Rib-on-pelvis deformity: a modifiable driver of pain and poor health-related quality of life in cerebral palsy.

PURPOSE: Cerebral Palsy (CP) often presents with a sweeping thoracolumbar scoliosis and pelvic obliquity. With severe pelvic obliquity, the ribs come into contact with the high side of the oblique pelvis, termed rib-on-pelvis deformity (ROP). ROP can result in costo-iliac impingement, or pain associated with ROP, and can also adversely affect breathing and sitting balance. The goal of this study was to evaluate whether CP patients with ROP have worse health-related quality of life (HRQOL) before surgery and a greater improvement in HRQOL after surgery. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of a prospectively collected, multicenter, international registry was performed for all nonambulatory patients with CP treated with spinal fusion with at least two-year follow-up. HRQOL was measured via the Caregiver Priorities & Child Health Index of Life with Disabilities (CPCHILD) questionnaire domains (0 = most disability, 100 = least disability). ROP was defined as having a rib distal to the superior portion of the iliac crest on preop upright radiographs. The ROP group and control group without ROP were compared regarding six domain scores and total score of CPCHILD. Multiple linear regression was used to control for curve apex location, major coronal Cobb angle, type of tone, and pelvic obliquity. RESULTS: 340 patients met inclusion criteria (52% female, mean age 14.0 years). The mean major coronal Cobb angle was 81 degrees and mean pelvic obliquity was 22 degrees. 176 patients (51.8%) had ROP while 164 patients (48.2%) did not. ROP was independently associated with worse preoperative Positioning/Transfers/Mobility (PTM), Comfort & Emotions (C&E), and total CPCHILD score via the CPCHILD questionnaire (p < 0.05). Patients with preoperative ROP experienced a greater improvement in the C&E and PTM domains as well as total CPCHILD score than patients without ROP (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: CP patients with rib-on-pelvis deformity experience more pain and worse HRQOL than patients without this deformity. These patients experienced a greater improvement in HRQOL after spinal fusion measured via the CPCHILD questionnaire.

Do teams of strangers create health care dangers? The effect of OR team consistency on operative times in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis.

PURPOSE: Teamwork and communication are important components of any surgical team. This study uses a simple, reproducible, and quantitative "team consistency score" and a nodal-based model for examining prior interactions amongst team members to represent and quantify the regularity of an OR team for a specific surgical case. METHODS: The electronic medical record (EMR) at our institution was queried for pediatric patients undergoing spinal surgery from January 2021 through December 2023. The number of prior interactions between individuals filling distinct roles in the OR for each case was recorded. A metric coined the consistency score was developed representing the sum total of these prior interactions standardized to a reference case. Spearman's Correlation as well as the Mann-Whitney comparison test were used to analyze the associations between case team consistency score and efficiency measures. RESULTS: 154 cases were included for analysis. There was a statistically significant negative correlation between case consistency score and both anesthesia time (rho = -0.159; p < 0.05) and patient preparation time (rho = -0.218; p < 0.01). When looking at the consistent (above median consistency score of 0.46) vs. inconsistent cohorts, the inconsistent cohort had a higher mean patient preparation time (53.3 ± 14.0 min vs. 49.0 ± 9.3 min; p < 0.05), as well as a higher overall mean case length (336.6 ± 47.4 min vs. 321.9 ± 42.4 min; p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: The findings suggest that increased team consistency, as measured by a "team consistency score" metric, is related to heightened efficiency and reduced intraoperative times.

The Impact of Using Intraoperative Computed Tomography on the Number of Surgical Approaches Used for Zygomaticomaxillary Complex Repair.

Background: Zygomaticomaxillary complex (ZMC) fractures are repaired using a variety of surgical approaches. Utilization of intraoperative computed tomography (CT) may reduce the number of surgical approaches. Study Objective: To compare the use of intraoperative CT for the operative repair of ZMC fractures, as measured by the number of surgical approaches. Method: A retrospective review was completed on patients who underwent surgical repair of ZMC fractures by facial plastic and reconstructive surgeons at a tertiary hospital. Results: Eighty-four patients underwent open ZMC repair between 2009 and 2022. Patients had a median age of 42 years (range: 19-93, interquartile range 29-59), were 76.2% Male (n = 64) and 78.6% (N = 66) White. There were 38 and 46 patients in the pre- and post-intraoperative CT cohorts, respectively. The most common incision utilized was a gingivobuccal incision (98.8%), followed by a transconjunctival approach (47.6%). Cases in which CT was utilized had a significantly reduced number of incisions (mean incisions: 2.45 pre vs. 1.67 post, p < 0.001), with large reductions in the rate of transconjunctival incisions (pre-intraoperative CT: 73.7%; post-intraoperative CT: 26.1%, p < 0.001) and lateral canthotomy incisions (23.7% vs. 4.3%, p < 0.001). Conclusion: Intraoperative CT reduces the number of surgical approaches in patients with ZMC trauma.

