Perioperative and long-term outcomes following aortic valve replacement: a population cohort study of 4124 consecutive patients.

OBJECTIVE: Because of increasing life expectancy, more patients require valve replacement for aortic stenosis. We aimed to determine perioperative and long-term outcomes, the factors associated with these and whether they have changed over time. METHODS: We undertook a retrospective cohort study of all 4124 patients, who underwent isolated, primary aortic valve replacement in Scotland between April 1996 and March 2009 inclusive. RESULTS: Annual operations increased by 68%, from 261 to 439. The overall risk of dying within 30 days, 5 years and 10 years was 3.4%, 19.9% and 38.5%, respectively. Over 10 years' follow-up, 4.4% underwent further valve surgery, 7.9% suffered a stroke and 5.3% a myocardial infarction. Age, renal impairment and urgency were predictors of both perioperative and long-term death. Perioperative death was associated with left-ventricular impairment and long-term death with respiratory disease, diabetes and deprivation. Over the 13 years, there was an increase in median age (from 66 to 69 years, p < 0.001), diabetes (from 1.9% to 12.6%, p < 0.001), hypertension (from 26.4% to 56.1%, p < 0.001), cerebrovascular disease (from 3.7% to 9.8%, p < 0.001), respiratory disease (from 6.6% to 9.7%, p = 0.020) and previous myocardial infarction (from 0.6% to 5.8%, p < 0.001), but the risk of perioperative death fell from 6.5% to 3.1% (odds ratio (OR) 0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.83, 0.92, p < 0.001) per year. CONCLUSIONS: Patients undergoing aortic valve replacement have a poor risk profile. Over time, their numbers, age and co-morbidity have increased. In spite of these, there has been a significant reduction in the risk of perioperative death.

Usefulness of neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio as predictor of new-onset atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass grafting.

The neutrophil/lymphocyte (N/L) ratio integrates information on the inflammatory milieu and physiologic stress. It is an emerging marker of prognosis in patients with cardiovascular disease. We investigated the relation between the N/L ratio and postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting. In a prospective cohort study, 275 patients undergoing nonemergency coronary artery bypass grafting were recruited. Patients with previous atrial arrhythmia or requiring concomitant valve surgery were excluded. The N/L ratio was determined preoperatively and on postoperative day 2. The study end point was AF lasting >30 seconds. Patients who developed AF (n = 107, 39%) had had a greater preoperative N/L ratio (median 3.0 vs 2.4, p = 0.001), but no differences were found in the other white blood cell parameters or C-reactive protein. The postoperative N/L ratio was greater in patients with AF (day 2, median 9.2 vs 7.2, p <0.001), and in multivariate models, a greater postoperative N/L ratio was independently associated with a greater incidence of AF (odds ratio 1.10 per unit increase, p = 0.003: odds ratio for N/L ratio >10.14 [optimal postoperative cutoff in our cohort], 2.83 per unit, p <0.001). Elevated pre- and postoperative N/L ratios were associated with an increased occurrence of AF after coronary artery bypass grafting. In conclusion, these results support an inflammatory etiology in postoperative AF but suggest that other factors are also important.

Uric acid levels and outcome from coronary artery bypass grafting.

OBJECTIVE: Elevated uric acid levels have been associated with an adverse cardiovascular outcome in several settings. Their utility in patients undergoing surgical revascularization has not, however, been assessed. We hypothesized that serum uric acid levels would predict the outcome of patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting. METHODS: The study cohort consisted of 1140 consecutive patients undergoing nonemergency coronary artery bypass grafting. Clinical details were obtained prospectively, and serum uric acid was measured a median of 1 day before surgery. The primary end point was all-cause mortality. RESULTS: During a median of 4.5 years, 126 patients (11%) died. Mean (+/- standard deviation) uric acid levels were 390 +/- 131 micromol/L in patients who died versus 353 +/- 86 micromol/L among survivors (hazard ratio 1.48 per 100 micromol/L; 95% confidence interval, 1.25-1.74; P < .001). The excess risk associated with an elevated uric acid was particularly evident among patients in the upper quartile (>or=410 micromol/L; hazard ratio vs all other quartiles combined 2.18; 95% confidence interval, 1.53-3.11; P < .001). After adjusting for other potential prognostic variables, including the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation, uric acid remained predictive of outcome. CONCLUSION: Increasing levels of uric acid are associated with poorer survival after coronary artery bypass grafting. Their prognostic utility is independent of other recognized risk factors, including the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation.

