Artificial Intelligence Enabled Interpretation of ECG Images to Predict Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation Toxicity.

Artificial intelligence enabled interpretation of electrocardiogram waveform images (AI-ECG) can identify patterns predictive of future adverse cardiac events. We hypothesized such an approach, which is well described in general medical and surgical patients, would provide prognostic information with respect to the risk of cardiac complications and overall mortality in patients undergoing hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) for blood malignancy. We retrospectively subjected ECGs obtained pre-HCT to an externally trained, deep learning model designed to predict risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Included were 1,377 patients (849 autologous HCT and 528 allogeneic HCT recipients). Median follow-up was 2.9 years. The three-year cumulative incidence of AF was 9% (95% CI: 7-12%) in autologous HCT patients and 13% (10-16%) in allogeneic HCT patients. In the entire cohort, pre-HCT AI-ECG estimate of AF risk correlated highly with development of clinical AF (Hazard Ratio (HR) 7.37, 3.53-15.4, p <0.001), inferior overall survival (HR: 2.4; 1.3-4.5, p = 0.004), and greater risk of non-relapse mortality (HR 3.36, 1.39-8.13, p = 0.007), without increased risk of relapse. Significant associations with mortality were only noted in allo HCT recipients, where the risk of non-relapse mortality was greater. Compared to calcineurin inhibitor-based graft versus host disease prophylaxis, the use of post-transplantation cyclophosphamide resulted in greater 90-day incidence of AF (13% versus 5%, p = 0.01), corresponding to temporal changes in AI-ECG AF prediction post HCT. In summary, AI-ECG can inform risk of post-transplant cardiac outcomes and survival in HCT patients and represents a novel strategy for personalized risk assessment after HCT.

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy detection with artificial intelligence electrocardiography in international cohorts: an external validation study.

Aims: Recently, deep learning artificial intelligence (AI) models have been trained to detect cardiovascular conditions, including hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), from the 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). In this external validation study, we sought to assess the performance of an AI-ECG algorithm for detecting HCM in diverse international cohorts. Methods and results: A convolutional neural network-based AI-ECG algorithm was developed previously in a single-centre North American HCM cohort (Mayo Clinic). This algorithm was applied to the raw 12-lead ECG data of patients with HCM and non-HCM controls from three external cohorts (Bern, Switzerland; Oxford, UK; and Seoul, South Korea). The algorithm's ability to distinguish HCM vs. non-HCM status from the ECG alone was examined. A total of 773 patients with HCM and 3867 non-HCM controls were included across three sites in the merged external validation cohort. The HCM study sample comprised 54.6% East Asian, 43.2% White, and 2.2% Black patients. Median AI-ECG probabilities of HCM were 85% for patients with HCM and 0.3% for controls (P < 0.001). Overall, the AI-ECG algorithm had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.922 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.910-0.934], with diagnostic accuracy 86.9%, sensitivity 82.8%, and specificity 87.7% for HCM detection. In age- and sex-matched analysis (case-control ratio 1:2), the AUC was 0.921 (95% CI 0.909-0.934) with accuracy 88.5%, sensitivity 82.8%, and specificity 90.4%. Conclusion: The AI-ECG algorithm determined HCM status from the 12-lead ECG with high accuracy in diverse international cohorts, providing evidence for external validity. The value of this algorithm in improving HCM detection in clinical practice and screening settings requires prospective evaluation.

Ten-Year Trend of Oral Anticoagulation Use in Postoperative and Nonpostoperative Atrial Fibrillation in Routine Clinical Practice.

