Methodological Approaches for Measuring the Association Between Heat Exposure and Health Outcomes: A Comprehensive Global Scoping Review.

OBJECTIVE: To synthesize the methodologies of studies that evaluate the impacts of heat exposure on morbidity and mortality. METHODS: Embase, MEDLINE, Web of Science, and Scopus were searched from date of inception until 1 March 2023 for English language literature on heat exposure and health outcomes. Records were collated, deduplicated and screened, and full texts were reviewed for inclusion and data abstraction. Eligibility for inclusion was determined as any article with climate-related heat exposure and an associated morbidity/mortality outcome. RESULTS: Of 13,136 records initially identified, 237 articles were selected for analysis. The scope of research represented 43 countries, with most studies conducted in China (62), the USA (44), and Australia (16). Across all studies, there were 141 unique climate data sources, no standard threshold for extreme heat, and 200 unique health outcome data sources. The distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was the most common analytic method (48.1% of studies) and had high usage rates in China (68.9%) and the USA (31.8%); Australia frequently used conditional logistic regression (50%). Conditional logistic regression was most prevalent in case-control studies (5 of 8 studies, 62.5%) and in case-crossover studies (29 of 70, 41.4%). DLNMs were most common in time series studies (64 of 111, 57.7%) and ecological studies (13 of 20, 65.0%). CONCLUSIONS: This review underscores the heterogeneity of methods in heat impact studies across diverse settings and provides a resource for future researchers. Underrepresentation of certain countries, health outcomes, and limited data access were identified as potential barriers.

Abdominal CT Body Composition Thresholds Using Automated AI Tools for Predicting 10-year Adverse Outcomes.

Background CT-based body composition measures derived from fully automated artificial intelligence tools are promising for opportunistic screening. However, body composition thresholds associated with adverse clinical outcomes are lacking. Purpose To determine population and sex-specific thresholds for muscle, abdominal fat, and abdominal aortic calcium measures at abdominal CT for predicting risk of death, adverse cardiovascular events, and fragility fractures. Materials and Methods In this retrospective single-center study, fully automated algorithms for quantifying skeletal muscle (L3 level), abdominal fat (L3 level), and abdominal aortic calcium were applied to noncontrast abdominal CT scans from asymptomatic adults screened from 2004 to 2016. Longitudinal follow-up documented subsequent death, adverse cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, cerebrovascular event, and heart failure), and fragility fractures. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to derive thresholds for body composition measures to achieve optimal ROC curve performance and high specificity (90%) for 10-year risks. Results A total of 9223 asymptomatic adults (mean age, 57 years ± 7 [SD]; 5152 women and 4071 men) were evaluated (median follow-up, 9 years). Muscle attenuation and aortic calcium had the highest diagnostic performance for predicting death, with areas under the ROC curve of 0.76 for men (95% CI: 0.72, 0.79) and 0.72 for women (95% CI: 0.69, 0.76) for muscle attenuation. Sex-specific thresholds were higher in men than women (P < .001 for muscle attenuation for all outcomes). The highest-performing markers for risk of death were muscle attenuation in men (31 HU; 71% sensitivity [164 of 232 patients]; 72% specificity [1114 of 1543 patients]) and aortic calcium in women (Agatston score, 167; 70% sensitivity [152 of 218 patients]; 70% specificity [1427 of 2034 patients]). Ninety-percent specificity thresholds for muscle attenuation for both risk of death and fragility fractures were 23 HU (men) and 13 HU (women). For aortic calcium and risk of death and adverse cardiovascular events, 90% specificity Agatston score thresholds were 1475 (men) and 735 (women). Conclusion Sex-specific thresholds for automated abdominal CT-based body composition measures can be used to predict risk of death, adverse cardiovascular events, and fragility fractures. © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Ohliger in this issue.

Improved CT-based Osteoporosis Assessment with a Fully Automated Deep Learning Tool.

Purpose: To develop, test, and validate a deep learning (DL) tool that improves upon a previous feature-based CT image processing bone mineral density (BMD) algorithm and compare it against the manual reference standard. Materials and Methods: This single-center, retrospective, Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act-compliant study included manual L1 trabecular Hounsfield unit measurements from abdominal CT scans in 11 035 patients (mean age, 58 years ± 12 [SD]; 6311 women) as the reference standard. Automated level selection and L1 trabecular region of interest (ROI) placement were then performed in this CT cohort with both a previously validated feature-based image processing tool and a new DL tool. Overall technical success rates and agreement with the manual reference standard were assessed. Results: The overall success rate of the DL tool in this heterogeneous patient cohort was significantly higher than that of the older image processing BMD algorithm (99.3% vs 89.4%, P < .001). Using this DL tool, the closest median Hounsfield unit values for single-, three-, and seven-slice vertebral ROIs were within 5% of the manual reference standard Hounsfield unit values in 35.1%, 56.9%, and 85.8% of scans; within 10% in 56.6%, 75.6%, and 92.9% of scans; and within 25% in 76.5%, 89.3%, and 97.1% of scans, respectively. Trade-offs in sensitivity and specificity for osteoporosis assessment were observed from the single-slice approach (sensitivity, 39.4%; specificity, 98.3%) to the minimum value of the multislice approach (for seven contiguous slices; sensitivity, 71.3% and specificity, 94.6%). Conclusion: The new DL BMD tool demonstrated a higher success rate than the older feature-based image processing tool, and its outputs can be targeted for higher specificity or sensitivity for osteoporosis assessment.Keywords: CT, CT-Quantitative, Abdomen/GI, Skeletal-Axial, Spine, Deep Learning, Machine Learning Supplemental material is available for this article. © RSNA, 2022.