Use of preoperative natriuretic peptides and echocardiographic parameters in predicting new-onset atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass grafting: a prospective comparative study.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common complication after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). We prospectively compared the ability of echocardiographic parameters and the cardiac neurohormones, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) to predict AF in this setting. METHODS: We recruited 275 patients undergoing nonemergency CABG. Patients undergoing valve surgery or with prior atrial dysrhythmia (based on clinical history and review of medical records) were excluded. Echocardiography was performed, and natriuretic peptide levels were measured, 24 hours before surgery. The primary end point was postoperative AF lasting >30 seconds. RESULTS: The only significant echocardiographic predictors of postoperative AF (n = 107, 39%) were the transmitral E to A-wave ratio and the early mitral annulus velocity. Levels of BNP and NT-proBNP were higher in patients who developed AF. Both natriuretic peptides, but none of the echocardiographic parameters, remained independently predictive in multivariable analysis. The optimum cut points for predicting AF were 31 pg/mL for BNP (odds ratio [OR] 2.74, P = .001) and 74 pg/mL for NT-proBNP (OR 2.74, P = .003). CONCLUSION: Levels of BNP and NT-proBNP are independent, though modestly effective, predictors of AF after isolated CABG. In contrast, none of the echocardiographic parameters assessed, including measures of LV systolic function and filling pressure, were independently predictive.

The relationship between renal function and outcome from heart valve surgery.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic importance of renal function in patients undergoing surgery for valvular heart disease is poorly defined. The current study addresses this issue. METHODS: Baseline demographic and clinical variables, including the European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation (EuroSCORE), were recorded prospectively from 514 consecutive patients undergoing heart valve surgery between April 2000 and March 2004. Patients with active infective endocarditis and/or requiring emergency surgery were excluded. The glomerular filtration rate was estimated (eGFR) using the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equation. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 2 years, 87 patients died. In univariable analysis, both eGFR (hazard ratio [HR] 0.69 per 10 mL/min per 1.73 m2, P<.001) and creatinine (HR 1.04 per 10 micromol/L, P<.001) predicted mortality. Estimated GFR was a stronger predictor and was used in subsequent multivariable models. It remained a powerful independent predictor of death in a multivariable model including all study variables (HR 0.70 per 10 mL/min per 1.73 m2 increase, P<.001) and in a model including EuroSCORE (HR 0.64 per 10 mL/min per 1.73 m2 increase, P<.001). After correction for preoperative EuroSCORE, an eGFR of <60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 was associated with an excess hazard of death of 2.31 (P=.001). CONCLUSION: Renal function, particularly the eGFR, is a powerful predictor of outcome in patients undergoing heart valve surgery. This prognostic utility is independent of other recognized risk factors and the EuroSCORE.

Preoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and outcome from coronary artery bypass grafting.

BACKGROUND: An elevated preoperative white blood cell count has been associated with a worse outcome after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). Leukocyte subtypes, and particularly the neutrophil-lymphocyte (N/L) ratio, may however, convey superior prognostic information. We hypothesized that the N/L ratio would predict the outcome of patients undergoing surgical revascularization. METHODS: Baseline clinical details were obtained prospectively in 1938 patients undergoing CABG. The differential leukocyte was measured before surgery, and patients were followed-up 3.6 years later. The primary end point was all-cause mortality. RESULTS: The preoperative N/L ratio was a powerful univariable predictor of mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.13 per unit, P < .001). In a backward conditional model, including all study variables, it remained a strong predictor (HR 1.09 per unit, P = .004). In a further model, including the European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation, the N/L ratio remained an independent predictor (HR 1.08 per unit, P = .008). Likewise, it was an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality and predicted death in the subgroup of patients with a normal white blood cell count. This excess hazard was concentrated in patients with an N/L ratio in the upper quartile (>3.36). CONCLUSION: An elevated N/L ratio is associated with a poorer survival after CABG. This prognostic utility is independent of other recognized risk factors.