Cross-Facial Nerve Grafting Used Independently in Facial Reanimation: A Narrative Review.

Importance: Cross-Facial Nerve Grafting (CFNG) for facial palsy offers potential to restore spontaneous facial expression, but specific indications and associated outcomes are limited. Updates to this technique have aided in its successful employment in select cases. This review aims to explore the context in which CFNG has been successfully utilized as a primary modality. Observations: Literature review was performed auditing all studies investigating CFNG as a primary modality, which reported outcomes. A total of 326 cases reporting outcomes for primary CFNG were included. Eye closure outcomes were 83.3% successful at ages 0-18, 77.3% successful at ages 19-40, and 57.1% successful at ages 41+. Smile outcomes were 73.7% successful at ages 0-18, 81.5% successful at ages 19-40, and 52.8% successful at ages 41+. For synkinesis, 89% of cases were considered successful; 100% successful at ages 0-18, and 78.4% successful in adults. Conclusions and Relevance: CFNG may offer return of spontaneous facial function in select cases. Higher percentages of successful outcomes are observed in younger patients, when performed in two stages, and when performed earlier from the onset of FP in cases of eye closure restoration. In the modern era, CFNG has been more commonly employed as an adjunctive procedure to other reanimation techniques.

Predicting brace holiday eligibility in juvenile idiopathic scoliosis.

PURPOSE: The psychological effects of scoliosis bracing can be difficult, and thus clinicians sometimes recommend a brace holiday when the curve corrects to less than 25°. However, the clinical indications for taking a break from the brace before reaching maturity have yet to be described. We hypothesized there would be a relationship between brace holiday eligibility and degree of curve at presentation, change in curve magnitude while bracing, and level of bracing compliance. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study at a single institution was performed from 2016 to 2022. Objective brace compliance I-button data were collected on patients aged 3-9 years old. Patients with other etiologies besides idiopathic scoliosis before the age of 10 were excluded. Binary logistic regression was performed to determine the effect of significant variables on the likelihood of brace holiday. RESULTS: Fifty-six patients met inclusion criteria. Of these, 20 were able to get a brace holiday. Patients with higher brace compliance and larger in-brace curve correction were more likely to get a brace holiday (P = 0.015, 0.004). Patients with higher BMIs and larger curves at initial presentation were less likely to get a brace holiday (P = 0.002, 0.014). CONCLUSION: Compliant brace wearers with good in-brace correction are most likely to be eligible for a brace holiday. While some elements remain immutable, others are modifiable, such as bracing compliance. Understanding how outcomes differ between patients who do and do not take a brace holiday will be crucial to elucidating if the psychological benefit of taking a break from the brace can be justified.

Rib-on-Pelvis Deformity and Reported Pain in Neuromuscular Early-Onset Scoliosis.

BACKGROUND: Neuromuscular early-onset scoliosis (N-EOS) often presents with a long sweeping thoracolumbar scoliosis and pelvic obliquity. With severe pelvic obliquity, the ribs come into contact with the high side of the pelvis, termed rib-on-pelvis deformity (ROP). The goal of this study is to evaluate whether ROP is associated with reported pain and other health-related quality of life (HRQOL) measures. We hypothesize that ROP is associated with increased pain and negative HRQOL. METHODS: A multicenter international registry was queried for all nonambulatory patients with N-EOS from 2012 to 2022. Both surgical and nonsurgical patients were included. ROP was classified as a binary radiographic assessment of preoperative (surgical patients) and most recent follow-up (nonsurgical patients) upright radiographs. Reported pain and other HRQOL measures were assessed through the 24-Item Early Onset Scoliosis Questionnaire (EOSQ-24). Patients with nonupright radiographs or EOSQ-24 questionnaires and corresponding radiographs >4 months apart were excluded. RESULTS: Totally, 225 patients (8.4±3.1 y, 55% female) were included. The median major curve was 63.3 (IQR: 40.6 to 81.2) degrees and median pelvic obliquity was 15.5 degrees (IQR: 8.8 to 26.4). Eighty-three patients (37%) had ROP. ROP was associated with both frequency (P<0.001) and severity (P<0.001) of pain. ROP was associated with worse general health (P=0.01), increased difficulty with vocalization (P=0.02), increased frequency of shortness of breath (P=0.002), and increased difficulty sitting upright (P=0.04). Regarding overall EOSQ-24 domains, ROP was associated with worse general health, pain/discomfort, pulmonary function, and physical function (P<0.01). In a subanalysis of 76 patients who underwent surgical intervention with at least 2 years of follow-up, patients with preoperative ROP experienced significantly greater improvements in both frequency (P=0.004) and severity (P=0.001) of pain than the patients without preoperative ROP at 2 years postoperatively. CONCLUSIONS: The overall incidence of ROP in N-EOS is about 37%. ROP is associated with greater pain and worse HRQOL through the EOSQ-24 questionnaire. Furthermore, these patients experienced a greater reduction in pain after surgery. Clinicians and parents must be aware that ROP is possibly a pain generator, but responds positively to surgical intervention. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.

