF > 35% who experience similar event rates to those with LVEF below this conventionally employed high-risk phenotype threshold.

Transport of biodeposits and benthic footprint around an oyster farm, Damariscotta Estuary, Maine.

The benthic impact of aquaculture waste depends on the area and extent of waste accumulation on the sediment surface below and around the farm. In this study we investigated the effect of flow on biodeposit transport and initial deposition by calculating a rough aquaculture "footprint" around an oyster aquaculture farm in the Damariscotta River, ME. We also compared a site under the farm to a downstream "away" site calculated to be within the footprint of the farm. We found similar sediment biogeochemical fluxes, geochemical properties and macrofaunal communities at the site under the farm and the away site, as well as low organic enrichment at both sites, indicating that biodeposition in this environment likely does not have a major influence on the benthos. To predict accumulation of biodeposits, we measured sediment erodibility under a range of shear stresses and found slightly higher erosion rates at the farm than at the away site. A microalgal mat was observed at the sediment surface in many sediment cores. Partial failure of the microalgal mat was observed at high shear velocity, suggesting that the mat may fail and surface sediment erode at shear velocities comparable to or greater than those calculated fromin situ flow measurements. However, this study took place during neap tide, and it is likely that peak bottom velocities during spring tides are high enough to periodically "clear" under-farm sediment of recent deposits.

Right ventricular insertion site fibrosis in a dilated cardiomyopathy referral population: phenotypic associations and value for the prediction of heart failure admission or death.

BACKGROUND: Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is increasingly recognized as a heterogenous disease with distinct phenotypes on late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging. While mid-wall striae (MWS) fibrosis is a widely recognized phenotypic risk marker, other fibrosis patterns are prevalent but poorly defined. Right ventricular (RV) insertion (RVI) site fibrosis is commonly seen, but without objective criteria has been considered a non-specific finding. In this study we developed objective criteria for RVI fibrosis and studied its clinical relevance in a large cohort of patients with DCM. METHODS: We prospectively enrolled 645 DCM patients referred for LGE-CMR. All underwent standardized imaging protocols and baseline health evaluations. LGE images were blindly scored using objective criteria, inclusive of RVI site and MWS fibrosis. Associations between LGE patterns and CMR-based markers of adverse chamber remodeling were evaluated. Independent associations of LGE fibrosis patterns with the primary composite clinical outcome of heart failure admission or death were determined by multivariable analysis. RESULTS: The mean age was 56 ± 14 (28% female) with a mean left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (LVEF) of 37%. At a median of 1061 days, 129 patients (20%) experienced the primary outcome. Any abnormal LGE was present in 306 patients (47%), inclusive of 274 (42%) meeting criteria for RVI site fibrosis and 167 (26%) for MWS fibrosis. All with MWS fibrosis showed RVI site fibrosis. Solitary RVI site fibrosis was associated with higher bi-ventricular volumes [LV end-systolic volume index (78 ± 39 vs. 66 ± 33 ml/m2, p = 0.01), RV end-diastolic volume index (94 ± 28 vs. 84 ± 22 ml/m2 (p < 0.01), RV end-systolic volume index (56 ± 26 vs. 45 ± 17 ml/m2, p < 0.01)], lower bi-ventricular function [LVEF 35 ± 12 vs. 39 ± 10% (p < 0.01), RV ejection fraction (RVEF) 43 ± 12 vs. 48 ± 10% (p < 0.01)], and higher extracellular volume (ECV). Patient with solitary RVI site fibrosis experienced a non-significant 1.4-fold risk of the primary outcome, increasing to a significant 2.6-fold risk when accompanied by MWS fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS: RVI site fibrosis in the absence of MWS fibrosis is associated with bi-ventricular remodelling and intermediate risk of heart failure admission or death. Our study findings suggest RVI site fibrosis to be pre-requisite for the incremental development of MWS fibrosis, a more advanced phenotype associated with greater LV remodeling and risk of clinical events.

Effect of Active Cancer on the Cardiac Phenotype: A Cardiac Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Based Study of Myocardial Tissue Health and Deformation in Patients With Chemotherapy-Naïve Cancer.