Effect of surgeon volume on pediatric thyroid surgery outcomes: A systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Pediatric thyroidectomy has been identified as a surgical procedure that may benefit from concentrating cases to high-volume surgeons. This systematic review aimed to address the definition of "high-volume surgeon" for pediatric thyroidectomy and to examine the relationship between surgeon volume and outcomes. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Scopus, Web of Science, ClinicalTrials.gov, and OpenGrey databases were searched for through February 2020 for studies which reported on pediatric thyroidectomy and specified surgeon volume and surgical outcomes. RESULTS: Ten studies, encompassing 6430 patients, were included in the review. Five single-center retrospective studies reported only on high-volume surgeons, one single center retrospective study reported on only low-volume surgeons, and four national database studies (2 cross sectional, 2 retrospective reviews) reported outcomes for both high-volume and low-volume surgeons. Majority of patients underwent total thyroidectomy (54.9%); common indications for surgery were malignancy (41.7%) and hyperthyroidism/thyroiditis (40.5%). Rates of transient hypocalcemia (11.4% - 74.2%), transient recurrent laryngeal nerve injury (0% - 9.7%), and bleeding (0.5% - 4.3%) varied across studies. Definitions for high-volume pediatric thyroid surgeons ranged from ≥9 annual pediatric thyroid operations to >200 annual thyroid operations (with >30 pediatric cases). Four studies reported significantly better outcomes, including lower post-operative complications and shorter length of hospital stay, for patients treated by high-volume surgeons. CONCLUSIONS: Despite significant variation in caseloads to define volume, pediatric thyroid patients have generally better outcomes when operated on by higher volume surgeons. Concentration thyroidectomy cases to a smaller cohort of surgeons within pediatric practices may confer improved outcomes. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses; Level IV.

Hepatic Steatosis: CT-Based Prevalence in Adults in China and the United States and Associations With Age, Sex, and Body Mass Index.

BACKGROUND. Calibrated CT fat fraction (FFCT) measurements derived from un-enhanced abdominal CT reliably reflect liver fat content, allowing large-scale population-level investigations of steatosis prevalence and associations. OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this study was to compare the prevalence of hepatic steatosis, as assessed by calibrated CT measurements, between population-based Chinese and U.S. cohorts, and to investigate in these populations the relationship of steatosis with age, sex, and body mass index (BMI). METHODS. This retrospective study included 3176 adults (1985 women and 1191 men) from seven Chinese provinces and 8748 adults (4834 women and 3914 men) from a single U.S. medical center, all drawn from previous studies. All participants were at least 40 years old and had undergone unenhanced abdominal CT in previous studies. Liver fat content measurements on CT were cross-calibrated to MRI proton density fat fraction measurements using phantoms and expressed as adjusted FFCT measurements. Mild, moderate, and severe steatosis were defined as adjusted FFCT of 5.0-14.9%, 15.0-24.9%, and 25.0% or more, respectively. The two cohorts were compared. RESULTS. In the Chinese and U.S. cohorts, the median adjusted FFCT for women was 4.7% and 4.8%, respectively, and that for men was 5.8% and 6.2%, respectively. In the Chinese and U.S. cohorts, steatosis prevalence for women was 46.3% and 48.7%, respectively, whereas that for men was 58.9% and 61.9%, respectively. Severe steatosis prevalence was 0.9% and 1.8% for women and 0.2% and 2.6% for men in the Chinese and U.S. cohorts, respectively. Adjusted FFCT did not vary across age decades among women or men in the Chinese cohort, although it increased across age decades among women and men in the U.S. cohort. Adjusted FFCT and BMI exhibited weak correlation (r = 0.312-0.431). Among participants with normal BMI, 36.8% and 38.5% of those in the Chinese and U.S. cohorts, respectively, had mild steatosis, and 3.0% and 1.5% of those in the Chinese and U.S. cohorts, respectively, had moderate or severe steatosis. Among U.S. participants with a BMI of 40.0 or greater, 17.7% had normal liver content. CONCLUSION. Steatosis and severe steatosis had higher prevalence in the U.S. cohort than in the Chinese cohort in both women and men. BMI did not reliably predict steatosis. CLINICAL IMPACT. The findings provide new information on the dependence of hepatic steatosis on age, sex, and BMI.

Detection of High-Risk Sessile Serrated Lesions: Multitarget Stool DNA Versus CT Colonography.

