A meta-analysis of previous falls and subsequent fracture risk in cohort studies.

The relationship between self-reported falls and fracture risk was estimated in an international meta-analysis of individual-level data from 46 prospective cohorts. Previous falls were associated with an increased fracture risk in women and men and should be considered as an additional risk factor in the FRAX® algorithm. INTRODUCTION: Previous falls are a well-documented risk factor for subsequent fracture but have not yet been incorporated into the FRAX algorithm. The aim of this study was to evaluate, in an international meta-analysis, the association between previous falls and subsequent fracture risk and its relation to sex, age, duration of follow-up, and bone mineral density (BMD). METHODS: The resource comprised 906,359 women and men (66.9% female) from 46 prospective cohorts. Previous falls were uniformly defined as any fall occurring during the previous year in 43 cohorts; the remaining three cohorts had a different question construct. The association between previous falls and fracture risk (any clinical fracture, osteoporotic fracture, major osteoporotic fracture, and hip fracture) was examined using an extension of the Poisson regression model in each cohort and each sex, followed by random-effects meta-analyses of the weighted beta coefficients. RESULTS: Falls in the past year were reported in 21.4% of individuals. During a follow-up of 9,102,207 person-years, 87,352 fractures occurred of which 19,509 were hip fractures. A previous fall was associated with a significantly increased risk of any clinical fracture both in women (hazard ratio (HR) 1.42, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33-1.51) and men (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.41-1.67). The HRs were of similar magnitude for osteoporotic, major osteoporotic fracture, and hip fracture. Sex significantly modified the association between previous fall and fracture risk, with predictive values being higher in men than in women (e.g., for major osteoporotic fracture, HR 1.53 (95% CI 1.27-1.84) in men vs. HR 1.32 (95% CI 1.20-1.45) in women, P for interaction = 0.013). The HRs associated with previous falls decreased with age in women and with duration of follow-up in men and women for most fracture outcomes. There was no evidence of an interaction between falls and BMD for fracture risk. Subsequent risk for a major osteoporotic fracture increased with each additional previous fall in women and men. CONCLUSIONS: A previous self-reported fall confers an increased risk of fracture that is largely independent of BMD. Previous falls should be considered as an additional risk factor in future iterations of FRAX to improve fracture risk prediction.

Increased rates of unattained developmental milestones among Israeli children between 2016 and 2020: a national report.

BACKGROUND: The early years of children's lives are critical for their healthy development. Although children's growth and development rates may vary, a significant delay during early childhood could indicate a medical or a developmental disorder. Developmental surveillance is used worldwide by healthcare providers in routine encounters, as well as by educators and parents, to elicit concerns about child development. In this work, we used a national dataset of developmental assessments to describe temporal trends of milestone attainment rates and associations between milestone attainment and various sociodemographic factors. METHODS: The study included 1,002,700 children ages birth until 6 years with 4,441,689 developmental visits between the years 2016 and 2020. We used the Israeli developmental scale to assess the annual rates of failure to attain language, social and motoric milestones by the entire population, as well as by subgroups stratified by sociodemographic factors. In addition, we evaluated the rates of parental concern for child development and of the nurse's report of development inadequate for age. We used multivariable logistic regression to analyze the impact of different sociodemographic factors on the odds of failure to attain milestones, while controlling for confounding. RESULTS: Milestone failure rates progressively increased over the examined years in all developmental domains, and most prominently in the language domain. Conversely, the rates of parental concern for developmental delay remained constant. In multivariable analysis, higher risk of milestone attainment failure was observed in children whose mothers were divorced, unemployed, immigrant, had lower education, of Bedouin origin or were over 40 years old when giving birth. CONCLUSIONS: This report describes national trends of child development in the gross motor, fine motor, language, and social domains. A periodic report of these trends should be published to objectively evaluate subgroups in need for intervention, and to assess the effectiveness of intervention programs in attempt to maximize the developmental potential of children in Israel.

