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Chronic hepatitis B, a major cause of liver disease and cancer, affects >250 million people worldwide. Currently there is no cure, only suppressive therapies. Efforts to develop finite curative hepatitis B virus (HBV) therapies are underway, consisting of combinations of multiple novel agents with or without nucleos(t)ide reverse-transcriptase inhibitors. The HBV Forum convened a webinar in July 2021, along with subsequent working group discussions to address how and when to stop finite therapy for demonstration of sustained off-treatment efficacy and safety responses. Participants included leading experts in academia, clinical practice, pharmaceutical companies, patient representatives, and regulatory agencies. This Viewpoints article outlines areas of consensus within our multistakeholder group for stopping finite therapies in chronic hepatitis B investigational studies, including trial design, patient selection, outcomes, biomarkers, predefined stopping criteria, predefined retreatment criteria, duration of investigational therapies, and follow-up after stopping therapy. Future research of unmet needs are discussed.
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Hepatite B Crônica , Hepatite B , Humanos , Hepatite B Crônica/tratamento farmacológico , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Vírus da Hepatite B/genética , Resultado do Tratamento , Biomarcadores , Antígenos de Superfície da Hepatite B , DNA Viral , Hepatite B/tratamento farmacológicoRESUMO
Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection is the leading cause of infant hospitalizations and mortality. Lumicitabine, an oral nucleoside analog was studied for the treatment of RSV. The phase 1b and phase 2b studies reported here assessed the safety, pharmacokinetics, and pharmacodynamics of lumicitabine in infants/neonates hospitalized with RSV. In the phase 1b study, infants (≥1 to ≤12 months) and neonates (<28 days) received a single-ascending or multiple-ascending doses (single loading dose [LD] then 9 maintenance doses [MD] of lumicitabine, or placebo [3:1]). In the phase 2b study, infants/children (28 days to ≤36 months old) received lumicitabine 40/20 mg/kg, 60/40 mg/kg LD/MD twice-daily or placebo (1:1:1) for 5 days. Safety, pharmacokinetics, and efficacy parameters were assessed over 28 days. Lumicitabine was associated with a dose-related increase in the incidence and severity of reversible neutropenia. Plasma levels of ALS-008112, the active nucleoside analog, were dose-proportional with comparable mean exposure levels at the highest doses in both studies. There were no significant differences between the lumicitabine groups and placebo in reducing viral load, time to viral non-detectability, and symptom resolution. No emergent resistance-associated substitutions were observed at the RSV L-gene positions of interest. In summary, lumicitabine was associated with a dose-related increase in the incidence and severity of reversible neutropenia and failed to demonstrate antiviral activity in RSV-infected hospitalized infants. This contrasts with the findings of the previous RSV-A adult challenge study where significant antiviral activity was noted, without incidence of neutropenia. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02202356 (phase 1b); NCT03333317 (phase 2b).
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Neutropenia , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial , Vírus Sincicial Respiratório Humano , Adulto , Criança , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Antivirais/efeitos adversos , Neutropenia/complicações , Nucleosídeos/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
In this paper we investigate the predictability of cryptocurrency returns following increases in Covid-19 cases/deaths. We find that the rate of government intervention moderates the impact that Covid-19 cases/deaths have on cryptocurrency returns. We show that in periods of tightening government intervention, increases in Covid-19 cases positively predict cryptocurrency returns. We argue that this is due to investors imputing their expectations of the pandemic through a 'combined' signal.