BACKGROUND. The serrated pathway for colorectal cancer (CRC) development is increasingly recognized. Sessile serrated lesions (SSLs) that are large (≥ 10 mm) and/or have dysplasia (i.e., high-risk SSLs) are at higher risk of progression to CRC. Detection of SSLs is challenging given their predominantly flat and right-sided location. The yield of noninvasive screening tests for detection of high-risk SSLs is unclear. OBJECTIVE. The aim of this study was to compare noninvasive screening detection of high-risk SSLs between the multitarget stool DNA (mt-sDNA) test and CT colonography (CTC). METHODS. This retrospective study included 7974 asymptomatic adults (4705 women, 3269 men; mean age, 60.0 years) who underwent CRC screening at a single center by mt-sDNA from 2014 to 2019 (n = 3987) or by CTC from 2009 to 2019 (n = 3987). Clinical interpretations of CTC examinations were recorded. Subsequent colonoscopy findings and histology of resected polyps were also recorded. Chi-square or two-sample t tests were used to compare results between mt-sDNA and CTC using 6-mm and 10-mm thresholds for test positivity. RESULTS. The overall colonoscopy referral rate for a positive screening test was 13.1% (522/3987) for mt-sDNA versus 12.2% (487/3987; p = .23) and 6.5% (260/3987; p < .001) for CTC at 6-mm and 10-mm thresholds, respectively. The PPV for high-risk SSLs was 5.5% (26/476) for mt-sDNA versus 14.4% (66/457; p < .001) and 25.9% (63/243; p < .001) for CTC at the 6-mm and 10-mm thresholds, respectively. The overall screening yield of high-risk SSLs was 0.7% (26/3987) for mt-sDNA versus 1.7% (66/3987; p < .001) and 1.6% (63/3987; p < .001) for CTC at 6-mm and 10-mm thresholds, respectively. CONCLUSION. CTC at 6-mm and 10-mm thresholds had significantly higher yield and PPV for high-risk SSLs compared with mt-sDNA. CLINICAL IMPACT. The significantly higher detection of high-risk SSLs by CTC than by mt-sDNA should be included in discussions with patients who decline colonoscopy and opt for noninvasive screening.

Deep Learning CT-based Quantitative Visualization Tool for Liver Volume Estimation: Defining Normal and Hepatomegaly.

Background Imaging assessment for hepatomegaly is not well defined and currently uses suboptimal, unidimensional measures. Liver volume provides a more direct measure for organ enlargement. Purpose To determine organ volume and to establish thresholds for hepatomegaly with use of a validated deep learning artificial intelligence tool that automatically segments the liver. Materials and Methods In this retrospective study, liver volumes were successfully derived with use of a deep learning tool for asymptomatic outpatient adults who underwent multidetector CT for colorectal cancer screening (unenhanced) or renal donor evaluation (contrast-enhanced) at a single medical center between April 2004 and December 2016. The performance of the craniocaudal and maximal three-dimensional (3D) linear measures was assessed. The manual liver volume results were compared with the automated results in a subset of renal donors in which the entire liver was included at both precontrast and postcontrast CT. Unenhanced liver volumes were standardized to a postcontrast equivalent, reflecting a correction of 3.6%. Linear regression analysis was performed to assess the major patient-specific determinant or determinants of liver volume among age, sex, height, weight, and body surface area. Results A total of 3065 patients (mean age ± standard deviation, 54 years ± 12; 1639 women) underwent multidetector CT for colorectal screening (n = 1960) or renal donor evaluation (n = 1105). The mean standardized automated liver volume ± standard deviation was 1533 mL ± 375 and demonstrated a normal distribution. Patient weight was the major determinant of liver volume and demonstrated a linear relationship. From this result, a linear weight-based upper limit of normal hepatomegaly threshold volume was derived: hepatomegaly (mL) = 14.0 × (weight [kg]) + 979. A craniocaudal threshold of 19 cm was 71% sensitive (49 of 69 patients) and 86% specific (887 of 1030 patients) for hepatomegaly, and a maximal 3D linear threshold of 24 cm was 78% sensitive (54 of 69) and 66% specific (678 of 1030). In the subset of 189 patients, the median difference in hepatic volume between the deep learning tool and the semiautomated or manual method was 2.3% (38 mL). Conclusion A simple weight-based threshold for hepatomegaly derived by using a fully automated CT-based liver volume segmentation based on deep learning provided an objective and more accurate assessment of liver size than linear measures. © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Sosna in this issue.

Fully Automated Deep Learning Tool for Sarcopenia Assessment on CT: L1 Versus L3 Vertebral Level Muscle Measurements for Opportunistic Prediction of Adverse Clinical Outcomes.