Association of early-life exposure to acid-suppressive therapy and fractures during childhood: a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Increased acid-suppressive therapy (AST) usage during infancy is seen worldwide, while the data on the risk for paediatric fractures associated with these drugs are scarce. We aimed to evaluate the risk for fractures associated with early-life usage of AST. METHODS: This population-based retrospective propensity-matched cohort study included children born between 2005 and 2016 who used AST during the first year of life, and a 3:1 matched unexposed group. Study subjects were followed from the end of the first year of life until the earliest of the following: an outcome event (either fracture or non-fracture injury, separately), age of 10 or August 2022. The cumulative incidence of fractures and the HR of AST for fracture and non-fracture injury as negative control were calculated. RESULTS: A total of 13 894 eligible AST users and 41 418 propensity score-matched non-users were included in the analysis. The cumulative incidence of fracture among children with AST (23.7%) was significantly (p<0.001) higher than non-users (21.7%) corresponding to an HR of 1.11 (95% CI 1.06 to 1.16). The HR for one to two AST purchases versus none was 1.09 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.14) and the HR for 3+ AST purchases versus none was 1.25 (95% CI 1.13 to 1.39). AST was also associated with injuries by an HR of 1.09 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.13). CONCLUSIONS: AST was associated with a small but statistically significant increased incidence of fractures. We cannot exclude reporting bias or residual confounders. The clinical inference is currently unclear.

DXA assessment and fracture prevention in hormone positive breast cancer patients after treatment initiation with aromatase inhibitors: A registry-based cohort study.

Background: Several guidelines have been proposed to prevent aromatase inhibitors induced bone loss (AIBL), but there is scarce data on their endorsement in clinical practice. Aim: To assess bone health evaluation and fracture prevention in postmenopausal women with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer after aromatase inhibitors (AI) initiation. Methods: An historical cohort analysis based on data from the cancer and osteoporosis Maccabi Health Services (MHS) registries from Jan 1st 2009 to Dec 31st 2020. Cases of estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer were extracted. Index date was set as the first aromatase inhibitors (AI) purchase. Variables such as age, BMI, smoking history, alcohol use, rheumatoid arthritis, diabetes, glucocorticosteroid use, previous fractures, BMD T-scores and purchases of AI and anti-resorptive agents were collected. Age under 50, previous cancer, prior major osteoporotic fractures and prior anti-resorptive treatment were exclusion criteria. Kaplan-Meier curves were generated to assess the time to outcomes. Multivariable Cox's proportional hazards survival model was performed. Results: A total of 8617 women initiating AI were eligible. The median follow up was 6.1 years. The mean (SD) age at index was 62.8 (9.2), the mean (SD) BMI was 29.1 (5.6). The mean (SD) T-score was -1.3 (1.2) at the lumbar spine, -1.5 (0.9) at the femoral neck and -1.0 (1.0) at the total hip. Twenty percent had type 2 diabetes, 8.1 % were active smokers, 3.8% had rheumatoid arthritis and 1.2% were exposed to glucocorticoids.A total of 37% and 53% underwent a DXA scan at 1 and 2 years from AI initiation, and 12% and 17% were prescribed an anti-resorptive agent at 1 and 2 years from index. Advanced age was associated with a higher rate of evaluation and treatment, while obesity and diabetes were associated with a lower rate. The cumulative incidence of a major osteoporotic fracture was 8.8 and 15.8 % at 5 and 10 years, respectively. Conclusions: Despite the excess risk of fractures, bone health assessment and preventive treatment are still partial and postponed in breast cancer AI treated patients. Strategies to ensure appropriate care are needed.

Youth Mental Health Outcomes up to Two Years After SARS-CoV-2 Infection Long-COVID or Long-Pandemic Syndrome: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