A modified position for optimized skeletal maturity assessment of AIS patients and its impact on 3D spinal and pelvic parameters.

PURPOSE: A hands-on-wall (HOW) position for low-dose stereoradiography of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) patients would allow for skeletal maturity assessment of the hand and wrist. Our aims were twofold: confirm the reliability and validity of skeletal maturity assessment using the HOW radiographs and compare the spinal and pelvic 3D parameters to those of standard hands-on-cheeks (HOC) stereoradiographs. METHODS: Seventy AIS patients underwent two successive stereoradiographs and a standard hand and wrist radiograph on the same day. Patients were randomly assigned to begin with HOW and follow with HOC, or vice versa. Raters assessed digital skeletal age (DSA), Sanders Simplified Skeletal Maturity (SSMS) and Thumb Ossification Composite Index (TOCI). 3D reconstructions of the spine and pelvis bones were performed for each stereoradiograph to measure nine clinically relevant spinal and pelvic 3D parameters. RESULTS: Inter-rater and intra-rater reliabilities were excellent for DSA, SSMS and TOCI with both standard radiographs and HOW (ICC > 0.95). Strong correlation was found between ratings of both imaging types (ICC > 0.95). In the 3D reconstructions, kyphosis and sacral slope were slightly decreased in the HOW position, but within the clinical margin of error. All other parameters did not differ significantly between positions (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: The results suggest that HOW stereoradiographs allow clinicians to assess skeletal maturity of the hand and wrist with adequate reliability and validity. We recommend that scoliosis clinics adopt the HOW position to assess skeletal maturity because there is no significant clinical impact on the spinal and pelvic evaluation, and on radiation exposure, cost or time.

Gene expression supports a single origin of horns and antlers in hoofed mammals.

Horns, antlers, and other bony cranial appendages of even-toed hoofed mammals (ruminant artiodactyls) challenge traditional morphological homology assessments. Cranial appendages all share a permanent bone portion with family-specific integument coverings, but homology determination depends on whether the integument covering is an essential component or a secondary elaboration of each structure. To enhance morphological homology assessments, we tested whether juvenile cattle horn bud transcriptomes share homologous gene expression patterns with deer antlers relative to pig outgroup tissues, treating the integument covering as a secondary elaboration. We uncovered differentially expressed genes that support horn and antler homology, potentially distinguish them from non-cranial-appendage bone and other tissues, and highlight the importance of phylogenetic outgroups in homology assessments. Furthermore, we found differentially expressed genes that could support a shared cranial neural crest origin for horns and antlers and expression patterns that refine our understanding of the timing of horn and antler differentiation.