BACKGROUND: The study aimed to describe the patterns and trends of initiation, discontinuation, and adherence of oral anticoagulation (OAC) in patients with new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF), and compare with patients newly diagnosed with non-POAF. METHODS AND RESULTS: This retrospective cohort study identified patients newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation or flutter between 2012 and 2021 using administrative claims data from OptumLabs Data Warehouse. The POAF cohort included 118 366 patients newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation or flutter within 30 days after surgery. The non-POAF cohort included the remaining 315 832 patients who were newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation or flutter but not within 30 days after a surgery. OAC initiation increased from 28.9% to 44.0% from 2012 to 2021 in POAF, and 37.8% to 59.9% in non-POAF; 12-month medication adherence increased from 47.0% to 61.8% in POAF, and 59.7% to 70.4% in non-POAF. The median time to OAC discontinuation was 177 days for POAF, and 242 days for non-POAF. Patients who saw a cardiologist within 90 days of the first atrial fibrillation or flutter diagnosis, regardless of POAF or non-POAF, were more likely to initiate OAC (odds ratio, 2.92 [95% CI, 2.87-2.98]; P <0.0001), adhere to OAC (odds ratio, 1.08 [95% CI, 1.04-1.13]; P <0.0001), and less likely to discontinue (odds ratio, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.82-0.85]; P <0.0001) than patients who saw a surgeon or other specialties. CONCLUSIONS: The use of and adherence to OAC were higher in non-POAF patients than in POAF patients, but they increased over time in both groups. Patients managed by cardiologists were more likely to use and adhere to OAC, regardless of POAF or non-POAF.

Inflammatory risk and cardiovascular events in patients without obstructive coronary artery disease: the ORFAN multicentre, longitudinal cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) is the first line investigation for chest pain, and it is used to guide revascularisation. However, the widespread adoption of CCTA has revealed a large group of individuals without obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD), with unclear prognosis and management. Measurement of coronary inflammation from CCTA using the perivascular fat attenuation index (FAI) Score could enable cardiovascular risk prediction and guide the management of individuals without obstructive CAD. The Oxford Risk Factors And Non-invasive imaging (ORFAN) study aimed to evaluate the risk profile and event rates among patients undergoing CCTA as part of routine clinical care in the UK National Health Service (NHS); to test the hypothesis that coronary arterial inflammation drives cardiac mortality or major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in patients with or without CAD; and to externally validate the performance of the previously trained artificial intelligence (AI)-Risk prognostic algorithm and the related AI-Risk classification system in a UK population. METHODS: This multicentre, longitudinal cohort study included 40 091 consecutive patients undergoing clinically indicated CCTA in eight UK hospitals, who were followed up for MACE (ie, myocardial infarction, new onset heart failure, or cardiac death) for a median of 2·7 years (IQR 1·4-5·3). The prognostic value of FAI Score in the presence and absence of obstructive CAD was evaluated in 3393 consecutive patients from the two hospitals with the longest follow-up (7·7 years [6·4-9·1]). An AI-enhanced cardiac risk prediction algorithm, which integrates FAI Score, coronary plaque metrics, and clinical risk factors, was then evaluated in this population. FINDINGS: In the 2·7 year median follow-up period, patients without obstructive CAD (32 533 [81·1%] of 40 091) accounted for 2857 (66·3%) of the 4307 total MACE and 1118 (63·7%) of the 1754 total cardiac deaths in the whole of Cohort A. Increased FAI Score in all the three coronary arteries had an additive impact on the risk for cardiac mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 29·8 [95% CI 13·9-63·9], p<0·001) or MACE (12·6 [8·5-18·6], p<0·001) comparing three vessels with an FAI Score in the top versus bottom quartile for each artery. FAI Score in any coronary artery predicted cardiac mortality and MACE independently from cardiovascular risk factors and the presence or extent of CAD. The AI-Risk classification was positively associated with cardiac mortality (6·75 [5·17-8·82], p<0·001, for very high risk vs low or medium risk) and MACE (4·68 [3·93-5·57], p<0·001 for very high risk vs low or medium risk). Finally, the AI-Risk model was well calibrated against true events. INTERPRETATION: The FAI Score captures inflammatory risk beyond the current clinical risk stratification and CCTA interpretation, particularly among patients without obstructive CAD. The AI-Risk integrates this information in a prognostic algorithm, which could be used as an alternative to traditional risk factor-based risk calculators. FUNDING: British Heart Foundation, NHS-AI award, Innovate UK, National Institute for Health and Care Research, and the Oxford Biomedical Research Centre.

When cardiovascular medicines should be discontinued.