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BACKGROUND: For smokers not intending to quit, switching to a reduced-risk nicotine product should be healthier than continuing smoking. We estimate the health impact, over the period 2000-2050, had the nicotine pouch ZYN hypothetically been introduced into the US in 2000. ZYN's toxicant profile and method of use is like that for Swedish snus, a product with known health effects much less than smoking. METHODS: Our modelling approach is similar to others developed for estimating potential effects of new tobacco products. It starts with a simulated cohort of 100,000 individuals in the year 2000 subdivided by age, sex, and smoking status (including years since quitting). They are followed annually accounting for births, net immigrations, deaths and product use changes, with follow-up carried out in the Base Case (ZYN not introduced) and Modified Case (ZYN introduced). Using informed assumptions about initiation, quitting and switching rates, distributions of the population over time are then constructed for each Case, and used to estimate product mortality based on assumptions about the relative risk according to product use. RESULTS: Whereas in both Base and Modified Cases, the prevalence of any current product use is predicted to decline from about 22% to 10% during follow-up, in the Modified Case about 25% of current users use ZYN by 2050, about a quarter being dual users and the rest ZYN-only users. Over the 50 years, deaths at ages 35-84 from product use among the 100,000 are estimated as 249 less in the Modified than the Base Case, equivalent to about 700,000 less in the whole US. Sensitivity analyses varying individual parameter values confirm the benefits of switching to ZYN, which increase as either the switching rate to ZYN increases or the initiation rate of ZYN relative to smoking increases. Even assuming the reduction in excess mortality risk using ZYN use is 20% of that from smoking rather than the 3.5% assumed in the main analyses, the reduction in product-related deaths would still be 213, or about 600,000 in the US. CONCLUSIONS: Although such model-based estimates involve uncertainties, the results suggest that introducing ZYN could substantially reduce product-related deaths.
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Abandono do Hábito de Fumar , Produtos do Tabaco , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Nicotina/efeitos adversos , Saúde Pública , Fumar/epidemiologia , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar/métodosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Recent estimates indicated substantially replacing cigarettes by e-cigarettes would, during 2016-2100, reduce US deaths and life-years lost (millions) by 6.6 and 86.7 (Optimistic Scenario) and 1.6 and 20.8 (Pessimistic). To provide additional insight we use alternative modelling based on a shorter period (1991-2040), four main smoking-associated diseases, deaths aged 30-79 years, and a full product history. We consider variations in: assumed effective dose of e-cigarettes versus cigarettes (F); their relative quitting rate (Q); proportions smoking after 10 years (X); and initiation rate (I) of vaping, relative to smoking. METHODS: We set F = 0.05, X = 5%, Q = 1.0 and I = 1.0 (Main Scenario) and F = 0.4, X = 10%, Q = 0.5 and I = 1.5 (Pessimistic Scenario). Sensitivity Analyses varied Main Scenario parameters singly; F from 0 to 0.4, X 0.01% to 15%, and Q and I 0.5 to 1.5. To allow comparison with prior work, individuals cannot be dual users, re-initiate, or switch except from cigarettes to e-cigarettes. RESULTS: Main Scenario reductions were 2.52 and 26.23 million deaths and life-years lost; Pessimistic Scenario reductions were 0.76 and 8.31 million. These were less than previously, due to the more limited age-range and follow-up, and restriction to four diseases. Reductions in deaths (millions) varied most for X, from 3.22 (X = 0.01%) to 1.31 (X = 15%), and F, 2.74 (F = 0) to 1.35 (F = 0.4). Varying Q or I had little effect. CONCLUSIONS: Substantial reductions in deaths and life-years lost were observed even under pessimistic assumptions. Estimates varied most for X and F. These findings supplement literature indicating e-cigarettes can importantly impact health challenges from smoking.
