Recent advances in the prevention and treatment of decompensated cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and the role of biomarkers.

The progression of cirrhosis with clinically significant portal hypertension towards decompensated cirrhosis remains clinically challenging and the evolution towards acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), with one or more extrahepatic organ failures, is associated with very high mortality. In the last decade, significant progress has been made in the understanding of the mechanisms leading to decompensation and ACLF. As portal hypertension advances, bacterial translocation across an impaired gut barrier culminates in endotoxaemia, systemic inflammation and cirrhosis-associated immune dysfunction (CAID). Gut-derived systemic inflammation and CAID have become the logical targets for innovative therapies that prevent hepatic decompensation episodes and the progression to ACLF.Furthermore, classification of disease and biomarker discovery to personalise care have advanced in the field. This review discusses progress in biomarker discovery and personalisation of treatment in decompensated cirrhosis and ACLF.

The inhibition of YAP Signaling Prevents Chronic Biliary Fibrosis in the Abcb4-/- Model by Modulation of Hepatic Stellate Cell and Bile Duct Epithelium Cell Pathophysiology.

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) represents a chronic liver disease characterized by poor prognosis and lacking causal treatment options. Yes-associated protein (YAP) functions as a critical mediator of fibrogenesis; however, its therapeutic potential in chronic biliary diseases such as PSC remains unestablished. The objective of this study is to elucidate the possible significance of YAP inhibition in biliary fibrosis by examining the pathophysiology of hepatic stellate cells (HSC) and biliary epithelial cells (BEC). Human liver tissue samples from PSC patients were analyzed to assess the expression of YAP/connective tissue growth factor (CTGF) relative to non-fibrotic control samples. The pathophysiological relevance of YAP/CTGF in HSC and BEC was investigated in primary human HSC (phHSC), LX-2, H69, and TFK-1 cell lines through siRNA or pharmacological inhibition utilizing verteporfin (VP) and metformin (MF). The Abcb4-/- mouse model was employed to evaluate the protective effects of pharmacological YAP inhibition. Hanging droplet and 3D matrigel culture techniques were utilized to investigate YAP expression and activation status of phHSC under various physical conditions. YAP/CTGF upregulation was observed in PSC patients. Silencing YAP/CTGF led to inhibition of phHSC activation and reduced contractility of LX-2 cells, as well as suppression of epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) in H69 cells and proliferation of TFK-1 cells. Pharmacological inhibition of YAP mitigated chronic liver fibrosis in vivo and diminished ductular reaction and EMT. YAP expression in phHSC was effectively modulated by altering extracellular stiffness, highlighting YAP's role as a mechanotransducer. In conclusion, YAP regulates the activation of HSC and EMT in BEC, thereby functioning as a checkpoint of fibrogenesis in chronic cholestasis. Both VP and MF demonstrate effectiveness as YAP inhibitors, capable of inhibiting biliary fibrosis. These findings suggest that VP and MF warrant further investigation as potential therapeutic options for the treatment of PSC.

Determinants of clinical response to empirical antibiotic treatment in patients with cirrhosis and bacterial and fungal infections-Results from the ICA "Global Study" (EABCIR-Global Study).

