Healthy Days at Home Among Older Medicare Beneficiaries With Traumatic Brain Injury Requiring Inpatient Rehabilitation.

OBJECTIVE: The objectives of this study were to characterize and identify correlates of healthy days at home (HDaH) before and after TBI requiring inpatient rehabilitation. Setting: Inpatient hospital, nursing home, and home health services. PARTICIPANTS: Average of n= 631 community-dwelling fee-for-service age 66+ Medicare beneficiaries across 30 replicate samples who were hospitalized for traumatic brain injury (TBI) between 2012 and 2014 and admitted to an inpatient rehabilitation facility (IRF) within 72 hours of hospital discharge. DESIGN: Retrospective study using data from Medicare claims supplemented with data from the National Trauma Databank. MAIN MEASURES: The primary outcome, HDaH, was calculated as time alive not using inpatient hospital, nursing home, and home health services in the year before TBI hospitalization and after IRF discharge. RESULTS: We found HDaH declined from 93.2% in the year before TBI hospitalization to 65.3% in the year after IRF discharge (73.6% among survivors only). Most variability in HDaH was: (1) in the first 3 months after discharge and (2) by discharge disposition, with persons discharged from IRF to another acute hospital having the worst prognosis for utilization and death. In negative binomial regression models, the strongest predictors of HDaH in the year after discharge were rehabilitation Functional Independence Measure mobility score (ß = 0.03; 95% CI, 0.002-0.06) and inpatient Charlson Comorbidity Index score (ß = - 0.06; 95% CI, -0.13 to 0.001). Dual Medicaid eligible was associated with less HDaH among survivors (ß = - 0.37; 95% CI, -0.66 to -0.07). CONCLUSION: In this study, among community-dwelling older adults with TBI, we found a notable decrease in the proportion of time spent alive at home without higher-level care after IRF discharge compared to before TBI. The finding that physical disability and comorbidities were the biggest drivers of healthy days alive in this population suggests that a chronic disease management model is required for older adults with TBI to manage their complex health care needs.

Linking Type and Extent of Head Trauma to Cavum Septum Pellucidum in Older Adults With and Without Alzheimer Disease and Related Dementias.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Cavum septum pellucidum (CSP) is a common but nonspecific MRI finding in individuals with prior head trauma. The type and extent of head trauma related to CSP, CSP features specific to head trauma, and the impact of brain atrophy on CSP are unknown. We evaluated CSP cross-sectionally and longitudinally in healthy and clinically impaired older adults who underwent detailed lifetime head trauma characterization. METHODS: This is an observational cohort study of University of California, San Francisco Memory and Aging Center participants (healthy controls [HCs], those with Alzheimer disease or related dementias [ADRDs], subset with traumatic encephalopathy syndrome [TES]). We characterized traumatic brain injury (TBI) and repetitive head impacts (RHI) through contact/collision sports. Study groups were no RHI/TBI, prior TBI only, prior RHI only, and prior RHI + TBI. We additionally looked within TBI (1, 2, or 3+) and RHI (1-4, 5-10, and 11+ years). All underwent baseline MRI, and 67% completed a second MRI (median follow-up = 5.4 years). CSP measures included grade (0-4) and length (millimeters). Groups were compared on likelihood of CSP (logistic regression, odds ratios [ORs]) and whether CSP length discriminated groups (area under the curve [AUC]). RESULTS: Our sample included 266 participants (N = 160 HCs, N = 106 with ADRD or TES; age 66.8 ± 8.2 years, 45.3% female). Overall, 123 (49.8%) participants had no RHI/TBI, 52 (21.1%) had TBI only, 41 (16.6%) had RHI only, 31 (12.6%) had RHI + TBI, and 20 were classified as those with TES (7.5%). Compared with no RHI/TBI, RHI + TBI (OR 3.11 [1.23-7.88]) and TES (OR 11.6 [2.46-54.8]) had greater odds of CSP. Approximately 5-10 years (OR 2.96 [1.13-7.77]) and 11+ years of RHI (OR 3.14 [1.06-9.31]) had higher odds of CSP. CSP length modestly discriminated participants with 5-10 years (AUC 0.63 [0.51-0.75]) and 11+ years of prior RHI (AUC 0.69 [0.55-0.84]) from no RHI/TBI (cut point = 6 mm). Strongest effects were noted in analyses of American football participation. Longitudinally, CSP grade was unchanged in 165 (91.7%), and length was unchanged in 171 (95.5%) participants. DISCUSSION: Among older adults with and without neurodegenerative disease, risk of CSP is driven more by duration (years) of RHI, especially American football, than number of TBI. CSP length (≥6 mm) is relatively specific to individuals who have had substantial prior RHI. Neurodegenerative disease and progressive atrophy do not clearly influence development or worsening of CSP.