An integral component of the practice of medicine is focused on the initiation of medications, based on clinical practice guidelines and underlying trial evidence, which usually test the addition of novel medications intended for life-long use in short-term clinical trials. Much less attention is given to the question of medication discontinuation, especially after a lengthy period of treatment, during which patients age gets older and diseases may either progress or new diseases may emerge. Given the paucity of data, clinical practice guidelines offer little to no guidance on when and how to deprescribe cardiovascular medications. Such decisions are often left to the discretion of clinicians, who, together with their patients, express concern of potential adverse effects of medication discontinuation. Even in the absence of adverse effects, the continuation of medications without any proven effect may cause harm due to drug-drug interactions, the emergence of polypharmacy, and additional preventable spending to already strained health systems. Herein, several cardiovascular medications or medication classes are discussed that in the opinion of this author group should generally be discontinued, either for the prevention of potential harm, for a lack of benefit, or for the availability of better alternatives.

A Pragmatic Study of Cardiovascular Disease During Long-Term COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Many patients diagnosed with COVID-19 have persistent cardiovascular symptoms, but whether this represents a true cardiac process is unclear. This study assessed whether symptoms associated with long COVID among patients referred for cardiovascular evaluation are associated with objective abnormalities on cardiac testing to explain their clinical presentation. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of 40,462 unique patients diagnosed with COVID-19 at our tertiary referral was conducted and identified 363 patients with persistent cardiovascular symptoms a minimum of 4 weeks after polymerase chain reaction confirmed COVID-19 infection. Patients had no cardiovascular symptoms prior to COVID-19 infection. Each patient was referred for cardiovascular evaluation at a tertiary referral center. The incidence and etiology of abnormalities on cardiovascular testing among patients with long COVID symptoms are reported here. The cohort was subsequently divided into 3 categories based on the dominant circulating severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 variant at the time of initial infection for further analysis. RESULTS: Among 40,462 unique patients diagnosed with COVID-19 at our tertiary referral center from April 2020 to March 2022, 363 (0.9%) patients with long COVID were evaluated by Cardiology for possible cardiac sequelae from COVID and formed the main study cohort. Of these, 229 (63%) were vaccinated and 47 (12.9%) had severe initial infection, receiving inpatient treatment for COVID prior to developing long COVID symptoms. Symptoms were associated with a cardiac cause in 85 (23.4%), of which 52 (14.3%) were attributed to COVID; 39 (10.7%) with new cardiac disease from COVID, and 13 (3.6%) to worsening of pre-existing cardiac disease after COVID infection. The median troponin change in 45 patients with troponin measurements within 4 weeks of acute infection was +4 ng/dL (9 to 13 ng/dL). Among the total cohort with long COVID, 83.7% were diagnosed during the pre-Delta phase, 13.2% during the Delta phase, and 3.1% during the Omicron phase of the pandemic. There were 6 cases of myocarditis, 11 rhythm disorders, 8 cases of pericarditis, 5 suspected cases of endothelial dysfunction, and 33 cases of autonomic dysfunction. CONCLUSION: This pragmatic retrospective cohort study suggests that patients with long COVID referred for cardiovascular evaluation infrequently have new, objective cardiovascular disease to explain their clinical presentation. A multidisciplinary, patient-centered approach is warranted for symptom management along with conservative use of diagnostic testing.

Re-evaluating the Incidence and Prevalence of Clinical Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy: An Epidemiological Study of Olmsted County, Minnesota.