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Sistemas Eletrônicos de Liberação de Nicotina , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar , Produtos do Tabaco , Vaping , Adulto , Idoso , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Produtos do Tabaco/efeitos adversos , Vaping/efeitos adversosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Pharmacokinetics and safety of JNJ-64530440, a hepatitis B virus capsid assembly modulator producing normal empty capsids (CAM-N), in healthy volunteers were evaluated. METHODS: This Phase I study (NCT03439488) was a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled study. Adults (n = 10/cohort, five Asian/five non-Asian), randomised 4:1, received single-ascending doses of oral JNJ-64530440 (first- and second-generation formulations) or placebo under fasted (50, 150, 300 and 900 mg) or fed (300, 750, 1,000, 2000 and 4000 mg) conditions. Multiple-ascending doses of 750 or 2000 mg once daily and 750 mg twice daily JNJ-64530440 (second-generation formulation) for 7 days were evaluated. Pharmacokinetic parameters were estimated from plasma concentrations. Safety was assessed throughout. RESULTS: Less than dose-proportional increases in maximum plasma concentrations (Cmax) and area under the plasma concentration-time curves (AUCs) were observed across the doses. Mean plasma half-lives ranged from 9.3 to 14.5 h. Cmax and AUC were â¼two fold higher under fed versus fasting conditions and slightly higher in Asians versus Caucasians. JNJ-64530440 doses ≥750 mg achieved plasma levels higher than protein-binding adjusted concentrations demonstrating in vitro antiviral activity. No serious adverse events (AEs), treatment discontinuations or dose-limiting toxicities were seen. AE frequency/severity did not increase with dose. CONCLUSIONS: Single (up to 4000 mg) and multiple doses (up to 2000 mg for 7 days) of JNJ-64530440 were well tolerated in healthy volunteers. Multiple doses ≥750 mg/day achieved plasma concentrations expected to have antiviral activity that may lower hepatitis B surface antigen. No clinically relevant differences in tolerability or pharmacokinetic parameters were seen between Asians versus Caucasians.
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Capsídeo , Vírus da Hepatite B , Adulto , Antivirais/farmacocinética , Área Sob a Curva , Voluntários Saudáveis , HumanosRESUMO
BACKGROUND & AIMS: JNJ-56136379 (JNJ-6379), a capsid assembly modulator that blocks hepatitis B virus (HBV) replication, was well tolerated and demonstrated dose-proportional pharmacokinetics in healthy participants in part 1 of its first clinical trial. In part 2, we have evaluated the safety, pharmacokinetics, and antiviral activity of multiple doses of JNJ-6379 in patients with chronic HBV infection. METHODS: We performed a double-blind study of 57 treatment-naïve patients with HB e antigen-positive or -negative (74%) chronic HBV infection without cirrhosis. Patients were randomly assigned to groups given JNJ-6379 at 25 mg (100 mg loading dose), 75 mg, 150 mg, or 250 mg or placebo daily for 4 weeks with an 8-week follow-up period. RESULTS: Twenty-three (56%) of 41 patients given JNJ-6379 had at least 1 adverse event (AE) during treatment, compared with 10 (63%) of 16 patients given placebo. No serious AEs were reported during the treatment period. Three patients (7%) given JNJ-6379 vs none given placebo had grade 3 AEs; of these, 1 patient (150 mg) also had an isolated grade 4 increase in the level of alanine aminotransferase that led to treatment discontinuation. JNJ-6379 exposure increased with dose, with time-linear pharmacokinetics. HBV-DNA and HBV-RNA decreased from baseline in patients receiving all doses of JNJ-6379, independently of viral genotype and HB e antigen status. On day 29, 13 (32%) of 41 patients had levels of HBV DNA below the lower limit of quantification. No clinically significant changes in levels of HB surface antigen were observed. CONCLUSIONS: In a phase 1 study of treatment-naïve patients with chronic HBV infection, all doses tested of JNJ-6379 were well tolerated, showed dose-dependent pharmacokinetics, and had potent antiviral activity in patients with CHB. The findings support a phase 2a study to evaluate JNJ-6379 ± nucleos(t)ide analogs in patients with chronic HBV infection, which is under way. ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02662712.
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Antivirais/efeitos adversos , Vírus da Hepatite B/isolamento & purificação , Hepatite B Crônica/tratamento farmacológico , Compostos Orgânicos/efeitos adversos , Administração Oral , Antivirais/administração & dosagem , Antivirais/farmacocinética , Capsídeo/efeitos dos fármacos , DNA Viral/sangue , DNA Viral/isolamento & purificação , Relação Dose-Resposta a Droga , Método Duplo-Cego , Feminino , Vírus da Hepatite B/efeitos dos fármacos , Vírus da Hepatite B/genética , Hepatite B Crônica/sangue , Hepatite B Crônica/diagnóstico , Hepatite B Crônica/virologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Compostos Orgânicos/administração & dosagem , Compostos Orgânicos/farmacocinética , Resultado do Tratamento , Montagem de Vírus/efeitos dos fármacos , Adulto JovemRESUMO
In the original article Ninth and Tenth authors were incorrectly omitted from the author group. The correct author group is Joris Vandenbossche, Wolfgang Jessner, Maarten van den Boer, Jeike Biewenga, Jan Martin Berke, Willem Talloen, Loeckie De Zwart, Jan Snoeys, Koen Vandyck, John Fry, Jeysen Yogaratnam.
