Diabetic patients with chronic hepatitis C virus response compared to non diabetics when treated with directly acting antiviral therapy.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) impairs glucose homoestasis, thus influences its clinical picture and prognosis. This study aimed at evaluating Diabetes mellitus (DM) on Egyptian patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC), and its impact on their virologic response when treated with directly acting antiviral (DAA) medications. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Adult patients with CHC were divided into 2 groups; Diabetic patients, and Non diabetic patients serving as control group. All patients were subjected to thorough clinical evaluation, basic biochemical laboratory tests including fasting blood glucose/glycosylated haemoglobin (HbA1C), and virologic assay. They were treated with various combined DAAs, and were monitored during, at and after end of treatment. RESULTS: Diabetic patients constituted 9.85 % of CHC, and had generally worse laboratory tests (significantly higher transaminases, platelet count, Fib4 and hepatic steatosis) than non diabetic patients, and a less sustained virologic response (SVR) (significantly in Sofosbuvir (SOF) + pegylated interferon (PegIFN) + ribavirin (RBV), SOF + RBV, SOF + daclatasvir (DAC)). Although DM did not play a significant influence on SVR, yet Fib4 and SOF + RBV + PEG-IFN were significant factors affecting SVR among diabetics, while female gender and viraemia were significant factors affecting SVR among non diabetics. Hepatic fibrosis and SOF/RBV significantly influenced SVR in both groups. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetic patients with CHC have worse liver biochemical profile, yet DM per se did not influence the virologic response to DAAs, however, some factors played roles in affecting SVR among them.

Egyptian Society of Liver Cancer Recommendation Guidelines for the Management of Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Globally, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fourth most common cause of death from cancer. The prevalence of this pathology, which has been on the rise in the last 30 years, has been predicted to continue increasing. HCC is the most common cause of cancer-related morbidity and mortality in Egypt and is also the most common cancer in males. Chronic liver diseases, including chronic hepatitis C, which is a primary health concern in Egypt, are considered major risk factors for HCC. However, HCC surveillance is recommended for patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) and liver cirrhosis; those above 40 with HBV but without cirrhosis; individuals with hepatitis D co-infection or a family history of HCC; and Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients exhibiting significant fibrosis or cirrhosis. Several international guidelines aid physicians in the management of HCC. However, the availability and cost of diagnostic modalities and treatment options vary from one country to another. Therefore, the current guidelines aim to standardize the management of HCC in Egypt. The recommendations presented in this report represent the current management strategy at HCC treatment centers in Egypt. Recommendations were developed by an expert panel consisting of hepatologists, oncologists, gastroenterologists, surgeons, pathologists, and radiologists working under the umbrella of the Egyptian Society of Liver Cancer. The recommendations, which are based on the currently available local diagnostic aids and treatments in the country, include recommendations for future prospects.