PURPOSE: Youth mental distress has substantially increased during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, it is unclear if mental symptoms are directly related to SARS-CoV-2 infection or to social restrictions. We aimed to investigate mental health outcomes in infected versus uninfected adolescents, for up to two years after an index polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study, based on electronic health records from a large nationally representative Israeli health fund, among adolescents aged 12-17 years with a PCR test for SARS-CoV-2 between March 1, 2020 and March 1, 2021. Infected and uninfected individuals were matched by age, sex, test date, sector, and socioeconomic status. Cox regression was used to derive hazard ratios (HRs) for mental health outcomes within two years from PCR test for infected versus uninfected individuals, while accounting for pre-existing psychiatric history. External validation was performed on UK primary care data. RESULTS: Among 146,067 PCR-tested adolescents, 24,009 were positive and 22,354 were matched with negative adolescents. SARS-CoV-2 infection was significantly associated with reduced risks for dispensation of antidepressants (HR 0.74, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.66-0.83), diagnoses of anxiety (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.71-0.95), depression (HR 0.65, 95% CI 0.53-0.80), and stress (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.69-0.92). Similar results were obtained in the validation dataset. DISCUSSION: This large, population-based study suggests that SARS-CoV-2 infection is not associated with elevated risk for mental distress in adolescents. Our findings highlight the importance of taking a holistic view on adolescents' mental health during the pandemic, with consideration of both SARS-CoV-2 infection and response measures.

Bone mineral density of the ultra-distal radius: are we ignoring valuable information?

The current study explored the possible utilization in dual-X-ray-absorptiometry scanning (DXA) of the ultra-distal radius (UDR). This region of interest is currently unused and mostly unstudied in this context. The study findings suggest UDR as potential useful region of interest in DXA scanning and warrant further study of the site. PURPOSE: Bone mineral density (BMD) measurement of a non-dominant arm is not routinely performed during dual-X-ray-absorptiometry (DXA) test, and the possible utility of ultra-distal (UDR) radius BMD is not well-studied. We evaluated in women, correlations of UDR BMD with fracture prevalence, fracture risk prediction by the fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX), and osteoporosis diagnosed by traditional sites. METHODS: Women who underwent a routine DXA (including their non-dominant forearm and including UDR BMD) in a tertiary medical center were included. Risk factors relevant to FRAX calculation were assessed via a self-administered questionnaire. Spearman correlations of UDR BMD to 10-year risks of major osteoporotic and hip fractures (assessed by FRAX) were explored. The possible added value of UDR BMD in explaining prevalent osteoporotic fractures was assessed using a multivariable regression model incorporating age and traditional osteoporosis diagnosis. RESULTS: The study included 1245 women with a median age of 66 years (interquartile range: 59-73), of whom 298 (24%) had UDR T-score ≤ - 2.5 and 154 (12%) reported prior fractures. UDR BMD was significantly negatively correlated with FRAX risk score for hip and major osteoporotic fractures (R = - 0.5 and R = - 0.41, respectively; P < 0.001). UDR T-score ≤ - 2.5 was associated with higher fracture prevalence (19% vs 10%; P < 0.001) and remained significant after adjusting for traditional BMD and age (OR 1.49, 1.01-2.19; P = 0.043). CONCLUSION: UDR BMD correlates both with prior fractures and with predicted fracture risks and might pose added value over traditional DXA sites.

Trends and Correlates of Early-Life Exposure to Acid-Suppressant Therapy in Israel (2005-2020).

OBJECTIVES: To describe trends and correlates of acid-suppressant therapy usage during the first year of life. STUDY DESIGN: A population-based cohort in a large state-mandated health fund in Israel, including members born between 2005 and 2020, was conducted. Acid-suppressant therapy initiation was defined by any purchase within the first year of life. The association between acid-suppressant therapy initiation with medical and sociodemographic characteristics was assessed via logistic regression. RESULTS: Among 595 860 children, acid-suppressant therapy was initiated in 22 412 (37.6 per 1000). The incidence rate increased by 2.8-fold from 18.2 per 1000 in 2005 to 51.0 per 1000 in 2020, furthermore the median age at initiation decreased. Primary care providers accounted for 74.8% of prescribing physicians in 2005 vs 96.1% in 2020, whereas the prevalence of prescribing gastroenterologists decreased from 18.8% to 2.8%. Preterm birth and small weight per gestational age were associated with acid-suppressant therapy usage, with an aOR of 4.23 (95% CI 3.59-4.99), 3.05 (95% CI 2.72-3.42), and 1.65 (95% CI 1.58-1.74) for extreme, very, and moderate preterm vs term birth and aOR 1.22 (95% CI 1.16-1.28) for small weight per gestational age. Birth order was inversely associated with acid-suppressant therapy initiation, with aOR 0.62 (95% CI 0.60-0.65) for third born vs firstborns. High socioeconomic status was linearly associated with initiation, with aOR 1.12 (95% CI 1.11-1.12) per 1-point increase on a 10-point score. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis demonstrates a substantial increase in early life exposure to acid-suppressant therapy during recent years in Israel. Correlates for initiation in early life were identified to define a population for intervention to reduce potential unnecessary use.