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Background: Interest exists in whether youth e-cigarette use ("vaping") increases risk of initiating cigarette smoking. Using Waves 1 and 2 of the US PATH study we reported that adjustment for vaping propensity using Wave 1 variables explained about 80% of the unadjusted relationship. Here we use data from Waves 1 to 3 to avoid over-adjustment if Wave 1 vaping affected variables recorded then. Methods: Our main analysis M1 concerned Wave 2 never smokers who never vaped by Wave 1, linking Wave 2 vaping to Wave 3 smoking initiation, adjusting for Wave 1 predictors. We conducted sensitivity analyses that: excluded Wave 1 other tobacco product users; included other product use as an extra predictor; or considered propensity for smoking or any tobacco use, rather than vaping. We also conducted analyses that: adjusted for propensity as derived originally; ignored Wave 1 data; used exact age (not previously available) as a confounder rather than grouped age; attempted residual confounding adjustment by modifying predictor values using data recorded later; or considered interactions with age. Results: In M1, adjustment removed about half the excess OR (i.e. OR-1), the unadjusted OR, 5.60 (95% CI 4.52-6.93), becoming 3.37 (2.65-4.28), 3.11 (2.47-3.92) or 3.27 (2.57-4.16), depending whether adjustment was for propensity as a continuous variable, as quintiles, or for the variables making up the propensity score. Many factors had little effect: using grouped or exact age; considering other products; including interactions; or using predictors of smoking or tobacco use rather than vaping. The clearest conclusion was that analyses avoiding over-adjustment explained about half the excess OR, whereas analyses subject to over-adjustment explained about 80%. Conclusions: Although much of the unadjusted gateway effect results from confounding, we provide stronger evidence than previously of some causal effect of vaping, though some doubts still remain about the completeness of adjustment.
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Background: The evidence on harms and benefits of e-cigarettes partly concerns whether their use encourages smokers to quit. We addressed this using data from the nationally representative PATH study, with detailed accounting for potential confounding variables. Methods: We considered adults aged 25+. Our original analyses, reported in version 1 of this paper, used data for Waves 1 to 3, separate analyses considering Waves 1 to 2, 2 to 3 and 1 to 3. These related baseline ever e-cigarette use (or e-product use at Wave 2) to quitting at follow-up, adjusting for confounders derived from 55 candidates. Sensitivity analyses omitted ever other product users, linked quitting to current e-cigarette use, and used values of some predictors modified using follow-up data. Additional analyses used data for Waves 1 to 4, separately considering sustained, delayed and temporary quitting during Waves 1 to 3, 2 to 4 and 1 to 4. Sensitivity analyses considered 30-day quitting, restricted attention to smokers attempting to quit, and considered ever smokeless tobacco or snus use. Results: In the original analyses, unadjusted odds ratios (ORs) of quitting smoking for ever e-cigarette use were 1.29 (95% CI 1.01-1.66), 1.52 (1.26-1.83) and 1.47 (1.19-1.82) for the Wave 1 to 2, 2 to 3, and 1 to 3 analyses. These reduced after adjustment, to 1.23 (0.94-1.61), 1.51 (1.24-1.85) and 1.39 (1.11-1.74). Quitting rates remained elevated in users in all sensitivity analyses. The additional analyses found associations of e-cigarette use with sustained, delayed and temporary quitting, associations little affected by considering 30-day quitting, and only slightly reduced restricting attention to quit attempters. Ever use of smokeless tobacco or snus also predicted increased quitting. Conclusions: As does most evidence from clinical trials, other analyses of PATH, and other epidemiological studies, our results suggest using e-cigarettes helps adult smokers to quit.