Prospective Comparison of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Behavior and Survival of Patients who Did or Did not Receive HCV Direct-Acting Antivirals.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The safety and efficacy of hepatitis C (HCV) direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) have been established in several real-world trials; however, some reports have claimed an association between DAAs and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence or aggressive behavior. We aimed to prospectively examine differences in de-novo HCC tumor behavior and overall survival (OS) in DAAs-treated versus HCV-untreated patients as measured by BCLC progression during a two-year follow-up period. METHODS: This multicenter cohort study recruited 523 patients with de-novo HCV-related HCC. After exclusion criteria were applied, 353 patients were placed into; Group 1, including 236 patients without a history of DAAs therapy, and Group 2 including 117 patients with de-novo HCC developed after receiving DAAs. Patients were then stratified in each group according to BCLC staging (Liver, 2018). All patients received standard of care management and were followed until death or a maximum of 2 years. RESULTS: No statistically significant differences were observed between the two groups regarding tumor characteristics (number and size of lesions) and criteria for aggressiveness upon presentation. Among all BCLC stages, DAAs treated patients showed significantly lower baseline Fib4 values than DAA untreated patients in BCLC-0 stage (4.1 vs 7.7, p 0.019). No statistically significant differences were evident in HCC progression in the different BCLC stages at 12 and 24 months follow up periods (p 0.0718 and 0.279 respectively). Significantly better survival was recorded in Group 1 compared to Group 2 patients for BCLC stages C and D (p = 0.003 and 0.01, respectively). CONCLUSION: HCC may develop at an earlier stage of liver disease after DAAs therapy. No defensive role was found for DAAs treatment in delaying HCC progression that occurs after viral eradication.
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Prognostic and survival impact of BCL9 and RPS6KB1 copy number variation detected from circulating free DNA in hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) is a noninvasive substitute to liver biopsy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) molecular profiling. This study aimed to use cfDNA to investigate copy number variation (CNV) in the BCL9 and RPS6KB1 genes and its impact on prognosis in HCC. METHODS: Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction was used to determine the CNV and cfDNA integrity index in 100 HCC patients. RESULTS: CNV gain in BCL9 and RPS6KB1 genes was detected in 14% and 24% of patients, respectively. Gain in CNV of BCL9 associated with risk of HCC in alcohol drinkers and hepatitis C seropositivity. In patients with RPS6KB1 gain, HCC risk increased with a high body mass index, smoking, schistosomiasis, and Barcelona clinical liver cancer stage (BCLC) A. Gain in both genes showed a high risk of HCC with elevated liver enzymes, Schistosomiasis, BCLC C, and PS > 1. The integrity of cfDNA was higher in patients with CNV gain in RPS6KB1 than those harboring CNV gain in BCL9. Lastly, BCL9 gain and BCL9 + RPS6KB1 gain led to higher mortality rates and reduced survival times. CONCLUSION: cfDNA was used to detect BCL9 and RPS6KB1 CNVs, which influence prognosis and can be used as independent predictors of HCC patient survival.

Meta-learning algorithm development to predict outcomes in patients with hepatitis C virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: Prediction of prognosis and treatment outcomes for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is complex for most patients. Machine learning predictive analysis can be used to explore the rich information in electronic health records to discover hidden patterns and relationships. We aimed to develop a noninvasive algorithm for predicting outcome treatment options for patients with HCC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This cross-sectional study included 1298 patients with Hepatitis C virus-related HCC attending an HCC multidisciplinary clinic, Kasr Al-Aini Hospital, Cairo University, between 2009 and 2016. Using machine learning analysis, we constructed Reduced Error Pruning (REP) decision tree algorithms and applied Auto-WEKA to select the best classifier out of 39 algorithms. RESULTS: The REP-tree algorithm predicted HCC management outcomes with a recall (sensitivity) of 0.658 and a precision (specificity) of 0.653 using only routine data. 854 (65.8%) instances were correctly identified, and 444 (34.2%) instances were incorrectly classified. Out of 31 attributes, liver decompensation was selected by REP-tree as the best predictor of HCC outcome (root node). With Auto-WEKA, the random subspace classifier was chosen as the best predictive algorithm with a recall (sensitivity) of 0.750 and a precision (specificity) of 0.75. There were 974 (75%) correctly classified instances and 324 (25%) incorrectly classified instances, which was better than REP-tree. CONCLUSION: Machine learning analysis explores data to discover hidden patterns and trends and enables the development of models to predict HCC treatment outcomes utilizing simple laboratory data. The random subspace classifier predicted the outcome more accurately than REP-tree.

