A Scoping Review of Dietary Factors Conferring Risk or Protection for Cognitive Decline in APOE ε4 Carriers.

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a progressive and fatal neurodegenerative disease. The strongest genetic risk factor for sporadic AD is carriage of the ε4 allele of the Apolipoprotein E (APOE) gene. Strategies to slow the progression of AD, including dietary interventions, may be modified by the pathogenic effect of this polymorphism. Our objective in this review was to determine the extent and quality of the literature investigating how dietary factors and interventions interact with the APOE ε4 genotype to impact cognitive decline in AD. To that end, we performed a systematic scoping review of published English-language articles involving human subjects. We found evidence suggesting that adherence to a Mediterranean diet may reduce cognitive decline among APOE ε4 carriers, whereas ketogenic agents appear to be ineffective. Diets high in saturated fats may be particularly harmful for APOE ε4 carriers. We identified several topics, including the use of ω-3 fatty acid and antioxidant supplements, for which additional high level evidence is needed.

Neural modulation for hypertension and heart failure.

Hypertension (HTN) and heart failure (HF) have a significant global impact on health, and lead to increased morbidity and mortality. Despite recent advances in pharmacologic and device therapy for these conditions, there is a need for additional treatment modalities. Patients with sub-optimally treated HTN have increased risk for stroke, renal failure and heart failure. The outcome of HF patients remains poor despite modern pharmacological therapy and with established device therapies such as CRT and ICDs. Therefore, the potential role of neuromodulation via renal denervation, baro-reflex modulation and vagal stimulation for the treatment of resistant HTN and HF is being explored. In this manuscript, we review current evidence for neuromodulation in relation to established drug and device therapies and how these therapies may be synergistic in achieving therapy goals in patients with treatment resistant HTN and heart failure. We describe lessons learned from recent neuromodulation trials and outline strategies to improve the potential for success in future trials. This review is based on discussions between scientists, clinical trialists, and regulatory representatives at the 11th annual CardioVascular Clinical Trialist Forum in Washington, DC on December 5-7, 2014.

Nephrotic syndrome: an under-recognised immune-mediated complication of non-myeloablative allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation.

Nephrotic syndrome (NS) is an extremely rare complication of myeloablative allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) that usually occurs in association with chronic graft-versus-host disease (C-GVHD). We observed an unexpectedly high incidence of NS in a cohort of 163 consecutive patients undergoing non-myeloablative HCT from a related human leucocyte antigen-compatible donor. Seven patients developed NS at a median 318 d post-transplant (range 119-1203 d; cumulative incidence 6.1%). The median age at onset of NS was 46 years (range 33-59 years); three of the seven patients had no evidence of C-GVHD while four had accompanying limited C-GVHD. At diagnosis, median proteinuria was 16.5 g/24 h (range 3-24 g/24 h). Renal biopsy was performed in four cases and revealed membranous nephropathy. NS was not always associated with other symptoms of C-GVHD, and in contrast to previous reports, usually did not improve with the re-initiation of aggressive immunosuppression, resulting in progressive renal failure necessitating dialysis in three of seven cases. Membranous nephropathy resulting in NS is a previously unrecognised and clinically significant complication of non-myeloablative HCT.

Improved survival in steroid-refractory acute graft versus host disease after non-myeloablative allogeneic transplantation using a daclizumab-based strategy with comprehensive infection prophylaxis.