Background The overlap between cancer and cardiovascular care continues to expand, with intersections emerging before, during, and following cancer therapies. To date, emphasis has been placed on how cancer therapeutics influence downstream cardiac health. However, whether active malignancy itself influences chamber volumes, function, or overall myocardial tissue health remains uncertain. We sought to perform a comprehensive cardiovascular magnetic resonance-based evaluation of cardiac health in patients with chemotherapy-naïve cancer with comparison with a healthy volunteer population. Methods and Results Three-hundred and eighty-one patients with active breast cancer or lymphoma before cardiotoxic chemotherapy exposure were recruited in addition to 102 healthy volunteers. Both cohorts underwent standardized cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging with quantification of chamber volumes, ejection fraction, and native myocardial T1. Left ventricular mechanics were incrementally assessed using three-dimensional myocardial deformation analysis, providing global longitudinal, circumferential, radial, and principal peak-systolic strain amplitude and systolic strain rate. The mean age of patients with cancer was 53.8±13.4 years; 79% being women. Despite similar left ventricular ejection fraction, patients with cancer showed smaller chambers, increased strain amplitude, and systolic strain rate in both conventional and principal directions, and elevated native T1 versus sex-matched healthy volunteers. Adjusting for age, sex, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus, the presence of cancer remained associated with these cardiovascular magnetic resonance parameters. Conclusions The presence of cancer is independently associated with alterations in cardiac chamber size, function, and objective markers of tissue health. Dedicated research is warranted to elucidate pathophysiologic mechanisms underlying these findings and to explore their relevance to the management of patients with cancer referred for cardiotoxic therapies.

Right Ventricular Ejection Fraction for the Prediction of Major Adverse Cardiovascular and Heart Failure-Related Events: A Cardiac MRI Based Study of 7131 Patients With Known or Suspected Cardiovascular Disease.

BACKGROUND: There is increasing evidence that right ventricular ejection fraction (RVEF) may provide incremental value to left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction for the prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events. To date, generalizable utility for RVEF quantification in patients with cardiovascular disease has not been established. Using a large prospective clinical outcomes registry, we investigated the prognostic value of RVEF for the prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events- and heart failure-related outcomes. METHODS: Seven thousand one hundred thirty-one consecutive patients with known or suspected cardiovascular disease undergoing cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging were prospectively enrolled. Multichamber volumetric quantification was performed by standardized operational procedures. Patients were followed for the primary composite outcome of all-cause death, survived cardiac arrest, admission for heart failure, need for transplantation or LV assist device, acute coronary syndrome, need for revascularization, stroke, or transient ischemic attack. A secondary, heart failure focused outcome of heart failure admission, need for transplantation/LV assist device or death was also studied. RESULTS: Mean age was 54±15 years. The mean LV ejection fraction was 55±14% (range 6%-90%) with a mean RVEF of 54±10% (range 9%-87%). At a median follow-up of 908 days, 870 (12%) patients experienced the primary composite outcome and 524 (7%) the secondary outcome. Each 10% drop in RVEF was associated with a 1.3-fold increased risk of the primary outcome (P<0.001) and 1.5-fold increased risk of the secondary outcome (P<0.001). RVEF was an independent predictor following comprehensive covariate adjustment, inclusive of LV ejection fraction. Patients with an RVEF<40% experienced a 3.1-fold risk of the primary outcome (P<0.001) with a 1-year cumulative event rate of 22% versus 7% above this cutoff. CONCLUSIONS: RVEF is a powerful and independent predictor of major adverse cardiac events with broad generalizability across patients with known or suspected cardiovascular disease. These findings support migration towards biventricular phenotyping for the classification of risk in clinical practice. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT04367220.

Neural-Network-Based Diagnosis Using 3-Dimensional Myocardial Architecture and Deformation: Demonstration for the Differentiation of Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy.