Assessment of circulating levels of microRNA-326, microRNA-424, and microRNA-511 as biomarkers for hepatocellular carcinoma in Egyptians.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common cancer. Differential expression of microRNAs (miRNAs)-326, miRNA-424, and miRNA-511 has been associated with the diagnosis and prognosis of HCC in different populations. However, limited information is available regarding their expression in Egyptian HCC patients. AIM: To assess the role of circulating miRNAs-326, miRNA-424, and miRNA-511 in Egyptian HCC patients. METHODS: This prospective observational study included 70 HCC patients and 25 healthy controls. The circulating levels of these three miRNAs were evaluated by real-time PCR. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to test the diagnostic accuracy of microRNA expression levels. RESULTS: All miRNAs were differentially expressed in HCC patients; miRNAs326 and miRNA-424 were upregulated, while miRNA-511 was downregulated. Both miRNA-326 and miRNA-424 showed sensitivity and specificity of 97%, 71.4%, and 52%, 60%, respectively, to differentiate HCC from controls. Moreover, miRNA-326 was associated with survival and could differentiate between Child grades (A vs B); miRNA-424 significantly differentiated early vs intermediate stages of HCC; while miRNA-511 was significantly correlated with response to modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST). CONCLUSION: We conclude that miRNA-326, miRNA-424, and miRNA-511 have diagnostic and prognostic roles in Egyptian patients with hepatitis C virus-related HCC and should be considered for better disease management.

Role of endoscopic ultrasound and cyst fluid tumor markers in diagnosis of pancreatic cystic lesions.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) are common in clinical practice. The accurate classification and diagnosis of these lesions are crucial to avoid unnecessary treatment of benign lesions and missed opportunities for early treatment of potentially malignant lesions. AIM: To evaluate the role of cyst fluid analysis of different tumor markers such as cancer antigens [e.g., cancer antigen (CA)19-9, CA72-4], carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), serine protease inhibitor Kazal-type 1 (SPINK1), interleukin 1 beta (IL1-ß), vascular endothelial growth factor A (VEGF-A), and prostaglandin E2 (PGE2)], amylase, and mucin stain in diagnosing pancreatic cysts and differentiating malignant from benign lesions. METHODS: This study included 76 patients diagnosed with PCLs using different imaging modalities. All patients underwent endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and EUS-fine needle aspiration (EUS-FNA) for characterization and sampling of different PCLs. RESULTS: The mean age of studied patients was 47.4 ± 11.4 years, with a slight female predominance (59.2%). Mucin stain showed high statistical significance in predicting malignancy with a sensitivity of 87.1% and specificity of 95.56%. It also showed a positive predictive value and negative predictive value of 93.1% and 91.49%, respectively (P < 0.001). We found that positive mucin stain, cyst fluid glucose, SPINK1, amylase, and CEA levels had high statistical significance (P < 0.0001). In contrast, IL-1ß, CA 72-4, VEGF-A, VEGFR2, and PGE2 did not show any statistical significance. Univariate regression analysis for prediction of malignancy in PCLs showed a statistically significant positive correlation with mural nodules, lymph nodes, cyst diameter, mucin stain, and cyst fluid CEA. Meanwhile, logistic multivariable regression analysis proved that mural nodules, mucin stain, and SPINK1 were independent predictors of malignancy in cystic pancreatic lesions. CONCLUSION: EUS examination of cyst morphology with cytopathological analysis and cyst fluid analysis could improve the differentiation between malignant and benign pancreatic cysts. Also, CEA, glucose, and SPINK1 could be used as promising markers to predict malignant pancreatic cysts.

Vitamins and minerals: A means for surviving the COVID-19 pandemic or just a myth?

A novel coronavirus (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 [SARS-CoV-2]) that was initially reported from Wuhan, China in December 2019, was declared a pandemic by the WHO in March 2020. Considering the current COVID-19 pandemic, where there are no specific effective preventive or therapeutic drugs available, a healthy immune system is one of the most important tools that should be considered. Vitamins and minerals supplements have been well known to help the immune system in battling viral infections in general. Physicians worldwide are largely interested in vitamin and mineral supplements to help them battle COVID-19 whether through protection or treatment. Dietary supplementations especially vitamin D, vitamin C, and Zinc offer good prophylactic and therapeutic support to the currently available treatment regimens. They are relatively safe and were proven to aid recovery in other respiratory infections. Further studies should be encouraged especially those examining their role in prophylaxis from COVID-19 while maintaining current recommendations for social distancing and proper protective gear.