Perioperative management and outcomes for posterior spinal fusion in patients with Friedreich ataxia: A single-center, retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Friedreich ataxia is a rare genetic disorder associated with progressive mitochondrial dysfunction leading to widespread sequelae including ataxia, muscle weakness, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, diabetes mellitus, and neuromuscular scoliosis. Children with Friedreich ataxia are at high risk for periprocedural complications during posterior spinal fusion due to their comorbidities. AIM: To describe our single-center perioperative management of patients with Friedreich ataxia undergoing posterior spinal fusion. METHODS: Adolescent patients with Friedreich ataxia presenting for spinal deformity surgery between 2007 and 2023 were included in this retrospective case series performed at the Children's Hospital of Philadelphia. Perioperative outcomes were reviewed along with preoperative characteristics, intraoperative anesthetic management, and postoperative medical management. RESULTS: Seventeen patients were included in the final analysis. The mean age was 15 ± 2 years old and 47% were female. Preoperatively, 35% were wheelchair dependent, 100% had mild-to-moderate hypertrophic cardiomyopathy with preserved systolic function and no left ventricular outflow tract obstruction, 29% were on cardiac medications, and 29% were on pain medications. Intraoperatively, 53% had transesophageal echocardiography monitoring; 12% had changes in volume status on echo but no changes in function. Numerous combinations of total intravenous anesthetic agents were used, most commonly propofol, remifentanil, and ketamine. Baseline neuromonitoring signals were poor in four patients and one patient lost signals, resulting in 4 (24%) wake-up tests. The majority (75%) were extubated in the operating room. Postoperative complications were high (88%) and ranged from minor complications like nausea/vomiting (18%) to major complications like hypotension/tachycardia (29%) and need for extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support in one patient (6%). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with Friedreich ataxia are at high risk for perioperative complications when undergoing posterior spinal fusion and coordinated multidisciplinary care is required at each stage. Future research should focus on the utility of intraoperative echocardiography, optimal anesthetic agent selection, and targeted fluid management to reduce postoperative cardiac complications.

Predicting early return to the operating room in early-onset scoliosis patients using machine learning techniques.

PURPOSE: Surgical treatment of early-onset scoliosis (EOS) is associated with high rates of complications, often requiring unplanned return to the operating room (UPROR). The aim of this study was to create and validate a machine learning model to predict which EOS patients will go on to require an UPROR during their treatment course. METHODS: A retrospective review was performed of all surgical EOS patients with at least 2 years follow-up. Patients were stratified based on whether they had experienced an UPROR. Ten machine learning algorithms were trained using tenfold cross-validation on an independent training set of patients. Model performance was evaluated on a separate testing set via their area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Relative feature importance was calculated for the top-performing model. RESULTS: 257 patients were included in the study. 146 patients experienced at least one UPROR (57%). Five factors were identified as significant and included in model training: age at initial surgery, EOS etiology, initial construct type, and weight and height at initial surgery. The Gaussian naïve Bayes model demonstrated the best performance on the testing set (AUC: 0.79). Significant protective factors against experiencing an UPROR were weight at initial surgery, idiopathic etiology, initial definitive fusion construct, and height at initial surgery. CONCLUSIONS: The Gaussian naïve Bayes machine learning algorithm demonstrated the best performance for predicting UPROR in EOS patients. Heavier, taller, idiopathic patients with initial definitive fusion constructs experienced UPROR less frequently. This model can be used to better quantify risk, optimize patient factors, and choose surgical constructs. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic: III.

The largest freshwater odontocete: A South Asian river dolphin relative from the proto-Amazonia.

Several dolphin lineages have independently invaded freshwater systems. Among these, the evolution of the South Asian river dolphin Platanista and its relatives (Platanistidae) remains virtually unknown as fossils are scarce. Here, we describe Pebanista yacuruna gen. et sp. nov., a dolphin from the Miocene proto-Amazonia of Peru, recovered in phylogenies as the closest relative of Platanista. Morphological characters such as an elongated rostrum and large supraorbital crests, along with ecological interpretations, indicate that this odontocete was fully adapted to fresh waters. Pebanista constitutes the largest freshwater odontocete known, with an estimated body length of 3 meters, highlighting the ample resource availability and biotic diversity in the region, during the Early to Middle Miocene. The finding of Pebanista in proto-Amazonian layers attests that platanistids ventured into freshwater ecosystems not only in South Asia but also in South America, before the modern Amazon River dolphin, during a crucial moment for the Amazonian evolution.

The impact of patient scoliosis-specific exercises for adolescent idiopathic scoliosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials with subgroup analysis using observational studies.