Pregnancy outcomes after SARS-CoV-2 infection by trimester: A large, population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Data regarding women infected with SARS-CoV-2 during early trimesters are scarce. We aimed to assess preterm birth (PTB) and small-for-gestational-age (SGA) rates in a large and unselected cohort by trimester at infection and overall. DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study including all women with a positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test during a non-ectopic singleton pregnancy between February 21st 2020 and July 2nd 2021 (N = 2753). Each infected woman was matched to a non-infected pregnant woman by age, last menstruation date, sector, and socioeconomic status. METHODS: Logistic regression was conducted to assess the risks of PTB and SGA including an interaction between group and trimester of infection. Multivariable models included underlying diseases, previous abortions and null parity. Subgroup analyses were conducted on symptomatic infected women and matched non-infected women. RESULTS: A total of 2753 /2789 (98.7%) eligible women that were infected during pregnancy could be matched, among them, 17.4% and 48.4% were infected during the first and third trimesters, respectively. While first and second trimester infections were not associated with PTB (p>0.8), third trimester infections and in particular after 34 weeks of gestation had a greater risk of PTB with adjusted ORs of 2.76 (95% CI 1.63-4.67) and 7.10 (95% CI 2.44-20.61), respectively. PTB risk was further heightened in symptomatic third trimester infections (OR = 4.28, 95% CI 1.94-9.25). SGA risk was comparable between study groups across all trimesters of infection. Pregnancy loss incidence was similar in both groups (adjusted OR = 1.16; 95% CI 0.90-1.50). CONCLUSION: SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with increased risk of PTB only among women infected during late pregnancy, particularly among symptomatic women.

The role of statisticians in the response to COVID-19 in Israel: a holistic point of view.

The COVID-19 pandemic cast a dramatic spotlight on the use of data as a fundamental component of good decision-making. Evaluating and comparing alternative policies required information on concurrent infection rates and insightful analysis to project them into the future. Statisticians in Israel were involved in these processes early in the pandemic in some silos as an ad-hoc unorganized effort. Informal discussions within the statistical community culminated in a roundtable, organized by three past presidents of the Israel Statistical Association, and hosted by the Samuel Neaman Institute in April 2021. The meeting was designed to provide a forum for exchange of views on the profession's role during the COVID-19 pandemic, and more generally, on its influence in promoting evidence-based public policy. This paper builds on the insights and discussions that emerged during the roundtable meeting and presents a general framework, with recommendations, for involving statisticians and statistics in decision-making.

Association of BNT162b2 COVID-19 Vaccination During Pregnancy With Neonatal and Early Infant Outcomes.