The Role of Interleukin 1 Beta in Differentiating Malignant from Benign Pancreatic Cysts.

Background and Aim: The frequency of detection of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) in magnetic resonance imaging performed for reasons unrelated to the pancreas reaches up to 13.5%. The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of cyst fluid interleukin 1 beta (IL1ß) and different endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) features in differentiating premalignant/malignant from benign pancreatic cysts. In addition, to evaluate the role of pancreatic cyst fluid carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) in differentiating mucinous from nonmucinous pancreatic cysts. Methods: This study was conducted on 73 patients with PCLs. EUS-guided fine-needle aspiration (EUS-FNA) was performed on all patients. Estimation of IL1ß and CEA levels in aspirated specimens were carried out. Results: Pancreatic cyst fluid IL1ß level could not differentiate between premalignant/malignant and benign pancreatic cysts. At a cutoff value of 19.81 ng/mL pancreatic cyst fluid CEA has 64.3% sensitivity and 84.4% specificity in differentiating mucinous from nonmucinous pancreatic cyst. EUS can differentiate between premalignant/malignant pancreatic cysts and benign cysts with a sensitivity of 66.7%, specificity of 69.2% Conclusions: Pancreatic cyst fluid IL1ß level cannot differentiate between premalignant/malignant and benign pancreatic cysts. CEA level can help in differentiation between mucinous and nonmucinous cysts. EUS can be useful in differentiation between premalignant/malignant pancreatic cysts and benign cysts.

Plasma cell-free DNA integrity index and hepatocellular carcinoma treated or not with direct-acting antivirals: A case-control study.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: The clinical value of the cell-free DNA (cf-DNA) integrity index as a diagnostic biomarker of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was investigated and correlated with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). PATIENTS AND METHODS: This case-control study was conducted on 160 patients with HCV genotype 4-related liver cirrhosis. Group 1 consisted of 80 patients with HCC, including 40 patients naïve to direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) and 40 patients who received DAAs and achieved sustained virological response. Group 2 comprised 80 patients with cirrhosis without HCC. Plasma cf-DNA integrity index using ALU 115 and ALU 247 sequences was assessed using SYBR Green-based real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). The cf-DNA integrity index was calculated as the ratio of Q247/Q115 where Q115 and Q247 are the ALU-qPCR results obtained using ALU 115 and ALU 247, respectively. RESULTS: Patients with HCC had significantly lower plasma cf-DNA integrity index than those with liver cirrhosis. No significant difference in the cf-DNA integrity index was observed between patients with HCC who received DAAs and those who did not. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis revealed an area under the ROC curve of 0.965 and 0.886 for detecting HCC using the cf-DNA integrity index and AFP, respectively. The combination of the cf-DNA integrity index and AFP improved the sensitivity from 81.6% to 94.7%, positive predictive value from 93.4% to 94.7%, negative predictive value from 84.4% to 94.9%, and accuracy from 88.4% to 94.8%. CONCLUSION: The cf-DNA integrity index can predict the occurrence of HCV genotype 4-related HCC. No significant difference in the cf-DNA integrity index was observed between patients with HCC who received DAAs and those without previous DAAs. The combination of the cf-DNA integrity index and AFP provides better HCC prediction accuracy.

Establishing a research production line in real-life settings: the case of Hepatitis C management in a viral hepatitis specialized Egyptian center.

Efforts toward eradicating the Hepatitis C virus (HCV) have advanced rapidly, due to the development of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), especially with the appearance of pan-genotypic combinations. Real-world studies, in particular, have verified the efficacy and safety of DAA combinations documented in registration trials. This review documents the results of using DAA combinations in real-life settings in everyday clinical practice in Egypt, the country with the highest prevalence of HCV. The significant number of treated patients in Egypt, which exceeded four million allowed tremendous data about the results of HCV management in real-life settings for different treatment regimens and disease conditions. DAA combinations have resulted in high sustained virologic response rates (SVR12) and few adverse reactions in real-life settings. SVR12 rates ranged from 90% to 100%, depending on the combination of drugs used, the HCV genotype, and the stage of liver disease. Most adverse reactions reported in real-world settings were mild and resulted in treatment discontinuation in only a minority of cases. Data from real-life studies covered most aspects of HCV management that were lacking after initial approval studies. More research is needed to tailor treatment and produce generic HCV combinations to overcome the residual limitations of the currently available DAAs.

