Undiagnosed major risk factors in acute ischaemic stroke patients: frequency, profile, stroke mechanisms and outcome.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: There is scarce clinical information about the clinical profile of patients with acute ischaemic stroke with previously undiagnosed major vascular risk factors (UMRFs). METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of data from the Acute Stroke Registry and Analysis of Lausanne registry between 2003 and 2018 with univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses comparing clinical profiles of patients with UMRFs to patients with at least one previously diagnosed MRF (DMRF). RESULTS: In all, 4354 patients (median age 70 years [interquartile range 15.2], 44.7% female) were included after excluding 763 (14.9%) for lack of consent and three for missing information. Amongst 1125 (25.8%) UMRF patients, 69.7% (n = 784) had at least one newly diagnosed MRF and the others none. The newly detected MRFs were dyslipidaemia (61.4%), hypertension (23.7%), atrial fibrillation (10.2%), diabetes mellitus (5.2%), ejection fraction <35% (2.0%) and coronary disease (1.0%). Comparing UMRF patients to DMRF patients, multivariate analysis showed a positive association with lower age, non-Caucasian ethnicity, contraceptive use (<55 years old), smoking (≥55 years old) and patent-foramen-ovale-related stroke mechanism. A negative association was found with pre-stroke antiplatelet use and higher body mass index. Functional outcome did not differ. Cerebrovascular recurrences were similar between groups. CONCLUSIONS: In this large single-centre cohort, 69.7% of patients with acute ischaemic stroke and UMRF were newly diagnosed with at least one new MRF, the most common being dyslipidaemia, hypertension or atrial fibrillation. Patients of the UMRF group were younger, more often smokers and on contraceptives, and had more patent-foramen-ovale-related strokes.

Predicting Penumbra Salvage and Infarct Growth in Acute Ischemic Stroke: A Multifactor Survival Game.

BACKGROUND: Effective treatment of acute ischemic stroke requires reperfusion of salvageable tissue. We investigated the predictors of penumbra salvage (PS) and infarct growth (IG) in a large cohort of stroke patients. METHODS: In the ASTRAL registry from 2003 to 2016, we selected middle cerebral artery strokes <24 h with a high-quality CT angiography and CT perfusion. PS and IG were correlated in multivariate analyses with clinical, biochemical and radiological variables, and with clinical outcomes. RESULTS: Among 4090 patients, 551 were included in the study, 50.8% male, mean age (±SD) 66.3 ± 14.7 years, mean admission NIHSS (±SD 13.3 ± 7.1) and median onset-to-imaging-time (IQR) 170 (102 to 385) minutes. Increased PS was associated with the following: higher BMI and lower WBC; neglect; larger penumbra; absence of early ischemic changes, leukoaraiosis and other territory involvement; and higher clot burden score. Reduced IG was associated with the following: non-smokers; lower glycemia; larger infarct core; absence of early ischemic changes, chronic vascular brain lesions, other territory involvement, extracranial arterial pathology and hyperdense middle cerebral artery sign; and higher clot burden score. When adding subacute variables, recanalization was associated with increased PS and reduced IG, and the absence of haemorrhage with reduced IG. Collateral status was not significantly associated with IG nor with PS. Increased PS and reduced IG correlated with better 3- and 12-month outcomes. CONCLUSION: In our comprehensive analysis, multiple factors were found to be responsible for PS or IG, the strongest being radiological features. These findings may help to better select patients, particularly for more aggressive or late acute stroke treatment.

Rare stroke mechanisms in 4154 consecutive patients: causes, predictors, treatment, and outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Rare mechanisms of stroke (RMS) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) have rarely been studied applying a systematic approach. Our aim was to define the frequency, etiologies, predictors, and outcomes of RMS in a consecutive series of AIS. METHODS: Data from consecutive patients from 2003 to 2016 were derived from the Acute STroke Registry and Analysis of Lausanne (ASTRAL). Frequency of subcategories of RMS was calculated. In a case-control design, RMS were compared to strokes of all other mechanisms. Outcome was assessed with 3-month Rankin-shift and 12-month mortality and recurrence rates. RESULTS: Out of 4154 AISs, 222 (5.3%) were found to have a RMS (42.0% female, median age 66 years). The most frequent RMS etiologies were medical interventions (25.6%), active oncological disease (22.5%), and vasculitis (11.7%). In multivariate analysis, RMS patients were younger, had more preceding and bilateral strokes, and a higher admission temperature. They were associated with less traditional risk factors and more systemic disease (such as AIDS, coagulopathy, and cancer). RMS also had more early ischemic changes on plain CT, less revascularization treatments, and more symptomatic hemorrhagic transformations. They presented significantly higher 3-month disability (Rankin-shift-ORadj 1.74), 12-month recurrence (ORadj 1.99), and mortality rates (ORadj 2.41). CONCLUSIONS: RMS occurred in 5.3% of a large population of consecutive AISs and are most frequently related to medical interventions, cancer, and vasculitis. RMS patients have less traditional risk factors but more systemic comorbidities, hemorrhagic transformations, recurrences, and a worse long-term outcome. Identification of RMS has direct implications for early treatment and long-term outcome.