OBJECTIVE: To contemporaneously reappraise the incidence-rate, prevalence, and natural history of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) in Olmsted County, Minnesota, from 1984 to 2015. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A validated medical-record linkage system collecting information for residents of Olmsted County was used to identify all cases of HCM between January 1, 1984, and December 31, 2015. After adjudication of records from Mayo Clinic and Olmsted Medical Center, data relating to diagnoses and outcomes were abstracted. The calculated incidence rate and prevalence were standardized to the US 1980 White population (age- and sex-adjusted) and compared with a prior study examining the years 1975-1984. RESULTS: Two hundred seventy subjects with HCM were identified. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence rate was 6.6 per 100,000 person-years, and the point prevalence of HCM on January 1, 2016, was 89 per 100,000 population. The incidence rate and point prevalence of HCM on January 1, 2016, standardized to the US 1980 White population (age- and sex-adjusted), were 6.7 (95% CI, 7.1 to 8.8) per 100,000 person-years and 81.5 per 100,000 population, respectively. The incidence rate of HCM increased each decade since the index study. Individuals with HCM had a higher overall standardized mortality rate than the general population with an observed to expected HR of 1.44 (95% CI, 1.21 to 1.71; P<.001) which improved by each decade. CONCLUSION: The incidence and prevalence of HCM are higher than rates reported from a prior study in the same community examining the years 1975-1984, but lower than other study cohorts. The risk of mortality in HCM remains higher than expected, albeit with improvement in rates of mortality observed each decade during the study period.

Daylight Saving Time Practice and the Rate of Adverse Cardiovascular Events in the United States: A Probabilistic Assessment in a Large Nationwide Study.

We investigated the association of daylight saving time (DST) transitions with the rates of adverse cardiovascular events in a large, US-based nationwide study. The study cohort included 36,116,951 unique individuals from deidentified administrative claims data of the OptumLabs Data Warehouse. There were 74,722 total adverse cardiovascular events during DST transition and the control weeks (2 weeks before and after) in spring and autumn of 2015-2019. We used Bayesian hierarchical Poisson regression models to estimate event rate ratios representing the ratio of composite adverse cardiovascular event rates between DST transition and control weeks. There was an average increase of 3% (95% uncertainty interval, -3% to -10%) and 4% (95% uncertainty interval, -2% to -12%) in adverse cardiovascular event rates during Monday and Friday of the spring DST transition, respectively. The probability of this being associated with a moderate-to-large increase in the event rates (estimate event rate ratio, >1.10) was estimated to be less than 6% for Monday and Friday, and less than 1% for the remaining days. During autumn DST transition, the probability of any decrease in adverse cardiovascular event rates was estimated to be less than 46% and a moderate-to-large decrease in the event rates to be less than 4% across all days. Results were similar when adjusted by age. In conclusion, spring DST transition had a suggestive association with a minor increase in adverse cardiovascular event rates but with a very low estimated probability to be of clinical importance. Our findings suggest that DST transitions are unlikely to meaningfully impact the rate of cardiovascular events.

Coronary spasm and vasomotor dysfunction as a cause of MINOCA.

Increasing evidence has shown that coronary spasm and vasomotor dysfunction may be the underlying cause in more than half of myocardial infarctions with non-obstructive coronary arteries (MINOCA) as well as an important cause of chronic chest pain in the outpatient setting. We review the contemporary understanding of coronary spasm and related vasomotor dysfunction of the coronary arteries, the pathophysiology and prognosis, and current and emerging approaches to diagnosis and evidence-based treatment.

Country and health expenditure are major predictors of withholding anticoagulation in atrial fibrillation patients at high risk of stroke.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) at high thromboembolic risk recommend oral anticoagulants (OACs) for preventing stroke and systemic embolism (SE). The reasons for guideline non-adherence are still unclear. AIM: The aim is to identify clinical, demographic and non-patient characteristics associated with withholding OAC in patients with AF at high stroke risk. METHODS: Patients in the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD-AF, newly diagnosed with AF between March 2010 and August 2016, and with CHA2DS2-VASc Score≥2 (excluding sex), were grouped by OAC treatment at enrolment. Factors associated with OAC non-use were analysed by multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Of 40 416 eligible patients, 12 126 (30.0%) did not receive OACs at baseline. Globally, OAC prescription increased over time, from 60.4% in 2010-2011 to 74.7% in 2015-2016. Country of enrolment was the major predictor for OAC withholding (χ2-df=2576). Clinical predictors of OAC non-use included type of AF (χ2-df=404), history of bleeding (χ2-df=263) and vascular disease (χ2-df=99). OACs were used most frequently around the age of 75 years and decreasingly with younger as well as older age beyond 75 years (χ2-df=148). Non-cardiologists (χ2-df=201) and emergency room physicians (χ2-df=14) were less likely to prescribe OACs. OAC prescription correlated positively with country health expenditure. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately one out of three AF patients did not receive OAC, while eligible according to the guidelines. Country of enrolment was the major determinant of anticoagulation strategy, while higher country health expenditure was associated with lower likelihood of withholding anticoagulation.