BACKGROUND. Sarcopenia is associated with adverse clinical outcomes. CT-based skeletal muscle measurements for sarcopenia assessment are most commonly performed at the L3 vertebral level. OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this article is to compare the utility of fully automated deep learning CT-based muscle quantitation at the L1 versus L3 level for predicting future hip fractures and death. METHODS. This retrospective study included 9223 asymptomatic adults (mean age, 57 ± 8 [SD] years; 4071 men, 5152 women) who underwent unenhanced low-dose abdominal CT. A previously validated fully automated deep learning tool was used to assess muscle for myosteatosis (by mean attenuation) and myopenia (by cross-sectional area) at the L1 and L3 levels. Performance for predicting hip fractures and death was compared between L1 and L3 measures. Performance for predicting hip fractures and death was also evaluated using the established clinical risk scores from the fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) and Framingham risk score (FRS), respectively. RESULTS. Median clinical follow-up interval after CT was 8.8 years (interquartile range, 5.1-11.6 years), yielding hip fractures and death in 219 (2.4%) and 549 (6.0%) patients, respectively. L1-level and L3-level muscle attenuation measurements were not different in 2-, 5-, or 10-year AUC for hip fracture (p = .18-.98) or death (p = .19-.95). For hip fracture, 5-year AUCs for L1-level muscle attenuation, L3-level muscle attenuation, and FRAX score were 0.717, 0.709, and 0.708, respectively. For death, 5-year AUCs for L1-level muscle attenuation, L3-level muscle attenuation, and FRS were 0.737, 0.721, and 0.688, respectively. Lowest quartile hazard ratios (HRs) for hip fracture were 2.20 (L1 attenuation), 2.45 (L3 attenuation), and 2.53 (FRAX score), and for death were 3.25 (L1 attenuation), 3.58 (L3 attenuation), and 2.82 (FRS). CT-based muscle cross-sectional area measurements at L1 and L3 were less predictive for hip fracture and death (5-year AUC ≤ 0.571; HR ≤ 1.56). CONCLUSION. Automated CT-based measurements of muscle attenuation for myosteatosis at the L1 level compare favorably with previously established L3-level measurements and clinical risk scores for predicting hip fracture and death. Assessment for myopenia was less predictive of outcomes at both levels. CLINICAL IMPACT. Alternative use of the L1 rather than L3 level for CT-based muscle measurements allows sarcopenia assessment using both chest and abdominal CT scans, greatly increasing the potential yield of opportunistic CT screening.

Erratum: Use of Variational Autoencoders with Unsupervised Learning to Detect Incorrect Organ Segmentations at CT.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1148/ryai.2021200218.].

Use of Variational Autoencoders with Unsupervised Learning to Detect Incorrect Organ Segmentations at CT.

PURPOSE: To develop a deep learning model to detect incorrect organ segmentations at CT. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this retrospective study, a deep learning method was developed using variational autoencoders (VAEs) to identify problematic organ segmentations. First, three different three-dimensional (3D) U-Nets were trained on segmented CT images of the liver (n = 141), spleen (n = 51), and kidney (n = 66). A total of 12 495 CT images then were segmented by the 3D U-Nets, and output segmentations were used to train three different VAEs for the detection of problematic segmentations. Automatic reconstruction errors (Dice scores) were then calculated. A random sampling of 2510 segmented images each for the liver, spleen, and kidney models were assessed manually by a human reader to determine problematic and correct segmentations. The ability of the VAEs to identify unusual or problematic segmentations was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and compared with traditional non-deep learning methods for outlier detection. Using the VAE outputs, passive and active learning approaches were performed on the original 3D U-Nets to determine if training could decrease segmentation error rates (15 CT scans were added to the original training data, according to each approach). RESULTS: The mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for detecting problematic segmentations using the VAE method was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.89, 0.92) for kidney, 0.94 (95% CI: 0.93, 0.95) for liver, and 0.81 (95% CI: 0.80, 0.82) for spleen. The VAE performance was higher compared with traditional methods in most cases. For example, for liver segmentation, the highest performing non-deep learning method for outlier detection had an AUC of 0.83 (95% CI: 0.77, 0.90) compared with 0.94 (95% CI: 0.93, 0.95) using the VAE method (P < .05). Using the information on problematic segmentations for active learning approaches decreased 3D U-Net segmentation error rates (original error rate, 7.1%; passive learning, 6.0%; active learning, 5.7%). CONCLUSION: A method was developed to screen for unusual and problematic automatic organ segmentations using a 3D VAE.Keywords: Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Deep Learning Algorithms, Machine Learning Algorithms, Segmentation, CT© RSNA, 2021.

Opportunistic Screening at Abdominal CT: Use of Automated Body Composition Biomarkers for Added Cardiometabolic Value.

Abdominal CT is a frequently performed imaging examination for a wide variety of clinical indications. In addition to the immediate reason for scanning, each CT examination contains robust additional data on body composition that generally go unused in routine clinical practice. There is now growing interest in harnessing this additional information. Prime examples of cardiometabolic information include measurement of bone mineral density for osteoporosis screening, quantification of aortic calcium for assessment of cardiovascular risk, quantification of visceral fat for evaluation of metabolic syndrome, assessment of muscle bulk and density for diagnosis of sarcopenia, and quantification of liver fat for assessment of hepatic steatosis. All of these relevant biometric measures can now be fully automated through the use of artificial intelligence algorithms, which provide rapid and objective assessment and allow large-scale population-based screening. Initial investigations into these measures of body composition have demonstrated promising performance for prediction of future adverse events that matches or exceeds the best available clinical prediction models, particularly when these CT-based measures are used in combination. In this review, the concept of CT-based opportunistic screening is discussed, and an overview of the various automated biomarkers that can be derived from essentially all abdominal CT examinations is provided, drawing heavily on the authors' experience. As radiology transitions from a volume-based to a value-based practice, opportunistic screening represents a promising example of adding value to services that are already provided. If the potentially high added value of these objective CT-based automated measures is ultimately confirmed in subsequent investigations, this opportunistic screening approach could be considered for intentional CT-based screening. ©RSNA, 2021.