PURPOSE: Adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) is a common pediatric spinal deformity frequently treated with patient scoliosis-specific exercises (PSSE). The purpose of this study is to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials and sensitivity analysis of observational studies to determine the impact of PSSE on outcomes for AIS. METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis on impact of PSSE for patients with AIS was performed. Databases used included PubMed, CINAHL, MEDLINE, Cochrane, and ScienceDirect database inception to October 2022. Inclusion criteria included use of PSSE, patient population of AIS, and full text. RESULTS: A total of 26 articles out of 628 initial retrieved met final inclusion criteria (10 randomized controlled trials (RCTs), 16 observational studies). Total included patients (n = 2083) had a frequency weighted mean age of 13.2 ± 0.9 years and a frequency weighted mean follow-up of 14.5 ± 20.0 months. Based on only data from RCTs with direct comparison groups (n = 7 articles), there was a statistically significant but clinically insignificant improvement in Cobb angle of 2.5 degrees in the PSSE group (n = 152) as compared to the control group (n = 148; p = 0.017). There was no statistically significant improvement in Cobb angle when stratified by small curve (< 30 degrees) or large curve (> 30 degrees) with PSSE (p = 0.140 and p = 0.142, respectively). There was no statistically significant improvement in ATR (p = 0.326) or SRS-22 score (p = 0.370). CONCLUSION: PSSE may not provide any clinically significant improvements in Cobb angle, ATR, or SRS-22 scores in patients with AIS. PSSE did not significantly improve Cobb angle when stratified by curve size. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level I.

Assessing clinicians' and trainees' knowledge and practice of the IDSA guidelines for asymptomatic bacteriuria in older adults.

A survey of advanced practice clinicians (APCs), physicians, residents, and medical students at an academic medical center and community practices in southeastern Texas revealed a gap in knowledge and practice related to testing and treatment for asymptomatic bacteriuria (ASB) in older adults.

Understanding the Relationship Between Facial Nerve Branch Sacrifice and Selective Neurectomy Outcome.

Introduction: While there is great interest in selective neurectomy (SN) for patients with synkinesis, outcomes can be inconsistent. Objective: To examine the relationships between intraoperative facial nerve branch transection and both postoperative outcome and functional deficits. Methods: SN cases, with minimal follow-up of 4 months, were retrospectively identified between 2019 and 2021; outcome was assessed using FaCE instrument, eFACE and Emotrics. Correlations between intraoperative facial nerve branch preservation or transection, and functional outcome and new functional deficits were examined. Results: Fifty-six cases were performed: 88% were females, and median age was 53 years (range 11-81). Mean follow-up was 19.5 months (range 4-42). Oral commissure excursion improved in patients where all smile branches were preserved, no vertical vector smile branches were transected, and more than three smile antagonist branches were transected. A linear trend between smile antagonist branch sacrifice and favorable smile outcome was found. Lower lip movement was improved in patients in whom more than half of the identified lower lip branches were transected. Thirty percent of patients experienced untoward postoperative functional deficits, from which 47% recovered with interventions. Conclusions: Several correlations between SN intra-operative decisions and outcome were identified; new or worsening functional deficit rate can be high. However, chemodenervation or fillers can help diminish these deficits.

Pre-Operative Factors May Predict Outcome in Selective Neurectomy for Synkinesis.

Background: While there has been great interest in offering selective neurectomy (SN) to patients with nonflaccid facial palsy (NFFP), postoperative outcomes are inconsistent. Objective: To assess overall SN outcome in NFFP patients and to examine correlation between preoperative factors and SN outcome. Methods: SN cases were retrospectively identified between 2019 and 2021. Patient factors and facial function were assessed using chart review, the Facial Clinimetric Evaluation (FaCE), the electronic clinician-graded facial function tool (eFACE), and an automated computer-aided facial assessment tool (Emotrics). Correlations between preoperative factors and patients outcome were established. Results: Fifty-eight SN cases were performed; 88% were females, and median age was 53 years (range 11-81). Outcome assessment was 8 months on average (1-24 months). Postoperatively, multiple eFACE and Emotrics parameters improved significantly, including ocular, perioral, and synkinesis metrics. In preoperative factors assessment, age >50, facial palsy (FP) duration >2 years, poor preoperative facial function, and nontrauma etiology all correlated with greater improvements compared with younger patients, those with shorter duration facial palsy, trauma etiology, and better preoperative facial function. Conclusions: SN can significantly improve facial function; we have identified several preoperative factors that correlated to outcome.

Nationwide Effect of COVID-19 on Cases Performed During Pediatric Orthopaedic Surgery Fellowship Training in the United States.

