High-resolution reconstruction of April-September precipitation and major extreme droughts in China over the past ∼530 years.

Extreme drought events have increased, causing serious losses and damage to the social economy under current warming conditions. However, short-term meteorological data limit our understanding and projection of these extremes. With the accumulation of proxy data, especially tree-ring data, large-scale precipitation field reconstruction has provided opportunities to explore underlying mechanisms further. Using point-by-point regression, we reconstructed the April-September precipitation field in China for the past ∼530 years on the basis of 590 proxy records, including 470 tree-ring width chronologies and 120 drought/flood indices. Our regression models explained average 50% of the variance in precipitation. In the statistical test on calibration and verification, our models passed the significance level that assured reconstruction quality. The reconstruction data performed well, showing consistency and better quality than previously reported reconstructions. The first three leading modes of variability in the reconstruction revealed the main distribution modes of precipitation over China. Wet/drought and extremely wet/drought years accounted for 12.81%/10.92% (68 years/58 years) and 1.69%/3.20% (9 years/17 years) of the past ∼530 years in China, respectively. Major extreme drought events can be identified explicitly in our reconstruction. The detailed features of the Chongzhen Great Drought (1637-1643), the Wanli Great Drought (1585-1590), and the Ding-Wu Great Famine (1874-1879), indicated the existence of potentially different underlying mechanisms that need further exploration. Although further improvements can be made for remote uninhabited areas and large deserts, our gridded reconstruction of April-September precipitation in China over the past ∼530 years can provide a solid database for studies on the attribution of climate change and the mechanism of extreme drought events.

Coincidence Analysis of the Cropland Distribution of Multi-Sets of Global Land Cover Products.

Modern global cropland products have been widely used to assess the impact of land use and cover change (LUCC) on carbon budgets, climate change, terrestrial ecosystems, etc. However, each product has its own uncertainty, and inconsistencies exist among different products. Understanding the reliability of these datasets is essential for knowing the uncertainties that exist in the study of global change impact forced by cropland reclamation. In this paper, we propose a set of coincidence assessments to identify where reliable cropland distribution is by overlaying ten widely used global land cover/cropland datasets around 2000 AD. A quantitative assessment for different spatial units is also performed. We further discuss the spatial distribution characteristics of different coincidence degrees and explain the reasons. The results show that the high-coincidence proportion is only 40.5% around the world, and the moderate-coincidence and low-coincidence proportion is 18.4% and 41.1%, respectively. The coincidence degrees among different continents and countries have large discrepancies. The coincidence is relatively higher in Europe, South Asia and North America, while it is very poor in Latin America and Africa. The spatial distribution of high and moderate coincidence roughly corresponds to the regions with suitable agricultural conditions and intensive reclamation. In addition to the random factors such as the product's quality and the year it represented, the low coincidence is mainly caused by the inconsistent land cover classification systems and the recognition capability of cropland pixels with low fractions in different products.

Extreme phenophase delays and their relationship with natural forcings in Beijing over the past 260 years.

By merging reconstructed phenological series from published articles and observations of China Phenology Observation Network (CPON), the first blooming date of Amygdalus davidiana (FBA) in Beijing between 1741 and 2000 is reconstructed. The Butterworth method is used to remove the multi-year variations for generating the phenological series of annual variations in the first blooming date of A. davidiana. The extreme delay years in the phenological series are identified using the percentage threshold method. The characteristics of the extreme delays and the correspondence of these events with natural forcings are analysed. The main results are as follows. In annual phenological series, the extreme delays appeared in single year as main feature, only A.D.1800-1801, 1816-1817 and 1983-1984 were the events of two consecutively extreme years. Approximately 85% of the extreme delays occurred during 1-2 years after the large volcanic eruptions (VEI ≥ 4) in the eastern rim or the western rim of the Pacific Ocean, as the same proportion of the extreme delays followed El Niño events. About 73% years of the extreme delays fall in the valleys of sunspot cycles or the Dalton minimum period in the year or the previous year. According to the certainty factor (CF), the large eruptions have the greatest influence to the extreme delays; sunspot activity is the second, and ENSO is the last one. The extreme phenological delayed year is most likely to occur after a large eruption, which particularly occurs during El Niño year and its previous several years were in the descending portion or valley of sunspot phase.

Single-step synthesis of carbon encapsulated magnetic nanoparticles in arc plasma and potential biomedical applications.