Stroke in the stroke unit: Recognition, treatment and outcomes in a single-centre cohort.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: In-hospital strokes (IHS) are associated with longer diagnosis times, treatment delays and poorer outcomes. Strokes occurring in the stroke unit have seldom been studied. Our aim was to assess the management of in-stroke-unit ischaemic stroke (ISUS) by analysing ISUS characteristics, delays in diagnosis, treatments and outcomes. METHODS: Consecutive patients from the Acute Stroke Registry and Analysis of Lausanne (ASTRAL), from January 2003 to June 2019, were classified as ISUS, other-IHS or community-onset stroke (COS). Baseline and stroke characteristics, time to imaging and time to treatment, missed treatment opportunities, treatment rates and outcomes were compared using multivariate analysis with adjustment for relevant clinical, imaging and laboratory data available in ASTRAL. RESULTS: Amongst the 3456 patients analysed, 138 (4.0%) were ISUS, 214 (6.2%) other-IHS and 3104 (89.8%) COS. In multivariate analysis, patients with ISUS more frequently had known stroke onset time than other-IHS (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.44; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.39-4.35) or COS (aOR 2.56; 95% CI 1.59-4.17), had fewer missed treatment opportunities than other-IHS (aOR 0.22; 95% CI 0.06-0.86) and higher endovascular treatment (EVT) rates than COS (aOR 3.03; 95% CI 1.54-5.88). ISUS was associated with a favourable shift in the modified Rankin Scale at 3 months in comparison with other-IHS (aOR 1.73; 95% CI 1.11-2.69) or COS (aOR 1.46; 95% CI 1.00-2.12). CONCLUSION: In-stroke-unit ischaemic stroke more frequently had known stroke onset time than other-IHS or COS, fewer missed treatment opportunities than other-IHS and a higher EVT rate than COS. This readiness to identify and treat patients in the stroke unit may explain the better long-term outcome of ISUS.

EndoVAscular treatment and ThRombolysis for Ischemic Stroke Patients (EVA-TRISP) registry: basis and methodology of a pan-European prospective ischaemic stroke revascularisation treatment registry.

PURPOSE: The Thrombolysis in Ischemic Stroke Patients (TRISP) collaboration was a concerted effort initiated in 2010 with the purpose to address relevant research questions about the effectiveness and safety of intravenous thrombolysis (IVT). The collaboration also aims to prospectively collect data on patients undergoing endovascular treatment (EVT) and hence the name of the collaboration was changed from TRISP to EVA-TRISP. The methodology of the former TRISP registry for patients treated with IVT has already been published. This paper focuses on describing the EVT part of the registry. PARTICIPANTS: All centres committed to collecting predefined variables on consecutive patients prospectively. We aim for accuracy and completeness of the data and to adapt local databases to investigate novel research questions. Herein, we introduce the methodology of a recently constructed academic investigator-initiated open collaboration EVT registry built as an extension of an existing IVT registry in patients with acute ischaemic stroke (AIS). FINDINGS TO DATE: Currently, the EVA-TRISP network includes 20 stroke centres with considerable expertise in EVT and maintenance of high-quality hospital-based registries. Following several successful randomised controlled trials (RCTs), many important clinical questions remain unanswered in the (EVT) field and some of them will unlikely be investigated in future RCTs. Prospective registries with high-quality data on EVT-treated patients may help answering some of these unanswered issues, especially on safety and efficacy of EVT in specific patient subgroups. FUTURE PLANS: This collaborative effort aims at addressing clinically important questions on safety and efficacy of EVT in conditions not covered by RCTs. The TRISP registry generated substantial novel data supporting stroke physicians in their daily decision making considering IVT candidate patients. While providing observational data on EVT in daily clinical practice, our future findings may likewise be hypothesis generating for future research as well as for quality improvement (on EVT). The collaboration welcomes participation of further centres willing to fulfill the commitment and the outlined requirements.

Preconditioning by Preceding Ischemic Cerebrovascular Events.