The diagnosis of cardiomyopathy states may benefit from machine-learning (ML) based approaches, particularly to distinguish those states with similar phenotypic characteristics. Three-dimensional myocardial deformation analysis (3D-MDA) has been validated to provide standardized descriptors of myocardial architecture and deformation, and may therefore offer appropriate features for the training of ML-based diagnostic tools. We aimed to assess the feasibility of automated disease diagnosis using a neural network trained using 3D-MDA to discriminate hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) from its mimic states: cardiac amyloidosis (CA), Anderson-Fabry disease (AFD), and hypertensive cardiomyopathy (HTNcm). 3D-MDA data from 163 patients (mean age 53.1 ± 14.8 years; 68 females) with left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) of known etiology was provided. Source imaging data was from cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR). Clinical diagnoses were as follows: 85 HCM, 30 HTNcm, 30 AFD, and 18 CA. A fully-connected-layer feed-forward neural was trained to distinguish HCM vs. other mimic states. Diagnostic performance was compared to threshold-based assessments of volumetric and strain-based CMR markers, in addition to baseline clinical patient characteristics. Threshold-based measures provided modest performance, the greatest area under the curve (AUC) being 0.70. Global strain parameters exhibited reduced performance, with AUC under 0.64. A neural network trained exclusively from 3D-MDA data achieved an AUC of 0.94 (sensitivity 0.92, specificity 0.90) when performing the same task. This study demonstrates that ML-based diagnosis of cardiomyopathy states performed exclusively from 3D-MDA is feasible and can distinguish HCM from mimic disease states. These findings suggest strong potential for computer-assisted diagnosis in clinical practice.

Prognostic Value of Late Gadolinium Enhancement for the Prediction of Cardiovascular Outcomes in Dilated Cardiomyopathy: An International, Multi-Institutional Study of the MINICOR Group.

BACKGROUND: Dilated cardiomyopathy is associated with increased risk of major cardiovascular events. Late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) cardiac magnetic resonance imaging is a unique tissue-based marker that, in single-center studies, suggests strong prognostic value. We retrospectively studied associations between LGE presence and adverse cardiovascular events in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy in a multicenter setting as part of an emerging global consortium (MINICOR [Multi-Modal International Cardiovascular Outcomes Registry]). METHODS: Consecutive patients with dilated cardiomyopathy referred for cardiac magnetic resonance (2000-2017) at 12 institutions in 4 countries were studied. Using multivariable Cox proportional hazard and semiparametric Fine and Gray models, we evaluated the association between LGE and the composite primary end point of all-cause mortality, heart transplantation, or left ventricular assist device implant and a secondary arrhythmic end point of sudden cardiac death or appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator shock. RESULTS: We studied 1672 patients, mean age 56±14 years (29% female), left ventricular ejection fraction 33±11%, and 25% having New York Heart Association class III to IV; 650 patients (39%) had LGE. During 2.3 years (interquartile range, 1.0-4.3) follow-up, 160 patients experienced the primary end point, and 88 experienced the arrhythmic end point. In multivariable analyses, LGE was associated with 1.5-fold (hazard ratio, 1.45 [95% CI, 1.03-2.04]) risk of the primary end point and 1.8-fold (hazard ratio, 1.82 [95% CI, 1.20-3.06]) risk of the arrhythmic end point. Primary end point risk was increased in patients with multiple LGE patterns, although arrhythmic risk was higher among patients receiving primary prevention implantable cardioverter-defibrillator and widening QRS. CONCLUSIONS: In this large multinational study of patients with dilated cardiomyopathy, the presence of LGE showed strong prognostic value for identification of high-risk patients. Randomized controlled trials evaluating LGE-based care management strategies are warranted.