A novel highly controllable process of Carbon Encapsulated Magnetic Nanoparticles (CEMNs) synthesis in arc discharge plasma has been developed. In this work, both the size distribution and the purity of the CEMNs have been made more controllable by adding an external magnetic field. It is shown that with the increase of the external magnetic field, the CEMNs get a better separation from the carbon impurities and the size distribution become narrower. This conclusion is valid for Fe, Ni and Fe+Ni CEMNs synthesis. In order to assess biomedical potential of these CEMNs, the cytotoxicity has also been measured for the human breast adenocarcinoma cell line MDA-MB-231. It was concluded that the CEMNs with the concentration in cell of about 0.0001-0.01ug/ml are not toxic.

Response and recovery measures for two floods in north China during the nineteenth century: a comparative study.

BACKGROUND: The process of human response to natural disasters and its mechanisms as revealed by historical events still has a broad significance for modern society. This study analyzed the disaster relief process and the social response for two floods in China: the Yongding River flood in 1801 and the Yellow River flood in 1841. These two floods reflect the different response processes between the national and provincial capitals during a stage of climate cooling and social transition in the Qing dynasty. RESULTS: Applying methods of historical documents analysis and qualitatively comparative analysis to the materials such as Relief Chronicles Authorized by the Emperor in XinYou and Flood Description in Bian Liang, it shows that: (1) In 1801, the central government took on a lead position, from flood surveying to relief processes. However, local government and gentries played an important role in 1841. (2) In 1801, the government successfully undertook a series of relief measures addressing production, housing, food prices, taxes, and water conservancy and administration. In 1841, the response measures were relatively simple, focusing mainly on providing shelter and food for victims. (3) The government carried out long-term disaster prevention measures such as dredging channels after the flood in 1801. In 1841, however, the efforts were focused mainly on emergency rescue. (4) Refugees in the 1801 flood were effectively managed by a centralized authority. In 1841, regulation of the flooding was delayed by corruption and conflicts between officers, leading to an expansion of the disaster's impact. CONCLUSIONS: Above results have led to the conclusion that disaster relief systems and response measures had a significant effect on the consequences of those floods. Various flood relief measures and natural disasters management regimes have implications for contemporary flood hazard mitigation.

Reconstruction of cropland cover changes in the Shandong Province over the past 300 years.

To advance global change research, it is essential to reconstruct changes in historical cropland coverage on a regional scale in China. This paper presents data collected from 244 local gazetteers, government statistical records and remote-sensing land cover data from the Shandong Province. The study reconstructed the spatial distribution of the rate of reclaimed land at the county level and compared this map with a map of the current spatial distribution of suitable cropland. The following conclusions were drawn: (i) The rate of cultivated land grew exponentially. The extent of reconstruction in cropland areas during the 17(th) century, 18(th)~19(th) centuries, the beginning of the 20(th) century, the 1980 s, and the beginning of the 20(th) century are 4.51 mha, 6.51 mha, 7.52 mha, 8.53 mha and 11.80-12.00 mha, respectively. (ii) Several agricultural centers formed during the late 17(th) century. Until the beginning of the 20(th) century, the reclamation rate increased rapidly near the four southern lakes, which are located in the Zaozhuang and Linyi regions. (iii) Most reclamation activities before the 19(th) century occurred in suitable agricultural areas, and the cultivated land was already reclaimed by the beginning of the 20(th) century.

[Responses of Pinus koraiensis tree ring cell scale parameters to climate elements in Changbai Mountains].

Based on the tree ring samples of Pinus koraiensis collected from the low altitude areas of Changbai Mountains, seven standard chronologies for tree ring width and cell scale parameters were constructed. Parts of the chronologies were chosen for the correlation analysis with the climate elements in 1959-2007 at Donggang meteorological station, and the changes of the correlations between tree ring indices and climate elements before and after 1988 in which the climate changed abruptly were discussed. In the seven standard chronologies constructed, cell number had the best correlation with tree ring width. Both precipitation and air temperature were the limiting factors for the growth of P. koraiensis, but the chronologies had better correlation with precipitation than with air temperature, mainly manifested in the significant correlation between the chronologies and the precipitation in previous September and current May and June. Comparing with tree ring width, cell size could reveal more climatic information, mainly manifested in the positive correlation between the chronologies and the air temperature in March and the precipitation in May, and the negative correlation between the chronologies and the air temperature in May. After the abrupt change of air temperature in 1988, the responses of cell size to climate elements had some changes, mainly manifested in the decreasing sensitivity to monthly climate elements and the earlier response time.