Efficacy of combined Sofosbuvir and Daclatasvir in the treatment of COVID-19 patients with pneumonia: a multicenter Egyptian study.

BACKGROUND: Limited experimental and clinical evidence suggests a potential role for sofosbuvir/daclatasvir in treating COVID19. We aim to evaluate the efficacy of generic sofosbuvir/daclatasvir in treating COVID-19 patients with pneumonia. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This multicenter prospective study involved 174 patients with COVID-19. Patients were randomized into two groups. Group A (96 patients) received sofosbuvir (400 mg)/daclatasvir (60 mg) for 14 days in combination with conventional therapy. Group B (78 patients) received conventional therapy alone. Clinical, laboratory, and radiological data were collected at baseline, after 7, 14, and 28 days of therapy. Primary endpoint was rate of clinical/virological cure. RESULTS: A lower mortality rate was observed in group (A) (14% vs 21%, P = 0.07). After 1 month of therapy, no differences were found in rates of ICU admission, oxygen therapy, or ventilation. Additionally, a statistically significant shorter duration of hospital stay (9% vs 12%, P < 0.01) and a faster achievement of PCR negativity at day 14 (84% versus 47%, P < 0.01) were noticed in group (A). CONCLUSION: Adding sofosbuvir/daclatasvir to conventional therapy of COVID-19 is promising. Their use is associated with shorter hospital stay, faster PCR negativity and may be reduced mortality.

Survival and recurrence rates of hepatocellular carcinoma after treatment of chronic hepatitis C using direct acting antivirals.

BACKGROUND: Conflicting studies were proposed either suggested or denied the relationship between early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence and the use of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for chronic hepatitis C management. AIM OF THE STUDY: To evaluate HCC recurrence rate post-DAAs and potential predictive factors.Study This prospective cohort study included all HCC patients achieved complete response attending our multidisciplinary HCC clinic, Cairo University, from November 2013 to February 2018. Group I (60 patients) who received DAAs after HCC ablation and group II (273 patients) who were DAAs-untreated. We studied factors that could play a role in HCC recurrence. RESULTS: The sustained virological response rate was 88.3% among DAA-treated patients. HCC recurrence rate was 45% in the post-DAA group vs. 19% in the non-DAAs group; P < 0.001. Mean survival was significantly higher in the post-DAA group (34.23 ± 16.16 vs. 23.92 ± 13.99 months respectively; P value <0.001). There was a significant correlation between HCC recurrence rate and age, male gender, mean size of tumors and time interval between complete HCC ablation and occurrence of HCC recurrence. CONCLUSION: Our study reports high rate of HCC recurrence post-DAA therapy in patients treated with transarterial chemoembolization but not in those treated with curative measures. DAA therapy after curative treatment for HCC led to significantly earlier HCC recurrence, which correlated with specific clinic-pathologic features in our prospective single-institution study. However, future independent prospective randomized studies are warranted to evaluate this correlation which may lead to a change in the current standard-of-care approach to patients with hepatitis C virus-related HCC.

Schistosoma mansoni infection and the occurrence, characteristics, and survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: an observational study over a decade.