Prognostic Value of Frailty for Outcome Following Traumatic Brain Injury: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Frailty is a known predictor of negative health outcomes. The role of frailty in predicting outcomes after traumatic brain injury (TBI), however, is unclear. This systematic review aimed to evaluate the association between frailty and adverse outcomes in patients with TBI. We identified relevant articles that investigated the relationship between frailty and outcomes in patients with TBI by searching PubMed/MEDLINE, Web of Science, Scopus, and EMBASE from inception until 23 March 2023. To evaluate the risk of bias in the included studies, we utilized the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). In addition, quantitative synthesis and meta-analyses were performed. We identified 12 studies that met our inclusion criteria; three were prospective. Of included studies, eight had low risk, three had moderate risk, and one had high risk of bias. Frailty was significantly associated with death in five studies, with an increased risk of in-hospital death and complications observed in frail patients. Frailty was associated with longer hospital stays and unfavorable outcome measured by the Extended Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOSE) in four studies. The meta-analysis found that higher frailty significantly increased the odds of non-routine discharge and unfavorable outcome as measured by GOSE scores of 4 or lower. The pooled odds ratio (OR) for non-routine discharge, was 1.80, with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 1.15-2.84; and for unfavorable outcome, it was 1.91, with a 95% CI of 1.09-3.36. The analysis, however, did not find a significant predictive role for frailty on death (30-day or in-hospital death). The OR for higher frailty and death was 1.42 with a 95% CI of 0.92-2.19. Frailty should be considered in the evaluation of patients with TBI to identify those who may be at increased risk of negative outcomes.

Alzheimer's pathology is associated with altered cognition, brain volume, and plasma biomarker patterns in traumatic encephalopathy syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Traumatic encephalopathy syndrome (TES) is a clinical phenotype sensitive but non-specific to underlying chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE) neuropathology. However, cognitive symptoms of TES overlap with Alzheimer's disease (AD), and features of AD pathology like beta-amyloid (Aß) plaques often co-occur with CTE, making clinical-to-pathological conclusions of TES diagnoses challenging. We investigated how Alzheimer's neuropathological changes associated with cognition, brain volume, and plasma biomarkers in patients with repetitive head impacts (RHI)/TES, clinical AD, or typically aging controls. METHODS: We studied 154 participants including 33 with RHI/TES (age 61.5 ± 11.5, 100% male, 11/33 Aß[ +]), 62 with AD and no known prior RHI (age 67.1 ± 10.2, 48% male, 62/62 Aß[ +]), and 59 healthy controls without RHI (HC; age 73.0 ± 6.2, 40% male, 0/59 Aß[ +]). Patients completed neuropsychological testing (memory, executive functioning, language, visuospatial) and structural MRI (voxel-based morphometry analysis), and provided plasma samples analyzed for GFAP, NfL, IL-6, IFN-γ, and YKL-40. For cognition and plasma biomarkers, patients with RHI/TES were stratified as Aß[ +] or Aß[ -] and compared to each other plus the AD and HC groups (ANCOVA adjusting for age and sex). Differences with at least a medium effect size (Cohen's d > 0.50) were interpreted as potentially meaningful. RESULTS: Cognitively, within the TES group, Aß[ +] RHI/TES performed worse than Aß[-] RHI/TES on visuospatial (p = .04, d = 0.86) and memory testing (p = .07, d = 0.74). Comparing voxel-wise brain volume, both Aß[ +] and Aß[ -] RHI/TES had lower medial and anterior temporal lobe volume than HC and did not significantly differ from AD. Comparing plasma biomarkers, Aß[ +] RHI/TES had higher plasma GFAP than HC (p = .01, d = 0.88) and did not significantly differ from AD. Conversely, Aß[ -] RHI/TES had higher NfL than HC (p = .004, d = 0.93) and higher IL-6 than all other groups (p's ≤ .004, d's > 1.0). CONCLUSIONS: Presence of Alzheimer's pathology in patients with RHI/TES is associated with altered cognitive and biomarker profiles. Patients with RHI/TES and positive Aß-PET have cognitive and plasma biomarker changes that are more like patients with AD than patients with Aß[ -] RHI/TES. Measuring well-validated Alzheimer's biomarkers in patients with RHI/TES could improve interpretation of research findings and heighten precision in clinical management.

Association Between Insomnia and Mental Health and Neurocognitive Outcomes Following Traumatic Brain Injury.

We previously described five trajectories of insomnia (each defined by a distinct pattern of insomnia severity over 12 months following traumatic brain injury [TBI]). Our objective in the present study was to estimate the association between insomnia trajectory status and trajectories of mental health and neurocognitive outcomes during the 12 months after TBI. In this study, participants included N = 2022 adults from the Federal Inter-agency Traumatic Brain Injury Repository database and Transforming Research and Clinical Knowledge in TBI (TRACK-TBI) study. The following outcome measures were assessed serially at 2 weeks, and 3, 6, and 12 months post-injury: Insomnia Severity Index, Patient Health Questionnaire, Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) Checklist for Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition (DSM-5), Patient Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System-Pain, and Quality of Life After Brain Injury-Overall Scale. Neurocognitive performance was assessed at 2 weeks, and 6 and 12 months using the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scales Processing Speed Index and the Trails Making Test Parts A and B. Results indicated that greater insomnia severity was associated with greater abnormality in mental health, quality of life, and neuropsychological testing outcomes. The pattern of insomnia over time tracked the temporal pattern of all these outcomes for all but a very small number of participants. Notably, severe insomnia at 3 or 6 months post-TBI was a risk factor for poor recovery at 12 months post-injury. In conclusion, in this well-characterized sample of individuals with TBI, insomnia severity generally tracked severity of depression, pain, PTSD, quality of life, and neurocognitive outcomes over 12 months post-injury. More intensive sleep assessment is needed to elucidate the nature of these relationships and to help inform best strategies for intervention.