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BACKGROUND: We have developed an approach for modelling the health impact of introducing new smoke-free tobacco products. We wished to compare its estimates with those of alternative approaches, when applied to snus, used in Sweden for many years. METHODS: Modelling was restricted to men aged 30-79 years for 1980-2009 and to four smoking-related diseases. Mortality data were extracted for Sweden and other European countries. Published data provided Swedish prevalence estimates for combinations of never/former/current smoking and snus use, and smoking prevalence estimates for other European countries. Approach 1 compares mortality in Sweden and in other countries with a smoking prevalence similar to Sweden's prevalence of combined smoking/snus use. Approaches 2 and 3 compare mortality in Sweden with hypothetical mortality had snus users smoked. Approach 3 uses our health impact model, individuals starting with the tobacco prevalence of Sweden in 1980. Tobacco histories during 30-year follow-up were then estimated using transition probabilities, with risk derived using a negative exponential model. Approach 2 uses annual tobacco prevalence estimates coupled with estimates of relative risk of current and former smokers regardless of history. The main applications of Approaches 2 and 3 assume that only smoking affects mortality, though sensitivity analyses using Approach 3 allow for risk to vary in snus users and dual users. RESULTS: Using Approach 2, estimated mortality increases in Sweden in 1980-2009 had snus not been introduced were: lung cancer 8786; COPD 1781; IHD 10,409; stroke 1720. The main Approach 3 estimates were similar (7931, 1969; 12,501; 1901). They decreased as risk in snus users and dual users increased. Approach 1 estimates differed wildly (77,762, 32,538; 77,438; 76,946), remaining very different following correction for differences between Sweden and the comparison countries in non-smoking-related disease mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Approach 1 is unreliable, accounting inadequately for non-tobacco factors affecting mortality. Approaches 2 and 3 provide reasonably similar approximate estimates of the mortality increase had snus not been available, but have differing advantages and disadvantages. Only Approach 3 considers tobacco history, but develops histories using tobacco transition probabilities, which is possibly less reliable than using estimated tobacco prevalences at each follow-up year.
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Modelos Teóricos , Saúde da População , Fumar/epidemiologia , Tabaco sem Fumaça/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mortalidade/tendências , Prevalência , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Risco , Fumar/mortalidade , Suécia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
In our latest update of the evidence on smoking bans and heart disease we summarize 59 studies. We take account of the underlying trends in incidence rates as far as possible by using control data in eight studies, and by adjustment based on observed trends in cases pre- and post-ban in 40 studies, being unable to make an adjustment in the remaining 11 studies. Overall, based on 62 independent estimates from the 59 studies, we estimate that bans reduce incidence by 5.0% (95% CI 3.2-6.8%), though this estimate reduces to 2.9% (0.01-5.6%) when we exclude regional estimates where national estimates are available, and studies where trend adjustment is not possible. For 25 of the studies, quadratic rather than linear adjustment is possible, but this hardly affects the overall estimates. Ban effects are somewhat greater when the pre-ban period studied is relatively short, and in smaller studies. We compare our findings with those in other recent reviews, one of which totally ignored underlying trends and results from control populations. We discuss reasons why we believe there is likely to be a true small effect of smoking bans, and weaknesses in the data which preclude reaching any very confident conclusion.
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Cardiopatias/epidemiologia , Política Antifumo , Fumar/epidemiologia , Humanos , IncidênciaRESUMO
Background: AL-794 is an orally active prodrug of ALS-033719, which selectively inhibits the endonuclease domain of influenza virus A and B polymerase. Methods: In a phase 1, double-blinded, randomized, placebo-controlled study, healthy subjects were inoculated intranasally with influenza virus (A/Perth/16/2009 H3N2) after confirmation of infection or on day 4. Subjects received 50 mg of AL-794, 150 mg of AL-794, or placebo twice daily for 5 days. Viral load, influenza symptoms, pharmacokinetics, and safety were evaluated. Results: A total of 61 subjects were inoculated. In 42 infected subjects, the mean peak viral load for 50-mg AL-794 recipients, 150-mg AL-794 recipients, and placebo recipients was 3.54, 2.77, and 3.72 log10 50% tissue culture infectious doses (TCID50)/mL, respectively. The mean influenza viral load area under the curve in the corresponding treatment groups was 137, 87.5, and 142 log10 TCID50/mL·h, respectively, and the median time to virus nondetection was 117, 75.3, and 108 hours, respectively. AL-794 was well tolerated, and no viral resistance to ALS-033719 was identified. Conclusion: Following oral administration of AL-794, significant dose-dependent antiviral activity was noted, with a greater decrease in viral load, symptoms, and mucus weight at the 150-mg dose, compared with the 50-mg dose, and no safety concerns for either dose or placebo. Clinical Trials Registration: NCT02588521.