Schistosoma mansoni infection (SMI) is suspected to be directly and indirectly involved in hepato-carcinogenesis. This study evaluated the association of a previous SMI with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development, patients, tumor characteristics, treatment outcomes, and survival. This observational study included patients with HCC with and without previous SMI who presented to the multidisciplinary HCC clinic, Kasr-Alainy hospital (November 2009 to December 2019). It also included 313 patients with liver cirrhosis without HCC. Clinical and laboratory features of the patients (complete blood count, liver/renal functions , alpha-fetoprotein, and hepatitis B/C status), tumor characteristics (Triphasic CT and/or dynamic MRI), liver stiffness (transient elastography), HCC treatment outcome, and overall survival were studied. This study included 1446 patients with HCC; 688(47.6%) composed group-1, defined by patients having a history of SMI, and 758(52.4%) were in group-2 and without history of SMI. Male sex, smoking, diabetes mellitus, splenomegaly, deteriorated performance status, synthetic liver functions, and platelet count were significantly higher in group-1. The groups did not differ with regard to liver stiffness, tumor characteristics, or the occurrence of post-HCC treatment hepatic decompensation or recurrence. HCC treatment response was better in group-2. Group-1 showed lower sustained virological response to hepatitis C direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) compared with group-2 (60% versus 84.3%, respectively, P = 0.027). Prior SMI was associated with HCC (adjusted odds ratio = 1.589, 95% confidence interval = 1.187-2.127), and it was concluded that it increases the risk of HCC. In addition, it significantly affects the performance status, laboratory characteristics, response to DAAs, and overall survival.

Impact of successful HCV treatment using direct acting antivirals on recurrence of well ablated hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: There are many contradictory studies that dealt with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence rate of well ablated hepatitis C virus (HCV) related HCC. We aim to assess the recurrence rate of previously ablated HCC in patients who received direct acting antiviral (DAA) for their HCV. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This is a retrospective data analysis of 523 HCV patients who have a history of successfully ablated HCC and eligible for HCV treatment. Retrieval was done to demographic/clinical data, HCV pretreatment investigations, HCV treatment outcome. Follow up for survival and HCC recurrence was done every 3 months using abdominal ultrasound and alfa-fetoprotein. RESULTS: Mean age was 53.83 years. Sofosbuvir/daclatasvir/ribavirin was the most used regimen (35.4%) with 438 patients (83.7%) achieved sustained virologic response (SVR). The median duration for surveillance was 159 weeks. Hundred and five patients developed recurrent HCC, with a crude recurrence rate of 20.1%. There was no difference between HCV responders and non-responders in crude recurrence rate (p = 0.94) but HCC developed earlier in non-responders (p = <0.01). CONCLUSION: Recurrence of HCC remains a threat in HCV patients even after achieving an SVR. Implementation of long-term surveillance programs is highly recommended.

Role of circulating microRNA-21 and microRNA-215 in the diagnosis of hepatitis C related hepatocellular carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: Several micro ribonucleic acids (miRNAs) are deregulated in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Others are linked to clinical pathological features of HCC. The goal of this study was to investigate whether miRNA-21 and miRNA-215 gene expression could be used as a non-invasive diagnostic tool to diagnose HCC. METHODOLOGY: The gene expression of mature miRNA -21 and miRNA -215 in serum was analysed retrospectively using singleplex TaqMan two-step stem-loop quantitative real-time reverse-transcription PCR in 40 patients with HCC, 40 with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) with cirrhosis and 40 apparently healthy controls. RESULTS: Expression of miRNA -21 was significantly more down regulated in patients with HCC than in those with non-cirrhotic HCV (P = 0.007; odds ratio = 5; 95% confidence interval 1.6-15.4). The receiver operating curve analysis of the ability of miRNA-21 expression to discriminate between HCC and non-cirrhotic HCV revealed an area under the curve of 0.712 with 70% sensitivity and 68% specificity at a cut-off of ≤ 1.4468. Thus, the expression level of miRNA -21 could discriminate HCC from non-cirrhotic HCV. Significant positive correlation was observed between expression levels of microRNA-21 and miRNA -215 (r = 0.783, p < 0.001), but no association was observed between expression level of miR-215 and HCC or chronic HCV (p = 0.474). CONCLUSIONS: MiRNA-21 may be a useful, non-invasive tool for diagnosing HCC. Non-cirrhotic HCV patients have five times the risk of developing HCC when the miRNA -21 level ≤ 1.4468.