BACKGROUND: The administration of an appropriate empirical antibiotic treatment is essential in cirrhosis and severe bacterial infections. We aimed to investigate the predictors of clinical response of empirical antibiotic treatment in a prospective cohort of patients with cirrhosis and bacterial and fungal infections included in the International Club of Ascites "Global Study." METHODS: Patients hospitalized with cirrhosis and bacterial/fungal infection were prospectively enrolled at 46 centers. Clinical response to antibiotic treatment was defined according to changes in markers of infection/inflammation, vital signs, improvement of organ failure, and results of cultures. RESULTS: From October 2015 to September 2016, 1302 patients were included at 46 centers. A clinical response was achieved in only 61% of cases. Independent predictors of lack of clinical response to empirical treatment were C-reactive protein (OR = 1.16; 95% CI = 1.02-1.31), blood leukocyte count (OR = 1.39;95% CI = 1.09-1.77), serum albumin (OR = 0.70; 95% CI = 0.55-0.88), nosocomial infections (OR = 1.96; 95% CI = 1.20-2.38), pneumonia (OR = 1.75; 95% CI = 1.22-2.53), and ineffective treatment according to antibiotic susceptibility test (OR = 5.32; 95% CI = 3.47-8.57). Patients with a lack of clinical response to first-line antibiotic treatment had a significantly lower resolution rate of infections (55% vs. 96%; p < 0.001), a higher incidence of second infections (29% vs. 15%; p < 0.001), shock (35% vs. 7%; p < 0.001) and new organ failures (52% vs. 19 %; p < 0.001) than responders. Clinical response to empirical treatment was an independent predictor of 28-day survival ( subdistribution = 0.20; 95% CI = 0.14-0.27). CONCLUSIONS: Four out of 10 patients with cirrhosis do not respond to the first-line antibiotic therapy, leading to lower resolution of infections and higher mortality. Broader-spectrum antibiotics and strategies targeting systemic inflammation may improve prognosis in patients with a high degree of inflammation, low serum albumin levels, and severe liver impairment.

Use and outcome of TIPS in hospitalized patients in Germany: A Nationwide study (2007-2018).

BACKGROUND: The number of complications in patients admitted for cirrhosis has increased over time. Portal hypertension is the driver of many complications of cirrhosis. TIPS placement is the most effective treatment of portal hypertension. The aim of this study was to analyze the use and impact of TIPS placement in the last decade in a nationwide study in Germany. METHODS: We analyzed 14,598 admissions of patients for TIPS insertions in Germany from 2007 to 2018 using the DRG system, 12,877 out of 2,000,765 total admissions of patients with cirrhosis. All diagnoses and procedures were coded according to ICD-10-CM and OPS codes. The data were analyzed, focusing on the number of admissions and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: The number of TIPS placements increased over the last decade. In-hospital mortality of cirrhotic patients with TIPS decreased when it was placed for severe bleeding (15.2% [TIPS] vs. 19.5% [endoscopy treatment]), ascites (8.7% [TIPS] vs. 14.4% [paracentesis]), and hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) (17.1% [TIPS] vs. 43.3% [no-TIPS]). In the case of bleeding, TIPS significantly decreased in-hospital mortality and also in ascites and HRS. During hospitalization, 22.6% admissions of patients with TIPS insertion showed HE. However, in-hospital mortality in patients admitted with HE grades 1 or 2 and TIPS was lower than in patients without TIPS. In the logistic regression, a higher HE grade(3 and 4), infection, and circulatory disease were found to be independently associated with in-hospital mortality in patients with TIPS insertion. CONCLUSION: Our nationwide study demonstrates that TIPS insertion is increasingly used in Germany. TIPS improves outcomes, especially in patients with ascites and HRS, regardless of lower HE grades, while higher HE grades, infection, and circulatory diseases seem to be associated with risk of in-hospital mortality.

Study design for development of novel safety biomarkers of drug-induced liver injury by the translational safety biomarker pipeline (TransBioLine) consortium: a study protocol for a nested case-control study.