Automated assessment of longitudinal biomarker changes at abdominal CT: correlation with subsequent cardiovascular events in an asymptomatic adult screening cohort.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular (CV) disease is a major public health concern, and automated methods can potentially capture relevant longitudinal changes on CT for opportunistic CV screening purposes. METHODS: Fully-automated and validated algorithms that quantify abdominal fat, muscle, bone, liver, and aortic calcium were retrospectively applied to a longitudinal adult screening cohort undergoing serial non-contrast CT examination between 2005 and 2016. Downstream major adverse events (MI/CVA/CHF/death) were identified via algorithmic EHR search. Logistic regression, ROC curve, and Cox survival analyses assessed for associations between changes in CT variables and adverse events. RESULTS: Final cohort included 1949 adults (942 M/1007F; mean age, 56.2 ± 6.2 years at initial CT). Mean interval between CT scans was 5.8 ± 2.0 years. Mean clinical follow-up interval from initial CT was 10.4 ± 2.7 years. Major CV events occurred after follow-up CT in 230 total subjects (11.8%). Mean change in aortic calcium Agatston score was significantly higher in CV(+) cohort (591.6 ± 1095.3 vs. 261.1 ± 764.3), as was annualized Agatston change (120.5 ± 263.6 vs. 46.7 ± 143.9) (p < 0.001 for both). 5-year area under the ROC curve (AUC) for Agatston change was 0.611. Hazard ratio for Agatston score change > 500 was 2.8 (95% CI 1.5-4.0) relative to < 500. Agatston score change was the only significant univariate CT biomarker in the survival analysis. Changes in fat and bone measures added no meaningful prediction. CONCLUSION: Interval change in automated CT-based abdominal aortic calcium load represents a promising predictive longitudinal tool for assessing cardiovascular and mortality risks. Changes in other body composition measures were less predictive of adverse events.

Utility of Multiparametric CT for Identification of High-Risk NAFLD.

OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the utility of laboratory and CT metrics in identifying patients with high-risk nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). MATERIALS AND METHODS. Patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD who underwent CT within 1 year of biopsy were included. Histopathologic review was performed by an experienced gastrointestinal pathologist to determine steatosis, inflammation, and fibrosis. The presence of any lobular inflammation and hepatocyte ballooning was categorized as nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Patients with NAFLD and advanced fibrosis (stage F3 or higher) were categorized as having high-risk NAFLD. Aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index and Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) laboratory scores were calculated. CT metrics included hepatic attenuation, liver segmental volume ratio (LSVR), splenic volume, liver surface nodularity score, and selected texture features. In addition, two readers subjectively assessed the presence of NASH (present or not present) and fibrosis (stages F0-F4). RESULTS. A total of 186 patients with NAFLD (mean age, 49 years; 74 men and 112 women) were included. Of these, 87 (47%) had NASH and 112 (60%) had moderate to severe steatosis. A total of 51 patients were classified as fibrosis stage F0, 42 as F1, 23 as F2, 37 as F3, and 33 as F4. Additionally, 70 (38%) had advanced fibrosis (stage F3 or F4) and were considered to have high-risk NAFLD. FIB-4 score correlated with fibrosis (ROC AUC of 0.75 for identifying high-risk NAFLD). Of the individual CT parameters, LSVR and splenic volume performed best (AUC of 0.69 for both for detecting high-risk NAFLD). Subjective reader assessment performed best among all parameters (AUCs of 0.78 for reader 1 and 0.79 for reader 2 for detecting high-risk NAFLD). FIB-4 and subjective scores were complementary (combined AUC of 0.82 for detecting high-risk NAFLD). For NASH assessment, FIB-4 performed best (AUC of 0.68), whereas the AUCs were less than 0.60 for all individual CT features and subjective assessments. CONCLUSION. FIB-4 and multiple CT findings can identify patients with high-risk NAFLD (advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis). However, the presence of NASH is elusive on CT.

Atherosclerotic Plaque Burden on Abdominal CT: Automated Assessment With Deep Learning on Noncontrast and Contrast-enhanced Scans.

BACKGROUND: Abdominal aortic atherosclerotic plaque burden may have clinical significance but manual measurement is time-consuming and impractical. PURPOSE: To perform external validation on an automated atherosclerotic plaque detector for noncontrast and postcontrast abdominal CT. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The training data consisted of 114 noncontrast CT scans and 23 postcontrast CT urography scans. The testing data set consisted of 922 CT colonography (CTC) scans, and 1207 paired noncontrast and postcontrast CT scans from renal donors from a second institution. Reference standard data included manual plaque segmentations in the 137 training scans and manual plaque burden measurements in the 922 CTC scans. The total Agatston score and group (0-3) was determined using fully-automated deep learning software. Performance was assessed by measures of agreement, linear regression, and paired evaluations. RESULTS: On CTC scans, automated Agatston scoring correlated highly with manual assessment (R2 = 0.94). On paired renal donor CT scans, automated Agatston scoring on postcontrast CT correlated highly with noncontrast CT (R2 = 0.95). When plaque burden was expressed as a group score, there was excellent agreement for both the CTC (weighted kappa 0.80 ± 0.01 [95% confidence interval: 0.78-0.83]) and renal donor (0.83 ± 0.02 [0.79-0.86]) assessments. CONCLUSION: Fully automated detection, segmentation, and scoring of abdominal aortic atherosclerotic plaques on both pre- and post-contrast CT was validated and may have application for population-based studies.