Natural History of Myocardial Injury and Chamber Remodeling in Acute Myocarditis.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging is commonly used to diagnose acute myocarditis. However, the natural history of CMR-based tissue markers and their association with left ventricular recovery is poorly explored. We prospectively investigated the natural history of CMR-based myocardial injury and chamber remodeling over 12 months in patients with suspected acute myocarditis. METHODS: One hundred patients with suspected acute myocarditis were enrolled. All underwent CMR evaluations at baseline and 12 months, inclusive of T2 and late gadolinium enhancement. Blinded quantitative analyses compared left ventricular chamber volumes, function, myocardial edema, and necrosis at each time point using predefined criteria. The predefined primary outcomes were improvement in left ventricular ejection fraction ≥10% and improvement in the indexed left ventricular end diastolic volume ≥10% at 12 months. RESULTS: The mean age was 39.9±14.5 years (82 male) with baseline left ventricular ejection fraction of 57.1±11.2%. A total of 72 patients (72%) showed late gadolinium enhancement at baseline with 57 (57%) having any T2 signal elevation. Left ventricular volumes and EF improved significantly at 12 months. Global late gadolinium enhancement extent dropped from 8.5±9.2% of left ventricular mass to 3.0±5.2% ( P=0.0001) with prevalence of any late gadolinium enhancement dropping to 48%. Reductions in global T2 signal ratio occurred at 12 months (1.85±0.3 to 1.56±0.2; P=0.0001) with prevalence of T2 ratio ≥2.0 dropping to 7%. Neither marker provided associations with the primary outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: In clinically suspected acute myocarditis, significant reductions in tissue injury markers occur during the first 12 months of convalescence. Neither the presence nor extent of the investigated CMR-based tissue injury markers were predictive of our pre-defined function or remodeling outcomes at 12 months in this referral population.

Determinants of rebound burst responses in rat cerebellar nuclear neurons to physiological stimuli.

KEY POINTS: Cerebellar Purkinje cells project GABAergic inhibitory input to neurons of the deep cerebellar nuclei (DCN) that generate a rebound increase in firing, but the specific patterns of input that might elicit a rebound response have not been established. We used recordings of Purkinje cell firing obtained during perioral whisker stimulation in vivo to create a physiological stimulus template to activate Purkinje cell afferents in vitro. DCN cell bursts were evoked by the stimulus pattern but not in relation to the perioral whisker stimulus, complex spikes or regular patterns within the Purkinje cell record. Reverse correlation revealed that bursts were triggered by an elevation-pause pattern of Purkinje cell firing, with pause duration a key factor in burst generation. Our data identify for the first time a physiological pattern of Purkinje cell input that can be encoded by the generation of rebound bursts in DCN cells. ABSTRACT: The end result of signal processing in cerebellar cortex is encoded in the output of Purkinje cells that project inhibitory input to deep cerebellar nuclear (DCN) neurons. DCN cells can respond to a period of inhibition in vitro with a rebound burst of firing, yet the optimal physiological pattern of Purkinje cell input that might evoke a rebound burst is unknown. The current study used spike trains recorded from rat Purkinje cells in response to perioral stimuli in vivo to create a physiological pattern to stimulate Purkinje cell axons in vitro. The perioral stimulus-evoked Purkinje cell firing pattern proved to be virtually ineffective in evoking a rebound burst despite the ability to reliably evoke rebounds using a traditional brief 100 Hz stimulus. Similarly, neither complex spike firing nor Purkinje cell patterns identified by CV2 analysis were reliably associated with rebound bursts. Reverse correlation revealed that the optimal Purkinje cell input to evoke a rebound burst was a sequential increase in mean firing rate of at least 30 Hz above baseline over 250 ms followed by a reduction of 40-60 Hz below baseline for up to 500 ms. The most important factor was the duration of a pause in Purkinje cell firing that allowed DCN cells to recover from a state of net inhibitory influence. These data indicate that physiological patterns of Purkinje cell firing can elicit rebound bursts in DCN cells in vitro, with pauses in Purkinje cell firing rate acting as a key stimulus for DCN cell rebound responses.

IKCa channels are a critical determinant of the slow AHP in CA1 pyramidal neurons.

Control over the frequency and pattern of neuronal spike discharge depends on Ca2+-gated K+ channels that reduce cell excitability by hyperpolarizing the membrane potential. The Ca2+-dependent slow afterhyperpolarization (sAHP) is one of the most prominent inhibitory responses in the brain, with sAHP amplitude linked to a host of circuit and behavioral functions, yet the channel that underlies the sAHP has defied identification for decades. Here, we show that intermediate-conductance Ca2+-dependent K+ (IKCa) channels underlie the sAHP generated by trains of synaptic input or postsynaptic stimuli in CA1 hippocampal pyramidal cells. These findings are significant in providing a molecular identity for the sAHP of central neurons that will identify pharmacological tools capable of potentially modifying the several behavioral or disease states associated with the sAHP.