A lack of biomarkers that detect drug-induced liver injury (DILI) accurately continues to hinder early- and late-stage drug development and remains a challenge in clinical practice. The Innovative Medicines Initiative's TransBioLine consortium comprising academic and industry partners is developing a prospective repository of deeply phenotyped cases and controls with biological samples during liver injury progression to facilitate biomarker discovery, evaluation, validation and qualification.In a nested case-control design, patients who meet one of these criteria, alanine transaminase (ALT) ≥ 5 × the upper limit of normal (ULN), alkaline phosphatase ≥ 2 × ULN or ALT ≥ 3 ULN with total bilirubin > 2 × ULN, are enrolled. After completed clinical investigations, Roussel Uclaf Causality Assessment and expert panel review are used to adjudicate episodes as DILI or alternative liver diseases (acute non-DILI controls). Two blood samples are taken: at recruitment and follow-up. Sample size is as follows: 300 cases of DILI and 130 acute non-DILI controls. Additional cross-sectional cohorts (1 visit) are as follows: Healthy volunteers (n = 120), controls with chronic alcohol-related or non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (n = 100 each) and patients with psoriasis or rheumatoid arthritis (n = 100, 50 treated with methotrexate) are enrolled. Candidate biomarkers prioritised for evaluation include osteopontin, glutamate dehydrogenase, cytokeratin-18 (full length and caspase cleaved), macrophage-colony-stimulating factor 1 receptor and high mobility group protein B1 as well as bile acids, sphingolipids and microRNAs. The TransBioLine project is enabling biomarker discovery and validation that could improve detection, diagnostic accuracy and prognostication of DILI in premarketing clinical trials and for clinical healthcare application.

Limited access to liver transplantation and TIPS despite high mortality, healthcare resource use and costs of cirrhosis in Germany.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Data on number of patients with cirrhosis in Germany are limited. We therefore aimed to estimate prevalence, comorbidities, mortality, utilization of healthcare resources and costs of patients with cirrhosis and incidence of decompensation of cirrhosis in Germany. METHODS: This longitudinal observational study was based on an anonymized representative claims database including 4.9 million persons insured by a statutory health insurance (SHI) between 2015-2020. Patients with decompensated and compensated cirrhosis were selected via diagnostic ICD codes and followed for 2 years. RESULTS: Prevalence of cirrhosis in 2015 was 250/100 000, resulting in 201 747 (95% CI: 197 540-206 040) patients extrapolated to the German population. Out of all patients with compensated cirrhosis in 2015 who did not deceased, 16.0% developed a decompensation within 3 years. Overall, 978 patients (Ø-age: 68 years; 60% male) were included in the decompensated, and 5135 patients (Ø-age: 66 years; 59% male) in the compensated cirrhosis cohort. Patients with decompensated cirrhosis had a higher burden of comorbidities (Charlson Comorbidity Index 7.3 vs. 4.4) and 3 times higher costs per quarter (7172 € vs. 2213 €) than patients with compensated cirrhosis. 1-year mortality after decompensation was 51% compared to 8% in compensated cirrhosis. Of note, only few patients with decompensated cirrhosis received a liver transplantation or transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts (TIPS) (1% and 5%). CONCLUSION: Patients with cirrhosis have a high healthcare burden in especially decompensated stage. Accordingly, 1-year mortality of decompensated cirrhosis in Germany is high. Despite high health resource utilization, only few patients have access to liver transplantation or TIPS.

Nomenclature, diagnosis and management of drug-induced autoimmune-like hepatitis (DI-ALH): An expert opinion meeting report.

Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) can mimic almost all other liver disorders. A phenotype increasingly ascribed to drugs is autoimmune-like hepatitis (ALH). This article summarises the major topics discussed at a joint International Conference held between the Drug-Induced Liver Injury consortium and the International Autoimmune Hepatitis Group. DI-ALH is a liver injury with laboratory and/or histological features that may be indistinguishable from those of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH). Previous studies have revealed that patients with DI-ALH and those with idiopathic AIH have very similar clinical, biochemical, immunological and histological features. Differentiating DI-ALH from AIH is important as patients with DI-ALH rarely require long-term immunosuppression and the condition often resolves spontaneously after withdrawal of the implicated drug, whereas patients with AIH mostly require long-term immunosuppression. Therefore, revision of the diagnosis on long-term follow-up may be necessary in some cases. More than 40 different drugs including nitrofurantoin, methyldopa, hydralazine, minocycline, infliximab, herbal and dietary supplements (such as Khat and Tinospora cordifolia) have been implicated in DI-ALH. Understanding of DI-ALH is limited by the lack of specific markers of the disease that could allow for a precise diagnosis, while there is similarly no single feature which is diagnostic of AIH. We propose a management algorithm for patients with liver injury and an autoimmune phenotype. There is an urgent need to prospectively evaluate patients with DI-ALH systematically to enable definitive characterisation of this condition.