Importance: Pregnant women were excluded from the BNT162b2 messenger RNA (mRNA) COVID-19 vaccine (Pfizer-BioNTech) preauthorization trial. Therefore, observational data on vaccine safety for prenatally exposed newborns are critical to inform recommendations on maternal immunization. Objective: To examine whether BNT162b2 mRNA vaccination during pregnancy is associated with adverse neonatal and early infant outcomes among the newborns. Design, Setting, and Participants: Population-based cohort study comprising all singleton live births in March through September 2021, within a large state-mandated health care organization in Israel, followed up until October 31, 2021. Exposure: Maternal BNT162b2 mRNA vaccination during pregnancy. Main Outcomes and Measures: Risk ratios (RR) of preterm birth, small birth weight for gestational age (SGA), congenital malformations, all-cause hospitalizations, and infant death. Stabilized inverse probability weighting was used to adjust for maternal age, timing of conception, parity, socioeconomic status, population subgroup, and maternal influenza immunization status. Results: The cohort included 24 288 eligible newborns (49% female, 96% born at ≥37 weeks' gestation), of whom 16 697 were exposed (n = 2134 and n = 9364 in the first and second trimesters, respectively) to maternal vaccination in utero. Median (IQR) follow-up after birth was 126 days (76-179) among exposed and 152 days (88-209) among unexposed newborns. No substantial differences were observed in preterm birth rates between exposed and unexposed newborns (RR = 0.95; 95% CI, 0.83-1.10) or SGA (RR = 0.97; 95% CI, 0.87-1.08). No significant differences were observed in the incidence of all-cause neonatal hospitalizations (RR = 0.99; 95% CI, 0.88-1.12), postneonatal hospitalizations after birth (RR = 0.95; 95% CI, 0.84-1.07), congenital anomalies (RR = 0.69; 95% CI, 0.44-1.04), or infant mortality over the study period (RR = 0.84; 95% CI, 0.43-1.72). Conclusions and Relevance: This large population-based study found no evident differences between newborns of women who received BNT162b2 mRNA vaccination during pregnancy, vs those of women who were not vaccinated, and contributes to current evidence in establishing the safety of prenatal vaccine exposure to the newborns. Interpretation of study findings is limited by the observational design.

The Effectiveness of the Two-Dose BNT162b2 Vaccine: Analysis of Real-World Data.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccines were shown to be highly efficacious in preventing the disease in randomized controlled trials; nonetheless, evidence on the real-world effectiveness of this vaccine is limited. Study objective was to evaluate the effectiveness of BNT162b2 vaccine in preventing severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and COVID-19-related hospitalization and mortality. METHODS: This historical cohort study included members of a large health provider in Israel that were vaccinated with at least 1 dose of BNT162b2. The primary outcome was incidence rate of a SARS-CoV-2 infection confirmed with real-time polymerase chain reaction (rt-PCR), between 7 and 27 days after second dose (protection-period), as compared to days 1-7 after the first dose, where no protection by the vaccine is assumed (reference-period). RESULTS: Data of 1 178 597 individuals vaccinated with BNT162b2 were analyzed (mean age 47.7 years [SD = 18.1], 48.4% males) of whom 872 454 (74.0%) reached the protection period. Overall, 4514 infections occurred during the reference period compared to 728 during the protection period, yielding a weighted mean daily incidence of 54.8 per 100 000 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 26.1-115.0 per 100 000) and 5.4 per 100 000 (95% CI: 3.5-8.4 per 100 000), respectively. The vaccine effectiveness in preventing infection was 90% (95% CI: 79%-95%) and 94% (95% CI: 88%-97%) against COVID-19. Among immunosuppressed patients, vaccine effectiveness against infection was 71% (95% CI: 37%-87%). The adjusted hazard ratios for hospitalization in those infected were 0.82 (95% CI: .36-1.88), 0.45 (95% CI: .23-.90), and 0.56 (95% CI: .36-.89) in the age groups 16-44, 45-64. and ≥75 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The effectiveness of the BNT162b2 vaccine is comparable to the one reported in the phase III clinical trial.

Huntington's Disease in Israel: A Population-Based Study Using 20 Years of Routinely-Collected Healthcare Data.

BACKGROUND: Huntington's disease (HD) is a rare, genetic, neurodegenerative disease. Obtaining population-level data on epidemiology and disease management is challenging. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the epidemiology, clinical manifestations, treatment, and healthcare utilization of patients with HD in Israel. METHODS: Retrospective population-based cohort study, including 20 years of routinely collected data from Maccabi Healthcare Services, an insurer and healthcare provider for one-quarter of the Israeli population. RESULTS: The study cohort included 109 adult patients (aged ≥18 years) diagnosed with HD, with mean age of 49.9 years and 56%females. The most common HD-related conditions were anxiety (40%), behavioral problems (34%), sleep disorders (21%), and falls (13%). Annual incidence rates for HD ranged from 0.17 to 1.34 per 100,000 from 2000 to 2018; the 2018 crude prevalence in adults was 4.36 per 100,000. Median survival from diagnosis was approximately 12 years (95%CI: 10.4-15.3). The most frequent symptomatic treatments were antidepressants (69%), antipsychotics (63%), and tetrabenazine (63%), the only drug approved for the treatment of HD chorea in Israel during the examined period. Patterns of healthcare utilization changed as disease duration increased, reflected by increased frequency of emergency department visits and home visits. CONCLUSION: This retrospective population-based study provides insights into the prevalence, incidence, clinical profile, survival, and resource utilization of patients with HD in ethnically diverse Israel. The findings in this study are generally consistent with the international literature and demonstrate the value of routinely collected healthcare data as a complementary resource in HD research.