Background Emerging yet contrasting evidence from animal and human studies associates ischemic preconditioning with improvement of subsequent stroke severity, although long-term outcome remains unclear. The purpose of this study was to analyze how preceding cerebral ischemic events influence subsequent stroke severity and outcome. Methods and Results Data for this retrospective cohort study were extracted from ASTRAL (Acute Stroke Registry and Analysis of Lausanne). This registry includes a sample of all consecutive patients with acute ischemic strokes admitted to the stroke unit and/or intensive care unit of the Lausanne University Hospital, Switzerland. We investigated associations between preceding ischemic events (transient ischemic attacks or ischemic strokes) and the impact on subsequent stroke severity and clinical improvement within 24 hours, measured through National Institute of Health Stroke Scale, as well as 3-month outcome, determined through a shift in the modified Rankin Scale. Of 3530 consecutive patients with ischemic stroke (43% women, median age 73 years), 1001 (28%) had ≥1 preceding cerebral ischemic events (45% transient ischemic attack, 55% ischemic stroke; 31% multiple events). After adjusting for multiple prehospital, clinical, and laboratory confounders, admission stroke severity was significantly lower in patients preconditioned through a preceding ischemic event, but 24-hour improvement was not significant and 3-month outcome was unfavorable. Conclusions Preceding ischemic events were independently associated with a significant reduction in subsequent stroke severity but worsened long-term clinical outcome. These results, if confirmed by future randomized studies, may help design neuroprotective strategies. The unfavorable effect on stroke outcome is probably a consequence of the cumulative disability burden after multiple ischemic events.

Automatic segmentation, feature extraction and comparison of healthy and stroke cerebral vasculature.

Accurate segmentation of cerebral vasculature and a quantitative assessment of its morphology is critical to various diagnostic and therapeutic purposes and is pertinent to studying brain health and disease. However, this is still a challenging task due to the complexity of the vascular imaging data. We propose an automated method for cerebral vascular segmentation without the need of any manual intervention as well as a method to skeletonize the binary segmented map to extract vascular geometric features and characterize vessel structure. We combine a Hessian-based probabilistic vessel-enhancing filtering with an active-contour-based technique to segment magnetic resonance and computed tomography angiograms (MRA and CTA) and subsequently extract the vessel centerlines and diameters to calculate the geometrical properties of the vasculature. Our method was validated using a 3D phantom of the Circle-of-Willis region, demonstrating 84% mean Dice similarity coefficient (DSC) and 85% mean Pearson's correlation coefficient (PCC) with minimal modified Hausdorff distance (MHD) error (3 surface pixels at most), and showed superior performance compared to existing segmentation algorithms upon quantitative comparison using DSC, PCC and MHD. We subsequently applied our algorithm to a dataset of 40 subjects, including 1) MRA scans of healthy subjects (n = 10, age = 30 ± 9), 2) MRA scans of stroke patients (n = 10, age = 51 ± 15), 3) CTA scans of healthy subjects (n = 10, age = 62 ± 12), and 4) CTA scans of stroke patients (n = 10, age = 68 ± 11), and obtained a quantitative comparison between the stroke and normal vasculature for both imaging modalities. The vascular network in stroke patients compared to age-adjusted healthy subjects was found to have a significantly (p < 0.05) higher tortuosity (3.24 ± 0.88 rad/cm vs. 7.17 ± 1.61 rad/cm for MRA, and 4.36 ± 1.32 rad/cm vs. 7.80 ± 0.92 rad/cm for CTA), higher fractal dimension (1.36 ± 0.28 vs. 1.71 ± 0.14 for MRA, and 1.56 ± 0.05 vs. 1.69 ± 0.20 for CTA), lower total length (3.46 ± 0.99 m vs. 2.20 ± 0.67 m for CTA), lower total volume (61.80 ± 18.79 ml vs. 34.43 ± 22.9 ml for CTA), lower average diameter (2.4 ± 0.21 mm vs. 2.18 ± 0.07 mm for CTA), and lower average branch length (4.81 ± 1.97 mm vs. 8.68 ± 2.03 mm for MRA), respectively. We additionally studied the change in vascular features with respect to aging and imaging modality. While we observed differences between features as a result of aging, statistical analysis did not show any significant differences, whereas we found that the number of branches were significantly different (p < 0.05) between the two imaging modalities (201 ± 73 for MRA vs. 189 ± 69 for CTA). Our segmentation and feature extraction algorithm can be applied on any imaging modality and can be used in the future to automatically obtain the 3D segmented vasculature for diagnosis and treatment planning as well as to study morphological changes due to stroke and other cerebrovascular diseases (CVD) in the clinic.