Utilizing Fully Automated Abdominal CT-Based Biomarkers for Opportunistic Screening for Metabolic Syndrome in Adults Without Symptoms.

OBJECTIVE: Metabolic syndrome describes a constellation of reversible cardiometabolic abnormalities associated with cardiovascular risk and diabetes. The present study investigates the use of fully automated abdominal CT-based biometric measures for opportunistic identification of metabolic syndrome in adults without symptoms. MATERIALS AND METHODS: International Diabetes Federation criteria were applied to a cohort of 9223 adults without symptoms who underwent unenhanced abdominal CT. After patients with insufficient clinical data for diagnosis were excluded, the final cohort consisted of 7785 adults (mean age, 57.0 years; 4361 women and 3424 men). Previously validated and fully automated CT-based algorithms for quantifying muscle, visceral and subcutaneous fat, liver fat, and abdominal aortic calcification were applied to this final cohort. RESULTS: A total of 738 subjects (9.5% of all subjects; mean age, 56.7 years; 372 women and 366 men) met the clinical criteria for metabolic syndrome. Subsequent major cardiovascular events occurred more frequently in the cohort with metabolic syndrome (p < 0.001). Significant differences were observed between the two groups for all CT-based biomarkers (p < 0.001). Univariate L1-level total abdominal fat (area under the ROC curve [AUROC] = 0.909; odds ratio [OR] = 27.2), L3-level skeletal muscle index (AUROC = 0.776; OR = 5.8), and volumetric liver attenuation (AUROC = 0.738; OR = 5.1) performed well when compared with abdominal aortic calcification scoring (AUROC = 0.578; OR = 1.6). An L1-level total abdominal fat threshold of 460.6 cm2 was 80.1% sensitive and 85.4% specific for metabolic syndrome. For women, the AUROC was 0.930 when fat and muscle measures were combined. CONCLUSION: Fully automated quantitative tissue measures of fat, muscle, and liver derived from abdominal CT scans can help identify individuals who are at risk for metabolic syndrome. These visceral measures can be opportunistically applied to CT scans obtained for other clinical indications, and they may ultimately provide a more direct and useful definition of metabolic syndrome.

Liver Steatosis Categorization on Contrast-Enhanced CT Using a Fully Automated Deep Learning Volumetric Segmentation Tool: Evaluation in 1204 Healthy Adults Using Unenhanced CT as a Reference Standard.

BACKGROUND. Hepatic attenuation at unenhanced CT is linearly correlated with the MRI proton density fat fraction (PDFF). Liver fat quantification at contrast-enhanced CT is more challenging. OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this article is to evaluate liver steatosis categorization on contrast-enhanced CT using a fully automated deep learning volumetric hepatosplenic segmentation algorithm and unenhanced CT as the reference standard. METHODS. A fully automated volumetric hepatosplenic segmentation algorithm using 3D convolutional neural networks was applied to unenhanced and contrast-enhanced series from a sample of 1204 healthy adults (mean age, 45.2 years; 726 women, 478 men) undergoing CT evaluation for renal donation. The mean volumetric attenuation was computed from all designated liver and spleen voxels. PDFF was estimated from unenhanced CT attenuation and served as the reference standard. Contrast-enhanced attenuations were evaluated for detecting PDFF thresholds of 5% (mild steatosis, 10% and 15% (moderate steatosis); PDFF less than 5% was considered normal. RESULTS. Using unenhanced CT as reference, estimated PDFF was ≥ 5% (mild steatosis), ≥ 10%, and ≥ 15% (moderate steatosis) in 50.1% (n = 603), 12.5% (n = 151) and 4.8% (n = 58) of patients, respectively. ROC AUC values for predicting PDFF thresholds of 5%, 10%, and 15% using contrast-enhanced liver attenuation were 0.669, 0.854, and 0.962, respectively, and using contrast-enhanced liver-spleen attenuation difference were 0.662, 0.866, and 0.986, respectively. A total of 96.8% (90/93) of patients with contrast-enhanced liver attenuation less than 90 HU had steatosis (PDFF ≥ 5%); this threshold of less than 90 HU achieved sensitivity of 75.9% and specificity of 95.7% for moderate steatosis (PDFF ≥ 15%). Liver attenuation less than 100 HU achieved sensitivity of 34.0% and specificity of 94.2% for any steatosis (PDFF ≥ 5%). A total of 93.8% (30/32) of patients with contrast-enhanced liver-spleen attenuation difference 10 HU or less had moderate steatosis (PDFF ≥ 15%); a liver-spleen difference less than 5 HU achieved sensitivity of 91.4% and specificity of 95.0% for moderate steatosis. Liver-spleen difference less than 10 HU achieved sensitivity of 29.5% and specificity of 95.5% for any steatosis (PDFF ≥ 5%). CONCLUSION. Contrast-enhanced volumetric hepatosplenic attenuation derived using a fully automated deep learning CT tool may allow objective categoric assessment of hepatic steatosis. Accuracy was better for moderate than mild steatosis. Further confirmation using different scanning protocols and vendors is warranted. CLINICAL IMPACT. If these results are confirmed in independent patient samples, this automated approach could prove useful for both individualized and population-based steatosis assessment.