Approximately 15% of patients undergoing non-myeloablative allogeneic haematopoietical cell transplantation (NMHCT) develop steroid-refractory acute-graft versus host disease (aGVHD), a usually fatal complication. We encountered 18 cases of steroid-refractory aGVHD in 146 patients, undergoing NMHCT from a related human leucocyte antigen-compatible donor following cyclophosphamide/fludarabine-based conditioning. Our initial cohort of steroid-refractory aGVHD patients treated with antithymocyte globulin (ATG) and mycophenolate mofetil (regimen-1: n = 6) had high GVHD-related mortality. Therefore, we investigated an alternative strategy for subsequent patients developing this complication (regimen-2: n = 12), consisting of daclizumab (alone or combined with infliximab/ATG) and targeted broad spectrum antibacterial and aspergillus prophylaxis in conjunction with rapid tapering of steroids to minimize opportunistic infections. In a retrospective analysis, patients receiving regimen-2 were significantly more likely to have complete resolution of GVHD compared with those receiving regimen-1 [12/12 (100%) vs. 1/6 (17%); P < 0.001]. When compared with those receiving regimen-1, regimen-2 patients also had a higher probability of survival at day 100 (100% vs. 50%) and day 200 (73% vs. 17%) post-transplant, and improved overall survival (median 453 d vs. 42 d from aGVHD onset; P < 0.0001). GVHD-related mortality was 89% for regimen-1 patients vs. 17% for regimen-2 patients (P < 0.0001). These data suggest that a co-ordinated approach using immunoregulatory monoclonal antibodies, pre-emptive antimicrobial therapy and judicious steroid withdrawal can dramatically improve outcome in steroid-refractory aGVHD.

Effect of an aggressive lipid-lowering strategy on progression of atherosclerosis in the left main coronary artery from patients in the post coronary artery bypass graft trial.

BACKGROUND: The Post Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Trial, designed to compare the effects of two lipid-lowering regimens and low-dose anticoagulation versus placebo on progression of atherosclerosis in saphenous vein grafts of patients who had had CABG surgery, demonstrated that aggressive lowering of LDL cholesterol levels to a mean yearly cholesterol level from 93 to 97 mg/dL compared with a moderate reduction to a level of 132 to 136 mg/dL decreased the progression of atherosclerosis in saphenous vein grafts. Low-dose anticoagulation did not affect progression. This secondary analysis tested the hypothesis that a similar decrease in progression of atherosclerosis would also be present in native coronary arteries as measured in the left main coronary artery (LMCA). METHODS AND RESULTS: A sample of 402 patients was randomly selected from 1102 patients who had baseline and follow-up views of the LMCA suitable for analysis. Patients treated with the aggressive lipid-lowering strategy had less progression of atherosclerosis in the LMCA as measured by changes in minimum (P=0.0003) lumen diameter or the maximum percent stenosis (P=0.001), or the presence of substantial progression (P=0.008), or vascular occlusion (P=0.005) when compared with the moderate strategy. CONCLUSIONS: A strategy of aggressive lipid lowering results in significantly less atherosclerosis progression than a moderate approach in LMCAs.

Neurons in monkey prefrontal cortex that track past or predict future performance.

Although frontal cortex is thought to be important in controlling behavior across long periods of time, most studies of this area concentrate on neuronal responses instantaneously relevant to the current task. In order to investigate the relationship of frontal activity to behavior over longer time periods, we trained rhesus monkeys on a difficult oculomotor task. Their performance fluctuated during the day, and the activity of prefrontal neurons, even measured while the monkeys waited for the targets to appear at the beginning of each set of trials, correlated with performance in a probabilistic rather than a determinist manner: neurons reflected past or predicted future performance, much more than they reflected current performance. We suggest that this activity is related to processes such as arousal or motivation that set the tone for behavior rather than controlling it on a millisecond basis, and could result from ascending pathways that utilize slow, second-messenger synaptic processes.

Effects of environmental change on emerging parasitic diseases.