Traumatic Brain Injury and Long-Term Risk of Stroke Among US Military Veterans.

BACKGROUND: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is associated with significant morbidity, but the association of TBI with long-term stroke risk in diverse populations remains less clear. Our objective was to examine the long-term associations of TBI with stroke and to investigate potential differences by age, sex, race and ethnicity, and time since TBI diagnosis. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of US military veterans aged 18+ years receiving healthcare in the Veterans Health Administration system between October 1, 2002 and September 30, 2019. Veterans with TBI were matched 1:1 to veterans without TBI on age, sex, race and ethnicity, and index date, yielding 306 796 veterans with TBI and 306 796 veterans without TBI included in the study. In primary analyses, Fine-Gray proportional hazards models adjusted for sociodemographics and medical/psychiatric comorbidities were used to estimate the association between TBI and stroke risk, accounting for the competing risk of mortality. RESULTS: Participants were a mean age of 50 years, 9% were female, and 25% were of non-White race and ethnicity. Overall, 4.7% of veterans developed a stroke over a median follow-up of 5.2 years. Veterans with TBI had 1.69 times (95% CI, 1.64-1.73) increased risk of any stroke (ischemic or hemorrhagic) compared to veterans without TBI. This increased risk was highest in the first-year post-TBI diagnosis (hazard ratio [HR], 2.16 [95% CI, 2.03-2.29]) but remained elevated for 10+ years. Similar patterns were observed for secondary outcomes, with associations of TBI with hemorrhagic stroke (HR, 3.92 [95% CI, 3.59-4.29]) being stronger than with ischemic stroke (HR, 1.56 [95% CI, 1.52-1.61]). Veterans with both mild (HR, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.43-1.52]) and moderate/severe/penetrating injury (HR, 2.02 [95% CI, 1.96-2.09]) had increased risk of stroke compared to veterans without TBI. Associations of TBI with stroke were stronger among older compared to younger individuals (P interaction-by-age<0.001) and were weaker among Black veterans compared to other race and ethnicities (P interaction-by-race<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Veterans with prior TBI are at increased long-term risk for stroke, suggesting they may be an important population to target for primary stroke prevention measures.

Blood Biomarkers in Neurodegenerative Diseases: Implications for the Clinical Neurologist.

Blood-based biomarkers offer a major advance in the clinical evaluation of neurodegenerative diseases. Currently, research studies have reported robust assays of blood markers for the detection of amyloid and tau pathologies specific to Alzheimer disease (amyloid-ß peptides, and p-tau) and nonspecific blood markers of neuronal (neurofilament light, ß-synuclein, and ubiquitin-C-terminal-hydrolase-L1) and glial degeneration (glial fibrillary acidic protein) that can measure key pathophysiologic processes in several neurodegenerative diseases. In the near future, these markers may be used for screening, diagnosis, or disease and treatment response monitoring. Blood-based biomarkers for neurodegenerative diseases have been rapidly implemented in research, and they have the potential to enter clinical use soon in different clinical settings. In this review, we will describe the main developments and their potential implications for the general neurologist.

Neuroinflammatory Biomarkers for Traumatic Brain Injury Diagnosis and Prognosis: A TRACK-TBI Pilot Study.

The relationship between systemic inflammation and secondary injury in traumatic brain injury (TBI) is complex. We investigated associations between inflammatory markers and clinical confirmation of TBI diagnosis and prognosis. The prospective TRACK-TBI Pilot (Transforming Research and Clinical Knowledge in Traumatic Brain Injury Pilot) study enrolled TBI patients triaged to head computed tomography (CT) and received blood draw within 24 h of injury. Healthy controls (HCs) and orthopedic controls (OCs) were included. Thirty-one inflammatory markers were analyzed from plasma. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate discriminatory ability. AUC >0.7 was considered acceptable. Criteria included: TBI diagnosis (vs. OC/HC); moderate/severe vs. mild TBI (Glasgow Coma Scale; GCS); radiographic TBI (CT positive vs. CT negative); 3- and 6-month Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOSE) dichotomized to death/greater relative disability versus less relative disability (GOSE 1-4/5-8); and incomplete versus full recovery (GOSE <8/ = 8). One-hundred sixty TBI subjects, 28 OCs, and 18 HCs were included. Markers discriminating TBI/OC: HMGB-1 (AUC = 0.835), IL-1b (0.795), IL-16 (0.784), IL-7 (0.742), and TARC (0.731). Markers discriminating GCS 3-12/13-15: IL-6 (AUC = 0.747), CRP (0.726), IL-15 (0.720), and SAA (0.716). Markers discriminating CT positive/CT negative: SAA (AUC = 0.767), IL-6 (0.757), CRP (0.733), and IL-15 (0.724). At 3 months, IL-15 (AUC = 0.738) and IL-2 (0.705) discriminated GOSE 5-8/1-4. At 6 months, IL-15 discriminated GOSE 1-4/5-8 (AUC = 0.704) and GOSE <8/ = 8 (0.711); SAA discriminated GOSE 1-4/5-8 (0.704). We identified a profile of acute circulating inflammatory proteins with potential relevance for TBI diagnosis, severity differentiation, and prognosis. IL-15 and serum amyloid A are priority markers with acceptable discrimination across multiple diagnostic and outcome categories. Validation in larger prospective cohorts is needed. ClinicalTrials.gov Registration: NCT01565551.