Procedural Complications During Early Versus Late Endovascular Treatment in Acute Stroke: Frequency and Clinical Impact.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Endovascular treatment (EVT) in acute ischemic stroke is effective in the late time window in selected patients. However, the frequency and clinical impact of procedural complications in the early versus late time window has received little attention. METHODS: We retrospectively studied all acute ischemic strokes from 2015 to 2019 receiving EVT in the Acute Stroke Registry and Analysis of Lausanne. We compared the procedural EVT complications in the early (<6 hours) versus late (6-24 hours) window and correlated them with short-term clinical outcome. RESULTS: Among 695 acute ischemic strokes receiving EVT (of which 202 were in the late window), 113 (16.3%) had at least one procedural complication. The frequency of each single, and for overall procedural complications was similar for early versus late EVT (16.2% versus 16.3%, Padj=0.90). Procedural complications lead to a significantly less favorable short-term outcome, reflected by the absence of National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale improvement in late EVT (delta-National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale-24 hours, -2.5 versus 2, Padj=0.01). CONCLUSIONS: In this retrospective analysis of consecutive EVT, the frequency of procedural complications was similar for early and late EVT patients but very short-term outcome seemed less favorable in late EVT patients with complications.

Association of Time of Day When Endovascular Therapy for Stroke Starts and Functional Outcome.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between EVT start time in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and mid-term functional outcome. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included all AIS cases treated with EVT from two stroke center registries from January 2012 to December 2018. The primary outcome was the score on the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) and the utility-weighted mRS (uw-mRS) at 90 days. A proportional odds model was used to calculate the common odds ratio as a measure of the likelihood that the intervention at a given EVT start time would lead to lower scores on the mRS (shift analysis). RESULTS: One thousand five hundred fifty-eight cases were equally allotted into twelve EVT-start-time periods. The primary outcome favored EVT start times in the morning at 08:00-10:20 and 10:20-11:34 (common odds ratio (OR), 0.53; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.38 to 0.75; P<0.001; OR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.44 to 0.87; P=0.006, respectively), while it disfavored EVT start times at the end of the working day at 15:55-17:15 and 18:55-20:55 (OR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.03 to 2.09; P=0.034; OR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.03 to 2.15; P=0.033). Symptom onset-to-EVT start time was significantly higher and use of IV t-PA significantly lower between 10:20-11:34 (P<0.004 and P=0.012, respectively). CONSLUSION: EVT for AIS in the morning leads to better mid-term functional outcome, while EVT at the end of the work day leads to poorer mid-term functional outcome. Neither difference in baseline factors, standard workflow and technical efficacy metrics could be identified as potential mediators of this effect.

Identification of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source and low risk of new incident atrial fibrillation: The AF-ESUS score.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Only a minority of patients with Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (ESUS) receive prolonged cardiac monitoring despite current recommendations. The identification of ESUS patients who have low probability of new diagnosis of atrial fibrillation (AF) could potentially support a strategy of more individualized allocation of available resources and hence, increase their diagnostic yield. We aimed to develop a tool that can identify ESUS patients who have low probability of new incident AF. METHODS: We performed multivariate stepwise regression in a pooled dataset of consecutive ESUS patients from three prospective stroke registries to identify predictors of new incident AF. The coefficient of each independent covariate of the fitted multivariable model was used to generate an integer-based point scoring system. RESULTS: Among 839 patients (43.1% women, median age 67.0 years) followed-up for a median of 24.3 months (2999 patient-years), 125 (14.9%) had new incident AF. The proposed score assigns 3 points for age ≥ 60 years; 2 points for hypertension; -1 point for left ventricular hypertrophy reported at echocardiography; 2 points for left atrial diameter >40 mm; -3 points for left ventricular ejection fraction <35%; 1 point for the presence of any supraventricular extrasystole recorded during all available 12-lead standard electrocardiograms performed during hospitalization for the ESUS; -2 points for subcortical infarct; -3 points for the presence of non-stenotic carotid plaques. The rate of new incident AF during follow-up was 1.97% among the 42.3% of the cohort who had a score of ≤0, compared to 26.9% in patients with > 0 (relative risk: 13.7, 95%CI: 5.9--31.5). The area under the curve of the score was 84.8% (95%CI: 79.9--86.9%). The sensitivity and negative predictive value of a score of ≤0 for new incident AF during follow-up were 94.9% (95%CI: 89.3--98.1%) and 98.0% (95%CI: 95.8--99.3%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed AF-ESUS score has high sensitivity and high negative predictive value to identify ESUS patients who have low probability of new incident AF. Patients with a score of 1 or more may be better candidates for prolonged automated cardiac monitoring. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/ Unique identifier: NCT02766205.