Ecological disturbances exert an influence on the emergence and proliferation of malaria and zoonotic parasitic diseases, including, Leishmaniasis, cryptosporidiosis, giardiasis, trypanosomiasis, schistosomiasis, filariasis, onchocerciasis, and loiasis. Each environmental change, whether occurring as a natural phenomenon or through human intervention, changes the ecological balance and context within which disease hosts or vectors and parasites breed, develop, and transmit disease. Each species occupies a particular ecological niche and vector species sub-populations are distinct behaviourally and genetically as they adapt to man-made environments. Most zoonotic parasites display three distinct life cycles: sylvatic, zoonotic, and anthroponotic. In adapting to changed environmental conditions, including reduced non-human population and increased human population, some vectors display conversion from a primarily zoophyllic to primarily anthrophyllic orientation. Deforestation and ensuing changes in landuse, human settlement, commercial development, road construction, water control systems (dams, canals, irrigation systems, reservoirs), and climate, singly, and in combination have been accompanied by global increases in morbidity and mortality from emergent parasitic disease. The replacement of forests with crop farming, ranching, and raising small animals can create supportive habitats for parasites and their host vectors. When the land use of deforested areas changes, the pattern of human settlement is altered and habitat fragmentation may provide opportunities for exchange and transmission of parasites to the heretofore uninfected humans. Construction of water control projects can lead to shifts in such vector populations as snails and mosquitoes and their parasites. Construction of roads in previously inaccessible forested areas can lead to erosion, and stagnant ponds by blocking the flow of streams when the water rises during the rainy season. The combined effects of environmentally detrimental changes in local land use and alterations in global climate disrupt the natural ecosystem and can increase the risk of transmission of parasitic diseases to the human population.

Prognostic factors for atherosclerosis progression in saphenous vein grafts: the postcoronary artery bypass graft (Post-CABG) trial. Post-CABG Trial Investigators.

OBJECTIVES: The study was done to assess patients in the Post-Coronary Artery Bypass Graft (Post-CABG) trial to determine prognostic factors for atherosclerosis progression. BACKGROUND: Saphenous vein grafts (SVGs) are effective in relieving angina and, in certain patient subsets, in prolonging life. However, the progression of atherosclerosis in many of these grafts limits their usefulness. METHODS: The Post-CABG trial studied moderate versus aggressive lipid-lowering and low-dose warfarin versus placebo in patients with a history of coronary artery bypass surgery and found that more aggressive lipid lowering was effective in preventing progression of atherosclerosis in SVGs, but warfarin had no effect. Using variables measured at baseline, we sought the independent prognostic factors for atherosclerosis progression in SVGs, employing the statistical method of generalized estimating equations with a logit-link function. RESULTS: Twelve independent prognostic factors for atherosclerosis progression were found. In the order of their importance they were: maximum stenosis of the graft at baseline angiography, years post-SVG placement; the moderate low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C) lowering strategy; prior myocardial infarction; high triglyceride level; small minimum graft diameter; low high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-C); high LDL-C; high mean arterial pressure; low ejection fraction; male gender; and current smoking. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified Post-CABG patient and SVG characteristics associated with saphenous vein graft atherosclerosis progression. These data provide a basis for rational risk factor management to prevent progression of SVG atherosclerosis.

High-dose cyclophosphamide in severe aplastic anaemia: a randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: High-dose cyclophosphamide has been proposed as an alternative immunosuppressive agent for treatment of severe aplastic anaemia, with a response rate similar to that with regimens containing antithymocyte globulin (ATG) but neither relapse nor clonal haematological complications. We undertook a phase III, prospective, randomised trial to compare response rates to immunosuppression with either high-dose cyclophosphamide plus cyclosporin or conventional immunosuppression with ATG plus cyclosporin in previously untreated patients. METHODS: Between June, 1997, and March, 2000, 31 patients were enrolled. 15 were assigned cyclophosphamide (1 h intravenous infusion of 50 mg/kg daily for 4 days) and 16 were assigned ATG (40 mg/kg daily for 4 days); both groups received cyclosporin, initially at 12 mg/kg daily with adjustment to maintain concentrations at 200-400 microg/L, for 6 months. The primary endpoint was haematological response (no longer meeting criteria for severe aplastic anaemia). The trial was terminated prematurely after three early deaths in the cyclophosphamide group. Analyses were by intention to treat. FINDINGS: Median follow-up was 21.9 months (range 1-33). There was excess morbidity in the cyclophosphamide group (invasive fungal infections, four cyclophosphamide vs no ATG patients; p=0.043) as well as excess early mortality (three deaths within the first 3 months cyclophosphamide vs no ATG patients; p=0.101). There was no significant difference at 6 months after treatment in the overall response rates among evaluable patients (six of 13 [46%] cyclophosphamide vs nine of 12 [75%] ATG). INTERPRETATION: A longer period of observation will be necessary to assess the secondary endpoints of relapse and late clonal complications as well as disease-free and overall survival. However, cyclophosphamide seems a dangerous choice for treatment of this disorder, given the good results achievable with standard therapy.