Association Between BNT162b2 Vaccination and Incidence of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Pregnant Women.

Importance: Data on BNT162b2 messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccine (Pfizer-BioNTech) effectiveness and safety in pregnancy are currently lacking because pregnant women were excluded from the phase 3 trial. Objective: To assess the association between receipt of BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine and risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection among pregnant women. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a retrospective cohort study within the pregnancy registry of a large state-mandated health care organization in Israel. Pregnant women vaccinated with a first dose from December 19, 2020, through February 28, 2021, were 1:1 matched to unvaccinated women by age, gestational age, residential area, population subgroup, parity, and influenza immunization status. Follow-up ended on April 11, 2021. Exposures: Exposure was defined by receipt of the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine. To maintain comparability, nonexposed women who were subsequently vaccinated were censored 10 days after their exposure, along with their matched pair. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was polymerase chain reaction-validated SARS-CoV-2 infection at 28 days or more after the first vaccine dose. Results: The cohort included 7530 vaccinated and 7530 matched unvaccinated women, 46% and 33% in the second and third trimester, respectively, with a mean age of 31.1 years (SD, 4.9 years). The median follow-up for the primary outcome was 37 days (interquartile range, 21-54 days; range, 0-70). There were 118 SARS-CoV-2 infections in the vaccinated group and 202 in the unvaccinated group. Among infected women, 88 of 105 (83.8%) were symptomatic in the vaccinated group vs 149 of 179 (83.2%) in the unvaccinated group (P ≥ .99). During 28 to 70 days of follow-up, there were 10 infections in the vaccinated group and 46 in the unvaccinated group. The hazards of infection were 0.33% vs 1.64% in the vaccinated and unvaccinated groups, respectively, representing an absolute difference of 1.31% (95% CI, 0.89%-1.74%), with an adjusted hazard ratio of 0.22 (95% CI, 0.11-0.43). Vaccine-related adverse events were reported by 68 patients; none was severe. The most commonly reported symptoms were headache (n = 10, 0.1%), general weakness (n = 8, 0.1%), nonspecified pain (n = 6, <0.1%), and stomachache (n = 5, <0.1%). Conclusions and Relevance: In this retrospective cohort study of pregnant women, BNT162b2 mRNA vaccination compared with no vaccination was associated with a significantly lower risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Interpretation of study findings is limited by the observational design.

Bone Mineral Density of the 1/3 Radius Refines Osteoporosis Diagnosis, Correlates With Prevalent Fractures, and Enhances Fracture Risk Estimates.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the added value of 1/3 radius (1/3R) for the diagnosis of osteoporosis by spine and hip sites and its correlation with prevalent fractures and predicted fracture risk. METHODS: Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) scores for hip and major osteoporotic fractures (MOF) with/without trabecular bone score were considered proxy for fracture risk. The contribution of 1/3R to risk prediction was depicted via linear regression models with FRAX score as the dependent variable-first only with central and then with radius T-score as an additional covariate. Significance of change in the explained variance was compared by F-test. RESULTS: The study included 1453 patients, 86% women, aged 66 ± 10 years. A total of 32% (n = 471) were osteoporotic by spine/hip and 8% (n = 115) by radius only, constituting a 24.4% increase in the number of subjects defined as osteoporotic (n = 586, 40%). Prior fracture prevalence was similar among patients with osteoporosis by spine/hip (17.4%) and radius only (19.1%) (P = .77). FRAX prediction by a regression model using spine/hip T-score yielded explained variance of 51.8% and 49.9% for MOF and 39.8% and 36.4% for hip (with/without trabecular bone score adjustment, respectively). The contribution of 1/3R was statistically significant (P < .001) and slightly increased the explained variance to 52.3% and 50.4% for MOF and 40.9% and 37.4% for hip, respectively. CONCLUSION: Reclassification of BMD results according to radius measurements results in higher diagnostic output. Prior fractures were equally prevalent among patients with radius-only and classic-site osteoporosis. FRAX tool performance slightly improved by incorporating radius BMD. Whether this approach may lead to a better fracture prediction warrants further prospective evaluation.