Tandem mass tag-based quantitative proteomic profiling identifies candidate serum biomarkers of drug-induced liver injury in humans.

Diagnosis of drug-induced liver injury (DILI) and its distinction from other liver diseases are significant challenges in drug development and clinical practice. Here, we identify, confirm, and replicate the biomarker performance characteristics of candidate proteins in patients with DILI at onset (DO; n = 133) and follow-up (n = 120), acute non-DILI at onset (NDO; n = 63) and follow-up (n = 42), and healthy volunteers (HV; n = 104). Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for cytoplasmic aconitate hydratase, argininosuccinate synthase, carbamoylphosphate synthase, fumarylacetoacetase, fructose-1,6-bisphosphatase 1 (FBP1) across cohorts achieved near complete separation (range: 0.94-0.99) of DO and HV. In addition, we show that FBP1, alone or in combination with glutathione S-transferase A1 and leukocyte cell-derived chemotaxin 2, could potentially assist in clinical diagnosis by distinguishing NDO from DO (AUC range: 0.65-0.78), but further technical and clinical validation of these candidate biomarkers is needed.

Sympathetic nervous activation, mitochondrial dysfunction and outcome in acutely decompensated cirrhosis: the metabolomic prognostic models (CLIF-C MET).

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Current prognostic scores of patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis (AD), particularly those with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), underestimate the risk of mortality. This is probably because systemic inflammation (SI), the major driver of AD/ACLF, is not reflected in the scores. SI induces metabolic changes, which impair delivery of the necessary energy for the immune reaction. This investigation aimed to identify metabolites associated with short-term (28-day) death and to design metabolomic prognostic models. METHODS: Two prospective multicentre large cohorts from Europe for investigating ACLF and development of ACLF, CANONIC (discovery, n=831) and PREDICT (validation, n=851), were explored by untargeted serum metabolomics to identify and validate metabolites which could allow improved prognostic modelling. RESULTS: Three prognostic metabolites strongly associated with death were selected to build the models. 4-Hydroxy-3-methoxyphenylglycol sulfate is a norepinephrine derivative, which may be derived from the brainstem response to SI. Additionally, galacturonic acid and hexanoylcarnitine are associated with mitochondrial dysfunction. Model 1 included only these three prognostic metabolites and age. Model 2 was built around 4-hydroxy-3-methoxyphenylglycol sulfate, hexanoylcarnitine, bilirubin, international normalised ratio (INR) and age. In the discovery cohort, both models were more accurate in predicting death within 7, 14 and 28 days after admission compared with MELDNa score (C-index: 0.9267, 0.9002 and 0.8424, and 0.9369, 0.9206 and 0.8529, with model 1 and model 2, respectively). Similar results were found in the validation cohort (C-index: 0.940, 0.834 and 0.791, and 0.947, 0.857 and 0.810, with model 1 and model 2, respectively). Also, in ACLF, model 1 and model 2 outperformed MELDNa 7, 14 and 28 days after admission for prediction of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Models including metabolites (CLIF-C MET) reflecting SI, mitochondrial dysfunction and sympathetic system activation are better predictors of short-term mortality than scores based only on organ dysfunction (eg, MELDNa), especially in patients with ACLF.

Relapse and Need for Extended Immunosuppression: Novel Features of Drug-Induced Autoimmune Hepatitis.