Fraud in medical research: an international survey of biostatisticians. ISCB Subcommittee on Fraud.

The characteristics of scientific fraud and its impact on medical research are in general not well known. However, the interest in the phenomenon has increased steadily during the last decade. Biostatisticians routinely work closely with physicians and scientists in many branches of medical research and have therefore unique insight into data. In addition, they have methodological competence to detect fraud and could be expected to have a professional interest in valid results. Biostatisticians therefore are likely to provide reliable information on the characteristics of fraud in medical research. The objective of this survey of biostatisticians, who were members of the International Society for Clinical Biostatistics, was to assess the characteristics of fraud in medical research. The survey was performed between April and July 1998. The participation rate was only 37%. We report the results because a majority (51%) of the participants knew about fraudulent projects, and many did not know whether the organization they work for has a formal system for handling suspected fraud or not. Different forms of fraud (e.g., fabrication and falsification of data, deceptive reporting of results, suppression of data, and deceptive design or analysis) had been observed in fairly similar numbers. We conclude that fraud is not a negligible phenomenon in medical research, and that increased awareness of the forms in which it is expressed seems appropriate. Further research, however, is needed to assess the prevalence of different types of fraud, as well as its impact on the validity of results published in the medical literature.

Long-term effects on clinical outcomes of aggressive lowering of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels and low-dose anticoagulation in the post coronary artery bypass graft trial. Post CABG Investigators.

BACKGROUND: The Post Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Trial, designed to compare the effects of 2 lipid-lowering regimens and low-dose anticoagulation versus placebo on progression of atherosclerosis in saphenous vein grafts of patients who had had CABG surgery, demonstrated that aggressive lowering of LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) levels to <100 mg/dL compared with a moderate reduction to 132 to 136 mg/dL decreased the progression of atherosclerosis in grafts. Low-dose anticoagulation did not significantly affect progression. METHODS AND RESULTS: Approximately 3 years after the last trial visit, Clinical Center Coordinators contacted each patient by telephone to ascertain the occurrence of cardiovascular events and procedures. The National Death Index was used to ascertain vital status for patients who could not be contacted. Vital status was established for all but 3 of 1351 patients. Information on nonfatal events was available for 95% of surviving patients. A 30% reduction in revascularization procedures and 24% reduction in a composite clinical end point were observed in patients assigned to aggressive strategy compared with patients assigned to moderate strategy during 7.5 years of follow-up, P=0. 0006 and 0.001, respectively. Reductions of 35% in deaths and 31% in deaths or myocardial infarctions with low-dose anticoagulation compared with placebo were also observed, P=0.008 and 0.003, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: -The long-term clinical benefit observed during extended follow-up in patients assigned to the aggressive strategy is consistent with the angiographic findings of delayed atherosclerosis progression in grafts observed during the trial. The apparent long-term benefit of low-dose warfarin remains unexplained.

The role of biostatistics in the prevention, detection and treatment of fraud in clinical trials.

