Prognostic Information on Progression to Dementia: Quantification of the Impact on Quality of Life.

Background: The increasing interest in early identification of people at risk of developing dementia, has led to the development of numerous models aimed at estimating the likelihood of progression from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to dementia. It is important to study both the need for and possible outcomes related with such prediction models, including the impact of risk predictions on perceived quality of life (QoL). Objective: This study aimed to quantify the impact that receiving a risk prediction on progression from MCI to dementia has on QoL. Methods: A Discrete Choice Experiment (DCE) and Time Trade Off (TTO) study were performed. Participants completed choice tasks related to dementia prognosis while imagining having MCI. We collected DCE data by an online survey, and TTO data via videoconferencing interviews. DCE data were analyzed using a mixed multinomial logit model and were anchored to a health state utility scale using mean observed TTO valuations. Results: 296 people participated in the DCE and 42 in the TTO. Moderate and high predicted dementia risks were associated with decrements in utility (-0.05 and -0.18 respectively), compared to no prognostic information. Low predicted risk was associated with an increase in utility (0.06), as well as the availability of medication or lifestyle interventions (0.05 and 0.13 respectively). Conclusions: This study shows a significant impact of dementia risk predictions on QoL and highlights the importance of caution when sharing information about expected MCI disease courses.

Bladder EpiCheck urine test in the follow-up of NMIBC: a cost analysis.

PURPOSE: In the Netherlands yearly more than 5000 patients are diagnosed with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). With a specificity of 88.0% and a negative predictive value (NPV) for high grade NMIBC of 99.3%, the Bladder EpiCheck (BE) urine test may be used in NMIBC to reduce the burden of follow-up cystoscopies. METHODS: In this study a cost analysis of the BE follow-up strategy in the Dutch healthcare system was performed. In half of the follow-up appointments, BE was used as a rule-in for cystoscopy. In addition, the possible delay in recurrence detection was estimated. A cost calculation tool was developed using Microsoft Excel. RESULTS: The BE strategy results in an estimated cost reduction of 8%, 4% and 9% in low, intermediate and high risk patients, respectively. In the Netherlands this may result in a cost reduction of approximately 1.6 million euro per year. The estimated delay in the detection of recurrent disease would be 3.9, 1.7 and 1.3 months in low, intermediate and high risk NMIBC patients respectively. CONCLUSION: To conclude, the BE can be used to reduce the costs of NMIBC follow-up, with a small delay in diagnosis of recurrent disease.