BACKGROUND: Drug-induced autoimmune hepatitis (DI-AIH) has been proposed as a distinct phenotype of drug-induced liver injury (DILI), and frequently has been associated with specific drugs, such as minocycline and nitrofurantoin. However, no clear definition of DI-AIH has been established thus far. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to identify features distinguishing DI-AIH from DILI and idiopathic autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) in an attempt to further define a DI-AIH phenotype. METHOD: A cohort of 38 previously reported DILI and AIH patients who were prospectively recruited at our tertiary centre and who received corticosteroid was analysed regarding the phenotypical presentation and outcome of DI-AIH, DILI, and AIH. RESULTS: AIH (n = 19), DILI (n = 8), and DI-AIH (n = 11) patients presented with similar clinical features at onset, with the only difference being a higher Roussel Uclaf Causality Assessment Method (RUCAM) score in the DILI and DI-AIH patients. Post-treatment AIH scores were lower and a more rapid decrease of alanine aminotransferase in the first week of corticosteroid treatment was observed in both DILI groups when compared to AIH patients, while no significant differences were observed between DI-AIH and DILI patients. Relapse occurred in DI-AIH but not in DILI patients (36% vs. 0%) with a more frequent need for long-term immunosuppression (27% vs. 13%). CONCLUSIONS: Our data show that relapse after cessation of corticosteroids and need for further immunosuppressive treatment does occur in a substantial proportion of DI-AIH patients. However, no other phenotypical differences between DILI due to agents commonly associated with DI-AIH and DILI due to other drugs were identified.

A new framework for advancing in drug-induced liver injury research. The Prospective European DILI Registry.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: No multi-national prospective study of drug-induced liver injury (DILI) has originated in Europe. The design of a prospective European DILI registry, clinical features and short-term outcomes of the cases and controls is reported. METHODS: Patients with suspected DILI were prospectively enrolled in the United Kingdom, Spain, Germany, Switzerland, Portugal and Iceland, 2016-2021. DILI cases or non-DILI acute liver injury controls following causality assessment were enrolled. RESULTS: Of 446 adjudicated patients, 246 DILI patients and 100 had acute liver injury due to other aetiologies, mostly autoimmune hepatitis (n = 42) and viral hepatitis (n = 34). DILI patients (mean age 56 years), 57% women, 60% with jaundice and 3.6% had pre-existing liver disease. DILI cases and non-DILI acute liver injury controls had similar demographics, clinical features and outcomes. A single agent was implicated in 199 (81%) DILI cases. Amoxicillin-clavulanate, flucloxacillin, atorvastatin, nivolumab/ipilimumab, infliximab and nitrofurantoin were the most commonly implicated drugs. Multiple conventional medications were implicated in 37 (15%) and 18 cases were caused by herbal and dietary supplements. The most common single causative drug classes were antibacterials (40%) and antineoplastic/immunomodulating agents (27%). Overall, 13 (5.3%) had drug-induced autoimmune-like hepatitis due to nitrofurantoin, methyldopa, infliximab, methylprednisolone and minocycline. Only six (2.4%) DILI patients died (50% had liver-related death), and another six received liver transplantation. CONCLUSIONS: In this first multi-national European prospective DILI Registry study, antibacterials were the most commonly implicated medications, whereas antineoplastic and immunomodulating agents accounted for higher proportion of DILI than previously described. This European initiative provides an important opportunity to advance the study on DILI.

Marked Increase of Gamma-Glutamyltransferase as an Indicator of Drug-Induced Liver Injury in Patients without Conventional Diagnostic Criteria of Acute Liver Injury.

Introduction: Clinically significant drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is defined by elevations of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ≥5 times the upper limit of normal (ULN), alkaline phosphatase (ALP) ≥2 × ULN, or ALT ≥3 × ULN and total bilirubin TBIL >2 × ULN. However, DILI might also occur in patients who do not reach those thresholds and still may benefit from discontinuation of medication. Methods: Fifteen patients recruited for our prospective study on potentially hepatotoxic drugs were included. DILI diagnosis was based on RUCAM (Roussel Uclaf Causality Assessment Method) score and expert opinion and was supported by an in vitro test using monocyte-derived hepatocyte-like (MH) cells. Results: Median RUCAM score was 6 (range 4-8), indicating that DILI was possible or probable in all cases. The predominant types of liver injury were mixed (60%) and cholestatic (40%). While no elevation above 2 × ULN of ALP and TBIL was observed, gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT) above 2 × ULN was identified in 8 of the patients. Six of the 15 patients did not achieve full remission and showed persistent elevation of GGT, which was significantly associated with peak GGT elevation above 2 × ULN (p = 0.005). Conclusion: Here we present a case series of patients with liver enzyme elevation below the conventional thresholds who developed DILI with a predominant GGT elevation leading to drug withdrawal and/or chronic elevation of liver parameters, in particular of GGT. Thus, we propose that DILI should be considered in particular in cases with marked increase of GGT even if conventional DILI threshold levels are not reached, resulting in discontinuation of the causative drug and/or close monitoring of the patients.