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Antivirais/farmacologia , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Endonucleases/antagonistas & inibidores , Influenza Humana/tratamento farmacológico , Serina Endopeptidases/farmacologia , Serina Endopeptidases/uso terapêutico , Administração Oral , Adolescente , Adulto , Antivirais/efeitos adversos , Método Duplo-Cego , Feminino , Humanos , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H3N2 , Influenza Humana/enzimologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Carga Viral/efeitos dos fármacos , Adulto JovemRESUMO
Background: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes high morbidity, with mortality rates approaching or exceeding that of influenza in adult and infant patient populations, respectively. Lumicitabine (ALS-008176 or JNJ-64041575) is an oral nucleoside analogue prodrug in clinical development to treat RSV infections. This prodrug converts to plasma-circulating ALS-8112, and then to the 5'-active nucleoside triphosphate (NTP) form within host cells. We conducted an RSV-A challenge study in healthy adults to evaluate lumicitabine's activity during an active RSV infection. Objectives: To develop a semi-mechanistic mathematical model describing RSV kinetics, and the pharmacokinetics (PK) and pharmacodynamics (PD) of lumicitabine during treatment. Methods: Nasopharyngeal viral load and concentrations of ALS-8112 and ALS-8144 (uridine metabolite) were measured frequently over the study duration. Population viral kinetic and PK/PD models were developed using NONMEM. The RSV life-cycle was described using a target-cell-limited model that included a physiological delay. Results: The estimated clearances of ALS-8112 and ALS-8144 were 54.2 and 115 L/h/70 kg, respectively. A semi-physiological model was linked to predict ALS-8112 conversion to active intracellular NTP. Extensive and rapid RSV reduction occurred after lumicitabine treatment (EC50 = 1.79 µM), with >99% viral inhibition at 2 h after loading dose. Simulated NTP exposures and time to EC50 attainment suggested that rapid therapeutic effects and reduced dosing frequency are achievable in adult and paediatric patients. Conclusions: The semi-mechanistic model characterizes RSV kinetics and the antiviral effectiveness of lumicitabine in an adult challenge population. This model is applicable to guide dose selection in adult and paediatric patients.
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Antivirais/farmacocinética , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Desoxicitidina/análogos & derivados , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/tratamento farmacológico , Vírus Sincicial Respiratório Humano/efeitos dos fármacos , Replicação Viral/efeitos dos fármacos , Adulto , Antivirais/sangue , Desoxicitidina/sangue , Desoxicitidina/farmacocinética , Desoxicitidina/uso terapêutico , Método Duplo-Cego , Voluntários Saudáveis , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos , Nasofaringe/virologia , Vírus Sincicial Respiratório Humano/fisiologia , Carga Viral/efeitos dos fármacosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: A recent meta-analysis of nine cohort studies in youths reported that baseline ever e-cigarette use strongly predicted cigarette smoking initiation in the next 6-18 months, with an adjusted odds ratio of 3.62 (95% confidence interval 2.42-5.41). A recent review of e-cigarettes agreed there was substantial evidence for this "gateway effect". However, the number of confounders considered in the studies was limited, so we investigated whether the effect might have resulted from inadequate adjustment, using Waves 1 and 2 of the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health study. METHODS: Our main analyses considered Wave 1 never cigarette smokers who, at Wave 2, had information available on smoking initiation. We constructed a propensity score for ever e-cigarette use from Wave 1 variables, using this to predict ever cigarette smoking. Sensitivity analyses accounted for use of other tobacco products, linked current e-cigarette use to subsequent current smoking, or used propensity scores for ever smoking or ever tobacco product use as predictors. We also considered predictors using data from both waves to attempt to control for residual confounding from misclassified responses. RESULTS: Adjustment for propensity dramatically reduced the unadjusted odds ratio (OR) of 5.70 (4.33-7.50) to 2.48 (1.85-3.31), 2.47 (1.79-3.42) or 1.85 (1.35-2.53), whether adjustment was made as quintiles, as a continuous variable or for the individual variables. Additional adjustment for other tobacco products reduced this last OR to 1.59 (1.14-2.20). Sensitivity analyses confirmed adjustment removed most of the gateway effect. Control for residual confounding also reduced the association. CONCLUSIONS: We found that confounding is a major factor, explaining most of the observed gateway effect. However, our analyses are limited by small numbers of new smokers considered and the possibility of over-adjustment if taking up e-cigarettes affects some predictor variables. Further analyses are intended using Wave 3 data which should avoid these problems.