Automated CT biomarkers for opportunistic prediction of future cardiovascular events and mortality in an asymptomatic screening population: a retrospective cohort study.

Background: Body CT scans are frequently performed for a wide variety of clinical indications, but potentially valuable biometric information typically goes unused. We investigated the prognostic ability of automated CT-based body composition biomarkers derived from previously-developed deep-learning and feature-based algorithms for predicting major cardiovascular events and overall survival in an adult screening cohort, compared with clinical parameters. Methods: Mature and fully-automated CT-based algorithms with pre-defined metrics for quantifying aortic calcification, muscle density, visceral/subcutaneous fat, liver fat, and bone mineral density (BMD) were applied to a generally-healthy asymptomatic outpatient cohort of 9223 adults (mean age, 57.1 years; 5152 women) undergoing abdominal CT for routine colorectal cancer screening. Longitudinal clinical follow-up (median, 8.8 years; IQR, 5.1-11.6 years) documented subsequent major cardiovascular events or death in 19.7% (n=1831). Predictive ability of CT-based biomarkers was compared against the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) and body mass index (BMI). Findings: Significant differences were observed for all five automated CT-based body composition measures according to adverse events (p<0.001). Univariate 5-year AUROC (with 95% CI) for automated CT-based aortic calcification, muscle density, visceral/subcutaneous fat ratio, liver density, and vertebral density for predicting death were 0.743(0.705-0.780)/0.721(0.683-0.759)/0.661(0.625-0.697)/0.619 (0.582-0.656)/0.646(0.603-0.688), respectively, compared with 0.499(0.454-0.544) for BMI and 0.688(0.650-0.727) for FRS (p<0.05 for aortic calcification vs. FRS and BMI); all trends were similar for 2-year and 10-year ROC analyses. Univariate hazard ratios (with 95% CIs) for highest-risk quartile versus others for these same CT measures were 4.53(3.82-5.37) /3.58(3.02-4.23)/2.28(1.92-2.71)/1.82(1.52-2.17)/2.73(2.31-3.23), compared with 1.36(1.13-1.64) and 2.82(2.36-3.37) for BMI and FRS, respectively. Similar significant trends were observed for cardiovascular events. Multivariate combinations of CT biomarkers further improved prediction over clinical parameters (p<0.05 for AUROCs). For example, by combining aortic calcification, muscle density, and liver density, the 2-year AUROC for predicting overall survival was 0.811 (0.761-0.860). Interpretation: Fully-automated quantitative tissue biomarkers derived from CT scans can outperform established clinical parameters for pre-symptomatic risk stratification for future serious adverse events, and add opportunistic value to CT scans performed for other indications.

Diagnostic Performance of Multitarget Stool DNA and CT Colonography for Noninvasive Colorectal Cancer Screening.

BackgroundMultitarget stool DNA (mt-sDNA) screening has increased rapidly since simultaneous approval by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration and Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services in 2014, whereas CT colonography screening remains underused and is not covered by Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services.PurposeTo report postapproval clinical experience with mt-sDNA screening for colorectal cancer (CRC) and compare results with CT colonography screening at the same center.Materials and MethodsIn this retrospective cohort study, asymptomatic adults underwent clinical mt-sDNA screening during a 5-year interval (2014-2019). Electronic medical records were searched to verify test results and document subsequent optical colonoscopy and histopathologic findings. A similar analysis was performed for CT colonography screening during a 15-year interval (2004-2019), with consideration of thresholds for positivity of both 6-mm and 10-mm polyp sizes. χ2 or two-sample t tests were used for group comparisons.ResultsA total of 3987 asymptomatic adult patients (mean age, 64 years ± 9 [standard deviation]; 2567 women) underwent mt-sDNA screening and 9656 patients (mean age, 57 years ± 8; 5200 women) underwent CT colonography. Test-positive rates for mt-sDNA and for 6-mm- and 10-mm-threshold CT colonography were 15.2%, 16.4%, and 6.7%, respectively. Optical colonoscopy follow-up rates for positive results of mt-sDNA and 6-mm- and 10-mm-threshold CT colonography were 13.1%, 12.3%, and 5.9%, respectively. Positive predictive values (PPVs) for any neoplasm 6 mm or greater, advanced neoplasia, and CRC for mt-sDNA were 54.2%, 22.7%, and 1.9% respectively; for 6-mm-threshold CT colonography, PPVs were 76.8%, 44.3%, and 2.7%; for 10-mm-threshold CT colonography, PPVs were 84.5%, 75.2%, and 5.2%, respectively (P < .001 for mt-sDNA vs CT colonography for all except 6-mm CRC at CT colonography). For mt-sDNA versus 6-mm-threshold CT colonography, overall detection rates for advanced neoplasia were 2.7% and 5.0%, respectively (P < .001); corresponding detection rates for CRC were 0.23% and 0.31%, respectively (P = .43).ConclusionThe detection rates of advanced neoplasia at CT colonography screening were greater than those of multitarget stool DNA. Detection rates were similar for colorectal cancer.© RSNA, 2020See also the editorial by Yee in this issue.