Acute ischaemic stroke in the absence of established vascular risk factors: Patient characteristics, stroke mechanism and long-term outcome.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Some acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) patients do not display established vascular risk factors (EVRFs). The aim was to assess their clinical characteristics, stroke subtype etiological classification and long-term outcome. METHODS: All consecutive AIS patients from the Acute Stroke Registry of Lausanne (2003-2018) were retrospectively analyzed with complete assessment of the following EVRFs: hypertension, diabetes, major cardioembolic sources, dyslipidemia, smoking, obesity, alcohol abuse, previous stroke/transient ischaemic attack and depression/psychosis. Patients without EVRFs were compared to patients with one or more EVRFs using appropriate statistical models. RESULTS: Of 4889 included patients, 103 (2.1%) had no EVRFs. In multiple regression analysis, patients without EVRFs were significantly younger (odds ratio [OR] 0.13; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.08-0.20) and had more multiterritorial strokes (OR 3.38; 95% CI 1.26-9.05). Strokes were more often related to patent foramen ovale (PFO) (OR 3.02; 95% CI 1.44-6.32) and less to atherosclerosis, cardioembolism or small vessel disease. In patients <55 years old, PFO (OR 2.76; 95% CI 1.50-5.08) and contraceptive use in females (OR 2.75; 95% CI 1.40-5.41) were more frequent, whereas sleep apnea syndrome (OR 0.09; 95% CI 0.01-0.63) was less. In patients ≥55 years, female sex (OR 2.84; 95% CI 1.43-5.65) and active cancer (OR 3.27; 95% CI 1.34-7.94) were more prevalent. At 12 months, patients without EVRFs had worse adjusted functional outcome (Rankin shift ORadj 0.63; 95% CI 0.42-0.95) and higher rate of recurrence and death (adjusted hazard ratio 2.11; 95% CI 1.19-3.74). CONCLUSIONS: In a consecutive cohort of AIS patients, only 2% showed no EVRFs. PFO and contraceptive use exhibited a strong association with the absence of EVRFs in younger patients and female sex and active cancer in elderly patients. Our findings highlight the importance of searching for previously unknown risk factors and/or unusual stroke mechanisms in patients without EVRFs.

Association of prestroke metformin use, stroke severity, and thrombolysis outcome.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether pretreatment with metformin (MET) is associated with less stroke severity and better outcome after IV thrombolysis (IVT), we analyzed a cohort of 1,919 patients with stroke with type 2 diabetes mellitus in a multicenter exploratory analysis. METHODS: Data from patients with diabetes and ischemic stroke treated with IVT were collected within the European Thrombolysis in Ischemic Stroke Patients (TRISP) collaboration. We applied propensity score matching (PSM) to obtain balanced baseline characteristics of patients treated with and without MET. RESULTS: Of 1,919 patients with stroke with type 2 diabetes who underwent IVT, 757 (39%) had received MET before stroke (MET+), whereas 1,162 (61%) had not (MET-). MET+ patients were younger with a male preponderance. Hypercholesterolemia and pretreatment with statins, antiplatelets, or antihypertensives were more common in the MET+ group. After PSM, the 2 groups were well balanced with respect to demographic and clinical aspects. Stroke severity on admission (NIH Stroke Scale 10.0 ± 6.7 vs 11.3 ± 6.5), 3-month degree of independence on modified Rankin Scale (2 [interquartile range (IQR) 1.0-4.0] vs 3 [IQR 1.0-4.0]), as well as mortality (12.5% vs 18%) were significantly lower in the MET+ group. The frequency of symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhages did not differ between groups. HbA1c levels were well-balanced between the groups. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with stroke and diabetes on treatment with MET receiving IVT had less severe strokes on admission and a better functional outcome at 3 months. This suggests a protective effect of MET resulting in less severe strokes as well as beneficial thrombolysis outcome.

Effect of haemoglobin levels on outcome in intravenous thrombolysis-treated stroke patients.

INTRODUCTION: Alterations in haemoglobin levels are frequent in stroke patients. The prognostic meaning of anaemia and polyglobulia on outcomes in patients treated with intravenous thrombolysis is ambiguous. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In this prospective multicentre, intravenous thrombolysis register-based study, we compared haemoglobin levels on hospital admission with three-month poor outcome (modified Rankin Scale 3-6), mortality and symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage (European Cooperative Acute Stroke Study II-criteria (ECASS-II-criteria)). Haemoglobin level was used as continuous and categorical variable distinguishing anaemia (female: <12 g/dl; male: <13 g/dl) and polyglobulia (female: >15.5 g/dl; male: >17 g/dl). Anaemia was subdivided into mild and moderate/severe (female/male: <11 g/dl). Normal haemoglobin level (female: 12.0-15.5 g/dl, male: 13.0-17.0 g/dl) served as reference group. Unadjusted and adjusted odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals were calculated with logistic regression models. RESULTS: Among 6866 intravenous thrombolysis-treated stroke patients, 5448 (79.3%) had normal haemoglobin level, 1232 (17.9%) anaemia - of those 903 (13.2%) had mild and 329 (4.8%) moderate/severe anaemia - and 186 (2.7%) polyglobulia. Anaemia was associated with poor outcome (ORadjusted 1.25 (1.05-1.48)) and mortality (ORadjusted 1.58 (1.27-1.95)). In anaemia subgroups, both mild and moderate/severe anaemia independently predicted poor outcome (ORadjusted 1.29 (1.07-1.55) and 1.48 (1.09-2.02)) and mortality (ORadjusted 1.45 (1.15-1.84) and ORadjusted 2.00 (1.46-2.75)). Each haemoglobin level decrease by 1 g/dl independently increased the risk of poor outcome (ORadjusted 1.07 (1.02-1.11)) and mortality (ORadjusted 1.08 (1.02-1.15)). Anaemia was not associated with occurrence of symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage. Polyglobulia did not change any outcome. DISCUSSION: The more severe the anaemia, the higher the probability of poor outcome and death. Severe anaemia might be a target for interventions in hyperacute stroke. CONCLUSION: Anaemia on admission, but not polyglobulia, is a strong and independent predictor of poor outcome and mortality in intravenous thrombolysis-treated stroke patients.