Pregnancy outcome of anti-HCV direct-acting antivirals: Real-life data from an Egyptian cohort.

We aimed to assess the pregnancy outcome in women with chronic HCV who had negative pregnancy test prior to the anti-HCV course and had unintended pregnancy while on HCV treatment. Hundred patients with a mean age of 30 ± 6.7 y were included and advised to withhold antivirals and continue follow-up in viral hepatitis and obstetrics centres till delivery. All patients received a 12-weeks regimen of anti-HCV [sofosbuvir plus daclatasvir (SOF/DCV): n = 95, SOF/DCV plus ribavirin: n = 3, and paritaprevir/ritonavir/ombitasvir plus ribavirin: n = 2]. Only nine patients completed the full antiviral course against medical advice, and 91 stopped between on-treatment weeks 4 and 8. Eighty-eight patients delivered full-term babies, eight had preterm babies and two had abortions. Of the nine patients who completed the full course of DAAs, seven (77.8%) delivered normal babies, attended their post-treatment week 12 visit, and all (100%) achieved sustained virological response. No major antiviral-related adverse events were reported.

Machine Learning Prediction Models for Diagnosing Hepatocellular Carcinoma with HCV-related Chronic Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Considered as one of the most recurrent types of liver malignancy, Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) needs to be assessed in a non-invasive way. The objective of the current study is to develop prediction models for Chronic Hepatitis C (CHC)-related HCC using machine learning techniques. METHODS: A dataset, for 4423 CHC patients, was investigated to identify the significant parameters for predicting HCC presence. In this study, several machine learning techniques (Classification and regression tree, alternating decision tree, reduce pruning error tree and linear regression algorithm) were used to build HCC classification models for prediction of HCC presence. RESULTS: Age, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), alkaline phosphate (ALP), albumin, and total bilirubin attributes were statistically found to be associated with HCC presence. Several HCC classification models were constructed using several machine learning algorithms. The proposed HCC classification models provide adequate area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and high accuracy of HCC diagnosis. AUROC ranges between 95.5% and 99%, plus overall accuracy between 93.2% and 95.6%. CONCLUSION: Models with simplistic factors have the power to predict the existence of HCC with outstanding performance.

Predictors of recurrence and survival of hepatocellular carcinoma: A prospective study including transient elastography and cancer stem cell markers.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: To investigate whether the measurement of liver stiffness (LSM) using fibroscan and the serum Cancer Stem Cells (CSC): Ep-CAM and cytokeratin-19, could predict the recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and their impact on clinical outcome and overall survival. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This is a prospective study, including 179 HCV-related HCC patients. All patients were treated following the BCLC guidelines. All HCC patients had transient elastography, measurements of Ep-CAM and cytokeratin-19 before and six months post-treatment. We looked for predictors of recurrence and performed a survival analysis using Kaplan-Meier estimates. RESULTS: TACE was the most common procedure (77.1%), followed by microwave ablation (15.6%). Complete ablation was achieved in 97 patients; 55 of them developed HCC recurrence. After treatment, LSM increased significantly with a significant reduction in CSCs levels in complete and partial response groups. The median time to observe any recurrence was 14 months. LSM increased significantly post-treatment in patients with recurrence versus no recurrence. Higher levels of CSCs were recorded at baseline and post-treatment in patients with recurrence but without statistical significance. We used univariate analysis to predict the time of recurrence by determining baseline CK-19 and platelet levels as the key factors, while the multivariate analysis determined platelet count as a single factor. The univariate analysis for prediction of overall survival included several factors, LSM and EpCAM (baseline and post-ablation) among them, while multivariate analysis included factors such as Child score B and incomplete ablation. CONCLUSION: Dynamic changes were observed in LSM and CSCs levels in response to HCC treatment and tumour recurrence. Child score and complete ablation are factors that significantly affect survival.