Automated Abdominal CT Imaging Biomarkers for Opportunistic Prediction of Future Major Osteoporotic Fractures in Asymptomatic Adults.

Background Body composition data from abdominal CT scans have the potential to opportunistically identify those at risk for future fracture. Purpose To apply automated bone, muscle, and fat tools to noncontrast CT to assess performance for predicting major osteoporotic fractures and to compare with the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) reference standard. Materials and Methods Fully automated bone attenuation (L1-level attenuation), muscle attenuation (L3-level attenuation), and fat (L1-level visceral-to-subcutaneous [V/S] ratio) measures were derived from noncontrast low-dose abdominal CT scans in a generally healthy asymptomatic adult outpatient cohort from 2004 to 2016. The FRAX score was calculated from data derived from an algorithmic electronic health record search. The cohort was assessed for subsequent future fragility fractures. Subset analysis was performed for patients evaluated with dual x-ray absorptiometry (n = 2106). Hazard ratios (HRs) and receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were performed. Results A total of 9223 adults were evaluated (mean age, 57 years ± 8 [standard deviation]; 5152 women) at CT and were followed over a median time of 8.8 years (interquartile range, 5.1-11.6 years), with documented subsequent major osteoporotic fractures in 7.4% (n = 686), including hip fractures in 2.4% (n = 219). Comparing the highest-risk quartile with the other three quartiles, HRs for bone attenuation, muscle attenuation, V/S fat ratio, and FRAX were 2.1, 1.9, 0.98, and 2.5 for any fragility fracture and 2.0, 2.5, 1.1, and 2.5 for femoral fractures, respectively (P < .001 for all except V/S ratio, which was P ≥ .51). Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values for fragility fracture were 0.71, 0.65, 0.51, and 0.72 at 2 years and 0.63, 0.62, 0.52, and 0.65 at 10 years, respectively. For hip fractures, 2-year AUC for muscle attenuation alone was 0.75 compared with 0.73 for FRAX (P = .43). Multivariable 2-year AUC combining bone and muscle attenuation was 0.73 for any fragility fracture and 0.76 for hip fractures, respectively (P ≥ .73 compared with FRAX). For the subset with dual x-ray absorptiometry T-scores, 2-year AUC was 0.74 for bone attenuation and 0.65 for FRAX (P = .11). Conclusion Automated bone and muscle imaging biomarkers derived from CT scans provided comparable performance to Fracture Risk Assessment Tool score for presymptomatic prediction of future osteoporotic fractures. Muscle attenuation alone provided effective hip fracture prediction. © RSNA, 2020 See also the editorial by Smith in this issue.

Automated Liver Fat Quantification at Nonenhanced Abdominal CT for Population-based Steatosis Assessment.

Background Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and its consequences are a growing public health concern requiring cross-sectional imaging for noninvasive diagnosis and quantification of liver fat. Purpose To investigate a deep learning-based automated liver fat quantification tool at nonenhanced CT for establishing the prevalence of steatosis in a large screening cohort. Materials and Methods In this retrospective study, a fully automated liver segmentation algorithm was applied to noncontrast abdominal CT examinations from consecutive asymptomatic adults by using three-dimensional convolutional neural networks, including a subcohort with follow-up scans. Automated volume-based liver attenuation was analyzed, including conversion to CT fat fraction, and compared with manual measurement in a large subset of scans. Results A total of 11 669 CT scans in 9552 adults (mean age ± standard deviation, 57.2 years ± 7.9; 5314 women and 4238 men; median body mass index [BMI], 27.8 kg/m2) were evaluated, including 2117 follow-up scans in 1862 adults (mean age, 59.2 years; 971 women and 891 men; mean interval, 5.5 years). Algorithm failure occurred in seven scans. Mean CT liver attenuation was 55 HU ± 10, corresponding to CT fat fraction of 6.4% (slightly fattier in men than in women [7.4% ± 6.0 vs 5.8% ± 5.7%; P < .001]). Mean liver Hounsfield unit varied little by age (<4 HU difference among all age groups) and only weak correlation was seen with BMI (r2 = 0.14). By category, 47.9% (5584 of 11 669) had negligible or no liver fat (CT fat fraction <5%), 42.4% (4948 of 11 669) had mild steatosis (CT fat fraction of 5%-14%), 8.8% (1025 of 11 669) had moderate steatosis (CT fat fraction of 14%-28%), and 1% (112 of 11 669) had severe steatosis (CT fat fraction >28%). Excellent agreement was seen between automated and manual measurements, with a mean difference of 2.7 HU (median, 3 HU) and r2 of 0.92. Among the subcohort with longitudinal follow-up, mean change was only -3 HU ± 9, but 43.3% (806 of 1861) of patients changed steatosis category between first and last scans. Conclusion This fully automated CT-based liver fat quantification tool allows for population-based assessment of hepatic steatosis and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, with objective data that match well with manual measurement. The prevalence of at least mild steatosis was greater than 50% in this asymptomatic screening cohort. © RSNA, 2019.