Challenges and Future of Drug-Induced Liver Injury Research-Laboratory Tests.

Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is a rare but potentially severe adverse drug event, which is also a major cause of study cessation and market withdrawal during drug development. Since no acknowledged diagnostic tests are available, DILI diagnosis poses a major challenge both in clinical practice as well as in pharmacovigilance. Differentiation from other liver diseases and the identification of the causative agent in the case of polymedication are the main issues that clinicians and drug developers face in this regard. Thus, efforts have been made to establish diagnostic testing methods and biomarkers in order to safely diagnose DILI and ensure a distinguishment from alternative liver pathologies. This review provides an overview of the diagnostic methods used in differential diagnosis, especially with regards to autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) and drug-induced autoimmune hepatitis (DI-AIH), in vitro causality methods using individual blood samples, biomarkers for diagnosis and severity prediction, as well as experimental predictive models utilized in pre-clinical settings during drug development regimes.

Acute liver injury following methylprednisolone pulse therapy: 13 cases from a prospectively collected cohort.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) remains a challenging diagnosis requiring exclusion of other causes of liver injury, concise medical history taking to identify potential causative medication and creation of a plausible temporal relation to attribute said liver injury to a potentially hepatotoxic agent. In spite of corticosteroids being considered an effective treatment for DILI in some patients, methylprednisolone (MPS) has been associated with liver injury of varying severity. METHODS: We analyzed data of our prospective study on potentially hepatotoxic drugs (NCT02353455), identified 13 cases of MPS-associated liver injury and performed an analysis of clinical, laboratory and histopathological characteristics. For all available liver biopsy specimens, expert histopathological analysis was performed. RESULTS: Thirteen patients with a variety of primarily neurologic autoimmune diseases treated with MPS developed subsequent liver injury with a median latency of 5 weeks. Liver injury was severe or required transplantation in six patients. Injury typically occurred after repeated pulsing was hepatocellular and responded swiftly to prednisolone administration. For those patients who received in house-follow up, relapse after discontinuation of immunosuppression was not observed. Histopathological features of MPS-DILI comprised both interface and periportal hepatitis with mixed inflammatory infiltrates, similar to autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) features. DISCUSSION: MPS-related liver injury can be life-threatening, occurs with considerable latency and after repeat dosing. Regular surveillance of hepatic biochemistry should therefore be routinely performed also after discharge to avoid further MPS-related liver injury during repeat application. Swift response to prednisolone but not histologic features can be helpful to discriminate MPS-DILI from AIH.