Recent cases of fraud in clinical trials have attracted considerable media attention, but relatively little reaction from the biostatistical community. In this paper we argue that biostatisticians should be involved in preventing fraud (as well as unintentional errors), detecting it, and quantifying its impact on the outcome of clinical trials. We use the term 'fraud' specifically to refer to data fabrication (making up data values) and falsification (changing data values). Reported cases of such fraud involve cheating on inclusion criteria so that ineligible patients can enter the trial, and fabricating data so that no requested data are missing. Such types of fraud are partially preventable through a simplification of the eligibility criteria and through a reduction in the amount of data requested. These two measures are feasible and desirable in a surprisingly large number of clinical trials, and neither of them in any way jeopardizes the validity of the trial results. With regards to detection of fraud, a brute force approach has traditionally been used, whereby the participating centres undergo extensive monitoring involving up to 100 per cent verification of their case records. The cost-effectiveness of this approach seems highly debatable, since one could implement quality control through random sampling schemes, as is done in fields other than clinical medicine. Moreover, there are statistical techniques available (but insufficiently used) to detect 'strange' patterns in the data including, but no limited to, techniques for studying outliers, inliers, overdispersion, underdispersion and correlations or lack thereof. These techniques all rest upon the premise that it is quite difficult to invent plausible data, particularly highly dimensional multivariate data. The multicentric nature of clinical trials also offers an opportunity to check the plausibility of the data submitted by one centre by comparing them with the data from all other centres. Finally, with fraud detected, it is essential to quantify its likely impact upon the outcome of the clinical trial. Many instances of fraud in clinical trials, although morally reprehensible, have a negligible impact on the trial's scientific conclusions.

Aggressive cholesterol lowering delays saphenous vein graft atherosclerosis in women, the elderly, and patients with associated risk factors. NHLBI post coronary artery bypass graft clinical trial. Post CABG Trial Investigators.

BACKGROUND: The NHLBI Post Coronary Artery Bypass Graft trial (Post CABG) showed that aggressive compared with moderate lowering of low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C) decreased obstructive changes in saphenous vein grafts (SVGs) by 31%.1 Using lovastatin and cholestyramine when necessary, the annually determined mean LDL-C level ranged from 93 to 97 mg/dL in aggressively treated patients and from 132 to 136 mg/dL in the others (P<0.001). METHODS AND RESULTS: The present study evaluated the treatment effect in subgroups defined by age, gender, and selected coronary heart disease (CHD) risk factors, ie, smoking, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) <35 mg/dL, and triglyceride serum levels >/=200 mg/dL at baseline. As evidenced by similar odds ratio estimates of progression (lumen diameter decrease >/=0.6 mm) and lack of interactions with treatment, a similar beneficial effect of aggressive lowering was observed in elderly and young patients, in women and men, in patients with and without smoking, hypertension, or diabetes mellitus, and those with and without borderline high-risk triglyceride serum levels. The change in minimum lumen diameter was in the same direction for all subgroup categories, without significant interactions with treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Aggressive LDL-C lowering delays progression of atherosclerosis in SVGs irrespective of gender, age, and certain risk factors for CHD.

Effects of aggressive cholesterol lowering and low-dose anticoagulation on clinical and angiographic outcomes in patients with diabetes: the Post Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Trial.

Diabetic patients have greater risk for coronary heart disease (CHD) events after coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery than nondiabetic patients. The Post CABG trial studied the effects of aggressive cholesterol lowering and low-dose anticoagulation in diabetic patients compared with nondiabetic patients. A double-blind, randomized clinical trial in 1,351 patients (1-11 years after CABG), the Post CABG trial consisted of two interventions (aggressive cholesterol-lowering versus moderate lowering and low-dose warfarin versus placebo) on angiographic end points. Angiographic changes in saphenous vein graft conduits 4.3 years after entry were compared in 116 diabetic and 1,235 nondiabetic patients. Seven clinical centers participated in the trial, as well as the National Institutes of Health project office (National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute), the coordinating center (Maryland Medical Research Institute), and the Angiogram Reading Center (University of Minnesota). Baseline characteristics of the diabetic patients differed from the nondiabetic patients in the following ways: percentage of women participants, 15 vs. 7%, P = 0.002; mean baseline weight, 87.4 vs. 82.8 kg, P = 0.006; mean BMI, 29.5 vs. 27.6 kg/m2, P = 0.0002; mean systolic blood pressure, 141.7 vs. 133.6, P < 0.0001; mean triglyceride concentrations, 2.09 vs. 1.77 mmol/l, P < 0.0001; and mean HDL cholesterol concentrations, 0.93 vs. 1.02 mmol, P = 0.0001. The percentage of clinical events was higher in diabetic than nondiabetic patients (20.6 vs. 13.4, P = 0.033) and angiographic outcomes were not different. The benefits of aggressive cholesterol lowering were comparable in diabetic and nondiabetic patients for the angiographic end points. Warfarin use was not associated with clinical or angiographic benefit. Diabetic patients in the Post CABG trial had more CHD risk factors at study entry and higher clinical event rates during the study than nondiabetic patients. The benefits of aggressive cholesterol lowering in diabetic patients were comparable to those in nondiabetic patients for both angiographic and clinical end points. The small number of diabetic patients provided limited power to detect significant differences between diabetic and nondiabetic patients or between diabetic patients in the aggressive versus moderate cholesterol treatment strategies.