INTRODUCTION: The COVID-19 pandemic negatively affected surgical training in the United States. We hypothesized that reported case volume during pediatric orthopaedic surgery fellowship training would decrease markedly during the 2019 to 2020 academic year, which corresponded with the COVID-19 outbreak. METHODS: The Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education provided nationwide case logs for accredited pediatric orthopaedic surgery fellows (2017 to 2021). Annual reported case volumes were extracted and summarized as means ± SD. Parametric tests were used to compare annual case volumes. RESULTS: A total of 149 pediatric orthopaedic fellows from 23 accredited fellowships were included. A 16% year-over-year (YoY) decrease was noted in the reported case volume during the 2019 to 2020 academic year (238 ± 80 vs. 255 ± 60, P < 0.001). Nonacute case categories had the most notable YoY percentage decreases: Soft Tissue: Transfer, Lengthen, Release (-42%); Clubfoot (-34%); and Foot and Ankle Deformity (-31%). Acute case categories had the most notable YoY percentage increases: Trauma Lower Limb (12%) and Trauma Upper Limb (10%). A subsequent 42% YoY increase was noted in the reported case volume during the 2020 to 2021 academic year. DISCUSSION: A 16% YoY decrease was noted in the reported case volume during the 2019 to 2020 academic year, which corresponded to widespread economic shutdowns during the initial COVID-19 outbreak. Nonacute cases experienced the greatest negative effect. The results from this study may inform the orthopaedic surgery community on the effect of future national emergencies, such as viral outbreaks.

Impact of Social Determinants of Health on Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis Curve Severity.

INTRODUCTION: Social determinants of health have been shown to influence the health and outcomes of pediatric patients. Adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) may be particularly sensitive to such factors as early diagnosis and treatment can obviate the need for surgical intervention. The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect that social determinants of health have on the severity of AIS at presentation and at the time of surgery. METHODS: A retrospective review was conducted for consecutive patients who underwent posterior spinal fusion for AIS from 2020 to 2022. Demographic data was collected, while insurance status (private vs. public) and childhood opportunity index (COI) categories (LOW vs. HIGH) were used as a proxy for socioeconomic status. Curve magnitude at the initial presentation and at the latest preoperative visit were recorded with a threshold of 25 to 40 degrees considered within the bracing range. Univariate and multivariate analysis was done to compare differences between subgroups as appropriate. RESULTS: A total of 180 patients with mean initial and preoperative major curve angles of 48 and 60 degrees were included. Statistically significant differences in race and insurance types were appreciated, with the LOW COI group having a higher proportion of underrepresented minority and publicly insured patients than the HIGH COI group ( P <0.001). Patients within the LOW COI group presented with an initial curve that was, on average, 6 degrees more severe than those within the HIGH group ( P =0.009) and a preoperative curve that was 4 degrees larger than those within the HIGH group ( P =0.015). Similarly, only 13% of patients within the LOW COI group presented with curves within the bracing threshold, compared with 31% in the HIGH COI group ( P =0.009). CONCLUSION: Socioeconomic status plays a significant role in the severity of AIS. Specifically, patients with lower COI tend to present with curve magnitudes beyond what is responsive to nonsurgical treatment, leading to larger curves at the time of surgery. Future work should focus on addressing social inequalities to optimize the treatment and outcomes of AIS patients. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III- Retrospective Comparative Study.

BrAIST-Calc: Prediction of Individualized Benefit From Bracing for Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis.

STUDY DESIGN: Prospective multicenter study data were used for model derivation and externally validated using retrospective cohort data. OBJECTIVE: Derive and validate a prognostic model of benefit from bracing for adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS). SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: The Bracing in Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis Trial (BrAIST) demonstrated the superiority of bracing over observation to prevent curve progression to the surgical threshold; 42% of untreated subjects had a good outcome, and 28% progressed to the surgical threshold despite bracing, likely due to poor adherence. To avoid over-treatment and to promote patient goal setting and adherence, bracing decisions (who and how much) should be based on physician and patient discussions informed by individual-level data from high-quality predictive models. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Logistic regression was used to predict curve progression to <45° at skeletal maturity (good prognosis) in 269 BrAIST subjects who were observed or braced. Predictors included age, sex, body mass index, Risser stage, Cobb angle, curve pattern, and treatment characteristics (hours of brace wear and in-brace correction). Internal and external validity were evaluated using jackknifed samples of the BrAIST data set and an independent cohort (n=299) through estimates of discrimination and calibration. RESULTS: The final model included age, sex, body mass index, Risser stage, Cobb angle, and hours of brace wear per day. The model demonstrated strong discrimination ( c -statistics 0.83-0.87) and calibration in all data sets. Classifying patients as low risk (high probability of a good prognosis) at the probability cut point of 70% resulted in a specificity of 92% and a positive predictive value of 89%. CONCLUSION: This externally validated model can be used by clinicians and families to make informed, individualized decisions about when and how much to brace to avoid progression to surgery. If widely adopted, this model could decrease overbracing of AIS, improve adherence, and, most importantly, decrease the likelihood of spinal fusion in this population.