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Fumar Cigarros , Sistemas Eletrônicos de Liberação de Nicotina , Tabagismo , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Fumar , Produtos do TabacoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The nucleotide analog AL-335 is a pangenotypic hepatitis C virus (HCV) nonstructural protein (NS)5B inhibitor being evaluated as treatment for chronic HCV infection. METHODS: This three-part randomized, double-blind study evaluated the safety and pharmacokinetics of single and multiple ascending oral doses of AL-335. Healthy volunteers (HVs) received single doses of AL-335 (100-1,200 mg) or placebo in a fasted or fed (400 mg) state. Non-cirrhotic subjects (HCV genotype [GT]1-4) and GT1-infected subjects with Child Pugh A cirrhosis received multiple doses of AL-335 (400, 800, 1,200 mg) or placebo once daily (QD) for 7 days. RESULTS: Forty-eight HVs and 64 subjects with HCV GT1-4 were randomized and received treatment. AL-335 was well tolerated in HVs and HCV-infected subjects with/without cirrhosis. AL-335 was rapidly absorbed and converted to the metabolites ALS-022399 and ALS-022227. ALS-022227 exposure increased less than dose-proportionally and was unaffected by food, while AL-335 and ALS-022399 exposure increased with food by 85% and 50%, respectively, in HVs. Rapid and dose-dependent reductions in HCV-RNA were observed in GT1-infected subjects. In non-cirrhotic, GT1-4-infected subjects receiving AL-335 800 mg QD, potent antiviral activity was observed, regardless of genotype (mean maximum reductions in HCV-RNA of 4.0-4.8 log10 IU/mL). The same dose in GT1-infected cirrhotic subjects resulted in a 3.5 log10 IU/mL mean maximum reduction in HCV-RNA. CONCLUSIONS: AL-335 was well tolerated when administered as single and multiple doses, with an acceptable pharmacokinetic profile. The drug also demonstrated potent antiviral activity in HCV GT1-4-infected subjects, including GT1-infected subjects with cirrhosis.