Effects of age and time since injury on traumatic brain injury blood biomarkers: a TRACK-TBI study.

Older adults have the highest incidence of traumatic brain injury globally. Accurate blood-based biomarkers are needed to assist with diagnosis of patients across the spectrum of age and time post-injury. Several reports have suggested lower accuracy for blood-based biomarkers in older adults, and there is a paucity of data beyond day-1 post-injury. Our aims were to investigate age-related differences in diagnostic accuracy and 2-week evolution of four leading candidate blood-based traumatic brain injury biomarkers-plasma glial fibrillary acidic protein, ubiquitin carboxy-terminal hydrolase L1, S100 calcium binding protein B and neuron-specific enolase-among participants in the 18-site prospective cohort study Transforming Research And Clinical Knowledge in Traumatic Brain Injury. Day-1 biomarker data were available for 2602 participants including 2151 patients with traumatic brain injury, 242 orthopedic trauma controls and 209 healthy controls. Participants were stratified into 3 age categories (young: 17-39 years, middle-aged: 40-64 years, older: 65-90 years). We investigated age-stratified biomarker levels and biomarker discriminative abilities across three diagnostic groups: head CT-positive/negative; traumatic brain injury/orthopedic controls; and traumatic brain injury/healthy controls. The difference in day-1 glial fibrillary acidic protein, ubiquitin carboxy-terminal hydrolase L1 and neuron-specific enolase levels across most diagnostic groups was significantly smaller for older versus younger adults, resulting in a narrower range within which a traumatic brain injury diagnosis may be discriminated in older adults. Despite this, day-1 glial fibrillary acidic protein had good to excellent performance across all age-categories for discriminating all three diagnostic groups (area under the curve 0.84-0.96; lower limit of 95% confidence intervals all >0.78). Day-1 S100 calcium-binding protein B and ubiquitin carboxy-terminal hydrolase L1 showed good discrimination of CT-positive versus negative only among adults under age 40 years within 6 hours of injury. Longitudinal blood-based biomarker data were available for 522 hospitalized patients with traumatic brain injury and 24 hospitalized orthopaedic controls. Glial fibrillary acidic protein levels maintained good to excellent discrimination across diagnostic groups until day 3 post-injury irrespective of age, until day 5 post-injury among middle-aged or younger patients and until week 2 post-injury among young patients only. In conclusion, the blood-based glial fibrillary acidic protein assay tested here has good to excellent performance across all age-categories for discriminating key traumatic brain injury diagnostic groups to at least 3 days post-injury in this trauma centre cohort. The addition of a blood-based diagnostic to the evaluation of traumatic brain injury, including geriatric traumatic brain injury, has potential to streamline diagnosis.

Associations of Preexisting Vascular Risk Factors With Outcomes After Traumatic Brain Injury: A TRACK-TBI Study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate associations of preinjury vascular risk factors with traumatic brain injury (TBI) outcomes. SETTING: The level 1 trauma center-based T ransforming R esearch a nd C linical K nowledge in TBI (TRACK-TBI) Study. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 2361 acute TBI patients 18 years or older who presented to the emergency department within 24 hours of head trauma warranting clinical evaluation with a noncontrast head CT between February 26, 2014, and August 8, 2018. DESIGN: A multicenter prospective cohort study. MAIN MEASURES: Vascular risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, and smoking) were assessed at baseline by self- or proxy-report and chart review. The primary outcome was the 6-month Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended TBI version (GOSE-TBI). Secondary 6-month outcomes included the Rivermead Post-Concussion Symptoms Questionnaire (RPQ), the Satisfaction with Life Scale (SWLS), and the 18-item Brief Symptom Inventory Global Severity Index (BSI-18-GSI). RESULTS: Mean age of participants was 42 years, 31% were women, and 16% were Black. Current smoking was the most common vascular risk factor (29%), followed by hypertension (17%), diabetes (8%), and hyperlipidemia (6%). Smoking was the only risk factor associated with worse scores on all 4 outcome indices. Hypertension and diabetes were associated with worse RPQ scores, and hypertension was associated with worse BSI-18-GSI scores (all P < .05). Compared with individuals with no vascular risk factors, individuals with 1 but not 2 or more vascular risk factors had significantly worse GOSE-TBI and SWLS scores, while a higher burden of vascular risk factors was significantly associated with worse RPQ and BSI-18-GSI scores. CONCLUSION: Our study found that preinjury vascular risk factors, especially smoking, are associated with worse outcomes after TBI. Aggressive postinjury treatment of vascular risk factors may be a promising strategy to improve TBI outcomes.

Systematic Review, Meta-Analysis, and Population Attributable Risk of Dementia Associated with Traumatic Brain Injury in Civilians and Veterans.

Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is an established risk factor for dementia. However, the magnitude of risk is highly variable across studies. Identification of sub-populations at highest risk, with careful consideration of potential sources of bias, is urgently needed to guide public health policy and research into mechanisms and treatments. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of risk of all-cause dementia after all-severity TBI. We assessed for effect of participant age and sex, veteran status, research methods, and region. The search window covered January 1990 to January 2019. We followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) reporting guidelines. Thirty-two studies met inclusion criteria. Data were pooled using random effects models. Population attributable risk (PAR) of dementia due to TBI in the U.S. was calculated by sex and veteran status. Pooled risk ratio (RR) for dementia after TBI was 1.66 (95% confidence interval 1.42-1.93). Younger age, male sex, and studies from Asia were associated with significantly higher risk; veteran status was not. Risk of dementia associated with "head injury/trauma" was not significantly different from that associated with "TBI" diagnosis specifically. PAR of dementia due to TBI among U.S. veterans was twice that of the general U.S. population, largely due to the high prevalence of TBI exposure in the majority male veteran population. This meta-analysis found that TBI is associated with nearly 70% increased risk of dementia. Risk may be highest among younger adults, men, and cohorts in Asia. Efforts to prevent TBI and also to prevent post-TBI dementia are of high importance. Additionally, improved methods for diagnosing and tracking TBI on a public health level, such as national registries, may improve the quality and generalizability of future epidemiological studies investigating the association between TBI and dementia.

Feasibility and Utility of a Flexible Outcome Assessment Battery for Longitudinal Traumatic Brain Injury Research: A TRACK-TBI Study.

The effects of traumatic brain injury (TBI) are difficult to measure in longitudinal cohort studies, because disparate pre-injury characteristics and injury mechanisms produce variable impairment profiles and recovery trajectories. In preparation for the Transforming Research and Clinical Knowledge in TBI (TRACK-TBI) study, which followed patients with injuries ranging from uncomplicated mild TBI to coma, we designed a multi-dimensional Flexible outcome Assessment Battery (FAB). The FAB relies on a decision-making algorithm that assigns participants to a Comprehensive (CAB) or Abbreviated Assessment Battery (AAB) and guides test selection across all phases of recovery. To assess feasibility of the FAB, we calculated the proportion of participants followed at 2 weeks (2w) and at 3, 6, and 12 months (3m, 6m, 12m) post-injury who completed the FAB and received valid scores. We evaluated utility of the FAB by examining differences in 6m and 12m Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOSE) scores between participant subgroups derived from the FAB-enabled versus traditional approach to outcome assessment applied at 2w. Among participants followed at 2w (n = 2094), 3m (n = 1871), 6m (n = 1736), and 12m (n = 1607) post-injury, 95-99% received valid completion scores on the FAB, in full or in part, either in person or by telephone. Level of function assessed by the FAB-enabled approach at 2w was associated with 6m and 12m GOSE scores (proportional odds p < 0.001). These findings suggest that the participant classification methodology afforded by the FAB may enable more effective data collection to improve detection of natural history changes and TBI treatment effects.

Prognostic value of day-of-injury plasma GFAP and UCH-L1 concentrations for predicting functional recovery after traumatic brain injury in patients from the US TRACK-TBI cohort: an observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) and ubiquitin C-terminal hydrolase L1 (UCH-L1) as day-of-injury predictors of functional outcome after traumatic brain injury is not well understood. GFAP is a protein found in glial cells and UCH-L1 is found in neurons, and these biomarkers have been cleared to aid in decision making regarding whether brain CT should be performed after traumatic brain injury. We aimed to quantify their prognostic accuracy and investigate whether these biomarkers contribute novel prognostic information to existing clinical models. METHODS: We enrolled patients from the Transforming Research and Clinical Knowledge in Traumatic Brain Injury (TRACK-TBI) observational cohort study. TRACK-TBI includes patients 17 years and older who are evaluated for TBI at 18 US level 1 trauma centres. All patients receive head CT at evaluation, have adequate visual acuity and hearing preinjury, and are fluent in either English or Spanish. In our analysis, we included participants aged 17-90 years who had day-of-injury plasma samples for measurement of GFAP and UCH-L1 and completed 6-month assessments for outcome due to traumatic brain injury with the Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOSE-TBI). Biomarkers were analysed as continuous variables and in quintiles. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02119182. FINDINGS: We enrolled 2552 patients from Feb 26, 2014, to Aug 8, 2018. Of the 1696 participants with brain injury and data available at baseline and at 6 months who were included in the analysis, 120 (7·1%) died (GOSE-TBI=1), 235 (13·9%) had an unfavourable outcome (ie, GOSE-TBI ≤4), 1135 (66·9%) had incomplete recovery (ie, GOSE-TBI <8), and 561 (33·1%) recovered fully (ie, GOSE-TBI=8). The area under the curve (AUC) of GFAP for predicting death at 6 months in all patients was 0·87 (95% CI 0·83-0·91), for unfavourable outcome was 0·86 (0·83-0·89), and for incomplete recovery was 0·62 (0·59-0·64). The corresponding AUCs for UCH-L1 were 0·89 (95% CI 0·86-0·92) for predicting death, 0·86 (0·84-0·89) for unfavourable outcome, and 0·61 (0·59-0·64) for incomplete recovery at 6 months. AUCs were higher for participants with traumatic brain injury and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score of 3-12 than for those with GCS score of 13-15. Among participants with GCS score of 3-12 (n=353), adding GFAP and UCH-L1 (alone or combined) to each of the three International Mission for Prognosis and Analysis of Clinical Trials in traumatic brain injury models significantly increased their AUCs for predicting death (AUC range 0·90-0·94) and unfavourable outcome (AUC range 0·83-0·89). However, among participants with GCS score of 13-15 (n=1297), adding GFAP and UCH-L1 to the UPFRONT study model modestly increased the AUC for predicting incomplete recovery (AUC range 0·69-0·69, p=0·025). INTERPRETATION: In addition to their known diagnostic value, day-of-injury GFAP and UCH-L1 plasma concentrations have good to excellent prognostic value for predicting death and unfavourable outcome, but not for predicting incomplete recovery at 6 months. These biomarkers contribute the most prognostic information for participants presenting with a GCS score of 3-12. FUNDING: US National Institutes of Health, National Institute of Neurologic Disorders and Stroke, US Department of Defense, One Mind, US Army Medical Research and Development Command.