Characteristics and outcomes of Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source according to stroke severity.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS) usually present with mild symptoms. We aimed to compare the baseline characteristics between mild and severe ESUS, identify predictors for severe ESUS, and assess outcomes of patients with severe ESUS. METHODS: In the AF-ESUS (AF-ESUS) dataset, we stratified ESUS severity using the median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score on admission as cut-off. We performed multivariable stepwise regression analyses to identify independent predictors of severe ESUS and to assess the association between ESUS severity and stroke recurrence, death, and new incident atrial fibrillation (AF) on follow-up. The 10-year cumulative probabilities of outcome incidence were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier product limit method. RESULTS: In 772 patients (median NIHSS: 6 (interquartile range: 3-12)), 414 (53.6%) patients had severe ESUS (i.e. NIHSS ≥6). Female sex was the only independent predictor for severe ESUS (odds ratio: 1.72 (1.27-2.33)). The rates of recurrence (3.3%/year vs. 3.4%/year, adjusted-hazard ratio: 1.09 (0.73-1.62)) and new incident AF (13.5% vs. 17.0%, adjusted odds ratio: 0.67 (0.44-1.03)) were similar between severe and mild ESUS, but mortality was higher (5.4%/year vs. 3.7%/year, adjusted-hazard ratio: 1.51 (1.05-2.16)) in severe ESUS. The 10-year cumulative probability for stroke recurrence was similar between severe and mild ESUS (38.1% (29.2-48.6) vs. 36.6% (27.8-47.0), log-rank test: 0.01, p = 0.920). The 10-year cumulative probability of death was higher in patients with severe ESUS compared with mild ESUS (40.5% (32.5-50.0) vs. 34.0% (26.0-43.6) respectively; log-rank test: 4.54, p = 0.033). CONCLUSIONS: Women have more severe ESUS compared with men. Patients with severe ESUS have similar rates of stroke recurrence and new incident AF, but higher mortality compared with mild ESUS.

Neuro-Clinical Signatures of Language Impairments after Acute Stroke: A VBQ Analysis of Quantitative Native CT Scans.

OBJECTIVES: Ischemic stroke affects language production and/or comprehension and leads to devastating long-term consequences for patients and their families. Previous studies have shown that neuroimaging can increase our knowledge of the basic mechanisms of language recovery. Currently, models for predicting patients' outcomes have limited use in the clinic for the evaluation and optimization of rehabilitative strategies mostly because that are often based on high-resolution magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data, which are not always possible to carry out in the clinical routine. Here, we investigate the use of Voxel-Based Morphometry (VBM), multivariate modelling and native Computed Tomography (nCT) scans routinely acquired in the acute stage of stroke for identifying biological signatures that explicate the relationships between brain anatomy and types of impairments. METHODS: 80 stroke patients and 30 controls were included. nCT-scans were acquired in the acute ischemia stage and bedside clinical assessment from board-certified neurologist based on the NIH stroke scale. We use a multivariate Principal Component Analyses (PCA) to identify the brain signatures group the patients according to the presence or absence of impairment and identify the association between local Grey Matter (GM) and White Matter (WM) nCT values with the presence or absence of the impairment. RESULTS: Individual patient's nCT scans were compared to a group of controls' with no radiological signs of stroke to provide an automated delineation of the lesion. Consistently across the whole group the regions that presented significant difference GM and WM values overlap with known areas that support language processing. CONCLUSION: In summary, the method applied to nCT scans performed in the acute stage of stroke provided robust and accurate information about brain lesions' location and size, as well as quantitative values. We found that nCT and VBQ analyses are effective for identifying neural signatures of concomitant language impairments at the individual level, and neuroanatomical maps of aphasia at the population level. The signatures explicate the neurophysiological mechanisms underlying aetiology of the stroke. Ultimately, similar analyses with larger cohorts could lead to a more integrated multimodal model of behaviour and brain anatomy in the early stage of ischemic stroke.