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Alanina/análogos & derivados , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Hepatite C/tratamento farmacológico , Uridina/análogos & derivados , Adulto , Alanina/efeitos adversos , Alanina/farmacocinética , Alanina/uso terapêutico , Antivirais/efeitos adversos , Antivirais/farmacocinética , Relação Dose-Resposta a Droga , Método Duplo-Cego , Feminino , Genótipo , Meia-Vida , Hepacivirus/genética , Hepatite C/complicações , Humanos , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fosforamidas , Efeito Placebo , RNA Viral/sangue , Uridina/efeitos adversos , Uridina/farmacocinética , Uridina/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
This open-label, phase IIa study assessed the safety, pharmacokinetics, and efficacy of direct-acting antiviral agent (DAA) regimens in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Multiple 6-12-week oral regimens of 400-800 mg once daily (QD) AL-335 + 50 mg QD/every other day odalasvir ± 75-150 mg QD simeprevir were evaluated in treatment-naïve, HCV genotype (GT)1/3-infected patients without cirrhosis. Safety/pharmacokinetic parameters, HCV-RNA, and sequencing data were assessed. Treatment regimens for later study cohorts were adjusted based on emerging data. In total, 112 patients were enrolled. Three serious treatment-emergent adverse events occurred, one of which (a Mobitz type 1 second-degree atrioventricular block [Wenckebach]) was possibly related to high odalasvir exposure and resulted in premature discontinuation of study drugs. No other clinically significant safety findings were identified. GT1-infected patients receiving 3-DAA for 6-8 weeks achieved 100% sustained virologic response 12 weeks and 24 weeks after the end of treatment (sustained virologic response [SVR12/24]). GT1-infected patients receiving 2-DAA or GT3-infected patients receiving 3-DAA had SVR12/24 less than 90%, whether treated for 8 weeks or 12 weeks. Virologic failure was associated with the emergence of generally persistent NS5A and/or transient NS5B resistance-associated substitutions in most patients. Pharmacokinetic characteristics of the three drugs were also elucidated. Conclusions: In treatment-naïve subjects without cirrhosis, AL-335 + odalasvir + simeprevir for 6-8 weeks was generally safe and highly efficacious against HCV GT1. However, inadequate efficacy was observed for the 2-DAA regimen in GT1-infected subjects and the 3-DAA regimen in GT3-infected subjects.
Assuntos
Antivirais/administração & dosagem , Benzimidazóis/administração & dosagem , Carbamatos/administração & dosagem , Hepacivirus/genética , Hepatite C/tratamento farmacológico , Indóis/administração & dosagem , Simeprevir/administração & dosagem , Adulto , Antivirais/efeitos adversos , Antivirais/farmacocinética , Benzimidazóis/efeitos adversos , Benzimidazóis/farmacocinética , Carbamatos/efeitos adversos , Carbamatos/farmacocinética , Farmacorresistência Viral/genética , Quimioterapia Combinada , Feminino , Hepatite C/virologia , Humanos , Indóis/efeitos adversos , Indóis/farmacocinética , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Simeprevir/efeitos adversos , Simeprevir/farmacocinética , Proteínas não Estruturais Virais/genéticaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: This double-blind, first-in-human Phase I study evaluated pharmacokinetics, safety and tolerability of AL-794 (prodrug of ALS-033719), a potent endonuclease inhibitor of influenza A and B in healthy volunteers. METHODS: Healthy adult volunteers were randomized to AL-794 (50-2,000 mg single ascending doses, fasting) or placebo (5 cohorts, n=6:2 AL-794: placebo/cohort) in part 1, and AL-794 (50-600 mg multiple ascending doses, twice-daily, fed or fasted) or placebo (3 cohorts, n=8:2 AL-794: placebo/cohort) for 7 days in part 2. In part 3, 8 healthy volunteers from part 1 received 450 mg AL-794 (n=6) or placebo (n=2) following a high-fat meal. All dosing was done with an oral suspension. Blood and urine samples for pharmacokinetics were collected at scheduled times and analysed for ALS-033719 and ALS-033927 (inactive glucuronide) plasma concentrations using LC-MS/MS. RESULTS: ALS-033719 plasma concentrations increased dose proportionately up to 150 mg but less than proportionately above 150 mg. Steady-state was generally achieved by the third dose. ALS-033719 exposure increased following administration with a standard meal (19%-33%) or high-fat meal (3-3.6-fold). ALS-033927 was the major metabolite observed. Renal elimination was negligible (0.2%). Seventeen AL-794-treated healthy volunteers reported ≥1 treatment-emergent adverse event (TEAE; part 1: n=6, 24%; part 2: n=11, 69%). The most common TEAEs were headache (part 1: n=3; part 2: n=5) and dizziness (part 1: n=2; part 2: n=6). CONCLUSIONS: AL-794 up to 200 mg twice daily achieved ALS-033719 exposures which are expected to be efficacious and were generally tolerated. Further studies are planned to characterize safety and antiviral activity.