Plasma P-tau181 and P-tau217 in Patients With Traumatic Encephalopathy Syndrome With and Without Evidence of Alzheimer Disease Pathology.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Traumatic encephalopathy syndrome (TES) has overlapping clinical symptoms with Alzheimer disease (AD). AD pathology commonly co-occurs with chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE) pathology. There are currently no validated CTE biomarkers. AD-specific biomarkers such as plasma P-tau181 and P-tau217 may help to identify patients with TES who have AD pathology. METHODS: We measured plasma P-tau181 and P-tau217 (Meso Scale Discovery electrochemiluminescence) in patients with TES, mild cognitive impairment/dementia with biomarker-confirmed AD ("AD"), and healthy controls ("HC"). Patients underwent amyloid-beta (Aß)-PET and a subset underwent tau-PET using [18F]Flortaucipir. We compared plasma P-tau levels controlling for age and sex and also performed AUC analyses to evaluate the accuracy of group differentiation. In patients with TES, we evaluated associations between plasma P-tau, years of repetitive head impact exposure, and tau-PET. Four TES patients with autopsy-confirmed CTE were described qualitatively. RESULTS: The sample included 131 participants (TES, N = 18; AD, N = 65; HC, N = 48). Aß(+) patients with TES (N = 10), but not Aß(-) TES, had significantly higher plasma P-tau levels than HC (P-tau181: p < 0.001, d = 1.34; P-tau217: p < 0.001, d = 1.59). There was a trend for Aß(+) TES having higher plasma P-tau than Aß(-) TES (P-tau181: p = 0.06, d = 1.06; P-tau217: p = 0.09, d = 0.93). AUC analyses showed good classification of Aß(+) TES from HC for P-tau181 (AUC = 0.87 [0.71-1.00]) and P-tau217 (AUC = 0.93 [0.86-1.00]). Plasma P-tau217 showed fair differentiation of Aß(+) TES from Aß(-) TES (AUC = 0.79 [0.54-1.00], p = 0.04), whereas classification accuracy of P-tau181 was slightly lower and not statistically significant (AUC = 0.71 [0.46-0.96], p = 0.13). Patients with AD had higher tau-PET tracer uptake than Aß(+) TES and were well differentiated using P-tau181 (AUC = 0.81 [0.68-0.94]) and P-tau217 (AUC = 0.86 [0.73-0.98]). Plasma P-tau correlated with the tau-PET signal in Aß(+) TES but not in Aß(-) TES, and there was no association between plasma P-tau and years of repetitive head impact exposure. TES patients with severe CTE and no AD at autopsy had low P-tau181 and P-tau217 levels. DISCUSSION: Measuring P-tau181 and P-tau217 in plasma may be a feasible and scalable fluid biomarker for identifying AD pathology in TES. Low plasma P-tau levels may be used to increase clinical suspicion of CTE over AD as a primary pathology in TES. Currently, there is no support for P-tau181 or P-tau217 as in vivo biomarkers of CTE tau. Larger studies of patients with pathologically confirmed CTE are needed. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III evidence that (1) among patients with TES and abnormal Aß-PET scans, elevated plasma P-tau can differentiate between affected individuals and HCs; (2) low plasma P-tau may help identify patients with TES who do not have Alzheimer; and (3) plasma P-tau181 and P-tau217 are not useful biomarkers of patients with TES who do not have AD.

Comparison Groups Matter in Traumatic Brain Injury Research: An Example with Dementia.

The association between traumatic brain injury (TBI) and risk for Alzheimer disease and related dementias (ADRD) has been investigated in multiple studies, yet reported effect sizes have varied widely. Large differences in comorbid and demographic characteristics between individuals with and without TBI could result in spurious associations between TBI and poor outcomes, even when control for confounding is attempted. Yet, inadvertent control for post-TBI exposures (e.g., psychological and physical trauma) could result in an underestimate of the effect of TBI. Choice of the unexposed or comparison group is critical to estimating total associated risk. The objective of this study was to highlight how selection of the comparison group impacts estimates of the effect of TBI on risk for ADRD. Using data on Veterans aged ≥55 years obtained from the Veterans Health Administration (VA) for years 1999-2019, we compared risk of ADRD between Veterans with incident TBI (n = 9440) and (1) the general population of Veterans who receive care at the VA (All VA) (n = 119,003); (2) Veterans who received care at a VA emergency department (VA ED) (n = 111,342); and (3) Veterans who received care at a VA ED for non-TBI trauma (VA ED NTT) (n = 65,710). In inverse probability of treatment weighted models, TBI was associated with increased risk of ADRD compared with All VA (hazard ratio [HR] 1.94; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.84, 2.04), VA ED (HR 1.42; 95% CI 1.35, 1.50), and VA ED NTT (HR 1.12; 95% CI 1.06, 1.18). The estimated effect of TBI on incident ADRD was strongly impacted by choice of the comparison group.