Thrombolysis in Stroke With Unknown Onset Based on Non-Contrast Computerized Tomography (TRUST CT).

Background Intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) in wake-up stroke (WUS) or stroke with unknown onset (SUO) has been recently proven to be safe and effective using advanced neuroimaging (magnetic resonance imaging or computerized tomography-perfusion) for patient selection. However, in most of the thrombolyzing centers advanced neuroimaging is not instantly available. We hypothesize that pragmatic non-contrast computed tomography-based IVT in WUS/SUO may be feasible and safe. Methods and Results TRUST-CT (Thrombolysis in Stroke With Unknown Onset Based on Non-Contrast Computerized Tomography) is an international multicenter registry-based study. WUS/SUO patients undergoing non-contrast computed tomography-based IVT with National Institute of Health Stroke Scale ≥4 and initial Alberta Stroke Program Early Computerized Tomography score ≥7 were included and compared with propensity score matched non-thrombolyzed WUS/SUO controls. Primary end point was the incidence of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage; secondary end points included 24-hour National Institute of Health Stroke Scale improvement of ≥4 and modified Rankin Scale at 90 days. One hundred and seventeen WUS/SUO patients treated with non-contrast computed tomography-based IVT were included. As compared with 112 controls, the median admission National Institute of Health Stroke Scale was 10 and the median Alberta Stroke Program Early Computerized Tomography score was 10 in both groups. Four (3.4%) IVT patients and one control patient (0.9%) suffered symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (adjusted odds ratio 7.9, 95% CI 0.65-96, P=0.1). A decrease of ≥4 National Institute of Health Stroke Scale points was observed in 67 (57.3%) of IVT patients as compared with 25 (22.3%) in controls (adjusted odds ratio 5.8, CI 3.0-11.2, P<0.001). A months, 39 (33.3%) IVT patients reached a modified Rankin Scale score of 0 or 1 versus 23 (20.5%) controls (adjusted odds ratio 1.94, CI 1.0-3.76, P=0.05). Conclusions Non-contrast computed tomography-based thrombolysis in WUS/SUO seems feasible and safe and may be effective. Randomized prospective comparisons are warranted. Clinical Trial Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/. Unique identifier: NCT03634748.

Left atrial diameter thresholds and new incident atrial fibrillation in embolic stroke of undetermined source.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: We analyzed consecutive patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) from three prospective stroke registries to compare the prognostic performance of different LAD thresholds for the prediction of new incident AF. METHODS: We calculated the sensitivity, specificity, positive prognostic value (PPV), negative prognostic value (NPV) and Youden's J-statistic of different LAD thresholds to predict new incident AF. We performed multivariate stepwise regression with forward selection of covariates to assess the association between the LAD threshold with the highest Youden's J-statistic and AF detection. RESULTS: Among 675 patients followed for 2437 patient-years, the mean LAD was 38.5 ± 6.8 mm. New incident AF was diagnosed in 115 (17.0%) patients. The LAD threshold of 40mm yielded the highest Youden's J-statistic of 0.35 with sensitivity 0.69, specificity 0.66, PPV 0.27 and NPV 0.92. The likelihood of new incident AF was nearly twice in patients with LAD > 40 mm compared to LAD ≤ 40 mm (HR:1.92, 95%CI:1.24-2.97, p = 0.004). The 10-year cumulative probability of new incident AF was higher in patients with LAD>40 mm compared to LAD ≤ 40 mm (53.5% and 22.4% respectively, log-rank-test: 28.2, p < 0.001). The annualized rate of stroke recurrence of 4.0% in the overall population did not differ significantly in patient above vs. below this LAD threshold (HR:0.96, 95%CI:0.62-1.48, p = 0.85). CONCLUSIONS: The LAD threshold of 40 mm has the best prognostic performance among other LAD values to predict new incident AF after ESUS. The diagnostic yield of prolonged cardiac rhythm monitoring in patients with LAD ≤ 40 mm seems low; therefore, such patients may have lower priority for prolonged cardiac monitoring.

Supraventricular Extrasystoles on Standard 12-lead Electrocardiogram Predict New Incident Atrial Fibrillation after Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source: The AF-ESUS Study.