p70 Ribosomal Protein S6 Kinase Is a Checkpoint of Human Hepatic Stellate Cell Activation and Liver Fibrosis in Mice.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Progression of chronic liver disease (CLD) to liver cirrhosis and liver cancer is a major global cause of morbidity and mortality. Treatment options capable of inhibiting progression of liver fibrosis when etiological treatment of CLD is not available or fails have yet to be established. We investigated the role of serine/threonine kinase p70 ribosomal protein S6 kinase (p70S6K) as checkpoint of fibrogenesis in hepatic stellate cells (HSCs) and as target for the treatment of liver fibrosis. APPROACH & RESULTS: Immunohistochemistry was used to assess p70S6K expression in liver resection specimen. Primary human or murine HSCs from wild-type or p70S6K-/- mice as well as LX-2 cells were used for in vitro experiments. Specific small interfering RNA or CEP-1347 were used to silence or inhibit p70S6K and assess its functional relevance in viability, contraction and migration assays, fluorescence-activated cell sorting, and Western blot. These results were validated in vivo by a chemical model of fibrogenesis using wild-type and p70S6K-/- mice. Expression of p70S6K was significantly increased in human cirrhotic vs noncirrhotic liver-tissue and progressively increased in vitro through activation of primary human HSCs. Conversely, p70S6K induced fibrogenic activation of HSCs in different models, including the small interfering RNA-based silencing of p70S6K in HSC lines, experiments with p70S6K-/- cells, and the pharmacological inhibition of p70S6K by CEP-1347. These findings were validated in vivo as p70S6K-/- mice developed significantly less fibrosis upon exposure to CCl4. CONCLUSIONS: We establish p70S6K as a checkpoint of fibrogenesis in vitro and in vivo and CEP-1347 as potential treatment option that can safely be used for long-term treatment.

Novel predictors for liver transplantation or death in drug-induced acute liver failure.

OBJECTIVE: Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is a leading cause of acute liver failure (ALF). Predictors for orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) or death in drug-induced ALF (DI-ALF) are scarce. METHODS: In total 33 of 346 patients recruited for our prospective study on potentially hepatotoxic drugs had ALF. DILI diagnosis was based on Roussel Uclaf Causality Assessment Method (RUCAM) score and expert opinion. Area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve, Youden's index and positive and negative likelihood ratios were calculated to identify the best performing predictive markers and scores for OLT or death. RESULTS: Poor outcome was associated with lower baseline platelet counts and cholinesterase (CHE) levels, higher International Normalized Ratio (INR) levels and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores. Yet, AUROC reached a maximum of only 0.71-0.75 for either of those laboratory markers or the MELD score. Notably however, combinations of those scores were highly discriminatory, in particular INR/(CHE*platelet count) and MELD/(CHE*platelet count), showing an AUROC of 0.91, a positive likelihood ratios of 13.78 and a negative likelihood ratios of 0.08. CONCLUSION: While baseline MELD score, INR, CHE, and platelet counts had limited potential to discriminate between DI-ALF with survival or poor outcome, their combinations were highly associated with OLT or death in patients with DI-ALF.

A Simple Prognostic Scoring System for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Selective Internal Radiation Therapy.

INTRODUCTION: Selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT) is a local treatment option for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Its exact role next to other HCC therapies has yet to be defined. In order to identify patients most suitable for SIRT, a SIRT-specific prognostic score should be developed. METHODS: A cohort of 72 SIRT patients treated at the University Hospital of Munich was retrospectively analyzed. The prognostic performance of 12 HCC staging systems and prognostic scores was assessed. Cox-regression analysis was used to identify independent prognostic factors, which formed the basis of the Munich-SIRT score (M-SIRT). All scores were ranked by calculating the c-Index and Akaike information criterion (AIC). External validation was performed in a cohort of 128 SIRT patients treated at the University Hospital of Pamplona, Spain. RESULTS: median overall survival was 13 months (95% confidence interval 9.9-21.9). AFP (p = 0.005; hazard ratio [HR] 2.38), albumin (p < 0.001; HR 5.87), and alkaline phosphatase (p < 0.001; HR 8.38) were identified as independent prognostic factors. M-SIRT comprises 3 prognostic groups with a median survival of 38.9, 14.6, and 7.7 months, respectively (I vs. II: p = 0.003, II vs. III: p < 0.001). AIC (318) and concordance index (0.711) ranked M-SIRT superior to the established HCC staging systems, and the score successfully passed external validation in an independent SIRT cohort (I vs. II: p = 0.03; II vs. III: p = 0.007). CONCLUSION: Therapy-specific prognostic scores can facilitate treatment decisions and prognostication for HCC patients. Considering its performance in 200 SIRT patients, M-SIRT is a promising prognostic tool for HCC patients evaluated for SIRT.