Effect of angiotensin converting enzyme inhibition on sudden cardiac death in patients following acute myocardial infarction. A meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials.

UNLABELLED: Estimate the effect of angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors on the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) following myocardial infarction (MI). BACKGROUND: Trials in post-MI patients have shown that ACE inhibitor therapy reduces mortality. However, the effect on SCD as a mechanism has not been clarified. METHODS: Trials of ACE inhibitor therapy following MI reported between January, 1978 and August, 1997 were identified. Studies were included if they met the following criteria: 1) randomized comparison of ACE inhibitor to placebo within 14 days of MI; 2) study duration/blinded follow-up of > or =6 weeks; 3) the number of deaths and modes of death were reported or could be obtained from the investigators. RESULTS: We identified 374 candidate articles, of which 15 met the inclusion criteria. The 15 trials included 15,104 patients, 2,356 of whom died. Most (87%) fatalities were cardiovascular and 900 were SCDs. A significant reduction in SCD risk or a trend towards this was observed in all of the larger (N > 500) trials. Overall, ACE inhibitor therapy resulted in significant reductions in risk of death (random effects odds ratio [OR] = 0.83; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.71-0.97), cardiovascular death (OR = 0.82; 95% CI 0.69-0.97) and SCD (OR = 0.80; 95% CI 0.70-0.92). CONCLUSIONS: This analysis is consistent with prior reports showing that ACE inhibitors decrease the risk of death following a recent MI by reducing cardiovascular mortality. Moreover, this analysis suggests that a reduction in SCD risk with ACE inhibitors is an important component of this survival benefit.

Behavioral and pharmacologic interventions: the Raynaud's Treatment Study.

The Raynaud's Treatment Study (RTS) exemplified clinical trials with treatments that differ qualitatively both in their modes and in their methods of delivery. The RTS compared finger-temperature biofeedback to slow-release nifedipine, a calcium channel blocker, in patients with primary Raynaud's disease. Factors influencing the study design were the nature of the interventions and control measures of the protocol, the possibility of perceived differences by the patients between the treatments once the final protocol was developed, and concern on the part of the investigators over the fact that the primary endpoint was self-reported. This paper presents the final statistical model: a double parallel design with both a placebo group and a nonspecific behavioral control group.

Closed testing procedures for group sequential clinical trials with multiple endpoints.

A simple approach is given for conducting closed testing in clinical trials with multiple endpoints in which group sequential monitoring is planned. The approach allows a flexible stopping time; the earliest and latest stopping times are described. The paradigm is applicable both to clinical trials with multiple endpoints and to the one-sided multiple comparison problem of several treatments versus a control. The approach leads to enhancements of previous methods and suggestions for new methods. An example of a respiratory disease trial with four endpoints is given.

Prevention of events with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibition (the PEACE study design). Prevention of Events with Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibition.

The Prevention of Events with Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibition (PEACE) trial is an 8,100 patient, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial designed to determine the usefulness of angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors in treating coronary patients with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction. The hypothesis being tested in this trial is that patients with coronary disease and ejection fraction > or =40% who are treated with ACE inhibitors will experience a reduction in the incidence of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or a revascularization procedure compared with patients treated with conventional therapy. The design of the PEACE trial is described herein.