BACKGROUND: The diagnosis of covert atrial fibrillation (AF) remains a major challenge to guide secondary prevention of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). AIMS: We analyzed consecutive ESUS patients from 3 prospective stroke registries to assess whether the presence of supraventricular extrasystoles (SVE) on standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is associated with the detection of AF (primary outcome), stroke recurrence and death (secondary outcomes) during follow-up. METHODS: We measured the number of SVEs in all available ECGs of patients hospitalized for ESUS. Multivariate stepwise regression with forward selection of covariates assessed the association between SVE (classified in 4 groups according to their number per 10 seconds of ECG: no SVE, >0-1SVEs, >1-2SVEs, and >2SVEs) and outcomes during follow-up. The Kaplan-Meier product limit method estimated the 10-year cumulative probabilities of outcomes in each SVE group. We calculated the negative prognostic value (NPV) of the presence of any SVE to predict new AF, defined as the probability that AF will not be detected during follow-up if there is no SVE. RESULTS: Among 853 ESUS patients followed for 2857 patient-years (median age: 67 years, 43.0% women), 226 (26.5%) patients had at least 1 SVE at the standard 12-lead ECGs performed during hospitalization. AF was detected in 125 (14.7%) of patients in the overall population during follow-up: 8.9%, 22.5%, 28.1%, and 48.3% in patients with no SVE, greater than 0-1SVE, greater than 1-2SVE and greater than 2SVE respectively. In multivariate regression analysis, compared to patients with no SVEs, the corresponding hazard-ratios were 1.80 [95% confidence intervals (95%CI):1.06-3.05], 2.26 (95%CI:1.28-4.01) and 3.19 (95%CI:1.93-5.27). The NPV of the presence of any SVE for the prediction of new AF was 91.4%. There was no statistically significant association of SVE with the risk of ischemic stroke recurrence and death. CONCLUSIONS: In ESUS patients without SVEs during hospitalization, the probability that AF will not be detected during a follow-up of 3.4 years is more than 91%.

External Performance of the HAVOC Score for the Prediction of New Incident Atrial Fibrillation.

Background and Purpose- The HAVOC score (hypertension, age, valvular heart disease, peripheral vascular disease, obesity, congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease) was proposed for the prediction of atrial fibrillation (AF) after cryptogenic stroke. It showed good model discrimination (area under the curve, 0.77). Only 2.5% of patients with a low-risk HAVOC score (ie, 0-4) were diagnosed with new incident AF. We aimed to assess its performance in an external cohort of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source. Methods- In the AF-embolic stroke of undetermined source dataset, we assessed the discriminatory power, calibration, specificity, negative predictive value, and accuracy of the HAVOC score to predict new incident AF. Patients with a HAVOC score of 0 to 4 were considered as low-risk, as proposed in its original publication. Results- In 658 embolic stroke of undetermined source patients (median age, 67 years; 44% women), the median HAVOC score was 2 (interquartile range, 3). There were 540 (82%) patients with a HAVOC score of 0 to 4 and 118 (18%) with a score of ≥5. New incident AF was diagnosed in 95 (14.4%) patients (28.8% among patients with HAVOC score ≥5 and 11.3% among patients with HAVOC score 0-4 [age- and sex-adjusted odds ratio, 2.29 (95% CI, 1.37-3.82)]). The specificity of low-risk HAVOC score to identify patients without new incident AF was 88.7%. The negative predictive value of low-risk HAVOC score was 85.1%. The accuracy was 78.0%, and the area under the curve was 68.7% (95% CI, 62.1%-73.3%). Conclusions- The previously reported low rate of AF among embolic stroke of undetermined source patients with low-risk HAVOC score was not confirmed in our cohort. Further assessment of the HAVOC score is warranted before it is routinely implemented in clinical practice.

Eligibility for late endovascular treatment using DAWN, DEFUSE-3, and more liberal selection criteria in a stroke center.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The real-life application of DAWN and DEFUSE-3 trials has been poorly investigated. We aimed to identify the proportion of patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) eligible for late endovascular treatment (EVT) in our stroke center based on trial and more liberal selection criteria. METHODS: All consecutive patients in our stroke registry (2003-2017) admitted within 5-23 hours of last proof of good health were selected if they had complete clinical and radiological datasets. We calculated the proportion of patients eligible for late EVT according to trial (DAWN and/or DEFUSE-3) and more liberal clinical/imaging mismatch criteria (including lower admission National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score and Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score for core estimation). RESULTS: Of 1705 patients with AIS admitted to our comprehensive stroke center in the late time window, we identified 925 patients with complete clinical and radiological data. Among them, the proportions of late EVT eligibility were 2.5% (n=23) with DAWN, 5.1% (n=47) with DEFUSE-3, and 11.1% (n=103) with more liberal criteria. Considering late-arriving patients with large vessel occlusion (n=221), the percentages of eligible patients were 10.4%, 21.3%, and 46.6%, respectively. A favorable outcome was observed at comparable rates in treated patients selected by trial or liberal criteria (67% vs 58%, p=0.49). CONCLUSIONS: In a long-term stroke registry, the proportion of late EVT eligibility varied greatly according to selection criteria and referral pattern. Among late-arriving patients referred to our comprehensive stroke center, we found 5.6% eligible according to trial (DAWN/DEFUSE-3) and 11.1% according to liberal criteria. These data indicate that late EVT could be offered to a larger population of patients if more liberal criteria are applied.