What is the patency of the short saphenous vein when used for coronary artery bypass grafting?

A best evidence topic in cardiac surgery was written according to a structured protocol. The question addressed was what the patency of the short saphenous vein is, when used for coronary artery bypass grafting. Altogether 347 papers were found using the reported search, of which nine represented the best evidence to answer the clinical question. The authors, journal, date and country of publication, patient group studied, study type, relevant outcomes and results of these papers are tabulated. We conclude that small reports give a two-year patency of 77% and a six-year patency of 65% and duplex studies show that the short saphenous vein may be from 2.8 mm to 4.2 mm in diameter. However, caution should be applied when considering these patency rates as they are derived from individual studies of <40 patients. The lesser saphenous vein may be considered as an alternative to brachial or cephalic vein in patients with unsuitable long saphenous vein, and unsuitable mammary, radial or gastroepiploic arteries.

Relationship between postoperative cardiac troponin I levels and outcome of cardiac surgery.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac surgery may be associated with significant perioperative and postoperative morbidity and mortality. Underlying pathology, surgical technique, and postoperative complications may all influence outcome. These factors may be reflected as a rise in postoperative troponin levels. Interpretation of troponin levels in this setting may therefore be complex. This study assessed the prognostic significance of such measurements, taking into account potential confounding variables. METHODS AND RESULTS: One-thousand three hundred sixty-five patients undergoing cardiac surgery underwent measurement of cardiac troponin I (cTnI) at 2 and 24 hours after surgery. The relationship of these measurements to subsequent mortality was established. After taking into account all other variables, cTnI levels measured at 24 hours were independently predictive of mortality at 30 days (odds ratio [OR] 1.14 per 10 microg/L, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05 to 1.24, P=0.002), 1 year (OR 1.10 per 10 microg/L, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.18, P=0.006), and 3 years (OR 1.07 per 10 microg/L, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.15, P=0.04). Cardiac TnI levels in the highest quartile at 24 hours were associated with a particularly poor outcome. CONCLUSIONS: cTnI levels measured 24 hours after cardiac surgery predict short-, medium-, and long-term mortality and remain independently predictive when adjusted for all other potentially confounding variables, including operation complexity.

Renal function and outcome from coronary artery bypass grafting: impact on mortality after a 2.3-year follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Severe renal dysfunction is associated with a worse outcome after coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG). Less is known about the effects of milder degrees of renal impairment, and previous studies have relied on levels of serum creatinine, an insensitive indicator of renal function. Recent studies have suggested that estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is a more discriminatory measure. However, data on the utility of eGFR in predicting outcome from CABG are limited. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied 2067 consecutive patients undergoing CABG. Demographic and clinical data were collected preoperatively, and patients were followed up a median of 2.3 years after surgery. Estimated GFR was calculated from the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equation. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Mean+/-SD eGFR was 57.9+/-17.6 mL/min per 1.73 m2 in the 158 patients who died during follow-up compared with 64.7+/-13.8 mL/min per 1.73 m2 in survivors (hazard ratio [HR], 0.71 per 10 mL/min per 1.73 m2; 95% CI, 0.64 to 0.80; P<0.001). Estimated GFR was an independent predictor of mortality in both models with other individual univariable predictors (HR, 0.80 per 10 mL/min per 1.73 m2; 95% CI, 0.72 to 0.89; P<0.001) and the European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation (HR, 0.88 per 10 mL/min per 1.73 m2; 95% CI, 0.78 to 0.98; P=0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Estimated GFR is a powerful and independent predictor of mortality after CABG.