Long-Term Follow-Up of Denosumab Discontinuers with Multiple Vertebral Fractures in the Real-World: A Case Series.

Denosumab discontinuation is associated with rapid reversal of bone turnover suppression and with a considerable increase in fracture risk, including a risk for multiple vertebral fractures (MVF). Long-term follow-up of patients who sustained MVF after denosumab discontinuation has not been reported. This case-series was aimed to provide a long-term follow-up on the management and outcome of denosumab discontinuers who initially presented with multiple vertebral fractures. Denosumab discontinuers were identified from a computerized database of a large healthcare provider. Baseline and follow-up clinical, laboratory, and imaging data were obtained from the computerized database and electronic medical records. The post-denosumab discontinuers MVF patients consisted of 12 women aged 71±12. Osteoporotic fractures were prevalent before denosumab discontinuation in 6 of the patients. The majority received bisphosphonates before denosumab. MVF occurred 134±76 days after denosumab discontinuation. The patients were followed for a median of 36.5 (IQR 28.2, 42.5) months after MVF. Two patients passed-away. Two patients suffered recurrent vertebral fractures. Following MVF, patients were treated inconsistently with denosumab, teriparatide, oral, and intravenous bisphosphonates, in various sequences. Two patients underwent vertebroplasty/kyphoplasty. This long-term follow-up of real-world patients with MVF following denosumab discontinuation reveals that management is inconsistent, and recurrent fractures are not uncommon. It calls for clear management guidelines for patients with MVF after denosumab discontinuation and for special attention to this high-risk group.

Development and efficacy of a computerized decision support system for osteoporosis management in the community.

Computerized alerts for primary care physicians, provided during visits of patients who met treatment guidelines based on their electronic medical records, are an efficient method to raise awareness to many otherwise missed cases, especially after fracture. PURPOSE: Measure the efficacy of an automated real-time alert which was developed to assist osteoporosis management in the community. METHODS: The study population included treatment naïve patients with T-score ≤ - 2.5 or hip or vertebral fracture in a 2 million member Israeli health fund. On each ambulatory visit to a primary care physician or endocrinologist, a pop-up screen reminded the caregiver to consider treatment initiation. A follow-up "smart-set" screen conveniently gathered links to common actions (namely, (a) issue first line therapy prescription, (b) referral to nutritionist consultation, (c) laboratory tests relevant for osteoporosis, and (d) printing an information page for the patient). Time till treatment initiation was compared between the 3 years prior to and following the intervention. RESULTS: Within 2 years since alert activation, a total of n = 21,070 cases were alerted, 52% of which were long standing cases: untreated for over 6 months since the event. During this period, a total of 30% initiated treatment purchases. As compared with the 3 years prior to the intervention, time till treatment initiation decreased following the intervention with HR = 1.05, 1.94, 1.29 (p values = 0.020, < 0.001, 0.005) for T-score, hip, and vertebral cases respectively. Initiation rates within 6 months increased from 52.0 to 59.8%, from 12.3 to 27.7%, and from 17.4 to 27.1% among T-score, hip, and vertebral cases, respectively (p value < 0.001). Male sex, nursing home residence, having diabetes or a cardiovascular disease and age younger than 60 or older than 80 were associated with lower treatment rates. CONCLUSIONS: A computerized decision support system can efficiently raise attention to many otherwise missed high-risk osteoporotic cases, particularly those after fractures.

Identification and Characterization of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is characterized by substantial diagnostic and evaluation gaps with no systematic screening. Even recognized cases are undercoded because of the perceived benign nature of disease and current absence of approved pharmacologic treatment. NAFLD is often detected incidentally, particularly in the asymptomatic early phase. We doubled NAFLD detection via natural language processing of 1 million imaging reports combined with laboratory data from an unselected population. We describe NAFLD comorbidities and health care utilization as compared with age, sex, and body mass index matched control subjects.