Multi-Modal Biomarkers of Repetitive Head Impacts and Traumatic Encephalopathy Syndrome: A Clinicopathological Case Series.

Traumatic encephalopathy syndrome (TES) criteria were developed to aid diagnosis of chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE) pathology during life. Interpreting clinical and biomarker findings in patients with TES during life necessitates autopsy-based determination of the neuropathological profile. We report a clinicopathological series of nine patients with previous repetitive head impacts (RHI) classified retrospectively using the recent TES research framework (100% male and white/Caucasian, age at death 49-84) who completed antemortem neuropsychological evaluations, T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging, diffusion tensor imaging (n = 6), (18)F-fluorodeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography (n = 5), and plasma measurement of neurofilament light (NfL), glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), and total tau (n = 8). Autopsies were performed on all patients. Cognitively, low test scores and longitudinal decline were relatively consistent for memory and executive function. Medial temporal lobe atrophy was observed in all nine patients. Poor white matter integrity was consistently found in the fornix. Glucose hypometabolism was most common in the medial temporal lobe and thalamus. Most patients had elevated plasma GFAP, NfL, and total tau at their initial visit and a subset showed longitudinally increasing concentrations. Neuropathologically, five of the nine patients had CTE pathology (n = 4 "High CTE"/McKee Stage III-IV, n = 1 "Low CTE"/McKee Stage I). Primary neuropathological diagnoses (i.e., the disease considered most responsible for observed symptoms) were frontotemporal lobar degeneration (n = 2 FTLD-TDP, n = 1 FTLD-tau), Alzheimer disease (n = 3), CTE (n = 2), and primary age-related tauopathy (n = 1). In addition, hippocampal sclerosis was a common neuropathological comorbidity (n = 5) and associated with limbic-predominant TDP-43 proteinopathy (n = 4) or FTLD-TDP (n = 1). Memory and executive function decline, limbic system brain changes (atrophy, decreased white matter integrity, hypometabolism), and plasma biomarker alterations are common in RHI and TES but may reflect multiple neuropathologies. In particular, the neuropathological differential for patients with RHI or TES presenting with medial temporal atrophy and memory loss should include limbic TDP-43. Researchers and clinicians should be cautious in attributing cognitive, neuroimaging, or other biomarker changes solely to CTE tau pathology based on previous RHI or a TES diagnosis alone.

Cognitive Outcome 1 Year After Mild Traumatic Brain Injury: Results From the TRACK-TBI Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The objectives of this study were to develop and establish concurrent validity of a clinically relevant definition of poor cognitive outcome 1 year after mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI), to compare baseline characteristics across cognitive outcome groups, and to determine whether poor 1-year cognitive outcome can be predicted by routinely available baseline clinical variables. METHODS: Prospective cohort study included 656 participants ≥17 years of age presenting to level 1 trauma centers within 24 hours of mTBI (Glasgow Coma Scale score 13-15) and 156 demographically similar healthy controls enrolled in the Transforming Research and Clinical Knowledge in TBI (TRACK-TBI) study. Poor 1-year cognitive outcome was defined as cognitive impairment (below the ninth percentile of normative data on ≥2 cognitive tests), cognitive decline (change score [1-year score minus best 2-week or 6-month score] exceeding the 90% reliable change index on ≥2 cognitive tests), or both. Associations of poor 1-year cognitive outcome with 1-year neurobehavioral outcomes were performed to establish concurrent validity. Baseline characteristics were compared across cognitive outcome groups, and backward elimination logistic regression was used to build a prediction model. RESULTS: Mean age of participants with mTBI was 40.2 years; 36.6% were female; 76.6% were White. Poor 1-year cognitive outcome was associated with worse 1-year functional outcome, more neurobehavioral symptoms, greater psychological distress, and lower satisfaction with life (all p < 0.05), establishing concurrent validity. At 1 year, 13.5% of participants with mTBI had a poor cognitive outcome vs 4.5% of controls (p = 0.003). In univariable analyses, poor 1-year cognitive outcome was associated with non-White race, lower education, lower income, lack of health insurance, hyperglycemia, preinjury depression, and greater injury severity (all p < 0.05). The final multivariable prediction model included education, health insurance, preinjury depression, hyperglycemia, and Rotterdam CT score ≥3 and achieved an area under the curve of 0.69 (95% CI 0.62-0.75) for the prediction of a poor 1-year cognitive outcome, with each variable associated with >2-fold increased odds of poor 1-year cognitive outcome. DISCUSSION: Poor 1-year cognitive outcome is common, affecting 13.5% of patients with mTBI vs 4.5% of controls. These results highlight the need for better understanding of mechanisms underlying poor cognitive outcome after mTBI to inform interventions to optimize cognitive recovery.

Trajectories of Insomnia in Adults After Traumatic Brain Injury.