Proangiogenic Growth Factor Therapy for the Treatment of Refractory Angina: A Meta-analysis.

Background: Refractory angina (RFA; limiting angina despite optimal medical therapy) is a growing, global problem, with limited treatment options. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to evaluate the effect of proangiogenic growth factor therapy (in the form of vascular growth factors delivered either as recombinant proteins or gene therapy) in patients with RFA ineligible for revascularization. Methods: We performed a meta-analysis (PROSPERO: CRD42018107283) of RCTs as per the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses methodology. A comprehensive search of the PubMed, CENTRAL, Embase, Cochrane, ClinicalTrials.gov and Google Scholar databases, as well as scientific session abstracts, were performed. The pooled outcomes included major adverse cardiac events (MACE), mortality, myocardial perfusion, and indices of angina severity (Canadian Cardiovascular Society angina class [CCS] and exercise tolerance). A prespecified subgroup analysis was performed for delivery method, vector, and protein type. The standardized mean difference (SMD) or odds ratio (OR) was calculated to assess relevant outcomes. We assessed heterogeneity using the χ2 and I2 tests. Results: We included 16 RCTs involving 1607 patients (1052 received proangiogenic growth factor therapy and 555 received a placebo or optimal medical therapy). Our analysis showed a significant decreased risk of MACE (OR, 0.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.55-0.93) and significantly improved CCS class (SMD, -0.55; 95% CI, -1.10 to 0.00), but not mortality (OR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.28-1.54) or exercise tolerance (SMD, 0.47; 95% CI, -0.14 to 1.09), in treated patients compared to those in the control group. Conclusions: Proangiogenic growth factor therapy is a promising treatment option for RFA, with beneficial effects seen on MACE and CCS class. The results of ongoing trials are needed before it can be considered for clinical practice.

Anticoagulación en los pacientes añosos con fibrilación auricular / Anticoagulation in the elderly patient with atrial fibrillation

El aumento de la edad se destaca como uno de los factores de riesgo más potentes para la aparición de un accidente cerebrovascular en un paciente con fibrilación auricular (FA). Con el aumento constante de la edad de la población mundial se plantean muchas interrogantes acerca de la estrategia óptima para anticoagular al paciente añoso, y a menudo se presentan dilemas sumamente complejos. Este grupo de pacientes tiene un mayor riesgo de sangrado vinculado a la presencia de múltiples comorbilidades, por la frecuencia de las caídas y la polifarmacia -en especial por los antiplaquetarios-. La mayor sensibilidad del paciente añoso a la warfarina, junto con la mayor frecuencia con la que sufren sangrado intracraneano, hacen que los nuevos anticoagulantes orales constituyan una alternativa atractiva en ciertos subgrupos seleccionados. Esta revisión intenta contextualizar el problema, brindando un enfoque práctico y equilibrado para manejar el ineludible aprieto de sopesar la posibilidad de sangrado contra el accidente cerebrovascular tromboembólico en este grupo de alto riesgo.

Increasing age stands out as one of the most powerful risk factors for stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation. With the steadily increasing age of the global population, questions regarding the optimal anticoagulation strategy in the elderly are pervasive and often present highly complex clinical dilemmas. This group of patients is at increased risk of bleeding related to multiple other comorbidities, higher rates of falling, and polypharmacy -especially the anti-platelet agents. The elderly patient is more sensitive to warfarin, and coupled with higher rates of intracranial bleeding, the newer anticoagulants present an attractive alternative in selected subgroups. This review is aimed at contextualizing the problem, and providing a practical, balanced approach to managing the inescapable predicament of bleeding versus thromboembolic stroke in this high-risk group.