Fracture incidence after denosumab discontinuation: Real-world data from a large healthcare provider.

BACKGROUND: Vertebral fractures (VF) upon Denosumab (DMAB) discontinuation were first described as a distinct phenomenon in 2015, yet the magnitude of this event remains undetermined. OBJECTIVES: To estimate fracture risk after DMAB discontinuation, in a real-world setting. METHODS: The computerized database of a 2.3-million members' state-mandated health organization was utilized to detect osteoporotic patients with at least two DMAB dispenses. Treatment discontinuation was defined as a refill gap of 3 months or more, while the discontinuation date was defined as an anticipated missed purchase date. Fractures were identified by an osteoporosis registry and individually adjudicated by an expert's review. Fractures occurring within one year from discontinuation among DMAB discontinuers (DD) and from the 2nd year of treatment onwards for persistent users (PU) were included. RESULTS: A total of 1500 DD (92% females, mean ±â€¯SD age = 71.8 ±â€¯9.5y), and 1610 PU (91%, 71.7 ±â€¯8.8) were identified. At baseline, the groups were comparable in fracture- history, bisphosphonate exposure, smoking, and bone density. Multiple VF occurred in 12 (0.8%) DD vs. 2 (0.1%) PU (p = 0.006). The overall rate of fractures per 100 patient-years of follow-up was significantly higher in DD than PU (RR 3.2, 95% CI 2.2-4.8), as well as the rate of VF (RR 4.7, 95% CI 2.3-9.6) and multiple VF (RR 14.6, 95% CI 3.3-65.3, effect size 1.06). CONCLUSIONS: Patients who discontinue DMAB are at greater risk of major OP fractures than those who persist with treatment. Same is true for clinical multiple vertebral fractures, yet the incidence of the latter was low. These findings demonstrate a need for greater awareness and thoughtful management of DMAB discontinuation.

The association between adherence with oral bisphosphonates and the risk of breast cancer in post-menopausal women.

BACKGROUND: Several observational studies have suggested a protective effect of oral bisphosphonates (BP) on the risk of breast cancer, but no such association has been seen in randomized control trials. The role of oral BP in breast cancer prevention remains unclear. AIM: To investigate the association between different levels of BP exposure and breast cancer incidence in a cohort of osteoporotic post-menopausal women. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: This historical prospective study was conducted using the computerized databases of Maccabi Healthcare Services (MHS) in Israel. Included in the study were osteopenic and osteoporotic women aged 55-75 years who started BP therapy between 1998 and 2012. The subjects were enrolled in MHS for at least 3 years before therapy initiation, and had a minimum follow-up of 5 years in MHS. Women with a previous cancer, and women treated with selective estrogen receptor modulators (SERMs) were excluded. BP exposure was expressed in quintiles of proportion of days covered (PDC) with BP during follow-up period and cancer incidence was ascertained by the Israel National Tumor Registry. Person-years of follow-up began on January 1st, 1998 and ended at the date of cancer diagnosis, death, or December 31st, 2012, whichever occurred first. RESULTS: A total of 11,717 patients (mean age = 66.87 ±â€¯4.38) were eligible for the analysis. During a total of 130,252 person-years of follow-up, (mean 7.2 years) 173 incident cases of breast cancer were diagnosed. Compared to women with a PDC with BP of 20% or lower, the adjusted hazard ratio for breast cancer were HR = 0.81 (95%CI: 0.48-1.39), HR = 0.82 (95%CI: 0.50-1.33), HR = 0.72 (95%CI:0.45-1.15) and HR = 1.14 (95%CI:0.76-1.70) among women with 20-40%, 40-60%, 60%-80%, and 80% or higher, PDC, respectively. CONCLUSION: In this study, we did not find a significant association between oral BP therapy for osteoporosis and the risk of breast cancer in postmenopausal women. The discrepancy between our results and the reports of such an association in observational studies might originate from an indication bias.