Importance: Insomnia is common after traumatic brain injury (TBI) and contributes to morbidity and long-term sequelae. Objective: To identify unique trajectories of insomnia in the 12 months after TBI. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this prospective cohort study, latent class mixed models (LCMMs) were used to model insomnia trajectories over time and to classify participants into distinct profile groups. Data from the Transforming Research and Clinical Knowledge in Traumatic Brain Injury (TRACK-TBI) study, a longitudinal, multisite, observational study, were uploaded to the Federal Interagency Traumatic Brain Injury Repository (FITBIR) database. Participants were enrolled at 1 of 18 participating level I trauma centers and enrolled within 24 hours of TBI injury. Additional data were obtained directly from the TRACK-TBI investigators that will be uploaded to FITBIR in the future. Data were collected from February 26, 2014, to August 8, 2018, and analyzed from July 1, 2020, to November 15, 2021. Exposures: Traumatic brain injury. Main Outcomes and Measures: Insomnia Severity Index assessed serially at 2 weeks and 3, 6, and 12 months thereafter. Results: The final sample included 2022 participants (1377 [68.1%] men; mean [SD] age, 40.1 [17.2] years) from the FITBIR database and the TRACK-TBI study. The data were best fit by a 5-class LCMM. Of these participants, 1245 (61.6%) reported persistent mild insomnia symptoms (class 1); 627 (31.0%) initially reported mild insomnia symptoms that resolved over time (class 2); 91 (4.5%) reported persistent severe insomnia symptoms (class 3); 44 (2.2%) initially reported severe insomnia symptoms that resolved by 12 months (class 4); and 15 (0.7%) initially reported no insomnia symptoms but had severe symptoms by 12 months (class 5). In a multinomial logistic regression model, several factors significantly associated with insomnia trajectory class membership were identified, including female sex (odds ratio [OR], 1.65 [95% CI, 1.02-2.66]), Black race (OR, 2.36 [95% CI, 1.39-4.01]), history of psychiatric illness (OR, 2.21 [95% CI, 1.35-3.60]), and findings consistent with intracranial injury on computed tomography (OR, 0.36 [95% CI, 0.20-0.65]) when comparing class 3 with class 1. Conclusions and Relevance: These results suggest important heterogeneity in the course of insomnia after TBI in adults. More work is needed to identify outcomes associated with these insomnia trajectory class subgroups and to identify optimal subgroup-specific treatment approaches.

Effect of frailty on 6-month outcome after traumatic brain injury: a multicentre cohort study with external validation.

BACKGROUND: Frailty is known to be associated with poorer outcomes in individuals admitted to hospital for medical conditions requiring intensive care. However, little evidence is available for the effect of frailty on patients' outcomes after traumatic brain injury. Many frailty indices have been validated for clinical practice and show good performance to predict clinical outcomes. However, each is specific to a particular clinical context. We aimed to develop a frailty index to predict 6-month outcomes in patients after a traumatic brain injury. METHODS: A cumulative deficit approach was used to create a novel frailty index based on 30 items dealing with disease states, current medications, and laboratory values derived from data available from CENTER-TBI, a prospective, longitudinal observational study of patients with traumatic brain injury presenting within 24 h of injury and admitted to a ward or an intensive care unit at 65 centres in Europe between Dec 19, 2014, and Dec 17, 2017. From the individual cumulative CENTER-TBI frailty index (range 0-30), we obtained a standardised value (range 0-1), with high scores indicating higher levels of frailty. The effect of frailty on 6-month outcome evaluated with the extended Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOSE) was assessed through a proportional odds logistic model adjusted for known outcome predictors. An unfavourable outcome was defined as death or severe disability (GOSE score ≤4). External validation was performed on data from TRACK-TBI, a prospective observational study co-designed with CENTER-TBI, which enrolled patients with traumatic brain injury at 18 level I trauma centres in the USA from Feb 26, 2014, to July 27, 2018. CENTER-TBI is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02210221; TRACK-TBI is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02119182. FINDINGS: 2993 participants (median age was 51 years [IQR 30-67], 2058 [69%] were men) were included in this analysis. The overall median CENTER-TBI frailty index score was 0·07 (IQR 0·03-0·15), with a median score of 0·17 (0·08-0·27) in older adults (aged ≥65 years). The CENTER-TBI frailty index score was significantly associated with the probability of an increasingly unfavourable outcome (cumulative odds ratio [OR] 1·03, 95% CI 1·02-1·04; p<0·0001), and the association was stronger for participants admitted to hospital wards (1·04, 1·03-1·06, p<0·0001) compared with those admitted to the intensive care unit (1·02, 1·01-1·03 p<0·0001). External validation of the CENTER-TBI frailty index in data from the TRACK-TBI (n=1667) cohort supported the robustness and reliability of these findings. The overall median TRACK-TBI frailty index score was 0·03 (IQR 0-0·10), with the frailty index score significantly associated with the risk of an increasingly unfavourable outcome in patients admitted to hospital wards (cumulative OR 1·05, 95% CI 1·03-1·08; p<0·0001), but not in those admitted to the intensive care unit (1·01, 0·99-1·03; p=0·43). INTERPRETATION: We developed and externally validated a frailty index specific to traumatic brain injury. Risk of unfavourable outcome was significantly increased in participants with a higher CENTER-TBI frailty index score, regardless of age. Frailty identification could help to individualise rehabilitation approaches aimed at mitigating effects of frailty in patients with traumatic brain injury. FUNDING: European Union, Hannelore Kohl Stiftung, OneMind, Integra LifeSciences Corporation, NeuroTrauma Sciences, NIH-NINDS-TRACK-TBI, US Department of Defense.